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At what point do the Tories think about ditching Badenoch? – politicalbetting.com

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  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 4,392
    MattW said:

    No.

    The journalist should have checked the most recent version of the data if they are going to take 2 years old stuff and make it present tense. I would also expect them to do the easy check on the sensitivity of the data, before they hang their whole article on it.

    They reported 2022-2023 data. In 2023-2024 it is back down by 10%.

    So we have (taking the quote and one either side)

    1/2022-12/2022 Ashfield 16-64s "23.0% economically inactive"
    2022-2023 Ashfield 16-64s "31.3% economically inactive"
    10/2023-9/2024 Ashfield 16-64s "22.9% economically inactive"

    Sky News:
    "In a part of Nottinghamshire with a proud mining heritage, almost a third of working-age people are now economically inactive." This is a lie. Maybe a lazy media lie, but a lie.
    https://news.sky.com/story/the-english-town-where-almost-a-third-of-working-age-people-are-economically-inactive-13331129

    1 - They make two years ago into present tense.
    2 - The number in the quote, and the whole story they build on it, is untrue.

    Even the most fuckwittedly fuckwitted fuckwit in the entire London media should spot that as a matter of basic craft.

    It can all be checked by a couple of clicks from the ONS page in one minute:

    https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/datasets/li01regionallabourmarketlocalindicatorsforcountieslocalandunitaryauthorities
    I very much agree here. Sadly it is not an isolated incident with Sky or the BBC for that matter.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,123
    Nigelb said:

    Apart from always stuffing his suppliers, how did this guy ever survive in business for more than six months ?

    TRUMP: “Putin actually said to me, ‘If you don’t mind, friend, I hate to see you as my enemy.’ He said it very strongly. I had a very good relationship with Putin. I had a very good relationship with President Xi. A very good relationship with Kim Jong Un”..
    https://x.com/PolymarketIntel/status/1902320166483931553

    Family inheritance, bailouts from dodgy entities, and tv appearance fees.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,128
    edited March 19
    MattW said:

    No.

    The journalist should have checked the most recent version of the data if they are going to take 2 years old stuff and make it present tense. I would also expect them to do the easy check on the sensitivity of the data, before they hang their whole article on it.

    They reported 2022-2023 data. In 2023-2024 it is back down by 10%.

    So we have (taking the quote and one either side)

    1/2022-12/2022 Ashfield 16-64s "23.0% economically inactive"
    2022-2023 Ashfield 16-64s "31.3% economically inactive"
    10/2023-9/2024 Ashfield 16-64s "22.9% economically inactive"

    Sky News:
    "In a part of Nottinghamshire with a proud mining heritage, almost a third of working-age people are now economically inactive." This is a lie. Maybe a lazy media lie, but a lie.
    https://news.sky.com/story/the-english-town-where-almost-a-third-of-working-age-people-are-economically-inactive-13331129

    1 - They make two years ago into present tense.
    2 - The number in the quote, and the whole story they build on it, is untrue.

    Even the most fuckwittedly fuckwitted fuckwit in the entire London media should spot that as a matter of basic craft.

    It can all be checked by a couple of clicks from the ONS page in one minute:

    https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/employmentandemployeetypes/datasets/li01regionallabourmarketlocalindicatorsforcountieslocalandunitaryauthorities
    My personal gripe is that 99% of the piece is just vox pops, as is pretty much all of the BBC coverage of this story. Anybody can find a case or two that steers the story one way or another. A better bit of journalism would be a deep dive into who claims what, for how long have they claimed etc.

    Fraser Nelson original piece several years ago exposing the scale of the economic inactivity was pure data.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,775
    ...
    Nigelb said:

    Apart from always stuffing his suppliers, how did this guy ever survive in business for more than six months ?

