politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Big swings to the SNP in the latest local by-elections: Ful

Anderston and City (SNP defence), Calton (SNP defence), Craigton (SNP defence) and Langside (Green defence) on City of Glasgow
Anderston and City
Result:
0
Comments
Scottish Labour = Australia.
Edit: Beat me to it Mr Pulpstar. Ali out for 38, Eng 390/9
Just doing an interview with Marc Alpin of fantasy-faction.com (top site for fantasy readers, by the way). Mildly amused he asked me about advice to those thinking of self-publishing, given I released a guide to, er, self-publishing this morning
Admittedly, this may reflect the very different shape of the SNP vote after the referendum, but still.
At the 2020 General election, the Tories will have more Scottish seats than Labour, the Tories might well achieve this without a single gain
Awkward
@TSE. - I'm eating lunch, no more badger's arse puns for the next 10 mins pls
@steve_hawkes: Result of watching years of English sport? I'm nervous because our lead over the Aussies is 'just' 331 runs
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2015/08/if-the-electorate-wont-change-its-mind-on-the-economy-labour-will-have-to-if-it-wants-to-win/
Look at the Greens numbers, they are edging towards second List seat territory (anything over 10% and they're at 8% here even with the drag of Calton).
Any more gain by the Greens and they can be in the battle for the main opposition in West Central Scotland.
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/06/23/holyrood-2016-who-will-come-second/
Doubt that'll last !
This was despite a slew of other councils falling to the SNP. None so blind as a SLABber praying for a future.
Aussies? Not much of an appetite.....
If England had had the option to bat 3rd innings, would we have taken it. With the follow on not being enforced so much these days, perhaps the team batting 2nd should get a sort of reverse option with a lead over 200...
I will now slink away to Der Pedantbuenker and return to my cocoon. Please feel free to despise my fits of unsolicited precision.
The idea of the follow on is to get a result rather than a draw in an obviously one-sided match, the idea that England may bat again would surely result in them getting 150 more then declaring again at tea.
If Broad carries on bowling like he did in the last over before lunch, England will want to be drinking the champagne before tea today!
If the Tories can consolidate the ex Lib Dem vote in the borders and possibly in north east Scotland they have a chance of doing better. The Scottish Lib Dems have 5 seats at the moment, Orkney, Shetland and 3 list MSPs. Don't see them holding onto most of them.
The Greens will probably come 4th, albeit closer to both Labour and the Tories than they are at the moment.
I think SLAB will scrape home in 2nd - the Greens and Tories is starting to look interesting - particularly as the Tories have given up on Glasgow and Ruth D needs to be at the top of the Lothian list to be sure of a seat. I fear for the LibDems who seem to be intent on self destruction.
Their time has passed, they are an ex-party.
Having said that, the Libs will be extinct before them.
It's not often that I disagree with @TissuePrice, but on this one I'm with HenryG and antifrank. Not a bad place to be, obviously.
In betting terms I'm all-green (unless it's Liz, but I'm not losing much sleep over that risk), with currently my best profit on Yvette, then JC, then AB. I'm rebalancing a bit so as to make JC my best outcome, but I intend to stay all-green.
SNP - 1881
LAB - 1396
CON - 349
GRN - 127
CHR - 77
UKIP - 43
LDEM - 32
PIRA - 12
JC in the first round (25%) or later (25%)
YC on transfers (30%)
AB on transfers (20%)
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/milesgoslett/2015/08/the-inside-story-of-how-the-spectator-broke-the-kids-company-scandal/
As on the child abuse revelations, it becomes increasingly clear that the top politicians, journalists, business executives and charity leaders all operate in an elite London bubble, and no-one wants to do anything to burn bridges in dinner party circles. It's the reason why, time and time again, the more compelling arguments and critiques come from the radical right.
The intervention of the BBC's Alan Yentob, part of an organisation that should be scrutinising public figures, lobbying on behalf of them to friends in government is a classic case. It also explains how the BBC have focused on the negative effects of closing Kids Company down in most of their news bulletins.
115 local councillors
(therefore, not quite Panda territory!)
The BBC have plenty of money. They simply choose to prioritise spending on pointless building moves, ill fated technical projects, executive salaries and part time Creative Directors rather than actual programming.
The BBC has a guaranteed income of more than £3bn per annum. It may be short of lots of things but one of them isn't money.
Isn't the BBC income something like £5bn ??
http://www.capx.co/why-camila-batmanghelidjh-had-access-to-a-prime-ministerial-slush-fund/
" There are many lessons that need to be absorbed in the aftermath of this Kids Company debacle. One surely is that the essential services, provided to our most vulnerable kids in the country should not become dependent on charismatic charity founders seeking support from Prime Ministerial slush funds. Secondly, it is preposterous to have a dedicated department making grant payments to individual charities delivering services that cut right across the work of other government departments. "