Rupert's deportation petition heatmap is a useful guide to voting patterns in the next election. Discuss
Before I clicked on it, I thought it was going to be a heatmap on how popular deporting Rupert Lowe was....
Lol. It is quite interesting though. Whilst Lowe is ex Reform i think it shows where they are going to pile up votes and where Lab or Tories might hang on - for the latter interesting that Harrogate (corrected) and Wetherby look less hard-core anti immigration as an example, or Derby Dales which might remain a LabCon marginal.
Its not a prediction of course but its the sort of supplemental data that would help more with constituency betting (nearer the time) than Baxter.
Harrogate is LD, I misread that bit of it but point remains
The map looks reasonably reassuring for Lib Dem holds and potential targets.
The other bizarre (but not new) thing is the hottest areas of the heat map are generally those with fewest foreign born residents.
That isn't bizarre. That's been a consistent finding.
Random observation - my wife never really watched old Top Gear so we've been going through it on iPlayer for the last couple of weeks in the evenings. Firstly, it's genuinely great entertainment, even for non-car enthusiasts.
Secondly, I think Top Gear coming off the air and moving to a less watched streaming programme has contributed to the political fracturing of the nation. Top Gear used to be watched by basically everyone in the country and it was a constant of three middle aged blokes telling the emperor he had no clothes on and it meant the rest of the country didn't feel completely insane for having common sense.
I don't think there's been a show like it since then that has captured the cultural zeitgeist and is watched by basically the whole country that just tells it like it is and isn't afraid of being "cancelled".
There's a sanity check that's been missing.
I agree. I don't even drive and I loved Top Gear!
The whole communal experience of culture has largely disappeared. Sport remains as the only unifier these days; I suspect that is partly why the flag is having a resurgence.
Top Gear would have dwindled away even with Clarkson punching someone. We have so much more choice of what to watch and what to do now. 30 years ago, almost everyone household's telly was on in he evening and the only question was which of four channels it was tuned to. Now it's unusual to get a programme that 10% of the population watch. The UK isn't unusual in this respect.
My favourite telly stat: in 1985, 18.5 million people - almost one third of the UK population at the time - stayed up until after midnight to watch Dennis Taylor beat Steve Davis in the final of the World Snooker Championship. The past was culturally quite a different place.
Its quite hard to really remember what it was like when there were only three channels. And yet that was what we had when I was growing up. The excitement of getting the Radio/TV times for christmas so you could plan your viewing.
Rupert's deportation petition heatmap is a useful guide to voting patterns in the next election. Discuss
Before I clicked on it, I thought it was going to be a heatmap on how popular deporting Rupert Lowe was....
Lol. It is quite interesting though. Whilst Lowe is ex Reform i think it shows where they are going to pile up votes and where Lab or Tories might hang on - for the latter interesting that Harrogate (corrected) and Wetherby look less hard-core anti immigration as an example, or Derby Dales which might remain a LabCon marginal.
Its not a prediction of course but its the sort of supplemental data that would help more with constituency betting (nearer the time) than Baxter.
Harrogate is LD, I misread that bit of it but point remains
The map looks reasonably reassuring for Lib Dem holds and potential targets.
The other bizarre (but not new) thing is the hottest areas of the heat map are generally those with fewest foreign born residents.
The Trump press conference will be interesting, if the journos have not had their balls cut off first, or been pre-screened to be sycophants only - which is unlikely in the UK.
The questions will mainly be to Trump, trying to embarrass Starmer?
That comes at Chequers tomorrow and the media have been quite clear that it will be dominated by Mandelson Epstein Trump scenario
The US online right are really going hard on AG Pam Bondi, for her comments on “hate speech”, many commentators are calling for her resignation.
She was already under fire over Epstein, pretty much every question from the US media is going to be on that subject tomorrow.
Trump’s going to be under huge pressure to throw her under the bus, especially given his previous comments on freedom of speech in the UK.
Random observation - my wife never really watched old Top Gear so we've been going through it on iPlayer for the last couple of weeks in the evenings. Firstly, it's genuinely great entertainment, even for non-car enthusiasts.
Secondly, I think Top Gear coming off the air and moving to a less watched streaming programme has contributed to the political fracturing of the nation. Top Gear used to be watched by basically everyone in the country and it was a constant of three middle aged blokes telling the emperor he had no clothes on and it meant the rest of the country didn't feel completely insane for having common sense.
I don't think there's been a show like it since then that has captured the cultural zeitgeist and is watched by basically the whole country that just tells it like it is and isn't afraid of being "cancelled".
There's a sanity check that's been missing.
I have never watched Top Gear. Maybe I don't have much common sense! Watching a programme about cars sounds like watching a programme about ironing boards as far as I'm concerned.
It wasn't really about cars.
It was Last of the Summer Wine, with a younger trio and a larger budget.
The think I disliked about it apart from the future Reform voters 'live' audience, is the indifference Clarkson had towards anything not carbon fibre, mag alloy or costing less than 6 figures. He was also a mechanical yahoo which though it was part of his schtick was I think actually genuine.
Not sure they reviewed anything less than 7 figures in the last few series. Pointless when they only review cars that will be bought to be preserved and the rare few that are ever actually driven are likely to end up crashed.
Rupert's deportation petition heatmap is a useful guide to voting patterns in the next election. Discuss
Before I clicked on it, I thought it was going to be a heatmap on how popular deporting Rupert Lowe was....
Lol. It is quite interesting though. Whilst Lowe is ex Reform i think it shows where they are going to pile up votes and where Lab or Tories might hang on - for the latter interesting that Harrogate (corrected) and Wetherby look less hard-core anti immigration as an example, or Derby Dales which might remain a LabCon marginal.
Its not a prediction of course but its the sort of supplemental data that would help more with constituency betting (nearer the time) than Baxter.
Harrogate is LD, I misread that bit of it but point remains
The map looks reasonably reassuring for Lib Dem holds and potential targets.
The other bizarre (but not new) thing is the hottest areas of the heat map are generally those with fewest foreign born residents.
Saxon Shore for Reform.
Including the bit running west to the Solent, more or less.
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
The Trump press conference will be interesting, if the journos have not had their balls cut off first, or been pre-screened to be sycophants only - which is unlikely in the UK.
The questions will mainly be to Trump, trying to embarrass Starmer?
That comes at Chequers tomorrow and the media have been quite clear that it will be dominated by Mandelson Epstein Trump scenario
The US online right are really going hard on AG Pam Bondi, for her comments on “hate speech”, many commentators are calling for her resignation.
She was already under fire over Epstein, pretty much every question from the US media is going to be on that subject tomorrow.
Trump’s going to be under huge pressure to throw her under the bus, especially given his previous comments on freedom of speech in the UK.
Rupert's deportation petition heatmap is a useful guide to voting patterns in the next election. Discuss
Before I clicked on it, I thought it was going to be a heatmap on how popular deporting Rupert Lowe was....
