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  • boulayboulay Posts: 8,099

    ....

    boulay said:

    boulay said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    maxh said:

    Sandpit said:

    maxh said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Finally.


    Barack Obama

    @BarackObama
    ·
    1h
    The killing of Alex Pretti is a heartbreaking tragedy. It should also be a wake-up call to every American, regardless of party, that many of our core values as a nation are increasingly under assault.

    https://x.com/BarackObama/status/2015479691147149747

    The same Obama who, in 2012, sued the state of Arizona in order to establish federal supremacy of immigration law in the Supreme Court. That Obama?

    Perhaps he’d be better off telling Tim Walz to stand down the Antifa goons and obey the law like the other 49 states do.
    Simple question for you.

    Why do is the Trump administration focussing on illegal immigrants in Minnesota when say Texas has a much worse problem?

    It couldn't be to do with the fact Texas has a Republican governor?
    He isn’t. There are more ICE arrests in a dozen other states, it’s simply that Minnesota is trying to play games.

    https://x.com/deepbluecrypto/status/2015428484147855685

    Tim Walz and his fraudster friends are trying to stoke a civil war, that’s why the media focus is on Minnesota.
    You're going to have to do better than an unsourced/unliked graphic from a person whose pinned Tweet begins with.

    DEMOCRATS IN THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION OPENED THE BORDERS FOR POLITICAL GAINS

    THEY PUT THESE IMMIGRANTS THROUGH FINANCIAL, PHYSICAL, SEXUAL AND EMOTIONAL TORTURE BY CARTELS

    JOE BIDEN, KAMALA HARRIS & ALEJANDRO MAYORKAS HAVE BLOOD ON THEIR HANDS

    The journey through the dense, unforgiving jungles of the Darién Gap for millions of Latin American migrants seeking refuge in America during the Biden administration was a descent into chaos, where every step courted death. Families from Venezuela, Honduras, and beyond, fleeing economic collapse and violence, embarked on this perilous trek, often starting with overcrowded buses or boats that dumped them at the jungle's edge. The physical ordeals began immediately: navigating swollen rivers that could sweep away the unwary, trudging through mud-slick trails infested with venomous snakes and insects carrying deadly diseases like malaria. Exhaustion set in quickly, with migrants carrying heavy packs under relentless rain, their feet blistering and rotting from constant wetness. Many succumbed to dehydration, starvation, or injuries from falls into ravines, their bodies left behind as grim markers for those who followed.
    I’ll start with Newsweek then, who say that 23.2% of all ICE detentions are in Texas, with Florida in second place.

    https://www.newsweek.com/map-shows-states-ice-arrest-immigration-2107629

    Maybe then go to the Vera Institute of Justice, which is tracking ICE arrests. You can barely see Minnesota on their map.

    https://www.vera.org/ice-detention-trends

    DuckDuckGo AI, quoting the Prison Policy Initiative:

    ICE Detentions by State in 2025
    Overview of Detention Numbers
    In 2025, the number of individuals detained by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) varied significantly across different states. The following table summarizes the states with the highest number of ICE detainees:
    STATE NUMBER OF DETAINEES
    Texas 9,657
    California 5,000
    Florida 4,500
    New York 3,200
    Arizona 1,592
    Key Points
    Texas consistently held the largest number of detainees, with over 9,600 individuals in ICE custody.
    California and Florida followed, with significant numbers reflecting their large immigrant populations.
    New York and Arizona also had notable detainee counts, indicating active ICE operations in these states.
    That statistic is absolutely meaningless unless we know how many actual illegal immigrants there are in each state.

    Most of them will be in states that border Mexico or ones with easy access to the sea. So that is where most arrests will happen. Minnesota is neither.

    And given your claims about Somalian fraud turned out to be essentially a mad MAGA conspiracy theory I don't think you're on very strong ground with arguing Minnesota is a hotbed of illegal immigration.
    CBS News: the charges and convictions of the many fraud schemes in Minnesota

    This summer, state officials shut down a fairly new program designed to help seniors and people with disabilities find housing after discovering "large-scale fraud."
    A month later, federal prosecutors charged eight people with defrauding the program, which was run through the state's Medicaid service, by enrolling as providers and submitting millions in "fake and inflated bills."
    Another five people were charged with bilking the housing program in mid-December — including two Pennsylvanians with no clear connections to Minnesota who allegedly traveled there in what prosecutors described as "fraud tourism."
    Prosecutors said the housing stabilization program was susceptible to fraud because it intentionally had "low barriers to entry" and few record-keeping requirements. They also noted that spending on the program had ballooned to more than $100 million last year, despite initial estimates that it would cost around $2.6 million a year.


    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/minnesota-fraud-schemes-what-we-know/


    NY Post: Minnesota welfare fraud masterminded interviewed from prison

    The convicted mastermind of the staggering $250 million welfare fraud scam in Minnesota has moaned in a jailhouse interview about having “lost everything” as she faces up to 33 years in prison.

    As the head of the infamous nonprofit Feeding Our Future, Aimee Bock, 45, splurged millions of federal dollars intended to support hungry children during the COVID-19 pandemic on luxury cars, designer handbags, and properties worldwide.

    Bock oversaw a network of fraudsters — almost all Somali and East African — that took advantage of a bill co-signed by Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) waiving some requirements for school meal programs during the pandemic.


    https://nypost.com/2026/01/21/us-news/minnesota-welfare-fraud-leader-aimee-bock-gives-jailhouse-interview/

    NY Times

    Prosecutors Say Minnesota’s Fraud Scandal Goes Further Than Previously Known
    Federal prosecutors said they were now investigating fraud worth billions of dollars in 14 social services programs in the state.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/us/minnesota-fraud-scandal.html
    Yes, the federal prosecutors trying to prosecute Smith for daring to prosecute the fat old Paedo Protector say that it goes much further than previously claimed. Of course. That's conclusive.

    The reality is there was fraud. As there was in every state. Most notably, of course, in Florida. It was not as widespread or as serious in Minnesota as MAGA are claiming because it's essentially a highly personal smear campaign against Tim Walz, building on the really nasty false allegations they made against him in the campaign.

    No wonder he's had enough and is quitting politics.

    Edit - there's a detailed analysis here if you're interested in analysis rather than MAGA tinhattery:

    https://lailluminator.com/2026/01/11/minnesota-child-care/
    There’s an estimated $9bn in NGO fraud in Minnesota.

    Surely, as an educator, you had a laugh at the story of the “Quality Learing Center”(sic), which had no kids but a turnover of $3m a year?
    So good that you are getting interested in financial irregularities, Sandpit. May I draw your attention to Trumpcoin? Perhaps it passed you by. It will shock you to your sandals.
    Trumpcoin? No idea I’m afraid, something cryptocurrency?
    Goodness, no. https://realtrumpcoins.com/ (Go on, don't be coy, you've got one of the solid gold ones, haven't you?)
    Well if you bought gold a year ago, you’re about 77% up. It could go over $5,000 tomorrow.
    Gold goes up during times of insecurity... and who is most responsible for this recent increase in insecurity? Oh, yes, Donald Trump, your hero.
    You all keep missing the numourous critisisms.

    I don’t like the guy, I don’t like his type of politics, I don’t like that he insulted British soldiers, I wish he’d send thousands of missiles to Ukraine, and I think he’s causing a lot of the instability around the world right now.

    I just don’t think he’s Hitler.
    Sandpit, love you lots, I have agreed with many of your historic posts and you agree with many of mine but I worry that you are doing the thing where you agree with a microcosm of something that isn’t popular and the. Go down the route of defending everything else they do because if you don’t it might feel that your belief in the small thing is undone by everything else being clearly wrong.

    I can accept that I hoped that there might be benefits from Trumpism but they are massively outweighed by the wrong. I accept that hope and tiny wins are less important than the bigger picture.

    Trump and his administration are beyond wrong. I admire your understandable desire to defend the few things you believe are ok and correct but it ultimately needs you to buy in to the rest of the shit.

    There is absolutely nothing good about the Trump regime/movement. You don’t need to contort to defend. Just relax and accept it’s fucked and hope for a new US gov who get the old republican/small gov world if that is what you want - I do. But don’t accept this absolute abortion of government this is.

    This is from someone who thinks that we are generally in agreement on life, we both live in small tax, interesting places where it comes to gov and finances but there is really no defence of the current US administration.

    It is not for you to take Sandpit to one side and tell him what he's allowed to think. Piss off.

    There's a huge political battle going on in the USA, in which a sizeable minority support the Trump administration. Most of us would prefer to think that's just because they're less well-informed than us here on PB on events in their own country, but it's valuable for those of us who actually like to engage the odd brain cell to have access to the alternative viewpoint that Sandpit brings.
    And it’s not for you to tell me what to say to Sandpit who I like and was just expressing a view. Piss off.

    I clearly appreciate alternative viewpoints and would hate this place to be a hive-mind but also it’s fair to then express to someone here that I disagree with their current view - you and I have disagreed and agreed on multiple issues.

    I absolutely support Sandpit having a different view and agree with him and disagree on various points.
    Of all the posts in the argument, your chummy patronisation was to me the most egregious.

    However, you are right, free speech for all.
    And yet it wasn’t “chummy patronisation”, it was a genuine post where I was corresponding with someone where we largely agree on things - in a private conversation it would not remotely come across as chummy patronisation but on a public forum and in writing you might interpret it so but it was far from that.

    Clearly it was a response from someone who can understand the mindset but also finds that they disagree for various reasons.

    I don’t think Sandpit needs a knight in shining armour to defend him from me.
  • Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Finally.


    Barack Obama

    @BarackObama
    ·
    1h
    The killing of Alex Pretti is a heartbreaking tragedy. It should also be a wake-up call to every American, regardless of party, that many of our core values as a nation are increasingly under assault.

    https://x.com/BarackObama/status/2015479691147149747

    The same Obama who, in 2012, sued the state of Arizona in order to establish federal supremacy of immigration law in the Supreme Court. That Obama?

    Perhaps he’d be better off telling Tim Walz to stand down the Antifa goons and obey the law like the other 49 states do.
    Simple question for you.

    Why do is the Trump administration focussing on illegal immigrants in Minnesota when say Texas has a much worse problem?

    It couldn't be to do with the fact Texas has a Republican governor?
    He isn’t. There are more ICE arrests in a dozen other states, it’s simply that Minnesota is trying to play games.

    https://x.com/deepbluecrypto/status/2015428484147855685

    Tim Walz and his fraudster friends are trying to stoke a civil war, that’s why the media focus is on Minnesota.
    You're going to have to do better than an unsourced/unliked graphic from a person whose pinned Tweet begins with.

