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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The first GOP debate – has it changed your view?
My only “winner”, for want of a better term, was Carly Fiorina – the ex-CEO of Hewlett Packard who sounded fluid and convincing in the first session for those who started with the lowest poll ratings.
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(30 years ago today)
- Everything Obama did in foreign policy is weak. The US needs to be more bellicose and torture more.
- Everything Obama did in economic policy is socialism. To do better we need to cut taxes on the rich and remove people's healthcare.
- Everything Obama did in social policy is evil. We need to ban all abortion to restore America.
I.e. Mitt Romney reheated. The American Right is an embarassment to conservatism. All nuance and thoughtfulness of a great tradition is thrown out in favour of simplistic chest thumping.
Dear Lord And Father of Mankind is one of my favorite hymns - I just hadn't thought about applying 'the still small voice of calm' to banking as a concept.
The only one that's more appropriate is 'Guide me O thou Great Redeemer' - but mainly because of the wonderful typo in Lord Northcliffe's (Daily Mail, Daily Mirror) funeral order: where they replaced 'land me safe on Canaan's side' with 'land my safe on Canaan's side'
As for banking culture I don't think that an industry that depends on fear and punishment to keep its staff in line has got it's culture right... I think you need to rely on the Teddy Roosevelt philosophy: "speak softly and carry a big stick"
However, if he does intend to run as a third-party candidate, that almost certainly hands the election to the Democrats. That is the big story of the night.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3187436/BBC-Songs-Praise-Jungle-migrant-camp-Calais.html
The Ethiopian Orthodox church occasionally worships at our local church and it is a very different approach to Christianity liturgy
Nellie the Elephant packed her trunk
And said goodbye to the White House
Off she went with a trumpety-trump
Trump, trump, trump
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-33802458
The report states that the ice is receding "because of Global Warming"
The definintiveness irritates the hell out of me. The BBC nor does anybody know
that. They were saying that about polar ice , only for its volume to suddenly increase
by 40%
Its the way the BBC tries to force their viewpoint on us that is so worrying. They are supposed to be unbiased.
For me the driver has been poor journalistic quality, some of which is dire, and a monopolistic
level of market share.
http://news.sky.com/story/1531708/labour-half-eligible-to-vote-are-new-sign-ups
O/T Does anyone have the fantasy premier league code to hand? As a Lib Dem, I haven't had my fill of public humiliation for the year yet......
I find it difficult to get too excited about the Republican party's nonsense at this stage although I can understand the interest if you are minded to put money on it. As a party they have lost their way for me, even more than the Labour party here. There is a range of totemic policies but no intellectual coherence or thought. And Trump is just a joke.
Did they really not think that other parties would try and game the system in their favour, as well as the Militant groups that took so long to get rid of 30 years ago?
Whether their influence is any less baleful is an open question.
In January 2009, a poll of 3146 earth scientists found that 82% answered yes to the question: “Do you think human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures?”. Of the 77 climatologists actively engaged in research, 75 answered yes (97.4%).
The scientists most likely to answer no were petroleum geologists and meteorologists."
So why should the BBC not report the facts, as it reported the increase in volume of the Arctic ice cap? The scientists working for oil companies are much more likely to have an agenda than the BBC.
https://www.newscientist.com/article/dn11654-climate-myths-many-leading-scientists-question-climate-change#.VZ5eW_lVhHw
This is quite a good list of the most familiar http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/articles/3DnJQz7zsF1JrB3rZ8yQ86w/the-uks-top-100-hymns
Miss Plato, Andy Burnham's American cousin?
Mr. Song, 97% also answered 'yes' to 'would you like continually getting paid for studying this area?'.
The IPCC's forecasts have been wrong. The hockey stick was a crock. Doubts have been cast over temperature data (the response of some scientists has been to decide the temperatures are underestimated, changing the facts to fit their view [a religious approach] rather than their view to fit the facts [a scientific one]).
Never heard of Carly Fiorina. Good name, though.
