politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump & Boris: Both blond, both born in New York and both u
Comments
-
Exciting weather forecast for Mexico, all the hallmarks of an oncoming mini ice age. Snow in Mexico City at this time of year is most unusual:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O5s4t-lLZ840 -
Looks very good for Trump.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks bad for Rubi-oSpeedy said:Chuck ToddVerified account @chucktodd 14m14 minutes ago
"Change" voters favor Trump in MS by 2-1 margin. "Values" voters favor Cruz in MS by an even bigger margin.
A reminder:
12 Can win in November
34 shares my values
28 tells it like it is
26 Can bring change
Cruz could be around 30-35 in Mississippi.
Chuck Todd @chucktodd 9m9 minutes ago
Cruz is winning late deciders in MS but not by a huge margin. Trump was competitive with late deciders
But Trump looks safe.
Cruz and Kasich may come a strong second but Trump looks like he is leading comfortably in both Mississippi and Michigan.0 -
Mini ice age?hunchman said:Exciting weather forecast for Mexico, all the hallmarks of an oncoming mini ice age. Snow in Mexico City at this time of year is most unusual:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O5s4t-lLZ84
After a few harsh winters this one looks like spring.0 -
If Trump wins comfortably tonight, he has to thank this guy:
https://twitter.com/thehill/status/7073539748742266890 -
I love exit poll leaks, it 's like a puzzle but with numbers:
https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/707358738408153089
Late deciders are 26% in Mississippi.
It sure looks like a 2 way race there, but the 10 point margin is probably not enough for Cruz to beat Trump, Trump is definitely over 40 there, he could hit or break his Nevada record.0 -
Rubio, 6%. This could be really lowSpeedy said:I love exit poll leaks, it 's like a puzzle but with numbers:
https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/707358738408153089
Late deciders are 26% in Mississippi.
It sure looks like a 2 way race there, but the 10 point margin is probably not enough for Cruz to beat Trump, Trump is definitely over 40 there, he could hit or break his Nevada record.0 -
The trees were the right height in Michigan 4 years ago. I guess they grew.Speedy said:If Trump wins comfortably tonight, he has to thank this guy
In contrast Trump described New Hampshire as bucolic. If only he could talk down to the little guy like Romney can...0 -
We've had a mild winter until this cold run in late February and early March. Forecast at the moment for Easter at the end of March looks very interesting but I won't say any more. Across the world we've seen snow for the first time in modern times 300km south of Hanoi, and in Okinawa at 26N in Japan. Moscow currently getting lots of snow in March. Mexico has had a very severe cold winter.Speedy said:
Mini ice age?hunchman said:Exciting weather forecast for Mexico, all the hallmarks of an oncoming mini ice age. Snow in Mexico City at this time of year is most unusual:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O5s4t-lLZ84
After a few harsh winters this one looks like spring.
This video gives a good indicator of what to expect going into the grand solar minimum around 2030:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_I_lsZCAWi4
It should cool significantly under La Nina conditions over the next few years, and then it should get noticeably cooler particularly from 2019. I think it'll take until then until we're finally rid of the global warming nonsense, but a lot of people are facing the wrong way right now.0 -
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/03/marco_rubio_failed_here_s_why.htmlTheWhiteRabbit said:
Rubio, 6%. This could be really lowSpeedy said:I love exit poll leaks, it 's like a puzzle but with numbers:
https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/707358738408153089
Late deciders are 26% in Mississippi.
It sure looks like a 2 way race there, but the 10 point margin is probably not enough for Cruz to beat Trump, Trump is definitely over 40 there, he could hit or break his Nevada record.
Glad to see his backers have wasted a fortune.
That article has the funniest correction I have seen.
*Correction, March 2, 2016: This post originally misidentified Marco Rubio as nonwhite. He is not nonwhite; he is Hispanic. (Return.)
That's the problem with the definition 'Hispanic'.
0 -
Kasich shortening rapidly in thin market on Betfair - now in to 9.2, and a mere £6 would make it 8.4, not much longer than Cruz at 5.9. Trump 1.62.0
-
A pile of wishful thinking. a lesson for all of usLondonBob said:
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/03/marco_rubio_failed_here_s_why.htmlTheWhiteRabbit said:
Rubio, 6%. This could be really lowSpeedy said:I love exit poll leaks, it 's like a puzzle but with numbers:
https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/707358738408153089
Late deciders are 26% in Mississippi.
