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  • eekeek Posts: 34,470
    maxh said:

    FPT

    Back to actual politics.

    Here's one that Burnham can actually do.

    Increase the per head payment from the government to schools for pupils. As the roles drops, as a result of the demographic crisis, balance this by increasing the payment. So the schools do not see a drop in funding.

    This would mean that the schools could reduce class sizes, rather than closing classes or even whole schools (when amalgamating)

    It is a basic principle of Operational Research that organisation run at 99% of their capability become fragile, the workforce becomes exhausted and leaves (or starts "soldiering" - doing just enough to keep going) and the breakdowns become common. reverse this

    Burnham could even size the increase to still reduce the budget for schools, while increasing the per head amount. This would satisfy the fiscal hawk types.

    This would be a policy that the Labour MPs would love to vote for, The activists would love and would go down well with Labour voters. The Teaching Unions would also be happy.

    It might even have an effect on the quality of schooling

    #LabourPolicesFromRighties

    What would you spend the additional per head money on?
    Anecdotally (I don't have the research to back this up): smaller class sizes. Essentially, pay the same per class but with fewer kids in them.

    Our classes have been creeping up (from 30 in top sets and about 18-20 in bottom sets up to 34/35 in top sets and 26/27 in bottom sets).

    The difference in the quality of individual instruction when 5 or 6 kids are out for whatever reason is remarkable.
    Got to say having more than 30 in your average classroom is hard work to begin, most classrooms were designed to sit 30 max..
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 4,989
    kle4 said:

    Burnham storms to 322 nominations for Labour leadership

    Andy Burnham has secured 322 nominations from Labour MPs to be the next party leader on the first day of the leadership contest process.

    He is just one nomination short of securing enough so that no other candidate could secure the 81 backers necessary to proceed to the next stage of the contest.

    No other MP has been nominated.


    https://news.sky.com/story/politics-latest-burnham-starmer-labour-tories-badenoch-farage-12593360

    When they go for an overwhelming number like that you do wonder at the ones who decided not to nominate him, as it must be very deliberate.

    Laziness, or someone just wanting the opportunity to disavow responsibility if he turns out not to be great.
    81 individuals who were convinced it was their turn?
  • Alphabet_SoupAlphabet_Soup Posts: 3,875
    kinabalu said:

    kle4 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    There's a world of difference between accidentally saying 'one murder' to mean 'one mass murder' and then confirming 'one murder' when someone seeks clarity on that point, especially when the common interpretation of one murder will be, well, one murder. Lowe is not stupid, he would know what people would think that would mean.

    Had Rogan not tried to clarify I could believe it was just a slip and given the benefit of the doubt.
    The downplaying of Dunblane was calculated. Rupert was intent on highlighting the bigger (consequential) tragedy of people like his father who had their pistols taken away.
    And implicitly exploiting Oxford University's reputation in support of his 'argument'.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 129,608
    Police investigate Reform donations by mother of fraudster who bankrolled Farage

    Fiona Cottrell, mother of George Cottrell, who has been funding the Reform UK leader’s operations, gave £500,000 to the party before the last general election


    The Metropolitan Police has launched a criminal investigation into at least £500,000 of donations made to Reform UK by the mother of the convicted fraudster who secretly bankrolled Nigel Farage.

    Scotland Yard has spent more than a year examining potential offences relating to “the evasion of restrictions on donations”.

    This relates to concealing or disguising donations derived from an “impermissible” donor to a political party, or the use of “false” information about a donation including the amount or the identity of the donor.

    Detectives have interviewed two people under caution.

    Fiona Cottrell, 67, an aristocrat who was said to have dated Prince Charles in the 1970s and whose son is George Cottrell, 32, a fraudster who has secretly funded Farage’s life and operations, is at the centre of the investigation.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/police-investigate-reform-donations-by-mother-of-fraudster-who-bankrolled-farage-3kd826j7h
  • MattWMattW Posts: 33,932
    edited 6:19PM
    maxh said:

    FPT

    Back to actual politics.

    Here's one that Burnham can actually do.

    Increase the per head payment from the government to schools for pupils. As the roles drops, as a result of the demographic crisis, balance this by increasing the payment. So the schools do not see a drop in funding.

    This would mean that the schools could reduce class sizes, rather than closing classes or even whole schools (when amalgamating)

    It is a basic principle of Operational Research that organisation run at 99% of their capability become fragile, the workforce becomes exhausted and leaves (or starts "soldiering" - doing just enough to keep going) and the breakdowns become common. reverse this

    Burnham could even size the increase to still reduce the budget for schools, while increasing the per head amount. This would satisfy the fiscal hawk types.

    This would be a policy that the Labour MPs would love to vote for, The activists would love and would go down well with Labour voters. The Teaching Unions would also be happy.

    It might even have an effect on the quality of schooling

    #LabourPolicesFromRighties

    What would you spend the additional per head money on?
    Anecdotally (I don't have the research to back this up): smaller class sizes. Essentially, pay the same per class but with fewer kids in them.

    Our classes have been creeping up (from 30 in top sets and about 18-20 in bottom sets up to 34/35 in top sets and 26/27 in bottom sets).

    The difference in the quality of individual instruction when 5 or 6 kids are out for whatever reason is remarkable.
    I'd probably go for a similar goal via extra classroom assistants, and trying to do something about children confined to isolation cells, and I'd want to put some serious effort into "safe routes to schools" and similar interventions, as getting to school under your own steam helps with mental health.

    There is also something correct about addressing SEND and transport, but that should in theory save money. When I have had to have a taxi to an opthalmology appointment (eye drops = cannot drive) it is very clear that taxis are entirely absent at school travel rush hour time.

    Though I'd accept that others here are more knowledgeable about what happens inside schools, me not having children in any at present.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 60,393

    kinabalu said:

    kle4 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    There's a world of difference between accidentally saying 'one murder' to mean 'one mass murder' and then confirming 'one murder' when someone seeks clarity on that point, especially when the common interpretation of one murder will be, well, one murder. Lowe is not stupid, he would know what people would think that would mean.

    Had Rogan not tried to clarify I could believe it was just a slip and given the benefit of the doubt.
    The downplaying of Dunblane was calculated. Rupert was intent on highlighting the bigger (consequential) tragedy of people like his father who had their pistols taken away.
    And implicitly exploiting Oxford University's reputation in support of his 'argument'.
    "Oxford University? With my reputation?"
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 2,096

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 104,451
    edited 6:22PM
    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    He said what he said, including when pressed, which is the key. I don't see why we should bend over backwards to assume he meant something else which was not what he said.

    A slip gets corrected, not doubled down on. Then it is a choice and he cannot then act offended that people believe the double down, rather than what might conceivably have been the initial intention.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 28,297
    carnforth said:

    Battlebus said:

    rcs1000 said:

    tlg86 said:

    "I doubt there is a single person in the entire political ecosystem who thinks Reform have a chance without their frontman at the helm."

    I'm far from sure about this.

    Indeed: it is entirely possible Reform would be more successful with a frontman who is less ... divisive.

    Most importantly, the factors driving the rise of Reform -living standards no longer rising like they used to- are true across the Western world. And across the Western world, parties like Reform have sprung up. Or, in the case of the US, the insurgents grabbed control of one of the existing parties of government.
    Farage brings out those who don't normally vote.

