People are talking about the Traitors TV show. I haven't watched it. What is the nature of the kerfuffle?
It's an entertaining series based on the difficulty in deciding who is bluffing/double-bluffing whom. Because it's TV, they successfully got lots of people engaged and rooting for one or another of the teams.
That I understand, but there was an uptick in people being upset by it tonight. I'll google, see what happened.
Rachel Reeves plans to raise income tax in upcoming budget
The chancellor’s submission to Office for Budget Responsibility strongly indicates she will be reversing a key manifesto pledge this month
Rachel Reeves has told the budget watchdog that she plans to increase income tax as she seeks to repair the public finances.
The chancellor has informed the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) that a rise in personal taxation is one of the “major measures” on tax and spending that she is preparing to announce later this month.
The forecaster will assess the impact of the measures, which also include Reeves’s plans to increase economic growth, before informing the Treasury of its assessment on Monday. It is the penultimate round of forecasts before the budget on November 26.
This is in line with my thinking. In isolation it will raise around £12bn. In addition 47 or 48% for the additional rate which will raise less than £1bn but will be done to send a political message about 'fairness' and 'making those with the broadest shoulders pay more'.
It's going to be utterly grim for additional rate taxpayers, we're going to get squeezed like a fiscal Singapore grip.
Andrew Lilico @andrew_lilico · 5h Has there ever been an opinion poll, since polling began, that would have entailed Labour getting fewer than 25 seats?
The polls are absurd at the moment, it is surely not worth extrapolating anything from them. To have a party with 5 MPs predicted to get over 400 seats is so fantastic that it must break any model used to deduce the parliamentary arithmetic
How could you bet on it? 3/1 Reform Maj 10/11 most seats will look like the ones that got away if they do it, or the muggiest get ever if they crash and burn.
If Reform were to win the next election (a big “if”) it’ll be as a minority propped up by the rump of the Tories or a 330-340 seat sort of victory, IMHO.
I don’t have the same confidence that tactical voting will be the complete spoiler that some think on here, but I think it’s clear it’ll have some impact, and it will definitely prevent a complete wipeout for Lab/LD
There is a possibility that the period before the next election will be like 1994-1997 and Farage will consolidate a Blair-level domination of mainstream politics.
I think he’s far too marmite to win big in a first election. If he were to actually get to Downing Street in the first place, things start to become interesting, but it must remain more likely than not that he’d struggle to hold together a coherent and stable government given his record.
I think the broader point about all this is the growing antisemitism that we are seeing in this country over recent years. That Jewish communities thrived in Britain during the twentieth century while they were subject to pogroms and worse elsewhere is something we should justly be proud of. And now, that tradition is now in serious jeopardy and far too many of our citizens are blind to it (wilfully in some cases).
I'm Jewish by the formal; definition (maternal line), and I'm proud of the extent to which countries helped in the face of the Nazi atrocities, especially Denmark and Sweden, but also Britain for the resasons you say.That doesn't extend to supporting Netanyahu and his disgusting regime. I don't see why Jewish people should be expected to think differently or, conversely, why they should be blamed for it if they didn't vote for him.
Eight months ago, Rep. Sylvester Turner D-TX died. His seat in the U.S. House is still vacant. On Tuesday, two Dems advanced to a runoff for that seat. When is the runoff?? We don't know.
Congressional terms are only 24 months. That's absurd.
Although in Ireland it is accepted as normal that the government will delay Dail by-elections as long as possible if it gives them an advantage. They're expected to delay the by-election to elect the replacement TD for the new President for the full six months allowed by law.
A lot of ill-informed hyperventilating on PB a few weeks ago.
I reckon there is a fair bit of anti-semitism in Birmingham though. More than a sliver. And if it hadn't been a place with so many muslims living there, the away fans would have been allowed
From that police statement it looks like they were worried about the Maccabi fans targeting Brummies.
The police are talking shite.