Lol. It is quite interesting though. Whilst Lowe is ex Reform i think it shows where they are going to pile up votes and where Lab or Tories might hang on - for the latter interesting that Harrogate (corrected) and Wetherby look less hard-core anti immigration as an example, or Derby Dales which might remain a LabCon marginal.
Its not a prediction of course but its the sort of supplemental data that would help more with constituency betting (nearer the time) than Baxter.
Harrogate is LD, I misread that bit of it but point remains
The map looks reasonably reassuring for Lib Dem holds and potential targets.
The other bizarre (but not new) thing is the hottest areas of the heat map are generally those with fewest foreign born residents.
Saxon Shore for Reform.
Including the bit running west to the Solent, more or less.
I have to say I didn't have Kings Lynn down on my Woke Turnips bingo card (im allowed to say that as a Turnip myself)
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Rupert's deportation petition heatmap is a useful guide to voting patterns in the next election. Discuss
Before I clicked on it, I thought it was going to be a heatmap on how popular deporting Rupert Lowe was....
Lol. It is quite interesting though. Whilst Lowe is ex Reform i think it shows where they are going to pile up votes and where Lab or Tories might hang on - for the latter interesting that Harrogate (corrected) and Wetherby look less hard-core anti immigration as an example, or Derby Dales which might remain a LabCon marginal.
Its not a prediction of course but its the sort of supplemental data that would help more with constituency betting (nearer the time) than Baxter.
Harrogate is LD, I misread that bit of it but point remains
The map looks reasonably reassuring for Lib Dem holds and potential targets.
The other bizarre (but not new) thing is the hottest areas of the heat map are generally those with fewest foreign born residents.
Saxon Shore for Reform.
Including the bit running west to the Solent, more or less.
I have to say I didn't have Kings Lynn down on my Woke Turnips bingo card (im allowed to say that as a Turnip myself)
The Saxon Shore ran right up to the north rim of Norfolk ... and of course there was a chain of watchtowers further north, beyond Whitby at least.
Rupert's deportation petition heatmap is a useful guide to voting patterns in the next election. Discuss
Before I clicked on it, I thought it was going to be a heatmap on how popular deporting Rupert Lowe was....
Lol. It is quite interesting though. Whilst Lowe is ex Reform i think it shows where they are going to pile up votes and where Lab or Tories might hang on - for the latter interesting that Harrogate (corrected) and Wetherby look less hard-core anti immigration as an example, or Derby Dales which might remain a LabCon marginal.
Its not a prediction of course but its the sort of supplemental data that would help more with constituency betting (nearer the time) than Baxter.
Harrogate is LD, I misread that bit of it but point remains
The map looks reasonably reassuring for Lib Dem holds and potential targets.
The other bizarre (but not new) thing is the hottest areas of the heat map are generally those with fewest foreign born residents.
That isn't bizarre. That's been a consistent finding.
“But not new”. It’s still bizarre. It’s one of those permanent bizarrenesses of politics. Contrast with the national map of NIMBYism (percentage of planning applications turned down due to objections) which peaks in the most already built up locations.
Rupert's deportation petition heatmap is a useful guide to voting patterns in the next election. Discuss
Before I clicked on it, I thought it was going to be a heatmap on how popular deporting Rupert Lowe was....
Lol. It is quite interesting though. Whilst Lowe is ex Reform i think it shows where they are going to pile up votes and where Lab or Tories might hang on - for the latter interesting that Harrogate (corrected) and Wetherby look less hard-core anti immigration as an example, or Derby Dales which might remain a LabCon marginal.
Its not a prediction of course but its the sort of supplemental data that would help more with constituency betting (nearer the time) than Baxter.
Harrogate is LD, I misread that bit of it but point remains
The map looks reasonably reassuring for Lib Dem holds and potential targets.
The other bizarre (but not new) thing is the hottest areas of the heat map are generally those with fewest foreign born residents.
That isn't bizarre. That's been a consistent finding.
“But not new”. It’s still bizarre. It’s one of those permanent bizarrenesses of politics. Contrast with the national map of NIMBYism (percentage of planning applications turned down due to objections) which peaks in the most already built up locations.
Er, that's a map of *successful* Nimbyism. Not total Nimbyism. The former would correlate quite well with already-built-up-ness.
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Well it's certainly having an effect on current jobs. I've a friend on a decent (professional) salary who has just been given the nod his job might go (see BBC Scotland news for a hint).
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
Rupert's deportation petition heatmap is a useful guide to voting patterns in the next election. Discuss
Before I clicked on it, I thought it was going to be a heatmap on how popular deporting Rupert Lowe was....
Lol. It is quite interesting though. Whilst Lowe is ex Reform i think it shows where they are going to pile up votes and where Lab or Tories might hang on - for the latter interesting that Harrogate (corrected) and Wetherby look less hard-core anti immigration as an example, or Derby Dales which might remain a LabCon marginal.
Its not a prediction of course but its the sort of supplemental data that would help more with constituency betting (nearer the time) than Baxter.
Harrogate is LD, I misread that bit of it but point remains
The map looks reasonably reassuring for Lib Dem holds and potential targets.
The other bizarre (but not new) thing is the hottest areas of the heat map are generally those with fewest foreign born residents.
Saxon Shore for Reform.
Including the bit running west to the Solent, more or less.
I have to say I didn't have Kings Lynn down on my Woke Turnips bingo card (im allowed to say that as a Turnip myself)
The Saxon Shore ran right up to the north rim of Norfolk ... and of course there was a chain of watchtowers further north, beyond Whitby at least.
Fun fact Norfolk on its own saved Europe from the last Ice Age. The Cromer Holt Morainic ridge was where she said 'NONE SHALL PASS'
I'm not sure how this plays in to their production pause to go electric, which if it is in place and continuing may mitigate.
Jaguar Land Rover’s output could take several months to normalise, fear suppliers
JLR on Tuesday said it would extend its production halt until at least next Wednesday as it continued its investigation. In a statement, the company also cautioned that “the controlled restart of our global operations . . . will take time”. If JLR cannot produce vehicles until November, David Bailey, professor at University of Birmingham, estimated that the group would suffer a revenue hit of more than £3.5bn while it would lose about £250mn in profits, or about £72mn in revenue and £5mn in profits on a daily basis. With annual revenues of £29bn in 2024, JLR will be able to absorb the financial costs but Bailey warned the consequences would be bigger for the smaller sized companies in its supply chain. JLR declined to comment. The cyber attack comes at a crucial period for the UK carmaker when it is going through a controversial rebranding of its Jaguar brand and an expensive shift to all-electric vehicles by the end of the decade. Even before the latest incident, people briefed on the matter have said the company was facing delays with launching its new electric models. “They are clearly in chaos,” said one industry executive who works closely with JLR, while another warned that “no one actually knows” when production would resume. https://www.ft.com/content/c67be2f2-4dcf-4656-888c-8711789cd9ae#selection-2255.0-2275.165
JLR's supply chain might collapse completely. Already there have been reports of thousands of layoffs. The government needs to pull its finger out on mitigation and support (it makes one nostalgic for Covid) but also to do more to prevent these incidents in the first place. Is the NCSC (National Cyber Security Centre) fit for purpose?
