politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump and Sanders heading for big wins in New Hampshire

TCPoliticalBetting said:

Latest climate scare

https://uk.news.yahoo.com/rising-sea-levels-leave-just-161148572.html

glug glug glug for London. Are they employing the same advisors as Project Fear/Remain?

It's regrettable reports like this over-dramatise for shock value. Even if cities like London and New York and Shanghai can build defences, there are hundreds of millions of people who currently live on or near the coast who would be vulnerable to even small rises in sea levels.

As always, it's easy to debunk and ridicule predictions of what might happen in 20-50 years time or dismiss it as unimportant but policy makers and planners should be considering these matters as priorities.

As an example, we can protect central London from the Thames by replacing or improving the current barriers but what of the low-lying land around the Thames Estuary or places like the Isle of Grain ?

Alistair said:

Cromwell said:

RUBIO RISING ...the real message to come out of Iowa is the rise of Marco Rubio ..in the next seven days before NH he is sure to get a blaze of endorsements from big donors like Sheldon Aldenson and big names like Romney and McCain ...it's not over yet but the writing is clearly on the wall for anyone paying attention

Cromwell said:

Rubio will now unify the establishment lane and steamroll to victory ; he will win NH and Nevada too .....this has been on the cards for months and would have been clear to anyone able to read between the lines

RUBIO WILL BE THE NEXT US PRESIDENT .....frame this comment for posterity

Cromwell said:

HYUFD said:

There is no way Rubio is odds on GOP favourite, he polled third and came third. The real winner of the night is Cruz who is now Trump's main rival for the nomination. Unless Rubio beats Trump in New Hampshire or at least beats Cruz for second place he will be running for the bronze medal

You are a bloody fool ; I have been predicting for months that Rubio will not only become the nominee , but will CRUSH Hillary

It will not even dawn upon you that Rubio has won the presidency until he's in the White House with his feet upon the desk smoking a victory cigar ...get a clue Sherlock !

I am awaiting Cromwell's next post with eager anticipation.

From memory Cromwell strongly opposes Khan for London mayor also.

Wanderer said:

Barnesian said:

Alistair said:

Jeb Bush is @ 11.1 on Predict It and 7.2 on Betfair

Trump and Rubio prices broadly in line

Cruz is 4.3 on PredictIT and 5.7 on Betfair

I think the narrative may now move to the Bush Rubio battle.

Bush seems to be upping his game and Rubio is being exposed as an empty suit. Bush in the Nevada cauacus and SC primary look good value to me as he again is being seen as a contender. A safe pair of hands with fire in his belly at last.

I don't know if Bush has revived his candidacy but if he does there an avalanche of money and patronage behind him.

As someone who is green on Bush I would be excited to see a quite spectacular comeback, but out of deference to PBers with large red numbers next to his name I hope he sinks without trace.

Trump +55
Kasich +131
Rubio -24
Field + 27

This all stared with me putting a 2 quid on Trump back at the start of the year.

Morris_Dancer said:

I wonder if Leave should rename Project Fear as Project Appeasement. Not as catchy, but Project Fear, as a name, seems to be doing Remain's work for them.

Aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaand... those Second World War references just keep coming.

One of the aspects of the primary/caucus process which intrigues me is how a candidate who does unexpectedly well in one contest "carry momentum" to the next state which might be demographically, socially, culturally, economically and politically very different.

Take Kasich, who did very well last night. Does he have a ground campaign in SC, would he be "known" in that state - he's the Governor of OH if memory serves. Can he buy radio and tv advertising time at such short notice - how does he promote himself across a constituency where he wouldn't be well known ?

I would imagine success leads to money coming in to the campaign from donors but does that money "transfer" from one campaign to another easily - would Kasich get money that might have gone to another anti-Trump candidate for example ?