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There’s a new poll in Gorton & Denton – politicalbetting.com

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  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,509
    edited February 20
    HYUFD said:

    Nigelb said:

    The man is a senile loon who cares only about his ego, and nothing about policy other than through that lens.

    "Effective immediately, all national security tariffs remain fully in place and in full force and effect. Today, I will sign an order to impose a 10% global tariff, over and above our normal tariffs already being charged."

    He's decided to just ignore the Supreme Court ruling.

    https://x.com/Daractenus/status/2024919338168259013

    It could not be clearer to Congress that they need to impeach and convict Trump and remove him from office. The President has a clear constitutional duty to enforce the law, which means immediately rescinding tariffs that the Supreme Court has ruled are unconstitutional.

    There's no wriggle room or interpretation possible there.
    Technically the SC actually said whether the tariffs stand is a matter for Congress, so if Congress vote to keep them they stand
    Is Congress in session tonight rushing a Bill through to keep the tariffs in place?
    No?
    Then the tariffs have to go.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 70,256
    AnneJGP said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    AnneJGP said:

    HYUFD said:

    Just seen Royal Mail trying to cut Sat deliveries for non 1st class post.
    Meanwhile my postman confirmed there were no deliveries on my round on one day this week Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled and if a round doesn't happen its cheaper to.pay the fine than deliver the post.

    Something is v wrong if this is true

    If you can't be bothered to pay for a first class stamp why should you expect to see your letter or parcel delivered on a Saturday?
    I normally use 1st class stamps but letters posted in this neck of the woods usually take about a week to be delivered.
    So still can be delivered within the week on a Saturday then if sent first class
    "Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled"

    And yet millions of young people are sat on the sofa without work or education.

    Exactly, you don't need a single GCSE to walk up a driveway and deliver a letter or parcel
    Walk? Walk?
    Obvs those chinese dancing robots will be delivering the mail within my lifetime so maybe this is all moot?

  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,509

    Nigelb said:

    The man is a senile loon who cares only about his ego, and nothing about policy other than through that lens.

    "Effective immediately, all national security tariffs remain fully in place and in full force and effect. Today, I will sign an order to impose a 10% global tariff, over and above our normal tariffs already being charged."

    He's decided to just ignore the Supreme Court ruling.

    https://x.com/Daractenus/status/2024919338168259013

    It could not be clearer to Congress that they need to impeach and convict Trump and remove him from office. The President has a clear constitutional duty to enforce the law, which means immediately rescinding tariffs that the Supreme Court has ruled are unconstitutional.

    There's no wriggle room or interpretation possible there.
    The Congress of Shame will be how the history books record this period me thinks.
    Cowards Congress.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,509
    edited February 20

    Nigelb said:

    The man is a senile loon who cares only about his ego, and nothing about policy other than through that lens.

    "Effective immediately, all national security tariffs remain fully in place and in full force and effect. Today, I will sign an order to impose a 10% global tariff, over and above our normal tariffs already being charged."

    He's decided to just ignore the Supreme Court ruling.

    https://x.com/Daractenus/status/2024919338168259013

    It could not be clearer to Congress that they need to impeach and convict Trump and remove him from office. The President has a clear constitutional duty to enforce the law, which means immediately rescinding tariffs that the Supreme Court has ruled are unconstitutional.

    There's no wriggle room or interpretation possible there.
    Not the way it works, unfortunately.

    They ruled that this action was unlawful. So they've taken another action which has not gone before the Court, that resets the legal process.

    As I understand it this new action has a 150 day limit though, which is part of the reason why it was never used in the first place. So question becomes what happens when the 150 days is up? If Congress has by then voted to implement such tariffs, it addresses the concerns that Gorsuch et al wrote about.

    If they keep these in place in clear violation of the 150 day limit, then expect it rapidly to end up back before the Courts.
    Upthread it is stated that the tariffs under the new/different legislation process are in addition to the tariffs ruled unconstitutional.

