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Vote West, get Wes? Why some Labour MPs are worried about 10 Downing Streeting

SystemSystem Posts: 13,174
edited May 10 in General
Vote West, get Wes? Why some Labour MPs are worried about 10 Downing Streeting

Timing is everything, for example had North Korea invaded South Korea the day after the release of Gangnam Style nobody would have protested and many would have praised them, but now, it would lead to all sorts of denunciations and bad consequences for North Korea.

The timing is everything mantra is focussing the minds of plenty of Labour MPs and Andy Burnham. On the left of the party the thought of replacing Sir Keir Starmer with Wes Streeting is a seen as bit like soiling your trousers and choosing to replace only your hat. Andy Burnham realises an early contest rules him out.

So we're faced with the curious position of the likes of John McDonnell and the titan this is Richard Burgon defending Starmer from being ousted this week, this is 5D levels of chess or just plain ineptitude.

Before the locals it was said Wes Streeting had the numbers to trigger a contest so it is possible they back Catherine West as a means of ensuring their man becomes leader.

I have said I consider Wes Streeting the least transfer friendly candidate under the alternative vote system Labour use to elect their leader. RIght now I consider there to be some value in backing Streeting.

What is clear so far is that the Labour Party once again doesn't possess the ruthlessness of the Tory Party when it comes to ousting leaders.

Read the full story here

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Comments

  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,435
    First! What’s the topic?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,435
    This one is a PB lead to remember! :

    Undefined discussion subject.
    Operation timed out after 3002 milliseconds with 0 bytes received
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 22,874
    IanB2 said:

    This one is a PB lead to remember! :

    Undefined discussion subject.
    Operation timed out after 3002 milliseconds with 0 bytes received

    I blame the Prime Minister.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 72,384
    On the topic of will Wes run, Patrick Maguire was on Sky this morning reminding people of 1968 and the terrible local elections then and the failure of Roy Jenkins to make his move against Wilson.

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,586
    IanB2 said:

    First! What’s the topic?

    Refresh it now
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 20,969
    FPT...

    Leon said:

    maxh said:

    A slightly convoluted but genuine question for the Reform and Reform-lite types on here, given that Reform seems to have well and truly 'arrived' (and putting aside a debate about whether they have peaked):

    I can understand support for Reform if you are only looking at part of the picture. Specifically I understand, though I disagree with it, the argument that says our problems stem from immigration and if only we would get a grip on immigration we'd be better off. I can entirely understand why many of the country would only look at part of the picture, and be convinced by the sentence above given that the alternatives offered by Labour and the Tories seem to have achieved nothing. I have a great deal of sympathy for the kinds of places Cookie mentioned in his visit to 'Reformland'.

    However, to me this argument relies on a fundamental dehumanising view of immigrants. I don't in any way buy the 'all immigrants are basically 25 year old terrorists in waiting posing as 16 year old kids'. I start from the position that all humans have equal worth, and people do things for good reasons. So in my view, morally, immigrants are to be celebrated for their bravery in often defying horrendous odds to try to escape persecution, poverty etc and to better their lives and that of their families. This, to me, is the other part of the picture that I refer to above.

    In my view the counterargument to this can only be an acceptance of failure. The argument would go: we should be strong, wealthy and generous enough to be able to accommodate significant immigration. However, because our political and economic system tends to make the least advantaged members of society deal with the brunt of immigration, and because we aren't willing to invest in the public services required to assimilate immigrants properly, the least worst option is to prevent them arriving. The argument 'they're safe in France' is a variant of this, in my view.

    The only alternatives is can see to this is:
    1. Unalloyed racism: Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity.
    2. A (in my view up unjustifiable) commitment to nationalism: just because I was born on this side of the border I should get prosperity and those unfortunate enough to be on the other side shouldn't.

    Is all of the above right? Or am I missing something? To be clear, I'm not asking the average voter to engage in this convoluted argument, but I am interested in those on who would seek to intellectually justify a Reform position.

    @Leon given you seem to be up and about I'm particularly interested in your take. @Luckyguy1983 yours too. @taz I don't think you're a Reform supporter but I think I'm right that you have some sympathy for the immigration arguments.

    I can’t give you the long eloquent answer your prolix question probably deserves, mainly because I can’t be arsed

    But I’ll give you the short brutal answer. Yes, I believe many of our problems (obvs not all) come from immigration legal and illegal. From the surging rape rates to new sectarian politics to the crippling benefits bill to the threat of terror to the pressure on housing and public services, and much much more (too much to go into)

    Only one party seems to have the cullions to deal with this. Reform. The Tories have lost my trust after 14 years, especially after the Boriswave (for which Boris should go to jail)

    That’s it
    Thanks for the question Maxh.

    I think what has been agreed across the board, including by Starmer, is that the 'Boriswave' has seen immigration on a scale where successful integration (let alone assimilation) is simply not possible. That isn't a judgement on people, it's just a fact. Neither our welfare system nor our society can cope with immigration at that speed, in those numbers, from those places. So regrettably, those people must return home.

    With regard to the wider point about Reform's attitude to immigration, Reform are civic nationalists. They don't care about colour or religion (prominent figures are Muslim), but loyalty to the State. So religion is something for the private sphere, strict crackdown on Sharia, probably banning the Burqa and Niquab, and end to the 'community policing' approach that has let some communities police themselves, but if you choose to be 'one of us' you are welcome. I cannot disagree with this approach. There simply cannot be any long-term sense in giving bunk space to large numbers of people whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate. What happens when there's a war (God forbid) and everyone needs to sign up? A nation needs some sort of glue to hold it together.

    I also don't take your point that 'Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity = unnalloyed racism'. It is not that we are more worthy of it, but we should certainly expect that our Government prioritises it over the wealth and prosperity of other peoples - that is what any Government must do, and it seems to be a uniquely British approach that the wellbeing of non-British subjects should be prioritised above those of British ones. It breaks the social contract.

    This civic nationalism approach is different to Restore, which has very prominent supporters and figures (not their actual policies as yet) who are ethno-nationalists. They believe in a particular sense of belonging here for those with British descent, and that mass migration as a whole needs to be reversed, and the country of The Haywane and Miss Marple 'restored'.
    This rhetoric around those "whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate" is the sort of nonsense we had in this country for centuries around Catholics. The same gumpf was still being said in the US when JFK stood.

    Nigel Farage's loyalty lies either to the guy in Thailand who gave him £5 million, or to his idol Donald Trump. He's clearly happy to distort policy to satisfy both of them. Can we chuck Farage out of the country?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,883
    FPT - the sense of entitlement from the Burnham camp is off the scale

    https://x.com/Peston/status/2053478593146012021

    My unscientific weekend poll of Labour MPs and government ministers is that Keir Starmer will be replaced as their leader and the country’s prime minister “by the end of the year”.

    They also say that an immediate defenestration and snap leadership election should be avoided if possible, for two reasons.

    First, the party needs to have a debate about its future direction and what could be a “big story of hope for Britain” they could coalesce around and sell to voters

    Second, the leadership change should be orderly, respectful and likely to yield a stable outcome.

    This means, they say, that the process needs to be long enough to allow Andy Burnham the opportunity to resign as mayor of Greater Manchester and contest a by-election.

    Which is not to say they all want Burnham as Britain’s next prime minister. Some do. Some don’t.

    What it means is they fear he and his supporters would never cease to lobby to be Labour leader, and therefore no new leader would be secure, unless Burnham was given the opportunity to win a leadership contest or crash and burn.

    “If Andy feels he is blocked again, any new leader will be toast before the next election,” one senior MP said to me.


    And to give Burnham the rope he wants, the leadership contest has to be delayed till the autumn, say his friends and foes.

  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 58,897
    So tomorrow Starmer is going to give a speech which may indicate why he wants to be PM (other than the slightly tainted glory of being PM). Should be interesting, not really heard him explain that before.

    Later the same day West might lodge a challenge, but probably not. If Starmer's many enemies are not backing her I don't see where she gets enough support. Streeting then needs to decide if he goes over the top giving up the highest spending cabinet position. I think he will duck it.

    So Starmer limps on, wounded but alive. Oh, and entirely incidentally, the country continues to go to hell in a hand cart.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,586
    IanB2 said:

    It’s weird that someone I knew reasonably well, and interacted with on a not infrequent basis as a fellow councillor, just ten years back, is now within a hop and skip from becoming our PM. The council used to joke, back then, that he’d be a future prime minister, but I am not sure that any of those councillors so commenting really believed it.

    I’m sure he’s learned and grown in the eight years since our paths separated, but it’s still weird to have someone I knew as an actual person, rather than a face on TV, possibly about to run the country.

    My friends had the same issue with Simon Case.

    Streeting's got such a compelling backstory, working class family, went to Cambridge and look at him now.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,435
    DavidL said:

    So tomorrow Starmer is going to give a speech which may indicate why he wants to be PM (other than the slightly tainted glory of being PM). Should be interesting, not really heard him explain that before.

    Later the same day West might lodge a challenge, but probably not. If Starmer's many enemies are not backing her I don't see where she gets enough support. Streeting then needs to decide if he goes over the top giving up the highest spending cabinet position. I think he will duck it.

    So Starmer limps on, wounded but alive. Oh, and entirely incidentally, the country continues to go to hell in a hand cart.

    This time tomorrow, we could be heading towards rejoining the EU, abolishing the House of Lords, a fair voting system for both Parliament and local councils, and a wealth tax to fund genuine investment in our public services and to shore up our defences!

    *wakes up*
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 4,848
    edited May 10
    IanB2 said:

    DavidL said:

    So tomorrow Starmer is going to give a speech which may indicate why he wants to be PM (other than the slightly tainted glory of being PM). Should be interesting, not really heard him explain that before.

    Later the same day West might lodge a challenge, but probably not. If Starmer's many enemies are not backing her I don't see where she gets enough support. Streeting then needs to decide if he goes over the top giving up the highest spending cabinet position. I think he will duck it.

    So Starmer limps on, wounded but alive. Oh, and entirely incidentally, the country continues to go to hell in a hand cart.

    This time tomorrow, we could be heading towards rejoining the EU, abolishing the House of Lords, a fair voting system for both Parliament and local councils, and a wealth tax to fund genuine investment in our public services and to shore up our defences!

    *wakes up*
    Right now he's sitting at a desk with a blank notepad in front of him like a kid who's just remembered he needs to do that essay for Monday morning.

    Nah I'm sure ChatGPT will fart something generic out about hope and change and change and hope.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 58,897
    IanB2 said:

    DavidL said:

    So tomorrow Starmer is going to give a speech which may indicate why he wants to be PM (other than the slightly tainted glory of being PM). Should be interesting, not really heard him explain that before.

    Later the same day West might lodge a challenge, but probably not. If Starmer's many enemies are not backing her I don't see where she gets enough support. Streeting then needs to decide if he goes over the top giving up the highest spending cabinet position. I think he will duck it.

    So Starmer limps on, wounded but alive. Oh, and entirely incidentally, the country continues to go to hell in a hand cart.

    This time tomorrow, we could be heading towards rejoining the EU, abolishing the House of Lords, a fair voting system for both Parliament and local councils, and a wealth tax to fund genuine investment in our public services and to shore up our defences!

    *wakes up*
    If we get even one of those I would be surprised. Maybe a consultation on something? He likes those.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,435

    IanB2 said:

    It’s weird that someone I knew reasonably well, and interacted with on a not infrequent basis as a fellow councillor, just ten years back, is now within a hop and skip from becoming our PM. The council used to joke, back then, that he’d be a future prime minister, but I am not sure that any of those councillors so commenting really believed it.

    I’m sure he’s learned and grown in the eight years since our paths separated, but it’s still weird to have someone I knew as an actual person, rather than a face on TV, possibly about to run the country.

    My friends had the same issue with Simon Case.

    Streeting's got such a compelling backstory, working class family, went to Cambridge and look at him now.
    He has. Having played a leading role in Alan Johnson entering Parliament, I could claim at least a bit-part in the story of Streeting’s progression to the top. But, able and (supremely) self-confident though he is, I’m not convinced that he’s come under sufficient scrutiny to appreciate the weaknesses that would, sooner or later, lead to his downfall (all political careers eventually failing, as we know).
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,435

    IanB2 said:

    DavidL said:

    So tomorrow Starmer is going to give a speech which may indicate why he wants to be PM (other than the slightly tainted glory of being PM). Should be interesting, not really heard him explain that before.

    Later the same day West might lodge a challenge, but probably not. If Starmer's many enemies are not backing her I don't see where she gets enough support. Streeting then needs to decide if he goes over the top giving up the highest spending cabinet position. I think he will duck it.

    So Starmer limps on, wounded but alive. Oh, and entirely incidentally, the country continues to go to hell in a hand cart.

    This time tomorrow, we could be heading towards rejoining the EU, abolishing the House of Lords, a fair voting system for both Parliament and local councils, and a wealth tax to fund genuine investment in our public services and to shore up our defences!

    *wakes up*
    Right now he's sitting at a desk with a blank notepad in front of him like a kid who's just remembered he needs to do that essay for Monday morning.

    Nah I'm sure ChatGPT will fart something generic out about hope and change and change and hope.
    It’s like he’s rubbed the genie’s lamp and been gifted five years in power with a massive majority and almost complete control over his party hierarchy, and his first wish is for primary school kids to get toothbrushing lessons, and for the other two wishes he’s completely stumped.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 33,535
    A remarkably quick and reasonably thorough reaction to the Local Election results, evaluating their possibly impact on cycling and mobility infrastructure in London, on a scheme by scheme and Borough by Borough basis. About 15 minutes:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zzrFrsiR3Fg
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,883
    edited May 10
    https://x.com/Tony_Diver/status/2053482405470584962

    EXCLUSIVE

    Wes Streeting has told Sir Keir Starmer that he is preparing his case to be the next Prime Minister, the Telegraph can disclose.

    An ally says: “Wes has made it clear to No10 that he won’t challenge Keir, but he is preparing a case if it all falls apart.

    “Like most of the party, he thinks Keir is owed the chance to set out how he’s going to turn things around this week. He’s not plotting.”

    If Streeting does launch a leadership campaign, I understand he will argue that he is the only candidate who can beat Reform UK, after Labour held on to his local Redbridge council this week.

    He will point out that Angela Rayner’s council fell to Reform.
  • PhilPhil Posts: 3,309
    edited May 10
    ydoethur said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    DavidL said:

    So tomorrow Starmer is going to give a speech which may indicate why he wants to be PM (other than the slightly tainted glory of being PM). Should be interesting, not really heard him explain that before.