    Tice? He is a rather less, er, enticing prospect....
    Perhaps Farage is bored already. The cut and thrust of real Hitleresque Naziism from the Whitehouse must be a more interesting prospect than batting for those who swig from cans of Madri as they go about their business on their mobility scooters navigating manfully the pavements of Jaywick and Clacton.
    there are very few pavements in Jaywick. At least that was the case when I was there last.
    Jaywick is not Clacton. It's Mondeo Man country where MM has made their money, paid off their mortgage. They were Labour, went to the Conservatives and now Reform. Some stats.


    Blimey. Who's doing all the crime?
    The politicians?
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 24,788
    edited 6:24PM
    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    It wasn't really just one event. There had been the Hungerford massacre previously.

    Edit: And the reason there haven't been any more mass shootings at British schools..?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 73,107
    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 73,107
    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 60,393
    Rupert = lowest of the Lowe.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 2,096
    MattW said:

    maxh said:

    FPT

    Back to actual politics.

    Here's one that Burnham can actually do.

    Increase the per head payment from the government to schools for pupils. As the roles drops, as a result of the demographic crisis, balance this by increasing the payment. So the schools do not see a drop in funding.

    This would mean that the schools could reduce class sizes, rather than closing classes or even whole schools (when amalgamating)

    It is a basic principle of Operational Research that organisation run at 99% of their capability become fragile, the workforce becomes exhausted and leaves (or starts "soldiering" - doing just enough to keep going) and the breakdowns become common. reverse this

    Burnham could even size the increase to still reduce the budget for schools, while increasing the per head amount. This would satisfy the fiscal hawk types.

    This would be a policy that the Labour MPs would love to vote for, The activists would love and would go down well with Labour voters. The Teaching Unions would also be happy.

    It might even have an effect on the quality of schooling

    #LabourPolicesFromRighties

    What would you spend the additional per head money on?
    Anecdotally (I don't have the research to back this up): smaller class sizes. Essentially, pay the same per class but with fewer kids in them.

    Our classes have been creeping up (from 30 in top sets and about 18-20 in bottom sets up to 34/35 in top sets and 26/27 in bottom sets).

    The difference in the quality of individual instruction when 5 or 6 kids are out for whatever reason is remarkable.
    I'd probably go for a similar goal via extra classroom assistants, and trying to do something about children confined to isolation cells, and I'd want to put some serious effort into "safe routes to schools" and similar interventions, as getting to school under your own steam helps with mental health.

    There is also something correct about addressing SEND and transport, but that should in theory save money. When I have had to have a taxi to an opthalmology appointment (eye drops = cannot drive) it is very clear that taxis are entirely absent at school travel rush hour time.

    Though I'd accept that others here are more knowledgeable about what happens inside schools, me not having children in any at present.
    I have rarely worked with a classroom assistant that has had any measurable impact on kids understanding of maths (with one very notable exception who is spectacular). Most just don't know enough maths to help.

    It might be different in primary, or in other subjects.

    Your other aims are all laudable, though complicated to make an impact with. Isolation, in particular, is a very unfortunate symptom of a system that has deep flaws elsewhere (inadequate restorative justice, inadequate pastoral support for those struggling etc etc) and probably needs more fundamental reform than simply an incremental increase in per pupil funding.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 35,590

    LOL.

    What’s that, @DaleVince?

    You want to give me an unconditional personal gift of £5million to do whatever I want with?

    Sure! I just need to fill out a form. If I didn’t declare it that would be silly.


    https://x.com/CountBinface/status/2075261988649726036

    Mmm.

    Overplaying of hands much? Dale (vomits a bit in mouth) Vince?
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 8,481
    Lowe seems to have wanted to downplay Dunblane as a way of suggesting the UK government over reacted to the alleged “ one murder “ .

    He knew exactly what he was doing . If he had said a mass murder Rogan would have probably asked how many were killed and then Lowes concocted outrage at a ban would have looked on shaky ground especially as those murdered were mostly children .

    Lowe can fxck right off , what a loathsome individual.

  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 21,513
    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    I’m baffled that anyone hadn’t clocked Lowe was a bit of an arse some while back.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 2,096
    kle4 said:

    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    He said what he said, including when pressed, which is the key. I don't see why we should bend over backwards to assume he meant something else which was not what he said.

    A slip gets corrected, not doubled down on. Then it is a choice and he cannot then act offended that people believe the double down, rather than what might conceivably have been the initial intention.
    I suppose I would give him the next 24 hours to give a decent apology and clarification before making the judgment you're making. Without that apology I'd agree with you.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 40,788

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    He must have got it mixed up with a case involving one murder. No-one could deliberately be so stupid as to knowingly describe the Dunblane case in such a way.
  • TazTaz Posts: 29,268

    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

    He’s a shill/lobbyist for this lot.

    It’s an offshoot of a US lobbying group.

    https://patrioticmillionaires.uk/who-we-are
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 129,608

    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

    See this thread.

    https://x.com/DanNeidle/status/2075206427476459826
  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,676
    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    I think that's the best possible spin on it.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,981
    maxh said:

    FPT

    Back to actual politics.

    Here's one that Burnham can actually do.

    Increase the per head payment from the government to schools for pupils. As the roles drops, as a result of the demographic crisis, balance this by increasing the payment. So the schools do not see a drop in funding.

    This would mean that the schools could reduce class sizes, rather than closing classes or even whole schools (when amalgamating)

    It is a basic principle of Operational Research that organisation run at 99% of their capability become fragile, the workforce becomes exhausted and leaves (or starts "soldiering" - doing just enough to keep going) and the breakdowns become common. reverse this

    Burnham could even size the increase to still reduce the budget for schools, while increasing the per head amount. This would satisfy the fiscal hawk types.

    This would be a policy that the Labour MPs would love to vote for, The activists would love and would go down well with Labour voters. The Teaching Unions would also be happy.

    It might even have an effect on the quality of schooling

    #LabourPolicesFromRighties

    What would you spend the additional per head money on?
    Anecdotally (I don't have the research to back this up): smaller class sizes. Essentially, pay the same per class but with fewer kids in them.

    Our classes have been creeping up (from 30 in top sets and about 18-20 in bottom sets up to 34/35 in top sets and 26/27 in bottom sets).

    The difference in the quality of individual instruction when 5 or 6 kids are out for whatever reason is remarkable.
    Any sane education reform would seek to cut our class sizes by at least a third - possibly more in inner cities.

    Unfortunately the DfE and Bridget Phillipson are in charge so there's no hope of sanity.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 40,788
    I'm thinking of standing as a pro-wind turbines candidate at the Clacton by-election.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 57,408
    Andy_JS said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    He must have got it mixed up with a case involving one murder. No-one could deliberately be so stupid as to knowingly describe the Dunblane case in such a way.
    Nah, when speaking to a MAGA audience it is obvious that school shootings are a small price to pay for the freedom to own guns*.