Who is it the government’s responsibility? JLE has plenty of money. They need their supply chain operational otherwise they are out of business.
JLR needs a supply chain. HMG might prefer that supply chain be largely UK-based.
Yes but car parts are not off the shelf. They are individually designed. That’s why when Chrysler nearly went to the wall a lot of Iaocca’s time was spent supporting the supply chain.
Poor Donald. He's flown all this way to not meet someone he has never heard of.
Not ofter I refer to Starmer positively, but at a recent PMQs when Davey was sounding off about Trump he did say that if you were to come to the banquet you can speak to him yourself !!!!
Rupert's deportation petition heatmap is a useful guide to voting patterns in the next election. Discuss
Before I clicked on it, I thought it was going to be a heatmap on how popular deporting Rupert Lowe was....
Lol. It is quite interesting though. Whilst Lowe is ex Reform i think it shows where they are going to pile up votes and where Lab or Tories might hang on - for the latter interesting that Harrogate (corrected) and Wetherby look less hard-core anti immigration as an example, or Derby Dales which might remain a LabCon marginal.
Its not a prediction of course but its the sort of supplemental data that would help more with constituency betting (nearer the time) than Baxter.
Harrogate is LD, I misread that bit of it but point remains
The map looks reasonably reassuring for Lib Dem holds and potential targets.
The other bizarre (but not new) thing is the hottest areas of the heat map are generally those with fewest foreign born residents.
Saxon Shore for Reform.
Including the bit running west to the Solent, more or less.
I have to say I didn't have Kings Lynn down on my Woke Turnips bingo card (im allowed to say that as a Turnip myself)
The Saxon Shore ran right up to the north rim of Norfolk ... and of course there was a chain of watchtowers further north, beyond Whitby at least.
Fun fact Norfolk on its own saved Europe from the last Ice Age. The Cromer Holt Morainic ridge was where she said 'NONE SHALL PASS'
Indeed. Been on a field trip to see the Cromer Forest Bed myself, and Burgh Castle in the turnip fields.
"Just in case bearskin helmets and marching music are not your thing, there is politics news happening today. Mason Humberstone, a councillor on Stevenage council, has defected from Labour to Reform UK. [snipped quote from Mr H so as not to copy too much of the report]
Christopher Hope from GB News says this is the first direct defection from Labour to Reform UK by an elected politician in England.
This will cheer Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader, who has been moaning that, despite being a friend and ally of Trump’s, he has not been invited to the state banquet tonight."
Rupert's deportation petition heatmap is a useful guide to voting patterns in the next election. Discuss
Before I clicked on it, I thought it was going to be a heatmap on how popular deporting Rupert Lowe was....
Lol. It is quite interesting though. Whilst Lowe is ex Reform i think it shows where they are going to pile up votes and where Lab or Tories might hang on - for the latter interesting that Harrogate (corrected) and Wetherby look less hard-core anti immigration as an example, or Derby Dales which might remain a LabCon marginal.
Its not a prediction of course but its the sort of supplemental data that would help more with constituency betting (nearer the time) than Baxter.
Harrogate is LD, I misread that bit of it but point remains
The map looks reasonably reassuring for Lib Dem holds and potential targets.
The other bizarre (but not new) thing is the hottest areas of the heat map are generally those with fewest foreign born residents.
That isn't bizarre. That's been a consistent finding.
“But not new”. It’s still bizarre. It’s one of those permanent bizarrenesses of politics. Contrast with the national map of NIMBYism (percentage of planning applications turned down due to objections) which peaks in the most already built up locations.
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Well it's certainly having an effect on current jobs. I've a friend on a decent (professional) salary who has just been given the nod his job might go (see BBC Scotland news for a hint).
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
If LLMs increase productivity, then we have the classic virtuous circle of cheaper goods and services enabling higher economic activity.
Used judiciously, in some cases they can. At current pricing.
I’m not aware of any LLM being charged for at the full cost - they are all running at a loss.
The real “is AI a bubble?” question is “how much real benefit vs the real cost”
Poor Donald. He's flown all this way to not meet someone he has never heard of.
Not ofter I refer to Starmer positively, but at a recent PMQs when Davey was sounding off about Trump he did say that if you were to come to the banquet you can speak to him yourself !!!!
It's funny how when people stand on there principles, they get flagged off. As far as I am concerned trump is not for turning whoever meets him.
Rupert's deportation petition heatmap is a useful guide to voting patterns in the next election. Discuss
Before I clicked on it, I thought it was going to be a heatmap on how popular deporting Rupert Lowe was....
Lol. It is quite interesting though. Whilst Lowe is ex Reform i think it shows where they are going to pile up votes and where Lab or Tories might hang on - for the latter interesting that Harrogate (corrected) and Wetherby look less hard-core anti immigration as an example, or Derby Dales which might remain a LabCon marginal.
Its not a prediction of course but its the sort of supplemental data that would help more with constituency betting (nearer the time) than Baxter.
Harrogate is LD, I misread that bit of it but point remains
The map looks reasonably reassuring for Lib Dem holds and potential targets.
The other bizarre (but not new) thing is the hottest areas of the heat map are generally those with fewest foreign born residents.
Saxon Shore for Reform.
Including the bit running west to the Solent, more or less.
I have to say I didn't have Kings Lynn down on my Woke Turnips bingo card (im allowed to say that as a Turnip myself)
Re Scotland, the map is slightly surprising - warmer in much of the West Central Belt, [edit] Fife industrial zone, and the Doric northeast, but no clear hotspots otherwise. Possibly a function of the slicing used for the colour mapping.
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Well it's certainly having an effect on current jobs. I've a friend on a decent (professional) salary who has just been given the nod his job might go (see BBC Scotland news for a hint).
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
If LLMs increase productivity, then we have the classic virtuous circle of cheaper goods and services enabling higher economic activity.
Used judiciously, in some cases they can. At current pricing.
I’m not aware of any LLM being charged for at the full cost - they are all running at a loss.
The real “is AI a bubble?” question is “how much real benefit vs the real cost”
Exactly. Are we looking at the future of much higher productivity, or are we looking at the next generation of food delivery companies, unsustainable business models backed by massive venture capital?
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Well it's certainly having an effect on current jobs. I've a friend on a decent (professional) salary who has just been given the nod his job might go (see BBC Scotland news for a hint).
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
Takes quick look and concludes your friend is an organiser of hogmany events...
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Microsoft creating a new AI supercomputer in Loughton, Google opening a new data centre in Waltham Cross
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Well it's certainly having an effect on current jobs. I've a friend on a decent (professional) salary who has just been given the nod his job might go (see BBC Scotland news for a hint).
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
Takes quick look and concludes your friend is an organiser of hogmany events...