It sure looks like a 2 way race there, but the 10 point margin is probably not enough for Cruz to beat Trump, Trump is definitely over 40 there, he could hit or break his Nevada record.
Glad to see his backers have wasted a fortune.0 -
Limbo Rubio is trying to lower the bar set by Bush.LondonBob said:
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/03/marco_rubio_failed_here_s_why.htmlTheWhiteRabbit said:
Rubio, 6%. This could be really lowSpeedy said:I love exit poll leaks, it 's like a puzzle but with numbers:
https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/707358738408153089
Late deciders are 26% in Mississippi.
It sure looks like a 2 way race there, but the 10 point margin is probably not enough for Cruz to beat Trump, Trump is definitely over 40 there, he could hit or break his Nevada record.
Glad to see his backers have wasted a fortune.0 -
Are we expecting exit polls with candidate figures in half an hour when most MI polls close, or do we have to wait 90 minutes for them all to close?0
-
Logically they wont release exit polls from Michigan until all precincts close, so that's one hour after most of them close.NickPalmer said:Are we expecting exit polls with candidate figures in half an hour when most MI polls close, or do we have to wait 90 minutes for them all to close?
0 -
What is it about US election season that produces fruit loops?
This time it was Cromwell spouting his "Rubio will crush all in his path" rubbish.
Last time it was the fabulously deluded Stuart Truth.0 -
Do you know a guy called Piers Corbyn?hunchman said:
We've had a mild winter until this cold run in late February and early March. Forecast at the moment for Easter at the end of March looks very interesting but I won't say any more. Across the world we've seen snow for the first time in modern times 300km south of Hanoi, and in Okinawa at 26N in Japan. Moscow currently getting lots of snow in March. Mexico has had a very severe cold winter.Speedy said:
Mini ice age?hunchman said:Exciting weather forecast for Mexico, all the hallmarks of an oncoming mini ice age. Snow in Mexico City at this time of year is most unusual:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O5s4t-lLZ84
After a few harsh winters this one looks like spring.
This video gives a good indicator of what to expect going into the grand solar minimum around 2030:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_I_lsZCAWi4
It should cool significantly under La Nina conditions over the next few years, and then it should get noticeably cooler particularly from 2019. I think it'll take until then until we're finally rid of the global warming nonsense, but a lot of people are facing the wrong way right now.0 -
Mississippi
Outsider (60% of voters)
Trump 70
Cruz 26
Rubio 2
Kasich 1
Trump gets 42% of all voters just from this one category.0 -
I do, and I have quoted him extensively on here in the past. His weatheraction website is a must for any serious meteorologist, and his peer reviewed long range forecasts are second to none. For example he had the cold snap that we've had over the past 4 or 5 days pinned down 100 days ahead. I shan't spill the beans about what he has forecast for Easter but its interesting to say the least!Speedy said:
Do you know a guy called Piers Corbyn?hunchman said:
We've had a mild winter until this cold run in late February and early March. Forecast at the moment for Easter at the end of March looks very interesting but I won't say any more. Across the world we've seen snow for the first time in modern times 300km south of Hanoi, and in Okinawa at 26N in Japan. Moscow currently getting lots of snow in March. Mexico has had a very severe cold winter.Speedy said:
Mini ice age?hunchman said:Exciting weather forecast for Mexico, all the hallmarks of an oncoming mini ice age. Snow in Mexico City at this time of year is most unusual:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O5s4t-lLZ84
After a few harsh winters this one looks like spring.