    TRUMP: “Putin actually said to me, ‘If you don’t mind, friend, I hate to see you as my enemy.’ He said it very strongly. I had a very good relationship with Putin. I had a very good relationship with President Xi. A very good relationship with Kim Jong Un”..
    https://x.com/PolymarketIntel/status/1902320166483931553

    ... I also have a great relationship with Swiss Tony and the ghosts of Hitler, Stalin, PolPot, Al Capone and John Dillinger.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,669
    Nigelb said:

    The consensus is rather that it's a ham fisted measure which fails to achieve its (laudable) aims, while imposing disproportionate burdens on those who aren't big business.
    Yup.

    Reminds me of IR35 - when Blair was challenged on it, he acted puzzled and said the big consultancies didn’t have a problem.

    Of course they didn’t. IR35 didn’t touch them - it was about one man band contractors. Who were competition to Accenture et al.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 25,982

    My personal gripe is that 99% of the piece is just vox pops, as is pretty much all of the BBC coverage of this story. Anybody can find a case or two that steers the story one way or another. A better bit of journalism would be a deep dive into who claims what, for how long have they claimed etc.

    Fraser Nelson original piece several years ago exposing the scale of the economic inactivity was pure data.
    A better bit of journalism would be to make it about Newark and blame Blowjob Bob :wink: .

    Having had a look at this, I may push it to More or Less.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,231

    Sorry but that is a total misreading of Kemi's intervention (I take it you didn't listen to the speech) and in my opinion of the debate in general.

    There is no environmental and/or climate justification for the UK adopting Net Zero in isolation, if it means simply displacing economic activity to other nations who have a more carbon-intensive production methods (like coal burning China), or importing energy that has been produced in a more carbon-intensive way (like American or Saudi LNG). The only variable in those scenarios is the impoverishment of the UK. We absolutely can and should argue about it, and sensible Governments like Sweden's have been upfront about their emissions rising and explained why. Kemi's central sell is to join the ranks of the sensible, and not subject the country to crippling future hardship just to get a round of applause at COP with no underlying plan. That is conservative pragmatism.

    Kemi also never questioned the validity of the climate change drive - I do question it, but she didn't.

    As for 'the need' for Net Zero becoming more apparent in the years ahead, that is questionable. These things are media events. If you read in detail the causes of the Californian wildfires, they have nothing to do with climate change. Likewise floods and droughts in the UK. In both instances, the causes are traced back to decisions (lack of water infrastructure and river maintenance in one case, scrub growing out of control in the other) of the green lobby iself. If the green lobby is tackled and the media moves on, so will the events.
    Events like the Californian wildfires are complex and affected by many factors, but it is undoubtedly the case that climate change is a key root cause of such events becoming commoner and more severe. Attempting to blame the on the green lobby is the sort of thing that will lead people to dismiss you as a mad conspiracy theorist… well, in your case, people already dismiss you as a mad conspiracy theorist, so perhaps it won’t make any difference.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,562
    Due process “is how any of us can have confidence that the folks being packed onto airplanes and whisked off to El Salvador are members of TdA—as opposed to US citizens; political dissidents; or others whom the Trump admin. would just as soon be rid of.”
    https://x.com/steve_vladeck/status/1902330130883658155
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,119
    Montevideo is cleaner than london
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,750
    Nigelb said:

    The more cynical view is that he just wants to preserve the right to be the president's rubber stamp.
    If ever 'Wait and see' applies, it is precisely on your point!
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,051

    ...

    ... I also have a great relationship with Swiss Tony and the ghosts of Hitler, Stalin, PolPot, Al Capone and John Dillinger.
    ‘Hannibal Lecter, great guy!’

    https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/donald-trump-hannibal-lecter-timeline-1235070008/
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,473
    Nigelb said:

    The consensus is rather that it's a ham fisted measure which fails to achieve its (laudable) aims, while imposing disproportionate burdens on those who aren't big business.
    Stripped of the "out to get free speech" nonsense the view becomes perfectly reasonable if not necessarily (imo) correct. As for its practical impact I think we need to assess that once it's been operational for a while. If it truly does lead to lots of small benign sites closing down with little or no noticeable benefits elsewhere then ok it's a fail.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,544
    HYUFD said:

    They don't need to vote Tory, they can vote Reform, LD or Green or SNP rather than Labour
    True, but in most cases to do so would only facilitate the return of a Conservative government.

