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The state of it – politicalbetting.com
The state of it – politicalbetting.com
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A sensible first step, I think.
One of the items is essentially admitting they lied about having any plans for what would happen after Brexit.
Official figures showed an expansion 0.1% after the economy shrank in each of the two previous months.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c8r5jkv5g5po
Badenoch has to admit mistakes were made and her part in them as a big part of wiping the slate clean with the public.
I agree with you, 6 months in you're only just starting to implement policies, it'll take 2-3 years before they have any real effect.
That's why the coalition govt isn't seen as bad as it actually was, for at least the first 2-3 years public services were running on the momentum from the labour govt.
As a large majority now think it's a shitshow, it's a necessary admission, I think. And might provide some distance from Reform (though there are obvious ripostes Farage can make).
Justice Alito Asks If You Can Read Pornhub for the Articles
https://www.thecut.com/article/justice-samuel-alito-pornhub-essays.html
She was hardly an effective Minister in any of her portfolios either.
The Tories will come to rue electing her. She is the Tories Ed Miliband.
I wonder if we will get the Kemi Stone.
The coalition was a rare moment of competent government.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/c3rwqpj70ert
I'm not sure it's much more than that - though it is a big first step.
Quite frankly she's had her chance. She fucked it big style. Time to get someone untainted by the last 14 years in govt.
Far better to admit to mistakes on mattes of current salience, such as uncontrolled immigration, statist economic policies and Nut Zero lunacy. People might actually care.
Ministers asked them to offer suggestions in the wake of last year's Budget, which triggered a sharp fall in business confidence.
However, they are said to be underwhelmed by the proposals so far, which appear to involve the bodies continuing to fulfil existing roles.
No shit
I wish her well but she needs to do more than just tell them. She also needs to focus her fire on Natural England, a bar to growth if ever there was one.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other/now-desperate-rachel-reeves-turns-to-britain-s-regulators/ar-AA1xgTCE?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=1ff51e0c0ad8448aaad16a5cf15ea964&ei=15
Substantial proportion think "plague on both your houses", which is likely a problem for the country as a whole.
We have left the EU, we are not going back.
Focus on the here and now not revisiting the battles of 2016.
25 years of labour here in Wales
The NHS is devolved in Wales and Scotland
Saying that the economy grew by 0.1% if we only know the size of it (say) +/-2% is nonsense on stilts.
The fact that we never had a coherent plan of how to manage the UK's new situation - and still don't - is not something to be ignored.
The equivalent would be my saying "Labour are in government; there's no point in arguing about their policies". That would be absurd.
Some notable exceptions of course, but folks like Cummings, Braverman, or Jenrick aren’t always the most sympathetic human beings.
The case for Badenoch remains that the alternative could be even worse.
(I agree it is unlikely in the short or medium term; but a lot of leavers scream "Never!" when it is perfectly feasible that it could happen.)
Like TimS I would assume there would be some level of upward revision as construction is often underreported initially. But that said we had 2 months of contraction so when all is said and done we are probably flatlining.
The outlook is more the worry.
Under Tory chancellors revisions are always upwards under Labour ones always downwards.
Similarly rich people need bumper payrises to motivate them, poor people getting payrises are a drag on productivity.
Oh, and that doesn’t mean employing 500 McKinsey staff to produce a 3,000 page report in 2027, it means doing it the American way and getting a couple of maverick business types in, to cut out whole swathes of the standing bureaucracy and repealing the legislation that supports them.
Governments of all stripes have been the same since Thatcher, always talking about making efficiencies but overseeing a constant rise in the cost of government.
Remainers constantly ignore the other side of the equation which is whether the EU would want us back. There is no appetite for it
Or not
It’s possible the next Conservative Prime Minister only became an MP in July last year - it’s more likely they will be elected in 2029.
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1879793206973591769
Starship launch is now scheduled for tonight at 22:00 UTC.
It is possible that he might find more savings if he paid attention to it rather than go on ketamine fueled all night Twitter rants of course.
The maverick business types are there to plunder what they can from the federal budget, nothing more and this is blatantly obvious.
With nearly 15m apparently doing dry January (including me) not sure that is going to last.
Public services were beginning to see the benefits from sure start, then the austerity cuts started to take effect after a couple of years.
"...we never had a coherent plan of how to manage the UK's new situation - and still don't.."
Perhaps we should wait and see what they actually do before declaring their model successful.