This video gives a good indicator of what to expect going into the grand solar minimum around 2030:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_I_lsZCAWi4
It should cool significantly under La Nina conditions over the next few years, and then it should get noticeably cooler particularly from 2019. I think it'll take until then until we're finally rid of the global warming nonsense, but a lot of people are facing the wrong way right now.0 -
Easter falls close to my birthday this year. I've had bright sunshine, snow, thunder, hail before...hunchman said:
I do, and I have quoted him extensively on here in the past. His weatheraction website is a must for any serious meteorologist, and his peer reviewed long range forecasts are second to none. For example he had the cold snap that we've had over the past 4 or 5 days pinned down 100 days ahead. I shan't spill the beans about what he has forecast for Easter but its interesting to say the least!Speedy said:
Do you know a guy called Piers Corbyn?hunchman said:
We've had a mild winter until this cold run in late February and early March. Forecast at the moment for Easter at the end of March looks very interesting but I won't say any more. Across the world we've seen snow for the first time in modern times 300km south of Hanoi, and in Okinawa at 26N in Japan. Moscow currently getting lots of snow in March. Mexico has had a very severe cold winter.Speedy said:
Mini ice age?hunchman said:Exciting weather forecast for Mexico, all the hallmarks of an oncoming mini ice age. Snow in Mexico City at this time of year is most unusual:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O5s4t-lLZ84
After a few harsh winters this one looks like spring.
This video gives a good indicator of what to expect going into the grand solar minimum around 2030:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_I_lsZCAWi4
It should cool significantly under La Nina conditions over the next few years, and then it should get noticeably cooler particularly from 2019. I think it'll take until then until we're finally rid of the global warming nonsense, but a lot of people are facing the wrong way right now.0 -
O/T How had I not heard of Friedrich Kalkbrenner before tonight?!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CclQ1tGmGws
Good night all. And good night to the Rubio campaign. Not before time.0 -
This must be the first time you've calling anything positive for Trump based on an exit poll. It looks like he's on course for his first 50% result.Speedy said:Mississippi
Outsider (60% of voters)
Trump 70
Cruz 26
Rubio 2
Kasich 1
Trump gets 42% of all voters just from this one category.0 -
Mississippi
Shares my values (34%)
Cruz 64
Trump 13
Rubio 12
Kasich 10.0 -
People conflating the fact Cruz is hated by his colleagues with a belief he is an outsider.Speedy said:Mississippi
Outsider (60% of voters)
Trump 70
Cruz 26
Rubio 2
Kasich 1
Trump gets 42% of all voters just from this one category.
New material for Trump in due course.
https://twitter.com/RogerJStoneJr/status/707301337722032129
https://twitter.com/RogerJStoneJr/status/7073018451363225600 -
Statistically its more likely to snow at Easter (whenever it falls) compared to Christmas. We had snow in Easter 2008, and I remember orienteering near Dolgellau in North Wales when it snowed at Easter in 1998, and hailed pretty hard too.TheWhiteRabbit said:
Easter falls close to my birthday this year. I've had bright sunshine, snow, thunder, hail before...hunchman said:
I do, and I have quoted him extensively on here in the past. His weatheraction website is a must for any serious meteorologist, and his peer reviewed long range forecasts are second to none. For example he had the cold snap that we've had over the past 4 or 5 days pinned down 100 days ahead. I shan't spill the beans about what he has forecast for Easter but its interesting to say the least!Speedy said:
Do you know a guy called Piers Corbyn?hunchman said:
We've had a mild winter until this cold run in late February and early March. Forecast at the moment for Easter at the end of March looks very interesting but I won't say any more. Across the world we've seen snow for the first time in modern times 300km south of Hanoi, and in Okinawa at 26N in Japan. Moscow currently getting lots of snow in March. Mexico has had a very severe cold winter.Speedy said:
Mini ice age?hunchman said:Exciting weather forecast for Mexico, all the hallmarks of an oncoming mini ice age. Snow in Mexico City at this time of year is most unusual:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O5s4t-lLZ84
After a few harsh winters this one looks like spring.
This video gives a good indicator of what to expect going into the grand solar minimum around 2030:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_I_lsZCAWi4
It should cool significantly under La Nina conditions over the next few years, and then it should get noticeably cooler particularly from 2019. I think it'll take until then until we're finally rid of the global warming nonsense, but a lot of people are facing the wrong way right now.0 -
CNN says it's ready for a projection the moment polls close.0
-
The power of PB, I assume? - the Betfair Kasich market fattens swiftly, with liquidity now both wayds.0
-
in which contests?Speedy said:CNN says it's ready for a projection the moment polls close.
0 -
I'm +110 on Kasich mostly as a trading bet -can't decide whether to cash in, wait for a good result or go to bed. I'm inclined to hang on - he's going to do OK in MI, I think.0
-
Mississippi closing in 7 minutes, I believe. Michigan not till 2am our time. Iado and Hawaiii God knows.TheWhiteRabbit said:
in which contests?Speedy said:CNN says it's ready for a projection the moment polls close.