    DEMOCRATS IN THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION OPENED THE BORDERS FOR POLITICAL GAINS

    THEY PUT THESE IMMIGRANTS THROUGH FINANCIAL, PHYSICAL, SEXUAL AND EMOTIONAL TORTURE BY CARTELS

    JOE BIDEN, KAMALA HARRIS & ALEJANDRO MAYORKAS HAVE BLOOD ON THEIR HANDS

    The journey through the dense, unforgiving jungles of the Darién Gap for millions of Latin American migrants seeking refuge in America during the Biden administration was a descent into chaos, where every step courted death. Families from Venezuela, Honduras, and beyond, fleeing economic collapse and violence, embarked on this perilous trek, often starting with overcrowded buses or boats that dumped them at the jungle's edge. The physical ordeals began immediately: navigating swollen rivers that could sweep away the unwary, trudging through mud-slick trails infested with venomous snakes and insects carrying deadly diseases like malaria. Exhaustion set in quickly, with migrants carrying heavy packs under relentless rain, their feet blistering and rotting from constant wetness. Many succumbed to dehydration, starvation, or injuries from falls into ravines, their bodies left behind as grim markers for those who followed.
    I’ll start with Newsweek then, who say that 23.2% of all ICE detentions are in Texas, with Florida in second place.

    https://www.newsweek.com/map-shows-states-ice-arrest-immigration-2107629

    Maybe then go to the Vera Institute of Justice, which is tracking ICE arrests. You can barely see Minnesota on their map.

    https://www.vera.org/ice-detention-trends

    DuckDuckGo AI, quoting the Prison Policy Initiative:

    ICE Detentions by State in 2025
    Overview of Detention Numbers
    In 2025, the number of individuals detained by Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) varied significantly across different states. The following table summarizes the states with the highest number of ICE detainees:
    STATE NUMBER OF DETAINEES
    Texas 9,657
    California 5,000
    Florida 4,500
    New York 3,200
    Arizona 1,592
    Key Points
    Texas consistently held the largest number of detainees, with over 9,600 individuals in ICE custody.
    California and Florida followed, with significant numbers reflecting their large immigrant populations.
    New York and Arizona also had notable detainee counts, indicating active ICE operations in these states.
    That statistic is absolutely meaningless unless we know how many actual illegal immigrants there are in each state.

    Most of them will be in states that border Mexico or ones with easy access to the sea. So that is where most arrests will happen. Minnesota is neither.

    And given your claims about Somalian fraud turned out to be essentially a mad MAGA conspiracy theory I don't think you're on very strong ground with arguing Minnesota is a hotbed of illegal immigration.
    CBS News: the charges and convictions of the many fraud schemes in Minnesota

    This summer, state officials shut down a fairly new program designed to help seniors and people with disabilities find housing after discovering "large-scale fraud."
    A month later, federal prosecutors charged eight people with defrauding the program, which was run through the state's Medicaid service, by enrolling as providers and submitting millions in "fake and inflated bills."
    Another five people were charged with bilking the housing program in mid-December — including two Pennsylvanians with no clear connections to Minnesota who allegedly traveled there in what prosecutors described as "fraud tourism."
    Prosecutors said the housing stabilization program was susceptible to fraud because it intentionally had "low barriers to entry" and few record-keeping requirements. They also noted that spending on the program had ballooned to more than $100 million last year, despite initial estimates that it would cost around $2.6 million a year.


    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/minnesota-fraud-schemes-what-we-know/


    NY Post: Minnesota welfare fraud masterminded interviewed from prison

    The convicted mastermind of the staggering $250 million welfare fraud scam in Minnesota has moaned in a jailhouse interview about having “lost everything” as she faces up to 33 years in prison.

    As the head of the infamous nonprofit Feeding Our Future, Aimee Bock, 45, splurged millions of federal dollars intended to support hungry children during the COVID-19 pandemic on luxury cars, designer handbags, and properties worldwide.

    Bock oversaw a network of fraudsters — almost all Somali and East African — that took advantage of a bill co-signed by Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.) waiving some requirements for school meal programs during the pandemic.


    https://nypost.com/2026/01/21/us-news/minnesota-welfare-fraud-leader-aimee-bock-gives-jailhouse-interview/

    NY Times

    Prosecutors Say Minnesota’s Fraud Scandal Goes Further Than Previously Known
    Federal prosecutors said they were now investigating fraud worth billions of dollars in 14 social services programs in the state.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/18/us/minnesota-fraud-scandal.html
    Yes, the federal prosecutors trying to prosecute Smith for daring to prosecute the fat old Paedo Protector say that it goes much further than previously claimed. Of course. That's conclusive.

    The reality is there was fraud. As there was in every state. Most notably, of course, in Florida. It was not as widespread or as serious in Minnesota as MAGA are claiming because it's essentially a highly personal smear campaign against Tim Walz, building on the really nasty false allegations they made against him in the campaign.

    No wonder he's had enough and is quitting politics.

    Edit - there's a detailed analysis here if you're interested in analysis rather than MAGA tinhattery:

    https://lailluminator.com/2026/01/11/minnesota-child-care/
    There’s an estimated $9bn in NGO fraud in Minnesota.

    Surely, as an educator, you had a laugh at the story of the “Quality Learing Center”(sic), which had no kids but a turnover of $3m a year?
    And there are 3,000 of them?
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 5,192
    HYUFD said:

    Dopermean said:

    Not my circus, not my monkeys, but it's possible that Andy is showing why he's not the man.

    (and grim as it is for Labour to admit it, risking the GM mayorality to save one Westminster seat is a rubbish gamble.)
    That's why the NEC told him no by 9:1
    He left the HoC to be Manc Mayor because he thought Labour were out of the running nationally, others hung on in there.
    He could have stood down in '24 and looked for a constituency then but didn't. It's just personal opportunism.
    If Labour lose the by election though, Burnham can now say 'told you so' and apply for Gorton again before the next GE. Given his Mayoral term expires in May 2028 if he does not run again the NEC could then hardly block him a second time
    They probably wouldn't block in 2029 as the next mayoral election would be happening anyway. Thats the whole point.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 21,310
    nico67 said:

    Cookie said:

    Can we lay off the pile on on Sandpit please?
    1) He's been on the site for fucking ages; I find it vanishingly unlikely he's being paid to make pro-Trump noises.
    2) I've rarely heard him make pro-Trump noises. Not thinking Trump = Hitler does not equal pro-Trump.
    3) As it happens, I do think Trump roughly equals Hitler. But I am very interested in the views of a seemingly intelligent poster who does not hold that view. Why wouldn't you be?

    It's ridiculous to fall into the trap of 'poster x does not hate politician y as much as I do - therefore poster x loves politician y.' We saw this with Boris too.

    It seems fair to defend Trump [and the administration] on some levels - many things are arguable. TDS is still a thing.

    But justifying the shooting of someone in the street who is protesting peacefully would seem a different matter.
    The phrase TDS is often trotted out by trump apologists who don't want to see the whole picture.
    I certainly wouldn't apologise for him but what I would take it to mean is not taking each specific action on its own merits.

    He might accidentally do something right. Increasingly long odds on that, perhaps.


    DS applies to all politicians, including Starmer, who also manages to blunder into doing the right thing sometimes, having announced the wrong thing first.
    We were assured he was going to invade Greenland a couple of days ago. That he was a deranged dementia patient who had lost the capacity to reason, and therefore he'd as happily soak Greenland in European blood as eat his morning cornflakes.

    Except it has now all been wrapped up diplomatically, he seems to have got everything he asked for, and he now says force was never on the agenda. Yet no embarrassed climb down from our resident Trump experts, just on to the next civilisation-ending outrage and hope nobody will notice.
    No one thought he’d actually invade Greenland. And he didn’t get what he wanted . I see you omitted his trashing of NATO troops who died supporting the USA . He’s now given immunity to ICE to execute anyone they see fit and you’re still trying to sanewash his actions . He might not be mad but he is true evil .
    Literally nothing has been agreed regarding Greenland anyway so once again Luckyguy is just wrong
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 133,265
    edited January 25

    HYUFD said:

    Dopermean said:

    Not my circus, not my monkeys, but it's possible that Andy is showing why he's not the man.

    (and grim as it is for Labour to admit it, risking the GM mayorality to save one Westminster seat is a rubbish gamble.)
    That's why the NEC told him no by 9:1
    He left the HoC to be Manc Mayor because he thought Labour were out of the running nationally, others hung on in there.
    He could have stood down in '24 and looked for a constituency then but didn't. It's just personal opportunism.
    If Labour lose the by election though, Burnham can now say 'told you so' and apply for Gorton again before the next GE. Given his Mayoral term expires in May 2028 if he does not run again the NEC could then hardly block him a second time
    They probably wouldn't block in 2029 as the next mayoral election would be happening anyway. Thats the whole point.
    It is due in 2028 giving Burnham plenty of time to get a seat lined up for the next GE before it is called and hand over the Mayoralty to his successor
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 85,767
    DavidL said:

    Nigelb said:

    The FBI director plainly misstating the law.

    FBI Director Kash Patel: “You cannot bring a firearm loaded with multiple magazines to any sort of protest that you want. It’s that simple. You don’t have that right to break the law and incite violence.” The Minnesota Gun Owners Caucus says he's "completely incorrect on Minnesota law."
    https://x.com/kaitlancollins/status/2015517145996874224

    These are the same people who defended Rittenhouse bringing an assault rifle to a protest and killing two innocent people.

    And the victim in Minnesota never even touched his gun.

    What do you say, Sandpit ?

    I have already said that this was murder plain and simple but the fact that it is okay for people to attend protests with a concealed fire arm is surely at least a part of the problem. The ICE and Border service seem to be a group of thugs but it is hardly surprising in these circumstances that they are more than a bit twitchy. Americans are nuts.
    Well indeed, as many Democrats have argued for decades.
    But for now they lost that argument, and Minnesota is a right to carry state.

    But it's IMO absurd to say " that's part of the problem", when there is no evidence of any protestors threatening agents with guns.
    Putting it quite simply, ICE do not need to be on the streets of Minneapolis.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 54,900
    glw said:

    boulay said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    The FBI director plainly misstating the law.

    FBI Director Kash Patel: “You cannot bring a firearm loaded with multiple magazines to any sort of protest that you want. It’s that simple. You don’t have that right to break the law and incite violence.” The Minnesota Gun Owners Caucus says he's "completely incorrect on Minnesota law."
    https://x.com/kaitlancollins/status/2015517145996874224

    These are the same people who defended Rittenhouse bringing an assault rifle to a protest and killing two innocent people.

    And the victim in Minnesota never even touched his gun.

    What do you say, Sandpit ?

    Weirdly, the name Kyle Rittenhouse springs to mind.

    It’s not just Rittenhouse, it’s the whole batshit “we need to be armed to resist a tyrannical government” and their moment has come and tumbleweed.
    That's because by and large they aren't really freedom-loving patriots but a bunch of bootlicking idiots who own firearms for a whole bunch of different psychological deficiencies.
    The right to bear arms was actually a holdover from our own bill of rights. The Founding Fathers were keen to keep it for two main reasons after independence: so that frontiersmen could push into Native American lands and secondly in order to be able to supress slave revolts.

    Gun possession has pretty strong links to white supremacism, hence why the NRA is noticeably quiet about the recent ICE murders.