    This is why like so many I have for many elections past voted tactically, and will continue to do so until the electoral system changes. That will probably not be in my lifetime.

  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,231
    AnneJGP said:

    I suppose I'm like that with YouTube, but why does it matter? In the olden days we had BBC (and later ITV too) and that was it.

    If I want to know about something specific I look for it, but if I just want to be entertained/randomly informed for an hour or so I look at what I'm sent.
    Why does it matter? Because the BBC had lofty goals to educate and inform, as well as entertain, when they determined what to show you. They and ITV followed basic editorial standards of fact-checking etc. In comparison, social media algorithms are driven largely by what keeps you watching, even if that entails feeding you lies and propaganda.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 75,562
    What tips the VP to his president's insanity is the plan to annexe Canada.

    Night of Camp David
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Night_of_Camp_David
    Iowa Senator Jim MacVeagh is summoned to Camp David by US President Mark Hollenbach. MacVeagh, who is expected to become Hollenbach's next Vice President, becomes concerned because Hollenbach shows signs of intense paranoia. He erratically expresses his desire to develop a closer relationship between the United States and the Soviet Union, and attempts to cut ties with US allies in Europe. Hollenbach believes the US news media are conspiring against him. MacVeagh is the only person who notices that Hollenbach's mind is crumbling, as the presidential advisors and politicians he attempts to warn ignore him. ..
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,158
    edited March 19
    This been posted yet?

    "NEW: Reform Records Highest Support Ever in a Scottish Poll

    Constituency vote share:

    SNP: 34% (-1)
    Labour: 23% (+1)
    Reform UK: 17% (+4)
    Conservatives: 12% (-2)
    Liberal Democrats: 8% (n/c)
    Green: 4% (-2)
    Alba: 1% (n/c)

    Fwk: 6-13 March 2025
    (Changes vs January 2025)
    "

    https://x.com/Survation/status/1902310109876805911?s=19
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,119
    Ten minutes into my tour of “old Montevideo” and the guide is reduced to demonstrating the “quality of the wood” of the doorway to the presidential palace
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,231
    viewcode said:

    OK, I'll bite. Care to share who the ordinary sensible conservative youtubers and/or ordinary sensible leftie youtubers are? You can PM me if you want to keep them private
    J. J. McCullough is a good, Canadian, conservative (in the traditional sense: not MAGA) social commentator, doing some society stuff, some political stuff.

    James Ker-Lindsay is good on international relations and state formation. He’s a Remainer, but otherwise fairly neutral on left-right stuff.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,473

    Yup.

    Reminds me of IR35 - when Blair was challenged on it, he acted puzzled and said the big consultancies didn’t have a problem.

    Of course they didn’t. IR35 didn’t touch them - it was about one man band contractors. Who were competition to Accenture et al.
    IR35 closed down a loophole that tons of well paid City workers were using to avoid tax. Including me at one point. I was earning multiples of my teacher sister and paying barely more than her to HMRC.

    So if it reminds you of that, it bodes quite well.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,025

    My personal gripe is that 99% of the piece is just vox pops, as is pretty much all of the BBC coverage of this story. Anybody can find a case or two that steers the story one way or another. A better bit of journalism would be a deep dive into who claims what, for how long have they claimed etc.

    Fraser Nelson original piece several years ago exposing the scale of the economic inactivity was pure data.
    Not just the BBC, iTV and other news organs too.

    Last nights ITV main broadcast even, after trigger warning, showed someone having a fit.

    Of course by implication, the govt are taking money from deserving people and they are pretty much all in a similar boat.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,025
    CatMan said:

    This been posted yet?

