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Oh James Cleverly – politicalbetting.com

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  • FossFoss Posts: 1,296
    HYUFD said:

    Ed Davey is a practising Anglican I believe so that is largely true, certainly for Bishops and clergy although the C of E congregations tend to be more Tory.

    The Tories got a higher percentage of Jews voting for them at the last general election than Anglicans but did do well with conservative Protestant evangelicals and Rishi also made gains with Hindus. Labour got its biggest vote from Muslims and atheists.

    Roman Catholics voted for Boris in 2019 but Starmer this time
    Catholics were MoE Tory in '24.


  • Is that John Cusack the actor?
    "Of course you're having trouble reaching him. He's off saving the rain forest, or recycling his sandals or some shit!"
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,118
    Nigelb said:

    It's the difference between absence of evidence and evidence of absence.

    Any scientist knows those aren't the same thing.
    Yes, but in general you can also make the argument of parsimony, that in the absence of evidence for an omnipotent God, existing in a realm very different to our own, etc, etc, it is logical to conclude that he does not exist. There's certainly not much reason to believe that he does so.

    But Belief trumps Reason, so it doesn't really matter.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881
    edited October 2024

    Are you certain there is no Tooth Fairy?
    No

    In one version of the multiverse theory, every possible universe must exist, so out there, somewhere, is a universe with a tooth fairy

    So if serious physicists believe tooth fairies are possible, who am I to dispute that?

    In the end, religion comes down to intuition.It is probably beyond our ability to comprehend the universe, rationally. The universe is a fucking big place, it may indeed be infinite, or there is an infinite sequence of universes one after the other, or there are infinite universes in parallel, or we are actually in a simulation (a more fashionable theory held by serious scientists)

    What can a hairy bipedal ape on one small planet, with a lack of parking, do in the face of that? We can try and work it all out (and we’ve done amazingly well so far, and we should continue) but I suspect we will eventually hit limits, and may be close to them, now. At that point you fall back on intuition, you listen to yourself, and see if you can detect the pure, beautiful voice of your own soul, calling you, welcoming you back to God, like an Estonian homecoming song, one of those beautiful melodies Baltic women sing in airports when the beloved returns and which make you tear up a bit, as you fumble with your Duty Free

    As Blaise Pascal said: the heart has its reasons, of which reason knows nothing
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,947
    edited October 2024
    MattW said:

    I tried a Five Guys a few months ago, and even though it was not a ginormous, I still thought comparing it to a Cheese Burger was like Clarkson comparing an American to a European.

    https://youtu.be/JsMVncOU1K4?t=224
    I had Five Guys in the very early 2000s when they only had a very small number of outlets in the US and it was great. Last time I had one was probably a year or so ago, it wasn't anywhere near as good.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,559
    Foss said:

    Catholics were MoE Tory in '24.


    How much is this a proxy for age?
  • To steal @Leon's phrase, that is the analogy of the adolescent.
    Do you believe in the Tooth Fairy or not?
  • Carnyx said:

    Would surprise me to see Buddhism called the belief system of the adolescent, in particular.
    It is, nonetheless, a belief system. I personally *believe* that many avowed atheists are highly adolescent in their approach. It doesn't necessarily follow that all atheists are as simplistic as most.
  • Yes, I believe so
    Rolls eyes....
  • Silly. Most atheists reject the existence of god(s) usually (but not exclusively) because there's sod all reason to believe it. Guff about the meaning of life doesn't come into it.
    Correction - "Guff about the meaning of death . . ."
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021

    They are keeping the riff raff out....
    Of course they are, what would you expect from Geneva?

    Wait until next May, and @Leon will be complaining that his £200 a day budget doesn’t go far at the Monaco Grand Prix.
  • Correction - "Guff about the meaning of death . . ."
    "Always look on the bright side..."
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,907

    OT: The Tory Party had an opportunity to have a leader that would look attractive and normal to compare with Sir Keir Freebie-Boring. They have blown it. A choice of two swiveleyed nutters who will take the Conservative Party further to the right and further into the wilderness. Sir Keir must be pissing his very expensive underpants with laughter.