  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 5,192
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Dopermean said:

    Not my circus, not my monkeys, but it's possible that Andy is showing why he's not the man.

    (and grim as it is for Labour to admit it, risking the GM mayorality to save one Westminster seat is a rubbish gamble.)
    That's why the NEC told him no by 9:1
    He left the HoC to be Manc Mayor because he thought Labour were out of the running nationally, others hung on in there.
    He could have stood down in '24 and looked for a constituency then but didn't. It's just personal opportunism.
    If Labour lose the by election though, Burnham can now say 'told you so' and apply for Gorton again before the next GE. Given his Mayoral term expires in May 2028 if he does not run again the NEC could then hardly block him a second time
    They probably wouldn't block in 2029 as the next mayoral election would be happening anyway. Thats the whole point.
    It is due in 2028 giving Burnham plenty of time to get a seat lined up for the next GE before it is called and hand over the Mayoralty to his successor
    Yes, 2028. My comment still stands.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 40,373
    Find Out Now have Reform on 36% across Greater Manchester, to 24% for Labour. That makes it very reasonable for the NEC to say they don’t want a Mayoral by election,
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 89,537
    Police forces in England and Wales will be told to respond to emergency calls within strict time limits as part of plans to be announced on Monday.

    Officers will be expected to arrive at crime scenes within 15 minutes in urban areas and 20 minutes in the countryside while attending serious crimes, the Home Office said.

    The new time limits will apply if there is a danger to life, an immediate threat of violence or the possibility of a serious injury or damage to property, or if a crime is in progress.

    Shabana Mahmood, the home secretary, is preparing to announce a full package of changes that the Home Office claims to be the biggest overhaul in two centuries.

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026/jan/25/police-in-england-and-wales-to-get-new-strict-emergency-response-time-limits
  • boulayboulay Posts: 8,099
    Foxy said:

    glw said:

    boulay said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    The FBI director plainly misstating the law.

    FBI Director Kash Patel: “You cannot bring a firearm loaded with multiple magazines to any sort of protest that you want. It’s that simple. You don’t have that right to break the law and incite violence.” The Minnesota Gun Owners Caucus says he's "completely incorrect on Minnesota law."
    https://x.com/kaitlancollins/status/2015517145996874224

    These are the same people who defended Rittenhouse bringing an assault rifle to a protest and killing two innocent people.

    And the victim in Minnesota never even touched his gun.

    What do you say, Sandpit ?

    Weirdly, the name Kyle Rittenhouse springs to mind.

    It’s not just Rittenhouse, it’s the whole batshit “we need to be armed to resist a tyrannical government” and their moment has come and tumbleweed.
    That's because by and large they aren't really freedom-loving patriots but a bunch of bootlicking idiots who own firearms for a whole bunch of different psychological deficiencies.
    The right to bear arms was actually a holdover from our own bill of rights. The Founding Fathers were keen to keep it for two main reasons after independence: so that frontiersmen could push into Native American lands and secondly in order to be able to supress slave revolts.

    Gun possession has pretty strong links to white supremacism, hence why the NRA is noticeably quiet about the recent ICE murders.

    Um wasn’t the right to bear arms more about the protection of every man in the new country to keep their own weapons to ensure that should the British or any other foreign entity try and invade that there would be plentiful armed men for militia, and preferably within a militia, armed and ready.

    I have never read, in any serious studies, that it was about pushing into Native American lands or suppressing slave revolts - the relationships with native Americans were complex at the time with alliances for the new US, the UK and the French so it was always something they had to be wary of before the constitution and slave revolts weren’t really a big thing until Haiti made it a fear in American minds.

    So whilst it’s warming to equate it with White Supremacism it was really just a vaguely sensible plan for a new and vulnerable country to allow its citizens to be armed to the teeth.
  • Cookie said:

    Hearing flights out of Tel Aviv are being halted without explanation.

    This might be the night Iran gets whacked.

    If Donnie doesn't send the boys in soon, there won't be many Iranians left. I don't normally relish this sort of thing but I hope they get Khamenei.
    Is any information about Iran getting out? I've heard very little.
    Not much, we're relying on commentators based outside Iran - I've had more info from Omid Djalili than from any media outlet.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 13,238

    Police forces in England and Wales will be told to respond to emergency calls within strict time limits as part of plans to be announced on Monday.

    Officers will be expected to arrive at crime scenes within 15 minutes in urban areas and 20 minutes in the countryside while attending serious crimes, the Home Office said.

    The new time limits will apply if there is a danger to life, an immediate threat of violence or the possibility of a serious injury or damage to property, or if a crime is in progress.

    Shabana Mahmood, the home secretary, is preparing to announce a full package of changes that the Home Office claims to be the biggest overhaul in two centuries.

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026/jan/25/police-in-england-and-wales-to-get-new-strict-emergency-response-time-limits

    The 20 minutes thing will backfire because you'll end up with very bored officers sat in the middle of Snowdonia waiting for something to happen. We have the same issue with armed response in Scotland. - though, to be fair, that might have been useful for the rampage on Skye.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 41,967
    @AndrewDesiderio
    NEW — Senate GOP leaders pushing ahead with funding package despite Dem opposition.

    GOP leadership aide: “Government funding expires at the end of the week, and Republicans are determined to not have another government shut down. We will move forward as planned and hope Democrats can find a path forward to join us.”
  • Hearing flights out of Tel Aviv are being halted without explanation.

    This might be the night Iran gets whacked.

    If Donnie doesn't send the boys in soon, there won't be many Iranians left. I don't normally relish this sort of thing but I hope they get Khamenei.
    Personally, I hope they don’t. And he gets to meet the next revolution, personally.
    I hope Iranians are free to spit on his hanging body, but more likely he gets to do a runner to Moscow, or is blown to bits in a bunker.
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 2,140

    nico67 said:

    Cookie said:

    Can we lay off the pile on on Sandpit please?
    1) He's been on the site for fucking ages; I find it vanishingly unlikely he's being paid to make pro-Trump noises.
    2) I've rarely heard him make pro-Trump noises. Not thinking Trump = Hitler does not equal pro-Trump.
    3) As it happens, I do think Trump roughly equals Hitler. But I am very interested in the views of a seemingly intelligent poster who does not hold that view. Why wouldn't you be?

    It's ridiculous to fall into the trap of 'poster x does not hate politician y as much as I do - therefore poster x loves politician y.' We saw this with Boris too.

    It seems fair to defend Trump [and the administration] on some levels - many things are arguable. TDS is still a thing.

    But justifying the shooting of someone in the street who is protesting peacefully would seem a different matter.
    The phrase TDS is often trotted out by trump apologists who don't want to see the whole picture.
    I certainly wouldn't apologise for him but what I would take it to mean is not taking each specific action on its own merits.

    He might accidentally do something right. Increasingly long odds on that, perhaps.


    DS applies to all politicians, including Starmer, who also manages to blunder into doing the right thing sometimes, having announced the wrong thing first.
    We were assured he was going to invade Greenland a couple of days ago. That he was a deranged dementia patient who had lost the capacity to reason, and therefore he'd as happily soak Greenland in European blood as eat his morning cornflakes.

    Except it has now all been wrapped up diplomatically, he seems to have got everything he asked for, and he now says force was never on the agenda. Yet no embarrassed climb down from our resident Trump experts, just on to the next civilisation-ending outrage and hope nobody will notice.
    No one thought he’d actually invade Greenland. And he didn’t get what he wanted . I see you omitted his trashing of NATO troops who died supporting the USA . He’s now given immunity to ICE to execute anyone they see fit and you’re still trying to sanewash his actions . He might not be mad but he is true evil .
    Literally nothing has been agreed regarding Greenland anyway so once again Luckyguy is just wrong
    His consistency is valuable thought.
    I fully expect there to be several more rounds of Greenland until Trump get's fixated on something else.
    Tariffs interspersed with Greenland, Iran, Gaza, Ukraine etc for the next 3 years, it will be exhausting and costly.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 16,645

    Cookie said:

    Hearing flights out of Tel Aviv are being halted without explanation.

    This might be the night Iran gets whacked.

    If Donnie doesn't send the boys in soon, there won't be many Iranians left. I don't normally relish this sort of thing but I hope they get Khamenei.
    Is any information about Iran getting out? I've heard very little.
    Not much, we're relying on commentators based outside Iran - I've had more info from Omid Djalili than from any media outlet.
    I have an Iranian colleague at work. He is very pessimistic. But he has heard nothing either.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 89,537
    Non-crime hate incidents are to be scrapped in their current form because they have distracted police from fighting everyday crime, Shabana Mahmood has said.

    This must be the 87th time they have been scrapped.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 60,196
    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    glw said:

    boulay said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    The FBI director plainly misstating the law.

    FBI Director Kash Patel: “You cannot bring a firearm loaded with multiple magazines to any sort of protest that you want. It’s that simple. You don’t have that right to break the law and incite violence.” The Minnesota Gun Owners Caucus says he's "completely incorrect on Minnesota law."
    https://x.com/kaitlancollins/status/2015517145996874224

    These are the same people who defended Rittenhouse bringing an assault rifle to a protest and killing two innocent people.

    And the victim in Minnesota never even touched his gun.

    What do you say, Sandpit ?

    Weirdly, the name Kyle Rittenhouse springs to mind.

    It’s not just Rittenhouse, it’s the whole batshit “we need to be armed to resist a tyrannical government” and their moment has come and tumbleweed.
    That's because by and large they aren't really freedom-loving patriots but a bunch of bootlicking idiots who own firearms for a whole bunch of different psychological deficiencies.
    The right to bear arms was actually a holdover from our own bill of rights. The Founding Fathers were keen to keep it for two main reasons after independence: so that frontiersmen could push into Native American lands and secondly in order to be able to supress slave revolts.

    Gun possession has pretty strong links to white supremacism, hence why the NRA is noticeably quiet about the recent ICE murders.

    Um wasn’t the right to bear arms more about the protection of every man in the new country to keep their own weapons to ensure that should the British or any other foreign entity try and invade that there would be plentiful armed men for militia, and preferably within a militia, armed and ready.

    I have never read, in any serious studies, that it was about pushing into Native American lands or suppressing slave revolts - the relationships with native Americans were complex at the time with alliances for the new US, the UK and the French so it was always something they had to be wary of before the constitution and slave revolts weren’t really a big thing until Haiti made it a fear in American minds.

    So whilst it’s warming to equate it with White Supremacism it was really just a vaguely sensible plan for a new and vulnerable country to allow its citizens to be armed to the teeth.
    It was, if you read the actual statements, diaries etc of the politicians at the time, a case of politicians selling something to themselves they wanted.

    The American politicians of the time were really, really un-keen on a standing army. Which was seen (apart from the whole redcoat thing) as being an opening for a Cromwell style dictator. {Napoleon then enters the chat}

    One of the myths of the Revolution was the Minuteman - a farmer taking his "long rifle" hunting gun and laying waste to the redcoats. In fact it took Washington (and others) issuing muskets (much faster loading) and drilling a professional style army to win battles.