0 -
Logically Mississippi.TheWhiteRabbit said:
in which contests?Speedy said:CNN says it's ready for a projection the moment polls close.
0 -
I wouldn't trust ACE to create anything. They are one of the most useless quangos out there. Rewarding nepotism and wasting public money.sarissa said:
But they would lose overseas sales income.TheWhiteRabbit said:
"It is understood Mr Whittingdale is considering offering bodies such as the Arts Council the chance to bid for licence fee cash to create ‘public service’ programmes to show on BBC channels ."bigjohnowls said:BBC set for war with Tory Government over latest budget raid
Titter BBC Tory toadying not really paying dividends.
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/bbc-set-war-tory-government-7519398
Um... so the licence fee would pay for programmes direct? hardly draconian
And I support proper public support of the arts - just ACE ceased to be fit for purpose years ago.0 -
Hillary wins Mississippi.
To early for the GOP, but Trump considerably ahead of Cruz.
0 -
The CNN projection - Clinton wins Mississipppi...yeah, we knew that last week...0
-
Mississippi Exit Poll
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ms/
Trump 45
Cruz 35.5
Rubio 9
Kasich 7.5
I'm good with Puzzles, right were I projected.0 -
Rubio 0 v 1 voting thresholdsSpeedy said:Mississippi Exit Poll
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ms/
Trump 45
Cruz 35.5
Rubio 9
Kasich 7.50 -
CNN Mississippi Exit pollSpeedy said:Hillary wins Mississippi.
To early for the GOP, but Trump considerably ahead of Cruz.
GOP
Trump 45
Cruz 35.5
Rubio 9
Kasich 7.5
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/ms/0 -
You said 40. If we're allowed 5%, the game is much easier...Speedy said:Mississippi Exit Poll
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ms/
Trump 45
Cruz 35.5
Rubio 9
Kasich 7.5
I'm good with Puzzles, right were I projected.0 -
0
-
CNN Exit Poll in Mississippi now updated to:
Trump 49
Cruz 36
Rubio 90 -
I said at least 42%.TheWhiteRabbit said:
You said 40. If we're allowed 5%, the game is much easier...Speedy said:Mississippi Exit Poll
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ms/
Trump 45
Cruz 35.5
Rubio 9
Kasich 7.5
I'm good with Puzzles, right were I projected.0 -
There's no congressional threshold but 50% sweeps the delegates in that congressional district so...Speedy said:CNN Exit Poll in Mississippi now updated to:
Trump 49
Cruz 36
Rubio 90 -
Trump ahead in MS with nearly every voting group except hardcore conservatives - does best among older, less educated men.
That result is a bit meh - Trump will probably be happiest because he's winning and it doesn't change much. Cruz did well but not fabulously in a very conservative state. Terrible for Rubioand Kasich but they weren't really trying there.0 -
Speedy said:
I said at least 42%.TheWhiteRabbit said:
You said 40. If we're allowed 5%, the game is much easier...Speedy said:Mississippi Exit Poll
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ms/
Trump 45
Cruz 35.5
Rubio 9
Kasich 7.5
I'm good with Puzzles, right were I projected.
"Mississippi:
12 Can win in November
34 shares my values
28 tells it like it is
26 Can bring change
That's 4 points better (tells it like it is) for Trump than in Michigan.
Trump is probably around 40 there"0 -
You can't write states off if you actually want to win.NickPalmer said:Trump ahead in MS with nearly every voting group except hardcore conservatives - does best among older, less educated men.
That result is a bit meh - Trump will probably be happiest because he's winning and it doesn't change much. Cruz did well but not fabulously in a very conservative state. Terrible for Rubioand Kasich but they weren't really trying there.0 -
And then with more categories coming in I said:TheWhiteRabbit said:Speedy said:
I said at least 42%.TheWhiteRabbit said:
You said 40. If we're allowed 5%, the game is much easier...Speedy said:Mississippi Exit Poll
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/ms/
Trump 45
Cruz 35.5
Rubio 9
Kasich 7.5
I'm good with Puzzles, right were I projected.
"Mississippi:
12 Can win in November
34 shares my values
28 tells it like it is
26 Can bring change
That's 4 points better (tells it like it is) for Trump than in Michigan.
