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Go West and meet Labour’s Sir Anthony Meyer? – politicalbetting.com

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  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 63,538

    AnneJGP said:


    Alex Wickham
    @alexwickham
    ·
    33m
    Catherine West’s interview round is going down extremely badly with some MPs across the factional divide

    People are stunned by this quote: “You know what sometimes happens to stalking horses? They become the candidate”

    Which seems to suggest she thinks she could really be PM

    https://x.com/alexwickham/status/2053190629857824879

    Who could blame anyone for looking at this front bench/cabinet and thinking Even I could do better than that?
    Half the posters here could do a better job.

    At work, the other day, one of the managers put on the group chat that he had made a mistake in a specification, causing the current production problem. And here was the fix.

    Admitted culpability, fixed the problem.
    Fired, of course. But did the right thing.
    Actually no. In the real world, people who admit mistakes are valuable. To those with half a brain.
  • BurgessianBurgessian Posts: 3,814
    I encountered Sir Anthony Meyer, Bt, MP and his wife a couple of times, in the days before he stood as the "stalking donkey" against Mrs T.

    A resilient chap. Won Eton & Slough, against the trend in 1964, from Fenner Brockway, due to an extremely professional campaign organised by the party agent there. And, later, was an MP in N Wales, and successfully fended off an attempt to deselect him in favour of Beata Brookes, an MEP, from the Thatcherite side of the party.

    It turned out later that he had a rather colourful private life which didn't, apparently, faze Lady Meyer in the slightest.

    Those were the days.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 4,847
    nico67 said:

    Starmer better pull out something surprising on Monday and not some drivel about hope and change .

    Realistically, what would that be?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 136,875
    edited May 9

    I encountered Sir Anthony Meyer, Bt, MP and his wife a couple of times, in the days before he stood as the "stalking donkey" against Mrs T.

    A resilient chap. Won Eton & Slough, against the trend in 1964, from Fenner Brockway, due to an extremely professional campaign organised by the party agent there. And, later, was an MP in N Wales, and successfully fended off an attempt to deselect him in favour of Beata Brookes, an MEP, from the Thatcherite side of the party.

    It turned out later that he had a rather colourful private life which didn't, apparently, faze Lady Meyer in the slightest.

    Those were the days.

    Sir Anthony Meyer had almost male model good looks in his younger days based on his army photo, so not much surprise he had plenty of lovers. In his latter years he left the Tories and became a LD, standing for them in the 1999 European Parliament elections

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sir_Anthony_Meyer,_3rd_Baronet#/media/File:Anthony_Meyer.jpg
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 72,378
    HYUFD said:

    Alex Wickham
    @alexwickham
    ·
    43m
    NEW: Catherine West’s stalking horse effort appears to be faltering as real leadership contenders are now distancing themselves from her

    Supporters of Wes Streeting say he hasn’t spoken to her for months. Others dismiss her as a Corbynista

    Burnham allies strongly oppose West

    Ffs Labour.
    Looks like both Burnham and Starmer allies are united in not wanting a leadership contest now which could replace Starmer with Streeting or Rayner
    Lone wolf latest:

    Noa Hoffman
    @hoffman_noa

    Understand Catherine West didn’t tell her staffers in advance about her leadership bid. They are “perplexed” and now “trying to work with nothing concrete to work on”

    https://x.com/hoffman_noa/status/2053202996620620125
  • glwglw Posts: 10,923

    nico67 said:

    Starmer better pull out something surprising on Monday and not some drivel about hope and change .

    Realistically, what would that be?
    If he had any brilliant ideas tucked up his sleeves what the hell was he saving them for?

    My guess, more guff.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 35,229
    edited May 9

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    Rage against the dying of the light from Ben Judah there. Bless.
    Jonny Freedland said say thing in Guardian this morning (the EU bit not the raging at the light bit). The one game changer Starmer could pull on Monday.
    But it isn't. Nor is 'a closer relationship'. The EU isn't a volume dial that you can turn down and up. 'A closer relationship' requires agreement, and if we could not walk away (which we wouldn't be able to, because Starmer would need an agreement for political reasons) we would be fucked. And the fucking would go down with the public like a cup of cold sick.

    Polling for Queen Margaret University found 80% of Labour supporters want to join the customs union. But 9% of Labour supporters want 'someone other than the UK deciding our tariff policy' - which is the customs union. Support for rejoin is a bubble. It's supporters are low information people who have no idea what it entails.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 66,583
    kle4 said:

    Leon said:

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    One of the stupidest articles The Times has ever published

    Just this paragraph:

    “I personally know” “rejoining would be relatively fast” blah blah blah

    That’s great. Ben fucking Judah personally knows that “France wants us back”. Which France, ben? The one run by macron who has to quit in two years? Before your referendum? How about Mme Le Pen? Have you asked her? Or Bardella? Or anyone in Spain? Cyprus? Bulgaria? They all have a veto

    This is the exact equivalent of the idiot brexiteers who promised that Brexit would be “the easiest deal in history”



    I think it is probably true the EU in general, and many EU leaders, would like us back, because a powerful nation of 70m coming back into the fold would add a lot of money into the coffers, bolster the cause of European unity, plus demonstrate the UK had been humbled by leaving and had to crawl back. It's so in their interests that I find it rather silly to think they wouldn't - like how some fools started to claim the EU no longer cared what happens in the UK, which is just dumb.

    That's not the same as the EU wanting us back in now. Why would they want such a headache when the debate in the UK on the subject is still far from assured?
    It's essentially a maximum of 3 years until the next GE. And Reform are currently on course, with the Tories, to have a majority in that election - both arch Leaver parties.

    There isn't enough time to hold and win a referendum and then negotiate and pass an accession treaty, still less manage a transition with all the complexities and politics around it.

    And even if it was (it isn't) it'd be immediately denounced by the new administration.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 6,012

    Joining #BBCLauraK

    Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson
    Shadow Housing Secretary James Cleverly
    Reform UK's Business Spokesperson Richard Tice
    Plaid Cymru leader Rhun ap Iowerth
    Labour MP Catherine West

    Sunday 9am @BBCOne @BBCiPlayer


    https://x.com/BBCPolitics/status/2053197987111661933

    Go for it Bridget. The ideal opportunity to strike.
    She will be her usual robotic self. Spouting pre-prepared lines given to her by a No10 press officer

    Her voice is far less annoying than Rachel's.
    Both are enough to make me reach for the mute button
    Bridget's dulcet northeastern tones?
    Not the accent, just the meaningless drivel they both spout. Zero substance
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,790

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    That's going a bit far, but a manifesto commitment to hold a referendum on rejoining the EU would work, although the lesson from what happened after 2016 is that terms of accession would have to be negotiated and precisely defined in advance of the vote.
    It might even appeal to Reform voters - one clause could be to return to the pre 2019 status quo on automatically returning unsuccessful asylum seekers to the EU border they came across, which would stop the boats just as effectively as it did when it was in place.

