politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » ComRes phone poll moves from 4% CON lead to level pegging
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Betfair: Miliband next prime minister after election 1.610
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It is rather odd, Broxtowe should be nailed on labour cert.... so why are the tories wasting time there, unless they think theres still a chance?JosiasJessop said:
Hadn't we been told that the Conservatives had given up in Broxtowe?acf2310 said:I hear that the Tory BattleBus (50 activists doing 12 hours campaigning in a series of marginals) will spend today in Broxtowe.
Odd ...
In which case they're feeling very confident.0 -
I think I've only been to Lewes once, and that was to swap busses whilst returning from a day on the South Downs Way.Plato said:Lewes will be under assault too before May 8th. I thought Mr Baker for all his UFO conspiracy novelty value would hang on, but it appears that the bohemian folk of Lewes are going Greenie or Tory instead.
To get Lewes back would be marvellous news for me - I love the place.JosiasJessop said:
Hadn't we been told that the Conservatives had given up in Broxtowe?acf2310 said:I hear that the Tory BattleBus (50 activists doing 12 hours campaigning in a series of marginals) will spend today in Broxtowe.
Odd ...
It's another item on the long list of places I want to visit....0 -
Mr. Pulpstar, I'm in Morley & Outwood (Balls Vs Jenkyns).0
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I want to vote swap in East Renfrewshire, anyone know an East Renfrewshire Conservative who wants Murphy out and a Con 40:40 target in ?TheScreamingEagles said:
My friend is suggesting I draw a phallus on the ballot paper next to Nick Clegg's name.JackW said:
Do you really want to become the "Traitorous Pig Dog" of Hallam ....TheScreamingEagles said:Yeah, I'm not voting Lib Dem now, Clegg can go whistle.
In fact, I might even vote Labour.
Well it is kinda a mark indicating a clear preference for one candidate.0 -
I'm quite happy to vote swap with a Labour supporter in Rochester & Strood.Pulpstar said:
I want to vote swap in East Renfrewshire, anyone know an East Renfrewshire Conservative who wants Murphy out and a Con 40:40 target in ?TheScreamingEagles said:
My friend is suggesting I draw a phallus on the ballot paper next to Nick Clegg's name.JackW said:
Do you really want to become the "Traitorous Pig Dog" of Hallam ....TheScreamingEagles said:Yeah, I'm not voting Lib Dem now, Clegg can go whistle.
In fact, I might even vote Labour.
Well it is kinda a mark indicating a clear preference for one candidate.0 -
I've seen a drawn heart accepted. so maybe.TheScreamingEagles said:
My friend is suggesting I draw a phallus on the ballot paper next to Nick Clegg's name.JackW said:
Do you really want to become the "Traitorous Pig Dog" of Hallam ....TheScreamingEagles said:Yeah, I'm not voting Lib Dem now, Clegg can go whistle.
In fact, I might even vote Labour.
Well it is kinda a mark indicating a clear preference for one candidate.0 -
The deck seems to be stacked for Ed tonight - should be a nailed on cert that he winsbigjohnowls said:Tories refusing interviews on child benefit cuts. Wonder why tonight's squirming and trying to avoid answering should be amusing
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/conservative/11571975/Conservatives-outnumbered-two-to-one-in-audience-for-BBC-Question-Time-debate.html
"Up to two thirds of the audience in Thursday’s Question Time Leaders’ debates will be left wing, The Telegraph can disclose."
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Full of little ancient shops, winding streets, a great Harvey's Brewery in the centre - well worth a day wandering about.
And lots of people who look like they go on holiday to San Francisco, wished they'd been to Woodstock or were fans of The Wombles as small children. Where else would men dress like Uncle Bulgaria?JosiasJessop said:
I think I've only been to Lewes once, and that was to swap busses whilst returning from a day on the South Downs Way.Plato said:Lewes will be under assault too before May 8th. I thought Mr Baker for all his UFO conspiracy novelty value would hang on, but it appears that the bohemian folk of Lewes are going Greenie or Tory instead.
To get Lewes back would be marvellous news for me - I love the place.JosiasJessop said:
Hadn't we been told that the Conservatives had given up in Broxtowe?acf2310 said:I hear that the Tory BattleBus (50 activists doing 12 hours campaigning in a series of marginals) will spend today in Broxtowe.
Odd ...
It's another item on the long list of places I want to visit....0 -
Another misuse of "Decimation", Labour will lose a lot more than 10%.Big_G_NorthWales said:
They are the only party except the SNP gaining support in Scotland. With labour decimated for a generation they will become the main opposition in time and very ably led by Ruth Davidsonmalcolmg said:
LOL, How desperate can the Tories get in ScotlandTGOHF said:@RuthDavidsonMSP: Warm cuddly civic nationalism... http://t.co/pljoXFt8Q0
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Tim Montgomerie ن @montie 7m7 minutes ago
Significant moment? @DanHannanMEP backs proportional representation for the Commons http://www.conservativehome.com/thecolumnists/2015/04/daniel-hannan-mep-why-proportional-representation-is-now-right-for-the-commons.html …0 -
City A.M. @CityAM 13m13 minutes ago
Van containing 200,000 ballot papers stolen overnight http://dlvr.it/9cBRs60 -
Harry Boota UKIP PPC @Harry_Boota 25m25 minutes ago
BBC rocked by new bias scandal – as TWO-THIRDS of debate audience are left-wing http://shr.gs/KxeydFV0 -
Although I am more pessimistic that that, that does tally with the seat markets. If you assume 9 to SNP, 9 to Labour, 13 to Conservatives, then you get 24 seats - which is the middle of the LD seat spread.DavidL said:Election Forecast has Dumfries & Galloway with Labour (current holders) on 31%, Tories on 31% and SNP on 32%. Must be one of the closest three ways in the whole country, certainly closer than South Thanet is likely to be. Less a question of were you up for and more a question of had you had your tea before I think.