    I guess we'll know for sure when the promised Executive Order is published.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 70,256

    Aaron Rupar
    @atrupar

    Neal Katyal: "I was able to go to court -- the son of immigrants -- and say on behalf of American small businesses, 'Hey, this president is acting illegally.' I was able to present my case, have them ask really hard questions, and at the end of it they voted and we won. That is something extraordinary about this country."

    "We have a system that self-corrects"

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/2024955825916162140

    ===

    Yep. And you are about to throw it away unless the midterms are a rout for Dems.

    The President has placed himself above the law as determined by the Supreme Court, so how is the US system going to self-correct that?
    Possibly by a blue wave giving Dems both houses of congress?

  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 31,402

    Aaron Rupar
    @atrupar

    Neal Katyal: "I was able to go to court -- the son of immigrants -- and say on behalf of American small businesses, 'Hey, this president is acting illegally.' I was able to present my case, have them ask really hard questions, and at the end of it they voted and we won. That is something extraordinary about this country."

    "We have a system that self-corrects"

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/2024955825916162140

    ===

    Yep. And you are about to throw it away unless the midterms are a rout for Dems.

    The President has placed himself above the law as determined by the Supreme Court, so how is the US system going to self-correct that?
    Possibly by a blue wave giving Dems both houses of congress?

    Which will be ignored. Even if they don't fix it well enough.
    They'll simply not swear in the new members.
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 4,767

    AnneJGP said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    AnneJGP said:

    HYUFD said:

    Just seen Royal Mail trying to cut Sat deliveries for non 1st class post.
    Meanwhile my postman confirmed there were no deliveries on my round on one day this week Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled and if a round doesn't happen its cheaper to.pay the fine than deliver the post.

    Something is v wrong if this is true

    If you can't be bothered to pay for a first class stamp why should you expect to see your letter or parcel delivered on a Saturday?
    I normally use 1st class stamps but letters posted in this neck of the woods usually take about a week to be delivered.
    So still can be delivered within the week on a Saturday then if sent first class
    "Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled"

    And yet millions of young people are sat on the sofa without work or education.

    Exactly, you don't need a single GCSE to walk up a driveway and deliver a letter or parcel
    Walk? Walk?
    Obvs those chinese dancing robots will be delivering the mail within my lifetime so maybe this is all moot?

    We're they dancing? The ones I saw, I thought were doing synchronised martial arts moves.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,509
    edited February 20

    Aaron Rupar
    @atrupar

    Neal Katyal: "I was able to go to court -- the son of immigrants -- and say on behalf of American small businesses, 'Hey, this president is acting illegally.' I was able to present my case, have them ask really hard questions, and at the end of it they voted and we won. That is something extraordinary about this country."

    "We have a system that self-corrects"

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/2024955825916162140

    ===

    Yep. And you are about to throw it away unless the midterms are a rout for Dems.

    The President has placed himself above the law as determined by the Supreme Court, so how is the US system going to self-correct that?
    Possibly by a blue wave giving Dems both houses of congress?
    51 Senators isn't going to be enough with this President.

    Is it 60 or 67 that they need to convict on impeachment?
  • DumbosaurusDumbosaurus Posts: 1,017
    edited February 20

    HYUFD said:

    AnneJGP said:

    HYUFD said:

    Just seen Royal Mail trying to cut Sat deliveries for non 1st class post.
    Meanwhile my postman confirmed there were no deliveries on my round on one day this week Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled and if a round doesn't happen its cheaper to.pay the fine than deliver the post.

    Something is v wrong if this is true

    If you can't be bothered to pay for a first class stamp why should you expect to see your letter or parcel delivered on a Saturday?
    I normally use 1st class stamps but letters posted in this neck of the woods usually take about a week to be delivered.
    So still can be delivered within the week on a Saturday then if sent first class
    "Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled"

    And yet millions of young people are sat on the sofa without work or education.

