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Farage remains the favourite to be the next PM – politicalbetting.com

On Betfair Nigel Farage remains the favourite to succeed Sir Keir Starmer as our next Prime Minister.
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Poll suggesting majority of Leave voters support return of freedom of movement. Is this really Farage's moment?
Apparently Kemi Badenoch prefers watching Die Hard at Christmas
He also knows that there is REAL APPETITE now to begin to reduild and reopen bridges and that he is ALREADY DOING.
If the great cooperation over Migration and Immigration starts to bear the sort of low hanging fruits we've seen in the past few months with well publicised arrests in Germany, The Balkans etc, it opens up more avenues economically and travel wise.
The is potentially plenty of low hanging fruit for him to gradually pick over the next 3-4 years.
(1) HOLIDAY TRAVEL- anything that improves transit to and through EU airports in holiday season where SKS has actually moved the dial in favour of the UK Voter = MASSIVE VOTE WINNER
(2) EASIER EMPLOYMENT / Study On fixed term Visas EU Nationals - a BIG vote winner with the key Younger Voters
(3) Easing of RED TAPE and PAPERWORK - may even placate the majority of Framers who are not Farage supporting bone heads
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Drip feed this slowly sr=teadily, gain PUBLIC APPROVAL and then in 2028 or 2029 go the the Country with a stark WARNING...
You can gradually enjoy the benefits of a NEW EU relationship that loosely ties us to the benefits..
or
Vote for Farage or whoever the then Tory Leader is and go back to the "little englander" dark ages....and if that also ensures we DON'T become the 51st or 52nd State as Farage wants...even BETTER!
Not that It feels likely at the moment. After a few teething troubles his government seems to be shaping up to be one the most competent and creative we've had for a while
By 2028 a lot of the more vocal pro-Brexit pro-Farage types will be in their graves and that will reduce his support even further and may be the only saving grace if SKS continues to dazzle at his current performance level...
UK and US trade is mostly in services, and UK good sold to the US are mostly cars and F&B which rely on British identity. American’s aren’t going to buy Macallan and McLaren from elsewhere.
Just like the ones I used to know...."
So much to unpack there:
Lunch is for wimps.
"I have food brought in"
Desk steaks?
Sandwiches are for breakfast?
How dry does bread have to be?
Our government is anxious to reset relations with the EU and, as a Brexit voter, I have no problem with that although we should be aware that the cost of this is a continuation of our massive trade deficit with them. The challenge is going to be getting any intelligent response from the EU when both its more important governments are now caretakers after their governments' collapse. My expectation is that the UK will be frustrated by the incoherence of the EU position.
The children listen,
For the sound of "Seig Heils" in the snow...
Anything we want, they will oppose, simply because they regard it as cherry-picking. Doesn't matter if it's perfectly reasonable or marginally beneficial to them or even if they proposed it in the first place. And they will demand huge and unacceptable concessions simply because they think they have the upper hand.
The only way to get results from the EU, as Margaret Thatcher showed with the rebate, is to be even more determined, single-minded and inflexible than they are. Then maybe you'll get a fraction of what you want.
Even the Americans, who are by no means a pushover, are more rational and easier to deal with than the EU. They may be excruciatingly legalistic and utterly insular and ignorant of foreign countries, but at least they don't constantly shift their ground and aren't quite as insecure about their rationale for existence.
Mind you, her terrible speech the other day makes a lot more sense now. I'm picturing her writing it with one hand over lunch while trying to eat some steak and a slice of very dry bread with the other.
It's almost as if Brexit was a bad idea.
If we go down that road we will get a free for all and there will be someone who finds some reason to gun for you too. Literally.
"I would give the devil benefit of law, for my own safety's sake."
He merely appeals to the intelectually challenged as all extremists of left and right do
He cannot stand an iota of scruting as evidenced this week. That may appeal to 15% of the population but under GE Campaign scruting he'd just create a tsunami of "stop Farage"
I just cannot see a Reform PM, I think they are too marmite as a party.
Classic "can't do" ...aka "won't do"
The landscape has changed.