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Well it's certainly having an effect on current jobs. I've a friend on a decent (professional) salary who has just been given the nod his job might go (see BBC Scotland news for a hint).
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
A friend of mine, who works for a leading law firm, has said his employer has been making redundancies because of AI. However, when he described the jobs in question (which sounded like just buggering around with PowerPoint) I was surprised you'd employ someone just to do that anyway. And wasn't there the 'Lazy Girl Jobs' phenomenon a few years ago?
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Well it's certainly having an effect on current jobs. I've a friend on a decent (professional) salary who has just been given the nod his job might go (see BBC Scotland news for a hint).
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
Takes quick look and concludes your friend is an organiser of hogmany events...
"AN advertising van displaying an image of Donald Trump and Jeffrey Epstein together has been confiscated by police, according to campaigners.
The group People vs Elon had been displaying the van in Windsor on Wednesday morning as the US president is in the UK on a state visit."
Just happened. Maybe JDVance was right about the UK and free speech?
That’s an embarrassing breach of security in Windsor, but it’s difficult to see what they’ve done to be detained for the laws it’s claimed they’ve broken.
Embarrassing the government and visiting dignitaries isn’t illegal, yet.
Edit: is this a second incident, he first being the projector in front of the castle last night?
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Well it's certainly having an effect on current jobs. I've a friend on a decent (professional) salary who has just been given the nod his job might go (see BBC Scotland news for a hint).
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
If LLMs increase productivity, then we have the classic virtuous circle of cheaper goods and services enabling higher economic activity.
Used judiciously, in some cases they can. At current pricing.
I’m not aware of any LLM being charged for at the full cost - they are all running at a loss.
The real “is AI a bubble?” question is “how much real benefit vs the real cost”
Oh I agree that it could be an Agricultural/Industrial style revolution epochal transformation, and the economy will grow as a result. But those periods also had some terrible side effects on human welfare - at the very least, we're going to have increased levels of frictional unemployment.
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Well it's certainly having an effect on current jobs. I've a friend on a decent (professional) salary who has just been given the nod his job might go (see BBC Scotland news for a hint).
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
A friend of mine, who works for a leading law firm, has said his employer has been making redundancies because of AI. However, when he described the jobs in question (which sounded like just buggering around with PowerPoint) I was surprised you'd employ someone just to do that anyway. And wasn't there the 'Lazy Girl Jobs' phenomenon a few years ago?
Isn’t the problem with law firms specifically, that the clients aren’t willing to pick up bills of hundreds per hour for lawyers to write presentations.
Or is it the other way around, law firms realising they could pay the graduate £30k/year while billing her out at £250/hour?
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Well it's certainly having an effect on current jobs. I've a friend on a decent (professional) salary who has just been given the nod his job might go (see BBC Scotland news for a hint).
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
If LLMs increase productivity, then we have the classic virtuous circle of cheaper goods and services enabling higher economic activity.
Used judiciously, in some cases they can. At current pricing.
I’m not aware of any LLM being charged for at the full cost - they are all running at a loss.
The real “is AI a bubble?” question is “how much real benefit vs the real cost”
Oh I agree that it could be an Agricultural/Industrial style revolution epochal transformation, and the economy will grow as a result. But those periods also had some terrible side effects on human welfare - at the very least, we're going to have increased levels of frictional unemployment.
Somewhat ironic that then that the major concern seems to be folk moving around.
Poor Donald. He's flown all this way to not meet someone he has never heard of.
Not ofter I refer to Starmer positively, but at a recent PMQs when Davey was sounding off about Trump he did say that if you were to come to the banquet you can speak to him yourself !!!!
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Well it's certainly having an effect on current jobs. I've a friend on a decent (professional) salary who has just been given the nod his job might go (see BBC Scotland news for a hint).
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
If LLMs increase productivity, then we have the classic virtuous circle of cheaper goods and services enabling higher economic activity.
Used judiciously, in some cases they can. At current pricing.
I’m not aware of any LLM being charged for at the full cost - they are all running at a loss.
The real “is AI a bubble?” question is “how much real benefit vs the real cost”
Most people aren't even interacting with them using the API pricing model. Try using that for "thinking" tasks and it can get real expensive real fast, as you get charged different prices per input token and per output token, and with the "thinking" approach it spews huge amounts of output tokens that are very expensive e.g. asking how many states in the US have an i in their name produced 7 separate loops around with a lot of token being generated.
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Yes, it's utter bollox isn't it.
And the marketing around it is irritating bullshit - AI built this and AI built that.
It is not AI in a philosophical sense; it is a new very clever class of software. Should be called AA (Advanced Algorithm) not AI.
Well done the Poles, keep up the pressure on those who support russia.
Well, the Chinese know what to do; tell Putin to back off and call it quits!
Exactly!
The Chinese always play the very long game, they’re going to be seriously looking at capturing half of russia after this war, in exchange for bailing them out.
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Well it's certainly having an effect on current jobs. I've a friend on a decent (professional) salary who has just been given the nod his job might go (see BBC Scotland news for a hint).
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
A friend of mine, who works for a leading law firm, has said his employer has been making redundancies because of AI. However, when he described the jobs in question (which sounded like just buggering around with PowerPoint) I was surprised you'd employ someone just to do that anyway. And wasn't there the 'Lazy Girl Jobs' phenomenon a few years ago?
Isn’t the problem with law firms specifically, that the clients aren’t willing to pick up bills of hundreds per hour for lawyers to write presentations.
Or is it the other way around, law firms realising they could pay the graduate £30k/year while billing her out at £250/hour?
As an executor I found that a solicitor's firm was wanting a non-trivial percentage of the total value of stocks and shares held by the deceased to work out the probate valuation on the day of death. That's a very simple job if one has access to the database.
I got the whole lot done by Sharedata for a very small percentage of the firm's quotation - including an insanely complex work-back to primary capital value of one shareholding through about half a dozen mergers, splits and share issues.
Meanwhile the New Statesman says the quiet part out loud.
Labour's vision: killing off the old and the sick so that it can get its hands on their property and not spend money on them. We already have the war in Europe caused by a totalitarian fascist state and the growth in vile anti-semitism so now we're getting the eugenics as well. Quite the triple lock.
As a keen follower of football you would think he would know the fastest way to lose the dressing room is to throw your own team under the bus to the media when things go wrong, and particularly when it seems very much like the managers fault for signing a disruptive player.
Lunch is polenta with butter and cheese, pork ribs, a flagon of white wine and a decent sized bottle of water. You're lucky I have already used my photograph.
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Well it's certainly having an effect on current jobs. I've a friend on a decent (professional) salary who has just been given the nod his job might go (see BBC Scotland news for a hint).
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
If LLMs increase productivity, then we have the classic virtuous circle of cheaper goods and services enabling higher economic activity.
Used judiciously, in some cases they can. At current pricing.
I’m not aware of any LLM being charged for at the full cost - they are all running at a loss.