    I’ve noted before that recruitment seems to be broken -

    - employers complain of not getting candidates, hundreds of fake CVs, people who do turn up seem to be extremely low quality. I’ve seen this, when trying to recruit. And not for small money.
    - Candidates complain of fake job adverts, sending hundreds of applications, no replies.
    Truly inexplicable given the incredibly high calibre of people who work in HR and recruitment and the magnificent simplicity of the typical ATS.

    Cyclefree said:

    Foxy said:

    It seems Pelicot was not as unusual as we thought:

    Stockport:

    BBC News - Man charged with raping unconscious wife with other men for years - BBC News
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cqxde27ep5qo?app-referrer=deep-link

    And in Swindon:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026/jan/23/philip-young-former-tory-councillor-pleads-guilty-drugging-raping-wife?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other

    Was anything like this happening before the internet?


    Note the ages of the accused: 28 - 73.

    Given that the site used by Mr Pelicot was up for 6 years before the French authorities closed it down and that before that trial they found 70,000 men in chat rooms sharing information on how to drug their wives and recruit men to rape them, no-one with any sense could possibly have thought this was unusual. Drugged/sleeping women is a whole porn category.

    Quite why so many men want to have sex (I am using that term very loosely) with an inert body baffles me. Surely a w**k is more enjoyable than quasi-necrophilia?

    And to answer your question, yes, men have used drugs or alcohol to get women insensible or comatose before raping them. Though probably not on the scale we are now seeing.

    Gisele Pelicot has found love again. Remarkable that she is able to trust a man after what happened to her. Her Newsnight interview is well worth watching. Shame must indeed change sides.
    Can I, as a man, put my head above the parapet and say that I totally agree with you. For me sex is a two-way experience of enjoyment. Or at least ought to be!
    Agreed. But more basic than that.

    If consent is not or cannot be given then it is rape. Plain and simple. I can conceive of no situations or exceptions where this is not the case.
    A demented couple in a care home, previously happily married for 50 years.

    (As it happens the law takes the no exceptions whatsoever view aiui so splits them up, which to me seems deeply sad).
    Within that 50 years there will have been instances when the husband wanted sex and the wife did not (and vice versa). If the husband forced himself on the wife that would be rape. Once they are in the home and she can no longer give consent then the same rule applies.

    That said, as a separate issue, I agree it is sad that they are split up.
    Yes, I understand it is the rule that a demented person can under no circumstances consent. I happen to believe it's not quite as simple as that and my suspicion is that most long term married couples who discuss this as a hypothetical will agree. Although the real tragedy isn't so much sex as the cut off of physical intimacy.

    (It is a heck of a corner case of course)
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 31,402
    edited February 20

    HYUFD said:

    AnneJGP said:

    HYUFD said:

    Just seen Royal Mail trying to cut Sat deliveries for non 1st class post.
    Meanwhile my postman confirmed there were no deliveries on my round on one day this week Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled and if a round doesn't happen its cheaper to.pay the fine than deliver the post.

    Something is v wrong if this is true

    If you can't be bothered to pay for a first class stamp why should you expect to see your letter or parcel delivered on a Saturday?
    I normally use 1st class stamps but letters posted in this neck of the woods usually take about a week to be delivered.
    So still can be delivered within the week on a Saturday then if sent first class
    "Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled"

    And yet millions of young people are sat on the sofa without work or education.

    But there are two further questions.
    Are those unemployed in Horsham?
    And, if not, can they afford to move to Horsham and live there?
    Bear in mind their salaries will need to cover their moving costs.
    Plus a premium for cutting off their friends and family support network.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 101,364

    Aaron Rupar
    @atrupar

    Neal Katyal: "I was able to go to court -- the son of immigrants -- and say on behalf of American small businesses, 'Hey, this president is acting illegally.' I was able to present my case, have them ask really hard questions, and at the end of it they voted and we won. That is something extraordinary about this country."