    Later the same day West might lodge a challenge, but probably not. If Starmer's many enemies are not backing her I don't see where she gets enough support. Streeting then needs to decide if he goes over the top giving up the highest spending cabinet position. I think he will duck it.

    So Starmer limps on, wounded but alive. Oh, and entirely incidentally, the country continues to go to hell in a hand cart.

    This time tomorrow, we could be heading towards rejoining the EU, abolishing the House of Lords, a fair voting system for both Parliament and local councils, and a wealth tax to fund genuine investment in our public services and to shore up our defences!

    *wakes up*
    Right now he's sitting at a desk with a blank notepad in front of him like a kid who's just remembered he needs to do that essay for Monday morning.

    Nah I'm sure ChatGPT will fart something generic out about hope and change and change and hope.
    It’s like he’s rubbed the genie’s lamp and been gifted five years in power with a massive majority and almost complete control over his party hierarchy, and his first wish is for primary school kids to get toothbrushing lessons, and for the other two wishes he’s completely stumped.
    Time for a fine Ukrainian joke:

    A Ukrainian man finds a genie in a bottle. The genie offers him three wishes.

    The Ukrainian says, “I want the Chinese to invade Ukraine and then go back to China.”

    So it happens.

    For his next wish, the Ukrainian also asks for the Chinese to invade Ukraine and then go home.

    So it happens.

    For his third wish, the Ukrainian again asks for the Chinese to invade Ukraine and go home.

    “I gave you three wishes,” the genie cries. “Why did you ask for the Chinese to invade Ukraine and then go home three times?”

    “Because they had to march across Russia six times.”
    I first heard this joke with Poland and Genghis Khan instead.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 50,725

    IanB2 said:

    DavidL said:

    So tomorrow Starmer is going to give a speech which may indicate why he wants to be PM (other than the slightly tainted glory of being PM). Should be interesting, not really heard him explain that before.

    Later the same day West might lodge a challenge, but probably not. If Starmer's many enemies are not backing her I don't see where she gets enough support. Streeting then needs to decide if he goes over the top giving up the highest spending cabinet position. I think he will duck it.

    So Starmer limps on, wounded but alive. Oh, and entirely incidentally, the country continues to go to hell in a hand cart.

    This time tomorrow, we could be heading towards rejoining the EU, abolishing the House of Lords, a fair voting system for both Parliament and local councils, and a wealth tax to fund genuine investment in our public services and to shore up our defences!

    *wakes up*
    Right now he's sitting at a desk with a blank notepad in front of him like a kid who's just remembered he needs to do that essay for Monday morning.

    Nah I'm sure ChatGPT will fart something generic out about hope and change and change and hope.
    My hope is to not hear the phrase "get on with delivering the change that people voted for".
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,497
    Phil said:

    ydoethur said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    DavidL said:

    So tomorrow Starmer is going to give a speech which may indicate why he wants to be PM (other than the slightly tainted glory of being PM). Should be interesting, not really heard him explain that before.

    Later the same day West might lodge a challenge, but probably not. If Starmer's many enemies are not backing her I don't see where she gets enough support. Streeting then needs to decide if he goes over the top giving up the highest spending cabinet position. I think he will duck it.

    So Starmer limps on, wounded but alive. Oh, and entirely incidentally, the country continues to go to hell in a hand cart.

    This time tomorrow, we could be heading towards rejoining the EU, abolishing the House of Lords, a fair voting system for both Parliament and local councils, and a wealth tax to fund genuine investment in our public services and to shore up our defences!

    *wakes up*
    Right now he's sitting at a desk with a blank notepad in front of him like a kid who's just remembered he needs to do that essay for Monday morning.

    Nah I'm sure ChatGPT will fart something generic out about hope and change and change and hope.
    It’s like he’s rubbed the genie’s lamp and been gifted five years in power with a massive majority and almost complete control over his party hierarchy, and his first wish is for primary school kids to get toothbrushing lessons, and for the other two wishes he’s completely stumped.
    Time for a fine Ukrainian joke:

    A Ukrainian man finds a genie in a bottle. The genie offers him three wishes.

    The Ukrainian says, “I want the Chinese to invade Ukraine and then go back to China.”

    So it happens.

    For his next wish, the Ukrainian also asks for the Chinese to invade Ukraine and then go home.

    So it happens.

    For his third wish, the Ukrainian again asks for the Chinese to invade Ukraine and go home.

    “I gave you three wishes,” the genie cries. “Why did you ask for the Chinese to invade Ukraine and then go home three times?”

    “Because they had to march across Russia six times.”
    I first heard this joke with Poland and Genghis Khan instead.
    Likewise, but it seemed time to update it.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 8,323
    edited May 10

    https://x.com/Tony_Diver/status/2053482405470584962

    EXCLUSIVE

    Wes Streeting has told Sir Keir Starmer that he is preparing his case to be the next Prime Minister, the Telegraph can disclose.

    An ally says: “Wes has made it clear to No10 that he won’t challenge Keir, but he is preparing a case if it all falls apart.

    “Like most of the party, he thinks Keir is owed the chance to set out how he’s going to turn things around this week. He’s not plotting.”

    If Streeting does launch a leadership campaign, I understand he will argue that he is the only candidate who can beat Reform UK, after Labour held on to his local Redbridge council this week.

    He will point out that Angela Rayner’s council fell to Reform.

    This looks pretty desperate stuff from Streeting if he’s using council elections in his area to come to that conclusion.

    He has a paltry 500 vote majority . Elections are nationwide and Redbridge is hostile territory for Reform.

    I like Streeting and he’s a good communicator but there’s also the elephant in the room that he’s gay and how well will that go down in less socially liberal parts of the country?

    I couldn’t care less about his sexuality but others might .
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,435
    edited May 10
    ydoethur said:

    IanB2 said:

    IanB2 said:

    DavidL said:

    So tomorrow Starmer is going to give a speech which may indicate why he wants to be PM (other than the slightly tainted glory of being PM). Should be interesting, not really heard him explain that before.

    Later the same day West might lodge a challenge, but probably not. If Starmer's many enemies are not backing her I don't see where she gets enough support. Streeting then needs to decide if he goes over the top giving up the highest spending cabinet position. I think he will duck it.

    So Starmer limps on, wounded but alive. Oh, and entirely incidentally, the country continues to go to hell in a hand cart.

    This time tomorrow, we could be heading towards rejoining the EU, abolishing the House of Lords, a fair voting system for both Parliament and local councils, and a wealth tax to fund genuine investment in our public services and to shore up our defences!

    *wakes up*
    Right now he's sitting at a desk with a blank notepad in front of him like a kid who's just remembered he needs to do that essay for Monday morning.

    Nah I'm sure ChatGPT will fart something generic out about hope and change and change and hope.
    It’s like he’s rubbed the genie’s lamp and been gifted five years in power with a massive majority and almost complete control over his party hierarchy, and his first wish is for primary school kids to get toothbrushing lessons, and for the other two wishes he’s completely stumped.
    Time for a fine Ukrainian joke:

    A Ukrainian man finds a genie in a bottle. The genie offers him three wishes.

    The Ukrainian says, “I want the Chinese to invade Ukraine and then go back to China.”

    So it happens.

    For his next wish, the Ukrainian also asks for the Chinese to invade Ukraine and then go home.

    So it happens.

    For his third wish, the Ukrainian again asks for the Chinese to invade Ukraine and go home.

    “I gave you three wishes,” the genie cries. “Why did you ask for the Chinese to invade Ukraine and then go home three times?”

    “Because they had to march across Russia six times.”
    Dog owners will be familiar with the cartoon of the dog sitting before the genie and his lamp, in front of which are two balls, and the genie is asking the dog "are you sure you don't wish to reconsider before making your final wish?"
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 9,631
    Labour's dilemma, and it's a huge dilemma, is, I think, that:

    1. Streeting is the most likely contender to take on both Farage and Polanski, and defeat them, and:

    2. Streeting is the least likely contender to be elected by the Labour Party to be its leader.

    And that's why there's such interest in Burnham, for whom 2. may not apply if he were an MP.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,883
    nico67 said:

    https://x.com/Tony_Diver/status/2053482405470584962

    EXCLUSIVE

    Wes Streeting has told Sir Keir Starmer that he is preparing his case to be the next Prime Minister, the Telegraph can disclose.

    An ally says: “Wes has made it clear to No10 that he won’t challenge Keir, but he is preparing a case if it all falls apart.

    “Like most of the party, he thinks Keir is owed the chance to set out how he’s going to turn things around this week. He’s not plotting.”

    If Streeting does launch a leadership campaign, I understand he will argue that he is the only candidate who can beat Reform UK, after Labour held on to his local Redbridge council this week.

    He will point out that Angela Rayner’s council fell to Reform.

    This looks pretty desperate stuff from Streeting if he’s using council elections in his area to come to that conclusion.

    He has a paltry 500 vote majority . Elections are nationwide and Redbridge is hostile territory for Reform.

    I like Streeting and he’s a good communicator but there’s also the elephant in the room that he’s gay and how well will that go down in less socially liberal parts of the country?

    I couldn’t care less about his sexuality but others might .
    Which part of the Labour voting coalition do you think might have a problem with it?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,435
    Reform councillors elected in 2026 update:

    - Glenn Gibbins (Sunderland): suspended by Reform following allegations of racism;
    - Jay Cooper (Sefton): declared “not welcome” by Farage following reports of him calling the Holocaust a hoax;
    - Daniel Devaney (Bradford) said he was pulling out before polling day but got elected anyway... it's not yet clear if he is resigning as a councillor....
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 8,323
    edited May 10

    nico67 said:

    https://x.com/Tony_Diver/status/2053482405470584962

    EXCLUSIVE

    Wes Streeting has told Sir Keir Starmer that he is preparing his case to be the next Prime Minister, the Telegraph can disclose.

    An ally says: “Wes has made it clear to No10 that he won’t challenge Keir, but he is preparing a case if it all falls apart.

    “Like most of the party, he thinks Keir is owed the chance to set out how he’s going to turn things around this week. He’s not plotting.”

    If Streeting does launch a leadership campaign, I understand he will argue that he is the only candidate who can beat Reform UK, after Labour held on to his local Redbridge council this week.

    He will point out that Angela Rayner’s council fell to Reform.

    This looks pretty desperate stuff from Streeting if he’s using council elections in his area to come to that conclusion.

    He has a paltry 500 vote majority . Elections are nationwide and Redbridge is hostile territory for Reform.

    I like Streeting and he’s a good communicator but there’s also the elephant in the room that he’s gay and how well will that go down in less socially liberal parts of the country?

    I couldn’t care less about his sexuality but others might .
    Which part of the Labour voting coalition do you think might have a problem with it?
    You know the answer ! It’s of course the so called Red Wall which personally I think is gone anyway . Of course it could also be an issue for parts of the Muslim community although they seem happy to support Polanski .
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,961

    Labour's dilemma, and it's a huge dilemma, is, I think, that:

    1. Streeting is the most likely contender to take on both Farage and Polanski, and defeat them, and:

    2. Streeting is the least likely contender to be elected by the Labour Party to be its leader.

    And that's why there's such interest in Burnham, for whom 2. may not apply if he were an MP.

    The person most likely to defeat Polanski is..... Polanski. The man wouldn't know the truth if it slapped him.in the face...
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 3,146

    IanB2 said:

    It’s weird that someone I knew reasonably well, and interacted with on a not infrequent basis as a fellow councillor, just ten years back, is now within a hop and skip from becoming our PM. The council used to joke, back then, that he’d be a future prime minister, but I am not sure that any of those councillors so commenting really believed it.

    I’m sure he’s learned and grown in the eight years since our paths separated, but it’s still weird to have someone I knew as an actual person, rather than a face on TV, possibly about to run the country.

    My friends had the same issue with Simon Case.

    Streeting's got such a compelling backstory, working class family, went to Cambridge and look at him now.
    :) at the end of the day they have to promote someone.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,883
    edited May 10
    Sunak says that fixing democracy "will require scrapping many of the checks and balances we have added to the system in the past 30 years."

    https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2053410295159074957

    Fascinating admission of failure by @RishiSunak

    image
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 22,874

    Labour's dilemma, and it's a huge dilemma, is, I think, that:

    1. Streeting is the most likely contender to take on both Farage and Polanski, and defeat them, and:

    2. Streeting is the least likely contender to be elected by the Labour Party to be its leader.

    And that's why there's such interest in Burnham, for whom 2. may not apply if he were an MP.

    The person most likely to defeat Polanski is..... Polanski. The man wouldn't know the truth if it slapped him.in the face...
    Though people have been saying that about Farage for decades and it hasn't happened yet. It took a long time for truth to slap Johnson in the face as well.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,497
    That last line...

    And compared to Truss, he was the sane one.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,181
    edited May 10
    kinabalu said:

    IanB2 said:

    DavidL said:

    So tomorrow Starmer is going to give a speech which may indicate why he wants to be PM (other than the slightly tainted glory of being PM). Should be interesting, not really heard him explain that before.

    Later the same day West might lodge a challenge, but probably not. If Starmer's many enemies are not backing her I don't see where she gets enough support. Streeting then needs to decide if he goes over the top giving up the highest spending cabinet position. I think he will duck it.

    So Starmer limps on, wounded but alive. Oh, and entirely incidentally, the country continues to go to hell in a hand cart.

    This time tomorrow, we could be heading towards rejoining the EU, abolishing the House of Lords, a fair voting system for both Parliament and local councils, and a wealth tax to fund genuine investment in our public services and to shore up our defences!

    *wakes up*
    Right now he's sitting at a desk with a blank notepad in front of him like a kid who's just remembered he needs to do that essay for Monday morning.

    Nah I'm sure ChatGPT will fart something generic out about hope and change and change and hope.
    My hope is to not hear the phrase "get on with delivering the change that people voted for".
    Good afternoon

    Starmer just does not understand that being PM means taking decisons, standing by them, and just doing it

    It may well be unkind, but he looks like a middle manager on a tourist visa as he goes to meeting after meeting, usually abroad, with these meetings announcing more meetings and everyone looking self satisfied as they smile for the camera and nothing is done

    This comes back to the Ming vase and totally unprepared for government

    Labour need to rip off the plaster now, as a 6 month leadership debacle will only make things worse and paralyse government

  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 63,551
    edited May 10

    Labour's dilemma, and it's a huge dilemma, is, I think, that:

    1. Streeting is the most likely contender to take on both Farage and Polanski, and defeat them, and:

    2. Streeting is the least likely contender to be elected by the Labour Party to be its leader.

    And that's why there's such interest in Burnham, for whom 2. may not apply if he were an MP.

