New Makerfield poll by Survation gives Burnham a 10% lead – politicalbetting.com
New Makerfield poll by Survation gives Burnham a 10% lead – politicalbetting.com
The changes since the last poll is Labour up 6%, Reform down by 1%, Restore up by 1%, Lib Dems down by 3%, and the Greens down by 2%.
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A California sheriff has been outed to his department for leaving a homeless woman dying in a ditch despite being called out on a welfare check for the 43-year-old.
Irma Espinoza died after being discarded in a ditch, even after Good Samaritan Richard Quinones alerted the San Diego Sheriff's Office to her presence in the trench close to his home on the morning of July 29.
The sheriff who attended the call simply drove by the ditch and did not get out of his vehicle to check on the woman, according to an independent investigation report into the incident by the Citizens' Law Enforcement Review Board (CLERB).
https://www.dailymail.com/news/article-15874965/california-sheriff-homeless-woman-died-ditch-san-diego.html?ns_mchannel=rss&ns_campaign=1490&ito=social-twitter_mailonline
Reform won 50% of the vote in the Makerfield area in the local elections so if Burnham as the face of Labour sees their vote decline by 11% then a Burnham led Labour would almost certainly retake the lead in opinion polls if he wins the by election and replaces Starmer as PM
https://x.com/patrickkmaguire/status/2054963169487986893?s=20
Adding everything beginning with 'R' together and one doesn't get the Burnham score.
Oh dear, how sad, never mind.
He had heard a 5000 majority on a decent turnout. So around this poll.
It does show why Zia Yusuf is excreting cross policy announcements like a gerbil on drugs.
He is a better communicator than Starmer but as PM Burnham would probably be the most leftwing PM we have had since his fellow northener Harold Wilson, likely even slightly left of Brown
But it's only a poll, the sample is small, and constituency polls are hard. If the poll is wrong Burnham might even exceed 50%...
People locally know the importance of this by election, so very little wasting of votes going on, by the look of it.
(Got to say, the Reform and Green candidates being very poor are also factors).
Lib Dem wants to build houses.
Not in Kansas anymore.
LAB: 49% (+6)
RFM: 39% (-1)
RES: 8% (+1)
GRN: 2% (-1)
LDM: 1% (-3)
CON: 1% (-1)
Via @survation.bsky.social, 26 May - 1 Jun.
Changes w/ 18-22 May.
Both of them admitted they would vote Labour (even with Starmer) because of Farage's incitement over the Henry Nowak murder.
It's a bit like PB's BigJohnOwls voting for Starmer.
Many fuel truck drivers are refusing to drive across southern Ukraine towards Crimea, because they don't want to become a target for Ukrainian drones. Russia is now threatening 10-year prison sentences for anyone photographing fuel trucks, or otherwise revealing the routes they are taking.
https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/2062639985275076865
https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/2062645946853302407
Note: Survation says comparisons with its previous poll should be treated with caution, as that survey first asked respondents about Westminster voting intention before moving on to generic party and named candidate voting intention, rather than focusing solely on the by-election
Maybe he always wanted to. I mean being PM is like a hard day's work.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/jun/04/i-wouldnt-flinch-burnham-on-social-care-markets-brexit-and-the-prospect-of-a-general-election
(((Dan Hodges)))
@DPJHodges
This is what I’ve been saying over the past couple of days. These numbers have been broadly known by the main parties in Makerfield for the past 72 hours. Reflects what’s being seen in the canvass returns. Reason for Reform’s increasing hysteria. https://x.com/britainelects/status/2062641572798177483
To what extent is that true of their supporters ?
(nb leave a space between < and the %, otherwise you eff up the blockquotes.)
Trump: If I did meet with the new Ayatollah, I would be honored to meet him.
Doocy: Do you think because Epic Fury killed his killed his dad and his wife and his kid that he's has hard feelings?
Trump: I would say I'm not his favorite person, but with that being said, he's probably a pro—I don't know him—he's probably a professional in some circles, he has a very good reputation actually, you know, sometimes when people say bad, but a lot of people say bad about me . It's totally false, of course.
https://x.com/Acyn/status/2062633186602131504
He'd have walked this seat at the next GE and been regarded as one of the more sensible and competent Reform MPs.
Whatever his flaws (and he remains a deeply flawed politician), he is massively more competent and experienced than his rivals in this by-election.
How he makes a living out of journalism is a mystery. Syed's no better than Goodwin
It's always been a strangely matriarchal society. A place where traditionally the wives would line up at the pit head and take the miners pay in their pinnies then hand their husbands pocket money for the week.
Last time they thought Goodwin. LOL. This time they thought white van man with a social media history from the flintstones era.
For all their money, and undoubted steps forward, Reform are very behind the punch in a lot of ways.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/videos/c70zj1xxgjzo
(The trouble for society is that there are enough really awful men to be a problem.)
I might sign a petition for the first time in my life.
Local residents in Chicago have started a campaign to change the name of the street that Trump Tower is on to ‘Barack Hussein Obama Avenue’ and are already racking up the signatories.
https://www.change.org/p/rename-wabash-ave-to-barack-hussein-obama-ave?recruited_by_id=10c491c0-5dce-11f1-916a-2597b8a72888&utm_source=share_petition&utm_campaign=psf_combo_share_initial&utm_medium=copylink&share_id=FzTYcLs47h
He was widely regarded to have done well.
If he's like some plumbers I know he's more likely to slam a massive bill on the QT desk.
Perhaps worth noting that Reform won the Runcorn and Helsby by-election with a woman candidate. If they'd chosen women candidates in Gorton & Denton and in Makerfield, might they now be on course for their third by-election victory?
I'm sure Badenoch would hate to be a beneficiary of this factor, but she's currently the only female leader of any of the major political parties (with the partial exception of Plaid Cymru whose leader at Westminster is Liz Saville-Roberts). That might work to her benefit during the next general election campaign.
Even in a no hoper they need more inherent loyalists than that.
Will make eating steak quite difficult...
He's turned up on time, it's only in porn that plumbers turn up on time.
Anything to beat reform
You know you are old when the union secs no longer look like Scargill or Jack Jones.
52.7 to 34.4women.
Edited to reflect squeeze numbers included in headline VI.
Robert Ford
@robfordmancs
38m
Well, well, well…
Looks like the stop Reform squeeze is working better than the stop Burnham squeeze….but even if Reform took every Restore vote here they’d be behind.
Feel the Burn?
https://x.com/robfordmancs/status/2062653767556677960
Well informed, able to speak in sentences, local, passionate and committed. Would make a good MP.
https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/5564744#Comment_5564744