There’s a new poll in Gorton & Denton – politicalbetting.com
There’s a new poll in Gorton & Denton – politicalbetting.com
I’ve not been able to analyse this poll in detail but it does appear to be more statistically significant that the Find Out Now poll. I think this poll is a good poll for Reform.
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He should be officially retitled as Ponce Andrew.
Key factors
Weather
Ground Forces
“It’s a dragon.
Special because it made in ancient times? By the Xiongnu?
Or special because it’s from Europe?”
You are a third and a bit right. 40% right
The correct answer is quite mind blowing
That was no doubt a factor, Turbo, and I strongly suspect that back in pre-Horizon days a lot of pilfering went on. The Post Offices were pre-eminenty cash businesses and may well have been a soft touch for dishonest owners. The PO management clearly believed this, and when Horizon was introduced their reaction would have been a perfectly understandable 'gotcha'.
That however was only one factor in a perfect storm of misapprehensions and misdeeds contributing to this appalling scandal.
(Yes, I know others have made the joke, won't stop me).
LDs continuing their shit or bust approach to by-elections.
So they were guilty, just by their existence.
Much like the expats in Spain - who are all armed robbers/drug dealers from the Sweeney, so we are told.
Presumably they're just awaiting the construction of a bridge (or three) to California.
Its more than a bit humiliating for the GOP in Congress, many of whom had reservations but did not have the courage to take on Trump.
"Today’s 6-3 ruling by the Supreme Court is a Victory for the American People and a Win for the Separation of Powers enshrined in the Constitution of the United States.
In Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, our Supreme Court has reaffirmed that the Constitution grants Congress - not the President - the power to tax.
American families and American businesses pay American tariffs - not foreign countries. With this decision, American families and businesses can breathe a sigh of relief.
I’m proud of the work our organization @AmericanFreedom has done on this case through our robust amicus brief program to advance economic freedom and defend the Constitution.
With this historic decision, America can now return to the pursuit of Free Trade with Free Nations under the Constitution of the United States!"
https://x.com/Mike_Pence/status/2024875315068014594?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^2024875315068014594|twgr^528641cd6d855ac5751d56d3c55ff18d3f5b603f|twcon^s1_&ref_url=https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2026/02/20/trump-tariffs-ruled-illegal-us-supreme-court-china-britain/
(More likely- a fancy legalese version of "you can't stop me, I'm doing it anyway"? After all, the mechanisms that ought to stop a President in these circumstances- impeachment or the 25th- don't seem to be worth the vellum they are presumably written on.)
(There's probably a parallel with the EU in the UK too.)
I shocked some people recently by saying that despite problems I trust the system and politicians to do things rather than decide things are too important for them.
The point of politics is leadership.
“PICTURE QUIZ
Seen at the National Palace Museum in Taipei, today. The place whereto the Nationalists smuggled much of China’s great treasure in 1949
It’s a pretty, typically Chinese piece of jade ornament. Why is special?”
(You can go back and look at it to see)
Here’s the thing. It is recognisably Chinese. It is obviously a stylised Chinese dragon. It is made of jade. It could have been made yesterday or in 1700 or 1300
In actuality, it was made in 3500BC
THAT is how far Chinese culture stretches back. That’s how ancient and continuous it is. It goes back, unbroken, to before the pyramids.
Imagine looking at an artefact from Western Europe made in 3500BC and thinking “oh yeah, that’s French”’. Or “yup, typically English”. 5,500 years old
No wonder other Asian cultures have an inferiority complex vis a vis China. They are all parvenus. Even the Japanese
The Futures Bright. The Future's Eau de Nil
Tariffs were he's weapon
Without them he's neutered.
UK has played a blinder on tariffs, might just be about to turn diplomacy on him rather than defence mode.
i have to say, i can't wait to listen to this big wet idiot call his arch conservative supermajority on the supreme court a bunch of leftist cucks
https://bsky.app/profile/joshuaerlich.bsky.social/post/3mfcmwr2y2s23
"If you think you can give away British territory, think again."