    Here's someone who might be willing to write it into the manifesto. Expelled as a shadow frontbencher by Corbyn by voting in favour of the single market.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catherine_West#/media/File:Official_portrait_of_Catherine_West_crop_2.jpg

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/29/jeremy-corbyn-sacks-three-frontbenchers-after-single-market-vote
    That would almost guarantee a Tory-Reform coalition.
    That would break the Tories in two. They are not all raging Brexiters.
  • BatteryCorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorse Posts: 7,132
    Labour CANNOT win by being remain only. They tried that in 2019 and it was a disaster.
  • ManOfGwentManOfGwent Posts: 320

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    Rage against the dying of the light from Ben Judah there. Bless.
    Jonny Freedland said say thing in Guardian this morning (the EU bit not the raging at the light bit). The one game changer Starmer could pull on Monday.
    But it isn't. Nor is 'a closer relationship'. The EU isn't a volume dial that you can turn down and up. 'A closer relationship' requires agreement, and if we could not walk away (which we wouldn't be able to, because Starmer would need an agreement for political reasons) we would be fucked. And the fucking would go down with the public like a cup of cold sick.

    Polling for Queen Margaret University found 80% of Labour supporters want to join the customs union. But 9% of Labour supporters want 'someone other than the UK deciding our tariff policy' - which is the customs union. Support for rejoin is a bubble. It's supporters are low information people who have no idea what it entails.
    The same people who have been butt hurt for 10 years about the EU referendum result and see rejoining the EU as the answer to every situation, amazingly think rejoining the EU is the answer to Starmer's lack of ability to be anything other than a crap Prime Minister.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490

    Joining #BBCLauraK

    Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson
    Shadow Housing Secretary James Cleverly
    Reform UK's Business Spokesperson Richard Tice
    Plaid Cymru leader Rhun ap Iowerth
    Labour MP Catherine West

    Sunday 9am @BBCOne @BBCiPlayer


    https://x.com/BBCPolitics/status/2053197987111661933

    Go for it Bridget. The ideal opportunity to strike.
    She will be her usual robotic self. Spouting pre-prepared lines given to her by a No10 press officer

    Her voice is far less annoying than Rachel's.
    Both are enough to make me reach for the mute button
    Bridget's dulcet northeastern tones?
    Not the accent, just the meaningless drivel they both spout. Zero substance
    Phillipson would be much improved by zero substance. The problem is like Gove she has far too much, all of it disastrously bad.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 6,055
    edited May 9

    nico67 said:

    Starmer better pull out something surprising on Monday and not some drivel about hope and change .

    Realistically, what would that be?
    I think he could really emphasise change or hope. Or maybe both. In equal measure. A powerhouse. AI. Mainlining hope. A future, for our future's future. And their futures after them.

    :: looks down and prepares slightly phlegmatic voice it has been told sounds authentic ::

    Our children’s AI mainlined hopemobile. A Labour hopemobile. Not the same old tired Tory promises of a hopemobile. This is a vision. A vision a Strong Labour Party can make reality!
  • Leon_VotedForStarmerLeon_VotedForStarmer Posts: 69,000
    Rejoining the EU - or attempting to Rejoin (we might be vetoed) - would be easily as agonising as Brexit and probably much worse. Because quitting a club is ultimately easier than joining. Especially joining a club that isn’t sure you’d be a good member

    It would five-ten years of anguished and tedious negotiations during which the EU - and every member state - would try to extract as much juice from the British Orange as possible. They would make the pips squeak

    And, despite what “Ben Judah” says, we would certainly have to join the euro. It’s the one way to shackle us forever
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 103,809

    kle4 said:

    Leon said:

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    One of the stupidest articles The Times has ever published

    Just this paragraph:

    “I personally know” “rejoining would be relatively fast” blah blah blah

    That’s great. Ben fucking Judah personally knows that “France wants us back”. Which France, ben? The one run by macron who has to quit in two years? Before your referendum? How about Mme Le Pen? Have you asked her? Or Bardella? Or anyone in Spain? Cyprus? Bulgaria? They all have a veto

    This is the exact equivalent of the idiot brexiteers who promised that Brexit would be “the easiest deal in history”



    I think it is probably true the EU in general, and many EU leaders, would like us back, because a powerful nation of 70m coming back into the fold would add a lot of money into the coffers, bolster the cause of European unity, plus demonstrate the UK had been humbled by leaving and had to crawl back. It's so in their interests that I find it rather silly to think they wouldn't - like how some fools started to claim the EU no longer cared what happens in the UK, which is just dumb.

    That's not the same as the EU wanting us back in now. Why would they want such a headache when the debate in the UK on the subject is still far from assured?
    It's essentially a maximum of 3 years until the next GE. And Reform are currently on course, with the Tories, to have a majority in that election - both arch Leaver parties.

    There isn't enough time to hold and win a referendum and then negotiate and pass an accession treaty, still less manage a transition with all the complexities and politics around it.

    And even if it was (it isn't) it'd be immediately denounced by the new administration.
    I assume the plan wouldn't be to rejoin now, just come out with a rejoin stance and make efforts to head in that direction to enthuse the Remain vote.

    It might even gain them a little from where they are now, but it wouldn't make the UK suddenly not politically divided - I don't think the EU would ever want to risk a repeat, and wouldn't want us back in unless 'stay out' parties were at 15% or less.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490
    Leon said:

    Rejoining the EU - or attempting to Rejoin (we might be vetoed) - would be easily as agonising as Brexit and probably much worse. Because quitting a club is ultimately easier than joining. Especially joining a club that isn’t sure you’d be a good member

    It would five-ten years of anguished and tedious negotiations during which the EU - and every member state - would try to extract as much juice from the British Orange as possible. They would make the pips squeak

    And, despite what “Ben Judah” says, we would certainly have to join the euro. It’s the one way to shackle us forever

    we would not be vetoed per se. We would be told full fat including Euro and Schengen, or no.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 27,958

    Labour CANNOT win by being remain only. They tried that in 2019 and it was a disaster.

    It is not 2019, things change.

    For a start in 2019 Labour needed high thirties to win a GE. Currently they need mid to high twenties.
    The public are a bit less Brexity than they were in 2019.
    The remain bloc who thought it important that leave was implemented will now be open to closer ties.

    It is their best card to play unless they can somehow magic £100bn a year or so.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 103,809

    Leon said:

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    One of the stupidest articles The Times has ever published

    Just this paragraph:

    “I personally know” “rejoining would be relatively fast” blah blah blah

    That’s great. Ben fucking Judah personally knows that “France wants us back”. Which France, ben? The one run by macron who has to quit in two years? Before your referendum? How about Mme Le Pen? Have you asked her? Or Bardella? Or anyone in Spain? Cyprus? Bulgaria? They all have a veto

    This is the exact equivalent of the idiot brexiteers who promised that Brexit would be “the easiest deal in history”



    You do realise he spent nearly two years working for the Foreign Secretary.

    He probably has some good contacts.
    So does Dan Hodges, he claims. Doesn't mean his conclusions are particularly good.

  • Leon_VotedForStarmerLeon_VotedForStarmer Posts: 69,000

    kle4 said:

    Leon said:

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    One of the stupidest articles The Times has ever published

    Just this paragraph:

    “I personally know” “rejoining would be relatively fast” blah blah blah

    That’s great. Ben fucking Judah personally knows that “France wants us back”. Which France, ben? The one run by macron who has to quit in two years? Before your referendum? How about Mme Le Pen? Have you asked her? Or Bardella? Or anyone in Spain? Cyprus? Bulgaria? They all have a veto

    This is the exact equivalent of the idiot brexiteers who promised that Brexit would be “the easiest deal in history”



    I think it is probably true the EU in general, and many EU leaders, would like us back, because a powerful nation of 70m coming back into the fold would add a lot of money into the coffers, bolster the cause of European unity, plus demonstrate the UK had been humbled by leaving and had to crawl back. It's so in their interests that I find it rather silly to think they wouldn't - like how some fools started to claim the EU no longer cared what happens in the UK, which is just dumb.