    But politically, the Minuteman Myth was great - no standing army, just call up the Staunch Yeoman, who knew how to load and shoot their own, specially accurate weapons. Which would cost the state nothing, and meant no standing army for a Man On A White Horse to muck around with.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 80,509
    Sean_F said:

    Find Out Now have Reform on 36% across Greater Manchester, to 24% for Labour. That makes it very reasonable for the NEC to say they don’t want a Mayoral by election,

    Would one actually be forced immediately though ?

    Boris was an MP and mayor of London for over a year I think.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 54,900
    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    glw said:

    boulay said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    The FBI director plainly misstating the law.

    FBI Director Kash Patel: “You cannot bring a firearm loaded with multiple magazines to any sort of protest that you want. It’s that simple. You don’t have that right to break the law and incite violence.” The Minnesota Gun Owners Caucus says he's "completely incorrect on Minnesota law."
    https://x.com/kaitlancollins/status/2015517145996874224

    These are the same people who defended Rittenhouse bringing an assault rifle to a protest and killing two innocent people.

    And the victim in Minnesota never even touched his gun.

    What do you say, Sandpit ?

    Weirdly, the name Kyle Rittenhouse springs to mind.

    It’s not just Rittenhouse, it’s the whole batshit “we need to be armed to resist a tyrannical government” and their moment has come and tumbleweed.
    That's because by and large they aren't really freedom-loving patriots but a bunch of bootlicking idiots who own firearms for a whole bunch of different psychological deficiencies.
    The right to bear arms was actually a holdover from our own bill of rights. The Founding Fathers were keen to keep it for two main reasons after independence: so that frontiersmen could push into Native American lands and secondly in order to be able to supress slave revolts.

    Gun possession has pretty strong links to white supremacism, hence why the NRA is noticeably quiet about the recent ICE murders.

    Um wasn’t the right to bear arms more about the protection of every man in the new country to keep their own weapons to ensure that should the British or any other foreign entity try and invade that there would be plentiful armed men for militia, and preferably within a militia, armed and ready.

    I have never read, in any serious studies, that it was about pushing into Native American lands or suppressing slave revolts - the relationships with native Americans were complex at the time with alliances for the new US, the UK and the French so it was always something they had to be wary of before the constitution and slave revolts weren’t really a big thing until Haiti made it a fear in American minds.

    So whilst it’s warming to equate it with White Supremacism it was really just a vaguely sensible plan for a new and vulnerable country to allow its citizens to be armed to the teeth.
    The Constitution was considerably after the War of Independence ended, so nothing to do with a threat from the British.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 60,196

    Non-crime hate incidents are to be scrapped in their current form because they have distracted police from fighting everyday crime, Shabana Mahmood has said.

    This must be the 87th time they have been scrapped.

    Has Chief Constable Sir Ronald Savage (OBE, DiPsHit) stopped arresting black people for ordering their coffee black, yet?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 60,196
    Foxy said:

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    glw said:

    boulay said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    The FBI director plainly misstating the law.

    FBI Director Kash Patel: “You cannot bring a firearm loaded with multiple magazines to any sort of protest that you want. It’s that simple. You don’t have that right to break the law and incite violence.” The Minnesota Gun Owners Caucus says he's "completely incorrect on Minnesota law."
    https://x.com/kaitlancollins/status/2015517145996874224

    These are the same people who defended Rittenhouse bringing an assault rifle to a protest and killing two innocent people.

    And the victim in Minnesota never even touched his gun.

    What do you say, Sandpit ?

    Weirdly, the name Kyle Rittenhouse springs to mind.

    It’s not just Rittenhouse, it’s the whole batshit “we need to be armed to resist a tyrannical government” and their moment has come and tumbleweed.
    That's because by and large they aren't really freedom-loving patriots but a bunch of bootlicking idiots who own firearms for a whole bunch of different psychological deficiencies.
    The right to bear arms was actually a holdover from our own bill of rights. The Founding Fathers were keen to keep it for two main reasons after independence: so that frontiersmen could push into Native American lands and secondly in order to be able to supress slave revolts.

    Gun possession has pretty strong links to white supremacism, hence why the NRA is noticeably quiet about the recent ICE murders.

    Um wasn’t the right to bear arms more about the protection of every man in the new country to keep their own weapons to ensure that should the British or any other foreign entity try and invade that there would be plentiful armed men for militia, and preferably within a militia, armed and ready.

    I have never read, in any serious studies, that it was about pushing into Native American lands or suppressing slave revolts - the relationships with native Americans were complex at the time with alliances for the new US, the UK and the French so it was always something they had to be wary of before the constitution and slave revolts weren’t really a big thing until Haiti made it a fear in American minds.

    So whilst it’s warming to equate it with White Supremacism it was really just a vaguely sensible plan for a new and vulnerable country to allow its citizens to be armed to the teeth.
    The Constitution was considerably after the War of Independence ended, so nothing to do with a threat from the British.
    I really suggest you read some of the actual, academic histories on the subject.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 31,844
    eek said:

    Separately Lego and Crocs have created some new shoes for TSE https://www.lego.com/en-gb/product/brick-clog-5010203


    I prefer Garfield slippers.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 60,196
    Eabhal said:

    Police forces in England and Wales will be told to respond to emergency calls within strict time limits as part of plans to be announced on Monday.

    Officers will be expected to arrive at crime scenes within 15 minutes in urban areas and 20 minutes in the countryside while attending serious crimes, the Home Office said.

    The new time limits will apply if there is a danger to life, an immediate threat of violence or the possibility of a serious injury or damage to property, or if a crime is in progress.

    Shabana Mahmood, the home secretary, is preparing to announce a full package of changes that the Home Office claims to be the biggest overhaul in two centuries.

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2026/jan/25/police-in-england-and-wales-to-get-new-strict-emergency-response-time-limits

    The 20 minutes thing will backfire because you'll end up with very bored officers sat in the middle of Snowdonia waiting for something to happen. We have the same issue with armed response in Scotland. - though, to be fair, that might have been useful for the rampage on Skye.
    https://youtu.be/yMxY0Lxo_ow
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,690
    Dr. Foxy said: "The Constitution was considerably after the War of Independence ended, so nothing to do with a threat from the British."

    I am surprised the good doctor has never hear of this war: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/War_of_1812
    Or even this song: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=__uFnEMJqjg
  • MattWMattW Posts: 31,844
    Sandpit said:

    https://x.com/sentdefender/status/2015184338803966119

    According to the Hebrew-language daily newspaper Israel Hayom, there is major split in both the Trump Administration and among U.S. allies in the Middle East regarding a potential attack against Iran. Those in favor of strikes against Iran are said to include:

    - Vice President JD Vance
    - Secretary of State Marco Rubio
    - Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth
    - Britain
    - Israel
    - United Arab Emirates

    Those opposed:

    - Special Envoy Jared Kushner
    - Special Envoy Steve Witkoff
    - Turkey
    - Saudi Arabia
    - Qatar

    I don't see why we are even getting involved in this one. There's enough out there without chasing this as well.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 31,844
    Can anyone update me?

    Is Trump still planning to invade Minnesota with his Arctic troops based in Alaska?

    I note it happens to be on the way to Greenland ...
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,633
    Sean_F said:

    Find Out Now have Reform on 36% across Greater Manchester, to 24% for Labour. That makes it very reasonable for the NEC to say they don’t want a Mayoral by election,

    Here's the link

    https://findoutnow.co.uk/blog/greater-manchester-polling/

    Thought it might be a subsample, but no, a proper poll!
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,972

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    glw said:

    boulay said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    The FBI director plainly misstating the law.

    FBI Director Kash Patel: “You cannot bring a firearm loaded with multiple magazines to any sort of protest that you want. It’s that simple. You don’t have that right to break the law and incite violence.” The Minnesota Gun Owners Caucus says he's "completely incorrect on Minnesota law."
    https://x.com/kaitlancollins/status/2015517145996874224

    These are the same people who defended Rittenhouse bringing an assault rifle to a protest and killing two innocent people.

    And the victim in Minnesota never even touched his gun.

    What do you say, Sandpit ?

    Weirdly, the name Kyle Rittenhouse springs to mind.

    It’s not just Rittenhouse, it’s the whole batshit “we need to be armed to resist a tyrannical government” and their moment has come and tumbleweed.
    That's because by and large they aren't really freedom-loving patriots but a bunch of bootlicking idiots who own firearms for a whole bunch of different psychological deficiencies.
    The right to bear arms was actually a holdover from our own bill of rights. The Founding Fathers were keen to keep it for two main reasons after independence: so that frontiersmen could push into Native American lands and secondly in order to be able to supress slave revolts.

    Gun possession has pretty strong links to white supremacism, hence why the NRA is noticeably quiet about the recent ICE murders.

    Um wasn’t the right to bear arms more about the protection of every man in the new country to keep their own weapons to ensure that should the British or any other foreign entity try and invade that there would be plentiful armed men for militia, and preferably within a militia, armed and ready.

    I have never read, in any serious studies, that it was about pushing into Native American lands or suppressing slave revolts - the relationships with native Americans were complex at the time with alliances for the new US, the UK and the French so it was always something they had to be wary of before the constitution and slave revolts weren’t really a big thing until Haiti made it a fear in American minds.

    So whilst it’s warming to equate it with White Supremacism it was really just a vaguely sensible plan for a new and vulnerable country to allow its citizens to be armed to the teeth.
    It was, if you read the actual statements, diaries etc of the politicians at the time, a case of politicians selling something to themselves they wanted.

    The American politicians of the time were really, really un-keen on a standing army. Which was seen (apart from the whole redcoat thing) as being an opening for a Cromwell style dictator. {Napoleon then enters the chat}

    One of the myths of the Revolution was the Minuteman - a farmer taking his "long rifle" hunting gun and laying waste to the redcoats. In fact it took Washington (and others) issuing muskets (much faster loading) and drilling a professional style army to win battles.

    But politically, the Minuteman Myth was great - no standing army, just call up the Staunch Yeoman, who knew how to load and shoot their own, specially accurate weapons. Which would cost the state nothing, and meant no standing army for a Man On A White Horse to muck around with.
    The right to bear arms was considered so usual in both Britain and the Colonies that it hardly merited comment. It had been enshrined in the 1689 Bill of Rights and then reinforced in the 1757 British Militia Act. The right to bear arms in England is mentioned in Blackstones Commentaries on the Laws of England as one of the five subordinate rights alongside the powers and privileges of Parliament, the limitation of the king’s prerogative, the right to apply to the courts for redress of injuries and the right to petition the king, or either House of Parliament, for the redress of grievances.

    One idea I have read is that the framers of the 1791 amendments were directly copying Blackstone and that it is for that reason that the right to bear arms was enshrined in the Constitution.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 100,710
    edited January 25
    Foxy said:

    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    glw said:

    boulay said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    The FBI director plainly misstating the law.