    Expensive , he gets them free!
  • Silly. Most atheists reject the existence of god(s) usually (but not exclusively) because there's sod all reason to believe it. Guff about the meaning of life doesn't come into it.
    Not sure why it is important whether someone is an atheist, agnostic or of faith as it is an individual matter of conscience

    I think the late Dave Allen had the best response

    'May your God go with you '
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881
    Sandpit said:

    The tourists they’re selling to, tens of thousands of them at the moment, are all in those nice resorts on the lake, where they can spend a week looking at water and mountains, visit the spas and drink in the bars, and only spend €10,000 per person per week doing so. It’s a bargain for the exclusivity.

    Are you feeling left out yet?
    No. I’ve been to those resorts. I stayed at this one for three nights a few years ago


    https://hotel-royal.evianresort.com/en

    They gave me a free solo ride in their brand new million quid James Bond hyperjet speed boat

    The hotel was full of Liverpool FC players, doing some pre season training in the sun
  • I had Five Guys in the very early 2000s when they only had a very small number of outlets in the US and it was great. Last time I had one was probably a year or so ago, it wasn't anywhere near as good.
    BUT probably at least twice as salty? Five Guys should issue health alerts with their "meals"!
  • Driver said:

    "Like teenagers THEY JUST KNOW, ALRIGHT" applies just as well to a not inconsiderable number of theists.
    Certainly, but you missed the point. Our very own resident adolescent Barty, tried to postulate that atheism is not a belief set. It is. The whataboutery has nothing to do with the discussion.
  • HYUFD said:

    The Tories are highly unlikely to win a majority under Jenrick or Badenoch I agree. There is a slim chance the Tories + Reform + DUP+TUV combined have enough seats for a majority though
    Indeed, although as you say, slim. It's likely that Badenoch wins the leadership. I cannot see the public warming to her, the current mood is generally against "shouty" populism as people seem a broken country and want competent leaders to fix things to work easily, efficiently and in their favour. It's quite possible that there could be a further reversal in Tory MP's at the next election if they swing ever right wards into a Trumpist/Tea Party style of politics. I just don't think that would wash here. Of course she could end up defenestrated a la Thatch/IDS and then a moderate new boy (or indeed girl) comes swinging in all Heseltonian Tarzanlike.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,181

    BUT probably at least twice as salty? Five Guys should issue health alerts with their "meals"!
    Salt is delicious and without it we wouldn't be alive.
  • malcolmg said:

    Expensive , he gets them free!
    They are still expensive to Lord Alli, but then again perhaps not. Perhaps I should have said " high quality".
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    edited October 2024
    Leon said:

    No. I’ve been to those resorts. I stayed at this one for three nights a few years ago


    https://hotel-royal.evianresort.com/en

    They gave me a free solo ride in their brand new million quid James Bond hyperjet speed boat

    The hotel was full of Liverpool FC players, doing some pre season training in the sun
    So how much does life suck now, knowing that you could be there but aren’t allowed to be?
  • MattW said:

    I tried a Five Guys a few months ago, and even though it was not a ginormous, I still thought comparing it to a Cheese Burger was like Clarkson comparing an American to a European.

    https://youtu.be/JsMVncOU1K4?t=226
    Ginormous is NOT what REALLY quality burgers - with cheese or without - are all about.

    Might as well stuff yourself with a roll (or more) of bum-wipe.

    Preferably unused . . . but no accounting for taste!
  • Do you believe in the Tooth Fairy or not?
    I will keep you guessing on that one, but I do now believe that you are probably a silly twat.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,291
    edited October 2024

    Indeed:

    Do you believe in God?

    If Yes, goto 1.
    If No, goto 2.