    That's not the same as the EU wanting us back in now. Why would they want such a headache when the debate in the UK on the subject is still far from assured?
    It's essentially a maximum of 3 years until the next GE. And Reform are currently on course, with the Tories, to have a majority in that election - both arch Leaver parties.

    There isn't enough time to hold and win a referendum and then negotiate and pass an accession treaty, still less manage a transition with all the complexities and politics around it.

    And even if it was (it isn't) it'd be immediately denounced by the new administration.
    Judah’s plan is not “hold a referendum now” - which actually makes sense as a Hail Mary pass - it’s “put a referendum in the next manifesto” which makes almost no sense at all
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 66,583

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    That's going a bit far, but a manifesto commitment to hold a referendum on rejoining the EU would work, although the lesson from what happened after 2016 is that terms of accession would have to be negotiated and precisely defined in advance of the vote.
    It might even appeal to Reform voters - one clause could be to return to the pre 2019 status quo on automatically returning unsuccessful asylum seekers to the EU border they came across, which would stop the boats just as effectively as it did when it was in place.

    Here's someone who might be willing to write it into the manifesto. Expelled as a shadow frontbencher by Corbyn by voting in favour of the single market.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catherine_West#/media/File:Official_portrait_of_Catherine_West_crop_2.jpg

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/29/jeremy-corbyn-sacks-three-frontbenchers-after-single-market-vote
    That would almost guarantee a Tory-Reform coalition.
    That would break the Tories in two. They are not all raging Brexiters.
    You do realise it's 2026 and not 2016, right?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,790

    Leon said:

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    One of the stupidest articles The Times has ever published

    Just this paragraph:

    “I personally know” “rejoining would be relatively fast” blah blah blah

    That’s great. Ben fucking Judah personally knows that “France wants us back”. Which France, ben? The one run by macron who has to quit in two years? Before your referendum? How about Mme Le Pen? Have you asked her? Or Bardella? Or anyone in Spain? Cyprus? Bulgaria? They all have a veto

    This is the exact equivalent of the idiot brexiteers who promised that Brexit would be “the easiest deal in history”



    You do realise he spent nearly two years working for the Foreign Secretary.

    He probably has some good contacts.
    You mean he was a Spad for David Lammy for 18 months.

    Yes, a real Henry Kissinger.
    As immoral as Kissinger?
  • BatteryCorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorse Posts: 7,132

    Labour CANNOT win by being remain only. They tried that in 2019 and it was a disaster.

    It is not 2019, things change.

    For a start in 2019 Labour needed high thirties to win a GE. Currently they need mid to high twenties.
    The public are a bit less Brexity than they were in 2019.
    The remain bloc who thought it important that leave was implemented will now be open to closer ties.

    It is their best card to play unless they can somehow magic £100bn a year or so.
    But people do not want to rejoin. I’m utterly unconvinced when the process actually starts the campaign people will want to go through this again.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490

    Leon said:

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    One of the stupidest articles The Times has ever published

    Just this paragraph:

    “I personally know” “rejoining would be relatively fast” blah blah blah

    That’s great. Ben fucking Judah personally knows that “France wants us back”. Which France, ben? The one run by macron who has to quit in two years? Before your referendum? How about Mme Le Pen? Have you asked her? Or Bardella? Or anyone in Spain? Cyprus? Bulgaria? They all have a veto

    This is the exact equivalent of the idiot brexiteers who promised that Brexit would be “the easiest deal in history”



    You do realise he spent nearly two years working for the Foreign Secretary.

    He probably has some good contacts.
    You mean he was a Spad for David Lammy for 18 months.

    Yes, a real Henry Kissinger.
    As immoral as Kissinger?
    Does he make as many mistakes as Kissinger? Who was entirely frank in his memoirs and told of his first mistake on page 850?
  • Leon_VotedForStarmerLeon_VotedForStarmer Posts: 69,000
    edited May 9
    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    Rejoining the EU - or attempting to Rejoin (we might be vetoed) - would be easily as agonising as Brexit and probably much worse. Because quitting a club is ultimately easier than joining. Especially joining a club that isn’t sure you’d be a good member

    It would five-ten years of anguished and tedious negotiations during which the EU - and every member state - would try to extract as much juice from the British Orange as possible. They would make the pips squeak

    And, despite what “Ben Judah” says, we would certainly have to join the euro. It’s the one way to shackle us forever

    we would not be vetoed per se. We would be told full fat including Euro and Schengen, or no.
    You have absolutely no idea. You have no idea who will be in power in 27 different EU nations in 2030 or 2033. It could be the AfD in Germany. It could be some far right party in Spain which will demand the return of Gibraltar or veto. It could the revived Keith Chegwin running Bulgaria who wants revenge on the burghers of Newent so he vetoes for no reason at all. And, remember, THEY ALL HAVE A VETO

    So shut up. You don’t know. No one knows. It would be a massive gamble, that is the only honest account
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 72,378
    Does Starmer want out?

    Telling the Observer he plans ten more years is so mad in the current circumstances it may be a cry for help.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 24,209


    Alex Wickham
    @alexwickham
    ·
    33m
    Catherine West’s interview round is going down extremely badly with some MPs across the factional divide

    People are stunned by this quote: “You know what sometimes happens to stalking horses? They become the candidate”

    Which seems to suggest she thinks she could really be PM

    https://x.com/alexwickham/status/2053190629857824879

    That sounds a lot like, "why doesn't this uppity woman leave it to us grown ups who have our carefully prepared plans to replace Starmer in the fullness of time."

    The more people criticise her for no good reason the more I am inclined to think well of her.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 66,583
    Leon said:

    kle4 said:

    Leon said:

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    One of the stupidest articles The Times has ever published

    Just this paragraph:

    “I personally know” “rejoining would be relatively fast” blah blah blah

    That’s great. Ben fucking Judah personally knows that “France wants us back”. Which France, ben? The one run by macron who has to quit in two years? Before your referendum? How about Mme Le Pen? Have you asked her? Or Bardella? Or anyone in Spain? Cyprus? Bulgaria? They all have a veto

    This is the exact equivalent of the idiot brexiteers who promised that Brexit would be “the easiest deal in history”



    I think it is probably true the EU in general, and many EU leaders, would like us back, because a powerful nation of 70m coming back into the fold would add a lot of money into the coffers, bolster the cause of European unity, plus demonstrate the UK had been humbled by leaving and had to crawl back. It's so in their interests that I find it rather silly to think they wouldn't - like how some fools started to claim the EU no longer cared what happens in the UK, which is just dumb.

    That's not the same as the EU wanting us back in now. Why would they want such a headache when the debate in the UK on the subject is still far from assured?
    It's essentially a maximum of 3 years until the next GE. And Reform are currently on course, with the Tories, to have a majority in that election - both arch Leaver parties.

    There isn't enough time to hold and win a referendum and then negotiate and pass an accession treaty, still less manage a transition with all the complexities and politics around it.

