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The Burnham surge – politicalbetting.com

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  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 27,958
    Scott_xP said:

    @LOS_Fisher

    The UK ambo to US also criticised America’s political system for failing to hold US associates of Epstein to account

    It’s ‘extraordinary’ the scandal ‘hasn’t touched anybody’ in US, he said

    Leaked remarks from Feb risk embarrassing King during US visit

    https://x.com/LOS_Fisher/status/2049121628894675371?s=20

    Starmer really should have gone for a safe pair of hands for this role, what was he thinking? Why not put in place an experienced political operator instead?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 43,520
    The markets are open...

    @atrupar.com‬

    Trump: "Iran has just informed us they are in a 'State of Collapse.' They want us to 'Open the Hormuz Strait,' as soon as possible, as they try to figure out their leadership situation (Which I believe they will be able to do!). Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP"
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 89,669
    Scott_xP said:

    @LOS_Fisher

    The UK ambo to US also criticised America’s political system for failing to hold US associates of Epstein to account

    It’s ‘extraordinary’ the scandal ‘hasn’t touched anybody’ in US, he said

    Leaked remarks from Feb risk embarrassing King during US visit

    https://x.com/LOS_Fisher/status/2049121628894675371?s=20

    Ought it not to embarrass Trump ?
  • MelonBMelonB Posts: 17,363

    MelonB said:

    Taz said:

    viewcode said:

    Newstatesman journo:

    Ethan Croft
    @EthanCroft98

    Underdiscussed trend that shows up in The Economist's new poll tracker - Lib Dems voters going Green. It's their biggest single bleed off since the 2024 election, now at 17 pc and apparently on upward trajectory.

    A few weeks back I wrote about this in Morning Call - LDs having their lunch stolen by the Grns in urban areas where they were once the natural progressive alternative to Labour

    https://x.com/EthanCroft98/status/2049054296986063161

    I told you! I've been telling you this for weeks! It's an attention economy and the LDs arent generating the clicks, so to speak. Keeping your head down and hoping nobody notices you doesn't work, and @RochdalePioneers and @stodge murmuring "Well, we have a lot in common with the Conservatives" does not help.
    I’ve been saying this to Lib Dem’s here who think the solution was to love bomb the greens not fight them.

    People will just vote green in that case.

    I’ve heard this a few times on here, but which Lib Dem has been suggesting lovebombing the greens?

    None of the usual ones I’m familiar with on PB. Most think they’re SWP loonies.
    It wont be the "actual" LDs. It will be the floating voters who considered LDs best alternative last time and Greens this time. Given its council elections they may well even vote for them if they consider them SWP loonies but are best placed as a protest vote vs Labour and/or Tories and/or Refuk.
    The specific “allegation” from this forum’s resident Lib Dem watcher is that Lib Dems on here have been lovebombing the greens.

    My suspicion is that this is a figment of the imagination.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 81,143
    Whittome joins the rebel alliance.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 89,669
    Another exhibit for the Trump v BBC lawsuit.

    Trump's '60 Minutes' Interview Heavily Edited, Despite Previously Suing CBS Over Deceptive Editing
    https://x.com/THR/status/2048903190872248705
  • MelonBMelonB Posts: 17,363
    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @LOS_Fisher

    The UK ambo to US also criticised America’s political system for failing to hold US associates of Epstein to account

    It’s ‘extraordinary’ the scandal ‘hasn’t touched anybody’ in US, he said

    Leaked remarks from Feb risk embarrassing King during US visit

    https://x.com/LOS_Fisher/status/2049121628894675371?s=20

    Ought it not to embarrass Trump ?
    Classic journalistic thought process isn’t it. British inferiority complex and cultural cringe at the feet of the American hegemon.

    Never mind embarrassing, it should be shaming and humiliating for Trump. But of course he has no shame.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,580

    NEW THREAD

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 128,580

    NEW THREAD

  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 20,960

    The Lib Dems have transitioned from None of the Above to One of the Above.

    You can only go so far by pointing at potholes and dog turds.

    I think if Davey now fails to have a good night in the Tory/LD battlegrounds (some protest votes go to the Greens) he could be a casualty of these elections.

    What might save him is the Reform protest vote taking more from the Tories.
    LibDems are predicted to make 113 net gains and to end the night with more seats won than the Conservatives or Greens. If they do that, I can't see there being any pressure on Davey.
  • TheValiantTheValiant Posts: 2,130
    Scott_xP said:

    The markets are open...

    @atrupar.com‬

    Trump: "Iran has just informed us they are in a 'State of Collapse.' They want us to 'Open the Hormuz Strait,' as soon as possible, as they try to figure out their leadership situation (Which I believe they will be able to do!). Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP"

    How can an organised government announce it is in a state of collapse?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 61,689

    https://x.com/reuters/status/2049103389854929105

    BREAKING: The United Arab Emirates said it quit OPEC and OPEC+, dealing a heavy blow to the oil exporting groups and their de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, at a time when the Iran war has caused a historic energy shock and unsettled the global economy

    Watch for oil prices to start falling. UAE is about to start pumping like crazy to stop Iran and Russia from benefitting from the situation.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 59,878
    Scott_xP said:

    @lucyfisher.ft.com‬

    🚨 EXC: Britain’s ambassador to US has said that America’s only ‘special relationship’ is ‘probably Israel’

    Christian Turner also said Keir Starmer was ‘clearly on the ropes’ earlier this year, & predicts Labour will ‘remove him’ if the party does ‘v badly’ in May elections

    https://bsky.app/profile/lucyfisher.ft.com/post/3mkkpbr3w4k22

    They should have left Mandelson in post. He would have been a safer pair of hands.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 61,689
    FF43 said:

    Sandpit said:

    O/t, but how come the BBC is able to have a headline like this 'Russian superyacht sails through Strait of Hormuz despite blockade.'

    Possibly with it's (sanctioned) billionaire owner on board. I can understand the Iranians letting it through, but I thought Trump's navy was on blockade duty as well?

    The US navy is blockading Iranian ports, trying to stop their oil getting out.

    The Iranians are supposedly blocking the Straight, but quite a lot of traffic has been getting through, especially that not related to O&G or container trade.
    Not according to Lloyds List. Just 9 non-Iranian ships made it through Hormuz last week. There were 150 transits per day before the war.

    I assume the 20 odd Iranian related ships were picked up by the Americans in the Indian Ocean

    https://www.lloydslist.com/LL1157022/Hormuz-transits-collapsed-last-week-after-brief-reopening
    Most of those going through are doing so with transponders switched off, which makes reported figures unreliable.
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