    "We have a system that self-corrects"

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/2024955825916162140

    ===

    Yep. And you are about to throw it away unless the midterms are a rout for Dems.

    The President has placed himself above the law as determined by the Supreme Court, so how is the US system going to self-correct that?
    Possibly by a blue wave giving Dems both houses of congress?
    51 Senators isn't going to be enough with this President.

    Is it 60 or 67 that they need to convict on impeachment?
    Pretty sure it takes two thirds, and even with an optimistic view of how many the Dems might win and the possibility of a few Romney type GOP emerging, there's just no way they get to that under any circumstances.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 21,995
    dixiedean said:

    HYUFD said:

    AnneJGP said:

    HYUFD said:

    Just seen Royal Mail trying to cut Sat deliveries for non 1st class post.
    Meanwhile my postman confirmed there were no deliveries on my round on one day this week Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled and if a round doesn't happen its cheaper to.pay the fine than deliver the post.

    Something is v wrong if this is true

    If you can't be bothered to pay for a first class stamp why should you expect to see your letter or parcel delivered on a Saturday?
    I normally use 1st class stamps but letters posted in this neck of the woods usually take about a week to be delivered.
    So still can be delivered within the week on a Saturday then if sent first class
    "Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled"

    And yet millions of young people are sat on the sofa without work or education.

    But there are two further questions.
    Are those unemployed in Horsham?
    And, if not, can they afford to move to Horsham and live there?
    Bear in mind their salaries will need to cover their moving costs.
    Plus a premium for cutting off their friends and family support network.
    I would be astonished if there was not one unemployed person in Horsham right now who could do the job.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 13,455

    HYUFD said:

    AnneJGP said:

    HYUFD said:

    Just seen Royal Mail trying to cut Sat deliveries for non 1st class post.
    Meanwhile my postman confirmed there were no deliveries on my round on one day this week Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled and if a round doesn't happen its cheaper to.pay the fine than deliver the post.

    Something is v wrong if this is true

    If you can't be bothered to pay for a first class stamp why should you expect to see your letter or parcel delivered on a Saturday?
    I normally use 1st class stamps but letters posted in this neck of the woods usually take about a week to be delivered.
    So still can be delivered within the week on a Saturday then if sent first class
    "Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled"

    And yet millions of young people are sat on the sofa without work or education.

    it's certainly not millions - NEETship is only about 15% at the moment, about 600k inactive, 350k unemployed.

    https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn06705/#:~:text=946,000 people aged 16-24,people in this age group.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 22,509
    dixiedean said:

    HYUFD said:

    AnneJGP said:

    HYUFD said:

    Just seen Royal Mail trying to cut Sat deliveries for non 1st class post.
    Meanwhile my postman confirmed there were no deliveries on my round on one day this week Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled and if a round doesn't happen its cheaper to.pay the fine than deliver the post.

    Something is v wrong if this is true

    If you can't be bothered to pay for a first class stamp why should you expect to see your letter or parcel delivered on a Saturday?
    I normally use 1st class stamps but letters posted in this neck of the woods usually take about a week to be delivered.
    So still can be delivered within the week on a Saturday then if sent first class
    "Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled"

    And yet millions of young people are sat on the sofa without work or education.

    But there are two further questions.
    Are those unemployed in Horsham?
    And, if not, can they afford to move to Horsham and live there?
    Bear in mind their salaries will need to cover their moving costs.
    Plus a premium for cutting off their friends and family support network.
    Also, if the unemployed in Horsham have degrees in computer science, and are being knocked back for computer science related jobs, will the royal mail necessarily take their applications seriously if they do apply?

    They might assume it would be a waste of their time as the CompSci grad will be off to a different job as soon as they're offered one.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 31,402
    edited February 20

    dixiedean said:

    HYUFD said:

    AnneJGP said:

    HYUFD said:

    Just seen Royal Mail trying to cut Sat deliveries for non 1st class post.
    Meanwhile my postman confirmed there were no deliveries on my round on one day this week Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled and if a round doesn't happen its cheaper to.pay the fine than deliver the post.