    "NEW: Reform Records Highest Support Ever in a Scottish Poll

    Constituency vote share:

    SNP: 34% (-1)
    Labour: 23% (+1)
    Reform UK: 17% (+4)
    Conservatives: 12% (-2)
    Liberal Democrats: 8% (n/c)
    Green: 4% (-2)
    Alba: 1% (n/c)

    Fwk: 6-13 March 2025
    (Changes vs January 2025)
    "

    https://x.com/Survation/status/1902310109876805911?s=19

    Get the centrist Dads up there with their edgy poster campaign.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,865
    AnneJGP said:

    I suppose I'm like that with YouTube, but why does it matter? In the olden days we had BBC (and later ITV too) and that was it.

    If I want to know about something specific I look for it, but if I just want to be entertained/randomly informed for an hour or so I look at what I'm sent.
    Yes, I'm a bit like that too. I tend to use YouTube as aural wallpaper to entertain my hindbrain while I work on the laptop, and algorithm feeds help. However I periodically delete my history and reset the algorithm by viewing certain specific videos, and then the algorithm careers off in a new direction.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,051
    Pissing on the flag news.

    https://x.com/realpublicius/status/1902100481331359904?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q

    Reports that the White House have lobbied the IOC to have Jesse Owen’s’ gold medals revoked are yet tbc.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,775
    Fragrant Penny on today's WATO. Spin that dial to Radio 4.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,025
    kinabalu said:

    IR35 closed down a loophole that tons of well paid City workers were using to avoid tax. Including me at one point. I was earning multiples of my teacher sister and paying barely more than her to HMRC.

    So if it reminds you of that, it bodes quite well.
    Not just city workers, automotive sector workers too. It was seen as a rite of passage to move to a ltd company contractor role to make some money, no risk.

    It was also not uncommon, as it has happened at places I worked, for John smith, designer, employed full time, to leave on a Friday and John Smith Ltd, design services, charging a day rate to start on the Monday.

    Clear tax dodgers.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,051
    edited March 19
    Leon said:

    Ten minutes into my tour of “old Montevideo” and the guide is reduced to demonstrating the “quality of the wood” of the doorway to the presidential palace

    No Graf Spee themed tours (which may involve a boat trip)? Surely one of the more interesting things to have happened in the vicinity.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,865

    J. J. McCullough is a good, Canadian, conservative (in the traditional sense: not MAGA) social commentator, doing some society stuff, some political stuff.

    James Ker-Lindsay is good on international relations and state formation. He’s a Remainer, but otherwise fairly neutral on left-right stuff.
    Useful, thank you. I was already familiar with jjmc and the fact that he does do the "aboot", which I thought was a South Park myth, as nobody Canadian I know uses it. I shall have a peek at jkl
  • MattWMattW Posts: 25,982

    Why does it matter? Because the BBC had lofty goals to educate and inform, as well as entertain, when they determined what to show you. They and ITV followed basic editorial standards of fact-checking etc. In comparison, social media algorithms are driven largely by what keeps you watching, even if that entails feeding you lies and propaganda.
    With Youtube, we could start by getting rid of all the fake medical adverts - which are a bit of USA poison dripping in here.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,025
    Leon said:

    Ten minutes into my tour of “old Montevideo” and the guide is reduced to demonstrating the “quality of the wood” of the doorway to the presidential palace

    Was his wood impressive ?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,032
    Interesting that not only was the first football world cup in 1930 hosted by Uruguay but they also won the competition.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1930_FIFA_World_Cup
  • MattWMattW Posts: 25,982
    edited March 19

    No Graf Spee themed tours (which may involve a boat trip)? Surely one of the more interesting things to have happened in the vicinity.
    Have you found the Graf Spee's eagle, which is controversial - portly, but controversial? For some that might have some Noom.


  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,227
    kinabalu said:

    IR35 closed down a loophole that tons of well paid City workers were using to avoid tax. Including me at one point. I was earning multiples of my teacher sister and paying barely more than her to HMRC.

    So if it reminds you of that, it bodes quite well.
    IR35 also destroyed much of the legitimate small consultancy business.

    Have worked for 9 clients in the last 18 months. All short term contracts ranging from 10 days work to 2 months. In all cases I should be outside IR35 according to HMRC.

    But because they have put the responsibility for the decision with the end user companies and they are risk averse they say that everyone must be inside no matter how short the contract.