Trump is probably around 40 there"
"Trump gets 42% of all voters just from this one category."0 -
We got votes from Michigan
With just less than 1% in from one Detroit suburban county:
Kasich 36
Trump 35
Cruz 19
Rubio 80 -
...and Sanders a hair's breadth ahead of Clinton there.Speedy said:We got votes from Michigan
With just less than 1% in from one Detroit suburban county:
Kasich 36
Trump 35
Cruz 19
Rubio 80 -
And Sanders leading Hillary 52 to 47.Speedy said:We got votes from Michigan
0 -
DDHQ show two sets of results, beasically the same, from different areasSpeedy said:We got votes from Michigan
With just less than 1% in from one Detroit suburban county:
Kasich 36
Trump 35
Cruz 19
Rubio 8
exactly the same, must be an error0 -
On the Dem side with 1% inSpeedy said:We got votes from Michigan
With just less than 1% in from one Detroit suburban county:
Kasich 36
Trump 35
Cruz 19
Rubio 8
Sanders 52.2%
Clinton 47.1%
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/mi/Dem0 -
Sanders needs to win downtown Detroit, african americans are a majority there.NickPalmer said:
...and Sanders a hair's breadth ahead of Clinton there.Speedy said:We got votes from Michigan
With just less than 1% in from one Detroit suburban county:
Kasich 36
Trump 35
Cruz 19
Rubio 80 -
Surely Clinton will walk downtown Detroit. Sanders' best shot must be the suburbs and rural areas?Speedy said:
Sanders needs to win downtown Detroit, african americans are a majority there.NickPalmer said:
...and Sanders a hair's breadth ahead of Clinton there.Speedy said:We got votes from Michigan
With just less than 1% in from one Detroit suburban county:
Kasich 36
Trump 35
Cruz 19
Rubio 80 -
Michigan 3% in
Trump 35.5
Kasich 35.5
Cruz 19
Rubio 8
Rural Michigan is going 2-1 for Trump.
Kasich barely tied with Trump in the Detroit suburbs.0 -
Michigan 3% in
GOP
Trump 35.6%
Kasich 35.3%
Cruz 18.8%
Rubio 7.8%
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/mi/
Dems (6% in)
Sanders 52.4%
Clinton 46.9%
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/mi/0 -
Fox projects: Trump wins Mississippi.0
-
Marco Rubio
Michigan (early results) 8 to 9%, well under threshold of 15%. Same for Mississippi based on exit polls.
That's Marco Rubio 0 v 2 Voting thresholds
0 -
Sanders still ahead by 51-47 with 12% counted. A real upset?
On the Republican side, Kasich has certainly done well enough to stay in the race.0 -
Looks like rural votes will give Trump the edge in Michigan.0
-
I need a few more votes in to project Michigan for Trump.
As long as he is tied with Kasich in the Detroit suburbs and beat him by 2-1 in rural Michigan he should be OK, but it's too early.0 -
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qObzgUfCl28TheWhiteRabbit said:
Looks bad for Rubi-oSpeedy said:Chuck ToddVerified account @chucktodd 14m14 minutes ago
"Change" voters favor Trump in MS by 2-1 margin. "Values" voters favor Cruz in MS by an even bigger margin.
A reminder:
12 Can win in November
34 shares my values
28 tells it like it is
26 Can bring change
Cruz could be around 30-35 in Mississippi.
Chuck Todd @chucktodd 9m9 minutes ago
Cruz is winning late deciders in MS but not by a huge margin. Trump was competitive with late deciders
But Trump looks safe.0 -
I'm calling it for Trump, est. 37 v 33Speedy said:I need a few more votes in to project Michigan for Trump.
As long as he is tied with Kasich in the Detroit suburbs and beat him by 2-1 in rural Michigan he should be OK, but it's too early.0 -
Presumably the birther stuff will hurt Trump in Hawaii where Obama has his highest approval ratings? It doesn't look like there will be good news for the stop Trump camp anywhere else tonight.0
-
I can't tell yet if Sanders will win.NickPalmer said:Sanders still ahead by 51-47 with 12% counted. A real upset?