The real “is AI a bubble?” question is “how much real benefit vs the real cost”
Oh I agree that it could be an Agricultural/Industrial style revolution epochal transformation, and the economy will grow as a result. But those periods also had some terrible side effects on human welfare - at the very least, we're going to have increased levels of frictional unemployment.
I don’t see it being that. A number of analyses have been done - many jobs find a few percent improvement from LLM, not orders of magnitude stuff.
The non-LLM stuff of joining up disparate systems and creating flows, has more potential. The amount of manual patching and fiddling that goes on in systems that should be completely automated..
Lunch is polenta with butter and cheese, pork ribs, a flagon of white wine and a decent sized bottle of water. You're lucky I have already used my photograph.
Lose the bottle of water and that sounds delicious.
Lunch is polenta with butter and cheese, pork ribs, a flagon of white wine and a decent sized bottle of water. You're lucky I have already used my photograph.
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Well it's certainly having an effect on current jobs. I've a friend on a decent (professional) salary who has just been given the nod his job might go (see BBC Scotland news for a hint).
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
If LLMs increase productivity, then we have the classic virtuous circle of cheaper goods and services enabling higher economic activity.
Used judiciously, in some cases they can. At current pricing.
I’m not aware of any LLM being charged for at the full cost - they are all running at a loss.
The real “is AI a bubble?” question is “how much real benefit vs the real cost”
Oh I agree that it could be an Agricultural/Industrial style revolution epochal transformation, and the economy will grow as a result. But those periods also had some terrible side effects on human welfare - at the very least, we're going to have increased levels of frictional unemployment.
I don’t see it being that. A number of analyses have been done - many jobs find a few percent improvement from LLM, not orders of magnitude stuff.
The non-LLM stuff of joining up disparate systems and creating flows, has more potential. The amount of manual patching and fiddling that goes on in systems that should be completely automated..
They are still so incredibly brittle. I was using them in the past week to design a load of slides for me. It certainly made a good stab at it, but then kept really wanting to place bullet point text over the title and also not realising it was over-shooting the page with bullet points that were too long. I had to spent several hours fighting with it to improve placement and in the end I just did it manually.
And ChatGPT5 is definitely a step back in easy tasks like summarise this paragraph and rewrite in x words. It does the classic under-grad trick rather than understand and paraphrase, it tries to just lop off words that breaks the meaning. And even when much more prompt engineers the result is very dry now. Funnily I checked the "personality" setting ChatGPT5 has and it wasn't even set to nerd, it was set to neutral that is supposed to more fun and engaging.
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
It's going to hugely reduce the number of available jobs, making a few people very rich and the rest of us poorer.
You get used to Donald Trump contravening the rules of common decency and he's at it again today. He's a guest in this country but seems to think nothing of interfering in our politics. There he is, stood next to the King, and what colour tie has he chosen to wear? Purple. Reform purple. He's never worn purple before but now, especially for his visit to the UK, he suddenly does. Of course it's deniable, he can claim coincidence, but anyone with half a brain knows what's going on. Unbelievable.
Lunch is polenta with butter and cheese, pork ribs, a flagon of white wine and a decent sized bottle of water. You're lucky I have already used my photograph.
Something nice for the dog as well I hope.
You didn’t think that the water was for IanB2, did you?
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
It's going to hugely reduce the number of available jobs, making a few people very rich and the rest of us poorer.
You get used to Donald Trump contravening the rules of common decency and he's at it again today. He's a guest in this country but seems to think nothing of interfering in our politics. There he is, stood next to the King, and what colour tie has he chosen to wear? Purple. Reform purple. He's never worn purple before but now, especially for his visit to the UK, he suddenly does. Of course it's deniable, he can claim coincidence, but anyone with half a brain knows what's going on. Unbelievable.
I think Reforms colour is Turquoise, maybe he’s gone full U-Kipper tie with the purple
Lunch is polenta with butter and cheese, pork ribs, a flagon of white wine and a decent sized bottle of water. You're lucky I have already used my photograph.
Something nice for the dog as well I hope.
Some turkey treats left over from Sweden, rabbit treats from France, plus just a small amount of my pork ribs
Rupert's deportation petition heatmap is a useful guide to voting patterns in the next election. Discuss
Before I clicked on it, I thought it was going to be a heatmap on how popular deporting Rupert Lowe was....
Lol. It is quite interesting though. Whilst Lowe is ex Reform i think it shows where they are going to pile up votes and where Lab or Tories might hang on - for the latter interesting that Harrogate (corrected) and Wetherby look less hard-core anti immigration as an example, or Derby Dales which might remain a LabCon marginal.
Its not a prediction of course but its the sort of supplemental data that would help more with constituency betting (nearer the time) than Baxter.
Harrogate is LD, I misread that bit of it but point remains
The map looks reasonably reassuring for Lib Dem holds and potential targets.
The other bizarre (but not new) thing is the hottest areas of the heat map are generally those with fewest foreign born residents.
Saxon Shore for Reform.
Including the bit running west to the Solent, more or less.
I have to say I didn't have Kings Lynn down on my Woke Turnips bingo card (im allowed to say that as a Turnip myself)
The Saxon Shore ran right up to the north rim of Norfolk ... and of course there was a chain of watchtowers further north, beyond Whitby at least.
Bloody Saxons, turning up in their boats then pulling the ladder up behind them.
You get used to Donald Trump contravening the rules of common decency and he's at it again today. He's a guest in this country but seems to think nothing of interfering in our politics. There he is, stood next to the King, and what colour tie has he chosen to wear? Purple. Reform purple. He's never worn purple before but now, especially for his visit to the UK, he suddenly does. Of course it's deniable, he can claim coincidence, but anyone with half a brain knows what's going on. Unbelievable.
He’s wearing Orange skin as a bit of a nod to Ed Davey and the Lib Dems.
Tie is blue and red checked, not purple so also signaling to the Tories and Labour.
You get used to Donald Trump contravening the rules of common decency and he's at it again today. He's a guest in this country but seems to think nothing of interfering in our politics. There he is, stood next to the King, and what colour tie has he chosen to wear? Purple. Reform purple. He's never worn purple before but now, especially for his visit to the UK, he suddenly does. Of course it's deniable, he can claim coincidence, but anyone with half a brain knows what's going on. Unbelievable.
I think Reforms colour is Turquoise, maybe he’s gone full U-Kipper tie with the purple
(Two sugars)
Royal purple perhaps? Maybe he's here to end ~250 years of divide and re-unite both sides of the Atlantic?
Its worth noting that the downturn in available grad jobs isn't really driven AI, its the economy stupid. The government have made it more unattractive to hire with an economy that is still stagnant and pretty much everybody knows the next budget will be bad again, meaning companies aren't rushing to hire a glut of new inexperienced people.
I’m not aware of any LLM being charged for at the full cost - they are all running at a loss.
For any of the major LLM providers, yes that's almost certainly true. The training, hardware and power costs are well beyond what subscription income can cover. NVidia's AI focused GPUs are not cheap, and many AI providers are coming up against severe limits on electric supply and are having to spend big on creative solutions to that.