    FBI Director Kash Patel: “You cannot bring a firearm loaded with multiple magazines to any sort of protest that you want. It’s that simple. You don’t have that right to break the law and incite violence.” The Minnesota Gun Owners Caucus says he's "completely incorrect on Minnesota law."
    https://x.com/kaitlancollins/status/2015517145996874224

    These are the same people who defended Rittenhouse bringing an assault rifle to a protest and killing two innocent people.

    And the victim in Minnesota never even touched his gun.

    What do you say, Sandpit ?

    Weirdly, the name Kyle Rittenhouse springs to mind.

    It’s not just Rittenhouse, it’s the whole batshit “we need to be armed to resist a tyrannical government” and their moment has come and tumbleweed.
    That's because by and large they aren't really freedom-loving patriots but a bunch of bootlicking idiots who own firearms for a whole bunch of different psychological deficiencies.
    The right to bear arms was actually a holdover from our own bill of rights. The Founding Fathers were keen to keep it for two main reasons after independence: so that frontiersmen could push into Native American lands and secondly in order to be able to supress slave revolts.

    Gun possession has pretty strong links to white supremacism, hence why the NRA is noticeably quiet about the recent ICE murders.

    Um wasn’t the right to bear arms more about the protection of every man in the new country to keep their own weapons to ensure that should the British or any other foreign entity try and invade that there would be plentiful armed men for militia, and preferably within a militia, armed and ready.

    I have never read, in any serious studies, that it was about pushing into Native American lands or suppressing slave revolts - the relationships with native Americans were complex at the time with alliances for the new US, the UK and the French so it was always something they had to be wary of before the constitution and slave revolts weren’t really a big thing until Haiti made it a fear in American minds.

    So whilst it’s warming to equate it with White Supremacism it was really just a vaguely sensible plan for a new and vulnerable country to allow its citizens to be armed to the teeth.
    The Constitution was considerably after the War of Independence ended, so nothing to do with a threat from the British.
    I'm not about to weigh in on what the motivations of the Founding Fathers was when drafting specific things, I don't know enough about it, but on its face I'd have thought it pretty likely that anything drafted within a generation of the epochal event that was American Independence would have at least some kind of relation to the major threats they had faced off at that time. Seems reasonable to assume it would have been pretty fresh in the mind, even if just at the level of what rights were most critical as a result. Plus their ideas did not form out of the aether, they took inspiration from various historical examples.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 57,118
    edited January 25
    Among other things, Trump is calling for legislation to be passed to outlaw Sanctuary Cities.

    https://x.com/PressSec/status/2015555649719984483

    I am hereby calling on the United States Congress to immediately pass Legislation to END Sanctuary Cities, which is the root cause of all of these problems. American Cities should be Safe Sanctuaries for Law Abiding American Citizens ONLY, not Illegal Alien Criminals who broke our Nation’s Laws.

    https://x.com/WhiteHouse/status/2015560630212723109

    President Donald J. Trump calls on Governor Walz, Mayor Frey, and every Democratic governor and mayor in the United States to cooperate with the Trump admin to enforce our nation’s laws, rather than resist and stoke the flames of division, chaos, and violence
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,803
    Sean_F said:

    Find Out Now have Reform on 36% across Greater Manchester, to 24% for Labour. That makes it very reasonable for the NEC to say they don’t want a Mayoral by election,

    So why didn't Burnham understand the jeopardy, or does he worry about FoN's peculiar methodology and think the figure you quote to be unlikely?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 57,118

    Sean_F said:

    Find Out Now have Reform on 36% across Greater Manchester, to 24% for Labour. That makes it very reasonable for the NEC to say they don’t want a Mayoral by election,

    So why didn't Burnham understand the jeopardy, or does he worry about FoN's peculiar methodology and think the figure you quote to be unlikely?
    I believe there was no legal requirement to hold a mayoral election. His deputy could just take over until the end of the term.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,972
    MattW said:

    Can anyone update me?

    Is Trump still planning to invade Minnesota with his Arctic troops based in Alaska?

    I note it happens to be on the way to Greenland ...

    Apparently he is worried about China annexing Minnesota via the Great Lakes.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,803

    Sean_F said:

    Find Out Now have Reform on 36% across Greater Manchester, to 24% for Labour. That makes it very reasonable for the NEC to say they don’t want a Mayoral by election,

    So why didn't Burnham understand the jeopardy, or does he worry about FoN's peculiar methodology and think the figure you quote to be unlikely?
    I believe there was no legal requirement to hold a mayoral election. His deputy could just take over until the end of the term.
    That is true. Although there would be an awful lot of jeopardy to Labour if they had run the Mayoralty without Burnham until 2028.

    As an aside have you seen the ICE agent applauding after his buddies take ten kill shots at Alex Preddi? You justified the shooting of Renee Nicole Good as self defence, and fair enough. Can you justify this one as self defence?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,803
    ydoethur said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Lord Hayward on VoteUK forum:

    "I have received Lord Ashcroft's latest data but, as far as I can see, without percentages expressed. After an enjoyable Sunday lunch I have calculated the percentages as:-

    Ref 25 =
    Con 21 -1
    Lab 18 =
    Grn 18 -1
    LD 11 +1

    Please correct as appropriate."

    https://vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/10136/oh-lordy-big-ashcroft-poll?page=8

    The Gold Standard.

    eek said:

    It's been 14 mins and Andy Burnham still hasn't published part II, this is why he isn't fit to be an MP and the NEC were right to block him.

    I am disappointed by today’s NEC decision and concerned about its potential impact on the important elections ahead of us.

    To whoever is Labour’s candidate and to our members in Manchester and Tameside: you will have my full support and I will be there whenever you need me.

    1/2


    https://x.com/AndyBurnhamGM/status/2015480192093831340

    Just appeared now


    Tomorrow I return with full focus to my role as Mayor of GM, defending everything we have built in our city-region over many years.

    I decided to put myself forward to prevent the divisive politics of Reform from damaging that. We are stronger together and let’s stay that way. 💪🏻
    Translation: I expect Reform to win and I will dump all the blame on Kier Starmer when it happens.
    Great 12D chess I am sure. But it just makes Burnham look like a Jenrickian tw@t.
    It is basically Burnham to blame for Starmer being a blank firing bollock
    I am not and haven't been defending Starmer all weekend. Burnham should have been allowed to stand and then hopefully crushed in Gorton and Denton.

    Burnham was humbled in September. In the last 24 hours he's humbled himself and Starmer.
    I think the word is humilated
    OK.

    Burnham was humiliated in September. In the last 24 hours he's humiliated himself and Starmer.

    Yeah that works for me.

    Why have a couple of angry PB Tories been beating up on @Mexicanbastard because he's been nasty to Andy Burnham? It doesn't make sense.
    Well, BJO is horrible to everyone, so I don't think you should take that personally. I think it comes of being a disciple of the kinder, gentler politics Corbyn espoused. In fact, given what he posted on the last thread about the reasons for Burnham being barred (which is alarming on more levels than TSE's elevator) you should probably wear it as a badge of honour.
    It's the PB Tories flying the flag for Burnham that confuses me.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 57,496

    Among other things, Trump is calling for legislation to be passed to outlaw Sanctuary Cities.

    https://x.com/PressSec/status/2015555649719984483

    I am hereby calling on the United States Congress to immediately pass Legislation to END Sanctuary Cities, which is the root cause of all of these problems. American Cities should be Safe Sanctuaries for Law Abiding American Citizens ONLY, not Illegal Alien Criminals who broke our Nation’s Laws.

    https://x.com/WhiteHouse/status/2015560630212723109

    President Donald J. Trump calls on Governor Walz, Mayor Frey, and every Democratic governor and mayor in the United States to cooperate with the Trump admin to enforce our nation’s laws, rather than resist and stoke the flames of division, chaos, and violence

    Donald Trump should stop killing his own people! Thank you for your attention to this matter!
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 100,710

    Among other things, Trump is calling for legislation to be passed to outlaw Sanctuary Cities.

    https://x.com/PressSec/status/2015555649719984483

    I am hereby calling on the United States Congress to immediately pass Legislation to END Sanctuary Cities, which is the root cause of all of these problems. American Cities should be Safe Sanctuaries for Law Abiding American Citizens ONLY, not Illegal Alien Criminals who broke our Nation’s Laws.

    https://x.com/WhiteHouse/status/2015560630212723109

    President Donald J. Trump calls on Governor Walz, Mayor Frey, and every Democratic governor and mayor in the United States to cooperate with the Trump admin to enforce our nation’s laws, rather than resist and stoke the flames of division, chaos, and violence

    Hopefully Congress will tell him to go fuck himself.
    That bunch? They seem petrified at the idea of holding the executive branch to account.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 57,496
    MattW said:

    Sandpit said:

    https://x.com/sentdefender/status/2015184338803966119

    According to the Hebrew-language daily newspaper Israel Hayom, there is major split in both the Trump Administration and among U.S. allies in the Middle East regarding a potential attack against Iran. Those in favor of strikes against Iran are said to include:

    - Vice President JD Vance
    - Secretary of State Marco Rubio
    - Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth
    - Britain
    - Israel
    - United Arab Emirates

    Those opposed:

    - Special Envoy Jared Kushner
    - Special Envoy Steve Witkoff
    - Turkey
    - Saudi Arabia
    - Qatar

    I don't see why we are even getting involved in this one. There's enough out there without chasing this as well.
    It's OK, we sent just one soldier to Greenland, maybe we'll just send one officer to Iran?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 57,118

    Sean_F said:

    Find Out Now have Reform on 36% across Greater Manchester, to 24% for Labour. That makes it very reasonable for the NEC to say they don’t want a Mayoral by election,

    So why didn't Burnham understand the jeopardy, or does he worry about FoN's peculiar methodology and think the figure you quote to be unlikely?
    I believe there was no legal requirement to hold a mayoral election. His deputy could just take over until the end of the term.
    That is true. Although there would be an awful lot of jeopardy to Labour if they had run the Mayoralty without Burnham until 2028.

    As an aside have you seen the ICE agent applauding after his buddies take ten kill shots at Alex Preddi? You justified the shooting of Renee Nicole Good as self defence, and fair enough. Can you justify this one as self defence?
    I said that politicians who were egging on protesters to interfere with ICE were making incidents like that inevitable. That remains true even if the actions of officers in individual incidents are wrong.

    Scott Bessent is probably the best advocate for the Trump administration at the moment:

    https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/2015450668916498625
  • CookieCookie Posts: 16,645

    ydoethur said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Lord Hayward on VoteUK forum:

    "I have received Lord Ashcroft's latest data but, as far as I can see, without percentages expressed. After an enjoyable Sunday lunch I have calculated the percentages as:-

    Ref 25 =
    Con 21 -1
    Lab 18 =
    Grn 18 -1
    LD 11 +1

    Please correct as appropriate."

    https://vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/10136/oh-lordy-big-ashcroft-poll?page=8

    The Gold Standard.

    eek said:

    It's been 14 mins and Andy Burnham still hasn't published part II, this is why he isn't fit to be an MP and the NEC were right to block him.