    1: You are a theist
    2. You are an atheist
    Yes, atheist vs agnostic is a superficial distinction. It mainly crops up as a rhetorical 'divide and rule' play by people who have (and good luck to them) made the Leap of Faith that there is a God and for some reason are bugged that others have not.

    It's not a meaningful exercise to try and split atheism from something called "agnosticism". Why? Because everybody (the religious and the not religious) ultimately is an agnostic on the Big Big Picture in the sense they must accept, if they are rational, that there could be things unknown (and possibly unknowable) to us.

    So there are theists and there are atheists and that's it. If you're not in the first lane you are in the second. And everyone in both lanes, ie everyone on the planet, is an agnostic.
  • Certainly, but you missed the point. Our very own resident adolescent Barty, tried to postulate that atheism is not a belief set. It is. The whataboutery has nothing to do with the discussion.
    Is lack of belief in the Tooth Fairy a belief set?
  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,559

    Certainly, but you missed the point. Our very own resident adolescent Barty, tried to postulate that atheism is not a belief set. It is. The whataboutery has nothing to do with the discussion.
    Yeah, of course it is, but denigrating it in the terms Leon did can be turned around...
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,256
    Oh dear. The first rule of politics is to know how to count. This feels suboptimal for the Tories.
  • FossFoss Posts: 1,296
    edited October 2024
    Enjoy is a tricky term but if you get something out of Threads then I'd also recommend 'The War Game' from 1966.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881
    Sandpit said:

    So how much does life suck now, knowing that you could be there but aren’t allowed to be?
    lol. Zero. It was OK. I’ve been to a trillion five star hotels, that was an agreeable one, but I cannot remember a single thing about it apart from “nice view” and “oh there are famous footballers in the gardens, I think I recognise a couple. Anyway where are my olives”

    I am meant to be going to a genuinely great and UNUSUAL hotel next month, we shall see
  • Leon said:

    No. I’ve been to those resorts. I stayed at this one for three nights a few years ago


    https://hotel-royal.evianresort.com/en

    They gave me a free solo ride in their brand new million quid James Bond hyperjet speed boat

    The hotel was full of Liverpool FC players, doing some pre season training in the sun
    I think Evian, though on Lake Geneva/Lac Leman) is in France, not Switzerland. Sorry to be pedantic
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021

    Oh dear. The first rule of politics is to know how to count. This feels suboptimal for the Tories.

    Certainly for the guy who’s somewhat euphamistically called Cleverly.
  • Leon said:

    lol. Zero. It was OK. I’ve been to a trillion five star hotels, that was an agreeable one, but I cannot remember a single thing about it apart from “nice view” and “oh there are famous footballers in the gardens, I think I recognise a couple. Anyway where are my olives”

    I am meant to be going to a genuinely great and UNUSUAL hotel next month, we shall see
    When we stayed in Geneva in 2014, it was in the Novotel near the lake, perfectly acceptable. We even got free travel vouchers around the city.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,559
    kinabalu said:

    Yes, atheist vs agnostic is a superficial distinction. It mainly crops up as a rhetorical 'divide and rule' play by people who have (and good luck to them) made the Leap of Faith that there is a God and for some reason are bugged that others have not.

    It's not a meaningful exercise to try and split atheism from something called "agnosticism". Why? Because everybody (the religious and the not religious) ultimately is an agnostic on the Big Big Picture in the sense they must accept, if they are rational, that there could be things unknown (and possibly unknowable) to us.

