Donald Trump experiences FAFO with Latino voters – politicalbetting.com
Donald Trump experiences FAFO with Latino voters – politicalbetting.com
The bottom has completely fallen out for Trump with Latino voters.After winning a record share for a GOP nominee in 2024, just 28% of Latinos approve of Trump now. The drop with Latino men is even more dramatic. He won em by 10 in 2024. His net approval now is -41 pts! pic.twitter.com/LKB3BBgE7a
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And a fair bit of this is just getting old. I know that calibrating 'the fair price of a restaurant meal' by the £5 Pierre Victorie charged for lunch in the 1990s is madness, but I don't necessarily grok that.
https://x.com/chuckpfarrer/status/2055325657346048288
If the Democrats do manage to win Texas for the first time in decades due to shifting Latino votes it would also make it near impossible for the GOP to win the EC again. No Republican candidate has won the Presidency without winning Texas since Nixon in 1968 when Humphrey carried Texas by just 2% but then Nixon won California
Yes, Trump isn't liked on the economy... but neither are the Dems..
The electorate is understandably upset with the way Biden's economy has gone this year.
For extra fun - it hits harder at the lower end. It’s not quite “a tenner on a pub meal and a tenner on a Michelin starred place” - but there is a pattern.
Part of the discontent in society is that we going backwards on affordability of various things.
A vote for Reform is a vote for Putin.
Nigel Farage is a [redacted].
So the thing to watch for is how Trump TACOs from his Iranian swamp.
Bart will be permanently priapic.
However doing what previously failed again may not be wise. But it’s down to Trump and Bibi.
Former Conservative party deputy chair Jonathan Gullis has been selected as Reform UK's group leader at a local authority in Staffordshire.
Gullis, who defected to Reform at the end of last year, was chosen by local party members in Newcastle-under-Lyme at a meeting on Thursday.
It means the ex-MP is likely to become the next leader of Newcastle-under-Lyme Borough Council, following a vote during a full council meeting next Wednesday.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ce8p74n52ypo
It's not just that Reform have become a home for Conservative right-wingers, it's very largely all the most awful Conservative right-wingers.
We decided this morning to go out tonight and none of the good (not cheap) options have tables so it’s going to be a matter of seeing who hasn’t turned up so we can get squeezed in
And is Eagles on holiday then?
James Cleverly criticised it.
Here's one of Farage's top aides defending it
If you were wondering why the Conservative Party just suffered its worst defeat in Essex - and why it will cease to exist there after the next general election - look no further.
The Tories spent 14 years treating the national interest as one priority among many.
https://x.com/jtworr/status/2055551524919468384
Nadhim Zahawi retweeted it and other comments defending the decisions and wrote this
No one disagrees that we should remain steadfast in our support of the brave Ukrainians. I still believe that public services should be focused on delivery for the British people & our flag is a proud reminder of who we prioritise.
https://x.com/nadhimzahawi
His former colleagues are calling out his pro-Putinism
Reform being so openly hostile to Britain’s support for Ukraine is one of the most off-putting things about them.
Flying the flag of a free and sovereign Ukraine is a mark of our upholding their right to exist as a nation in the face of the murder, rape and pillage of Putin’s unprovoked invasion.
Doing so does not detract from or diminish Britain’s national interest. It enhances it. We have a clear national interest in the defence of Europe, and not emboldening further Russian aggression.
I am also astonished to see @nadhimzahawi retweeting what Mr Orr posted. He, like me, served in the Cabinet of @BorisJohnson.
He, like me, knows how critical Britain’s military and moral support has been to preventing a Russian conquest. He used to believe in these things.
https://x.com/SirSimonClarke/status/2055558413845667871
Labour has ruled out a coalition to run Birmingham City Council, making a working majority harder to form
Greens have 19 councillors and Lib Dems 12 - well short of the 51 needed.