2. In Root Alone
3. Be Still, For The Presence Of Stokes catch
4. Dear Broad And Father Of Mankind
5. Here I Am, Broad (I, The Lord Of Sea And Sky)
6. And Can It Be (8-15)
7. Abide With Me (England)
8. Guide Me, O Thou Great Captain Cook
Kids Company has been accused of failing to act on claims older men using their classes were forcing younger girls to have sex with them.
A former employee told BBC's Newsnight that girls aged 16 to 18 were blackmailed into sex by men in their 20s.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3187670/Kids-Company-staff-knew-sex-abuse-claims.html
I heard a bit on the radio last night were batwomen was trying to defend giving out cash payments to kids so they could pay for gas and leccy, and comparing that to middle class kids getting pocket money.
I am sorry but that is not a valid comparison, and a kids charity shouldn't be using tax payer money for doing that. If parents aren't heating and powering their homes, a) why, b) why aren't the parents asking for help, c) what proof do kids have to give for that and was there any checks they actually used to the cash for it, or did they just nip down the shops and spend it?
When I was a teenager, I knew plenty of kids who would have abused such generosity by making up stories. I remember one whose parents had separated and he concocted stories how the other parent wasn't providing him with lunch / lunch money and he played them off against one another until he got mountains of food and cash every day.
Union lackey backing underground strike posed as member of the public then caught out big time live on air
http://order-order.com/2015/08/06/average-joe-caller-outed-as-rmt-union-lackey/#:WkuxqXK4II-q2A
"Dear Lord And Father of Mankind is one of my favorite hymns."
Mine too.
John Greenleaf Whittier ... crazy name, crazy fella, as Private Eye used to say.
She's a classic bull sh*tter, and I don't say that because, as Mr Dancer opined, that she'd had an argument with a paint factory.
When cornered, it will always be "Wot about the kids?"
It is quite amazing...and I don't think "Alfred" will be the only one thinking this, despite what is now being revealed. There are plenty of things that you can blame the government for, in this case it is probably funding it for too long. Obviously Alfred doesn't wonder how a charity can shallow £3 million, spend £800k to cover the wages for one month and then have to shut down because it has still run out of cash.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/bbc/11788924/Alan-Yentob-I-was-right-to-act-on-BBC-coverage.html
By the way, why do the BBC pay him over 300k a year for what is obviously only a part time job?
Ever since it became a serious force, the party hierarchy has kept ultimate control away from the membership, whether through certain powers being restricted to MPs, or to reliable union bosses. Even prior to Miliband's reforms, many members of the activist base have a reasonable understanding of what it takes to win an election. By contrast, the Facebook-Twitter bubble represents the precise opposite of reaching out to swing voters: a self-contained and self-reinforcing collective.
Seems as though Alan Yentob, Trustee chair, believed the money would just keep rolling in – wonder where he got that idea from?
http://www.theguardian.com/society/2015/aug/06/kids-company-directors-were-warned-to-build-up-reserves
http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.co.uk/2015/08/how-to-self-publish.html
If you ignore scientists working for oil companies because they are biased, surely you should ignore any scientists who gets any grant into researching climate change? You cannot say one side is devilishly biased for chasing money, whilst the other is angelic for ... chasing funding.
People such as Phil Jones and his colleagues at the CRU of UEA (yes, him), who has received £13 million in research grants.
At least there's interesting proof that Jones is biased ...
Hopefully this story will be the spark for the necessary and overdue reforms to the charity sector and the way it interacts with government.
The Trustees of KC should be gone after hard for throwing away public money on their own payroll, that is just one example of the arrogance of those who perceive themselves to be untouchable.
A loose cannon.
And so it is that Camila Batmanghelidjh returns to her everyday existence, and becomes Camila Brucewayneghelidjh
I always associate the name 'Alfred' with the stuffed gorilla who died at Bristol zoo and had pride of place in Bristol Museum.
Mr. kle4, you're very welcome.
Came after a few of us realised we were going down self- and traditional routes (sometimes from opposite directions) and thought it'd be an interesting area about which to write.
Drug dealers across South London will be feeling the pain now that Weed Friday has come to an end. Will they be organising a mass rally in Whitehall to protest against the closure of the charity?