On the Republican side, Kasich has certainly done well enough to stay in the race.0 -
Trump is opening his lead with 9% in
Trump 36
Kasich 34
Cruz 19
Rubio 80 -
Now 37-30 with 11% in.Speedy said:Trump is opening his lead with 9% in
Trump 36
Kasich 34
Cruz 19
Rubio 80 -
Turnout not far off a million...!Speedy said:Trump is opening his lead with 9% in
Trump 36
Kasich 34
Cruz 19
Rubio 80 -
Betting market has called itwilliamglenn said:
Now 37-30 with 11% in.Speedy said:Trump is opening his lead with 9% in
Trump 36
Kasich 34
Cruz 19
Rubio 80 -
I'm calling Michigan for Trump.0
-
Sanders ahead all over the state - but presumably downtown Detroit has yet to report and will have a huge Clinton vote. All the same, looking good for Sanders compared with expectation, likewise Kasich.0
-
not sure about Kasich, market expected him to be competitive (>10% chance of winning). however that might not have fed into the media/population as a wholeNickPalmer said:Sanders ahead all over the state - but presumably downtown Detroit has yet to report and will have a huge Clinton vote. All the same, looking good for Sanders compared with expectation, likewise Kasich.
0 -
Rubio: "I believe with all my heart that the winner of the Florida primary next Tuesday will be the nominee of the Republican Party"
Is that an endorsement of Trump?0 -
Well ahead of the polls, but I see Betfair moving slightly against him, and Trump shifting in.TheWhiteRabbit said:
not sure about Kasich, market expected him to be competitive (>10% chance of winning). however that might not have fed into the media/population as a wholeNickPalmer said:Sanders ahead all over the state - but presumably downtown Detroit has yet to report and will have a huge Clinton vote. All the same, looking good for Sanders compared with expectation, likewise Kasich.
0 -
Kasich is third everywhere outside Detroit.
Cruz might catch up to him for second.0 -
http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/mar/08/primary-caucus-live-results-michigan-mississippi-idaho-hawaii-election-2016
Best site to watch the results.
Very good night for Trump, they threw the kitchen sink at him and after that debate and those caucus results.0 -
Polls put him at 26% approximately, though with big margin (21v33). He's on 30% at the momentNickPalmer said:
Well ahead of the polls, but I see Betfair moving slightly against him, and Trump shifting in.TheWhiteRabbit said:
not sure about Kasich, market expected him to be competitive (>10% chance of winning). however that might not have fed into the media/population as a wholeNickPalmer said:Sanders ahead all over the state - but presumably downtown Detroit has yet to report and will have a huge Clinton vote. All the same, looking good for Sanders compared with expectation, likewise Kasich.
0 -
HIllary will win Michigan I think. Wayne County not reporting yet (Detroit)0
-
Sanders is up by 2, however there is almost nothing from downtown Detroit.0
-
If Oakland has 120,000 Democrats doesn't that make it part of Detroit?Pulpstar said:HIllary will win Michigan I think. Wayne County not reporting yet (Detroit)
0 -
Michigan
GOP 15% in
Trump 38.1%
Kasich 28.7%
Cruz 20.4%
Rubio 8.8%
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/mi/Rep
Dems 22% in
Sanders 50.1%
Clinton 48.2%
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/mi/Dem0 -
Dems: Still almost no votes reported from Wayne county in Detroit - strongly suspect that will put Clinton ahead. But should be reasonably close overall, as Sanders is winning almost everywhere else.
GOP: yes, Trump by a clear margin now.0 -
How on earth did Richard Quest ever get a gig on TV? He has to be one of the most annoying people ever to hit the screen...0
-
So Rubio has lost both his battles against thresholds it seems. Can Trump take 50% in Mississippi? Big impact on delegates if congressional districts are0
-
It's the suburbs.TheWhiteRabbit said:
If Oakland has 120,000 Democrats doesn't that make it part of Detroit?Pulpstar said:HIllary will win Michigan I think. Wayne County not reporting yet (Detroit)
0 -
Hillary closing the gap in Michigan with 23% in.
All over on the GOP side - good night for Trump.0 -
I like the mini cartoon Trumps and Clintons updating the resultLondonBob said:http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/mar/08/primary-caucus-live-results-michigan-mississippi-idaho-hawaii-election-2016
Best site to watch the results.
