Ed Davey is the choice of the voters to be PM after the next election – politicalbetting.com
Ed Davey is the choice of the voters to be PM after the next election – politicalbetting.com
Which potential coalitions have the most support from Britons?LD + Lab, Davey PM: 36% supportLab + Grn, Starmer PM: 33%Lab + LD, Starmer PM: 31%Grn + Lab, Polanski PM: 30%Ref + Con, Farage PM: 29%LD + Con, Davey PM: 26%Con + Ref, Badenoch PM: 25%yougov.co.uk/politics/art…
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Edit: Just like Farage!
Good morning, everybody.
And if we had a presidential system he would've led the government.
But we don't. And he didn't.
These things tend to happen on Fridays.
This is going to impact GDP isn't it.
Hard to see who can do much about that. Saying "politicians should be better" is just passing the buck.
Current time in Teheran is 11:30.
#IslamicScholar
As soon as he took a position support would plummet.
All PMs have to take tough choices on public money, foreign policy, social policy and immigration- and I could see the LDs rapidly falling foul of all of those.
If the LibDems could put a stop to Labour's 'build houses everywhere' policy, then I'd be happy to have them on board.
I've been to a Catholic wedding once or twice, where the parents/grandparents were very religious but the bride and groom weren't.
Absolute high point was her grandmother telling her she was in for a special night under the assumption her granddaughter was a virgin. I exercised huge amounts of self control to not burst out laughing.
I've enjoyed Jewish weddings too, have another one soon.
In the past when this happens the regime starts to get violent.
This is what leads to the higher polling; it survives only as long as they're not in the spotlight.
If he was PM geopolitical reality would mean he'd need to act much more differently than a tertiary opposition politician.
Look at Lammy.
Yes, I know I'm going to hell.
https://x.com/catherinemmunro/status/1997940687900225954
But aside from Sheffield, our big cities are not very snowy.
Moving on, I asked where to live if I wanted to maximise snow but be within reach of a big city - the Peak District comes out top, followed by the Tyne Valley, the Calder Valley and Stirling.
I'm slightly surprised the south east doesn't feature at all, given the fuss made on the news when it snows in Kent or somewhere.
I thought this type of supposition polling has very low credibility
Of course, Ed comes over as a "decent bloke" but that's a long way from being Prime Minister and indeed you could argue someone with a tough, mean streak is probably better equipped but given the ragtag and bobtail of Conservatives we had for a decade and a half, that's probably a slightly unfair call.
As to which way the Liberal Democrats (and the Conservatives) will "jump" after the next election, who knows and to be honest at this stage who cares? Kemi Badenoch will find, I suspect, equidistance will serve her well in the short to medium term but does she really want her party to be seen as the enabler for a Reform Government any more than the LDs wanting to be seen as an enabler for a second term Labour administration?
Three years off an election (in all probability), such questions don't need to and indeed can't easily be answered.
Seriously though, I think that was very true in 2010 and before. Less so now, partly because there's no way LDs would prop up a Bandenoch Con government. They'd be a socially more liberal and maybe slightly more fiscally dry partner to Labour.
https://x.com/stephaniemain2/status/2009292083572400162
Can't have cost a lot and is very sensible, both for other users and for the person on the call.
https://x.com/keir_starmer/status/2009174530779172891
Seriously, who’s running No.10 comms?
This is an incredible serious foreign story that has huge implications for the Middle East if the brutal Regime in Iran is finally on the cusp of falling, but only last night did we see some of our news channels finally start reporting on it briefly!
https://x.com/markhiggie1/status/2008571388425273491?s=61
Maybe it would land better for someone else but you can’t help reading it in Starmer’s tone of voice and then.. god.
Why do the comms team persist in highlighting Starmer’s very worst presentational traits? It’s bizarre.
Off to Playa Bianca tomorrow.
I'm not quite sure what it is you want - absent on-the-ground coverage, yes, all you have today is social media but we also know a lot of social media is about misinformation or disinformation. I've read this morning that apparently all the crowds want the Shah back - really? I find that hard to believe - I appreciate there's no love for the theocracy but the Pavlavi regime wasn't exactly a byword for freedom for those politically opposed though I appreciate women did a lot better in terms of freedom.
Is it for the BBC (unlike some news organisations who seem to have no problem if such views reflect their politics) to report misinformation simply for something to report or should it wait until such information can be properly verified before its dissemination?
Which makes him far more reliable on foreign policy than Starmer, Badenoch, or the mini-MAGA Farage.
The local to us we like to walk to in the summer and have a bite and drink is totally fucked. 400% increase in rateable value. The flat roof pub on the estate next to ours is okay !
https://www.ismypubfucked.com/
https://x.com/luketryl/status/2009232428037230916?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
My Twitter feed was full of pics of her for a while. Nice.
The storm is big news and should take prominence. Iran does deserve more coverage.