    And even if it was (it isn't) it'd be immediately denounced by the new administration.
    Judah’s plan is not “hold a referendum now” - which actually makes sense as a Hail Mary pass - it’s “put a referendum in the next manifesto” which makes almost no sense at all
    I know.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 103,809
    Leon said:

    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    Rejoining the EU - or attempting to Rejoin (we might be vetoed) - would be easily as agonising as Brexit and probably much worse. Because quitting a club is ultimately easier than joining. Especially joining a club that isn’t sure you’d be a good member

    It would five-ten years of anguished and tedious negotiations during which the EU - and every member state - would try to extract as much juice from the British Orange as possible. They would make the pips squeak

    And, despite what “Ben Judah” says, we would certainly have to join the euro. It’s the one way to shackle us forever

    we would not be vetoed per se. We would be told full fat including Euro and Schengen, or no.
    You have absolutely no idea. You have no idea who will be in power in 27 different EU nations in 2030 or 2033. It could be the AfD in Germany. It could be some far right party in Spain which will demand the return of Gibraltar or veto. It could the revived Keith Chegwin running Bulgaria who wants revenge on the burghers of Newent so he vetoes for no reason at all. And, remember, THEY ALL HAVE A VETO

    So shut up. You don’t know. No one knows. It would be a massive gamble, that is the only honest account
    I thought his point was that we wouldn't really need to be vetoed because by insisting on full fat that would likely sink the prospects of Rejoin as a project.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490
    Leon said:

    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    Rejoining the EU - or attempting to Rejoin (we might be vetoed) - would be easily as agonising as Brexit and probably much worse. Because quitting a club is ultimately easier than joining. Especially joining a club that isn’t sure you’d be a good member

    It would five-ten years of anguished and tedious negotiations during which the EU - and every member state - would try to extract as much juice from the British Orange as possible. They would make the pips squeak

    And, despite what “Ben Judah” says, we would certainly have to join the euro. It’s the one way to shackle us forever

    we would not be vetoed per se. We would be told full fat including Euro and Schengen, or no.
    You have absolutely no idea. You have no idea who will be in power in 27 different EU nations in 2030 or 2033. It could be the AfD in Germany. It could be some far right party in Spain which will demand the return of Gibraltar or veto. It could the revived Keith Chegwin running Bulgaria who wants revenge on the burghers of Newent so he vetoes for no reason at all. And, remember, THEY ALL HAVE A VETO

    So shut up. You don’t know. No one knows. It would be a massive gamble, that is the only honest account
    It is dead easy to know that. The EU would be delighted to see us back. Nothing would prove their brilliance more.

    Although I must admit the irony of telling me to shut up because I don't know, nobody can know what would happen while confidently predicting what would happen yourself is amusing.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 136,875
    edited May 9
    Leon said:

    kle4 said:

    Leon said:

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    One of the stupidest articles The Times has ever published

    Just this paragraph:

    “I personally know” “rejoining would be relatively fast” blah blah blah

    That’s great. Ben fucking Judah personally knows that “France wants us back”. Which France, ben? The one run by macron who has to quit in two years? Before your referendum? How about Mme Le Pen? Have you asked her? Or Bardella? Or anyone in Spain? Cyprus? Bulgaria? They all have a veto

    This is the exact equivalent of the idiot brexiteers who promised that Brexit would be “the easiest deal in history”



    I think it is probably true the EU in general, and many EU leaders, would like us back, because a powerful nation of 70m coming back into the fold would add a lot of money into the coffers, bolster the cause of European unity, plus demonstrate the UK had been humbled by leaving and had to crawl back. It's so in their interests that I find it rather silly to think they wouldn't - like how some fools started to claim the EU no longer cared what happens in the UK, which is just dumb.

    That's not the same as the EU wanting us back in now. Why would they want such a headache when the debate in the UK on the subject is still far from assured?
    It's essentially a maximum of 3 years until the next GE. And Reform are currently on course, with the Tories, to have a majority in that election - both arch Leaver parties.

    There isn't enough time to hold and win a referendum and then negotiate and pass an accession treaty, still less manage a transition with all the complexities and politics around it.

    And even if it was (it isn't) it'd be immediately denounced by the new administration.
    Judah’s plan is not “hold a referendum now” - which actually makes sense as a Hail Mary pass - it’s “put a referendum in the next manifesto” which makes almost no sense at all
    It also makes no sense electorally, certainly while we keep FPTP. Remember while Remain won 48% of the votes in 2016, only 36% of GB constituency House of Commons seats voted Remain. So all it would do is pile up Labour votes again in inner cities and university towns while swing seats in the suburbs and market and seaside and ex industrial towns and rural areas go to Farage and the Tories
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 103,809
    edited May 9


    Alex Wickham
    @alexwickham
    ·
    33m
    Catherine West’s interview round is going down extremely badly with some MPs across the factional divide

    People are stunned by this quote: “You know what sometimes happens to stalking horses? They become the candidate”

    Which seems to suggest she thinks she could really be PM

    https://x.com/alexwickham/status/2053190629857824879

    That sounds a lot like, "why doesn't this uppity woman leave it to us grown ups who have our carefully prepared plans to replace Starmer in the fullness of time."

    The more people criticise her for no good reason the more I am inclined to think well of her.
    It's possible she is a bit of a troublemaker, a hair too independent minded, who knows? From the anonymous complaints to her saying (among other things) that people need to put up or shut up and not just make anonymous complaints, I get the impression that she is not party to the current factional infighting and those pushing for specific candidates do not appreciate someone pointing out their gameplaying.

    Truth hurts.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 9,233

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    That's going a bit far, but a manifesto commitment to hold a referendum on rejoining the EU would work, although the lesson from what happened after 2016 is that terms of accession would have to be negotiated and precisely defined in advance of the vote.
    It might even appeal to Reform voters - one clause could be to return to the pre 2019 status quo on automatically returning unsuccessful asylum seekers to the EU border they came across, which would stop the boats just as effectively as it did when it was in place.

    Here's someone who might be willing to write it into the manifesto. Expelled as a shadow frontbencher by Corbyn by voting in favour of the single market.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catherine_West#/media/File:Official_portrait_of_Catherine_West_crop_2.jpg

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/29/jeremy-corbyn-sacks-three-frontbenchers-after-single-market-vote
    Oh do stop with this nonsense. The Dublin agreement involved the transfer of tiny numbers of people, sometimes more in this direction than the other. And the boats started because we, together with the French, made it close to impossible for people to stow away in lorries.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 66,583
    kle4 said:

    kle4 said:

    Leon said:

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    One of the stupidest articles The Times has ever published

    Just this paragraph:

    “I personally know” “rejoining would be relatively fast” blah blah blah

    That’s great. Ben fucking Judah personally knows that “France wants us back”. Which France, ben? The one run by macron who has to quit in two years? Before your referendum? How about Mme Le Pen? Have you asked her? Or Bardella? Or anyone in Spain? Cyprus? Bulgaria? They all have a veto

    This is the exact equivalent of the idiot brexiteers who promised that Brexit would be “the easiest deal in history”



    I think it is probably true the EU in general, and many EU leaders, would like us back, because a powerful nation of 70m coming back into the fold would add a lot of money into the coffers, bolster the cause of European unity, plus demonstrate the UK had been humbled by leaving and had to crawl back. It's so in their interests that I find it rather silly to think they wouldn't - like how some fools started to claim the EU no longer cared what happens in the UK, which is just dumb.

    That's not the same as the EU wanting us back in now. Why would they want such a headache when the debate in the UK on the subject is still far from assured?
    It's essentially a maximum of 3 years until the next GE. And Reform are currently on course, with the Tories, to have a majority in that election - both arch Leaver parties.