    The left hates Streeting - “he is privatising the NHS” etc - no way he wins bank those who’ve gone Green.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,181
    nico67 said:

    https://x.com/Tony_Diver/status/2053482405470584962

    EXCLUSIVE

    Wes Streeting has told Sir Keir Starmer that he is preparing his case to be the next Prime Minister, the Telegraph can disclose.

    An ally says: “Wes has made it clear to No10 that he won’t challenge Keir, but he is preparing a case if it all falls apart.

    “Like most of the party, he thinks Keir is owed the chance to set out how he’s going to turn things around this week. He’s not plotting.”

    If Streeting does launch a leadership campaign, I understand he will argue that he is the only candidate who can beat Reform UK, after Labour held on to his local Redbridge council this week.

    He will point out that Angela Rayner’s council fell to Reform.

    This looks pretty desperate stuff from Streeting if he’s using council elections in his area to come to that conclusion.

    He has a paltry 500 vote majority . Elections are nationwide and Redbridge is hostile territory for Reform.

    I like Streeting and he’s a good communicator but there’s also the elephant in the room that he’s gay and how well will that go down in less socially liberal parts of the country?

    I couldn’t care less about his sexuality but others might .
    Re your last sentence - I hope not
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 20,969

    Sunak says that fixing democracy "will require scrapping many of the checks and balances we have added to the system in the past 30 years."

    https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2053410295159074957

    Fascinating admission of failure by @RishiSunak

    image

    That’s not true, though, is it, Rishi? The Conservatives deliberately gummed up the process: the time for cases to be processed shot up, deportations fell, numbers needing to be housed increased. It’s convenient for them to then blame the results on someone else.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 23,200

    FPT...

    Leon said:

    maxh said:

    A slightly convoluted but genuine question for the Reform and Reform-lite types on here, given that Reform seems to have well and truly 'arrived' (and putting aside a debate about whether they have peaked):

    I can understand support for Reform if you are only looking at part of the picture. Specifically I understand, though I disagree with it, the argument that says our problems stem from immigration and if only we would get a grip on immigration we'd be better off. I can entirely understand why many of the country would only look at part of the picture, and be convinced by the sentence above given that the alternatives offered by Labour and the Tories seem to have achieved nothing. I have a great deal of sympathy for the kinds of places Cookie mentioned in his visit to 'Reformland'.

    However, to me this argument relies on a fundamental dehumanising view of immigrants. I don't in any way buy the 'all immigrants are basically 25 year old terrorists in waiting posing as 16 year old kids'. I start from the position that all humans have equal worth, and people do things for good reasons. So in my view, morally, immigrants are to be celebrated for their bravery in often defying horrendous odds to try to escape persecution, poverty etc and to better their lives and that of their families. This, to me, is the other part of the picture that I refer to above.

    In my view the counterargument to this can only be an acceptance of failure. The argument would go: we should be strong, wealthy and generous enough to be able to accommodate significant immigration. However, because our political and economic system tends to make the least advantaged members of society deal with the brunt of immigration, and because we aren't willing to invest in the public services required to assimilate immigrants properly, the least worst option is to prevent them arriving. The argument 'they're safe in France' is a variant of this, in my view.

    The only alternatives is can see to this is:
    1. Unalloyed racism: Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity.
    2. A (in my view up unjustifiable) commitment to nationalism: just because I was born on this side of the border I should get prosperity and those unfortunate enough to be on the other side shouldn't.

    Is all of the above right? Or am I missing something? To be clear, I'm not asking the average voter to engage in this convoluted argument, but I am interested in those on who would seek to intellectually justify a Reform position.

    @Leon given you seem to be up and about I'm particularly interested in your take. @Luckyguy1983 yours too. @taz I don't think you're a Reform supporter but I think I'm right that you have some sympathy for the immigration arguments.

    I can’t give you the long eloquent answer your prolix question probably deserves, mainly because I can’t be arsed

    But I’ll give you the short brutal answer. Yes, I believe many of our problems (obvs not all) come from immigration legal and illegal. From the surging rape rates to new sectarian politics to the crippling benefits bill to the threat of terror to the pressure on housing and public services, and much much more (too much to go into)

    Only one party seems to have the cullions to deal with this. Reform. The Tories have lost my trust after 14 years, especially after the Boriswave (for which Boris should go to jail)

    That’s it
    Thanks for the question Maxh.

    I think what has been agreed across the board, including by Starmer, is that the 'Boriswave' has seen immigration on a scale where successful integration (let alone assimilation) is simply not possible. That isn't a judgement on people, it's just a fact. Neither our welfare system nor our society can cope with immigration at that speed, in those numbers, from those places. So regrettably, those people must return home.

    With regard to the wider point about Reform's attitude to immigration, Reform are civic nationalists. They don't care about colour or religion (prominent figures are Muslim), but loyalty to the State. So religion is something for the private sphere, strict crackdown on Sharia, probably banning the Burqa and Niquab, and end to the 'community policing' approach that has let some communities police themselves, but if you choose to be 'one of us' you are welcome. I cannot disagree with this approach. There simply cannot be any long-term sense in giving bunk space to large numbers of people whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate. What happens when there's a war (God forbid) and everyone needs to sign up? A nation needs some sort of glue to hold it together.

    I also don't take your point that 'Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity = unnalloyed racism'. It is not that we are more worthy of it, but we should certainly expect that our Government prioritises it over the wealth and prosperity of other peoples - that is what any Government must do, and it seems to be a uniquely British approach that the wellbeing of non-British subjects should be prioritised above those of British ones. It breaks the social contract.

    This civic nationalism approach is different to Restore, which has very prominent supporters and figures (not their actual policies as yet) who are ethno-nationalists. They believe in a particular sense of belonging here for those with British descent, and that mass migration as a whole needs to be reversed, and the country of The Haywane and Miss Marple 'restored'.
    This rhetoric around those "whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate" is the sort of nonsense we had in this country for centuries around Catholics. The same gumpf was still being said in the US when JFK stood.

    Nigel Farage's loyalty lies either to the guy in Thailand who gave him £5 million, or to his idol Donald Trump. He's clearly happy to distort policy to satisfy both of them. Can we chuck Farage out of the country?
    It's not all nonsense though, is it. We've just seen a bunch of 'independents' elected primarily because a section of society cares mostly about Gaza than anything else. You also see it in the cricket. When Pakistan, India, Bangladesh etc okay tests in England the stands are chock full of second and third generation Asians supporting the touring sides. I have no issues with that and identity is tricky for some. It's easy for me - I suspect my Wiltshire roots reach back to before the disappearance of Dogger land. But it's less easy for the children of immigrants.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 58,897

    Sunak says that fixing democracy "will require scrapping many of the checks and balances we have added to the system in the past 30 years."

    https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2053410295159074957

    Fascinating admission of failure by @RishiSunak

    image

    I think the Rwanda policy was simply mad and an astonishing waste of scarce resources but Sunak is right that one of the reasons the mainstream parties died on Thursday is because people get completely fed up of governments who simply can't solve a problem.

    I think he is also right in saying that the problems governments have is the interventionist role played by our courts but he completely fails to recognise that it is politicians who have given the courts both the power and duty to do that.

    The answer to me is much more fundamental. It is withdrawal from the Convention on Refugees and passing legislation that those who come here by boat without our permission will simply be ejected because they have no rights whatsoever. But our political class are simply not up for that kind of law. Its much easier to blame the courts for enforcing the laws they passed.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,883
    https://x.com/andrewmarr9/status/2053490120834105669

    It appears to be happening. Wes ready to move and perhaps Angela as well
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 2,033
    AnthonyT said:

    @maxh

    "I'm still not sure it answers the question of why immigrants should be less able to access the opportunities that exist in the UK than people born here."

    Because what your questions in your post utterly ignore are that a nation is a home and that people in that home are entitled to decide who joins their family. You talk about dehumanising immigrants but your post dehumanises those already living here by denying them any agency at all in who is allowed to join them - and in what numbers. You assume that if a migrant wants to come here (and your post confuses migrants and asylum seekers) that is the only factor: he or she wants, he or she has some gumption so he or she gets.

    But what about people born and living here? Do they not get a say?

    I am not a Reform supporter so cannot speak for them.

    But people in a country should have agency over who is permitted to join them because the country is their home and homes are not open to anyone, regardless of who they are or what they bring, to anyone who demands entry.

    That sense of home, of "this is us, this is who we are", of a social contract, of burden sharing, of mutual obligations, of trust, of control are essential to any well-functioning society, any group - frankly - including a school - which you should understand - and certainly a nation. Mass immigration with little control and with a sense of contempt for those feeling that their home has been changed without their consent and in ways they don't like breaks that down and fractures society. That is I think at the root of why people who feel this turn to Reform in the absence of other more established parties paying any attention to their concerns.

    This article by Matthew Syed describes this well - https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/reform-uk-local-election-result-stoke-r23mtlhbp

    @AnthonyT thanks for the reply. The content of your post makes me think you are misunderstanding my position, but reading my own post I can see why - I was trying to write about both asylum seekers and economic migrants without sufficiently distinguishing the two.

    I agree that home, culture and the social contract is important. As I hope I made clear, I have huge sympathy for those who are bearing the brunt of economic migration (a previous girlfriend's grandparents lived on a street in Peterborough that experienced enormous culture change in a short space of time that massively disrupted their sense of place and of home, about which they were powerless. Watching it happen was quite a formative experience for me).

    I am reluctantly supportive of the main thrust of my original post - that, despite being one of the wealthiest countries on earth, we seem not to be able to afford to provide adequately for our own citizens, nor for migrants. I lament this but I don't deny it. I do not assume that if a migrant wants to come here they should be allowed to. I can entirely understand why in practice we need to restrict inward migration. I agree the scale of migration in the last few years was a mistake, especially after a decade or more of austerity.

    I am interested in the justification for refusing entry to a migrant, or an asylum seeker, though. (I realise even now I may be being very unclear, apologies).

    As an aside I don't believe the nation or country has the role you are claiming for it. Communities and smaller groups do. We drape ourselves in flags to try to pretend the country (or at least the state) is home, but for most people home is the community around them. I think Reform are selling a nonsense to communities in Peterborough and elsewhere that by making the nation or the state 'home', their lives will improve. There remains huge inequality within our country and I do not believe Reform will address this, in fact I think the opposite will happen.

    But the central thrust of my disagreement with you is that someone who happens to have been born in UK or has citizenship somehow 'deserves' to have the power to create the sort of home you write of, whereas someone born in a poorer part of the world does not. I am not arguing that the former doesn't deserve this power. I think they do. I just think migrants of whatever form also do.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 27,958
    edited May 10
    DavidL said:

    Sunak says that fixing democracy "will require scrapping many of the checks and balances we have added to the system in the past 30 years."

    https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2053410295159074957

    Fascinating admission of failure by @RishiSunak

    image

    I think the Rwanda policy was simply mad and an astonishing waste of scarce resources but Sunak is right that one of the reasons the mainstream parties died on Thursday is because people get completely fed up of governments who simply can't solve a problem.

    I think he is also right in saying that the problems governments have is the interventionist role played by our courts but he completely fails to recognise that it is politicians who have given the courts both the power and duty to do that.

    The answer to me is much more fundamental. It is withdrawal from the Convention on Refugees and passing legislation that those who come here by boat without our permission will simply be ejected because they have no rights whatsoever. But our political class are simply not up for that kind of law. Its much easier to blame the courts for enforcing the laws they passed.

    -------------------
    Blockquote failure - above is DavidL, below is me
    -------------------

    They suffer from a lack of imagination. Some of the refugee treaties are now out of date. The only options that ever even get discussed are staying in (and moaning about them) or leaving them. Two better options are creating a new one and inviting others to join, or setting out the reforms we want (most European countries want similar if not quite the same) and indicating we need it changed within 2 or 3 years max or we will then leave.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 35,238

    Sunak says that fixing democracy "will require scrapping many of the checks and balances we have added to the system in the past 30 years."

    https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2053410295159074957

    Fascinating admission of failure by @RishiSunak

    image

    That’s not true, though, is it, Rishi? The Conservatives deliberately gummed up the process: the time for cases to be processed shot up, deportations fell, numbers needing to be housed increased. It’s convenient for them to then blame the results on someone else.

    Sunak says that fixing democracy "will require scrapping many of the checks and balances we have added to the system in the past 30 years."

    https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2053410295159074957

    Fascinating admission of failure by @RishiSunak

    image

    That’s not true, though, is it, Rishi? The Conservatives deliberately gummed up the process: the time for cases to be processed shot up, deportations fell, numbers needing to be housed increased. It’s convenient for them to then blame the results on someone else.

    Ministers don't even have the power to enforce manifesto commitments these days, so how exactly did 'Conservatives' have the power to micro-manage the system to slow down, even if they'd wanted to?
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 5,446

    Sunak says that fixing democracy "will require scrapping many of the checks and balances we have added to the system in the past 30 years."

    https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2053410295159074957

    Fascinating admission of failure by @RishiSunak

    image

    'Because of the courts' intervention' means because of the present law. Parliament is able to change the law.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,821
    Catching up with BBC Wales. The reporters cannot contain their excitement at Plaid's win.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 59,791
    nico67 said:

    https://x.com/Tony_Diver/status/2053482405470584962

    EXCLUSIVE

    Wes Streeting has told Sir Keir Starmer that he is preparing his case to be the next Prime Minister, the Telegraph can disclose.

    An ally says: “Wes has made it clear to No10 that he won’t challenge Keir, but he is preparing a case if it all falls apart.

    “Like most of the party, he thinks Keir is owed the chance to set out how he’s going to turn things around this week. He’s not plotting.”

    If Streeting does launch a leadership campaign, I understand he will argue that he is the only candidate who can beat Reform UK, after Labour held on to his local Redbridge council this week.

    He will point out that Angela Rayner’s council fell to Reform.

    This looks pretty desperate stuff from Streeting if he’s using council elections in his area to come to that conclusion.

    He has a paltry 500 vote majority . Elections are nationwide and Redbridge is hostile territory for Reform.

    I like Streeting and he’s a good communicator but there’s also the elephant in the room that he’s gay and how well will that go down in less socially liberal parts of the country?