    So I currently pay 51% of my day rate in tax and NI.

    People like you milking the system are what screwed the legitimate consultants.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,967
    Taz said:

    Was his wood impressive ?
    Hard to say.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,119
    Now he’s describing the terrible years when “the British invaded and destroyed everything”

    I had no idea we’d been anywhere near Uruguay

    *proud*
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,507
    Leon said:

    Now he’s describing the terrible years when “the British invaded and destroyed everything”

    I had no idea we’d been anywhere near Uruguay

    *proud*

    A friend's father was Merchant Navy in the war, his only action was a bar fight with the crew of the Graf Spee in Montevideo
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,473
    Taz said:

    Not just city workers, automotive sector workers too. It was seen as a rite of passage to move to a ltd company contractor role to make some money, no risk.

    It was also not uncommon, as it has happened at places I worked, for John smith, designer, employed full time, to leave on a Friday and John Smith Ltd, design services, charging a day rate to start on the Monday.

    Clear tax dodgers.
    Yes, rife in the City but not just there. Thing is, if you have multiple clients, or each assignment is short, or you're drumming up your own business, taking entrepreneurial risk, that's one thing. That's different to having a 'job'. But these folk weren't doing that. They'd be working fulltime at one place for years, indistinguishable from employees other than their admin set-up as one man limited companies. Then it's dividends instead of PAYE and it's all sorts of expenses getting written off. Upshot, an effective tax rate a fraction of what it otherwise would be. Nice work if you can get it.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,051
    edited March 19
    MattW said:

    Have you found the Graf Spee's eagle, which is controversial - portly, but controversial? For some that might have some Noom.


    I had a vague memory of the brouhaha.

    Not sure where it is now, would look great in the boardroom of some tech bro.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,315
    kinabalu said:

    Yes, rife in the City but not just there. Thing is, if you have multiple clients, or each assignment is short, or you're drumming up your own business, taking entrepreneurial risk, that's one thing. That's different to having a 'job'. But these folk weren't doing that. They'd be working fulltime at one place for years, indistinguishable from employees other than their admin set-up as one man limited companies. Then it's dividends instead of PAYE and it's all sorts of expenses getting written off. Upshot, an effective tax rate a fraction of what it otherwise would be. Nice work if you can get it.
    It’s a trade off. They also didn’t get pensions and could be fired at the drop of a hat.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,967

    I had a vague memory of the brouhaha.

    Not sure where it is now, would look great in the boardroom of some tech bro boardroom.
    Or the Oval Office?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,473

    IR35 also destroyed much of the legitimate small consultancy business.

    Have worked for 9 clients in the last 18 months. All short term contracts ranging from 10 days work to 2 months. In all cases I should be outside IR35 according to HMRC.

    But because they have put the responsibility for the decision with the end user companies and they are risk averse they say that everyone must be inside no matter how short the contract.

    So I currently pay 51% of my day rate in tax and NI.

    People like you milking the system are what screwed the legitimate consultants.
    Well I only did it for a short while and there was little choice. There was a 'client' insistence on having a ltd company. Sounds like it's gone too far the other way now if your situation isn't classed as genuine self-employment.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,231
    viewcode said:

    Useful, thank you. I was already familiar with jjmc and the fact that he does do the "aboot", which I thought was a South Park myth, as nobody Canadian I know uses it. I shall have a peek at jkl
    He's at https://www.youtube.com/JamesKerLindsay

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ercig3Oe8pE is a nice, recent example of his work.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 25,982
    edited March 19

    I had a vague memory of the brouhaha.

    Not sure where it is now, would look great in the boardroom of some tech bro.
    Figurehead for Elon's yacht?