    There isn't enough time to hold and win a referendum and then negotiate and pass an accession treaty, still less manage a transition with all the complexities and politics around it.

    And even if it was (it isn't) it'd be immediately denounced by the new administration.
    I assume the plan wouldn't be to rejoin now, just come out with a rejoin stance and make efforts to head in that direction to enthuse the Remain vote.

    It might even gain them a little from where they are now, but it wouldn't make the UK suddenly not politically divided - I don't think the EU would ever want to risk a repeat, and wouldn't want us back in unless 'stay out' parties were at 15% or less.
    It would actually do the opposite, since it would repolarise voting in constituencies accordingly.

    Reform and the Conservatives would have the advantage, because there are simply more Leave inclined ones than Remain ones.

    So it's a dead duck.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 79,490
    kle4 said:

    Leon said:

    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    Rejoining the EU - or attempting to Rejoin (we might be vetoed) - would be easily as agonising as Brexit and probably much worse. Because quitting a club is ultimately easier than joining. Especially joining a club that isn’t sure you’d be a good member

    It would five-ten years of anguished and tedious negotiations during which the EU - and every member state - would try to extract as much juice from the British Orange as possible. They would make the pips squeak

    And, despite what “Ben Judah” says, we would certainly have to join the euro. It’s the one way to shackle us forever

    we would not be vetoed per se. We would be told full fat including Euro and Schengen, or no.
    You have absolutely no idea. You have no idea who will be in power in 27 different EU nations in 2030 or 2033. It could be the AfD in Germany. It could be some far right party in Spain which will demand the return of Gibraltar or veto. It could the revived Keith Chegwin running Bulgaria who wants revenge on the burghers of Newent so he vetoes for no reason at all. And, remember, THEY ALL HAVE A VETO

    So shut up. You don’t know. No one knows. It would be a massive gamble, that is the only honest account
    I thought his point was that we wouldn't really need to be vetoed because by insisting on full fat that would likely sink the prospects of Rejoin as a project.
    Bother, you've put it in terms even he will understand.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 22,035
    I see the remaining Brexit devotees are now openly panicking
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 8,088


    Alex Wickham
    @alexwickham
    ·
    33m
    Catherine West’s interview round is going down extremely badly with some MPs across the factional divide

    People are stunned by this quote: “You know what sometimes happens to stalking horses? They become the candidate”

    Which seems to suggest she thinks she could really be PM

    https://x.com/alexwickham/status/2053190629857824879

    That sounds a lot like, "why doesn't this uppity woman leave it to us grown ups who have our carefully prepared plans to replace Starmer in the fullness of time."

    The more people criticise her for no good reason the more I am inclined to think well of her.
    Even a stalking horse would be better than a dead donkey.
  • Leon_VotedForStarmerLeon_VotedForStarmer Posts: 69,000
    ydoethur said:

    kle4 said:

    Leon said:

    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    Rejoining the EU - or attempting to Rejoin (we might be vetoed) - would be easily as agonising as Brexit and probably much worse. Because quitting a club is ultimately easier than joining. Especially joining a club that isn’t sure you’d be a good member

    It would five-ten years of anguished and tedious negotiations during which the EU - and every member state - would try to extract as much juice from the British Orange as possible. They would make the pips squeak

    And, despite what “Ben Judah” says, we would certainly have to join the euro. It’s the one way to shackle us forever

    we would not be vetoed per se. We would be told full fat including Euro and Schengen, or no.
    You have absolutely no idea. You have no idea who will be in power in 27 different EU nations in 2030 or 2033. It could be the AfD in Germany. It could be some far right party in Spain which will demand the return of Gibraltar or veto. It could the revived Keith Chegwin running Bulgaria who wants revenge on the burghers of Newent so he vetoes for no reason at all. And, remember, THEY ALL HAVE A VETO

    So shut up. You don’t know. No one knows. It would be a massive gamble, that is the only honest account
    I thought his point was that we wouldn't really need to be vetoed because by insisting on full fat that would likely sink the prospects of Rejoin as a project.
    Bother, you've put it in terms even he will understand.
    I understand that, on this point, you’re an idiot
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 35,229
    edited May 9
    Gordon Brown always strikes me as a very silly politician.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,790

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    That's going a bit far, but a manifesto commitment to hold a referendum on rejoining the EU would work, although the lesson from what happened after 2016 is that terms of accession would have to be negotiated and precisely defined in advance of the vote.
    It might even appeal to Reform voters - one clause could be to return to the pre 2019 status quo on automatically returning unsuccessful asylum seekers to the EU border they came across, which would stop the boats just as effectively as it did when it was in place.

    Here's someone who might be willing to write it into the manifesto. Expelled as a shadow frontbencher by Corbyn by voting in favour of the single market.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catherine_West#/media/File:Official_portrait_of_Catherine_West_crop_2.jpg

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/29/jeremy-corbyn-sacks-three-frontbenchers-after-single-market-vote
    That would almost guarantee a Tory-Reform coalition.
    That would break the Tories in two. They are not all raging Brexiters.
    You do realise it's 2026 and not 2016, right?
    I am no big fan of Rejoin, although I was a keen Remainer. Some Tories of my acquaintance are more enthusiastic to rejoin than I am.
  • BatteryCorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorse Posts: 7,132
    Burnham would be a good PM but this “everyone must wait for me” stuff isn’t a good look.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 35,229

    I see the remaining Brexit devotees are now openly panicking

    OK dear.
  • mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,878
    edited May 9

    Does Starmer want out?

    Telling the Observer he plans ten more years is so mad in the current circumstances it may be a cry for help.

    I take that post back. I'm not accidentally comparing Starmer with the unibollocked Austrian.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 8,088

    I see the remaining Brexit devotees are now openly panicking

    OK dear.
    Having suffered the utter incompetence of every government that has been In office since Brexit, the Euro and Schengen seem a small price to pay for taking power away from them.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 9,233

    I see the remaining Brexit devotees are now openly panicking

    Remember, boys: referendums are horribly divisive. Unless you think you can win, then it's democracy in action.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 61,132

    Burnham would be a good PM but this “everyone must wait for me” stuff isn’t a good look.

    No, but it’s still tremendously funny.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 66,583

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    That's going a bit far, but a manifesto commitment to hold a referendum on rejoining the EU would work, although the lesson from what happened after 2016 is that terms of accession would have to be negotiated and precisely defined in advance of the vote.
    It might even appeal to Reform voters - one clause could be to return to the pre 2019 status quo on automatically returning unsuccessful asylum seekers to the EU border they came across, which would stop the boats just as effectively as it did when it was in place.

    Here's someone who might be willing to write it into the manifesto. Expelled as a shadow frontbencher by Corbyn by voting in favour of the single market.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catherine_West#/media/File:Official_portrait_of_Catherine_West_crop_2.jpg

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/29/jeremy-corbyn-sacks-three-frontbenchers-after-single-market-vote
    That would almost guarantee a Tory-Reform coalition.
    That would break the Tories in two. They are not all raging Brexiters.
    You do realise it's 2026 and not 2016, right?
    I am no big fan of Rejoin, although I was a keen Remainer. Some Tories of my acquaintance are more enthusiastic to rejoin than I am.
    Are these Tories in the room with you now?
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 9,233

    I see the remaining Brexit devotees are now openly panicking

    OK dear.
    Having suffered the utter incompetence of every government that has been In office since Brexit, the Euro and Schengen seem a small price to pay for taking power away from them.
    "Who runs Britain? I don't care so long as they do things I like."
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 35,229

    I see the remaining Brexit devotees are now openly panicking

    OK dear.
    Having suffered the utter incompetence of every government that has been In office since Brexit, the Euro and Schengen seem a small price to pay for taking power away from them.
    We can vote out an incompetent Government. The Tories were rightly booted out, and the same will happen to Starmer. That's the point.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 39,790
    edited May 9

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    That's going a bit far, but a manifesto commitment to hold a referendum on rejoining the EU would work, although the lesson from what happened after 2016 is that terms of accession would have to be negotiated and precisely defined in advance of the vote.
    It might even appeal to Reform voters - one clause could be to return to the pre 2019 status quo on automatically returning unsuccessful asylum seekers to the EU border they came across, which would stop the boats just as effectively as it did when it was in place.