Reform are left hoping that differential turnout will see them home. 29% isn't enough to win in a three-way split.
Politics is just utterly bizarre these days.
He didn't want to throw away 12 rounds of negotiations.
Chagos has no military significance for the UK
It has massive significance for America, India, China.
He should sell to the highest bidder.
If you have something that is worthless to UK defence
Sell it
What military use is it to specifically the UK?
It's an interesting poll and remember with an MoE of 3.2%, it's effectively a 3-way dead-heat (bit like the 6.45 at Newcastle last Saturday when the first three home were split by two noses).
The Greens are probably in the best position as they can now play the squeeze on Labour and Reform just haven't got the same numbers in terms of possible squeeze vote from the Conservatives.
Plenty of undecided voters as well - Omnisis have done a Ward breakdown of their numbers which again provides campaigning material for squeeze letters, emails etc.
They have a Jade tri link. It’s three concentric circles of Jade so perfectly carved they all naturally swivel inside of each other without falling apart (yet not connected by any screws or metal, just perfectly carved to the nano metre). They were carved from ONE piece of Jade. Like a kind of orrery
Made for a great emperor. Probably took craftsmen months or even years to fashion. That’s the display of wealth. Jade is so hard to work “yet I can employ men for years to make this one toy” (in pre industrial times)
It’s a bloody brilliant museum
Which means that we are looking, quite possibly at a three way tie.
With added fun of differential turnout - and we don’t have a track record for Reform or the Greens to work that out.
I do think we did play a good hand on tariffs.
The Lib Dem leader stupidly demanded we impose tariffs on US goods to get Trump back. It would be us picking up the tab.
Useless to us
While we're at it
Lease the Malvinas to the Argies with a deal on a 50% share on mineral and oil rights.
Another useless money put on our debit sheet
(For Byzantium's last crack at this one, see James Howard-Johnston's recent masterpiece of historical reconstruction: The Last Great War of Antiquity.)
Shut the little Englanders up.
What use is Gibraltar to us?
Greens are 26-38%
Reform are 23-35%
Labour are 20-32%
The probabilities are not equally distributed in those ranges too.
I am a bit suspicious of some of the other figures too. Are Rejoin EU really on 2%? 9 votes in total maybe, not 9/271!
Sir Wyn Nice-old-thing is due to report soon. Should be a corker. I don't think he will hold back.
So what is the US offering?
You didn't think a deal was going to be made on the basis of a level playing field now did you?
They're having trouble getting jurors in one of the cases against Elon Musk because "so many people hate him so much"
https://bsky.app/profile/drewharwell.com/post/3mfcogeqo5s2i
The question is, if all your bungs from UK Exchequer are ceasing, you have a choice to make, stand on your own 2 feet, return to the UK or adapt under a new flag.
The only way out that preserves British (or European) independence and freedom is to get serious about defending ourselves. Starmer is not remotely serious about that. His funding plans would see spending on British conventional military capability fall. It's a major dereliction of duty in the circumstances.
Gibraltar is also self sustaining.
Trump is planning to “invoke new trade authorities” to bypass the Supreme Court decision on tariffs
The Tory Party funded by Russians, PNs prostituting themselves to play tennis with Putins Oligarchs
🚨 Hungary blocks the final legislative steps of the €90 billion loan for Ukraine in response to the energy dispute between the two countries.
Reminder: Budapest agreed to exempt itself from the loan through enhanced cooperation.
Kyiv needs fresh assistance as early as April.
https://www.whitehouse.gov/live/
He just likes saying 'make a deal' because it plays into the 'tough business shrewdie' brand he's somehow got established.
What's that got to do with it? Just because I criticise Starmer doesn't make me a Tory.
TRUMP IS UP .... On tariffs:
The decision is "deeply disappointing and i'm ashamed of certain members of the court -- absolutely ashamed -- of not having the courage to do what's right for our country."
Christ Trump saying that justices on the Supreme Court have been swayed by foreign interests
Ye gods