Reform UK (23 seats) has also ruled itself out of talks.
https://x.com/LewisJWarner/status/2055343853222121655
It's like giving a false equivalent to reporting by Rachel Maddows and. Jesse Watters. Maddows takes a story, reports the story and opines from the left. Jesse Watters ignores any story but just makes stuff up with no basis upon fact, to promote his cause, which is invariably Trump.
The outrage is the Reform traitors saying that helping Ukraine isn't in the UK's national interest and the top priority for the UK in so many ways.
Just as we’re heading into a bond crisis in the US, as well as other markets.
Kemi is suspending any Tory group leaders who do deals with Greens, see Worcestershire yesterday, so that rules out a Tory, LD and Green and Independents deal.
So it looks like Birmingham will be run by a Reform minority administration
Keeping one's internal calibration of a fair price updated is pretty much impossible.
Reform could have stuck to "it's national policy", even if it's a bit weird to have a national policy on that when there are a billion things they don't have a policy on.
Orr's sin is saying the quiet bit out loud- that Reform is all about spending money on mememe, not on them. And a chunky slice of the electorate has always been cool with that. See the patriotic Conservatives who thought that fighting Hitler was an unfortunate mistake.
The man is thicker than whale omelette.
For example, the Conservatives pledged a ban on "conversion therapy" back in 2018, and Labour have put it in the Kings Speech. I am not aware of any political parties that support it, other than perhaps some fringe groups. Ref UK are silent afaics.
In the USA there are still fairly major groups on the Christian Right, such as the Alliance Defending Freedom. Even groups broadly on the religious right in the UK don't take that stance.
It's not a holiday per se.
Just seeing some friends across the UK, going to the cinema to watch the Baby Yoda film.
I guess the Greens and Lib Dems could run a minority coalition, but why would they want to take the blame for everything and not be able to do anything about it?
The Baby yoda film looks worse than having to attend the rally.
It's not obvious that there's a crisis from that.
Ukraine is in an existential fight against a brutal dictator. And the first thing Reform does is take down the flag of Ukraine? That really is performative, isn't it?
And this from a party led by someone who repeated Kremlin talking points when comfortably ensconced in the European Parliament.
Nauseating, and a timely reminder to Tories about why they should have no truck with these populists.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5YVGH42PTGk
So we can put a price on Burnham's vanity.
Do we know anyone with a spare £5 million they could chip in?
Their cloud cuckoo land budgetary stances require them to gut public services, which is what is happening.
An example is adult education in Derbyshire.
"In the USA there are still fairly major groups on the Christian Right, such as the Alliance Defending Freedom, who defend conversion therapy. Even groups broadly on the religious right in the UK don't take that stance.
In outlets regarded as responsible (there are lots) the principle distortion is done by story selection. Take the BBC, which I greatly admire. They would, I think, never run a series, fully researched, to try to demonstrate all the ways in which people manipulate and abuse the benefits and welfare system. Or do detailed case studies on how particular families spend years and generations doing little at our expense. (The sort of project the odious Matt Goodwin would be fond of). But they are never short of super people who are going to suffer egregiously from any change in the system.
If they're a symbol for people to rally around, to reinforce the determination to take concrete action, then the performance has a purpose and value.
I think the UK has provided enough support to Ukraine that flying the Ukraine flag is not merely performative, but also symbolic of that support. Removing the flag sends a message that Reform don't want to be a part of that.
At his home, Peter Robinson has a massive flagpole with a flag of St George fluttering in the wind, you can see it above the secure fences of his gated gaff. I took it to performatively mean "f*** off Catholics".
We don’t really do flags stuck up in peoples gardens or hanging from their houses unless it’s during big sporting events .
Strange scheduling, I expect every central London pub will be locked down.
Any music fans, IOW newcomer semifinal at Bush hall tonight, won't cost more than £15 a ticket.
It is more the types who would identify with Yaxley-Lennon. For example "Raise the Colours" is organised by people who have associated with him. But IMO this has perhaps evolved, like Lennon's own operation, into a commercial grifting setup.
Abdul says he’s made so much money he can finally bring the rest of his family to the UK from Afghanistan.