    Here's someone who might be willing to write it into the manifesto. Expelled as a shadow frontbencher by Corbyn by voting in favour of the single market.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catherine_West#/media/File:Official_portrait_of_Catherine_West_crop_2.jpg

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/29/jeremy-corbyn-sacks-three-frontbenchers-after-single-market-vote
    That would almost guarantee a Tory-Reform coalition.
    That would break the Tories in two. They are not all raging Brexiters.
    You do realise it's 2026 and not 2016, right?
    I am no big fan of Rejoin, although I was a keen Remainer. Some Tories of my acquaintance are more enthusiastic to rejoin than I am.
    Are these Tories in the room with you now?
    No, but it would be a big room if they were.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 55,429

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    That's going a bit far, but a manifesto commitment to hold a referendum on rejoining the EU would work, although the lesson from what happened after 2016 is that terms of accession would have to be negotiated and precisely defined in advance of the vote.
    It might even appeal to Reform voters - one clause could be to return to the pre 2019 status quo on automatically returning unsuccessful asylum seekers to the EU border they came across, which would stop the boats just as effectively as it did when it was in place.

    Here's someone who might be willing to write it into the manifesto. Expelled as a shadow frontbencher by Corbyn by voting in favour of the single market.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catherine_West#/media/File:Official_portrait_of_Catherine_West_crop_2.jpg

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/29/jeremy-corbyn-sacks-three-frontbenchers-after-single-market-vote
    That would almost guarantee a Tory-Reform coalition.
    That would break the Tories in two. They are not all raging Brexiters.
    You do realise it's 2026 and not 2016, right?
    Hence why many of the formerly sensible Tories are now voting LibDem
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 35,229

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    That's going a bit far, but a manifesto commitment to hold a referendum on rejoining the EU would work, although the lesson from what happened after 2016 is that terms of accession would have to be negotiated and precisely defined in advance of the vote.
    It might even appeal to Reform voters - one clause could be to return to the pre 2019 status quo on automatically returning unsuccessful asylum seekers to the EU border they came across, which would stop the boats just as effectively as it did when it was in place.

    Here's someone who might be willing to write it into the manifesto. Expelled as a shadow frontbencher by Corbyn by voting in favour of the single market.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catherine_West#/media/File:Official_portrait_of_Catherine_West_crop_2.jpg

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/29/jeremy-corbyn-sacks-three-frontbenchers-after-single-market-vote
    That would almost guarantee a Tory-Reform coalition.
    That would break the Tories in two. They are not all raging Brexiters.
    You do realise it's 2026 and not 2016, right?
    I am no big fan of Rejoin, although I was a keen Remainer. Some Tories of my acquaintance are more enthusiastic to rejoin than I am.
    Are these Tories in the room with you now?
    No but it would be a big room if they were.
    How rude. It's all muscle.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 24,209
    kle4 said:

    Leon said:

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    One of the stupidest articles The Times has ever published

    Just this paragraph:

    “I personally know” “rejoining would be relatively fast” blah blah blah

    That’s great. Ben fucking Judah personally knows that “France wants us back”. Which France, ben? The one run by macron who has to quit in two years? Before your referendum? How about Mme Le Pen? Have you asked her? Or Bardella? Or anyone in Spain? Cyprus? Bulgaria? They all have a veto

    This is the exact equivalent of the idiot brexiteers who promised that Brexit would be “the easiest deal in history”



    I think it is probably true the EU in general, and many EU leaders, would like us back, because a powerful nation of 70m coming back into the fold would add a lot of money into the coffers, bolster the cause of European unity, plus demonstrate the UK had been humbled by leaving and had to crawl back. It's so in their interests that I find it rather silly to think they wouldn't - like how some fools started to claim the EU no longer cared what happens in the UK, which is just dumb.

    That's not the same as the EU wanting us back in now. Why would they want such a headache when the debate in the UK on the subject is still far from assured?
    If I was the EU I would be very wary about accepting Britain back in without at least 2:1 support for it among British voters. The risk of Britain deciding to Leave again would be too great.
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 8,323
    Looking at Starmers interview he’s really going for much closer ties with the EU and uses some of the most critical language we’ve seen from him in years on Brexit .
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 66,583

    I see the remaining Brexit devotees are now openly panicking

    OK dear.
    Having suffered the utter incompetence of every government that has been In office since Brexit, the Euro and Schengen seem a small price to pay for taking power away from them.
    And what if the EU proves to be incompetent as a government in running our currency and borders?

    What then?
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 35,229
    nico67 said:

    Looking at Starmers interview he’s really going for much closer ties with the EU and uses some of the most critical language we’ve seen from him in years on Brexit .

    What I don't get is why his team is desperate for Catherine West to delay her leadership bid until after his reset speech. Why? That just buggers up the reset. Surely now is better, see it off and then reset.

    Anyone any ideas?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 66,583
    nico67 said:

    Looking at Starmers interview he’s really going for much closer ties with the EU and uses some of the most critical language we’ve seen from him in years on Brexit .

    Clearly, that's the play.

    You might hate me, and I might lose the next GE, but stick with me for the rest of the term and I'll loosen Brexit.

    Of course, Reform might immediately tighten it again in 3 years time, but hey-ho.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 35,229

    I see the remaining Brexit devotees are now openly panicking

    OK dear.
    Having suffered the utter incompetence of every government that has been In office since Brexit, the Euro and Schengen seem a small price to pay for taking power away from them.
    And what if the EU proves to be incompetent as a government in running our currency and borders?

    What then?
    Fairliered will simply excercise his democratic right to vot...

    Oh.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 66,583
    IanB2 said:

    Labour has one path to election victory: rejoining the EU

    Steering Britain back to Europe would reunite progressives, boost growth and turn Tories and Reform into defenders of the status quo


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/keir-starmer-eu-britain-labour-ccq0qv9bc

    That's going a bit far, but a manifesto commitment to hold a referendum on rejoining the EU would work, although the lesson from what happened after 2016 is that terms of accession would have to be negotiated and precisely defined in advance of the vote.
    It might even appeal to Reform voters - one clause could be to return to the pre 2019 status quo on automatically returning unsuccessful asylum seekers to the EU border they came across, which would stop the boats just as effectively as it did when it was in place.

