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Things can only get better (Starmer hopes) – politicalbetting.com

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  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,710

    That does sound bad. It's a shame, as a good primary school carol concert can be a wonderfully life-affiming and Christmasy experience. Our youngest is in year 7 now but the primary school Christmas concert, a lovely mix of tradition and more modern elements, used to be a highlight of the year.
    On Sunday we went to the carol service at our local church as our two younger children were accompanying the carols on cello and trumpet. I'm pretty much an atheist but I find the Christmas story of the little baby in the manger come to save mankind extremely compelling.
    It is. I reckon you can make a good case for the Christmas message for atheists - of triumph out of unpromising circumstances.
    I have a vicar friend who reckons this nonsense, and that our interpretation of the Bible is all wrong, and actually the circumstances were triumphant. He's probably right. But I'd argue the story is actually more important that the actuality, and the story is of hope out of adversity.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,164
    rcs1000 said:

    The Only Living Boy in New Cross... I like it.

    "Tom, get your plane right on time
    I know your part'll go fine"
    Best ever Paul Simon song (alongside quite a few others, tbf).
  • Taz said:

    Yes, this is an excellent decision from the govt, impressed with how quickly since coming to office they have come up with a final position.
    The fury will outweigh any attempt yo make the logical argument that the vast majority of waspi women knew what was coming.

    Those on charge of the campaign most furious should be ashamed that they actually encouraged many to think they may get 6 years full pension refund.

    It was never going to be more than an ex gratia payment of a few grand.

    It wasn't budgeted for, like blood scandal and post office were in past Reeves budget so the writing was on the wall. Tories palpavly failed to fund any of the three.

    I though Labour would find something over 3 to 4 years and am surprised they haven't, ecpecially on a day when they announce they will add Capture, pre horizon cases to the PO investigation and find it.

    They will be hammered for this in all MSM the timing is cynical.

    Politically a bad move, economically a sound move....

    Pensioners will be hoping triple lock remains and from somewhere Labour can find some sweeteners on coming 5 years
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,477
    kinabalu said:

    As in doing something that took the public, even his biggest fans, a while to cotton onto and appreciate.
    It had the distinct upside of drowning out his voice.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,946
    ...
    kinabalu said:

    They mean Nick Ferrari is the Tory stoigey, MP, not you.
    I was confused as to where the bear fitted in too.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,493
    kinabalu said:

    Yes to your general point (rather than that specific jaundiced take on Biden's record) but it's no rebuttal to what I'm saying, which is that if your heart's not in something you're less likely to pursue it - the 'it' here being helping Ukraine defend itself against Putin. That's undeniable, I think. It's a fact of life. Ukraine's prospects took a hit on Nov 5th. Things might yet work out for them but it's less likely now.
    Except for the fact that Biden didn't do that. Very early on he said explicitly that he wouldn't give Ukraine what they were asking for because it would split NATO (i.e. countried like Germany were opposed). Biden's heart was in maintaining the alliance more than it was in defending Ukraine. It needed someone who was willing to say, "screw the alliance" and focus on the practical issues without any moralising or any illusions.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,710
    MattW said:

    What were the songs, out of interest? (Two or three titles would be enough.)

    Schools with no basis in it trying to perform religion sometimes does not work well - it can be a kind of dad-dancing, like an English person trying to talk French, which they stopped learning at age 12, from memory, 30 years later.

    Equally it can sometimes be a carol concert not meeting befuddled audience expectations.

    (That's the skeptical side, it can also be good - or others have a different set of expectations and experiences.)

    Tricky stuff :smile: . Have you gone a-wassailing yet, this year?
    Ha - I knew keeping the programme would help! The songs were:
    We'll sing the story of Christmas
    Something special
    O Holy Night [I thought I'd recognise this, but I didn't. It wasn't the song out of Home Alone.]
    Away in a Manger
    The Gift
    Shepherd's Calypso [done with some skill by the choir, this, to be fair].
    That First Christmas
    Ring Out
    Child in a Manger Born

    But yes - Dad dancing exactly.

    I don't tend to wassail. Too self conscious about singing. But I'm not averse to others doing it, when done well.

    (Incidentally, I recently found out the original meaning of the a- suffix. It means to go on and on. i.e. in this case a lot of wassailing. It then got coopted by poets for use when an extra syllable is needed.)
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,522

    ...

    I was confused as to where the bear fitted in too.
    Always a typo or two with shecorns. Integral part of the offering.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,612
    Nigelb said:

    Yes, that is an excellent example of good practice, that I posted recently, too.