    (If he can still afford one. I see that Tesla shares are not heading for 55% down from peak - still another 40% to go.)
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,305

    He’s a cunning little shit, whatever her qualities & failings, Badenoch is not.
    You wrongly spelt 'Cambridge educated lawyer.'
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,119
    Taz said:

    Was his wood impressive ?
    I’ve seen better

    He’s trying to make up for the clear disappointment by showing me the Ashes of the Liberator of the River Plate, after that we are possibly visiting a slightly historic water cistern

    Truly a city of wonders

    One thing IS wondrous: the winter climate. He says they get Antarctic winds so brutal and cold - and fierce - they get a wind chill of minus 20 and the authorities have to hang ropes along the streets so people can drag themselves around without falling over
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,032
    Fairly chunky drop in fuel prices recently (140 to 135p or so, Costco diesel). Might flow through as good news for Rachel in a couple of months.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,669
    kinabalu said:

    Stripped of the "out to get free speech" nonsense the view becomes perfectly reasonable if not necessarily (imo) correct. As for its practical impact I think we need to assess that once it's been operational for a while. If it truly does lead to lots of small benign sites closing down with little or no noticeable benefits elsewhere then ok it's a fail.
    It’s already caused a number of sites to close, following legal advice.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,473

    It’s a trade off. They also didn’t get pensions and could be fired at the drop of a hat.
    Sure. And in my (City) experience skewed in favour of (bogus) self-employment.

    I'm not about to defend every aspect of how IR35 was implemented and all of its consequences on each and every individual - I know my limits - but it was a real problem being addressed there and I'd say on balance and in the round a world with IR35 is better than a world without it.

    In fact I was kind of on-the-fence about the Online Safety Act but now that @Malmesbury has said it's like IR35 I feel myself becoming a strong supporter of it.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,032
    kinabalu said:

    Sure. And in my (City) experience skewed in favour of (bogus) self-employment.

    I'm not about to defend every aspect of how IR35 was implemented and all of its consequences on each and every individual - I know my limits - but it was a real problem being addressed there and I'd say on balance and in the round a world with IR35 is better than a world without it.

    In fact I was kind of on-the-fence about the Online Safety Act but now that @Malmesbury has said it's like IR35 I feel myself becoming a strong supporter of it.
    Wouldn't the equitable solution to have set yourself up as Ltd company to satisfy your client but paid yourself entirely within wages from the company to satisfy HMRC and not screw the Richard Tyndall's of this world for the future ?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,473

    It’s already caused a number of sites to close, following legal advice.
    Yes, noted. But there might be excessive caution in play with something fairly new. People (inc lawyers) can be overly risk averse in such circumstances. Let's see how it looks in a while from now. We might be pleasantly surprised.

    And there's the benefit side too remember. That has to be considered.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,669
    kinabalu said:

    Sure. And in my (City) experience skewed in favour of (bogus) self-employment.

    I'm not about to defend every aspect of how IR35 was implemented and all of its consequences on each and every individual - I know my limits - but it was a real problem being addressed there and I'd say on balance and in the round a world with IR35 is better than a world without it.

    In fact I was kind of on-the-fence about the Online Safety Act but now that @Malmesbury has said it's like IR35 I feel myself becoming a strong supporter of it.
    What I meant was that the government consulted the big firms (who wanted their small fry competition closed down) and had no interest in the side effects.

    The Online Safety Act is a classic of imposing a regulatory burden but totally avoiding the real issues.

    Because imposing a regulatory burden falls on the honest.

    The problem sites are not cycling enthusiasts- they are either offshore (already) or the big corporates like Twatter.

    Do you really think that Social Truth will comply?

  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,473
    Pulpstar said:

    Wouldn't the equitable solution to have set yourself up as Ltd company to satisfy your client but paid yourself entirely within wages from the company to satisfy HMRC and not screw the Richard Tyndall's of this world for the future ?
    Have you considered stand-up?
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,323
    Leon said:

    My main takeaway from PB this fine Montevidean morning is that, in about 2 years, the capitalisation of “b” in “Black” will start to look really odd (“why are we doing this?”) and it will be quietly abandoned

    So will the practice of removing full stops to be less triggering.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,669
    kinabalu said:

    Yes, noted. But there might be excessive caution in play with something fairly new. People (inc lawyers) can be overly risk averse in such circumstances. Let's see how it looks in a while from now. We might be pleasantly surprised.