At present the AI market is a bit like self-driving cars. The technology is obviously imperfect and costs too much to deploy profitably, but companies are burning investor cash hoping there's a huge pile of gold to be had when/if the tech matures and costs come down to something viable.
Its worth noting that the downturn in available grad jobs isn't really driven AI, its the economy stupid. The government have made it more unattractive to hire with an economy that is still stagnant and pretty much everybody knows the next budget will be bad again, meaning companies aren't rushing to hire a glut of new inexperienced people.
Yup. At my bank, they shut the grad intake for this year…
“This is a shocker. James Reed , CEO of the recruiter Reed, said on Times Radio the UK is in the grip of a graduate jobs crisis noting three years ago he had 188,000 graduate jobs on his books and today it was 55,000.
He encouraged middle class families to encourage their student kids to take up manual labour”
*cough* universities
*cough* doomed
There are still going to be university courses needed for those 55,000 who will do graduate jobs and the amount of manual labour needed isn't increasing much, so that is just a recipe for more unemployed and a higher benefits bill unless AI creates new jobs
Has anybody set out how AI actually creates new jobs? Unless it is in fact-checking the bullshit it spews out?
Well it's certainly having an effect on current jobs. I've a friend on a decent (professional) salary who has just been given the nod his job might go (see BBC Scotland news for a hint).
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
A friend of mine, who works for a leading law firm, has said his employer has been making redundancies because of AI. However, when he described the jobs in question (which sounded like just buggering around with PowerPoint) I was surprised you'd employ someone just to do that anyway. And wasn't there the 'Lazy Girl Jobs' phenomenon a few years ago?
Isn’t the problem with law firms specifically, that the clients aren’t willing to pick up bills of hundreds per hour for lawyers to write presentations.
Or is it the other way around, law firms realising they could pay the graduate £30k/year while billing her out at £250/hour?
As an executor I found that a solicitor's firm was wanting a non-trivial percentage of the total value of stocks and shares held by the deceased to work out the probate valuation on the day of death. That's a very simple job if one has access to the database.
I got the whole lot done by Sharedata for a very small percentage of the firm's quotation - including an insanely complex work-back to primary capital value of one shareholding through about half a dozen mergers, splits and share issues.
Lawyers offer two (sometimes three) things: 1) the knowledge of how to do things like this and 2) taking on liability for when they get things wrong. (You might have to sue them to take advantage of said liability insurance, but it is there.) Sometimes also 3) the imprint of a neutral & trusted third party on a potentially contentious transaction.
It’s that combination that you’re buying. Often at great expense admittedly, but you are getting more for your money than if you do it yourself.
Those who bemoan the Trumpian influence on the UK are to my mind missing the reality of the bigger picture. The world is full of authoritarian leaders who want to undermine and weaken the west. It doesn't begin and end with the Donald.
And yes that includes the endless cooked up accusations of genocide against Israel.
I suspect Plaid would be a disaster in government. They would likely force a whole lot more Welsh language on the education system no matter what the outcome is likely to be.
Its worth noting that the downturn in available grad jobs isn't really driven AI, its the economy stupid. The government have made it more unattractive to hire with an economy that is still stagnant and pretty much everybody knows the next budget will be bad again, meaning companies aren't rushing to hire a glut of new inexperienced people.
It’s also worth pointing out that the increased taxes on jobs are very much focussed on the lower-paid jobs.
Not the first socialist government to belatedly realise that companies will cut jobs and hirings, rather than miss their earnings numbers to the stock market.
Rachel from accounts is in real trouble with the coming budget, there’s almost no scope to increase taxes and she can’t increase borrowing without getting destroyed by gilt rates.
You get used to Donald Trump contravening the rules of common decency and he's at it again today. He's a guest in this country but seems to think nothing of interfering in our politics. There he is, stood next to the King, and what colour tie has he chosen to wear? Purple. Reform purple. He's never worn purple before but now, especially for his visit to the UK, he suddenly does. Of course it's deniable, he can claim coincidence, but anyone with half a brain knows what's going on. Unbelievable.
I think Reforms colour is Turquoise, maybe he’s gone full U-Kipper tie with the purple
(Two sugars)
Just checked and you're right. Turquoise. A lovely colour now ruined forever.
But on a brighter note it looks like I'm wrong about the whole thing as I was desperately hoping I was. His tie has no particular political significance.
You get used to Donald Trump contravening the rules of common decency and he's at it again today. He's a guest in this country but seems to think nothing of interfering in our politics. There he is, stood next to the King, and what colour tie has he chosen to wear? Purple. Reform purple. He's never worn purple before but now, especially for his visit to the UK, he suddenly does. Of course it's deniable, he can claim coincidence, but anyone with half a brain knows what's going on. Unbelievable.
He’s wearing Orange skin as a bit of a nod to Ed Davey and the Lib Dems.
Tie is blue and red checked, not purple so also signaling to the Tories and Labour.
Such a tease Don.
But blue and red mixed IS purple. That's the definition of purple. You get it by mixing red and blue. No other way.
You get used to Donald Trump contravening the rules of common decency and he's at it again today. He's a guest in this country but seems to think nothing of interfering in our politics. There he is, stood next to the King, and what colour tie has he chosen to wear? Purple. Reform purple. He's never worn purple before but now, especially for his visit to the UK, he suddenly does. Of course it's deniable, he can claim coincidence, but anyone with half a brain knows what's going on. Unbelievable.
I think Reforms colour is Turquoise, maybe he’s gone full U-Kipper tie with the purple
(Two sugars)
Yes. It is more likely that Trump mentally associates purple with royalty. Either that or he planned a betting coup against bookmakers expecting his customary choices of red or blue. If Trump had wanted to meet Reform's leader, the American embassy could have arranged it.
You get used to Donald Trump contravening the rules of common decency and he's at it again today. He's a guest in this country but seems to think nothing of interfering in our politics. There he is, stood next to the King, and what colour tie has he chosen to wear? Purple. Reform purple. He's never worn purple before but now, especially for his visit to the UK, he suddenly does. Of course it's deniable, he can claim coincidence, but anyone with half a brain knows what's going on. Unbelievable.
You don't really think he's wearing a purple tie as a way of supporting Reform?
Those who bemoan the Trumpian influence on the UK are to my mind missing the reality of the bigger picture. The world is full of authoritarian leaders who want to undermine and weaken the west. It doesn't begin and end with the Donald.
And yes that includes the endless cooked up accusations of genocide against Israel.
But those authoritarian leaders who want to undermine and weaken the West don't usually include the US president.
You get used to Donald Trump contravening the rules of common decency and he's at it again today. He's a guest in this country but seems to think nothing of interfering in our politics. There he is, stood next to the King, and what colour tie has he chosen to wear? Purple. Reform purple. He's never worn purple before but now, especially for his visit to the UK, he suddenly does. Of course it's deniable, he can claim coincidence, but anyone with half a brain knows what's going on. Unbelievable.