    *applies only to white people.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 21,513
    Andy_JS said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    He must have got it mixed up with a case involving one murder. No-one could deliberately be so stupid as to knowingly describe the Dunblane case in such a way.
    He’s appealing to a US audience who hate laws restricting guns. He makes close to £10k a month from posting on X. He knows which side his bread is buttered on and he’s very deliberately saying what they want to hear.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 59,435
    Poor start from England against a very modest total. Just maybe a more difficult wicket than it looked.
  • TazTaz Posts: 29,268
    edited 6:32PM
    Labour MPs pressuring Burnham to abandon the proposed changes to ILR in their list of demands among other waffle.

    Dig deep wage slaves. Other people need your money 👍

    “ Full text of Labour MPs' letter to Burnham demanding changes to Shabana Mahmood's migration policies revealed by @theipaper this evening

    "We are expending political capital... and losing progressive voters on Indefinite Leave to Remain reform which few really understand or want"


    https://x.com/patrickkmaguire/status/2075273460452913365?s=61
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 21,513
    Taz said:

    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

    He’s a shill/lobbyist for this lot.

    It’s an offshoot of a US lobbying group.

    https://patrioticmillionaires.uk/who-we-are
    He co-founded Patriotic Millionaires, so “shill/lobbyist” isn’t quite right.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 2,096

    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    It wasn't really just one event. There had been the Hungerford massacre previously.

    Edit: And the reason there haven't been any more mass shootings at British schools..?
    Don't get me wrong. I am about as pro gun control as it is possible to be. I think it is ludicrous that it took a horrific mass murder to remove Lowe senior's shooting pistols.

    I am also just instinctively uncomfortable with a political space that turns outrage up to the maximum, even against people who probably deserve it.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 129,608
    Laila must be on speed dial to the RAC with how many car crashes she’s had this week

    https://x.com/benjaminbutter/status/2075254350792761704
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,981
    DavidL said:

    Poor start from England against a very modest total. Just maybe a more difficult wicket than it looked.

    Bristol is always a hard place to score because the wicket is so slow. It's why Gloucestershire want to move.

    I have to say I don't think Englnd's bowling was too smart either. Testing the middle of the pitch sort of worked but it gave India too many scoring opportunities. Better to pitch it up.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 73,107

    Laila must be on speed dial to the RAC with how many car crashes she’s had this week

    https://x.com/benjaminbutter/status/2075254350792761704

    I think Reform keep throwing her into the studios with utter bollx lines to take.

  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 23,268

    Andy_JS said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    He must have got it mixed up with a case involving one murder. No-one could deliberately be so stupid as to knowingly describe the Dunblane case in such a way.
    He’s appealing to a US audience who hate laws restricting guns. He makes close to £10k a month from posting on X. He knows which side his bread is buttered on and he’s very deliberately saying what they want to hear.
    Also, the affirmation for posting mad nasty stuff on social media tends to make it seem less mad and less nasty.

    You might go into the freakshow hall of mirrors thinking you are the owner or the genius profiting from the dumb customers... but it's hard to avoid becoming just another freak.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 51,400
    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    It wasn't really just one event. There had been the Hungerford massacre previously.

    Edit: And the reason there haven't been any more mass shootings at British schools..?
    Don't get me wrong. I am about as pro gun control as it is possible to be. I think it is ludicrous that it took a horrific mass murder to remove Lowe senior's shooting pistols.

    I am also just instinctively uncomfortable with a political space that turns outrage up to the maximum, even against people who probably deserve it.
    I hope you're not taking the first tentative steps on a 'journey', Max.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 40,788

    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

    I have no idea. He sounds like someone who might have played for Aston Villa in about 1995.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,981
    Andy_JS said:

    I'm thinking of standing as a pro-wind turbines candidate at the Clacton by-election.

    The Big Fan party?
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 2,096
    kinabalu said:

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    It wasn't really just one event. There had been the Hungerford massacre previously.

    Edit: And the reason there haven't been any more mass shootings at British schools..?
    Don't get me wrong. I am about as pro gun control as it is possible to be. I think it is ludicrous that it took a horrific mass murder to remove Lowe senior's shooting pistols.

    I am also just instinctively uncomfortable with a political space that turns outrage up to the maximum, even against people who probably deserve it.
    I hope you're not taking the first tentative steps on a 'journey', Max.
    Fear not. I'm safely at my (weird lefty proto-anarchist) destination and don't plan to move from it.
  • TazTaz Posts: 29,268
    edited 6:45PM

    Taz said:

    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

    He’s a shill/lobbyist for this lot.

    It’s an offshoot of a US lobbying group.

    https://patrioticmillionaires.uk/who-we-are
    He co-founded Patriotic Millionaires, so “shill/lobbyist” isn’t quite right.
    It’s a U.K. chapter of a USA lobbying group founded in 2010.

    To say he founded it is a bit of a stretch. More like franchised it among others.

    He’s still a shill and a lobbyist. They literally lobby for a wealth tax. They lobby via the media and via politicians.

    He’s not just some edgy geezer who’s set up a YouTube channel in his kitchen speaking about it and gone viral. As he likes to give the impression.

    https://patrioticmillionaires.uk/our-work
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 73,107

    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

    See this thread.

    https://x.com/DanNeidle/status/2075206427476459826
    Thanks. So this guy is making a total song and dance about £24billion that might come from a wealth tax?

    Your ocassional reminder that total government spend is: £1.29 trillion


  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 48,176

    Andy_JS said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    He must have got it mixed up with a case involving one murder. No-one could deliberately be so stupid as to knowingly describe the Dunblane case in such a way.
    He’s appealing to a US audience who hate laws restricting guns. He makes close to £10k a month from posting on X. He knows which side his bread is buttered on and he’s very deliberately saying what they want to hear.
    And he wants to construct a meme where Roganites have the impression that woke lefties banned handguns over ONE murder.
    Arsehole.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,981
    Quite a good reply from Vince as well:

    Well @CountBinface, actually I thought u were asking for the price of three low rent crossaints.....up for that but have to be vegan. Butter is so exploitative, I'm sure u know.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 90,669
    Andy_JS said:

    Andy_JS said:

    If I were advising Farage, I'd tell him to let Leila Cunningham stand as the Reform candidate in Clacton, and then he could try to get back into the HoC the next time there's a by-election in a Reform-friendly seat.

    Having called the election for one purpose, what explanation would he give for this switch? The narrative becomes Farage runs away in disgrace. Does Cunningham have any connection to the constituency? Once the Reform candidate changes, the other parties would perhaps all decide to stand.

    Farage has made his bed and he now has to lie in it.
    You don't have to have a connection. PBer Nick Palmer famously said he had no prior connections to Broxtowe before he was selected.
    Judging by her media appearances over the last couple of days, lack of connection to the constituency is the least of her problems.

    Farage is a far better performer.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 2,096
    ydoethur said:

    Quite a good reply from Vince as well:

    Well @CountBinface, actually I thought u were asking for the price of three low rent crossaints.....up for that but have to be vegan. Butter is so exploitative, I'm sure u know.

    Except he can't spell croissant.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 129,608

    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

    See this thread.

    https://x.com/DanNeidle/status/2075206427476459826
    Thanks. So this guy is making a total song and dance about £24billion that might come from a wealth tax?