    I am disappointed by today’s NEC decision and concerned about its potential impact on the important elections ahead of us.

    To whoever is Labour’s candidate and to our members in Manchester and Tameside: you will have my full support and I will be there whenever you need me.

    1/2


    https://x.com/AndyBurnhamGM/status/2015480192093831340

    Just appeared now


    Tomorrow I return with full focus to my role as Mayor of GM, defending everything we have built in our city-region over many years.

    I decided to put myself forward to prevent the divisive politics of Reform from damaging that. We are stronger together and let’s stay that way. 💪🏻
    Translation: I expect Reform to win and I will dump all the blame on Kier Starmer when it happens.
    Great 12D chess I am sure. But it just makes Burnham look like a Jenrickian tw@t.
    It is basically Burnham to blame for Starmer being a blank firing bollock
    I am not and haven't been defending Starmer all weekend. Burnham should have been allowed to stand and then hopefully crushed in Gorton and Denton.

    Burnham was humbled in September. In the last 24 hours he's humbled himself and Starmer.
    I think the word is humilated
    OK.

    Burnham was humiliated in September. In the last 24 hours he's humiliated himself and Starmer.

    Yeah that works for me.

    Why have a couple of angry PB Tories been beating up on @Mexicanbastard because he's been nasty to Andy Burnham? It doesn't make sense.
    Well, BJO is horrible to everyone, so I don't think you should take that personally. I think it comes of being a disciple of the kinder, gentler politics Corbyn espoused. In fact, given what he posted on the last thread about the reasons for Burnham being barred (which is alarming on more levels than TSE's elevator) you should probably wear it as a badge of honour.
    It's the PB Tories flying the flag for Burnham that confuses me.
    Perhaps posters are individuals who have complex views which can't be neatly pigeonholed?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 100,710
    edited January 25
    Cookie said:

    ydoethur said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Lord Hayward on VoteUK forum:

    "I have received Lord Ashcroft's latest data but, as far as I can see, without percentages expressed. After an enjoyable Sunday lunch I have calculated the percentages as:-

    Ref 25 =
    Con 21 -1
    Lab 18 =
    Grn 18 -1
    LD 11 +1

    Please correct as appropriate."

    https://vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/10136/oh-lordy-big-ashcroft-poll?page=8

    The Gold Standard.

    eek said:

    It's been 14 mins and Andy Burnham still hasn't published part II, this is why he isn't fit to be an MP and the NEC were right to block him.

    I am disappointed by today’s NEC decision and concerned about its potential impact on the important elections ahead of us.

    To whoever is Labour’s candidate and to our members in Manchester and Tameside: you will have my full support and I will be there whenever you need me.

    1/2


    https://x.com/AndyBurnhamGM/status/2015480192093831340

    Just appeared now


    Tomorrow I return with full focus to my role as Mayor of GM, defending everything we have built in our city-region over many years.

    I decided to put myself forward to prevent the divisive politics of Reform from damaging that. We are stronger together and let’s stay that way. 💪🏻
    Translation: I expect Reform to win and I will dump all the blame on Kier Starmer when it happens.
    Great 12D chess I am sure. But it just makes Burnham look like a Jenrickian tw@t.
    It is basically Burnham to blame for Starmer being a blank firing bollock
    I am not and haven't been defending Starmer all weekend. Burnham should have been allowed to stand and then hopefully crushed in Gorton and Denton.

    Burnham was humbled in September. In the last 24 hours he's humbled himself and Starmer.
    I think the word is humilated
    OK.

    Burnham was humiliated in September. In the last 24 hours he's humiliated himself and Starmer.

    Yeah that works for me.

    Why have a couple of angry PB Tories been beating up on @Mexicanbastard because he's been nasty to Andy Burnham? It doesn't make sense.
    Well, BJO is horrible to everyone, so I don't think you should take that personally. I think it comes of being a disciple of the kinder, gentler politics Corbyn espoused. In fact, given what he posted on the last thread about the reasons for Burnham being barred (which is alarming on more levels than TSE's elevator) you should probably wear it as a badge of honour.
    It's the PB Tories flying the flag for Burnham that confuses me.
    Perhaps posters are individuals who have complex views which can't be neatly pigeonholed?
    That may be the way the Cookie crumbles, but otherwise is pretty rare.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,107
    Sean_F said:

    Find Out Now have Reform on 36% across Greater Manchester, to 24% for Labour. That makes it very reasonable for the NEC to say they don’t want a Mayoral by election,

    Would the election be fought on FPTP or with preferences?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 31,844
    edited 12:13AM
    boulay said:

    Foxy said:

    glw said:

    boulay said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    The FBI director plainly misstating the law.

    FBI Director Kash Patel: “You cannot bring a firearm loaded with multiple magazines to any sort of protest that you want. It’s that simple. You don’t have that right to break the law and incite violence.” The Minnesota Gun Owners Caucus says he's "completely incorrect on Minnesota law."
    https://x.com/kaitlancollins/status/2015517145996874224

    These are the same people who defended Rittenhouse bringing an assault rifle to a protest and killing two innocent people.

    And the victim in Minnesota never even touched his gun.

    What do you say, Sandpit ?

    Weirdly, the name Kyle Rittenhouse springs to mind.

    It’s not just Rittenhouse, it’s the whole batshit “we need to be armed to resist a tyrannical government” and their moment has come and tumbleweed.
    That's because by and large they aren't really freedom-loving patriots but a bunch of bootlicking idiots who own firearms for a whole bunch of different psychological deficiencies.
    The right to bear arms was actually a holdover from our own bill of rights. The Founding Fathers were keen to keep it for two main reasons after independence: so that frontiersmen could push into Native American lands and secondly in order to be able to supress slave revolts.

    Gun possession has pretty strong links to white supremacism, hence why the NRA is noticeably quiet about the recent ICE murders.

    Um wasn’t the right to bear arms more about the protection of every man in the new country to keep their own weapons to ensure that should the British or any other foreign entity try and invade that there would be plentiful armed men for militia, and preferably within a militia, armed and ready.

    I have never read, in any serious studies, that it was about pushing into Native American lands or suppressing slave revolts - the relationships with native Americans were complex at the time with alliances for the new US, the UK and the French so it was always something they had to be wary of before the constitution and slave revolts weren’t really a big thing until Haiti made it a fear in American minds.

    So whilst it’s warming to equate it with White Supremacism it was really just a vaguely sensible plan for a new and vulnerable country to allow its citizens to be armed to the teeth.
    I think @Foxy 's "links to" is different from "equate".

    In modern times as I see it, gun rights was one of a cluster of political issues used to solidify what has been the "Christian Right". From the 1970s we have individualism, anti-abortion, anti-homosexuality, nuclear family, the vision of the USA as "a city on a hill" (cf Book of Revelation), USA exceptionalism and various others. Some of the people who built the movement to boost Reagan around Jerry Falwell, Pat Robertson etc have been active in building the movement around Trump.

    There are plenty of links going much further back into white supremacism, 1950s McCarthy, 1920s/30s America First, then KKK and Jim Crow. Of course that links into the movement around the Confederate Flag, 10 Commandments in Public buildings more recently, and eg the Southern Baptists who were founded to defend slavery, and did not publicly resile from their history until the 1990s.

    One example of the white supremacism links is the Bob Jones Christian University, which has provided a platform for prominent Republican Politicians for decades since the 60s/70s. Yet they had a "no interracial dating amongst students" policy, which they claimed to be based on the Bible, until 2000. That policy started around 1950, and the former identity "Bob Jones College" did not aiui have it codified.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 31,844

    MattW said:

    Can anyone update me?

    Is Trump still planning to invade Minnesota with his Arctic troops based in Alaska?

    I note it happens to be on the way to Greenland ...

    Apparently he is worried about China annexing Minnesota via the Great Lakes.
    He has definitely been talking about reorganising the border with Canada around the Great Lakes !
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 31,197

    Among other things, Trump is calling for legislation to be passed to outlaw Sanctuary Cities.

    https://x.com/PressSec/status/2015555649719984483

    I am hereby calling on the United States Congress to immediately pass Legislation to END Sanctuary Cities, which is the root cause of all of these problems. American Cities should be Safe Sanctuaries for Law Abiding American Citizens ONLY, not Illegal Alien Criminals who broke our Nation’s Laws.

    https://x.com/WhiteHouse/status/2015560630212723109

    President Donald J. Trump calls on Governor Walz, Mayor Frey, and every Democratic governor and mayor in the United States to cooperate with the Trump admin to enforce our nation’s laws, rather than resist and stoke the flames of division, chaos, and violence

    Does enforcing the Laws include shooting unarmed people in the back?
    Or not?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 31,844
    Have we done that the Italian Sea Group are suing Mike Lynch's widow over the Bayesian Yacht sinking, for 450 million Euro:

    https://marineindustrynews.co.uk/the-italian-sea-group-sues-mike-lynchs-widow-after-bayesian-sinking/
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 31,197

    MattW said:

    Can anyone update me?

    Is Trump still planning to invade Minnesota with his Arctic troops based in Alaska?

    I note it happens to be on the way to Greenland ...

    Apparently he is worried about China annexing Minnesota via the Great Lakes.
    The way things are going it's Canada he should be worried about.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 57,451
    dixiedean said:

    Among other things, Trump is calling for legislation to be passed to outlaw Sanctuary Cities.

    https://x.com/PressSec/status/2015555649719984483

    I am hereby calling on the United States Congress to immediately pass Legislation to END Sanctuary Cities, which is the root cause of all of these problems. American Cities should be Safe Sanctuaries for Law Abiding American Citizens ONLY, not Illegal Alien Criminals who broke our Nation’s Laws.

    https://x.com/WhiteHouse/status/2015560630212723109

    President Donald J. Trump calls on Governor Walz, Mayor Frey, and every Democratic governor and mayor in the United States to cooperate with the Trump admin to enforce our nation’s laws, rather than resist and stoke the flames of division, chaos, and violence

    Does enforcing the Laws include shooting unarmed people in the back?
    Or not?
    It's not so much a law, more a tradition...
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,107
    "Thousands protest against new asylum seeker centre in Crowborough

    Three people were arrested this weekend as the Home Office moved the first 27 migrants into the former army camp, which could house up to 540" (£)

    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/thousands-protest-new-asylum-seeker-camp-crowborough-arrests-7sgw60zh5
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,803

    Sean_F said:

    Find Out Now have Reform on 36% across Greater Manchester, to 24% for Labour. That makes it very reasonable for the NEC to say they don’t want a Mayoral by election,

    So why didn't Burnham understand the jeopardy, or does he worry about FoN's peculiar methodology and think the figure you quote to be unlikely?
    I believe there was no legal requirement to hold a mayoral election. His deputy could just take over until the end of the term.
    That is true. Although there would be an awful lot of jeopardy to Labour if they had run the Mayoralty without Burnham until 2028.

    As an aside have you seen the ICE agent applauding after his buddies take ten kill shots at Alex Preddi? You justified the shooting of Renee Nicole Good as self defence, and fair enough. Can you justify this one as self defence?
    I said that politicians who were egging on protesters to interfere with ICE were making incidents like that inevitable. That remains true even if the actions of officers in individual incidents are wrong.