Things will happen!
It is not the norm but so what.
Plenty of things to critique her for politically but her choice of food so what.
People I work with have food brought in. They order a Greggs via Uber Eats. No one bats an eyelid.
That's comment is a signpost to a rabbit hole.
Which film or other script represents the current opposition?
I don't know my film scripts well enough, but I'm inclined to reach for something centred on a different planet such as an alien civilisation visited by Star Trek, or The Clangers.
Which wold mean that for all three of Trump's election contests the House GOP did better than he did.
It also confirms that the cumulative gerrymandering and vote rigging now benefits the Dems in the House.
** Note that some House seats are unopposed.
It is only bad when the GOP do it.
I think that's how it works.
https://www.theguardian.com/film/2024/dec/12/alien-on-stage-documentary-theatre-amateurs-horror-film
It will likely first manifest itself in finding it impossible to get a jury that will unanimously convict. The Gorgeous Assassin will then operate in another world of alternative laws.
Until somebody guns him down.
Note: no cereal, so no worries on that count re liquidity.
So sitting there, the US negotiators know what will pass and what will not.
For the EU, the layers of nations and politics mean that the ground is continually shifting under their feet.
I am intrigued to know how you manage to eat a steak at your desk while working. Unless what you are actually doing is eating while having a work-related conversation with someone. That is how a lot of people spend their lunch "break" and not something I'd be bringing out for a journo as something distinctively "me" yet relatable.
And then there's the "sandwiches are what you have for breakfast" comment. That is also a bit peculiar. Yes, I guess "a bacon sandwich" is an occasional breakfast item, but judging by the lorryloads of sandwiches sold for lunch every day in Britain, "sandwiches are what you have for breakfast" does not exactly resonate with the wider public.
ETA: I take this back. Sandwiches are one of the most common breakfast foods in Nigeria. It is the lack of this context that makes it sound odd, and that's on me.
It's nothing really significant, and would completely fly by if it was some celeb puff piece. But it leans into the developing narrative that Badenoch is just a bit odd, and speaks without properly engaging her brain.
But the 'lunch is for wimps, you should be eating while you work' stuff is not what any employee wants to hear.
They should try one, they might like it.
He did deserve to be prosecuted.
I was confused for a while, thinking it meant they were utterly shite and out of their depths.
Thanks for clarifying.
People can vent and emote, I get that, but the problem with social media is that it can, and does, cross over into real action.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0WsOzrnBTHA
Here are 10 common Nigerian breakfast dishes.
1) Bread Sandwich with a hot beverage
This is the most common breakfast dish in Nigeria. The ever-present Bread and ‘tea’. In most homes, this is the go-to breakfast dish. It is loved by both adults and children, it is quick and easy to throw together. Bread and ‘tea’ can be accompanied by boiled egg, omelette, sausage, bacon, canned sardines, corned beef, mackerel in tomato sauce (geisha) etc. A lot of kids call any hot beverage ‘tea’.
https://www.thepretendchef.com/nigerian-breakfast-dishes/
1. Bread Sandwich with a Hot Beverage
Nigerian breakfast Bread Sandwich and Tea
This is one of the simplest and most satisfying Nigerian breakfasts. All you need is some bread, some fillings, and a hot drink of your choice. You can toast the bread or eat it as it is. You can fill it with eggs, sardines, corned beef, bacon, or anything else you like. You can also add some butter, jam, cheese, or peanut butter for extra flavor. For the hot drink, you can choose from tea, coffee, or cocoa. This breakfast is perfect for busy mornings when you need something quick and easy.
https://mysasun.com/blogs/bloglearning-bytes/top-13-traditional-nigerian-breakfast-dishes-you-need-to-try?srsltid=AfmBOorY2hN3TjV0tpKyEdz0BxwveByDYfRz2lK14zsrVCGXETn5p0HU
Politicians bring weird about food is a rich category.
What is she doing?
Davey would likely demand Starmer returns to the EEA with free movement while also scrapping the tractor tax and restoring winter fuel allowance for pensioners as the price for his support