    Your ocassional reminder that total government spend is: £1.29 trillion


    He reminds me of those idiots in the early 2000s who were convinced Vodafone UK dodged £6 billion in taxes a year because they couldn't work out the difference between Vodafone UK and the Vodafone Group.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 104,451

    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

    See this thread.

    https://x.com/DanNeidle/status/2075206427476459826
    Thanks. So this guy is making a total song and dance about £24billion that might come from a wealth tax?

    Your ocassional reminder that total government spend is: £1.29 trillion


    Every little may help, but shouldn't be presented as complete solutions in themselves.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 51,400
    maxh said:

    kinabalu said:

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    It wasn't really just one event. There had been the Hungerford massacre previously.

    Edit: And the reason there haven't been any more mass shootings at British schools..?
    Don't get me wrong. I am about as pro gun control as it is possible to be. I think it is ludicrous that it took a horrific mass murder to remove Lowe senior's shooting pistols.

    I am also just instinctively uncomfortable with a political space that turns outrage up to the maximum, even against people who probably deserve it.
    I hope you're not taking the first tentative steps on a 'journey', Max.
    Fear not. I'm safely at my (weird lefty proto-anarchist) destination and don't plan to move from it.
    🙂 ok just checking.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,981
    maxh said:

    ydoethur said:

    Quite a good reply from Vince as well:

    Well @CountBinface, actually I thought u were asking for the price of three low rent crossaints.....up for that but have to be vegan. Butter is so exploitative, I'm sure u know.

    Except he can't spell croissant.
    The spelling of French pastries is au pain.
  • TazTaz Posts: 29,268
    edited 6:47PM

    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

    See this thread.

    https://x.com/DanNeidle/status/2075206427476459826
    Thanks. So this guy is making a total song and dance about £24billion that might come from a wealth tax?

    Your ocassional reminder that total government spend is: £1.29 trillion


    Yeah, but that is where it starts isn’t it.

    It soon progresses from there and the scope widens.

    The percentage take goes up and amount at which it cuts in goes down.

    Get the policy over the line then go for,it.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 51,400
    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

    He’s a shill/lobbyist for this lot.

    It’s an offshoot of a US lobbying group.

    https://patrioticmillionaires.uk/who-we-are
    He co-founded Patriotic Millionaires, so “shill/lobbyist” isn’t quite right.
    It’s a U.K. chapter of a USA lobbying group founded in 2010.

    To say he founded it is a bit of a stretch. More like franchised it among others.

    He’s still a shill and a lobbyist. They literally lobby for a wealth tax. They lobby via the media and via politicians.

    He’s not just some edgy geezer who’s set up a YouTube channel in his kitchen speaking about it and gone viral. As he likes to give the impression.

    https://patrioticmillionaires.uk/our-work
    It's ok to lobby for a wealth tax, isn't it? There's plenty lobbying the other way.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 17,722
    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    It wasn't really just one event. There had been the Hungerford massacre previously.

    Edit: And the reason there haven't been any more mass shootings at British schools..?
    Don't get me wrong. I am about as pro gun control as it is possible to be. I think it is ludicrous that it took a horrific mass murder to remove Lowe senior's shooting pistols.

    I am also just instinctively uncomfortable with a political space that turns outrage up to the maximum, even against people who probably deserve it.
    People love to be outraged. It's a very addictive emotion. See the success of soap operas and football.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 2,096
    eek said:

    maxh said:

    FPT

    Back to actual politics.

    Here's one that Burnham can actually do.

    Increase the per head payment from the government to schools for pupils. As the roles drops, as a result of the demographic crisis, balance this by increasing the payment. So the schools do not see a drop in funding.

    This would mean that the schools could reduce class sizes, rather than closing classes or even whole schools (when amalgamating)

    It is a basic principle of Operational Research that organisation run at 99% of their capability become fragile, the workforce becomes exhausted and leaves (or starts "soldiering" - doing just enough to keep going) and the breakdowns become common. reverse this

    Burnham could even size the increase to still reduce the budget for schools, while increasing the per head amount. This would satisfy the fiscal hawk types.

    This would be a policy that the Labour MPs would love to vote for, The activists would love and would go down well with Labour voters. The Teaching Unions would also be happy.

    It might even have an effect on the quality of schooling

    #LabourPolicesFromRighties

    What would you spend the additional per head money on?
    Anecdotally (I don't have the research to back this up): smaller class sizes. Essentially, pay the same per class but with fewer kids in them.

    Our classes have been creeping up (from 30 in top sets and about 18-20 in bottom sets up to 34/35 in top sets and 26/27 in bottom sets).

    The difference in the quality of individual instruction when 5 or 6 kids are out for whatever reason is remarkable.
    Got to say having more than 30 in your average classroom is hard work to begin, most classrooms were designed to sit 30 max..
    And our classrooms are smaller than average (without wishing to reveal exactly where I teach, it isn't a purpose-built building but a converted office block). When it was first converted we were given cast iron assurances the maximum in a class would be 28 because the classrooms couldn't hold any more...
  • MattWMattW Posts: 33,932
    edited 6:52PM
    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    It wasn't really just one event. There had been the Hungerford massacre previously.

    Edit: And the reason there haven't been any more mass shootings at British schools..?
    Don't get me wrong. I am about as pro gun control as it is possible to be. I think it is ludicrous that it took a horrific mass murder to remove Lowe senior's shooting pistols.

    I am also just instinctively uncomfortable with a political space that turns outrage up to the maximum, even against people who probably deserve it.
    I don't think your first para is quite right.

    In the UK I think our culture is generally to change as little as possible until there is a blatant reason to do so which renders an application of copium as clearly insufficient, and there have only been perhaps 4 or 5 spree shootings, other than in families or amongst criminal elements, in half a century, in Great Britain (ie discounting Northern Ireland).

    That is West Bromwich / Nuneaton 1978, Hungerford 1987, Dunblane 1996, Cumbria 2010, and perhaps Plymouth 2021. *

    I don't think anything less would prompt such a fundamental change here. And I'm not absolutely sure that we got the pistol ban quite right, but that's down in the detail.

    * Wiki has a list:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mass_shootings_in_the_United_Kingdom
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,981
    edited 6:50PM
    maxh said:

    eek said:

    maxh said:

    FPT

    Back to actual politics.

    Here's one that Burnham can actually do.

    Increase the per head payment from the government to schools for pupils. As the roles drops, as a result of the demographic crisis, balance this by increasing the payment. So the schools do not see a drop in funding.

    This would mean that the schools could reduce class sizes, rather than closing classes or even whole schools (when amalgamating)

    It is a basic principle of Operational Research that organisation run at 99% of their capability become fragile, the workforce becomes exhausted and leaves (or starts "soldiering" - doing just enough to keep going) and the breakdowns become common. reverse this

    Burnham could even size the increase to still reduce the budget for schools, while increasing the per head amount. This would satisfy the fiscal hawk types.

    This would be a policy that the Labour MPs would love to vote for, The activists would love and would go down well with Labour voters. The Teaching Unions would also be happy.

    It might even have an effect on the quality of schooling

    #LabourPolicesFromRighties

    What would you spend the additional per head money on?
    Anecdotally (I don't have the research to back this up): smaller class sizes. Essentially, pay the same per class but with fewer kids in them.

    Our classes have been creeping up (from 30 in top sets and about 18-20 in bottom sets up to 34/35 in top sets and 26/27 in bottom sets).