    I couldn’t care less about his sexuality but others might .
    Only four of the 9 Redbridge Indy winners were in wards in Ilford North.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,181

    Catching up with BBC Wales. The reporters cannot contain their excitement at Plaid's win.

    You should be pleased - you voted for them
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 59,791
    nico67 said:

    nico67 said:

    https://x.com/Tony_Diver/status/2053482405470584962

    EXCLUSIVE

    Wes Streeting has told Sir Keir Starmer that he is preparing his case to be the next Prime Minister, the Telegraph can disclose.

    An ally says: “Wes has made it clear to No10 that he won’t challenge Keir, but he is preparing a case if it all falls apart.

    “Like most of the party, he thinks Keir is owed the chance to set out how he’s going to turn things around this week. He’s not plotting.”

    If Streeting does launch a leadership campaign, I understand he will argue that he is the only candidate who can beat Reform UK, after Labour held on to his local Redbridge council this week.

    He will point out that Angela Rayner’s council fell to Reform.

    This looks pretty desperate stuff from Streeting if he’s using council elections in his area to come to that conclusion.

    He has a paltry 500 vote majority . Elections are nationwide and Redbridge is hostile territory for Reform.

    I like Streeting and he’s a good communicator but there’s also the elephant in the room that he’s gay and how well will that go down in less socially liberal parts of the country?

    I couldn’t care less about his sexuality but others might .
    Which part of the Labour voting coalition do you think might have a problem with it?
    You know the answer ! It’s of course the so called Red Wall which personally I think is gone anyway . Of course it could also be an issue for parts of the Muslim community although they seem happy to support Polanski .
    Gay sex is legal in how many Muslim countries around the world?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,821

    https://x.com/andrewmarr9/status/2053490120834105669

    It appears to be happening. Wes ready to move and perhaps Angela as well

    I would be shocked if they don't.

    The papers are just making stuff up at the moment.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,435
    Breaking: bombshell statement from Rayner....
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,586
    edited May 10
    Angela Rayner has demanded Sir Keir Starmer allow Andy Burnham to return to Westminster.

    Sir Keir’s former deputy has told the Prime Minister it is time to “bring our best players into Parliament”, in a move that could pave the way for the Greater Manchester Mayor to challenge Sir Keir for the Labour leadership.

    Sir Keir is facing a make-or-break 24 hours, with a leadership challenge already expected on Monday from Catherine West, a backbencher, over Labour’s local election drubbing.

    However, while Ms Rayner criticised the “toxic” culture in No 10 and said it might be Labour’s “last chance” to reverse its fortunes, she stopped short of joining the more than 40 MPs who have called for Sir Keir to go.

    She said: “This is bigger than personalities, but it is time to acknowledge that blocking Andy Burnham was a mistake. We must show we understand the scale of change the moment calls for.

    “That means bringing our best players into Parliament – and embracing the type of agenda that has been successful at a local level, rather than reaching back to an agenda and politics that has failed people.”


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/05/10/keir-starmer-local-elections-latest-labour-leadership/
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,435

    nico67 said:

    https://x.com/Tony_Diver/status/2053482405470584962

    EXCLUSIVE

    Wes Streeting has told Sir Keir Starmer that he is preparing his case to be the next Prime Minister, the Telegraph can disclose.

    An ally says: “Wes has made it clear to No10 that he won’t challenge Keir, but he is preparing a case if it all falls apart.

    “Like most of the party, he thinks Keir is owed the chance to set out how he’s going to turn things around this week. He’s not plotting.”

    If Streeting does launch a leadership campaign, I understand he will argue that he is the only candidate who can beat Reform UK, after Labour held on to his local Redbridge council this week.

    He will point out that Angela Rayner’s council fell to Reform.

    This looks pretty desperate stuff from Streeting if he’s using council elections in his area to come to that conclusion.

    He has a paltry 500 vote majority . Elections are nationwide and Redbridge is hostile territory for Reform.

    I like Streeting and he’s a good communicator but there’s also the elephant in the room that he’s gay and how well will that go down in less socially liberal parts of the country?

    I couldn’t care less about his sexuality but others might .
    Only four of the 9 Redbridge Indy winners were in wards in Ilford North.
    I keep telling them that Wes is entirely safe in his patch
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,883
    edited May 10

    Angela Rayner has demanded Sir Keir Starmer allow Andy Burnham to return to Westminster.

    Sir Keir’s former deputy has told the Prime Minister it is time to “bring our best players into Parliament”, in a move that could pave the way for the Greater Manchester Mayor to challenge Sir Keir for the Labour leadership.

    Sir Keir is facing a make-or-break 24 hours, with a leadership challenge already expected on Monday from Catherine West, a backbencher, over Labour’s local election drubbing.

    However, while Ms Rayner criticised the “toxic” culture in No 10 and said it might be Labour’s “last chance” to reverse its fortunes, she stopped short of joining the more than 40 MPs who have called for Sir Keir to go.

    She said: “This is bigger than personalities, but it is time to acknowledge that blocking Andy Burnham was a mistake. We must show we understand the scale of change the moment calls for.

    “That means bringing our best players into Parliament – and embracing the type of agenda that has been successful at a local level, rather than reaching back to an agenda and politics that has failed people.”


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/05/10/keir-starmer-local-elections-latest-labour-leadership/

    "I would be absolutely gutted if Andy Burnham wasn't able to stand and all his supporters had to back me to block Wes Streeting."
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,821

    Catching up with BBC Wales. The reporters cannot contain their excitement at Plaid's win.

    You should be pleased - you voted for them
    I did and I am happy that they beat Reform, but BBC Wales News, ITV Wales News and S4C has been a hotbed of Welsh Nationalism since Gwynfor Evans threatened to hunger strike.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 59,791

    Labour's dilemma, and it's a huge dilemma, is, I think, that:

    1. Streeting is the most likely contender to take on both Farage and Polanski, and defeat them, and:

    2. Streeting is the least likely contender to be elected by the Labour Party to be its leader.

    And that's why there's such interest in Burnham, for whom 2. may not apply if he were an MP.

    The left hates Streeting - “he is privatising the NHS” etc - no way he wins back those who’ve gone Green.
    I've got a cream for that!
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,181

    Catching up with BBC Wales. The reporters cannot contain their excitement at Plaid's win.

    You should be pleased - you voted for them
    I did and I am happy that they beat Reform, but BBC Wales News, ITV Wales News and S4C has been a hotbed of Welsh Nationalism since Gwynfor Evans threatened to hunger strike.
    I am happy labour were shown the door and for many years to come
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,821
    Starmer is done.

    The rest are all jockeying for position whilst playing 12D chess.

    Ruthless barstewards.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,821

    Catching up with BBC Wales. The reporters cannot contain their excitement at Plaid's win.

    You should be pleased - you voted for them
    I did and I am happy that they beat Reform, but BBC Wales News, ITV Wales News and S4C has been a hotbed of Welsh Nationalism since Gwynfor Evans threatened to hunger strike.
    I am happy labour were shown the door and for many years to come
    I wasn't going to vote Labour anyway unless they were the only Party to threaten Team Farage.

    I don't have high hopes that this lot will be any better, although I might be wrong.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,789

    Catching up with BBC Wales. The reporters cannot contain their excitement at Plaid's win.

    Not watching but it wouldn't surprise me. Does anyone expect journalists to attempt impartiality anymore? Just do what makes you feel good.

  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 72,181

    I'm just glad the adults are back in charge and that Labour don't do endless psycho drama like the Tories.

    Oh wait...

    In under 2 years and a landslide win how on earth have labour descended into a full blown civil war ?
  • mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,878

    Angela Rayner has demanded Sir Keir Starmer allow Andy Burnham to return to Westminster.

    Sir Keir’s former deputy has told the Prime Minister it is time to “bring our best players into Parliament”, in a move that could pave the way for the Greater Manchester Mayor to challenge Sir Keir for the Labour leadership.

    Sir Keir is facing a make-or-break 24 hours, with a leadership challenge already expected on Monday from Catherine West, a backbencher, over Labour’s local election drubbing.

    However, while Ms Rayner criticised the “toxic” culture in No 10 and said it might be Labour’s “last chance” to reverse its fortunes, she stopped short of joining the more than 40 MPs who have called for Sir Keir to go.

    She said: “This is bigger than personalities, but it is time to acknowledge that blocking Andy Burnham was a mistake. We must show we understand the scale of change the moment calls for.

    “That means bringing our best players into Parliament – and embracing the type of agenda that has been successful at a local level, rather than reaching back to an agenda and politics that has failed people.”


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/05/10/keir-starmer-local-elections-latest-labour-leadership/

    Wow. This must be a huge problem if the only person that can save Labour is...checks notes...Andy Burnham.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 56,866

    FPT...

    Leon said:

    maxh said:

    A slightly convoluted but genuine question for the Reform and Reform-lite types on here, given that Reform seems to have well and truly 'arrived' (and putting aside a debate about whether they have peaked):

    I can understand support for Reform if you are only looking at part of the picture. Specifically I understand, though I disagree with it, the argument that says our problems stem from immigration and if only we would get a grip on immigration we'd be better off. I can entirely understand why many of the country would only look at part of the picture, and be convinced by the sentence above given that the alternatives offered by Labour and the Tories seem to have achieved nothing. I have a great deal of sympathy for the kinds of places Cookie mentioned in his visit to 'Reformland'.

    However, to me this argument relies on a fundamental dehumanising view of immigrants. I don't in any way buy the 'all immigrants are basically 25 year old terrorists in waiting posing as 16 year old kids'. I start from the position that all humans have equal worth, and people do things for good reasons. So in my view, morally, immigrants are to be celebrated for their bravery in often defying horrendous odds to try to escape persecution, poverty etc and to better their lives and that of their families. This, to me, is the other part of the picture that I refer to above.

    In my view the counterargument to this can only be an acceptance of failure. The argument would go: we should be strong, wealthy and generous enough to be able to accommodate significant immigration. However, because our political and economic system tends to make the least advantaged members of society deal with the brunt of immigration, and because we aren't willing to invest in the public services required to assimilate immigrants properly, the least worst option is to prevent them arriving. The argument 'they're safe in France' is a variant of this, in my view.

    The only alternatives is can see to this is:
    1. Unalloyed racism: Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity.
    2. A (in my view up unjustifiable) commitment to nationalism: just because I was born on this side of the border I should get prosperity and those unfortunate enough to be on the other side shouldn't.

    Is all of the above right? Or am I missing something? To be clear, I'm not asking the average voter to engage in this convoluted argument, but I am interested in those on who would seek to intellectually justify a Reform position.

    @Leon given you seem to be up and about I'm particularly interested in your take. @Luckyguy1983 yours too. @taz I don't think you're a Reform supporter but I think I'm right that you have some sympathy for the immigration arguments.

    I can’t give you the long eloquent answer your prolix question probably deserves, mainly because I can’t be arsed

    But I’ll give you the short brutal answer. Yes, I believe many of our problems (obvs not all) come from immigration legal and illegal. From the surging rape rates to new sectarian politics to the crippling benefits bill to the threat of terror to the pressure on housing and public services, and much much more (too much to go into)

    Only one party seems to have the cullions to deal with this. Reform. The Tories have lost my trust after 14 years, especially after the Boriswave (for which Boris should go to jail)

    That’s it
    Thanks for the question Maxh.

    I think what has been agreed across the board, including by Starmer, is that the 'Boriswave' has seen immigration on a scale where successful integration (let alone assimilation) is simply not possible. That isn't a judgement on people, it's just a fact. Neither our welfare system nor our society can cope with immigration at that speed, in those numbers, from those places. So regrettably, those people must return home.

    With regard to the wider point about Reform's attitude to immigration, Reform are civic nationalists. They don't care about colour or religion (prominent figures are Muslim), but loyalty to the State. So religion is something for the private sphere, strict crackdown on Sharia, probably banning the Burqa and Niquab, and end to the 'community policing' approach that has let some communities police themselves, but if you choose to be 'one of us' you are welcome. I cannot disagree with this approach. There simply cannot be any long-term sense in giving bunk space to large numbers of people whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate. What happens when there's a war (God forbid) and everyone needs to sign up? A nation needs some sort of glue to hold it together.

    I also don't take your point that 'Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity = unnalloyed racism'. It is not that we are more worthy of it, but we should certainly expect that our Government prioritises it over the wealth and prosperity of other peoples - that is what any Government must do, and it seems to be a uniquely British approach that the wellbeing of non-British subjects should be prioritised above those of British ones. It breaks the social contract.

    This civic nationalism approach is different to Restore, which has very prominent supporters and figures (not their actual policies as yet) who are ethno-nationalists. They believe in a particular sense of belonging here for those with British descent, and that mass migration as a whole needs to be reversed, and the country of The Haywane and Miss Marple 'restored'.
    This rhetoric around those "whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate" is the sort of nonsense we had in this country for centuries around Catholics. The same gumpf was still being said in the US when JFK stood.

    Nigel Farage's loyalty lies either to the guy in Thailand who gave him £5 million, or to his idol Donald Trump. He's clearly happy to distort policy to satisfy both of them. Can we chuck Farage out of the country?
    It's not all nonsense though, is it. We've just seen a bunch of 'independents' elected primarily because a section of society cares mostly about Gaza than anything else. You also see it in the cricket. When Pakistan, India, Bangladesh etc okay tests in England the stands are chock full of second and third generation Asians supporting the touring sides. I have no issues with that and identity is tricky for some. It's easy for me - I suspect my Wiltshire roots reach back to before the disappearance of Dogger land. But it's less easy for the children of immigrants.
    People care about different things: I know a bunch of people who are very aggravated about Gaza, and they’re all white, middle class atheists. Look at much of the leadership of the Palestine Solidarity Campaign for the same!

    People are complicated. They can have different identities and connections to different parts of the world. Those connections can be through birth, through heritage, through choice or through accident. That’s not a bad thing. It’s not a problem that needs fixing.

    @Sandpit has a Ukrainian wife and lives in the UAE. Must we be scared in case his loyalties are split? @rcs1000 mostly lives in the US. Where do his loyalties lie? No, the question is only phrased about brown people, with a racist assumption that every Muslim must be suspected of supporting a global caliphate.