The other slightly odd thing about the seat allocations in Election Forecast is that as far as I can see they are only predicting about 13 Tory gains. This looks very low to me but they seem to be assuming a lot more Lib Dems are going to hang on in the SW than most.
Personally, I suspect it'll be more like 9 or 10 to SNP, 8 to Labour, and 17 to 20 to Conservatives.0 -
In The Times Sam Coates and Michael Savage disclose Clegg will struggle to get the formal authorisation needed from the party's MPs, governing bodies and grassroots members if he wants to do another deal with the Tories.
Senior figures said they would consider voting down a Conservative Queen's Speech to remove David Cameron from office, while one leading Lib Dem demanded a veto over every Tory budget as a price for joining a second coalition.0 -
Depends if it's erect or not.TheScreamingEagles said:
My friend is suggesting I draw a phallus on the ballot paper next to Nick Clegg's name.JackW said:
Do you really want to become the "Traitorous Pig Dog" of Hallam ....TheScreamingEagles said:Yeah, I'm not voting Lib Dem now, Clegg can go whistle.
In fact, I might even vote Labour.
Well it is kinda a mark indicating a clear preference for one candidate.0 -
That's why I'm not voting for the perfidious Lib Dems.0
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Say good morning to the birthday boy: I'm 81 today.0
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So far this week, the Midlands battlebus has done a day in each of Cannock Chase, Northampton North, and Sherwood, before today's Broxtowe.Slackbladder said:
It is rather odd, Broxtowe should be nailed on labour cert.... so why are the tories wasting time there, unless they think theres still a chance?JosiasJessop said:
Hadn't we been told that the Conservatives had given up in Broxtowe?acf2310 said:I hear that the Tory BattleBus (50 activists doing 12 hours campaigning in a series of marginals) will spend today in Broxtowe.
Odd ...
In which case they're feeling very confident.
It's a serious campaigning effort. Rightly or wrongly CCHQ believes that these seats are very much still in play.
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True.Theuniondivvie said:
Depends if it's erect or not.TheScreamingEagles said:
My friend is suggesting I draw a phallus on the ballot paper next to Nick Clegg's name.JackW said:
Do you really want to become the "Traitorous Pig Dog" of Hallam ....TheScreamingEagles said:Yeah, I'm not voting Lib Dem now, Clegg can go whistle.
In fact, I might even vote Labour.
Well it is kinda a mark indicating a clear preference for one candidate.
The other problem is, it is going to be tiny, because if I do a life size drawing, then the ballot paper's not going to be big enough and looks like I'm indicating a preference for all the candidates.0 -
I do chortle when Conservatives go all unnecessary when the yellow peril have the temerity to challenge the Tories on policy issues only seven days before the general election.TheScreamingEagles said:
My friend is suggesting I draw a phallus on the ballot paper next to Nick Clegg's name.JackW said:
Do you really want to become the "Traitorous Pig Dog" of Hallam ....TheScreamingEagles said:Yeah, I'm not voting Lib Dem now, Clegg can go whistle.
In fact, I might even vote Labour.
Well it is kinda a mark indicating a clear preference for one candidate.
Reminds me of Labour .... who before the Coalition dismissed the LibDems as wearisome allies and now the Tories want the LibDems to play nicely as they hoover up their seats.
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More likely to be sad Tories trying to smear SNP in their desperationCarlottaVance said:
Not as desperate as the Nats whose vocabulary appears to be limited to 'fat' and 'dyke'.malcolmg said:
LOL, How desperate can the Tories get in ScotlandTGOHF said:@RuthDavidsonMSP: Warm cuddly civic nationalism... http://t.co/pljoXFt8Q0
Frankly we're used to a much better class of invective.....0 -
New Thread0
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Danny needs help from Labour voters - too late !TheScreamingEagles said:
Danny Alexander's pretty much said he leaked a three year old document to ensure the PM gets embarrassed on Question Time tonight.kle4 said:
Not prepared to forgive him and his just throwing around a lot of talk in order to save themselves without meaning it? It's like, he and Cameron had to have agreed at the debate that Clegg would attack him to some degree. He could be in trouble if he goes too far it seems though.TheScreamingEagles said:Yeah, I'm not voting Lib Dem now, Clegg can go whistle.
In fact, I might even vote Labour.