Jews were being threatened by anti-Semites, and the response by the police was to tell the Jews not to come.
I think the problem is that you can only see Jewish people as Jews regardless of any other attributes,
You are unable to see Israeli football hooligans as anything but Jews therefore preventing them attacking Britain is antisemitic
Thankfully most people in this country aren’t racist so do can understand the difference.
So why aren't fans of other teams banned?
Anx why was the ban implemented following threats from local anti-Semiites?
Well, normally when trouble is expected then fans (with tickets) are bussed in from afar.
That happens here in LA when the Galaxy plays LAFC. I've seen it with Arsenal v Chelsea (including shit being thrown at the Chelsea supporters buses by... enthusiastic... Arsenal fans).
Andrew Lilico @andrew_lilico · 5h Has there ever been an opinion poll, since polling began, that would have entailed Labour getting fewer than 25 seats?
The polls are absurd at the moment, it is surely not worth extrapolating anything from them. To have a party with 5 MPs predicted to get over 400 seats is so fantastic that it must break any model used to deduce the parliamentary arithmetic
How could you bet on it? 3/1 Reform Maj 10/11 most seats will look like the ones that got away if they do it, or the muggiest get ever if they crash and burn.
If Reform were to win the next election (a big “if”) it’ll be as a minority propped up by the rump of the Tories or a 330-340 seat sort of victory, IMHO.
I don’t have the same confidence that tactical voting will be the complete spoiler that some think on here, but I think it’s clear it’ll have some impact, and it will definitely prevent a complete wipeout for Lab/LD
There is a possibility that the period before the next election will be like 1994-1997 and Farage will consolidate a Blair-level domination of mainstream politics.
I think he’s far too marmite to win big in a first election. If he were to actually get to Downing Street in the first place, things start to become interesting, but it must remain more likely than not that he’d struggle to hold together a coherent and stable government given his record.
At the moment he seems very serious about not only winning but governing and that will create its own momentum. He could end up being the best-prepared first term PM since Thatcher.
Andrew Lilico @andrew_lilico · 5h Has there ever been an opinion poll, since polling began, that would have entailed Labour getting fewer than 25 seats?
The polls are absurd at the moment, it is surely not worth extrapolating anything from them. To have a party with 5 MPs predicted to get over 400 seats is so fantastic that it must break any model used to deduce the parliamentary arithmetic
How could you bet on it? 3/1 Reform Maj 10/11 most seats will look like the ones that got away if they do it, or the muggiest get ever if they crash and burn.
The 3/1 on Reform majority looks to be good value. In a world where the electorate is so fractured, then getting 30+% can result in a massive victory.
People are talking about the Traitors TV show. I haven't watched it. What is the nature of the kerfuffle?
It's the first TV programme in roughly 20 years that I've found very interesting to watch. (The previous one was probably the crime drama Waking The Dead on BBC starring Trevor Eve and Sue Johnston which started in 2001 IIRC). What's fascinating about it is the way people desperately search for evidence of whether someone is a traitor or not based on almost nothing. Doesn't sound particularly compelling written down but for some reason it is.
He's right. If the Republicans lose in 2028 an awful lot of people are going to jail, from Trump's inner circle to ICE agents. Bannon is evil, but not stupid. He understands how high the sakes are.
Which is why they will do everything to ensure there is no free and fair election in 2028.
He's right. If the Republicans lose in 2028 an awful lot of people are going to jail, from Trump's inner circle to ICE agents. Bannon is evil, but not stupid. He understands how high the sakes are.
Which is why they will do everything to ensure there is no free and fair election in 2028.
It is at the state level that elections are run though and after the midterms on current trends most states may be run by Democrats
Was it supposed to stop and knock on all the neighbouring doors asking whose cat it was?
Google has a YouTube channel that contains 24 hour rolling* footage of all the cats Waymo has run down. So, if you're missing a cat, and Waymo operates in your area, just go to catkilla.youtube.com
A lot of ill-informed hyperventilating on PB a few weeks ago.