    And there's the benefit side too remember. That has to be considered.
    What benefits?

    A cycling forum isn’t flooding the planet with illegal porn. Or inciting terrorism.

    Ok - how about I pass a law. Says that retired accountants in Hampstead need to fill out complex forms relating to anything that falls through their letterbox every morning. If they get it wrong, unlimited fines and maybe some prison time.

    All they have to do is fill out the paperwork and monitor the junk mail.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,302
    Leon said:

    Now he’s describing the terrible years when “the British invaded and destroyed everything”

    I had no idea we’d been anywhere near Uruguay

    *proud*

    The British twice invaded the Viceroyalty in 1806/07, when Spain was an enemy.

    The casualties were quite low, and the result was a Spanish victory.

    “Destroying everything” is an exaggeration.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,473
    edited March 19

    What I meant was that the government consulted the big firms (who wanted their small fry competition closed down) and had no interest in the side effects.

    The Online Safety Act is a classic of imposing a regulatory burden but totally avoiding the real issues.

    Because imposing a regulatory burden falls on the honest.

    The problem sites are not cycling enthusiasts- they are either offshore (already) or the big corporates like Twatter.

    Do you really think that Social Truth will comply?
    Yes, I knew what you meant. I was only kidding.

    And I get your view loud and clear. You and I should probably drop this topic because the conversation is unbalanced. You're passionately anti and I'm just very very mildly pro (but subject to practicalities).

    It's a recipe for (my) repetition and (your) frustration.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,305
    edited March 19
    ydoethur said:

    Santander shutting 95 branches, around a quarter of its U.K. network.

    When they have closed all their branches - why would anyone still use them? They offer less than online challenger banks, are usually less secure, and if you can't physically use a branch there's very little point in having an account with them.

    It's a sign that cash is obsolete and is now overwhelmingly only used by druggies, terrorists, criminals, and tax dodgers so closing branches makes sense.

    Also Santander have been in talks with Natwest and others to dispose of their UK division as ring-fencing is stopping them from sending funds to Santander Spain.

    Shutting down a quarter of their branch network improves their EBITDA and makes them look even more attractive to Natwest et al.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,119
    Sean_F said:

    The British twice invaded the Viceroyalty in 1806/07, when Spain was an enemy.

    The casualties were quite low, and the result was a Spanish victory.

    “Destroying everything” is an exaggeration.
    I LIKE the fact we went around casually laying waste to everything and everywhere
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,315
    kinabalu said:

    Have you considered stand-up?
    It's a good point though. If you wanted to pay tax through PAYE you could have done.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,669
    kinabalu said:

    Yes, I knew what you meant. I was only kidding.

    And I get your view loud and clear. You and I should probably drop this topic because the conversation is unbalanced. You're passionately anti and I'm just very very mildly pro (but subject to practicalities).

    It's a recipe for (my) repetition and (your) frustration.
    A big problem for this country is the belief that a regulation always makes things better.

    Regulation can kill. Regulations can destroy.

    At Grenfell, every question about safety, before the fire was answered by reference to literal tons of documents. Because the regulations were performative bullshit. And there was no enforcement.

    If a regulation actually achieves something noticeable (less poor people burnt to death is a noticeable metric) then it has use.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,473

    What benefits?

    A cycling forum isn’t flooding the planet with illegal porn. Or inciting terrorism.

    Ok - how about I pass a law. Says that retired accountants in Hampstead need to fill out complex forms relating to anything that falls through their letterbox every morning. If they get it wrong, unlimited fines and maybe some prison time.

    All they have to do is fill out the paperwork and monitor the junk mail.
    We've already done this. Your view is that despite the best efforts of everyone involved in this initiative there are precisely zero benefits. That obviously makes it a no-brainer for you to oppose (even if it were cost free). Me, I'm mildly in favour (but subject to the practical impact once it's bedded down).
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,128

    A big problem for this country is the belief that a regulation always makes things better.

