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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast: The 2016 White House race with Stan Greenberg
On this week’s episode of the PB / Polling Matters podcast Keiran discusses the 2016 US Presidential race with Democratic pollster and strategist Stan Greenberg.
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The tories have a majority and no opposition, yet their true blue chancellor comes out with his chequebook.
How long until the 1922 flex their muscles?
https://twitter.com/suttonnick/status/669643044950548482
Osborne has ruined my Buy To Let dreams.
If there is a recession then Osborne is fecked.
Good rental returns in Northern Ireland...
Of course the dreaded events may take it out of his hands anyway
READ the source that Alistair cited and you might understand. My list of objections do not refer to any internet outfit, it refers to the 'Monitoring group' known as 'The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights' (it might sound a bit more credible if someone told him what an observatory actually is). This monitoring group IS an insurgent propaganda operation. It's not pretending to be otherwise. Furthermore it does not even endeavour to list sources for its claims on casualty numbers. It is this organisation that I claim is not a professional outfit. It is not in any way a credible or reliable source of casualty numbers, let alone trying to work out percentages. You would surely agree?
As for the rest of it, that's precisely what I DON'T do. I don't judge a book by it's cover - I note it for sure, but as to the rest, I recognise and have said frequently (including in discussions with you) that there is no such thing as an impartial or even a fully trustworthy media source, and you should read them all with full knowledge of their agenda.
I'm sorry I really can't make the distinction any clearer for you.
Interesting.
His view is that the government's major objective is to bring down house prices in a controlled way. This stamp duty reform was just part of increasing the pressure - expect to see more like this...
But I do not know anyone who owns a property which is entirely buy-to-let under the age of 40. Whilst such business no doubt exist, it is commerce for the young and an amateur hobby for the middle-aged.
@RBS_Economics
Thatcher left office with spending/GDP 6.4% lower than when she arrived. Osborne will hit 6% in 2015
To say Osborne isn't a Tory, is frankly ludicrous,
H/T Richard Nabavi
@ScotNational: Tomorrow's front page: UK braced for a decade of Osborne austerity, despite tax credits u-turn https://t.co/cfGFtj2xLb
He will probably fail but the awful thing is, politically, it won't matter - who is offering an reasonable alternative?
Ozzy like Dave is at his best when he's under pressure.
Ozzy had to be at the top of his game when dealing with Ed Balls. He doesn't have to be when his shadow is McDonnell.
There is a reason why I boycott Keiran Pedley's articles.
P.S.
The right will scream from Osborne's mass tax rises and spending hikes, however everyone else will be satisfied from this very Labour budget.
Basically the reasoning is that the fear of Corbyn will keep Tories dissatisfied with the government in the fold, even if the government follows most of Corbyn's policies.
Goodnight.
I wonder when the squealing starts again in 2-3 years what he will do, especially as we all know what his ambition is.
https://twitter.com/LadPolitics/status/669476312562704384
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/gop_pres_primary/
Slightly off topic: The FTSE 100 has gone absolutely nowhere in what seems like forever.
Love him / hate him that's the one thing Blair got to a tee. The timing was to perfection , It was literally a week later and PM Brown was in the deep Doo Doo and stayed there until he was dragged by the feet , nails in the Tarmac , along Downing St.
Seriously how did the Labour party end up being led by apologists for the IRA, Jihadi John and Mao quoters?
That's the core of the problem for the Tories here: because of the nature of the economy these days, because for many people the only work available is poorly-paid/insecure/erratic hours, there are a lot of workers out there who simply can't make ends meet without a top-up. That's the inevitable consequence of the non-industrial, all-private-sector economy which the Tories have created. I don't actually think it's that Osborne, Cameron et al are "cruel", I think they are genuinely (but staggeringly) unaware of the realities of household economics for many people.
Absolutely nobody seems to like it.
No change in growth forecasts since June and no change in interest rates. Yet the magic tree produces £25bn.
When can we expect them to be given the knighthoods ?
To quote one them, Osborne as PM could announce he had appointed Herod the Great as Minister for Childcare and he'd still get a majority because his opponents are shite.
(I'm so using the Herod the Great line in a future thread)
And how many tax credit claimants are Tory voters?
85% of the electorate don't get Tax credits. It's a very sly cut. Almost as though the tax credits thing was a diversionary tactic.
@paulwaugh: Seema Malhotra on McDonnell Mao's red book...telling initial hesitation, then 'he made his own decisions on this..' #newsnight
I don't think even the most ardent Corbynista would accuse Brown of being that much of a "Red Tory".
http://www.ukip.org/a_blairite_budget_from_a_spend_and_borrow_government
I don't know where they go from here but watching brave Labour spokespeople pretending there's nothing to see is beyond sad
If the Red team can have Margaret Hodge in charge of children, they'll not bat an eyelid if the Blues chose a posthumous King Herod.
McDonnell has read Chairman Mao's 'Little Red Book'.
Osborne has read Sun Tzu's 'Art of War'.
#Newsnight
He has a point though...
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/qng2o5724u/InternalResults_151124_SpendingReview_Website.pdf
It took 5&1/2 years, but finally the Tories are more to blame than Labour on the cuts.
Osborne's independent OBR and the Welfare Cap are just like Brown's Golden Rules and 'Independent' Bank of England..... they are all bollocks.
Didn't the EU's Maastricht Treaty have some similar nonsense?
— Michael Deacon (@MichaelPDeacon) November 25, 2015
Could quoting Mao at the autumn statement conceivably backfire no I think it's fine lads no downside here let's do it
— Archie Bland (@archiebland) November 25, 2015
@STJamesl: McDonnells little red book will fetch six figures at a Tory party fundraiser, labour MPs predict