    Something is v wrong if this is true

    If you can't be bothered to pay for a first class stamp why should you expect to see your letter or parcel delivered on a Saturday?
    I normally use 1st class stamps but letters posted in this neck of the woods usually take about a week to be delivered.
    So still can be delivered within the week on a Saturday then if sent first class
    "Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled"

    And yet millions of young people are sat on the sofa without work or education.

    But there are two further questions.
    Are those unemployed in Horsham?
    And, if not, can they afford to move to Horsham and live there?
    Bear in mind their salaries will need to cover their moving costs.
    Plus a premium for cutting off their friends and family support network.
    I would be astonished if there was not one unemployed person in Horsham right now who could do the job.
    Well indeed.
    But it isn't "millions" of young people who could do the job. It's the ones in Horsham.
    I work with dozens of young people in the NE who'd love to get a better paid job and get out of the shithole accomodation they live in.
    They can't afford to. Because they are on minimum wage and rent swallows 50%+ of their income.
    Because the economy has been skewed towards keeping housing prices as high as possible for decades.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 101,364
    dixiedean said:

    dixiedean said:

    HYUFD said:

    AnneJGP said:

    HYUFD said:

    Just seen Royal Mail trying to cut Sat deliveries for non 1st class post.
    Meanwhile my postman confirmed there were no deliveries on my round on one day this week Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled and if a round doesn't happen its cheaper to.pay the fine than deliver the post.

    Something is v wrong if this is true

    If you can't be bothered to pay for a first class stamp why should you expect to see your letter or parcel delivered on a Saturday?
    I normally use 1st class stamps but letters posted in this neck of the woods usually take about a week to be delivered.
    So still can be delivered within the week on a Saturday then if sent first class
    "Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled"

    And yet millions of young people are sat on the sofa without work or education.

    But there are two further questions.
    Are those unemployed in Horsham?
    And, if not, can they afford to move to Horsham and live there?
    Bear in mind their salaries will need to cover their moving costs.
    Plus a premium for cutting off their friends and family support network.
    I would be astonished if there was not one unemployed person in Horsham right now who could do the job.
    Well indeed.
    But it isn't "millions" of young people who could do the job. It's the ones in Horsham.
    I work with dozens of young people in the NE who'd love to get a better paid job and get out of the shithole accomodation they live in.
    They can't afford to.
    Because the economy has been skewed towards keeping housing prices as high as possible for decades.
    And will be for decades to come.
  • nico67 said:

    The last major poll on whether Trump should obey SCOTUS decisions was conducted last October.

    84% of those polled said yes .

    Even if you allow for the further radicalisation of some GOP voters !

    Let’s knock off around 10% then if Trump ignores the ruling things could unravel quickly as that’s still an overwhelming majority for him to obey the court.


    The last thing conservatives in the USA are going to want is for a president to be able to ignore SCOTUS.

    Because if they can do that then having a conservative majority on SCOTUS then loses its value.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 63,308

    nico67 said:

    The last major poll on whether Trump should obey SCOTUS decisions was conducted last October.

    84% of those polled said yes .

    Even if you allow for the further radicalisation of some GOP voters !

    Let’s knock off around 10% then if Trump ignores the ruling things could unravel quickly as that’s still an overwhelming majority for him to obey the court.


    The last thing conservatives in the USA are going to want is for a president to be able to ignore SCOTUS.

    Because if they can do that then having a conservative majority on SCOTUS then loses its value.
    So...

    That's true of conservatives in general. But it's not true of the President, Donald J Trump.

    And there are an awful lot of Republicans who are not so much conservatives as supporters of the President.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 34,057
    The G&D poll is very interesting. I think it's encouraging for all three parties really. Greens because they're leading, Labour because they're not out, and Reform because the left vote is not coalescing, so they can still come through the middle.