    Here's someone who might be willing to write it into the manifesto. Expelled as a shadow frontbencher by Corbyn by voting in favour of the single market.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Catherine_West#/media/File:Official_portrait_of_Catherine_West_crop_2.jpg

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jun/29/jeremy-corbyn-sacks-three-frontbenchers-after-single-market-vote
    That would almost guarantee a Tory-Reform coalition.
    That would break the Tories in two. They are not all raging Brexiters.
    You do realise it's 2026 and not 2016, right?
    Hence why many of the formerly sensible Tories are now voting LibDem
    Lib Who?
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 6,012

    nico67 said:

    Looking at Starmers interview he’s really going for much closer ties with the EU and uses some of the most critical language we’ve seen from him in years on Brexit .

    What I don't get is why his team is desperate for Catherine West to delay her leadership bid until after his reset speech. Why? That just buggers up the reset. Surely now is better, see it off and then reset.

    Anyone any ideas?
    Starmer is bad at politics. Simple as that
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,789
    What is Burnham going to offer? There doesn't appear to be fiscal headroom with long term borrowing at 6%. He may be more personable and politically astute than Starmer but what is the agenda?
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 8,323
    There shouldn’t be another EU referendum unless the terms of re-joining are clearly laid out beforehand .

    We saw what happened with Brexit ! The EU aren’t going to indulge more UK psychodrama and why should they ?

    And realistically unless and until there’s a very clear and strong majority for re-joining then the EU shouldn’t waste time on this because you could end up with a different UK government wanting to exit again .

    Of course as a Hail Mary it would no longer surprise me if another EU referendum was part of Labours next manifesto.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 24,209

    nico67 said:

    Looking at Starmers interview he’s really going for much closer ties with the EU and uses some of the most critical language we’ve seen from him in years on Brexit .

    What I don't get is why his team is desperate for Catherine West to delay her leadership bid until after his reset speech. Why? That just buggers up the reset. Surely now is better, see it off and then reset.

    Anyone any ideas?
    After his reset speech the argument would be to delay until after the King's Speech. Then delay until after something else. Starmer is far too weak to do anything, to oppose anything, so all he can do is seek to delay.

    Not today. Not today. Not today...
  • FishingFishing Posts: 6,356
    I saw Sir Anthony Meyer talk during his brief period of fame. It's decades ago now, of course, but the first thing he said, and the only thing I remember all these years later, was "Unlike Labour, the Conservative Party has always been more interested in power than principles".

    Much less true at the time, under Margaret Thatcher, than under Cameron or Johnson (and with Labour under Starmer). Still, not entirely without merit.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 50,699
    Well don't look at me, I don't have a clue what's going on.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 47,896
    edited May 9

    I see the remaining Brexit devotees are now openly panicking

    OK dear.
    Having suffered the utter incompetence of every government that has been In office since Brexit, the Euro and Schengen seem a small price to pay for taking power away from them.
    And what if the EU proves to be incompetent as a government in running our currency and borders?

    What then?
    I guess the EU being a union of consent*, the UK would be allowed to rethink yet again.

    *not all unions are like this.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,923

    What is Burnham going to offer? There doesn't appear to be fiscal headroom with long term borrowing at 6%. He may be more personable and politically astute than Starmer but what is the agenda?

    Not the Tories Starmer. It's this incredible depth of thinking that makes the Labour Party the political colossus it is.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 9,233

    I see the remaining Brexit devotees are now openly panicking

    OK dear.
    Having suffered the utter incompetence of every government that has been In office since Brexit, the Euro and Schengen seem a small price to pay for taking power away from them.
    And what if the EU proves to be incompetent as a government in running our currency and borders?

    What then?
    I guess the EU being a union of consent*, the UK would be allowed to rethink yet again.

    *not all unions are like this.
    Article 50 didn't exist until 2007.

    Now, in practical terms, a process would have been found if we'd asked to leave, of course. Scotland is welcome to do a UDI and see what happens...
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,875
    That headline reminded me of this famous quote from American history:
    Washington [D.C.] is not a place to live in. The rents are high, the food is bad, the dust is disgusting and the morals are deplorable. Go West, young man, go West and grow up with the country.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Go_West,_young_man

    Despite its fame, its origin is obscure. Historians do not agree on who said it, or when it was said.

    I look forward to one of you adapting that quotation to your current little problem. Suggesting a move to Wales, perhaps? To Canada, or even Greenland?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 50,699

    What is Burnham going to offer? There doesn't appear to be fiscal headroom with long term borrowing at 6%. He may be more personable and politically astute than Starmer but what is the agenda?

    The Trump induced global shitshow, the post GFC sluggish economy, and the boxed in public finances aren't changing with Burnham or anyone else. So it is mainly about personal qualities, in particular connecting with the public. Starmer can't do that. Replacing him with somebody who can is the point of the exercise.
  • isamisam Posts: 44,230
    I don’t understand what Sir Keir has done to upset his voters. He won a big majority, why not give him his five years to use it? What does it matter if he’s got mid term blues?
  • BatteryCorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorse Posts: 7,132

    I reluctantly voted to remain 10 years ago

    I will never vote to rejoin

    The past decade has made it clear that the EU project is fundamentally flawed and I want no part of the idea of a European superstate

    I love being part of Europe. The food, the culture, the history.

    But want nothing to do with the bloated mess that is the EU project

    I voted remain and would now vote to stay out.

    The relationship we’d be voting for is not one I want part of.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 6,012
    edited May 9
    Burnham would need to find new talent to bring into Cabinet.

    There is very little quality in the current team

    The rumour of Milliband as CoE is worrying. That sort of zealotry should not be near the levers of power.

    He needs decent communicators with the ability to master a complex brief. Not place holders with no real understanding of their policy area.
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,865
    It's all a bit of a mess isn't it? 😡
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 6,012

    It's all a bit of a mess isn't it? 😡

    Looking at Birmingham, that sort of fractured result is a foretaste of how Westminster might look next time.

    Now that would be a mess

    Labour imploding is to be expected. They deserve everything that's coming to them.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,789

    Burnham would need to find new talent to bring into Cabinet.

    There is very little quality in the current team

    The rumour of Milliband as CoE is worrying. That sort of zealotry should not be near the levers of power.

    He needs decent communicators with the ability to master a complex brief. Not place holders with no real understanding of their policy area.

    People laugh at Starmer for not having dreams.

    Ed strikes me as a dreamer. Would people prefer that?
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 6,012
    isam said:

    I don’t understand what Sir Keir has done to upset his voters. He won a big majority, why not give him his five years to use it? What does it matter if he’s got mid term blues?

    This isn't a mid term issue. This is about a lack of vision from the outset, administrative chaos and poor judgement ever since.

    This has been coming for years.
  • BatteryCorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorse Posts: 7,132
    Streeting with Burnham in the cabinet would be decent.

    I like Shabana Mahmood.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 6,012

    Burnham would need to find new talent to bring into Cabinet.

    There is very little quality in the current team

    The rumour of Milliband as CoE is worrying. That sort of zealotry should not be near the levers of power.

    He needs decent communicators with the ability to master a complex brief. Not place holders with no real understanding of their policy area.

    People laugh at Starmer for not having dreams.

    Ed strikes me as a dreamer. Would people prefer that?
    No. Because the dream he has is a nightmare for many
  • BatteryCorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorse Posts: 7,132

    isam said:

    I don’t understand what Sir Keir has done to upset his voters. He won a big majority, why not give him his five years to use it? What does it matter if he’s got mid term blues?

    This isn't a mid term issue. This is about a lack of vision from the outset, administrative chaos and poor judgement ever since.