He’s wearing Orange skin as a bit of a nod to Ed Davey and the Lib Dems.
Tie is blue and red checked, not purple so also signaling to the Tories and Labour.
Such a tease Don.
But blue and red mixed IS purple. That's the definition of purple. You get it by mixing red and blue. No other way.
Black and white mixed is grey. Zebras are not grey.
You get used to Donald Trump contravening the rules of common decency and he's at it again today. He's a guest in this country but seems to think nothing of interfering in our politics. There he is, stood next to the King, and what colour tie has he chosen to wear? Purple. Reform purple. He's never worn purple before but now, especially for his visit to the UK, he suddenly does. Of course it's deniable, he can claim coincidence, but anyone with half a brain knows what's going on. Unbelievable.
He’s wearing Orange skin as a bit of a nod to Ed Davey and the Lib Dems.
Tie is blue and red checked, not purple so also signaling to the Tories and Labour.
Such a tease Don.
But blue and red mixed IS purple. That's the definition of purple. You get it by mixing red and blue. No other way.
I thought you got it by collecting the mucosal secretions of predatory sea snails?
I took my prescription to the Surgery this morning. A couple were talking politics whilst waiting.
There were of as one mind with me.
The theme was they're all equally awful.
Is the next election going to be almost exclusively about who you want to stop winning rather than who you actually want to win???
It does look pretty bleak right now. In theory Kruger joining Reform ought to improve them but just as Farage acts like a courtier at the White House everyone in Reform is supposed to bow at the court of Nigel. Hard to see him changing.
You get used to Donald Trump contravening the rules of common decency and he's at it again today. He's a guest in this country but seems to think nothing of interfering in our politics. There he is, stood next to the King, and what colour tie has he chosen to wear? Purple. Reform purple. He's never worn purple before but now, especially for his visit to the UK, he suddenly does. Of course it's deniable, he can claim coincidence, but anyone with half a brain knows what's going on. Unbelievable.
You don't really think he's wearing a purple tie as a way of supporting Reform?
No, I'd forgotten they are turquoise not purple. There's no story here as it turns out.
Food price inflation rose for the fifth month in a row in August with costs rising at the fastest pace since the beginning of last year, official figures show.
The cost of food and non-alcoholic drinks grew at an annual rate of 5.1% as beef, butter, milk and chocolate prices continued to surge.
Economists said food bills have been rising because supermarkets were passing on government increases in the minimum wage and National Insurance Contributions (NIC) to shoppers through higher prices.
Food price inflation rose for the fifth month in a row in August with costs rising at the fastest pace since the beginning of last year, official figures show.
The cost of food and non-alcoholic drinks grew at an annual rate of 5.1% as beef, butter, milk and chocolate prices continued to surge.
Economists said food bills have been rising because supermarkets were passing on government increases in the minimum wage and National Insurance Contributions (NIC) to shoppers through higher prices.
You get used to Donald Trump contravening the rules of common decency and he's at it again today. He's a guest in this country but seems to think nothing of interfering in our politics. There he is, stood next to the King, and what colour tie has he chosen to wear? Purple. Reform purple. He's never worn purple before but now, especially for his visit to the UK, he suddenly does. Of course it's deniable, he can claim coincidence, but anyone with half a brain knows what's going on. Unbelievable.
He’s wearing Orange skin as a bit of a nod to Ed Davey and the Lib Dems.
Tie is blue and red checked, not purple so also signaling to the Tories and Labour.
Such a tease Don.
But blue and red mixed IS purple. That's the definition of purple. You get it by mixing red and blue. No other way.
Black and white mixed is grey. Zebras are not grey.
They would be (from any sort of distance) if the black and white were in the form of small mixed dots as in Trump's red + blue = purple tie.
Hope none of you cricket fans have forgot that there's an England match starting in a few minutes in the Emerald Isle
Isn't autumn a very silly (nearly wrote something else!) time to have a cricket match in Dublin?
Or anywhere near the British Isles, all County games have lost significant time to the weather, most of them the whole first day, and likely to be worse next week for the final round with everything to play for. Probably come down to which of Surrey or Notts get the most batting points in the final game, with Surrey having the weather advantage of playing in Southampton rather than Birmingham. At the other end of the table Durham are playing Yorkshire away so their hopes rest on Surrey beating Hants.
At least in Div 2 Leicestershire had it won while there was still sunshine.
Food price inflation rose for the fifth month in a row in August with costs rising at the fastest pace since the beginning of last year, official figures show.
The cost of food and non-alcoholic drinks grew at an annual rate of 5.1% as beef, butter, milk and chocolate prices continued to surge.
Economists said food bills have been rising because supermarkets were passing on government increases in the minimum wage and National Insurance Contributions (NIC) to shoppers through higher prices.
Food price inflation rose for the fifth month in a row in August with costs rising at the fastest pace since the beginning of last year, official figures show.
The cost of food and non-alcoholic drinks grew at an annual rate of 5.1% as beef, butter, milk and chocolate prices continued to surge.
Economists said food bills have been rising because supermarkets were passing on government increases in the minimum wage and National Insurance Contributions (NIC) to shoppers through higher prices.
Food price inflation rose for the fifth month in a row in August with costs rising at the fastest pace since the beginning of last year, official figures show.
The cost of food and non-alcoholic drinks grew at an annual rate of 5.1% as beef, butter, milk and chocolate prices continued to surge.
Economists said food bills have been rising because supermarkets were passing on government increases in the minimum wage and National Insurance Contributions (NIC) to shoppers through higher prices.
Pure virtue signalling. You sold the company 25 years ago, you gave always all your control, had no skin in the game anymore and in your own words, that you have "no responsibility, no authority, and very little influence.". Basically you just sit on the roof all day.
You get used to Donald Trump contravening the rules of common decency and he's at it again today. He's a guest in this country but seems to think nothing of interfering in our politics. There he is, stood next to the King, and what colour tie has he chosen to wear? Purple. Reform purple. He's never worn purple before but now, especially for his visit to the UK, he suddenly does. Of course it's deniable, he can claim coincidence, but anyone with half a brain knows what's going on. Unbelievable.
He’s wearing Orange skin as a bit of a nod to Ed Davey and the Lib Dems.
Tie is blue and red checked, not purple so also signaling to the Tories and Labour.
Such a tease Don.
But blue and red mixed IS purple. That's the definition of purple. You get it by mixing red and blue. No other way.
I thought you got it by collecting the mucosal secretions of predatory sea snails?
Hope none of you cricket fans have forgot that there's an England match starting in a few minutes in the Emerald Isle
Isn't autumn a very silly (nearly wrote something else!) time to have a cricket match in Dublin?
You can thank the hundred. Yet again.
To be fair there's play there ATM. Which is more than be said for Birmingham, where Warwickshire are 'entertaining' Essex.