    Scott Bessent is probably the best advocate for the Trump administration at the moment:

    https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/2015450668916498625
    I haven't heard Bessant's commentary on the ICE slaying. His performance in Davos however was dangerous, disingenuous nonsense. Same goes for Lutnick.

    With regards to the assassination of Mr Preddi, Trump, Miller, Bondi, Noem and Govino have told us not to believe what we have seen with our own eyes. They are gaslighting and I believe your justification for the killings is too.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,972
    Andy_JS said:

    Sean_F said:

    Find Out Now have Reform on 36% across Greater Manchester, to 24% for Labour. That makes it very reasonable for the NEC to say they don’t want a Mayoral by election,

    Would the election be fought on FPTP or with preferences?
    FPTP. The law has not been changed yet to go to PR.
  • isamisam Posts: 43,427
    Irn-Bru and a Tunnocks, nice one McStarmer


  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 89,537
    edited 1:08AM
    isam said:

    Irn-Bru and a Tunnocks, nice one McStarmer

    The people who run his social media are absolutely shit.

    They have also been trying to get social media influencer to join him on trips to give him good PR and a couple of videos I have seen basically the influencer say the team aren't very good. One guy they invited on India trip and it was just weird.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 89,537
    Grok generated 5.5 billion images in 30 days.
    Nano Banana generated 1 billion images in 53 days.

    Won't somebody think of the polar bears.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,915

    isam said:

    Irn-Bru and a Tunnocks, nice one McStarmer

    The people who run his social media are absolutely shit.

    They have also been trying to get social media influencer to join him on trips to give him good PR and a couple of videos I have seen basically the influencer say the team aren't very good. One guy they invited on India trip and it was just weird.
    It’s cringe, he surely has a pic of himself in Scotland?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,107
    "Garry Kasparov's startling warning to America: 'I saw Putin's rise first-hand and Trump is using the same playbook… he's passed the point when he feels he can afford to lose power. It's a perilous moment'"

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-15496949/Garry-Kasparov-warning-America-Putin-Trump.html
  • MattWMattW Posts: 31,844

    Sean_F said:

    Find Out Now have Reform on 36% across Greater Manchester, to 24% for Labour. That makes it very reasonable for the NEC to say they don’t want a Mayoral by election,

    So why didn't Burnham understand the jeopardy, or does he worry about FoN's peculiar methodology and think the figure you quote to be unlikely?
    I believe there was no legal requirement to hold a mayoral election. His deputy could just take over until the end of the term.
    That is true. Although there would be an awful lot of jeopardy to Labour if they had run the Mayoralty without Burnham until 2028.

    As an aside have you seen the ICE agent applauding after his buddies take ten kill shots at Alex Preddi? You justified the shooting of Renee Nicole Good as self defence, and fair enough. Can you justify this one as self defence?
    I said that politicians who were egging on protesters to interfere with ICE were making incidents like that inevitable. That remains true even if the actions of officers in individual incidents are wrong.

    Scott Bessent is probably the best advocate for the Trump administration at the moment:

    https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/2015450668916498625
    I haven't heard Bessant's commentary on the ICE slaying. His performance in Davos however was dangerous, disingenuous nonsense. Same goes for Lutnick.

    With regards to the assassination of Mr Preddi, Trump, Miller, Bondi, Noem and Govino have told us not to believe what we have seen with our own eyes. They are gaslighting and I believe your justification for the killings is too.
    It's in the video, and is entirely a misrepresentation. The video is on the Tweet. The text:

    I was out there two weeks ago, Governor Walz DECLINED to provide a security detail for me to go into the Minnesota Capitol with the state police! So he is FOMENTING CHAOS because there is substantial waste, fraud, and abuse!" 🔥🔥

    "My job as Treasury Secretary is to investigate that. And I think that this chaos is going out there!"

    "And again, I am sorry that this gentleman is dead, but he did bring a 9 millimeter semi-automatic weapon with two cartridges to what was supposed to be a peaceful protest."

    "I think that there are a lot of PAID agitators who are ginning things up, and the governor has not done a good job of tamping this down!"


    What happened was that he filmed ICE , which is his Constitutional Right. They attacked him, pepper-sprayed him, about 5 of them mobbed him, then they shot him.

    Video of the incident:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bkLd-6i8u70
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 39,107
    Which Democrat do we think has the best chance of winning the next presidential election?
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 27,405
    Andy_JS said:

    Which Democrat do we think has the best chance of winning the next presidential election?

    It depends how scared they are. Newsom has the social media game, has the poll support with the Dems, so if they are looking for comfort food they'll go for him. I think they'll lose with him, but the Dem bureaucracy don't care about that. Buttigieg is trapped in mediocrity: he's not bad by any stretch, but he's never been great. I want Andy Beshear - a Dem who can win in the Confederacy - but they don't. I don't know about Shapiro. I would admire them if they went for AOC - a throw-over-the-table candidate if ever there was one - but they won't.

    This is a time of crisis. This is the point at which a Dem candidate should emerge as a leader, establishing opposition, stating the case. Who is there? Tim Walz? Fatally compromised as the man too mediocre to be Veep. So I'm a bit frustrated. I think the only chance the Dems have is if the Reps field a similarly mediocre candidate - Vance? Cruz? Rubio is beginning to shine thru simple aggregation of posts - he can work the bureaucracy. So the Reps have a plausible candidate in Rubio, and I'm not sure the Dems have.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 8,207
    isam said:

    Irn-Bru and a Tunnocks, nice one McStarmer


    Scots nats will be grumpy. Tunnocks were big Better Togetherers. So, nice one Starmer indeed.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 89,537
    edited 3:06AM
    viewcode said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Which Democrat do we think has the best chance of winning the next presidential election?

    It depends how scared they are. Newsom has the social media game, has the poll support with the Dems, so if they are looking for comfort food they'll go for him. I think they'll lose with him, but the Dem bureaucracy don't care about that. Buttigieg is trapped in mediocrity: he's not bad by any stretch, but he's never been great. I want Andy Beshear - a Dem who can win in the Confederacy - but they don't. I don't know about Shapiro. I would admire them if they went for AOC - a throw-over-the-table candidate if ever there was one - but they won't.

    This is a time of crisis. This is the point at which a Dem candidate should emerge as a leader, establishing opposition, stating the case. Who is there? Tim Walz? Fatally compromised as the man too mediocre to be Veep. So I'm a bit frustrated. I think the only chance the Dems have is if the Reps field a similarly mediocre candidate - Vance? Cruz? Rubio is beginning to shine thru simple aggregation of posts - he can work the bureaucracy. So the Reps have a plausible candidate in Rubio, and I'm not sure the Dems have.
    Tim Walz is a gonna, he has announced he isn't running for reelection. The Family Learing Centre stuff might not be $27 quint-trillion, but it is sizable ane he has basically retired himself.
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,860
    Cookie said:

    ydoethur said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Lord Hayward on VoteUK forum:

    "I have received Lord Ashcroft's latest data but, as far as I can see, without percentages expressed. After an enjoyable Sunday lunch I have calculated the percentages as:-

    Ref 25 =
    Con 21 -1
    Lab 18 =
    Grn 18 -1
    LD 11 +1

    Please correct as appropriate."

    https://vote-2012.proboards.com/thread/10136/oh-lordy-big-ashcroft-poll?page=8

    The Gold Standard.

    eek said:

    It's been 14 mins and Andy Burnham still hasn't published part II, this is why he isn't fit to be an MP and the NEC were right to block him.

    I am disappointed by today’s NEC decision and concerned about its potential impact on the important elections ahead of us.

    To whoever is Labour’s candidate and to our members in Manchester and Tameside: you will have my full support and I will be there whenever you need me.

    1/2


    https://x.com/AndyBurnhamGM/status/2015480192093831340

    Just appeared now


    Tomorrow I return with full focus to my role as Mayor of GM, defending everything we have built in our city-region over many years.

    I decided to put myself forward to prevent the divisive politics of Reform from damaging that. We are stronger together and let’s stay that way. 💪🏻
    Translation: I expect Reform to win and I will dump all the blame on Kier Starmer when it happens.
    Great 12D chess I am sure. But it just makes Burnham look like a Jenrickian tw@t.
    It is basically Burnham to blame for Starmer being a blank firing bollock
    I am not and haven't been defending Starmer all weekend. Burnham should have been allowed to stand and then hopefully crushed in Gorton and Denton.

    Burnham was humbled in September. In the last 24 hours he's humbled himself and Starmer.
    I think the word is humilated
    OK.

    Burnham was humiliated in September. In the last 24 hours he's humiliated himself and Starmer.

    Yeah that works for me.

    Why have a couple of angry PB Tories been beating up on @Mexicanbastard because he's been nasty to Andy Burnham? It doesn't make sense.
    Well, BJO is horrible to everyone, so I don't think you should take that personally. I think it comes of being a disciple of the kinder, gentler politics Corbyn espoused. In fact, given what he posted on the last thread about the reasons for Burnham being barred (which is alarming on more levels than TSE's elevator) you should probably wear it as a badge of honour.
    It's the PB Tories flying the flag for Burnham that confuses me.
    Perhaps posters are individuals who have complex views which can't be neatly pigeonholed?
    It's true, you can be a Conservative but also totally want to be helpful to the Labour Party. I'm sure that's what we're seeing here.
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,860
    Andy_JS said:

    Which Democrat do we think has the best chance of winning the next presidential election?

    I think clearly Newsom, firstly because he's clearly actually running which is the hurdle that will eliminate most of them, and secondly because he's getting some social media traction and polling well. But it's still wide open, he's not a 32% shot.

    That one I'd be watching whose odds are pretty long right now is Pritzker.
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,860
    On Minnesota this is a really information-packed and also quite inspiring interview with Will Stancil (mainly famous for arguing with dumb leftists a lot on social media) on what's happening there and what the community networks are doing.

    I don't suppose the people who want to think it's just a law enforcement operation and people who get shot had it coming will listen to it but hopefully some of the people here who have gone into full doomer mode about the prospects for defeating Trump will.

    https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/how-to-resist-ice-ft-will-stancil/id1390384827?i=1000745708253
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 85,767

    Sean_F said:

    Find Out Now have Reform on 36% across Greater Manchester, to 24% for Labour. That makes it very reasonable for the NEC to say they don’t want a Mayoral by election,

    So why didn't Burnham understand the jeopardy, or does he worry about FoN's peculiar methodology and think the figure you quote to be unlikely?
    I believe there was no legal requirement to hold a mayoral election. His deputy could just take over until the end of the term.
    That is true. Although there would be an awful lot of jeopardy to Labour if they had run the Mayoralty without Burnham until 2028.

    As an aside have you seen the ICE agent applauding after his buddies take ten kill shots at Alex Preddi? You justified the shooting of Renee Nicole Good as self defence, and fair enough. Can you justify this one as self defence?
    I said that politicians who were egging on protesters to interfere with ICE were making incidents like that inevitable. That remains true even if the actions of officers in individual incidents are wrong.