    Regulation can kill. Regulations can destroy.

    At Grenfell, every question about safety, before the fire was answered by reference to literal tons of documents. Because the regulations were performative bullshit. And there was no enforcement.

    If a regulation actually achieves something noticeable (less poor people burnt to death is a noticeable metric) then it has use.
    One of the major reasons put forward by those responsible for checking / refurbishing all the building with cladding is that new regulation has again been poorly thought out, so it is radically slowing down the rate at which this issue can be resolved.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,473

    A big problem for this country is the belief that a regulation always makes things better.

    Regulation can kill. Regulations can destroy.

    At Grenfell, every question about safety, before the fire was answered by reference to literal tons of documents. Because the regulations were performative bullshit. And there was no enforcement.

    If a regulation actually achieves something noticeable (less poor people burnt to death is a noticeable metric) then it has use.
    I suggest you find someone who does believe that more Regulation and reams of paperwork and checklists always makes things better and chunter these nuggets of wisdom at them. Do we have a deal?
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,231

    A big problem for this country is the belief that a regulation always makes things better.

    Regulation can kill. Regulations can destroy.

    At Grenfell, every question about safety, before the fire was answered by reference to literal tons of documents. Because the regulations were performative bullshit. And there was no enforcement.

    If a regulation actually achieves something noticeable (less poor people burnt to death is a noticeable metric) then it has use.
    There is also a tendency to not notice when regulation is working, precisely because nothing noticeable happens. Someone doesn't die, something doesn't collapse, etc. There is a huge amount of regulation that is very successful.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,305

    NEW THREAD

  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 53,669

    One of the major reasons put forward by those responsible for checking / refurbishing all the building with cladding is that new regulation has again been poorly thought out, so it is radically slowing down the rate at which this issue can be resolved.
    Indeed. When the new regulations for cladding were first written down, they barely covered a page.

    Then they were professionalised into a doorstep.

    But that isn’t the funny bit. Under the complicated new regulations, the definition of inflammable insulation is not very well defined.

    Come on baby, light my fire….
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,032
    Yay, Marf has returned on the new thread. That's cheered me up a bit.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 50,901
    Leon said:

    I LIKE the fact we went around casually laying waste to everything and everywhere
    Your going around getting casually wasted everywhere is simply a pitiful historical echo.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,473

    It's a good point though. If you wanted to pay tax through PAYE you could have done.
    Lol, c'mon. It's a close cousin of "If you're so in favour of higher taxes why not send a voluntary cheque to HMRC".
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,733
    kinabalu said:

    Lol, c'mon. It's a close cousin of "If you're so in favour of higher taxes why not send a voluntary cheque to HMRC".
    So you are a self-confessed tax-avoider for all your left-of-centre champagne socialism. Such hypocrisy that is so typical of Labour supporters, particularly personified by Rayner and her two council house sales, Starmer and his tax-free benefit in kind clothing and Reeves with her lies on her CV and dodgy attitude to expenses.

    You believe that you are some sort of special case, and your virtue is unsullied because you vote for the Labour Party
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,231
    https://www.wired.com/story/federal-auditors-doge-elon-musk/

    ‘It’s a Heist’: Real Federal Auditors Are Horrified by DOGE
    WIRED talked to actual federal auditors about how government auditing works—and how DOGE is doing the opposite.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,473
    edited March 19

    So you are a self-confessed tax-avoider for all your left-of-centre champagne socialism. Such hypocrisy that is so typical of Labour supporters, particularly personified by Rayner and her two council house sales, Starmer and his tax-free benefit in kind clothing and Reeves with her lies on her CV and dodgy attitude to expenses.

    You believe that you are some sort of special case, and your virtue is unsullied because you vote for the Labour Party
    Well not really, Nigel. I merely failed to be the one and only person in the pre IR35 City with a limited company to put themselves voluntarily on PAYE instead of dividends. I don't think supporting Labour requires that sort of sainthood. It would have cost me a shedload and for what? To avoid a bum rap of "hypocrisy" in online debate with Tories? No thank you.
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