Population is growing more than 0.1% so per capita that is recessionary.
“Today, an oligarchy is taking shape in America of extreme wealth, power and influence that literally threatens our entire democracy, our basic rights and freedoms, and a fair shot for everyone to get ahead,” Biden said.
The president outlined some of his most pressing concerns, including what he described as a “crumbling” free press, the outsized influence of the military-industrial complex, rising disinformation, and the need to remove dark money from politics. He also called for constitutional amendments to ensure presidential accountability, arguing that no president should be immune from prosecution for crimes committed while in office..
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/jan/15/joe-biden-farewell-address-trump-oligarchy-america?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other
I think that one of the most clear headed and concise analysis of the state of politics in recent times.
"The law, HB 1181, requires all websites with “over one-third sexual material harmful to minors” to use “reasonable age verification methods” to determine that users are over 18."
How the hell do you measure that?
It gets better:
“Is it like the old Playboy magazines?” Alito asked Derek Shaffer, the attorney representing the adult industry. “You have essays there by the modern-day equivalent of Gore Vidal and William F. Buckley Jr.?”
Where's the Riviera Gigolo when you need him?
Still they went with who they went with and will suffer the consequences.
Not something that I participate in. January is miserable enough already without being sober too, and Burns Night is coming up shortly.
There are a number of countries lining up to join
No evidence the UK couldn't be one of them
Repealing Attlee's planning regulations and going back to 1930s planning laws would do the job nicely. And cut rather than increase the number of staff needed to enforce those regulations.
These matters are so important and so basic that it is hard to see how, with the overwhelming policy resource available to the state, anyone could fail to spot these gaps and contradictions in advance. So it is not just incompetence, it is considered and deliberate wreckage of the welfare of the nation.
Kemi may have difficulty in showing from the record that she would have got all these matters right at the time.
The Tories are still polling at about their irremovable base support. I doubt if this will change soon unless Reform and LDs make glaring errors.
It's why I maintain that the polls on rejoining will shift massively when the costs are placed in front of the electorate.
That was the first time I have had anything like that for 4 years but it was probably caused because I have been letting things slip including going back to fatty meats and too much wine resulting in an increase in weight. Disappointing it happened after 2 weeks of abstinence though.
And in any case we’ve seen where light touch regulation takes us. Rivers full of shit.
At a time of biodiversity and climate crisis, we need to do more for nature not less, but the farming lobby stands in the way of every single atrempt to create the conditions for nature recovery.
I suggest you stop looking for simple solutions and scapegoats and look at the bigger picture. Or at least substantiate your arguments better than whatever simplistic drivel is presented in the popular media.
That a was bonkers decision by Supreme Court only a few months ago, so you can hardly expected Biden to be able to move on that one.
It's a good summary but sadly at least 50% of US voters don't give a shit as long as eggs and Mc Donalds are falling in price.
But someone needs to be the one who drives the whole project forward, and Rachel is off to exactly the wrong start by asking the regulators how to do it. The turkeys aren’t going to recommend a month of Christmases and Thanksgivings.
Nobody will be slaughtering the fatted calf if we turn up on the doorstep.
Mr. L, I hope the gallstones can be dealt with promptly and with as little pain as possible, and by the prettiest of nurses.
We haven't had a Chancellor this strong since Ken Clarke.
Well done her. A real titan among minnows.
It;s a phenomenon across the west that our politicians spend too much time forgetting their citizens interests and then get surprised when the citizens revolt.
I saw you cited how both the FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 were up on a year ago, whilst ignoring that almost all of this growth was from January to May 2024 and it's stalled since and, in fact, has gone slightly backwards.
When my dad had gallstones they put him on a starvation diet for a couple of weeks. He turned yellow and they had "push button" on demand dosage of morphine on him.
I have my issues, but I've never had to go through that level of pain, I think.
About time. It's not as if Ukraine/Russia is one of the biggest threats to the UK atm...
It's more about he needs the airmiles to get upgraded to a gold card.
However most of the leakage from Labour has been to Reform, the LDs and Greens as voters who rejected the Tory government last July and now reject the Labour government too look elsewhere for a protest vote
Interesting. That argues a level of thinking and control that no UK government has ever shown.
But the logic of the admission, as @algarkirk points out, rather cuts against that: ..These matters are so important and so basic that it is hard to see how, with the overwhelming policy resource available to the state, anyone could fail to spot these gaps and contradictions in advance. So it is not just incompetence...