    Two of the three parties, Reform and Labour, are (I think) likely to be a bit underreported, because Labour are shit and embarrassing (why would you tell a pollster you are voting for them?), and Reform are socially unacceptable. That makes the Green lead potentially even narrower.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 70,256
    rcs1000 said:

    nico67 said:

    The last major poll on whether Trump should obey SCOTUS decisions was conducted last October.

    84% of those polled said yes .

    Even if you allow for the further radicalisation of some GOP voters !

    Let’s knock off around 10% then if Trump ignores the ruling things could unravel quickly as that’s still an overwhelming majority for him to obey the court.


    The last thing conservatives in the USA are going to want is for a president to be able to ignore SCOTUS.

    Because if they can do that then having a conservative majority on SCOTUS then loses its value.
    So...

    That's true of conservatives in general. But it's not true of the President, Donald J Trump.

    And there are an awful lot of Republicans who are not so much conservatives as supporters of the President.
    There are virtually no conservatives left in GOP.
  • rcs1000 said:

    nico67 said:

    The last major poll on whether Trump should obey SCOTUS decisions was conducted last October.

    84% of those polled said yes .

    Even if you allow for the further radicalisation of some GOP voters !

    Let’s knock off around 10% then if Trump ignores the ruling things could unravel quickly as that’s still an overwhelming majority for him to obey the court.


    The last thing conservatives in the USA are going to want is for a president to be able to ignore SCOTUS.

    Because if they can do that then having a conservative majority on SCOTUS then loses its value.
    So...

    That's true of conservatives in general. But it's not true of the President, Donald J Trump.

    And there are an awful lot of Republicans who are not so much conservatives as supporters of the President.
    And there are an awful lor of Republicans who are not so much supporters of the President as conservatives.

    Do you see the problem for the GOP ?

    Split parties tend to struggle in elections and unified parties are required in a 50/50 congress.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 31,402
    edited February 20

    The G&D poll is very interesting. I think it's encouraging for all three parties really. Greens because they're leading, Labour because they're not out, and Reform because the left vote is not coalescing, so they can still come through the middle.

    Two of the three parties, Reform and Labour, are (I think) likely to be a bit underreported, because Labour are shit and embarrassing (why would you tell a pollster you are voting for them?), and Reform are socially unacceptable. That makes the Green lead potentially even narrower.

    I'm wondering about lumping in on a Labour win for that very reason. And that the Green demographic doesn't traditionally vote.
    It's a value loser on the current odds.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 70,256
    Eabhal said:

    HYUFD said:

    AnneJGP said:

    HYUFD said:

    Just seen Royal Mail trying to cut Sat deliveries for non 1st class post.
    Meanwhile my postman confirmed there were no deliveries on my round on one day this week Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled and if a round doesn't happen its cheaper to.pay the fine than deliver the post.

    Something is v wrong if this is true

    If you can't be bothered to pay for a first class stamp why should you expect to see your letter or parcel delivered on a Saturday?
    I normally use 1st class stamps but letters posted in this neck of the woods usually take about a week to be delivered.
    So still can be delivered within the week on a Saturday then if sent first class
    "Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled"

    And yet millions of young people are sat on the sofa without work or education.

    it's certainly not millions - NEETship is only about 15% at the moment, about 600k inactive, 350k unemployed.

    https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn06705/#:~:text=946,000 people aged 16-24,people in this age group.
    Ok. I'm so old that when I think of young people it is those under 40. LOL.

    However, a glance at stats shows 1270 unemployed of all ages in Horsham last month.

    Surely 18 of those can walk and post a letter?
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 28,918

    dixiedean said:

    HYUFD said:

    AnneJGP said:

    HYUFD said:

    Just seen Royal Mail trying to cut Sat deliveries for non 1st class post.
    Meanwhile my postman confirmed there were no deliveries on my round on one day this week Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled and if a round doesn't happen its cheaper to.pay the fine than deliver the post.