Thank you to those with the kind words this morning. And people say you cannot write things worthwhile while angry at midnight on the internet!
The comfort from that I can draw is that the Lib Dems are in real trouble in their seats where the Tories are second. Yeovil nailed on Tory gain.
The Lib Dems should be punished for such perfidy.
Plus today's Times has an excellent article about how the Lib Dems kinda won't go into a coalition with the Tories again.
Cleggie needs help from Tory voters !
It is open season with the Lib Dems. Each to his own.0 -
Well if you want to be precise substitute 'decimated' with 'obliterated'malcolmg said:
Another misuse of "Decimation", Labour will lose a lot more than 10%.Big_G_NorthWales said:
They are the only party except the SNP gaining support in Scotland. With labour decimated for a generation they will become the main opposition in time and very ably led by Ruth Davidsonmalcolmg said:
LOL, How desperate can the Tories get in ScotlandTGOHF said:@RuthDavidsonMSP: Warm cuddly civic nationalism... http://t.co/pljoXFt8Q0
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Ferrets in a sack thrown off a sinking ship. (that's enough mixed metaphors-ed)
'Splits as Labour councillors refuse cash donation to MPs' campaigns
LABOUR MPs fighting for their political survival in a traditional party heartland have been denied financial backing by colleagues on the council. In a clear sign of party fractures amid the most intense pressure it has ever faced in Scotland, North Lanarkshire councillors voted against donating anything to their four MPs who many predict will be unseated next week. A proposals by some councillors who work for North Lanarkshire's parliamentarians for a smaller donation was also rejected by colleagues...
...Another member of the Labour administration said: "We've just given the party £20,000 for the privilege of being councillors. There's no appetite to give them any more money. In fact I'm detecting little appetite amongst many councillors to do anything except a few canvassing photos for Facebook. Gordon Brown will do Coatbridge in the coming days. Beyond that, nothings happening there. There's real agitation amongst party members over how things are panning out in the campaign."'
http://tinyurl.com/nxdj6op0 -
More like rogues scrambling for positions , desperate when thieves fall out.JackW said:
You're missing than this is a competitive General Election and not a coupon election.Plato said:I am truly perplexed by the logic of this stance from Danny and by extention Nick - they both need Helpful Tories to vote tactically to save them from Labour or the SNP.
And they do this? With an old crap policy paper? That was collectively rejected?
What am I missing except the smell of desperation and shouts of Look Look Evil Tories!!Casino_Royale said:
The Lib Dems are truly testing the theory that if you stand for nothing you will fall for nothing.TCPoliticalBetting said:"Liberal Democrat Chief Secretary to the Treasury Danny Alexander has said the Conservatives proposed to "slash" child benefit while the two parties were in government together."
Lib Dems reinforce their image as duplicituous untrustworthy bar stewards urinating on anyone who was a previous partner.
Think of it as a lovers tiff but with the potential for a post election reconciliation .... where I am reliably informed that such events usually lend themselves to sensational sex .... much rustling in the Downing Street Rose Garden !! ....0 -
TSE votes for EICIPMTheScreamingEagles said:Yeah, I'm not voting Lib Dem now, Clegg can go whistle.
In fact, I might even vote Labour.0 -
more like bullshit days are hereSmarmeron said:@TheScreamingEagles
" I might even vote Labour. "
It surely is the end of days!0 -
Wonder why Eric did not pipe up about it through all the years of labour hegemony , did he miss being part of that one due to the bevvy.TGOHF said:Eric Joyce seems to be the first Slabber to exit the denial stage
http://ericjoyce.co.uk/2015/04/scotlands-one-party-state/
"Scots are behaving in the way any nation gripped by nationalism does. Artists, poets and writers are gazing skywards and telling us of ‘a new start'; unionist opposition isn’t just disagreed with but routinely vilified. Few folk are listening to reason, because reason is too painful and these are difficult times."
"Perhaps it’s time for people in Scotland to start wondering if they want to live in a place where it can be seriously projected that a single party might take all of the seats at a general election, and where well-educated and intelligent people would actually celebrate such a state of affairs. Or maybe it’ll take a few years of independence before Scots are prepared to face up to reality.
The general historical trend with nationalism, I’m told, is the latter."0 -
The place will be empty before that, most of them will be in Europe long before thenrcs1000 said:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eA5BM7CE5-8FalseFlag said:
The only trend that matters for us is Africa's population explosion to 4bn by the end of this century and the impact this will have on Europe.Financier said:Four Global Forces Changing the World:
1. Beyond Shanghai: The Age of Urbanization
2. The Tip of the Iceberg: Accelerating Technological Change
3. Getting Old is What it Used To Be: Responding to the Challenges of an Aging World
4. Trade, People, Finance and Data: Greater Global Connections
Taken from:
No Ordinary Disruption: The Four Global Forces Breaking All The Trends:
Published 12 May 2015 by Public Affairs
http://www.mckinsey.com/insights/strategy/The_four_global_forces_breaking_all_the_trends?cid=other-eml-alt-mgi-mck-oth-1504
This is totally beyond the comprehension of most of our politicians - no wonder EdM had to consult with Russell Brand for advice on such matters.0