I reckon there is a fair bit of anti-semitism in Birmingham though. More than a sliver. And if it hadn't been a place with so many muslims living there, the away fans would have been allowed
From that police statement it looks like they were worried about the Maccabi fans targeting Brummies.
The police are talking shite.
Jews were being threatened by anti-Semites, and the response by the police was to tell the Jews not to come.
I think the problem is that you can only see Jewish people as Jews regardless of any other attributes,
You are unable to see Israeli football hooligans as anything but Jews therefore preventing them attacking Britain is antisemitic
Thankfully most people in this country aren’t racist so do can understand the difference.
So why aren't fans of other teams banned?
Anx why was the ban implemented following threats from local anti-Semiites?
Well, normally when trouble is expected then fans (with tickets) are bussed in from afar.
That happens here in LA when the Galaxy plays LAFC. I've seen it with Arsenal v Chelsea (including shit being thrown at the Chelsea supporters buses by... enthusiastic... Arsenal fans).
It should have happened here.
So you’re saying that they’ve been playing professional “soccer” for about five minutes in the US, and already have problems with badly behaved fans?
Good morning. Interesting take on Trump, MAGA and the GOP which may be a precursor to how people will view Reform in the future.
“The GOP cannot sustain itself indefinitely as a movement defined by isolationism abroad and populism at home,” Flake wrote. “Those instincts may thrill a rally crowd, but they’re corrosive to governing. Eventually, voters tire of performative anger and want competence.”
I recall meeting my future MP (a seasoned Tory) who asked if I'd be voting for him. I suggested that at the time I wouldn't but I might if his party could show some competence - basically what anyone wants. Why pay for fools whose answer to everything is to cosplay Victor Meldrew?
Comments
DYOR
@RpsAgainstTrump
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59m
Steve Bannon: If we lose the midterms and we lose 2028, some in this room are going to prison, myself included.
https://x.com/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1986561872674627808
Although in Ireland it is accepted as normal that the government will delay Dail by-elections as long as possible if it gives them an advantage. They're expected to delay the by-election to elect the replacement TD for the new President for the full six months allowed by law.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/oct/29/steve-bannon-released-from-prison-early-a-week-before-us-election
That happens here in LA when the Galaxy plays LAFC. I've seen it with Arsenal v Chelsea (including shit being thrown at the Chelsea supporters buses by... enthusiastic... Arsenal fans).
It should have happened here.
Which is why they will do everything to ensure there is no free and fair election in 2028.
Waymo car mowed down KitKat, a brown tabby beloved by the locals in San Francisco, and left the scene without stopping" (£)
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/us/news/2025/11/06/cat-killed-driverless-taxi-neighbourhoor-anger
I think we're all well aware it isn't Nigel's money, comrade.
RefUK gain from Con
RefUK 551
LD 453
Con 416
Green 102
Lab 54
Ref 34.96% [new]
LD 28.74% [+2.12]
Con 26.40% [-5.98]
Grn 6.47% [-6.16]
Lab 3.43% [-11.57]
Ind previously -> 13.37%
* Pun intended
https://x.com/rockstargames/status/1986540361011880167
Well that saves me getting the PS5 Pro for Christmas to beat the rush.
Quis custodiet ipsos custodes..
Embarrassingly woke doesn't begin to cover it. Day one of the next govt, shut it down and stat redundancy for everyone there
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2025/nov/06/sky-owner-comcast-in-talks-to-buy-itvs-broadcasting-arm-for-2bn
More British assets to be sold abroad.
I recall meeting my future MP (a seasoned Tory) who asked if I'd be voting for him. I suggested that at the time I wouldn't but I might if his party could show some competence - basically what anyone wants. Why pay for fools whose answer to everything is to cosplay Victor Meldrew?
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/5594031-gop-dissent-growing-trump/