    This has been coming for years.
    Perhaps it was always inevitable. But I still think if they’d not done winter fuel (even though I think that was the right decision) they’d probably have got a lot further.
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 6,012

    isam said:

    I don’t understand what Sir Keir has done to upset his voters. He won a big majority, why not give him his five years to use it? What does it matter if he’s got mid term blues?

    This isn't a mid term issue. This is about a lack of vision from the outset, administrative chaos and poor judgement ever since.

    This has been coming for years.
    Perhaps it was always inevitable. But I still think if they’d not done winter fuel (even though I think that was the right decision) they’d probably have got a lot further.
    Mandelson would still have happened
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 5,542
    edited May 9

    Burnham would need to find new talent to bring into Cabinet.

    There is very little quality in the current team

    The rumour of Milliband as CoE is worrying. That sort of zealotry should not be near the levers of power.

    He needs decent communicators with the ability to master a complex brief. Not place holders with no real understanding of their policy area.

    People laugh at Starmer for not having dreams.

    Ed strikes me as a dreamer. Would people prefer that?
    No. Because the dream he has is a nightmare for many
    Why?
    Are you allergic to bacon sandwiches?
  • BatteryCorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorse Posts: 7,132
    https://x.com/politlcsuk/status/2053236556417139167

    Nigel Farage says a “serious” hack of his computer led to the revelation that he received a £5m undeclared gift

    Reform UK is “exploring” its legal options

    Hahahaha
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 60,391

    AnneJGP said:


    Alex Wickham
    @alexwickham
    ·
    33m
    Catherine West’s interview round is going down extremely badly with some MPs across the factional divide

    People are stunned by this quote: “You know what sometimes happens to stalking horses? They become the candidate”

    Which seems to suggest she thinks she could really be PM

    https://x.com/alexwickham/status/2053190629857824879

    Who could blame anyone for looking at this front bench/cabinet and thinking Even I could do better than that?
    Half the posters here could do a better job.

    At work, the other day, one of the managers put on the group chat that he had made a mistake in a specification, causing the current production problem. And here was the fix.

    Admitted culpability, fixed the problem.
    Fired, of course. But did the right thing.
    Actually no. In the real world, people who admit mistakes are valuable. To those with half a brain.
    A. Half-brains are quite uncommon in UK management.

    B. Depends on the industry.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 60,391

    https://x.com/politlcsuk/status/2053236556417139167

    Nigel Farage says a “serious” hack of his computer led to the revelation that he received a £5m undeclared gift

    Reform UK is “exploring” its legal options

    Hahahaha

    "Password" or "1234"?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 64,490

    I see the remaining Brexit devotees are now openly panicking

    OK dear.
    Having suffered the utter incompetence of every government that has been In office since Brexit, the Euro and Schengen seem a small price to pay for taking power away from them.
    And what if the EU proves to be incompetent as a government in running our currency and borders?

    What then?
    It reminds me of Mrs Thatcher remonstrating with an Italian voter in the early 1990s:

    "But surely you don't want to be run from Brussels" said she
    "It can't be any worse than being run from Rome," said the Italian man with a shrug

  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 28,775
    It has been tried frequently. By the Conservative Party.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 64,490
    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    Rejoining the EU - or attempting to Rejoin (we might be vetoed) - would be easily as agonising as Brexit and probably much worse. Because quitting a club is ultimately easier than joining. Especially joining a club that isn’t sure you’d be a good member

    It would five-ten years of anguished and tedious negotiations during which the EU - and every member state - would try to extract as much juice from the British Orange as possible. They would make the pips squeak

    And, despite what “Ben Judah” says, we would certainly have to join the euro. It’s the one way to shackle us forever

    we would not be vetoed per se. We would be told full fat including Euro and Schengen, or no.
    Actually, I don't think that necessarily true. The EU is happy to have many countries indefinitely delaying Euro membership, because the time is never quite right. I have no doubt that -if we were going to be writing a large cheque- then we would get the same treatment.
  • isamisam Posts: 44,230
    viewcode said:

    It has been tried frequently. By the Conservative Party.
    It’d it hadn’t been for Covid, we could be halfway through our second term of it
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 32,583

    What is Burnham going to offer? There doesn't appear to be fiscal headroom with long term borrowing at 6%. He may be more personable and politically astute than Starmer but what is the agenda?

    I get that.
    But being more personable and appearing to actually listen and take an interest in what is heard, then formulate some response, even if it is merely platitude would be a heck of an upgrade.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 32,583

    That headline reminded me of this famous quote from American history:

    Washington [D.C.] is not a place to live in. The rents are high, the food is bad, the dust is disgusting and the morals are deplorable. Go West, young man, go West and grow up with the country.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Go_West,_young_man

    Despite its fame, its origin is obscure. Historians do not agree on who said it, or when it was said.

    I look forward to one of you adapting that quotation to your current little problem. Suggesting a move to Wales, perhaps? To Canada, or even Greenland?

    I'm sure it was the Pet Shop Boys.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 63,538

    AnneJGP said:


    Alex Wickham
    @alexwickham
    ·
    33m
    Catherine West’s interview round is going down extremely badly with some MPs across the factional divide

    People are stunned by this quote: “You know what sometimes happens to stalking horses? They become the candidate”

    Which seems to suggest she thinks she could really be PM

    https://x.com/alexwickham/status/2053190629857824879

    Who could blame anyone for looking at this front bench/cabinet and thinking Even I could do better than that?
    Half the posters here could do a better job.

    At work, the other day, one of the managers put on the group chat that he had made a mistake in a specification, causing the current production problem. And here was the fix.

    Admitted culpability, fixed the problem.
    Fired, of course. But did the right thing.
    Actually no. In the real world, people who admit mistakes are valuable. To those with half a brain.
    A. Half-brains are quite uncommon in UK management.

    B. Depends on the industry.
    At the level of actually doing work, things are different.

    We don’t have the time to waste on performative wankers.

    Anyone who wants to do Me Big Man No Make Mistakes can chuck themselves off the Coq D’Argent.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 6,055

    Burnham would need to find new talent to bring into Cabinet.

    There is very little quality in the current team

    The rumour of Milliband as CoE is worrying. That sort of zealotry should not be near the levers of power.

    He needs decent communicators with the ability to master a complex brief. Not place holders with no real understanding of their policy area.

    One of the Blair sprogs? I mean - at this stage, why not?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 59,780
    edited May 9
    dixiedean said:

    That headline reminded me of this famous quote from American history:
    "Washington [D.C.] is not a place to live in. The rents are high, the food is bad, the dust is disgusting and the morals are deplorable. Go West, young man, go West and grow up with the country."
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Go_West,_young_man

    Despite its fame, its origin is obscure. Historians do not agree on who said it, or when it was said.

    I look forward to one of you adapting that quotation to your current little problem. Suggesting a move to Wales, perhaps? To Canada, or even Greenland?

    I'm sure it was the Pet Shop Boys.
    Nah, it was Go West :lol:
  • BatteryCorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorse Posts: 7,132

    isam said:

    I don’t understand what Sir Keir has done to upset his voters. He won a big majority, why not give him his five years to use it? What does it matter if he’s got mid term blues?

    This isn't a mid term issue. This is about a lack of vision from the outset, administrative chaos and poor judgement ever since.

    This has been coming for years.
    Perhaps it was always inevitable. But I still think if they’d not done winter fuel (even though I think that was the right decision) they’d probably have got a lot further.
    Mandelson would still have happened
    I think Mandelson was probably survivable if the PM had started stronger.
This discussion has been closed.