    The difference in the quality of individual instruction when 5 or 6 kids are out for whatever reason is remarkable.
    Got to say having more than 30 in your average classroom is hard work to begin, most classrooms were designed to sit 30 max..
    And our classrooms are smaller than average (without wishing to reveal exactly where I teach, it isn't a purpose-built building but a converted office block). When it was first converted we were given cast iron assurances the maximum in a class would be 28 because the classrooms couldn't hold any more...
    Without wishing to venture guesses as to specifics, do you work for either an academy chain or a free school perchance?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 73,107

    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

    See this thread.

    https://x.com/DanNeidle/status/2075206427476459826
    Thanks. So this guy is making a total song and dance about £24billion that might come from a wealth tax?

    Your ocassional reminder that total government spend is: £1.29 trillion


    He reminds me of those idiots in the early 2000s who were convinced Vodafone UK dodged £6 billion in taxes a year because they couldn't work out the difference between Vodafone UK and the Vodafone Group.
    He says he predicted that covid crisis would lead to inflation.

    No shit Sherlock. Who the fuck didn't?

  • TazTaz Posts: 29,268
    kinabalu said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

    He’s a shill/lobbyist for this lot.

    It’s an offshoot of a US lobbying group.

    https://patrioticmillionaires.uk/who-we-are
    He co-founded Patriotic Millionaires, so “shill/lobbyist” isn’t quite right.
    It’s a U.K. chapter of a USA lobbying group founded in 2010.

    To say he founded it is a bit of a stretch. More like franchised it among others.

    He’s still a shill and a lobbyist. They literally lobby for a wealth tax. They lobby via the media and via politicians.

    He’s not just some edgy geezer who’s set up a YouTube channel in his kitchen speaking about it and gone viral. As he likes to give the impression.

    https://patrioticmillionaires.uk/our-work
    It's ok to lobby for a wealth tax, isn't it? There's plenty lobbying the other way.
    The poster I responded to originally asked who he was. I answered.

    Any issue with that ?
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 2,096
    kinabalu said:

    maxh said:

    kinabalu said:

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    It wasn't really just one event. There had been the Hungerford massacre previously.

    Edit: And the reason there haven't been any more mass shootings at British schools..?
    Don't get me wrong. I am about as pro gun control as it is possible to be. I think it is ludicrous that it took a horrific mass murder to remove Lowe senior's shooting pistols.

    I am also just instinctively uncomfortable with a political space that turns outrage up to the maximum, even against people who probably deserve it.
    I hope you're not taking the first tentative steps on a 'journey', Max.
    Fear not. I'm safely at my (weird lefty proto-anarchist) destination and don't plan to move from it.
    🙂 ok just checking.
    I suppose I would say that even if I was falling down the rabbit hole, though (it's not me changing, it's everyone else etc etc), so perhaps don't rest easy quite yet.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 60,393
    ydoethur said:

    maxh said:

    ydoethur said:

    Quite a good reply from Vince as well:

    Well @CountBinface, actually I thought u were asking for the price of three low rent crossaints.....up for that but have to be vegan. Butter is so exploitative, I'm sure u know.

    Except he can't spell croissant.
    The spelling of French pastries is au pain.
    Things will become eclair now.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 6,405
    edited 6:54PM
    Responding FPT to Charlie Shark, block quotes destroyed somewhat....

    ➡️ REF: 23% (-2]
    🌳 CON: 20% (+1)
    🌹 LAB: 18% (-3)
    🟢 GRN: 16% (=)
    🔶 LDEM: 13% (+3)

    From
    @FindoutnowUK

    From 8th July
    Changes with 1st JulyIf you look at the opinion poll graph on wikipedia the Tories and Labour have been pretty close for second and third since November 2025. So it's not really that surprising to have a run of polls with Labour in third. There have been loads of them over the months since. There were seven in a row at the end of December and the start of January, and seven in total in June.

    it's not a "trend", it's the status quo.

    Why are you ramping them as though they're something new and surprising?

    Ain't no ramping. Yesterday I pointed out that the last three polls (all fieldwork in July) failed to show a Burnham bounce and I was haughtily told that I was ignoring the Ipsos poll from June.

    I am simply showing there is no Burnham bounce (yet).

    As for the status quo, how many times have Labour been third (not including tied second) in four opinion polls on the trot this year? On only one other occasion. So no, it isn't the status quo.



    So, all six pollsters that have reported since Starmer's resignation, comparing the most recent polls (including this one) with their last polls that took place prior to Starmer's resignation.

    Labour 20.7 (+1.7)
    Reform 24.7 (-0.3)
    Conservative 20.2 (+0.9)
    LD 11.2 (-0.8)
    Green 13.8 (-1.0)

    Labour down = MiC (-3%), Opinium (-1%), FON (-3%)
    Labour level = Yougov (=)
    Labour up = Ipsos (+4%), Freshwater (+1%)

    So I'd disagree with your 1.7% calculation, suspect you aren't including latest FON poll (Lab on 18%). It is actually negative, they are DOWN. And there is nothing at all in here showing any Burnham bounce. It's an illusion.

    To pick up on this one.

    I compared last poll before Starmer's resignation to the most recent poll for the 6 pollsters.

    Some of your comparisons are of a bounce dissipating or reverting to mean.

    So,

    FON: last poll before Starmers resigned, 15%, latest poll, 18% -> +3%. The fact that there was a 21% poll for Labour in the intervening time doesn't detract that Labour are up since Starmer resigned.

    YouGov: current 20%, pre resignation 18% +2
    MiC 21%, pre resignation 22% -1
    Opinium 20% before and after, no change
    Ashcroft, 19 -> 21 +2
    IPSOS, 20 -> 24 +4

    Average rise, +1.66

    All per the usual Wikipedia page (no Freshwater listed since Starmer resigned)

    I think even after an aggregate of 6 pollsters its quite to being at the top of margin of error, but a somewhat dissipating bounce is still a bounce.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 2,096
    ydoethur said:

    maxh said:

    eek said:

    maxh said:

    FPT

    Back to actual politics.

    Here's one that Burnham can actually do.

    Increase the per head payment from the government to schools for pupils. As the roles drops, as a result of the demographic crisis, balance this by increasing the payment. So the schools do not see a drop in funding.

    This would mean that the schools could reduce class sizes, rather than closing classes or even whole schools (when amalgamating)

    It is a basic principle of Operational Research that organisation run at 99% of their capability become fragile, the workforce becomes exhausted and leaves (or starts "soldiering" - doing just enough to keep going) and the breakdowns become common. reverse this

    Burnham could even size the increase to still reduce the budget for schools, while increasing the per head amount. This would satisfy the fiscal hawk types.

    This would be a policy that the Labour MPs would love to vote for, The activists would love and would go down well with Labour voters. The Teaching Unions would also be happy.

    It might even have an effect on the quality of schooling

    #LabourPolicesFromRighties

    What would you spend the additional per head money on?
    Anecdotally (I don't have the research to back this up): smaller class sizes. Essentially, pay the same per class but with fewer kids in them.

    Our classes have been creeping up (from 30 in top sets and about 18-20 in bottom sets up to 34/35 in top sets and 26/27 in bottom sets).