    Similarly, Europe has shown that tram systems can be built much cheaper than we've managed.
    "Throughout construction, community engagement remained limited and top-down."
    Yes. The weird obsession with community engagement needs to end. You only engage ninbys with time on their hands not actual working people who would benefit.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,522

    It had the distinct upside of drowning out his voice.
    His voice is an acquired taste that rewards those who acquire it. Same with Bob Dylan.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,710

    Sounds suspiciously like a box ticking exercise by a woke head teacher who is convinced that a traditional carol service will upset any non christians (or the DoE).
    It does seem like that - but I know the head, a bit, and I don't think that's the case: I just think she genuinely thinks this sort of thing is more accessible for the kids. I think the reverse is true - it's less accessible (because they've never heard the songs before because quite frankly they don't deserve to be heard) and more religious (because the religioisty seems more sincere as its not tempered by familiarity and tradition.) The non-religious and non-Christian (i.e. almost everyone) are more alienated by this that they would be by better known carols.

    Not ill-meant, just terribly, terribly misguided.
  • Farage meets Musk in Florida with promises of financial help on it's way

    My question - how will the public react to this ?

    Probably much depends on how Trump fares in US in 2025
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,084

    Sounds suspiciously like a box ticking exercise by a woke head teacher who is convinced that a traditional carol service will upset any non christians (or the DoE).
    Any teacher who thought a traditional carol service would upset the DoE would be rushing to put on about six of them.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,493
    kinabalu said:

    His voice is an acquired taste that rewards those who acquire it. Same with Bob Dylan.
    I see why you've chosen that analogy. When you see Starmer denouncing open borders, you must be shouting "Judas!" at the television.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,459
    Nigelb said:

    Yes, that is an excellent example of good practice, that I posted recently, too.

    Similarly, Europe has shown that tram systems can be built much cheaper than we've managed.
    £2 billion? They can't have got many bat bridges or public inquiries for that!

    Or didn't they give a monkey's about our chiropteric cousins or lawyers or other vermin?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,350
    edited December 2024
    Nvm
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,710
    Let me add my voice to those congratulating the government for slapping down the WASPI women. Hooray.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100

    Farage meets Musk in Florida with promises of financial help on it's way

    My question - how will the public react to this ?

    Probably much depends on how Trump fares in US in 2025

    Farage was against foreign interference. I don’t get it
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,710
    rcs1000 said:

    The Only Living Boy in New Cross... I like it.

    "Tom, get your plane right on time
    I know your part'll go fine"
    To be honest, my mind more automatically autocompletes 'Only Living Boy in' to New Cross, after the Carter USM song, than it does to New York, after the S&G song.
  • Jonathan said:

    Farage was against foreign interference. I don’t get it
    He does and millions apparently
  • Jonathan said:

    Farage was against foreign interference. I don’t get it
    It will be the biggest mistake they could make to get on to bed with Musk.

    He is hell bent on destroying the UK and any other democracy whose Leader he can't pull the strings of.

  • Cookie said:

    Let me add my voice to those congratulating the government for slapping down the WASPI women. Hooray.

    This is absolutely the correct decision and good on Starmer

    However, I expect anger from them and isn't Ed Davey very much supportive of them ?
  • NEW THREAD

  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100

    He does and millions apparently
    Take back control …
    … to sell us to the highest bidder
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    Farage meets Musk in Florida with promises of financial help on it's way

    My question - how will the public react to this ?

    Probably much depends on how Trump fares in US in 2025

    Farage might like the attention he gets among the US Republican movement, but he’s an idiot if he thinks that taking a load of foreign money will be in any way beneficial to him in the UK. He might be able to keep a group of activists and think-tank types happy for a bit, but that’s not going to translate into an actual election campaign in the future.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,200

    The fury will outweigh any attempt yo make the logical argument that the vast majority of waspi women knew what was coming.

    Those on charge of the campaign most furious should be ashamed that they actually encouraged many to think they may get 6 years full pension refund.

    It was never going to be more than an ex gratia payment of a few grand.

    It wasn't budgeted for, like blood scandal and post office were in past Reeves budget so the writing was on the wall. Tories palpavly failed to fund any of the three.

    I though Labour would find something over 3 to 4 years and am surprised they haven't, ecpecially on a day when they announce they will add Capture, pre horizon cases to the PO investigation and find it.

    They will be hammered for this in all MSM the timing is cynical.

    Politically a bad move, economically a sound move....