    @Luckyguy1983 rhetorically asked what happens if there’s a war. Well, we’ve fought numerous wars with or in Muslim countries over many decades, and the country didn’t fall over because all the Muslims refused to join up. There’s no scary fifth column. Let’s treat people as people.
    Indeed in both the world wars lots of Muslims volunteered to fight in British Imperial forces, why should any future war be different?
  • To staunch the bleeding heart of @nico67 and others on here, I did some actual research on Indefinite Leave to Remain

    Anyone who gets ILR is told lots of things, including this crucial paragraph:

    "ILR is not the same as citizenship. While ILR grants permanent residence rights, it can be lost through extended absences from the UK (over 2 years) or serious criminal convictions. Only British citizenship provides truly permanent status that cannot be revoked under normal circumstances."

    So they are made aware that it is contingent. That it CAN be revoked. There. Now that's settled, we can all calm down
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,821

    Catching up with BBC Wales. The reporters cannot contain their excitement at Plaid's win.

    Not watching but it wouldn't surprise me. Does anyone expect journalists to attempt impartiality anymore? Just do what makes you feel good.

    TBF they have all been waiting for this moment since 1980.
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 5,446

    Angela Rayner has demanded Sir Keir Starmer allow Andy Burnham to return to Westminster.

    Sir Keir’s former deputy has told the Prime Minister it is time to “bring our best players into Parliament”, in a move that could pave the way for the Greater Manchester Mayor to challenge Sir Keir for the Labour leadership.

    Sir Keir is facing a make-or-break 24 hours, with a leadership challenge already expected on Monday from Catherine West, a backbencher, over Labour’s local election drubbing.

    However, while Ms Rayner criticised the “toxic” culture in No 10 and said it might be Labour’s “last chance” to reverse its fortunes, she stopped short of joining the more than 40 MPs who have called for Sir Keir to go.

    She said: “This is bigger than personalities, but it is time to acknowledge that blocking Andy Burnham was a mistake. We must show we understand the scale of change the moment calls for.

    “That means bringing our best players into Parliament – and embracing the type of agenda that has been successful at a local level, rather than reaching back to an agenda and politics that has failed people.”


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2026/05/10/keir-starmer-local-elections-latest-labour-leadership/

    When you think how Mr Burnham compared to the front rank politicians when he was in parliament, that says quite a lot about the present day.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,883

    FPT...

    Leon said:

    maxh said:

    A slightly convoluted but genuine question for the Reform and Reform-lite types on here, given that Reform seems to have well and truly 'arrived' (and putting aside a debate about whether they have peaked):

    I can understand support for Reform if you are only looking at part of the picture. Specifically I understand, though I disagree with it, the argument that says our problems stem from immigration and if only we would get a grip on immigration we'd be better off. I can entirely understand why many of the country would only look at part of the picture, and be convinced by the sentence above given that the alternatives offered by Labour and the Tories seem to have achieved nothing. I have a great deal of sympathy for the kinds of places Cookie mentioned in his visit to 'Reformland'.

    However, to me this argument relies on a fundamental dehumanising view of immigrants. I don't in any way buy the 'all immigrants are basically 25 year old terrorists in waiting posing as 16 year old kids'. I start from the position that all humans have equal worth, and people do things for good reasons. So in my view, morally, immigrants are to be celebrated for their bravery in often defying horrendous odds to try to escape persecution, poverty etc and to better their lives and that of their families. This, to me, is the other part of the picture that I refer to above.

    In my view the counterargument to this can only be an acceptance of failure. The argument would go: we should be strong, wealthy and generous enough to be able to accommodate significant immigration. However, because our political and economic system tends to make the least advantaged members of society deal with the brunt of immigration, and because we aren't willing to invest in the public services required to assimilate immigrants properly, the least worst option is to prevent them arriving. The argument 'they're safe in France' is a variant of this, in my view.

    The only alternatives is can see to this is:
    1. Unalloyed racism: Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity.
    2. A (in my view up unjustifiable) commitment to nationalism: just because I was born on this side of the border I should get prosperity and those unfortunate enough to be on the other side shouldn't.

    Is all of the above right? Or am I missing something? To be clear, I'm not asking the average voter to engage in this convoluted argument, but I am interested in those on who would seek to intellectually justify a Reform position.

    @Leon given you seem to be up and about I'm particularly interested in your take. @Luckyguy1983 yours too. @taz I don't think you're a Reform supporter but I think I'm right that you have some sympathy for the immigration arguments.

    I can’t give you the long eloquent answer your prolix question probably deserves, mainly because I can’t be arsed

    But I’ll give you the short brutal answer. Yes, I believe many of our problems (obvs not all) come from immigration legal and illegal. From the surging rape rates to new sectarian politics to the crippling benefits bill to the threat of terror to the pressure on housing and public services, and much much more (too much to go into)

    Only one party seems to have the cullions to deal with this. Reform. The Tories have lost my trust after 14 years, especially after the Boriswave (for which Boris should go to jail)

    That’s it
    Thanks for the question Maxh.

    I think what has been agreed across the board, including by Starmer, is that the 'Boriswave' has seen immigration on a scale where successful integration (let alone assimilation) is simply not possible. That isn't a judgement on people, it's just a fact. Neither our welfare system nor our society can cope with immigration at that speed, in those numbers, from those places. So regrettably, those people must return home.

    With regard to the wider point about Reform's attitude to immigration, Reform are civic nationalists. They don't care about colour or religion (prominent figures are Muslim), but loyalty to the State. So religion is something for the private sphere, strict crackdown on Sharia, probably banning the Burqa and Niquab, and end to the 'community policing' approach that has let some communities police themselves, but if you choose to be 'one of us' you are welcome. I cannot disagree with this approach. There simply cannot be any long-term sense in giving bunk space to large numbers of people whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate. What happens when there's a war (God forbid) and everyone needs to sign up? A nation needs some sort of glue to hold it together.

    I also don't take your point that 'Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity = unnalloyed racism'. It is not that we are more worthy of it, but we should certainly expect that our Government prioritises it over the wealth and prosperity of other peoples - that is what any Government must do, and it seems to be a uniquely British approach that the wellbeing of non-British subjects should be prioritised above those of British ones. It breaks the social contract.

    This civic nationalism approach is different to Restore, which has very prominent supporters and figures (not their actual policies as yet) who are ethno-nationalists. They believe in a particular sense of belonging here for those with British descent, and that mass migration as a whole needs to be reversed, and the country of The Haywane and Miss Marple 'restored'.
    This rhetoric around those "whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate" is the sort of nonsense we had in this country for centuries around Catholics. The same gumpf was still being said in the US when JFK stood.

    Nigel Farage's loyalty lies either to the guy in Thailand who gave him £5 million, or to his idol Donald Trump. He's clearly happy to distort policy to satisfy both of them. Can we chuck Farage out of the country?
    It's not all nonsense though, is it. We've just seen a bunch of 'independents' elected primarily because a section of society cares mostly about Gaza than anything else. You also see it in the cricket. When Pakistan, India, Bangladesh etc okay tests in England the stands are chock full of second and third generation Asians supporting the touring sides. I have no issues with that and identity is tricky for some. It's easy for me - I suspect my Wiltshire roots reach back to before the disappearance of Dogger land. But it's less easy for the children of immigrants.
    People care about different things: I know a bunch of people who are very aggravated about Gaza, and they’re all white, middle class atheists. Look at much of the leadership of the Palestine Solidarity Campaign for the same!

    People are complicated. They can have different identities and connections to different parts of the world. Those connections can be through birth, through heritage, through choice or through accident. That’s not a bad thing. It’s not a problem that needs fixing.

    @Sandpit has a Ukrainian wife and lives in the UAE. Must we be scared in case his loyalties are split? @rcs1000 mostly lives in the US. Where do his loyalties lie? No, the question is only phrased about brown people, with a racist assumption that every Muslim must be suspected of supporting a global caliphate.

    @Luckyguy1983 rhetorically asked what happens if there’s a war. Well, we’ve fought numerous wars with or in Muslim countries over many decades, and the country didn’t fall over because all the Muslims refused to join up. There’s no scary fifth column. Let’s treat people as people.
    It's all very well to say that we should treat people as people but then how would you interpret someone like Lutfur Rahman controlling Tower Hamlets? The reality is we have had immigration not only of people as individuals but of peoples as groups, and this is now having electoral consequences.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 35,238
    maxh said:

    AnthonyT said:

    @maxh

    "I'm still not sure it answers the question of why immigrants should be less able to access the opportunities that exist in the UK than people born here."

    Because what your questions in your post utterly ignore are that a nation is a home and that people in that home are entitled to decide who joins their family. You talk about dehumanising immigrants but your post dehumanises those already living here by denying them any agency at all in who is allowed to join them - and in what numbers. You assume that if a migrant wants to come here (and your post confuses migrants and asylum seekers) that is the only factor: he or she wants, he or she has some gumption so he or she gets.

    But what about people born and living here? Do they not get a say?

    I am not a Reform supporter so cannot speak for them.

    But people in a country should have agency over who is permitted to join them because the country is their home and homes are not open to anyone, regardless of who they are or what they bring, to anyone who demands entry.

    That sense of home, of "this is us, this is who we are", of a social contract, of burden sharing, of mutual obligations, of trust, of control are essential to any well-functioning society, any group - frankly - including a school - which you should understand - and certainly a nation. Mass immigration with little control and with a sense of contempt for those feeling that their home has been changed without their consent and in ways they don't like breaks that down and fractures society. That is I think at the root of why people who feel this turn to Reform in the absence of other more established parties paying any attention to their concerns.

    This article by Matthew Syed describes this well - https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/reform-uk-local-election-result-stoke-r23mtlhbp

    @AnthonyT thanks for the reply. The content of your post makes me think you are misunderstanding my position, but reading my own post I can see why - I was trying to write about both asylum seekers and economic migrants without sufficiently distinguishing the two.

    I agree that home, culture and the social contract is important. As I hope I made clear, I have huge sympathy for those who are bearing the brunt of economic migration (a previous girlfriend's grandparents lived on a street in Peterborough that experienced enormous culture change in a short space of time that massively disrupted their sense of place and of home, about which they were powerless. Watching it happen was quite a formative experience for me).

    I am reluctantly supportive of the main thrust of my original post - that, despite being one of the wealthiest countries on earth, we seem not to be able to afford to provide adequately for our own citizens, nor for migrants. I lament this but I don't deny it. I do not assume that if a migrant wants to come here they should be allowed to. I can entirely understand why in practice we need to restrict inward migration. I agree the scale of migration in the last few years was a mistake, especially after a decade or more of austerity.

    I am interested in the justification for refusing entry to a migrant, or an asylum seeker, though. (I realise even now I may be being very unclear, apologies).

    As an aside I don't believe the nation or country has the role you are claiming for it. Communities and smaller groups do. We drape ourselves in flags to try to pretend the country (or at least the state) is home, but for most people home is the community around them. I think Reform are selling a nonsense to communities in Peterborough and elsewhere that by making the nation or the state 'home', their lives will improve. There remains huge inequality within our country and I do not believe Reform will address this, in fact I think the opposite will happen.

    But the central thrust of my disagreement with you is that someone who happens to have been born in UK or has citizenship somehow 'deserves' to have the power to create the sort of home you write of, whereas someone born in a poorer part of the world does not. I am not arguing that the former doesn't deserve this power. I think they do. I just think migrants of whatever form also do.
    Your rejection of the role nation state isn't borne out by history. If you look at the peoples that have been enslaved, from the Balkans to the West African tribes, it happened when people had no nation state to protect them.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 6,305
    edited May 10
    So, are we saying the Labour left think more of an Oppan contest, with Burnham as their Golden boy would be more APT.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,821

    FPT...

    Leon said:

    maxh said:

    A slightly convoluted but genuine question for the Reform and Reform-lite types on here, given that Reform seems to have well and truly 'arrived' (and putting aside a debate about whether they have peaked):

    I can understand support for Reform if you are only looking at part of the picture. Specifically I understand, though I disagree with it, the argument that says our problems stem from immigration and if only we would get a grip on immigration we'd be better off. I can entirely understand why many of the country would only look at part of the picture, and be convinced by the sentence above given that the alternatives offered by Labour and the Tories seem to have achieved nothing. I have a great deal of sympathy for the kinds of places Cookie mentioned in his visit to 'Reformland'.

    However, to me this argument relies on a fundamental dehumanising view of immigrants. I don't in any way buy the 'all immigrants are basically 25 year old terrorists in waiting posing as 16 year old kids'. I start from the position that all humans have equal worth, and people do things for good reasons. So in my view, morally, immigrants are to be celebrated for their bravery in often defying horrendous odds to try to escape persecution, poverty etc and to better their lives and that of their families. This, to me, is the other part of the picture that I refer to above.

    In my view the counterargument to this can only be an acceptance of failure. The argument would go: we should be strong, wealthy and generous enough to be able to accommodate significant immigration. However, because our political and economic system tends to make the least advantaged members of society deal with the brunt of immigration, and because we aren't willing to invest in the public services required to assimilate immigrants properly, the least worst option is to prevent them arriving. The argument 'they're safe in France' is a variant of this, in my view.

    The only alternatives is can see to this is:
    1. Unalloyed racism: Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity.
    2. A (in my view up unjustifiable) commitment to nationalism: just because I was born on this side of the border I should get prosperity and those unfortunate enough to be on the other side shouldn't.

    Is all of the above right? Or am I missing something? To be clear, I'm not asking the average voter to engage in this convoluted argument, but I am interested in those on who would seek to intellectually justify a Reform position.

    @Leon given you seem to be up and about I'm particularly interested in your take. @Luckyguy1983 yours too. @taz I don't think you're a Reform supporter but I think I'm right that you have some sympathy for the immigration arguments.

    I can’t give you the long eloquent answer your prolix question probably deserves, mainly because I can’t be arsed

    But I’ll give you the short brutal answer. Yes, I believe many of our problems (obvs not all) come from immigration legal and illegal. From the surging rape rates to new sectarian politics to the crippling benefits bill to the threat of terror to the pressure on housing and public services, and much much more (too much to go into)

    Only one party seems to have the cullions to deal with this. Reform. The Tories have lost my trust after 14 years, especially after the Boriswave (for which Boris should go to jail)

    That’s it
    Thanks for the question Maxh.

    I think what has been agreed across the board, including by Starmer, is that the 'Boriswave' has seen immigration on a scale where successful integration (let alone assimilation) is simply not possible. That isn't a judgement on people, it's just a fact. Neither our welfare system nor our society can cope with immigration at that speed, in those numbers, from those places. So regrettably, those people must return home.