Very good night for Trump, they threw the kitchen sink at him and after that debate and those caucus results.0 -
On the 200th refresh I found them kinda annoyingHYUFD said:
I like the mini cartoon Trumps and Clintons updating the resultLondonBob said:http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/mar/08/primary-caucus-live-results-michigan-mississippi-idaho-hawaii-election-2016
Best site to watch the results.
Very good night for Trump, they threw the kitchen sink at him and after that debate and those caucus results.0 -
Will the GOP throw in the towel after tonight? It's clear now that Trump has seen off Rubio and withstood the all the oppo attacks they could muster.0
-
On the GOP side the Detroit suburbs have almost finished counting, that was Kasich best area, so Trump's lead will only grow, and Kasich's lead over Cruz will get smaller.Wanderer said:Hillary closing the gap in Michigan with 23% in.
All over on the GOP side - good night for Trump.0 -
You lasted 198 more refreshes than meTheWhiteRabbit said:
On the 200th refresh I found them kinda annoyingHYUFD said:
I like the mini cartoon Trumps and Clintons updating the resultLondonBob said:http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/mar/08/primary-caucus-live-results-michigan-mississippi-idaho-hawaii-election-2016
Best site to watch the results.
Very good night for Trump, they threw the kitchen sink at him and after that debate and those caucus results.0 -
You lasted 2 more than me........Wanderer said:
You lasted 198 more refreshes than meTheWhiteRabbit said:
On the 200th refresh I found them kinda annoyingHYUFD said:
I like the mini cartoon Trumps and Clintons updating the resultLondonBob said:http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/mar/08/primary-caucus-live-results-michigan-mississippi-idaho-hawaii-election-2016
Best site to watch the results.
Very good night for Trump, they threw the kitchen sink at him and after that debate and those caucus results.0 -
GOP turnout higher in MI than Democratic turnout, interestingly..............0
-
Possibly not a bad night for Cruz as Rubio is fading fast and Kasich's momentum stalled. Opposition to Trump coalescing around Cruz. Obviously Trump rightly favourite but I think Cruz is not looking so badly placed as some think.0
-
The attacks by the establishment back fired, people like Romney reminded voters why they hate people like Romney.williamglenn said:Will the GOP throw in the towel after tonight? It's clear now that Trump has seen off Rubio and withstood the all the oppo attacks they could muster.
And Romney campaigned for both Rubio and Kasich in Michigan.
Also it's clear that the NBC/WSJ poll is crap, due to their flawed methodology, as I suspected.0 -
What would Cruz poll in NY? That's the question. Even as the non-Trump candidate.gettingbetter said:Possibly not a bad night for Cruz as Rubio is fading fast and Kasich's momentum stalled. Opposition to Trump coalescing around Cruz. Obviously Trump rightly favourite but I think Cruz is not looking so badly placed as some think.
Although I agree it's a good night for Cruz, it may well not be enough.0 -
No, they will wait until next Tuesday when Trump humiliates Rubio in Florida and beats Kasich in Ohio, then they will decide whether to take cyanide or electrocute themselves as the race becomes a Trump v Cruz head to head!williamglenn said:Will the GOP throw in the towel after tonight? It's clear now that Trump has seen off Rubio and withstood the all the oppo attacks they could muster.
0 -
Rofl My "black fit" for Mississippi gave Hillary 86%. Polling analysis 78%.
It'd be hilarious if the racial model gave a better result than the polling.0 -
Arguably this is the best spot to watch the Dems:
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/mi/Dem
- mouse over counties to see the huge Wayne,Macomb and Oakland counties in the southeast (=Detroit plus suburbs).0 -
I think at 1% counted it is difficult to say 75% v 80%Pulpstar said:Rofl My "black fit" for Mississippi gave Hillary 86%. Polling analysis 78%.
It'd be hilarious if the racial model gave a better result than the polling.0 -
How do Macomb and Wayne compare demographically?0
-
Yes, take in small dosesTheWhiteRabbit said:
On the 200th refresh I found them kinda annoyingHYUFD said:
I like the mini cartoon Trumps and Clintons updating the resultLondonBob said:http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2016/mar/08/primary-caucus-live-results-michigan-mississippi-idaho-hawaii-election-2016
Best site to watch the results.
Very good night for Trump, they threw the kitchen sink at him and after that debate and those caucus results.0