    Pensioners will be hoping triple lock remains and from somewhere Labour can find some sweeteners on coming 5 years
    The Tories not funding WASPI so-called compensation was the right thing to do. No compensation is merited or deserved. It should never have been budgeted for. Taxpayers should not be expected to pay money to entitled boomers who couldn’t be bothered to appraise themselves of these changes or ignored correspondance.

    The other two matters should have been funded and shame on them for not doing so.

    Fury or not they have lost. State pension is a benefit not an entitlement.

    They can be hammered in the press all they,like, it won’t change anything. The minor parties will still demand money for these people and if the Lib Dems ever got a chance of power in coalition they’d drop any commitment as fast as you could say ‘tuition fees’.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,487
    When our daughter was at college, she had a muslim boyfriend for a number of years. We had him, and a number of his friends who weren’t able to go home to Bahrain, etc, for Christmas dinner. We bought a halal turkey, which was excellent.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,493
    Sandpit said:

    Farage might like the attention he gets among the US Republican movement, but he’s an idiot if he thinks that taking a load of foreign money will be in any way beneficial to him in the UK. He might be able to keep a group of activists and think-tank types happy for a bit, but that’s not going to translate into an actual election campaign in the future.
    Being able to bankroll the activists and think-tanks who would otherwise back the Tories might be worth more than you think.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,522
    Cookie said:

    Ha - I knew keeping the programme would help! The songs were:
    We'll sing the story of Christmas
    Something special
    O Holy Night [I thought I'd recognise this, but I didn't. It wasn't the song out of Home Alone.]
    Away in a Manger
    The Gift
    Shepherd's Calypso [done with some skill by the choir, this, to be fair].
    That First Christmas
    Ring Out
    Child in a Manger Born

    But yes - Dad dancing exactly.

    I don't tend to wassail. Too self conscious about singing. But I'm not averse to others doing it, when done well.

    (Incidentally, I recently found out the original meaning of the a- suffix. It means to go on and on. i.e. in this case a lot of wassailing. It then got coopted by poets for use when an extra syllable is needed.)
    Think I'm with you here. You want more of the classics than that. Sounds like someone being too clever by half. It's reminding me of when I went to see Elton John at the Albert Hall and he'd reworked all of his stuff to sound edgy and urban, every song dominated by a big bald guy at the front of the stage bashing on a drum. Terrible it was. Nothing like when Dylan went electric.
  • kinabalu said:

    Always a typo or two with shecorns. Integral part of the offering.
    My mother's maiden name was Unwin
  • It will be the biggest mistake they could make to get on to bed with Musk.

    He is hell bent on destroying the UK and any other democracy whose Leader he can't pull the strings of.

    You hope it is the biggest mistake Farage could make

    We really have no way of knowing how this pans out through 2025 and beyond
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,994
    Cookie said:

    It is. I reckon you can make a good case for the Christmas message for atheists - of triumph out of unpromising circumstances.
    I have a vicar friend who reckons this nonsense, and that our interpretation of the Bible is all wrong, and actually the circumstances were triumphant. He's probably right. But I'd argue the story is actually more important that the actuality, and the story is of hope out of adversity.
    Common worship is all about songs not hymns.. they often have a guitar and drums and or flute and usually ignore the organ. Cf. Songs of Praise

    Thats not for me but the Church thinks it's
    the way to go.

    There is still the original Book of Common Prayer Service mainly 8am H Communion if Common Wordship is the main Service.and it's a said service with no hymns usually.

    You can always find a traditional church with a traditional service by consulting the Prayer Book Society which will direct you to the nearest BCP Church.

    https://www.pbs.org.uk/
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,487
    Cookie said:

    Ha - I knew keeping the programme would help! The songs were:
    We'll sing the story of Christmas
    Something special
    O Holy Night [I thought I'd recognise this, but I didn't. It wasn't the song out of Home Alone.]
    Away in a Manger
    The Gift
    Shepherd's Calypso [done with some skill by the choir, this, to be fair].
    That First Christmas
    Ring Out
    Child in a Manger Born

    But yes - Dad dancing exactly.

    I don't tend to wassail. Too self conscious about singing. But I'm not averse to others doing it, when done well.