    Something is v wrong if this is true

    If you can't be bothered to pay for a first class stamp why should you expect to see your letter or parcel delivered on a Saturday?
    I normally use 1st class stamps but letters posted in this neck of the woods usually take about a week to be delivered.
    So still can be delivered within the week on a Saturday then if sent first class
    "Horsham has 18 vacancies that cannot be filled"

    And yet millions of young people are sat on the sofa without work or education.

    But there are two further questions.
    Are those unemployed in Horsham?
    And, if not, can they afford to move to Horsham and live there?
    Bear in mind their salaries will need to cover their moving costs.
    Plus a premium for cutting off their friends and family support network.
    I would be astonished if there was not one unemployed person in Horsham right now who could do the job.
    Conveniently the HoC publish unemployment by constituency data.

    In December there were 1,270 claiming unemployment benefit in Horsham constituency with 240 being 18-24:

    https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/CBP-8748/CBP-8748.pdf

    The official LFS number for unemployed would be about 15% higher.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 63,308
    dixiedean said:

    Aaron Rupar
    @atrupar

    Neal Katyal: "I was able to go to court -- the son of immigrants -- and say on behalf of American small businesses, 'Hey, this president is acting illegally.' I was able to present my case, have them ask really hard questions, and at the end of it they voted and we won. That is something extraordinary about this country."

    "We have a system that self-corrects"

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/2024955825916162140

    ===

    Yep. And you are about to throw it away unless the midterms are a rout for Dems.

    The President has placed himself above the law as determined by the Supreme Court, so how is the US system going to self-correct that?
    Possibly by a blue wave giving Dems both houses of congress?

    Which will be ignored. Even if they don't fix it well enough.
    They'll simply not swear in the new members.
    In the (unlikely) event that the Dems were to sweep both houses of Congress, then I don't think that would happen. As attempting to ignore the voters would be a case of "Go directly to Civil War, do not pass Go".

    More risky, I suspect, is a situation where there is massive voter suppression.

    But that's tough: because you need to do a lot of suppressing if the vote is anything other than extremely close.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 58,058
    rcs1000 said:

    dixiedean said:

    Aaron Rupar
    @atrupar

    Neal Katyal: "I was able to go to court -- the son of immigrants -- and say on behalf of American small businesses, 'Hey, this president is acting illegally.' I was able to present my case, have them ask really hard questions, and at the end of it they voted and we won. That is something extraordinary about this country."

    "We have a system that self-corrects"

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/2024955825916162140

    ===

    Yep. And you are about to throw it away unless the midterms are a rout for Dems.

    The President has placed himself above the law as determined by the Supreme Court, so how is the US system going to self-correct that?
    Possibly by a blue wave giving Dems both houses of congress?

    Which will be ignored. Even if they don't fix it well enough.
    They'll simply not swear in the new members.
    In the (unlikely) event that the Dems were to sweep both houses of Congress, then I don't think that would happen. As attempting to ignore the voters would be a case of "Go directly to Civil War, do not pass Go".

    More risky, I suspect, is a situation where there is massive voter suppression.

    But that's tough: because you need to do a lot of suppressing if the vote is anything other than extremely close.
    I expect voters to come out in numbers to make any attempt at a steal look pitiful.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 70,256
    Whatever your views on this either way the bit towards the end where the young copper says 'yeh, but he's not in your home' is class.

    Promote her forthwith.


    ====


    Darren Grimes
    @darrengrimes

    “This is Whitechapel. This is a Muslim area.”

    Listen to the sheer, breathtaking entitlement. A mob of blokes surrounding a lone female police officer on a British street, demanding she act as their personal blasphemy enforcer because someone dared to offend their religion.

    It’s almost like Sir Jim Ratcliffe had a point?

    https://x.com/darrengrimes/status/2024956937322877408
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