    The difference in the quality of individual instruction when 5 or 6 kids are out for whatever reason is remarkable.
    Got to say having more than 30 in your average classroom is hard work to begin, most classrooms were designed to sit 30 max..
    And our classrooms are smaller than average (without wishing to reveal exactly where I teach, it isn't a purpose-built building but a converted office block). When it was first converted we were given cast iron assurances the maximum in a class would be 28 because the classrooms couldn't hold any more...
    Without wishing to venture guesses as to specifics, do you work for either an academy chain or a free school perchance?
    Academy chain. Your powers of deduction are quite remarkable.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 40,788
    edited 6:53PM
    Very sad news about Bonnie Tyler. TEOTH was one of the greatest songs of all time imo. Iconic video.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,981

    ydoethur said:

    maxh said:

    ydoethur said:

    Quite a good reply from Vince as well:

    Well @CountBinface, actually I thought u were asking for the price of three low rent crossaints.....up for that but have to be vegan. Butter is so exploitative, I'm sure u know.

    Except he can't spell croissant.
    The spelling of French pastries is au pain.
    Things will become eclair now.
    You're raisin the stakes with that one.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 129,608

    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

    See this thread.

    https://x.com/DanNeidle/status/2075206427476459826
    Thanks. So this guy is making a total song and dance about £24billion that might come from a wealth tax?

    Your ocassional reminder that total government spend is: £1.29 trillion


    He reminds me of those idiots in the early 2000s who were convinced Vodafone UK dodged £6 billion in taxes a year because they couldn't work out the difference between Vodafone UK and the Vodafone Group.
    He says he predicted that covid crisis would lead to inflation.

    No shit Sherlock. Who the fuck didn't?

    Next he will predict water is wet.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,981
    edited 6:56PM
    maxh said:

    ydoethur said:

    maxh said:

    eek said:

    maxh said:

    FPT

    Back to actual politics.

    Here's one that Burnham can actually do.

    Increase the per head payment from the government to schools for pupils. As the roles drops, as a result of the demographic crisis, balance this by increasing the payment. So the schools do not see a drop in funding.

    This would mean that the schools could reduce class sizes, rather than closing classes or even whole schools (when amalgamating)

    It is a basic principle of Operational Research that organisation run at 99% of their capability become fragile, the workforce becomes exhausted and leaves (or starts "soldiering" - doing just enough to keep going) and the breakdowns become common. reverse this

    Burnham could even size the increase to still reduce the budget for schools, while increasing the per head amount. This would satisfy the fiscal hawk types.

    This would be a policy that the Labour MPs would love to vote for, The activists would love and would go down well with Labour voters. The Teaching Unions would also be happy.

    It might even have an effect on the quality of schooling

    #LabourPolicesFromRighties

    What would you spend the additional per head money on?
    Anecdotally (I don't have the research to back this up): smaller class sizes. Essentially, pay the same per class but with fewer kids in them.

    Our classes have been creeping up (from 30 in top sets and about 18-20 in bottom sets up to 34/35 in top sets and 26/27 in bottom sets).

    The difference in the quality of individual instruction when 5 or 6 kids are out for whatever reason is remarkable.
    Got to say having more than 30 in your average classroom is hard work to begin, most classrooms were designed to sit 30 max..
    And our classrooms are smaller than average (without wishing to reveal exactly where I teach, it isn't a purpose-built building but a converted office block). When it was first converted we were given cast iron assurances the maximum in a class would be 28 because the classrooms couldn't hold any more...
    Without wishing to venture guesses as to specifics, do you work for either an academy chain or a free school perchance?
    Academy chain. Your powers of deduction are quite remarkable.
    I am a cynic about school management.

    As defined by Humphrey Appleby: 'Cynic: what an idealist calls a realist.'

    A reminder to everyone else (I know you won't need it!) that the plan is to force all schools into academy chains as part of these unhinged SEND reforms.
  • TazTaz Posts: 29,268
    Andy_JS said:

    Very sad news about Bonnie Tyler. TEOTH was one of the greatest songs of all time imo. Iconic video.

    Holding out for a Hero is a belter too.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 8,481

    Laila must be on speed dial to the RAC with how many car crashes she’s had this week

    https://x.com/benjaminbutter/status/2075254350792761704

    I think Reform keep throwing her into the studios with utter bollx lines to take.

    She’s deeply annoying and never stops talking over people . She was on Newsnight a couple of days ago.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,981
    nico67 said:

    Laila must be on speed dial to the RAC with how many car crashes she’s had this week

    https://x.com/benjaminbutter/status/2075254350792761704

    I think Reform keep throwing her into the studios with utter bollx lines to take.

    She’s deeply annoying and never stops talking over people . She was on Newsnight a couple of days ago.
    How has she missed a career in education management?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 40,788
    Laila Cunningham as MP for Clacton would be highly amusing.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 24,788
    Andy_JS said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    He must have got it mixed up with a case involving one murder. No-one could deliberately be so stupid as to knowingly describe the Dunblane case in such a way.
    Not stupidity. Mendacity.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 2,096
    MattW said:

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    It wasn't really just one event. There had been the Hungerford massacre previously.

    Edit: And the reason there haven't been any more mass shootings at British schools..?
    Don't get me wrong. I am about as pro gun control as it is possible to be. I think it is ludicrous that it took a horrific mass murder to remove Lowe senior's shooting pistols.

    I am also just instinctively uncomfortable with a political space that turns outrage up to the maximum, even against people who probably deserve it.
    I don't think your first para is quite right.

    In the UK I think our culture is generally to change as little as possible until there is a blatant reason to do so which renders an application of copium as clearly insufficient, and there have only been perhaps 4 or 5 spree shootings, other than in families or amongst criminal elements, in half a century, in Great Britain (ie discounting Northern Ireland).

    That is West Bromwich / Nuneaton 1978, Hungerford 1987, Dunblane 1996, Cumbria 2010, and perhaps Plymouth 2021. *

    I don't think anything less would prompt such a fundamental change here. And I'm not absolutely sure that we got the pistol ban quite right, but that's down in the detail.

    * Wiki has a list:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mass_shootings_in_the_United_Kingdom
    Decent challenge. I agree with the general approach of small c conservatism (why change what works).

    I don't like guns though. I grew up in a military family and vividly remember firing a live weapon off the back of a naval ship when quite young. There is something about the power it gives, and the ability to give in to your base impulses with irreparable consequences.

    I acknowledge my distaste may not be rational, though.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 73,107
    edited 7:00PM
    On the thread topic. Reckon this guy is getting reporter of the year award soon.



    Gabriel Pogrund
    @Gabriel_Pogrund

    EXCLUSIVE

    The Metropolitan Police is conducting a criminal investigation into at least £500,000 in donations from George Cottrell's mother to Reform UK before last election.

    Two people interviewed under caution about "disguising" source or making false statements about funds.

    https://x.com/Gabriel_Pogrund/status/2075281208032870468
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 129,608

    NEW THREAD

  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 40,389
    Pro_Rata said:

    Responding FPT to Charlie Shark, block quotes destroyed somewhat....