    (Incidentally, I recently found out the original meaning of the a- suffix. It means to go on and on. i.e. in this case a lot of wassailing. It then got coopted by poets for use when an extra syllable is needed.)
    I don’t wassail either. It would be more like an ass wailing.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,522
    edited December 2024

    Except for the fact that Biden didn't do that. Very early on he said explicitly that he wouldn't give Ukraine what they were asking for because it would split NATO (i.e. countried like Germany were opposed). Biden's heart was in maintaining the alliance more than it was in defending Ukraine. It needed someone who was willing to say, "screw the alliance" and focus on the practical issues without any moralising or any illusions.
    You are really straining now. It's unwise at your age.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,207
    Cookie said:

    It is. I reckon you can make a good case for the Christmas message for atheists - of triumph out of unpromising circumstances.
    I have a vicar friend who reckons this nonsense, and that our interpretation of the Bible is all wrong, and actually the circumstances were triumphant. He's probably right. But I'd argue the story is actually more important that the actuality, and the story is of hope out of adversity.
    I'd comment there that hope out of adversity *is* in large part the actuality, and I see no conflict in multiple interpretations.

    For the same reason I'd quarrel with evaluations such as "our interpretation" and "all wrong"; the various interpretations are different views, which are to be expected in an NT written for the many different types of community making up the Roman Empire.

    I was quite interested that Kemi quoted "The parable of the talents" as her favourite, which is about good stewardship of what you (have been given), and what the warning of a bad servant who is chucked out. But OTOH the master is an absentee landlord, and there are lots of awkward questions for that character to answer especially in 2024, and other parables about that.

    Equally the form of the community in Acts has been taken as an inspiration for a Christian Communism.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,047

    It's a factual statement. You can be opposed to Russia without having to live in a fantasy world.
    So, if a NATO country (say) Turkey invaded Armenia, and then Armenian troops were to cross over into Turkey, that would constitute an attack on a NATO nation and result in the invocation of Article 5?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,207
    edited December 2024

    Again, I’ve twice already said that there’s a reasonable case for excluding them. Now three times!! It is the ONS that included them - not me or indeed @Pulpstar for that matter!
    Yes :smile: . I'll push further and say that the whole thing is a shit bonkers methodology.

    There's quite a bit of history about why things were built up that way (and this way). In recent times it was "All the rest is Green Belt, we'll have to do developement *there* because we want to protect the Green Belt." There are still echoes of that in County or "Nottingham and its area" level strategic planning documents if you read between the lines. It's one reason I am glad to see 70-years-out-of-date Green Belt maps questioned.

    Before that rich people built their industry on that patch, and lived somewhere else. You can see a small echo of it in where Ashfield MPs (on their high salaries) live. Geoff Hoon lived in Breaston in the leafy Trent Valley, Gloria de Piero lived n Bagthorpe near Langley Mill - one of the more rural Ashfield villages. Lee Anderson lives in a former mining town, albeit he's moved to the posh end of it.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 6,059

    My mother's maiden name was Unwin
    And just to check, what’s the long number on the front of your card and the 3 digit code on the back?
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,477
    Cookie said:

    Ha - I knew keeping the programme would help! The songs were:
    We'll sing the story of Christmas
    Something special
    O Holy Night [I thought I'd recognise this, but I didn't. It wasn't the song out of Home Alone.]
    Away in a Manger
    The Gift
    Shepherd's Calypso [done with some skill by the choir, this, to be fair].
    That First Christmas
    Ring Out
    Child in a Manger Born

    But yes - Dad dancing exactly.

    I don't tend to wassail. Too self conscious about singing. But I'm not averse to others doing it, when done well.

    (Incidentally, I recently found out the original meaning of the a- suffix. It means to go on and on. i.e. in this case a lot of wassailing. It then got coopted by poets for use when an extra syllable is needed.)
    It's always annoying when someone packs the programme with 'their new material', be it Engelbert Humperdink or the Church. You need to read the room. Though Oh Holy Night is a very famous carol, and has had a big pop culture impact with many contemporary artists attempting a version.

    But I don't really accord with your complaint about too much Christianity. It's a Christian festival. And the kids singing the songs I am sure didn’t feel difident or conflicted about it, so I don't see why you should feel it on their behalf. If they now experience nothing of the religious meaning of Christmas, they will still have done this.
  • I used to live in Heaton, in between Byker and Walker, and I don't remember anyone claiming that any of those areas were anything other than Newcastle. North Shields, Tynemouth and Whitley Bay maybe, but the inland suburbs to the east of the town centre no. Gateshead though certainly persisted in the fiction that it wasn't part of Newcastle, a fine example of the kind of boneheaded parochialism at which the north of England excels.
    First post so be gentle.....