We can't model climate. Some of the data used is dodgy, feedback mechanisms are not all known or understood or predicable, and not all the researchers are willing to risk the funding they get. This is applicable to both sides of the debate.
CO2 is bad news in big quantities, future predictions of mans CO2 production are wrong, we will add more than the projections. We know the world can function within a wide band of atmospheric CO2 ppm, but it is dumb to push it up to levels outside known boundaries.
Apart from not knowing how the unknown amount of CO2 will change the behaviour of climate we are well informed.
In short I think our knowledge is 20% to 30% of that required to predict, understand and forecast.
What should we do? Reduce CO2 released to the atmosphere. It is the only sensible action, as constant addition will at some point tip the balance over the critical point.
“I hear Hoddle’s found God, that must have been a hell of a pass.”
1. The cattle in Calais
2. The Dem steers needle the Rep hefers
3. The end of the calves enclosure.
Big loser was Trump - what kind of an idiot attacks the popular female host Megan Kelly in the debate or has a strategy of saying he might stand as an independent
But you are wrong about your conclusion being the only sensible action. For instance, how much do we try to reduce CO2 output? How does that conflict with economic activity and lifestyles? At one point does it become more cost effective to mitigate effects rather than reducing CO2, hardening infrastructure and populations worldwide (ad at the same time, guarding against other disasters).
Spending billions blindly reducing CO2 with the knowledge we have atm seems as dangerous as the potential problems caused by increasing CO2.
Earlier it was a bit harder to keep track of, and, to be honest, after I released Journey to Altmortis I stopped paying attention to that. I do know Bane of Souls has sold the most by a distance (in four figures). I wouldn't give a precise answer even if I knew, mind.
Sales have been insufficient but the good reviews (one book averaging 4*, the other two 4.5*) hopefully means if/when I sell more those earlier releases get a look from new readers.
At the risk of giving you an essay in response to a line, I've also got many things lined up for release. Temple (re-release) and Treasure should be out this year, Kingdom Asunder is 95% done, Sir Edric's Kingdom should be finished this year. I've also gotten quite far along planning Traitor's Prize [sequel to Kingdom Asunder] and Sir Edric and the Plague. If I can maintain momentum of releases, (and I've got three short stories waiting thumbs up/down for anthologies as well as the monthly Zodiac Eclipse episodes) then I'm hoping that'll translate into momentum of sales.
Lots of downsides to writing but one big up side is that if the next book sells big, the readers may then look at the earlier works and perhaps buy them. That's also an advantage to writing series over stand-alones (although stand-alone books are easier to write).
Edited extra bit: Mr. K, it's over on Amazon, search for Thaddeus White
Edited extra bit 2: Mr. Borough, sounds like a cunning tip.
Is it me, or are lots of long shots being tradeable at worst and actually winning at best?
Lets go out swinging the bat and declare around lunch time then have two sessions to get the Ashes won and sealed by the end of the day.
1. Reduce it's numbers
2. Plant new forests and add to those existing.
3. Let the world go on spinning on its axis.
If you are in a hot bath that has cooled down and turn the hot water tap on (assuming it is good and scolding hot), the bath will be be warmer, comfortable, hot, and too hot. I don't see the constant addition of CO2 as any different. At some point you can't take any more.
In reality, man is a carbuncle on the side of the planet, and the real change will come from a natural source, a massive volcano or two will change the balance faster than we could ever do.
#isleofwight MP Andrew Turner declined to attend a public meeting regarding the future of the Island's jeopardised railway.
MP probably at Trent Bridge, the rotter!
But note, I am not saying don't reduce CO2; it needs to be a balance of measures. Concentrating blindly on one will miss where we can get best bang for our buck.
I hope England are bowled out today because it would mean that there is still enough in the pitch but I will be disappointed if it is before tea.
https://torrentfreak.com/itunes-is-illegal-under-uk-copyright-law-150805/
That said, I do agree Cameron et al. are completely bloody fools when it comes to technology (the encryption ban being the most obvious example).