    Scott Bessent is probably the best advocate for the Trump administration at the moment:

    https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/2015450668916498625
    I haven't heard Bessant's commentary on the ICE slaying. His performance in Davos however was dangerous, disingenuous nonsense. Same goes for Lutnick.

    With regards to the assassination of Mr Preddi, Trump, Miller, Bondi, Noem and Govino have told us not to believe what we have seen with our own eyes. They are gaslighting and I believe your justification for the killings is too.
    William's position appears to be that an exercise of first amendment rights to protest makes state murder inevitable under Trump.
    And is surprised that we say the administration is becoming fascist.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 85,767
    A reminder that claims ICE are "enforcing the laws" are extremely dubious.

    Hundreds of judges reject Trump’s mandatory detention policy, with no end in sight

    https://www.politico.com/news/2026/01/05/trump-administration-immigrants-mandatory-detention-00709494
    Federal judges are increasingly exasperated by the Trump administration’s effort to lock up nearly everyone facing deportation proceedings — a draconian expansion of decades-old policies that hundreds of courts have rejected as illegal or unconstitutional.
    More than 300 federal judges, including appointees of every president since Ronald Reagan, have now rebuffed the administration’s six-month-old effort to expand its so-called “mandatory detention” policy, according to a POLITICO analysis of court dockets from across the country. Those judges have ordered immigrants’ release or the opportunity for bond hearings in more than 1,600 cases..

    ..Despite the overwhelming legal consensus, there has been no successful nationwide block on the policy. That’s partly because most of the cases are filed on an emergency basis by individuals in the hours after they’re arrested — with little time to assemble large groups that could mount a broad challenge.
    In recent weeks, the judges’ conclusions have become increasingly urgent, describing shocking mistreatment and inhumanity as thousands of people — the majority not charged with any crime — are abruptly ripped from family members and locked up in squalid detention centers, even if they have lived in the country for decades. Many have been arrested while attending required immigration court proceedings or check-ins with Immigration and Customs Enforcement that they had attended for decades.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 85,767
    edited 4:02AM
    BASH: You said he wanted to 'massacre law enforcement.' What evidence do you have that he wanted to 'massacre law enforcemeant'? It doesn't like like that

    BOVINO: I believe the fantastic training that our law enforcement partners have prevented any specific, ahhh, shootings of law enforcement. So good job by our law enforcement in taking him down before he was able to do that

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/2015427978931359875

    The guy in charge of ICE says the well trained agents did exactly what they were supposed to do.
    "Good job".

    Just "enforcing the laws".
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 59,538
    Time Magazine: Iranian death toll could be 30,000, according to health workers.

    https://time.com/7357635/more-than-30000-killed-in-iran-say-senior-officials/
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 36,803
    ...
    Andy_JS said:

    Which Democrat do we think has the best chance of winning the next presidential election?

    The Dems cannot win. See the Gary Kasparov statement you posted.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 54,088

    Andy_JS said:

    Sean_F said:

    Find Out Now have Reform on 36% across Greater Manchester, to 24% for Labour. That makes it very reasonable for the NEC to say they don’t want a Mayoral by election,

    Would the election be fought on FPTP or with preferences?
    FPTP. The law has not been changed yet to go to PR.
    Hardly PR. Tsk.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 77,284
    Cookie said:

    Can we lay off the pile on on Sandpit please?
    1) He's been on the site for fucking ages; I find it vanishingly unlikely he's being paid to make pro-Trump noises.
    2) I've rarely heard him make pro-Trump noises. Not thinking Trump = Hitler does not equal pro-Trump.
    3) As it happens, I do think Trump roughly equals Hitler. But I am very interested in the views of a seemingly intelligent poster who does not hold that view. Why wouldn't you be?

    It's ridiculous to fall into the trap of 'poster x does not hate politician y as much as I do - therefore poster x loves politician y.' We saw this with Boris too.

    That isn’t the issue here. The issue is that he’s quoting as fact social media reports supporting Trump’s agenda that are entirely made up, and refusing to recant even when it’s demonstrated to him that they are forgeries.

    That is being pushed back on, and it should be.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 63,433
    Good morning, everyone.

    F1: the secret, private, behind-closed-doors-with-definitely-no-leaks first test begins today. Except for Williams, whose car isn't ready...
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 17,635
    Nigelb said:

    BASH: You said he wanted to 'massacre law enforcement.' What evidence do you have that he wanted to 'massacre law enforcemeant'? It doesn't like like that

    BOVINO: I believe the fantastic training that our law enforcement partners have prevented any specific, ahhh, shootings of law enforcement. So good job by our law enforcement in taking him down before he was able to do that

    https://x.com/atrupar/status/2015427978931359875

    The guy in charge of ICE says the well trained agents did exactly what they were supposed to do.
    "Good job".

    Just "enforcing the laws".

    I'm sorry but this is what fascism looks like and anyone who says otherwise is being wilfully blind.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 33,811
    RobD said:

    isam said:

    Irn-Bru and a Tunnocks, nice one McStarmer

    The people who run his social media are absolutely shit.

    They have also been trying to get social media influencer to join him on trips to give him good PR and a couple of videos I have seen basically the influencer say the team aren't very good. One guy they invited on India trip and it was just weird.
    It’s cringe, he surely has a pic of himself in Scotland?
    It's an attempt at an irreverent in-joke that in Starmer's hands becomes an insult. Does he think that's a Burns Supper? Is that the sum of his knowledge of Scottish cuisine? Is it a comment about lifestyles? Did his team try to find someone to deep-fry a mars bar and this was the next best thing?
  • eekeek Posts: 32,359
    Andy_JS said:

    "Thousands protest against new asylum seeker centre in Crowborough

    Three people were arrested this weekend as the Home Office moved the first 27 migrants into the former army camp, which could house up to 540" (£)

    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/thousands-protest-new-asylum-seeker-camp-crowborough-arrests-7sgw60zh5

    Jenrick's quick fix keeps on giving to Reform..
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 33,811
    RobD said:

    isam said:

    Irn-Bru and a Tunnocks, nice one McStarmer

    The people who run his social media are absolutely shit.

    They have also been trying to get social media influencer to join him on trips to give him good PR and a couple of videos I have seen basically the influencer say the team aren't very good. One guy they invited on India trip and it was just weird.
    It’s cringe, he surely has a pic of himself in Scotland?
    It's an attempt at an irreverent in-joke that in Starmer's hands becomes an insult. Does he think that's a Burns Supper? Is that the sum of his knowledge of Scottish cuisine? Is it a comment about lifestyles? Did his team try to find someone to deep-fry a mars bar and this was the next best thing?
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,224

    Andy_JS said:

    Which Democrat do we think has the best chance of winning the next presidential election?

    I think clearly Newsom, firstly because he's clearly actually running which is the hurdle that will eliminate most of them, and secondly because he's getting some social media traction and polling well. But it's still wide open, he's not a 32% shot.

    That one I'd be watching whose odds are pretty long right now is Pritzker.
    AOC is on a journey from firebrand lefty to more considered and measured centrist, in Democrat terms.

    She may not get the nomination but she has a role to play.
  • TazTaz Posts: 24,224
    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Can we lay off the pile on on Sandpit please?
    1) He's been on the site for fucking ages; I find it vanishingly unlikely he's being paid to make pro-Trump noises.
    2) I've rarely heard him make pro-Trump noises. Not thinking Trump = Hitler does not equal pro-Trump.
    3) As it happens, I do think Trump roughly equals Hitler. But I am very interested in the views of a seemingly intelligent poster who does not hold that view. Why wouldn't you be?

    It's ridiculous to fall into the trap of 'poster x does not hate politician y as much as I do - therefore poster x loves politician y.' We saw this with Boris too.

    It seems fair to defend Trump [and the administration] on some levels - many things are arguable. TDS is still a thing.

    But justifying the shooting of someone in the street who is protesting peacefully would seem a different matter.
    Sure, but the abuse of Sandpit personally has gone OTT IMO.
    Absolutely it has. It’s deeply unpleasant. It’s not just about challenging someone’s views it goes much further than that.

    But then he was hounded from the site before for failing @JosiasJessop purity test on Ukraine even though he has a personal stake in it.

    I couldn’t be bothered with PB last night when I stopped by. Not that this will bother anyone 😃. It was all rather unpleasant and crossed the line into bullying. I think PB would be happy to have a core group of posters repeating their shared viewpoints to each other while boarding the outrage bus.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 33,811

    nico67 said:

    Cookie said:

    Can we lay off the pile on on Sandpit please?
    1) He's been on the site for fucking ages; I find it vanishingly unlikely he's being paid to make pro-Trump noises.
    2) I've rarely heard him make pro-Trump noises. Not thinking Trump = Hitler does not equal pro-Trump.
    3) As it happens, I do think Trump roughly equals Hitler. But I am very interested in the views of a seemingly intelligent poster who does not hold that view. Why wouldn't you be?

    It's ridiculous to fall into the trap of 'poster x does not hate politician y as much as I do - therefore poster x loves politician y.' We saw this with Boris too.

    It seems fair to defend Trump [and the administration] on some levels - many things are arguable. TDS is still a thing.

    But justifying the shooting of someone in the street who is protesting peacefully would seem a different matter.
    The phrase TDS is often trotted out by trump apologists who don't want to see the whole picture.
    I certainly wouldn't apologise for him but what I would take it to mean is not taking each specific action on its own merits.

    He might accidentally do something right. Increasingly long odds on that, perhaps.


    DS applies to all politicians, including Starmer, who also manages to blunder into doing the right thing sometimes, having announced the wrong thing first.
    We were assured he was going to invade Greenland a couple of days ago. That he was a deranged dementia patient who had lost the capacity to reason, and therefore he'd as happily soak Greenland in European blood as eat his morning cornflakes.

    Except it has now all been wrapped up diplomatically, he seems to have got everything he asked for, and he now says force was never on the agenda. Yet no embarrassed climb down from our resident Trump experts, just on to the next civilisation-ending outrage and hope nobody will notice.
    No one thought he’d actually invade Greenland. And he didn’t get what he wanted . I see you omitted his trashing of NATO troops who died supporting the USA . He’s now given immunity to ICE to execute anyone they see fit and you’re still trying to sanewash his actions . He might not be mad but he is true evil .
    Lucky is just telling us who he is.
    Bore off.

    This is not a moral defence of Trump, it is simply a statement of fact that he and his team have a foreign policy agenda - not one we may agree with, but an agenda nonetheless. At present we don't discuss this because it is a PB article of faith that he and his team are mad, drunk, senile, Nazis, or a combination of all of the above, so there can be no logical pattern behind their actions. To suggest otherwise is to imperil PB morale - hence if I do it I am 'telling us who he is'.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,336
    edited 7:32AM
    Is it true that the seat Burnham aspired to is now an All Asian shortlist. I've just read that it is so.
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