    There is a wall that separates Newcastle and Sunderland. Has been there for 2000 years - why interfere with a settled position?
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,994

    I don’t wassail either. It would be more like an ass wailing.
    Service imho was ghastly.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,615
    Pulpstar said:

    Who the fuck wrote that perverse contract out.
    It’s an idiotic mistake to make, by civil servants out of their depth

    But I doubt it was as obvious as written.

    Probably it’s the case that

    1. Investment by the MoD isn’t compensated
    2. The properties are revalued every 12 months to calculate the total NAV of the portfolio
    3. The rent charges is a fixed return on the NAV

    Put it together and you get the outcome as described in the tweet. But it’s not totally obvious to an inexperienced contract person

    (This is not to say that this wasn’t a f**k up by the government of the day)
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,207
    edited December 2024

    It's always annoying when someone packs the programme with 'their new material', be it Engelbert Humperdink or the Church. You need to read the room. Though Oh Holy Night is a very famous carol, and has had a big pop culture impact with many contemporary artists attempting a version.

    But I don't really accord with your complaint about too much Christianity. It's a Christian festival. And the kids singing the songs I am sure didn’t feel difident or conflicted about it, so I don't see why you should feel it on their behalf. If they now experience nothing of the religious meaning of Christmas, they will still have done this.
    Thanks for posting.

    I've had a look. It's a tricky event to balance because you need easy to participate for all ages, impress parents, let the choir show-off, not annoy anyone TOO much, perhaps even not be so traditional as to be 'promoting religion' and so on. It can work well or badly, and differently for different people.

    Notes:
    ----------
    Ha - I knew keeping the programme would help! The songs were:

    We'll sing the story of ChristmasThis is Usonian immediately post-WW2, so vaguely Bing Crosby sort of time.
    Something special Is this CBeebies? It is a programme with a "Hello Hello" song theme.
    O Holy Night [I thought I'd recognise this, but I didn't. It wasn't the song out of Home Alone.] Not sure on that one. The Home Alone version is everywhere.
    Away in a Manger Known, but it's Usonian late Victorian "Meek and Mild" nonsense, that really really irritates me.
    The Gift Again lots of ones called this.
    Shepherd's Calypso That's here. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dfxRVfxvZjE.
    That First Christmas I like this one
    Ring Out The Bells Ring Out? I have an inkling this maybe Ukrainian originally, but they would probably have told you. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carol_of_the_Bells

    Child in a Manger BornThis is modern, from a British couple called Mark and Helen Johnson, who specialise in music for assemblies, schools, churches etc - since 1989.
    ----------

    It's always interesting what comforts or provokes. I've been across many traditions, and take a 1662 Anglican to a Pentecostal event, or vice versa, or a traditional Gospel Hall Protestant to a charismatic (say hands-up evangelical) do, or vice versa, and it can either be embraced as "different and interesting" or can make someone freeze, or even be repelled. Attachments to style run very deep, because the meaning runs very deep for the individuals. If something is not what we expect, it can be challenging.

    It's particularly fun that typically black people clap OFF the beat, and white people clap ON the beat. That can cause chaos for a bit.

    I quite like silence sometimes :smile: .
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,522
    edited December 2024

    It's always annoying when someone packs the programme with 'their new material', be it Engelbert Humperdink or the Church. You need to read the room. Though Oh Holy Night is a very famous carol, and has had a big pop culture impact with many contemporary artists attempting a version.

    But I don't really accord with your complaint about too much Christianity. It's a Christian festival. And the kids singing the songs I am sure didn’t feel difident or conflicted about it, so I don't see why you should feel it on their behalf. If they now experience nothing of the religious meaning of Christmas, they will still have done this.
    You never get new songs with Englebert.

    His "Last Waltz" btw kept the Beatles' monumental double A side, Strawberry Fields and Penny Lane, off the number 1 spot.

    And deservedly so. It was even better.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,785

    When our daughter was at college, she had a muslim boyfriend for a number of years. We had him, and a number of his friends who weren’t able to go home to Bahrain, etc, for Christmas dinner. We bought a halal turkey, which was excellent.

    Yes, I often invite stray doctors in our department for Christmas dinner if rotas prevent them from getting back to their own families. I have had Muslims, Greeks and Hindus. No pigs in Blankets for the Muslims of course.
  • Foxy said:

    Yes, I often invite stray doctors in our department for Christmas dinner if rotas prevent them from getting back to their own families. I have had Muslims, Greeks and Hindus. No pigs in Blankets for the Muslims of course.
    You just seem like such a decent person Dr Foxy.
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