    With regard to the wider point about Reform's attitude to immigration, Reform are civic nationalists. They don't care about colour or religion (prominent figures are Muslim), but loyalty to the State. So religion is something for the private sphere, strict crackdown on Sharia, probably banning the Burqa and Niquab, and end to the 'community policing' approach that has let some communities police themselves, but if you choose to be 'one of us' you are welcome. I cannot disagree with this approach. There simply cannot be any long-term sense in giving bunk space to large numbers of people whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate. What happens when there's a war (God forbid) and everyone needs to sign up? A nation needs some sort of glue to hold it together.

    I also don't take your point that 'Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity = unnalloyed racism'. It is not that we are more worthy of it, but we should certainly expect that our Government prioritises it over the wealth and prosperity of other peoples - that is what any Government must do, and it seems to be a uniquely British approach that the wellbeing of non-British subjects should be prioritised above those of British ones. It breaks the social contract.

    This civic nationalism approach is different to Restore, which has very prominent supporters and figures (not their actual policies as yet) who are ethno-nationalists. They believe in a particular sense of belonging here for those with British descent, and that mass migration as a whole needs to be reversed, and the country of The Haywane and Miss Marple 'restored'.
    This rhetoric around those "whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate" is the sort of nonsense we had in this country for centuries around Catholics. The same gumpf was still being said in the US when JFK stood.

    Nigel Farage's loyalty lies either to the guy in Thailand who gave him £5 million, or to his idol Donald Trump. He's clearly happy to distort policy to satisfy both of them. Can we chuck Farage out of the country?
    It's not all nonsense though, is it. We've just seen a bunch of 'independents' elected primarily because a section of society cares mostly about Gaza than anything else. You also see it in the cricket. When Pakistan, India, Bangladesh etc okay tests in England the stands are chock full of second and third generation Asians supporting the touring sides. I have no issues with that and identity is tricky for some. It's easy for me - I suspect my Wiltshire roots reach back to before the disappearance of Dogger land. But it's less easy for the children of immigrants.
    People care about different things: I know a bunch of people who are very aggravated about Gaza, and they’re all white, middle class atheists. Look at much of the leadership of the Palestine Solidarity Campaign for the same!

    People are complicated. They can have different identities and connections to different parts of the world. Those connections can be through birth, through heritage, through choice or through accident. That’s not a bad thing. It’s not a problem that needs fixing.

    @Sandpit has a Ukrainian wife and lives in the UAE. Must we be scared in case his loyalties are split? @rcs1000 mostly lives in the US. Where do his loyalties lie? No, the question is only phrased about brown people, with a racist assumption that every Muslim must be suspected of supporting a global caliphate.

    @Luckyguy1983 rhetorically asked what happens if there’s a war. Well, we’ve fought numerous wars with or in Muslim countries over many decades, and the country didn’t fall over because all the Muslims refused to join up. There’s no scary fifth column. Let’s treat people as people.
    It's all very well to say that we should treat people as people but then how would you interpret someone like Lutfur Rahman controlling Tower Hamlets? The reality is we have had immigration not only of people as individuals but of peoples as groups, and this is now having electoral consequences.
    Just wait until I tell you all about Northern Ireland.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 66,609

    Sunak says that fixing democracy "will require scrapping many of the checks and balances we have added to the system in the past 30 years."

    https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2053410295159074957

    Fascinating admission of failure by @RishiSunak

    image

    I just read that article.

    He argues for a return to the pre-1998 situation before judicial activism where a decision is only overturned if it was so unreasonable that no reasonable person could have foreseen it.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 66,609

    Sunak says that fixing democracy "will require scrapping many of the checks and balances we have added to the system in the past 30 years."

    https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2053410295159074957

    Fascinating admission of failure by @RishiSunak

    image

    That’s not true, though, is it, Rishi? The Conservatives deliberately gummed up the process: the time for cases to be processed shot up, deportations fell, numbers needing to be housed increased. It’s convenient for them to then blame the results on someone else.

    All housed in four star hotels.

    ****
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 66,609
    ydoethur said:

    That last line...

    And compared to Truss, he was the sane one.
    He's spot on.

    That's factually true.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 17,567

    FPT...

    Leon said:

    maxh said:

    A slightly convoluted but genuine question for the Reform and Reform-lite types on here, given that Reform seems to have well and truly 'arrived' (and putting aside a debate about whether they have peaked):

    I can understand support for Reform if you are only looking at part of the picture. Specifically I understand, though I disagree with it, the argument that says our problems stem from immigration and if only we would get a grip on immigration we'd be better off. I can entirely understand why many of the country would only look at part of the picture, and be convinced by the sentence above given that the alternatives offered by Labour and the Tories seem to have achieved nothing. I have a great deal of sympathy for the kinds of places Cookie mentioned in his visit to 'Reformland'.

    However, to me this argument relies on a fundamental dehumanising view of immigrants. I don't in any way buy the 'all immigrants are basically 25 year old terrorists in waiting posing as 16 year old kids'. I start from the position that all humans have equal worth, and people do things for good reasons. So in my view, morally, immigrants are to be celebrated for their bravery in often defying horrendous odds to try to escape persecution, poverty etc and to better their lives and that of their families. This, to me, is the other part of the picture that I refer to above.

    In my view the counterargument to this can only be an acceptance of failure. The argument would go: we should be strong, wealthy and generous enough to be able to accommodate significant immigration. However, because our political and economic system tends to make the least advantaged members of society deal with the brunt of immigration, and because we aren't willing to invest in the public services required to assimilate immigrants properly, the least worst option is to prevent them arriving. The argument 'they're safe in France' is a variant of this, in my view.

    The only alternatives is can see to this is:
    1. Unalloyed racism: Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity.
    2. A (in my view up unjustifiable) commitment to nationalism: just because I was born on this side of the border I should get prosperity and those unfortunate enough to be on the other side shouldn't.

    Is all of the above right? Or am I missing something? To be clear, I'm not asking the average voter to engage in this convoluted argument, but I am interested in those on who would seek to intellectually justify a Reform position.

    @Leon given you seem to be up and about I'm particularly interested in your take. @Luckyguy1983 yours too. @taz I don't think you're a Reform supporter but I think I'm right that you have some sympathy for the immigration arguments.

    I can’t give you the long eloquent answer your prolix question probably deserves, mainly because I can’t be arsed

    But I’ll give you the short brutal answer. Yes, I believe many of our problems (obvs not all) come from immigration legal and illegal. From the surging rape rates to new sectarian politics to the crippling benefits bill to the threat of terror to the pressure on housing and public services, and much much more (too much to go into)

    Only one party seems to have the cullions to deal with this. Reform. The Tories have lost my trust after 14 years, especially after the Boriswave (for which Boris should go to jail)

    That’s it
    Thanks for the question Maxh.

    I think what has been agreed across the board, including by Starmer, is that the 'Boriswave' has seen immigration on a scale where successful integration (let alone assimilation) is simply not possible. That isn't a judgement on people, it's just a fact. Neither our welfare system nor our society can cope with immigration at that speed, in those numbers, from those places. So regrettably, those people must return home.

    With regard to the wider point about Reform's attitude to immigration, Reform are civic nationalists. They don't care about colour or religion (prominent figures are Muslim), but loyalty to the State. So religion is something for the private sphere, strict crackdown on Sharia, probably banning the Burqa and Niquab, and end to the 'community policing' approach that has let some communities police themselves, but if you choose to be 'one of us' you are welcome. I cannot disagree with this approach. There simply cannot be any long-term sense in giving bunk space to large numbers of people whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate. What happens when there's a war (God forbid) and everyone needs to sign up? A nation needs some sort of glue to hold it together.

    I also don't take your point that 'Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity = unnalloyed racism'. It is not that we are more worthy of it, but we should certainly expect that our Government prioritises it over the wealth and prosperity of other peoples - that is what any Government must do, and it seems to be a uniquely British approach that the wellbeing of non-British subjects should be prioritised above those of British ones. It breaks the social contract.

    This civic nationalism approach is different to Restore, which has very prominent supporters and figures (not their actual policies as yet) who are ethno-nationalists. They believe in a particular sense of belonging here for those with British descent, and that mass migration as a whole needs to be reversed, and the country of The Haywane and Miss Marple 'restored'.
    This rhetoric around those "whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate" is the sort of nonsense we had in this country for centuries around Catholics. The same gumpf was still being said in the US when JFK stood.

    Nigel Farage's loyalty lies either to the guy in Thailand who gave him £5 million, or to his idol Donald Trump. He's clearly happy to distort policy to satisfy both of them. Can we chuck Farage out of the country?
    It's not all nonsense though, is it. We've just seen a bunch of 'independents' elected primarily because a section of society cares mostly about Gaza than anything else. You also see it in the cricket. When Pakistan, India, Bangladesh etc okay tests in England the stands are chock full of second and third generation Asians supporting the touring sides. I have no issues with that and identity is tricky for some. It's easy for me - I suspect my Wiltshire roots reach back to before the disappearance of Dogger land. But it's less easy for the children of immigrants.
    People care about different things: I know a bunch of people who are very aggravated about Gaza, and they’re all white, middle class atheists. Look at much of the leadership of the Palestine Solidarity Campaign for the same!

    People are complicated. They can have different identities and connections to different parts of the world. Those connections can be through birth, through heritage, through choice or through accident. That’s not a bad thing. It’s not a problem that needs fixing.

    @Sandpit has a Ukrainian wife and lives in the UAE. Must we be scared in case his loyalties are split? @rcs1000 mostly lives in the US. Where do his loyalties lie? No, the question is only phrased about brown people, with a racist assumption that every Muslim must be suspected of supporting a global caliphate.

    @Luckyguy1983 rhetorically asked what happens if there’s a war. Well, we’ve fought numerous wars with or in Muslim countries over many decades, and the country didn’t fall over because all the Muslims refused to join up. There’s no scary fifth column. Let’s treat people as people.
    It's all very well to say that we should treat people as people but then how would you interpret someone like Lutfur Rahman controlling Tower Hamlets? The reality is we have had immigration not only of people as individuals but of peoples as groups, and this is now having electoral consequences.
    Just wait until I tell you all about Northern Ireland.
    I would argue that we should actively be trying to avoid that outcome on the mainland though.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 64,491

    Sunak says that fixing democracy "will require scrapping many of the checks and balances we have added to the system in the past 30 years."

    https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2053410295159074957

    Fascinating admission of failure by @RishiSunak

    image

    I just read that article.

    He argues for a return to the pre-1998 situation before judicial activism where a decision is only overturned if it was so unreasonable that no reasonable person could have foreseen it.

    I think he misses one important point: politicians liked handing things off to judges, because it enabled them to escape responsibility for unpopular decisions.
  • Angela Rayner in effect articulates what I thought Labour were promising in 2024.

    She cannot be the next PM. But her analysis seems very astute to me.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 20,969

    FPT...

    Leon said:

    maxh said:

    A slightly convoluted but genuine question for the Reform and Reform-lite types on here, given that Reform seems to have well and truly 'arrived' (and putting aside a debate about whether they have peaked):

    I can understand support for Reform if you are only looking at part of the picture. Specifically I understand, though I disagree with it, the argument that says our problems stem from immigration and if only we would get a grip on immigration we'd be better off. I can entirely understand why many of the country would only look at part of the picture, and be convinced by the sentence above given that the alternatives offered by Labour and the Tories seem to have achieved nothing. I have a great deal of sympathy for the kinds of places Cookie mentioned in his visit to 'Reformland'.

    However, to me this argument relies on a fundamental dehumanising view of immigrants. I don't in any way buy the 'all immigrants are basically 25 year old terrorists in waiting posing as 16 year old kids'. I start from the position that all humans have equal worth, and people do things for good reasons. So in my view, morally, immigrants are to be celebrated for their bravery in often defying horrendous odds to try to escape persecution, poverty etc and to better their lives and that of their families. This, to me, is the other part of the picture that I refer to above.

    In my view the counterargument to this can only be an acceptance of failure. The argument would go: we should be strong, wealthy and generous enough to be able to accommodate significant immigration. However, because our political and economic system tends to make the least advantaged members of society deal with the brunt of immigration, and because we aren't willing to invest in the public services required to assimilate immigrants properly, the least worst option is to prevent them arriving. The argument 'they're safe in France' is a variant of this, in my view.

    The only alternatives is can see to this is:
    1. Unalloyed racism: Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity.
    2. A (in my view up unjustifiable) commitment to nationalism: just because I was born on this side of the border I should get prosperity and those unfortunate enough to be on the other side shouldn't.

    Is all of the above right? Or am I missing something? To be clear, I'm not asking the average voter to engage in this convoluted argument, but I am interested in those on who would seek to intellectually justify a Reform position.

    @Leon given you seem to be up and about I'm particularly interested in your take. @Luckyguy1983 yours too. @taz I don't think you're a Reform supporter but I think I'm right that you have some sympathy for the immigration arguments.

    I can’t give you the long eloquent answer your prolix question probably deserves, mainly because I can’t be arsed

    But I’ll give you the short brutal answer. Yes, I believe many of our problems (obvs not all) come from immigration legal and illegal. From the surging rape rates to new sectarian politics to the crippling benefits bill to the threat of terror to the pressure on housing and public services, and much much more (too much to go into)

    Only one party seems to have the cullions to deal with this. Reform. The Tories have lost my trust after 14 years, especially after the Boriswave (for which Boris should go to jail)

    That’s it
    Thanks for the question Maxh.

    I think what has been agreed across the board, including by Starmer, is that the 'Boriswave' has seen immigration on a scale where successful integration (let alone assimilation) is simply not possible. That isn't a judgement on people, it's just a fact. Neither our welfare system nor our society can cope with immigration at that speed, in those numbers, from those places. So regrettably, those people must return home.

    With regard to the wider point about Reform's attitude to immigration, Reform are civic nationalists. They don't care about colour or religion (prominent figures are Muslim), but loyalty to the State. So religion is something for the private sphere, strict crackdown on Sharia, probably banning the Burqa and Niquab, and end to the 'community policing' approach that has let some communities police themselves, but if you choose to be 'one of us' you are welcome. I cannot disagree with this approach. There simply cannot be any long-term sense in giving bunk space to large numbers of people whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate. What happens when there's a war (God forbid) and everyone needs to sign up? A nation needs some sort of glue to hold it together.