GMB News just covered Iran and did so quite fairly, they did ‘both sides’ it but that’s a change from some coverage, like the Guardian, who seem to be pro Mullah.
The possibilities for this are interesting. Who gains?
In 100 possible LD seats, the LDs score. In Scotland and Wales the nats score. In Green territory the Greens. In a handful of special cases some version of Jezbollah scores. In Clacton etc Reform are unstoppable; in Bootle etc Labour are unstoppable.
Everywhere else? Tories score. By then it is 5 years since the wipeout. Memories fade. IMO This is Kemi's strategy.
Take Cumbria (except Farron's seat) as a tiny and simple model. In 2019 all five were Tory. In 2024 all five are Labour. Now, all projected to go Reform. The 'anyone but Labour' + 'most are anti-Reform' = Tory resurgence.
This is not a prediction, but it is one of the plausible models for the next three years.
Their reports last night and this morning said pretty well what she just said. Plus interviews with those with knowledge of the country.
Since no one has reporters in the country, it's hard to see what detail they can add until events develop further.
" “Russia is losing,” write William Dixon and Maksym Beznosiuk in a commentary for the Royal United Services Institute. "
" “The Russian railways are a microcosm of a much broader economic contraction and incipient collapse. They are massively in debt and are being hammered by a shrinking industrial base that looks increasingly like the prelude to a major depression,” said Jeff Hawn, from the London School of Economics. "
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2026/01/09/trump-narcotic-charades-obscure-simple-way-to-break-putin/
This was a mother doing something completely ordinary: Dropping somebody off, then trying to leave. She goes to pull out, stops for one car to pass, then waves the agents to drive past. Within seconds, those ICE agents exit their vehicle and rush her, shouting and escalating the situation. Panicked, she tries to drive away and gets shot in the face three times.
She posed no threat, showed no intent to harm, and was interfering with no one. She was a civilian going about her life. The official statements that followed contradict the footage and read like an attempt to rewrite what happened.
This was a reckless, unjustified killing, followed by a dishonest effort to evade responsibility. It’s horrifying, and it exposes something deeply wrong with the US government and these ICE agents. They must be held accountable.
https://x.com/GinoTheGhost/status/2009525021665034702
Rateable value is going up by +250%, I guess because it's picked up the rent that the brewery charges when they are squeezing the pips. System is broken.
His family are in the North. They’ve not been protesting but are planning too. The feeling is ‘fuck it, if not now when’. He’s also very pro Trump and Israel which surprised me,
If the Mullahs fall I’ve been promised a free cut as only a few of his customers bother to ask. I wouldn’t take it as it’s his livelihood and pays his bills but I would have a large JD.
1) Renee was not an activist
2) She was in the vicinity because she had just dropped off her 6 year-old off at school
3) She was a devoted Christian and stay-at-home mom
https://x.com/JoshEakle/status/2009297500453171440
Note this makes no difference to the absolute lack of justification for the shooting.
But it makes clear that the administration engaged in lies and character assassination yesterday, along with their lies about the event itself.
Gaza is a tiny strip of land; there are plenty of journalists on its borders; the extent of the destruction wreaked by the IDF is easily verifiable by satellite photograph; the conflict has been ongoing for a very long time.
You're comparing that with the coverage of the events of a few days.
If you're going to demand journalists do better, then apply the same standards to your own thinking.
The next election is shaping up to be one giant unpopularity contest.
If he's right, surely Starmer will win handsomely?
More realistically though with the LDs set to hold their 70 odd seats the most favoured option ends up a Labour and LD government in a hung parliament. Kemi will be a bit disappointed Farage is preferred to her in any Reform and Conservative government but voters also prefer her to be PM in a coalition with Labour or the LDs than Farage PM in a Reform and Labour government.
LD and Green voters would also prefer to govern now even with the Tories than Reform, even if they would still prefer to govern with Labour than the Tories. Labour voters would ideally prefer to govern with the LDs in a hung parliament but would also on a forced choice prefer to govern with even the Tories now than with Reform.
Interestingly too slightly more current Conservative voters would prefer to govern with the LDs now if that was the only way to keep Labour from power in a hung parliament than with Reform
Kissing Jesus' feet on the cross always struck me as a bit unhygienic, despite an alter boy giving it a quick wipe down between each pair of lips.
https://x.com/repluna/status/2009460496668426449
If Starmer is successful in banning @X in Britain, I will move forward with legislation that is currently being drafted to sanction not only Starmer, but Britain as a whole. This would mirror actions previously taken by the United States in response to foreign governments restricting the platform, including the dispute with Brazil in 2024–2025, which resulted in tariffs, visa revocations, and sanctions and consequences tied to free speech concerns against Brazilian officials over concerns related to censorship and free-speech violations.
Starmer should reconsider this course of action, or there will be consequences