    ➡️ REF: 23% (-2]
    🌳 CON: 20% (+1)
    🌹 LAB: 18% (-3)
    🟢 GRN: 16% (=)
    🔶 LDEM: 13% (+3)

    From
    @FindoutnowUK

    From 8th July
    Changes with 1st July

    If you look at the opinion poll graph on wikipedia the Tories and Labour have been pretty close for second and third since November 2025. So it's not really that surprising to have a run of polls with Labour in third. There have been loads of them over the months since. There were seven in a row at the end of December and the start of January, and seven in total in June.

    it's not a "trend", it's the status quo.

    Why are you ramping them as though they're something new and surprising?

    Ain't no ramping. Yesterday I pointed out that the last three polls (all fieldwork in July) failed to show a Burnham bounce and I was haughtily told that I was ignoring the Ipsos poll from June.

    I am simply showing there is no Burnham bounce (yet).

    As for the status quo, how many times have Labour been third (not including tied second) in four opinion polls on the trot this year? On only one other occasion. So no, it isn't the status quo.



    So, all six pollsters that have reported since Starmer's resignation, comparing the most recent polls (including this one) with their last polls that took place prior to Starmer's resignation.

    Labour 20.7 (+1.7)
    Reform 24.7 (-0.3)
    Conservative 20.2 (+0.9)
    LD 11.2 (-0.8)
    Green 13.8 (-1.0)

    Labour down = MiC (-3%), Opinium (-1%), FON (-3%)
    Labour level = Yougov (=)
    Labour up = Ipsos (+4%), Freshwater (+1%)

    So I'd disagree with your 1.7% calculation, suspect you aren't including latest FON poll (Lab on 18%). It is actually negative, they are DOWN. And there is nothing at all in here showing any Burnham bounce. It's an illusion.

    To pick up on this one.

    I compared last poll before Starmer's resignation to the most recent poll for the 6 pollsters.

    Some of your comparisons are of a bounce dissipating or reverting to mean.

    So,

    FON: last poll before Starmers resigned, 15%, latest poll, 18% -> +3%. The fact that there was a 21% poll for Labour in the intervening time doesn't detract that Labour are up since Starmer resigned.

    YouGov: current 20%, pre resignation 18% +2
    MiC 21%, pre resignation 22% -1
    Opinium 20% before and after, no change
    Ashcroft, 19 -> 21 +2
    IPSOS, 20 -> 24 +4

    Average rise, +1.66

    All per the usual Wikipedia page (no Freshwater listed since Starmer resigned)

    I think even after an aggregate of 6 pollsters its quite to being at the top of margin of error, but a somewhat dissipating bounce is still a bounce.

    I don't like FoN methodology. They are not an easy pollster to demonstrate a trend, as from time to time they bounce all over the place. Sometimes a big Labour increase is often followed by a big drop the following poll.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 40,389
    edited 7:05PM
    ...
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 24,788
    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    It wasn't really just one event. There had been the Hungerford massacre previously.

    Edit: And the reason there haven't been any more mass shootings at British schools..?
    Don't get me wrong. I am about as pro gun control as it is possible to be. I think it is ludicrous that it took a horrific mass murder to remove Lowe senior's shooting pistols.

    I am also just instinctively uncomfortable with a political space that turns outrage up to the maximum, even against people who probably deserve it.
    I think this is just an attempt to rationalise/sanewash Lowe in the way that Trump has been sanewashed, and what he said has been minimised.

    He said what he said and we should judge him on what he said, not make excuses for him.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 2,096

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    It wasn't really just one event. There had been the Hungerford massacre previously.

    Edit: And the reason there haven't been any more mass shootings at British schools..?
    Don't get me wrong. I am about as pro gun control as it is possible to be. I think it is ludicrous that it took a horrific mass murder to remove Lowe senior's shooting pistols.

    I am also just instinctively uncomfortable with a political space that turns outrage up to the maximum, even against people who probably deserve it.
    I think this is just an attempt to rationalise/sanewash Lowe in the way that Trump has been sanewashed, and what he said has been minimised.

    He said what he said and we should judge him on what he said, not make excuses for him.
    Yes, on reflection perhaps you're right.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 33,932
    Andy_JS said:

    Laila Cunningham as MP for Clacton would be highly amusing.

    They should stand Nadine.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 57,408
    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    It wasn't really just one event. There had been the Hungerford massacre previously.

    Edit: And the reason there haven't been any more mass shootings at British schools..?
    Don't get me wrong. I am about as pro gun control as it is possible to be. I think it is ludicrous that it took a horrific mass murder to remove Lowe senior's shooting pistols.

    I am also just instinctively uncomfortable with a political space that turns outrage up to the maximum, even against people who probably deserve it.
    Rupert Lowe has his own shotguns removed by the police after he supposedly threatened to shoot Zia Yusuf.

    https://bsky.app/profile/belalugosisdad.bsky.social/post/3mq7juakqnk2y

    He got them back when he was cleared.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 51,400
    maxh said:

    kinabalu said:

    maxh said:

    kinabalu said:

    maxh said:

    maxh said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    What Rupert Lowe said must have been an innocent mistake, because no politician would knowingly torpedo their own electoral chances by deliberately saying something like that.

    What did Rupert Lowe say?
    Fury as Restore Britain leader describes Dunblane tragedy as 'one murder'

    He said: "As you probably know they banned handguns in the late 90s because there was a murder up in Dunblane."

    Rogan interjected, asking "One murder?"

    Mr Lowe replied: "One murder.

    "So, everybody, my father used to shoot pistols for Oxford University and he had, he's dead now bless him, but he had all his pistols were taken away, the pistols he used to shoot with at Oxford University."

    The family of Emma Crozier, who was shot dead in the tragedy, criticised the Restore Britain leader.

    Speaking to Sky News, her brother Jack Crozier said: "Rupert Lowe's father had his pistols taken away. My father had his daughter taken away.

    "He knew exactly what happened at Dunblane. He made an active choice, on one of the world's biggest podcasts, to describe the massacre of 16 five and six-year-old children and their teacher as 'one murder'.

    "The people of Great Yarmouth need to seriously consider if this is who they want representing them."

    https://news.sky.com/story/fury-as-restore-britain-leader-rupert-lowe-describes-dunblane-tragedy-as-one-murder-13561888
    Was it not one mass murder?

    It's incredibly crass and insensitive, and there are many other ways to express opposition to the handgun ban without belittling Dunblane, but I am not sure it's inaccurate.
    I find Lowe a very distateful man but surely this is correct. Rogan clarifying the point and Lowe doubling down does reveal him to something of an arse, seeking to make hay by minimising a massacre rather than to portray events accurately and with nuance, but I doubt he was meaning to imply that just one person was murdered, rather that there was just one event.
    It wasn't really just one event. There had been the Hungerford massacre previously.

    Edit: And the reason there haven't been any more mass shootings at British schools..?
    Don't get me wrong. I am about as pro gun control as it is possible to be. I think it is ludicrous that it took a horrific mass murder to remove Lowe senior's shooting pistols.

    I am also just instinctively uncomfortable with a political space that turns outrage up to the maximum, even against people who probably deserve it.
    I hope you're not taking the first tentative steps on a 'journey', Max.
    Fear not. I'm safely at my (weird lefty proto-anarchist) destination and don't plan to move from it.
    🙂 ok just checking.
    I suppose I would say that even if I was falling down the rabbit hole, though (it's not me changing, it's everyone else etc etc), so perhaps don't rest easy quite yet.
    Ha yes indeed. Eyes on.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 51,400
    edited 7:26PM
    Taz said:

    kinabalu said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

    He’s a shill/lobbyist for this lot.