    I also don't take your point that 'Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity = unnalloyed racism'. It is not that we are more worthy of it, but we should certainly expect that our Government prioritises it over the wealth and prosperity of other peoples - that is what any Government must do, and it seems to be a uniquely British approach that the wellbeing of non-British subjects should be prioritised above those of British ones. It breaks the social contract.

    This civic nationalism approach is different to Restore, which has very prominent supporters and figures (not their actual policies as yet) who are ethno-nationalists. They believe in a particular sense of belonging here for those with British descent, and that mass migration as a whole needs to be reversed, and the country of The Haywane and Miss Marple 'restored'.
    This rhetoric around those "whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate" is the sort of nonsense we had in this country for centuries around Catholics. The same gumpf was still being said in the US when JFK stood.

    Nigel Farage's loyalty lies either to the guy in Thailand who gave him £5 million, or to his idol Donald Trump. He's clearly happy to distort policy to satisfy both of them. Can we chuck Farage out of the country?
    The point is that it wasn't nonsense. Catholicism then wasn't a slightly different way of doing communion, it was a theocracy that wanted to replace the monarch, overturn the will of parliament, burn heretics, and rule from Rome. Catholicism in the UK is a benign force today *because* it was successfully broken by the State. To dismiss it as nonsense is to be utterly ignorant of history. There are very direct parallels with political Islam today, and if you had the ability to understand such concepts, you'd see this as an optimistic comparison, because it indicates that if the UK Government adopts a robust approach to protecting British freedoms and prohibiting political religion, being a pracising Muslim will one day be considered in the same vein as being a practising Catholic. But we aren't there yet.
    Catholics were only allowed to become MPs in this country in 1829, long after Catholicism was interested in replacing the monarch. Anti-Catholic propaganda was an issue in JFK’s election, within the lifetime of many here, as if the Pope in 1960 was going to send him anti-American orders. It’s that sort of discrimination that you want to foist upon us again today.

    Instead of treating 2 billion diverse people as a suspicious bloc, we should look at individuals as individuals. Is this individual (let’s call them Nigel), who hid a £5 million overseas donation while leading a political party, a potential danger? Yes. Is that person (let’s call them Sadiq), whose parents came from Pakistan and who celebrates Eid, a potential danger? No.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 28,784

    I'm just glad the adults are back in charge and that Labour don't do endless psycho drama like the Tories.

    Oh wait...

    Isn't it nice? The quiet...
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 103,814
    rcs1000 said:

    Sunak says that fixing democracy "will require scrapping many of the checks and balances we have added to the system in the past 30 years."

    https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2053410295159074957

    Fascinating admission of failure by @RishiSunak

    image

    I just read that article.

    He argues for a return to the pre-1998 situation before judicial activism where a decision is only overturned if it was so unreasonable that no reasonable person could have foreseen it.
    I think he misses one important point: politicians liked handing things off to judges, because it enabled them to escape responsibility for unpopular decisions.

    True, but the pendulum haa swung because of vaguely defined duties which has now made it inconvenient for politicians too, when they want to actually do stuff.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 2,033

    maxh said:

    AnthonyT said:

    @maxh

    "I'm still not sure it answers the question of why immigrants should be less able to access the opportunities that exist in the UK than people born here."

    Because what your questions in your post utterly ignore are that a nation is a home and that people in that home are entitled to decide who joins their family. You talk about dehumanising immigrants but your post dehumanises those already living here by denying them any agency at all in who is allowed to join them - and in what numbers. You assume that if a migrant wants to come here (and your post confuses migrants and asylum seekers) that is the only factor: he or she wants, he or she has some gumption so he or she gets.

    But what about people born and living here? Do they not get a say?

    I am not a Reform supporter so cannot speak for them.

    But people in a country should have agency over who is permitted to join them because the country is their home and homes are not open to anyone, regardless of who they are or what they bring, to anyone who demands entry.

    That sense of home, of "this is us, this is who we are", of a social contract, of burden sharing, of mutual obligations, of trust, of control are essential to any well-functioning society, any group - frankly - including a school - which you should understand - and certainly a nation. Mass immigration with little control and with a sense of contempt for those feeling that their home has been changed without their consent and in ways they don't like breaks that down and fractures society. That is I think at the root of why people who feel this turn to Reform in the absence of other more established parties paying any attention to their concerns.

    This article by Matthew Syed describes this well - https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/reform-uk-local-election-result-stoke-r23mtlhbp

    @AnthonyT thanks for the reply. The content of your post makes me think you are misunderstanding my position, but reading my own post I can see why - I was trying to write about both asylum seekers and economic migrants without sufficiently distinguishing the two.

    I agree that home, culture and the social contract is important. As I hope I made clear, I have huge sympathy for those who are bearing the brunt of economic migration (a previous girlfriend's grandparents lived on a street in Peterborough that experienced enormous culture change in a short space of time that massively disrupted their sense of place and of home, about which they were powerless. Watching it happen was quite a formative experience for me).

    I am reluctantly supportive of the main thrust of my original post - that, despite being one of the wealthiest countries on earth, we seem not to be able to afford to provide adequately for our own citizens, nor for migrants. I lament this but I don't deny it. I do not assume that if a migrant wants to come here they should be allowed to. I can entirely understand why in practice we need to restrict inward migration. I agree the scale of migration in the last few years was a mistake, especially after a decade or more of austerity.

    I am interested in the justification for refusing entry to a migrant, or an asylum seeker, though. (I realise even now I may be being very unclear, apologies).

    As an aside I don't believe the nation or country has the role you are claiming for it. Communities and smaller groups do. We drape ourselves in flags to try to pretend the country (or at least the state) is home, but for most people home is the community around them. I think Reform are selling a nonsense to communities in Peterborough and elsewhere that by making the nation or the state 'home', their lives will improve. There remains huge inequality within our country and I do not believe Reform will address this, in fact I think the opposite will happen.

    But the central thrust of my disagreement with you is that someone who happens to have been born in UK or has citizenship somehow 'deserves' to have the power to create the sort of home you write of, whereas someone born in a poorer part of the world does not. I am not arguing that the former doesn't deserve this power. I think they do. I just think migrants of whatever form also do.
    Your rejection of the role nation state isn't borne out by history. If you look at the peoples that have been enslaved, from the Balkans to the West African tribes, it happened when people had no nation state to protect them.
    But also plenty who have had a nation state have had it undermined but those with more power cf many of the proxy wars during the Cold War

    In any case I don't reject it as an organising principle per se. If I was 20 years younger and we went to war with Russia I'd like to hope I'd sign up to do my duty to defend the UK.

    I do (largely) reject it as 'home' which was Anthony's premise.
  • Leon_VotedForStarmerLeon_VotedForStarmer Posts: 69,000
    edited May 10
    DavidL said:

    Sunak says that fixing democracy "will require scrapping many of the checks and balances we have added to the system in the past 30 years."

    https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2053410295159074957

    Fascinating admission of failure by @RishiSunak

    image

    I think the Rwanda policy was simply mad and an astonishing waste of scarce resources but Sunak is right that one of the reasons the mainstream parties died on Thursday is because people get completely fed up of governments who simply can't solve a problem.

    I think he is also right in saying that the problems governments have is the interventionist role played by our courts but he completely fails to recognise that it is politicians who have given the courts both the power and duty to do that.

    The answer to me is much more fundamental. It is withdrawal from the Convention on Refugees and passing legislation that those who come here by boat without our permission will simply be ejected because they have no rights whatsoever. But our political class are simply not up for that kind of law. Its much easier to blame the courts for enforcing the laws they passed.

    ++++++++

    Having now been to Rwanda - last week - I can say with some authority that: it would likely have worked, if enacted properly

    Rwanda is actually a perfect choice for such a scheme, in the absence of a handy but bleak nearby island, as the Australians had

    It is a long long long way away. It is locked up in central Africa. It is poor and in some places grim, you really don't want to live there. But it it also stable and safe, so you can humanely send people there, if all these people care about is being safe (and that is supposedly the situation with asylum seekers, unless of course they are fake and just looking for better benefits and economic opportunity)

    I reckon HMG would have solved the boats overnight if they'd managed to get a few hundred people there, but done it intensely - ie shipping 90% of arrivals in one month. That would have terrified the boat people and the boats would have stopped
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 35,238

    FPT...

    Leon said:

    maxh said:

    A slightly convoluted but genuine question for the Reform and Reform-lite types on here, given that Reform seems to have well and truly 'arrived' (and putting aside a debate about whether they have peaked):

    I can understand support for Reform if you are only looking at part of the picture. Specifically I understand, though I disagree with it, the argument that says our problems stem from immigration and if only we would get a grip on immigration we'd be better off. I can entirely understand why many of the country would only look at part of the picture, and be convinced by the sentence above given that the alternatives offered by Labour and the Tories seem to have achieved nothing. I have a great deal of sympathy for the kinds of places Cookie mentioned in his visit to 'Reformland'.

    However, to me this argument relies on a fundamental dehumanising view of immigrants. I don't in any way buy the 'all immigrants are basically 25 year old terrorists in waiting posing as 16 year old kids'. I start from the position that all humans have equal worth, and people do things for good reasons. So in my view, morally, immigrants are to be celebrated for their bravery in often defying horrendous odds to try to escape persecution, poverty etc and to better their lives and that of their families. This, to me, is the other part of the picture that I refer to above.

    In my view the counterargument to this can only be an acceptance of failure. The argument would go: we should be strong, wealthy and generous enough to be able to accommodate significant immigration. However, because our political and economic system tends to make the least advantaged members of society deal with the brunt of immigration, and because we aren't willing to invest in the public services required to assimilate immigrants properly, the least worst option is to prevent them arriving. The argument 'they're safe in France' is a variant of this, in my view.

    The only alternatives is can see to this is:
    1. Unalloyed racism: Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity.
    2. A (in my view up unjustifiable) commitment to nationalism: just because I was born on this side of the border I should get prosperity and those unfortunate enough to be on the other side shouldn't.

    Is all of the above right? Or am I missing something? To be clear, I'm not asking the average voter to engage in this convoluted argument, but I am interested in those on who would seek to intellectually justify a Reform position.

    @Leon given you seem to be up and about I'm particularly interested in your take. @Luckyguy1983 yours too. @taz I don't think you're a Reform supporter but I think I'm right that you have some sympathy for the immigration arguments.

    I can’t give you the long eloquent answer your prolix question probably deserves, mainly because I can’t be arsed

    But I’ll give you the short brutal answer. Yes, I believe many of our problems (obvs not all) come from immigration legal and illegal. From the surging rape rates to new sectarian politics to the crippling benefits bill to the threat of terror to the pressure on housing and public services, and much much more (too much to go into)

    Only one party seems to have the cullions to deal with this. Reform. The Tories have lost my trust after 14 years, especially after the Boriswave (for which Boris should go to jail)

    That’s it
    Thanks for the question Maxh.

    I think what has been agreed across the board, including by Starmer, is that the 'Boriswave' has seen immigration on a scale where successful integration (let alone assimilation) is simply not possible. That isn't a judgement on people, it's just a fact. Neither our welfare system nor our society can cope with immigration at that speed, in those numbers, from those places. So regrettably, those people must return home.

    With regard to the wider point about Reform's attitude to immigration, Reform are civic nationalists. They don't care about colour or religion (prominent figures are Muslim), but loyalty to the State. So religion is something for the private sphere, strict crackdown on Sharia, probably banning the Burqa and Niquab, and end to the 'community policing' approach that has let some communities police themselves, but if you choose to be 'one of us' you are welcome. I cannot disagree with this approach. There simply cannot be any long-term sense in giving bunk space to large numbers of people whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate. What happens when there's a war (God forbid) and everyone needs to sign up? A nation needs some sort of glue to hold it together.

    I also don't take your point that 'Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity = unnalloyed racism'. It is not that we are more worthy of it, but we should certainly expect that our Government prioritises it over the wealth and prosperity of other peoples - that is what any Government must do, and it seems to be a uniquely British approach that the wellbeing of non-British subjects should be prioritised above those of British ones. It breaks the social contract.

    This civic nationalism approach is different to Restore, which has very prominent supporters and figures (not their actual policies as yet) who are ethno-nationalists. They believe in a particular sense of belonging here for those with British descent, and that mass migration as a whole needs to be reversed, and the country of The Haywane and Miss Marple 'restored'.
    This rhetoric around those "whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate" is the sort of nonsense we had in this country for centuries around Catholics. The same gumpf was still being said in the US when JFK stood.

    Nigel Farage's loyalty lies either to the guy in Thailand who gave him £5 million, or to his idol Donald Trump. He's clearly happy to distort policy to satisfy both of them. Can we chuck Farage out of the country?
    It's not all nonsense though, is it. We've just seen a bunch of 'independents' elected primarily because a section of society cares mostly about Gaza than anything else. You also see it in the cricket. When Pakistan, India, Bangladesh etc okay tests in England the stands are chock full of second and third generation Asians supporting the touring sides. I have no issues with that and identity is tricky for some. It's easy for me - I suspect my Wiltshire roots reach back to before the disappearance of Dogger land. But it's less easy for the children of immigrants.
    People care about different things: I know a bunch of people who are very aggravated about Gaza, and they’re all white, middle class atheists. Look at much of the leadership of the Palestine Solidarity Campaign for the same!

    People are complicated. They can have different identities and connections to different parts of the world. Those connections can be through birth, through heritage, through choice or through accident. That’s not a bad thing. It’s not a problem that needs fixing.

    @Sandpit has a Ukrainian wife and lives in the UAE. Must we be scared in case his loyalties are split? @rcs1000 mostly lives in the US. Where do his loyalties lie? No, the question is only phrased about brown people, with a racist assumption that every Muslim must be suspected of supporting a global caliphate.

    @Luckyguy1983 rhetorically asked what happens if there’s a war. Well, we’ve fought numerous wars with or in Muslim countries over many decades, and the country didn’t fall over because all the Muslims refused to join up. There’s no scary fifth column. Let’s treat people as people.
    You're being wilfully obtuse. I haven't said that a Muslim person cannot have loyalty to the British State - on the contrary, I've spoken favourably of the view that they can.

    What I have said is quite simple - that if people are beholden to an overriding loyalty that conflicts with loyalty to the host nation state, it is foolish to admit them.

    Your riposte to that, that lots of Muslims are and have been loyal, isn’t a counter-argument. It addresses a point I haven't made.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,883
    rcs1000 said:

    Sunak says that fixing democracy "will require scrapping many of the checks and balances we have added to the system in the past 30 years."

    https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2053410295159074957

    Fascinating admission of failure by @RishiSunak

    image

    I just read that article.