County championship is a mess. Surry top the table with just 4 wins from 12 games. 8 draws. Now its not just weather (at the start of summer and the very end) and sometimes pitches can be too good in good weather, but its rubbish that our premier form of county cricket is marginalised as it is.
Hope none of you cricket fans have forgot that there's an England match starting in a few minutes in the Emerald Isle
Isn't autumn a very silly (nearly wrote something else!) time to have a cricket match in Dublin?
You can thank the hundred. Yet again.
To be fair there's play there ATM. Which is more than be said for Birmingham, where Warwickshire are 'entertaining' Essex.
County championship is a mess. Surry top the table with just 4 wins from 12 games. 8 draws. Now its not just weather (at the start of summer and the very end) and sometimes pitches can be too good in good weather, but its rubbish that our premier form of county cricket is marginalised as it is.
Its because too many tournaments, ODI, T20, Hundred, all to fit into what is quite a short summer that we have. And of course England plays shit tonne of international games now, so the best players are often never playing county cricket anyway e.g. Jacob Bethell played no competitive cricket all summer until that last test match as he was drinks boy for the test team.
Comments
She was already under fire over Epstein, pretty much every question from the US media is going to be on that subject tomorrow.
Trump’s going to be under huge pressure to throw her under the bus, especially given his previous comments on freedom of speech in the UK.
https://www.paulsoncoletti.com/bus-accident-statistics/
Davey resolute that boycotting state banquet will send message to Trump
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/donald-trump-ed-davey-prime-minister-liberal-democrat-palestinian-b2827722.html
Poor Donald. He's flown all this way to not meet someone he has never heard of.
I've escaped into middle management but certainly won't be expanding/replacing my team in the next few years with a lot of pressure to use AI to take up the slack. I'm not sure how - part of the reason I can post on PB is we've automated most of our stuff already.
Norfolk on its own saved Europe from the last Ice Age. The Cromer Holt Morainic ridge was where she said 'NONE SHALL PASS'
"Just in case bearskin helmets and marching music are not your thing, there is politics news happening today. Mason Humberstone, a councillor on Stevenage council, has defected from Labour to Reform UK. [snipped quote from Mr H so as not to copy too much of the report]
Christopher Hope from GB News says this is the first direct defection from Labour to Reform UK by an elected politician in England.
This will cheer Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader, who has been moaning that, despite being a friend and ally of Trump’s, he has not been invited to the state banquet tonight."
Used judiciously, in some cases they can. At current pricing.
I’m not aware of any LLM being charged for at the full cost - they are all running at a loss.
The real “is AI a bubble?” question is “how much real benefit vs the real cost”
It’s costing Chinese companies hundreds of millions of dollars a week that it’s closed, and there’s already thousands of containers backed up.
https://x.com/kshevchenkoreal/status/1968251080015524223
Well done the Poles, keep up the pressure on those who support russia.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c7016ljre03o
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/crmek723dz9o
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/jul/09/gen-z-lazy-girl-jobs-tiktok-work
I suspect the Lazy Girls are now stuffed.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c62lqve087zo
Chip shop cuts costs by using AI to take orders
Is that supposed to be an insult?
Or is it the other way around, law firms realising they could pay the graduate £30k/year while billing her out at £250/hour?
And the marketing around it is irritating bullshit - AI built this and AI built that.
It is not AI in a philosophical sense; it is a new very clever class of software. Should be called AA (Advanced Algorithm) not AI.
The Chinese always play the very long game, they’re going to be seriously looking at capturing half of russia after this war, in exchange for bailing them out.
Keir Starmer sticks to a single principle he used to hold challenge (Impossible)
https://x.com/conservatives/status/1968271430627545271?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
I got the whole lot done by Sharedata for a very small percentage of the firm's quotation - including an insanely complex work-back to primary capital value of one shareholding through about half a dozen mergers, splits and share issues.
The non-LLM stuff of joining up disparate systems and creating flows, has more potential. The amount of manual patching and fiddling that goes on in systems that should be completely automated..
And ChatGPT5 is definitely a step back in easy tasks like summarise this paragraph and rewrite in x words. It does the classic under-grad trick rather than understand and paraphrase, it tries to just lop off words that breaks the meaning. And even when much more prompt engineers the result is very dry now. Funnily I checked the "personality" setting ChatGPT5 has and it wasn't even set to nerd, it was set to neutral that is supposed to more fun and engaging.
(Two sugars)
Tie is blue and red checked, not purple so also signaling to the Tories and Labour.
Such a tease Don.
At present the AI market is a bit like self-driving cars. The technology is obviously imperfect and costs too much to deploy profitably, but companies are burning investor cash hoping there's a huge pile of gold to be had when/if the tech matures and costs come down to something viable.
It’s that combination that you’re buying. Often at great expense admittedly, but you are getting more for your money than if you do it yourself.
And yes that includes the endless cooked up accusations of genocide against Israel.
That's the kind of thing we need. Not pouring soup on great paintings.
Welsh Westminster Voting Intention:
RFM: 29% (+5)
PLC: 23% (-1)
LAB: 18% (-2)
CON: 11% (-2)
LDM: 9% (=)
GRN: 7% (=)
Via @YouGov, 4-10 Sep.
Changes w/ 23-30 Apr."
https://x.com/ElectionMapsUK/status/1968226687759552565
Not the first socialist government to belatedly realise that companies will cut jobs and hirings, rather than miss their earnings numbers to the stock market.
Rachel from accounts is in real trouble with the coming budget, there’s almost no scope to increase taxes and she can’t increase borrowing without getting destroyed by gilt rates.
But on a brighter note it looks like I'm wrong about the whole thing as I was desperately hoping I was. His tie has no particular political significance.
They were of as one mind with me.
The theme was they're all equally awful.
Is the next election going to be almost exclusively about who you want to stop winning rather than who you actually want to win???
The cost of food and non-alcoholic drinks grew at an annual rate of 5.1% as beef, butter, milk and chocolate prices continued to surge.
Economists said food bills have been rising because supermarkets were passing on government increases in the minimum wage and National Insurance Contributions (NIC) to shoppers through higher prices.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cderznjj4r7o
Everyday inflation. Its the stuff that people really notice.
Probably come down to which of Surrey or Notts get the most batting points in the final game, with Surrey having the weather advantage of playing in Southampton rather than Birmingham.
At the other end of the table Durham are playing Yorkshire away so their hopes rest on Surrey beating Hants.
At least in Div 2 Leicestershire had it won while there was still sunshine.
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c4g58xx1eero
Pure virtue signalling. You sold the company 25 years ago, you gave always all your control, had no skin in the game anymore and in your own words, that you have "no responsibility, no authority, and very little influence.". Basically you just sit on the roof all day.
‘The Law of Rule’
The growth this government promised hasn’t arrived. But there’s one thing they could do which wouldn’t cost them anything - regulatory reform.
I’ve written a long read about what they could do, and why it matters. 🧵
https://x.com/jo3hill/status/1968279292007370814