    It’s an offshoot of a US lobbying group.

    https://patrioticmillionaires.uk/who-we-are
    He co-founded Patriotic Millionaires, so “shill/lobbyist” isn’t quite right.
    It’s a U.K. chapter of a USA lobbying group founded in 2010.

    To say he founded it is a bit of a stretch. More like franchised it among others.

    He’s still a shill and a lobbyist. They literally lobby for a wealth tax. They lobby via the media and via politicians.

    He’s not just some edgy geezer who’s set up a YouTube channel in his kitchen speaking about it and gone viral. As he likes to give the impression.

    https://patrioticmillionaires.uk/our-work
    It's ok to lobby for a wealth tax, isn't it? There's plenty lobbying the other way.
    The poster I responded to originally asked who he was. I answered.

    Any issue with that ?
    Just my usual curiosity. You said "shill". That indicates a dim view of the person or the cause (or usually both).
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 35,590
    ...
    kinabalu said:

    Taz said:

    kinabalu said:

    Taz said:

    Taz said:

    Who the f*ck is Gary Stevenson and why should I know who he is?

    He's now all over my X feed and often not in a good way.

    He’s a shill/lobbyist for this lot.

    It’s an offshoot of a US lobbying group.

    https://patrioticmillionaires.uk/who-we-are
    He co-founded Patriotic Millionaires, so “shill/lobbyist” isn’t quite right.
    It’s a U.K. chapter of a USA lobbying group founded in 2010.

    To say he founded it is a bit of a stretch. More like franchised it among others.

    He’s still a shill and a lobbyist. They literally lobby for a wealth tax. They lobby via the media and via politicians.

    He’s not just some edgy geezer who’s set up a YouTube channel in his kitchen speaking about it and gone viral. As he likes to give the impression.

    https://patrioticmillionaires.uk/our-work
    It's ok to lobby for a wealth tax, isn't it? There's plenty lobbying the other way.
    The poster I responded to originally asked who he was. I answered.

    Any issue with that ?
    Just my usual curiosity. You said "shill". That indicates a dim view of the person or the cause (or usually both).
    I think it's quite justified in this case.

    It's an extremely well-funded and massively organised lobbying campaign donning the guise of a spontaneously acting folk hero motivated by a pricked conscience. That's manipulative. It's lying. Why does your side always do that?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 64,219
    ydoethur said:

    maxh said:

    FPT

    Back to actual politics.

    Here's one that Burnham can actually do.

    Increase the per head payment from the government to schools for pupils. As the roles drops, as a result of the demographic crisis, balance this by increasing the payment. So the schools do not see a drop in funding.

    This would mean that the schools could reduce class sizes, rather than closing classes or even whole schools (when amalgamating)

    It is a basic principle of Operational Research that organisation run at 99% of their capability become fragile, the workforce becomes exhausted and leaves (or starts "soldiering" - doing just enough to keep going) and the breakdowns become common. reverse this

    Burnham could even size the increase to still reduce the budget for schools, while increasing the per head amount. This would satisfy the fiscal hawk types.

    This would be a policy that the Labour MPs would love to vote for, The activists would love and would go down well with Labour voters. The Teaching Unions would also be happy.

    It might even have an effect on the quality of schooling

    #LabourPolicesFromRighties

    What would you spend the additional per head money on?
    Anecdotally (I don't have the research to back this up): smaller class sizes. Essentially, pay the same per class but with fewer kids in them.

    Our classes have been creeping up (from 30 in top sets and about 18-20 in bottom sets up to 34/35 in top sets and 26/27 in bottom sets).

    The difference in the quality of individual instruction when 5 or 6 kids are out for whatever reason is remarkable.
    Any sane education reform would seek to cut our class sizes by at least a third - possibly more in inner cities.

    Unfortunately the DfE and Bridget Phillipson are in charge so there's no hope of sanity.
    The least that it might do is relieve stress on teachers - reducing burnout.

    The evidence on reducing class size may or may not be ambiguous. The fact that no serious study has been done in this country suggests to me that people are afraid of the results.

    On the other hand, there is absolutely no evidence, anywhere, that reduced class sizes are harmful to pupils or teachers.

    So why not give it a whirl?
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 15,562
    Pro_Rata said:

    Responding FPT to Charlie Shark, block quotes destroyed somewhat....

    ➡️ REF: 23% (-2]
    🌳 CON: 20% (+1)
    🌹 LAB: 18% (-3)
    🟢 GRN: 16% (=)
    🔶 LDEM: 13% (+3)

    From
    @FindoutnowUK

    From 8th July
    Changes with 1st July

    If you look at the opinion poll graph on wikipedia the Tories and Labour have been pretty close for second and third since November 2025. So it's not really that surprising to have a run of polls with Labour in third. There have been loads of them over the months since. There were seven in a row at the end of December and the start of January, and seven in total in June.

    it's not a "trend", it's the status quo.

    Why are you ramping them as though they're something new and surprising?

    Ain't no ramping. Yesterday I pointed out that the last three polls (all fieldwork in July) failed to show a Burnham bounce and I was haughtily told that I was ignoring the Ipsos poll from June.

    I am simply showing there is no Burnham bounce (yet).

    As for the status quo, how many times have Labour been third (not including tied second) in four opinion polls on the trot this year? On only one other occasion. So no, it isn't the status quo.



    So, all six pollsters that have reported since Starmer's resignation, comparing the most recent polls (including this one) with their last polls that took place prior to Starmer's resignation.

    Labour 20.7 (+1.7)
    Reform 24.7 (-0.3)
    Conservative 20.2 (+0.9)
    LD 11.2 (-0.8)
    Green 13.8 (-1.0)

    Labour down = MiC (-3%), Opinium (-1%), FON (-3%)
    Labour level = Yougov (=)
    Labour up = Ipsos (+4%), Freshwater (+1%)

    So I'd disagree with your 1.7% calculation, suspect you aren't including latest FON poll (Lab on 18%). It is actually negative, they are DOWN. And there is nothing at all in here showing any Burnham bounce. It's an illusion.

    To pick up on this one.

    I compared last poll before Starmer's resignation to the most recent poll for the 6 pollsters.

    Some of your comparisons are of a bounce dissipating or reverting to mean.

    So,

    FON: last poll before Starmers resigned, 15%, latest poll, 18% -> +3%. The fact that there was a 21% poll for Labour in the intervening time doesn't detract that Labour are up since Starmer resigned.

    YouGov: current 20%, pre resignation 18% +2
    MiC 21%, pre resignation 22% -1
    Opinium 20% before and after, no change
    Ashcroft, 19 -> 21 +2
    IPSOS, 20 -> 24 +4

    Average rise, +1.66

    All per the usual Wikipedia page (no Freshwater listed since Starmer resigned)

    I think even after an aggregate of 6 pollsters its quite to being at the top of margin of error, but a somewhat dissipating bounce is still a bounce.

    This factional coup inside Labour will be much more consequential on British politics than is being appreciated right now.
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