    He argues for a return to the pre-1998 situation before judicial activism where a decision is only overturned if it was so unreasonable that no reasonable person could have foreseen it.
    I think he misses one important point: politicians liked handing things off to judges, because it enabled them to escape responsibility for unpopular decisions.
    There's an obvious solution to that problem. Make popular decisions instead.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,821
    ydoethur said:

    https://x.com/andrewmarr9/status/2053490120834105669

    It appears to be happening. Wes ready to move and perhaps Angela as well

    If she's moving again let's hope she's got the stamp duty right this time.
    I am more concerned that she might get involved in personally collecting £5m from a crypto billionaire. Nah, no British politicians would ever do anything so outrageous, would they?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 64,491

    rcs1000 said:

    Sunak says that fixing democracy "will require scrapping many of the checks and balances we have added to the system in the past 30 years."

    https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2053410295159074957

    Fascinating admission of failure by @RishiSunak

    image

    I just read that article.

    He argues for a return to the pre-1998 situation before judicial activism where a decision is only overturned if it was so unreasonable that no reasonable person could have foreseen it.
    I think he misses one important point: politicians liked handing things off to judges, because it enabled them to escape responsibility for unpopular decisions.
    There's an obvious solution to that problem. Make popular decisions instead.
    Apparently not everybody agrees with every decision.
  • A new Labour leader will come in just as legal migration hits a many year low.
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 5,446

    maxh said:

    AnthonyT said:

    @maxh

    "I'm still not sure it answers the question of why immigrants should be less able to access the opportunities that exist in the UK than people born here."

    Because what your questions in your post utterly ignore are that a nation is a home and that people in that home are entitled to decide who joins their family. You talk about dehumanising immigrants but your post dehumanises those already living here by denying them any agency at all in who is allowed to join them - and in what numbers. You assume that if a migrant wants to come here (and your post confuses migrants and asylum seekers) that is the only factor: he or she wants, he or she has some gumption so he or she gets.

    But what about people born and living here? Do they not get a say?

    I am not a Reform supporter so cannot speak for them.

    But people in a country should have agency over who is permitted to join them because the country is their home and homes are not open to anyone, regardless of who they are or what they bring, to anyone who demands entry.

    That sense of home, of "this is us, this is who we are", of a social contract, of burden sharing, of mutual obligations, of trust, of control are essential to any well-functioning society, any group - frankly - including a school - which you should understand - and certainly a nation. Mass immigration with little control and with a sense of contempt for those feeling that their home has been changed without their consent and in ways they don't like breaks that down and fractures society. That is I think at the root of why people who feel this turn to Reform in the absence of other more established parties paying any attention to their concerns.

    This article by Matthew Syed describes this well - https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/reform-uk-local-election-result-stoke-r23mtlhbp

    @AnthonyT thanks for the reply. The content of your post makes me think you are misunderstanding my position, but reading my own post I can see why - I was trying to write about both asylum seekers and economic migrants without sufficiently distinguishing the two.

    I agree that home, culture and the social contract is important. As I hope I made clear, I have huge sympathy for those who are bearing the brunt of economic migration (a previous girlfriend's grandparents lived on a street in Peterborough that experienced enormous culture change in a short space of time that massively disrupted their sense of place and of home, about which they were powerless. Watching it happen was quite a formative experience for me).

    I am reluctantly supportive of the main thrust of my original post - that, despite being one of the wealthiest countries on earth, we seem not to be able to afford to provide adequately for our own citizens, nor for migrants. I lament this but I don't deny it. I do not assume that if a migrant wants to come here they should be allowed to. I can entirely understand why in practice we need to restrict inward migration. I agree the scale of migration in the last few years was a mistake, especially after a decade or more of austerity.

    I am interested in the justification for refusing entry to a migrant, or an asylum seeker, though. (I realise even now I may be being very unclear, apologies).

    As an aside I don't believe the nation or country has the role you are claiming for it. Communities and smaller groups do. We drape ourselves in flags to try to pretend the country (or at least the state) is home, but for most people home is the community around them. I think Reform are selling a nonsense to communities in Peterborough and elsewhere that by making the nation or the state 'home', their lives will improve. There remains huge inequality within our country and I do not believe Reform will address this, in fact I think the opposite will happen.

    But the central thrust of my disagreement with you is that someone who happens to have been born in UK or has citizenship somehow 'deserves' to have the power to create the sort of home you write of, whereas someone born in a poorer part of the world does not. I am not arguing that the former doesn't deserve this power. I think they do. I just think migrants of whatever form also do.
    Your rejection of the role nation state isn't borne out by history. If you look at the peoples that have been enslaved, from the Balkans to the West African tribes, it happened when people had no nation state to protect them.
    @maxh I would argue that the nation/state does have that role (of being home to the people who have historic or other roots in that place). The nation/state makes no bones about calling upon those people to defend its territory when threatened.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,821

    A new Labour leader will come in just as legal migration hits a many year low.

    In time to see the University sector collapse due to a shortage of high fee paying foreign students.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 103,814

    rcs1000 said:

    Sunak says that fixing democracy "will require scrapping many of the checks and balances we have added to the system in the past 30 years."

    https://x.com/JohnRentoul/status/2053410295159074957

    Fascinating admission of failure by @RishiSunak

    image

    I just read that article.

    He argues for a return to the pre-1998 situation before judicial activism where a decision is only overturned if it was so unreasonable that no reasonable person could have foreseen it.
    I think he misses one important point: politicians liked handing things off to judges, because it enabled them to escape responsibility for unpopular decisions.
    There's an obvious solution to that problem. Make popular decisions instead.
    Genius idea, i'm sure politicians have made unpopular decisions because it never occurred to them there was a different direction.

    All leaders have to make unpopular decisions sometimes, they cannot be eternally fortunate that only popular choices are open to them because not everything is in their control.
  • I don’t see why Labour should wait for Burnham. We need Starmer out now.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 9,242
    So does Catherine West lose the whip?
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 20,969

    FPT...

    Leon said:

    maxh said:

    A slightly convoluted but genuine question for the Reform and Reform-lite types on here, given that Reform seems to have well and truly 'arrived' (and putting aside a debate about whether they have peaked):

    I can understand support for Reform if you are only looking at part of the picture. Specifically I understand, though I disagree with it, the argument that says our problems stem from immigration and if only we would get a grip on immigration we'd be better off. I can entirely understand why many of the country would only look at part of the picture, and be convinced by the sentence above given that the alternatives offered by Labour and the Tories seem to have achieved nothing. I have a great deal of sympathy for the kinds of places Cookie mentioned in his visit to 'Reformland'.

    However, to me this argument relies on a fundamental dehumanising view of immigrants. I don't in any way buy the 'all immigrants are basically 25 year old terrorists in waiting posing as 16 year old kids'. I start from the position that all humans have equal worth, and people do things for good reasons. So in my view, morally, immigrants are to be celebrated for their bravery in often defying horrendous odds to try to escape persecution, poverty etc and to better their lives and that of their families. This, to me, is the other part of the picture that I refer to above.

    In my view the counterargument to this can only be an acceptance of failure. The argument would go: we should be strong, wealthy and generous enough to be able to accommodate significant immigration. However, because our political and economic system tends to make the least advantaged members of society deal with the brunt of immigration, and because we aren't willing to invest in the public services required to assimilate immigrants properly, the least worst option is to prevent them arriving. The argument 'they're safe in France' is a variant of this, in my view.

    The only alternatives is can see to this is:
    1. Unalloyed racism: Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity.
    2. A (in my view up unjustifiable) commitment to nationalism: just because I was born on this side of the border I should get prosperity and those unfortunate enough to be on the other side shouldn't.

    Is all of the above right? Or am I missing something? To be clear, I'm not asking the average voter to engage in this convoluted argument, but I am interested in those on who would seek to intellectually justify a Reform position.

    @Leon given you seem to be up and about I'm particularly interested in your take. @Luckyguy1983 yours too. @taz I don't think you're a Reform supporter but I think I'm right that you have some sympathy for the immigration arguments.

    I can’t give you the long eloquent answer your prolix question probably deserves, mainly because I can’t be arsed

    But I’ll give you the short brutal answer. Yes, I believe many of our problems (obvs not all) come from immigration legal and illegal. From the surging rape rates to new sectarian politics to the crippling benefits bill to the threat of terror to the pressure on housing and public services, and much much more (too much to go into)

    Only one party seems to have the cullions to deal with this. Reform. The Tories have lost my trust after 14 years, especially after the Boriswave (for which Boris should go to jail)

    That’s it
    Thanks for the question Maxh.

    I think what has been agreed across the board, including by Starmer, is that the 'Boriswave' has seen immigration on a scale where successful integration (let alone assimilation) is simply not possible. That isn't a judgement on people, it's just a fact. Neither our welfare system nor our society can cope with immigration at that speed, in those numbers, from those places. So regrettably, those people must return home.

    With regard to the wider point about Reform's attitude to immigration, Reform are civic nationalists. They don't care about colour or religion (prominent figures are Muslim), but loyalty to the State. So religion is something for the private sphere, strict crackdown on Sharia, probably banning the Burqa and Niquab, and end to the 'community policing' approach that has let some communities police themselves, but if you choose to be 'one of us' you are welcome. I cannot disagree with this approach. There simply cannot be any long-term sense in giving bunk space to large numbers of people whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate. What happens when there's a war (God forbid) and everyone needs to sign up? A nation needs some sort of glue to hold it together.

    I also don't take your point that 'Brits are more worthy of wealth and prosperity = unnalloyed racism'. It is not that we are more worthy of it, but we should certainly expect that our Government prioritises it over the wealth and prosperity of other peoples - that is what any Government must do, and it seems to be a uniquely British approach that the wellbeing of non-British subjects should be prioritised above those of British ones. It breaks the social contract.

    This civic nationalism approach is different to Restore, which has very prominent supporters and figures (not their actual policies as yet) who are ethno-nationalists. They believe in a particular sense of belonging here for those with British descent, and that mass migration as a whole needs to be reversed, and the country of The Haywane and Miss Marple 'restored'.
    This rhetoric around those "whose loyalty lies with either a different state, or a concept like a global caliphate" is the sort of nonsense we had in this country for centuries around Catholics. The same gumpf was still being said in the US when JFK stood.

    Nigel Farage's loyalty lies either to the guy in Thailand who gave him £5 million, or to his idol Donald Trump. He's clearly happy to distort policy to satisfy both of them. Can we chuck Farage out of the country?
    It's not all nonsense though, is it. We've just seen a bunch of 'independents' elected primarily because a section of society cares mostly about Gaza than anything else. You also see it in the cricket. When Pakistan, India, Bangladesh etc okay tests in England the stands are chock full of second and third generation Asians supporting the touring sides. I have no issues with that and identity is tricky for some. It's easy for me - I suspect my Wiltshire roots reach back to before the disappearance of Dogger land. But it's less easy for the children of immigrants.
    People care about different things: I know a bunch of people who are very aggravated about Gaza, and they’re all white, middle class atheists. Look at much of the leadership of the Palestine Solidarity Campaign for the same!

    People are complicated. They can have different identities and connections to different parts of the world. Those connections can be through birth, through heritage, through choice or through accident. That’s not a bad thing. It’s not a problem that needs fixing.

    @Sandpit has a Ukrainian wife and lives in the UAE. Must we be scared in case his loyalties are split? @rcs1000 mostly lives in the US. Where do his loyalties lie? No, the question is only phrased about brown people, with a racist assumption that every Muslim must be suspected of supporting a global caliphate.

    @Luckyguy1983 rhetorically asked what happens if there’s a war. Well, we’ve fought numerous wars with or in Muslim countries over many decades, and the country didn’t fall over because all the Muslims refused to join up. There’s no scary fifth column. Let’s treat people as people.
    It's all very well to say that we should treat people as people but then how would you interpret someone like Lutfur Rahman controlling Tower Hamlets? The reality is we have had immigration not only of people as individuals but of peoples as groups, and this is now having electoral consequences.
    Lutfur Rahman is a person, and I would treat him as a person. A person who was guilty of breaking election law and is deeply corrupt. Voters sometimes vote for vile, corrupt people. They did in the US for Trump. They did in Tower Hamlets for Rahman. I think both of them should have been given more significant punishments than they have been. I don’t think either is a reason to be suspicious of a group of people.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,821

    I don’t see why Labour should wait for Burnham. We need Starmer out now.

    🎶🎵🎶 Oh Angela Rayner 🎶🎵🎶
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 41,579
    Leon said:

    To staunch the bleeding heart of @nico67 and others on here, I did some actual research on Indefinite Leave to Remain

    Anyone who gets ILR is told lots of things, including this crucial paragraph:

    "ILR is not the same as citizenship. While ILR grants permanent residence rights, it can be lost through extended absences from the UK (over 2 years) or serious criminal convictions. Only British citizenship provides truly permanent status that cannot be revoked under normal circumstances."

    So they are made aware that it is contingent. That it CAN be revoked. There. Now that's settled, we can all calm down

    ILR isn't a binding contract on either side. People who have it know that too and most opt for citizenship after a short amount of time. My wife got citizenship a few months after she became eligible and now she's a dual national of Swiss and British citizenship.

    More to the point, the policy on ILR won't make a huge difference anyway, it's actually Labour's proposal to extend ILR to 10 years that is necessary and raising the bar for visa renewal to £60k or higher on all visa types. That will naturally mean very few visas are eligible for renewal and people will return home.

    I also think we should adopt the US policy of making people apply for their visa extension outside of the country so if they are rejected they have no recourse to re-enter or fight the decision in court.

    Finally I think Labour should propose a maximum visa length of 3 years rather than 5, requiring a minimum of 4 renewals before ILR is achieved.

    Controversially I also think citizenship should have a 5 year "approval" period of some kind whereby it can be revoked if proof of fraud, criminal activity of support of terrorism is discovered.

    We've been far, far too lax in handing out the golden ticket of citizenship over the past 50 years and the concept of how difficult it should be needs a big reassessment. British citizenship for foreign nationals should be seen as a huge privilege and the bar to obtain it should be set extremely high, I'd have it so that even "trivial" crime such as fare evasion would bar someone from eligibility for life and result in visa revocation and return flight. Immigration should be additive to society and importing any person who undermines a high trust society doesn't belong here
  • Heh, so maybe my source wasn’t so wrong in the end after all.
This discussion has been closed.