    So there are theists and there are atheists and that's it. If you're not in the first lane you are in the second. And everyone in both lanes, ie everyone on the planet, is an agnostic.
    Atheism and agnosticism are only the same from the point of view of actual established religions, rather than theism as a concept.
  • Foss said:

    Enjoy is a tricky term but if you get something out of Threads then I'd also recommend 'The War Game' from 1966.
    Not, "War Games"??
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,181

    Indeed, although as you say, slim. It's likely that Badenoch wins the leadership. I cannot see the public warming to her, the current mood is generally against "shouty" populism as people seem a broken country and want competent leaders to fix things to work easily, efficiently and in their favour. It's quite possible that there could be a further reversal in Tory MP's at the next election if they swing ever right wards into a Trumpist/Tea Party style of politics. I just don't think that would wash here. Of course she could end up defenestrated a la Thatch/IDS and then a moderate new boy (or indeed girl) comes swinging in all Heseltonian Tarzanlike.
    A shouty populist party has gone from polling 3% to polling 20% in under a year. The master of dull (I admit competence is becoming a stretch) is becoming the fastest ever approval ratings loser. This is pure projection.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881

    I think Evian, though on Lake Geneva/Lac Leman) is in France, not Switzerland. Sorry to be pedantic
    Tho I suspect it is the hotel resort @Sandpit is referring to. It is probably the most famous/prestigious on the lake shore in terms of spa/cuisine/scale etc
  • MattWMattW Posts: 25,681

    They are still expensive to Lord Alli, but then again perhaps not. Perhaps I should have said " high quality".
    If he bought a full set at two per MP and three for Ministers, he could get the 1000 qty bulk discount :smile: .
  • Is lack of belief in the Tooth Fairy a belief set?
    An inability to understand an appropriate intellectual analogy and indulge in the puerile argument of a ten year old is a probably a twatset. Well done on continuing to underline your stupidity.
  • Salt is delicious and without it we wouldn't be alive.
    In moderation.

    Which is NOT how it's used by most fast-food mongers, with 5 Guys being especially abusive of their customers.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,291
    Driver said:

    Atheism and agnosticism are only the same from the point of view of actual established religions, rather than theism as a concept.
    I'm not saying they're the same. I'm saying everyone, theist or atheist, is an agnostic.
  • An inability to understand an appropriate intellectual analogy and indulge in the puerile argument of a ten year old is a probably a twatset. Well done on continuing to underline your stupidity.
    But if it's not OK for me not to believe in God, why is it OK for YOU to not believe in the Tooth Fairy?
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    Oh dear what a mess !

    At this point Badenoch seems a slightly less horrifying choice than the mural painter Jenrick who makes my skin crawl .
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,933

    Oh dear. The first rule of politics is to know how to count. This feels suboptimal for the Tories.

    I sense the tears of a crocodile

  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    edited October 2024
    Leon said:

    Tho I suspect it is the hotel resort @Sandpit is referring to. It is probably the most famous/prestigious on the lake shore in terms of spa/cuisine/scale etc
    I wasn’t referring to any particular resort, merely making the point that there are many of them on the lake, and you’re destined to get the bus back into town to your sh!tty AirBnB tonight, with barely the budget for a bottle of Aldi’s best wine…

    (You know I’m just taking the piss, but it’s an interesting assignment if you properly stick to it. They should have given you a chaperone in Geneva to make sure you do, and had said chaperone do a review of the Four Seasons.)
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,256
    I'm going up to Sheffield on Friday for a long weekend. Not sure I should watch this beforehand.
  • A shouty populist party has gone from polling 3% to polling 20% in under a year. The master of dull (I admit competence is becoming a stretch) is becoming the fastest ever approval ratings loser. This is pure projection.
    I am at a loss to understand what this means for not only the conservative party but politics as a whole, but in this climate where politicians fall like a stone in approval once in the spotlight anything could happen

    Volatility is by its name unpredictable, and never has our politics been more unpredictable and anyone saying with any certainty what the future holds is either wishcasting, or oblivious to how politics is changing before our very eyes
  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,559
    kinabalu said:

    I'm not saying they're the same. I'm saying everyone, theist or atheist, is an agnostic.
    Which is just claiming that agnosticism is a meaningless concept.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,757
    edited October 2024

    Not, "War Games"??
    Inevitably...

    Greetings, Professor Falken...
  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,304
    Well, that rather put me off my stride on the eve of poll final canvassing!

    Oh, guess like @TSE, I'll have to plump for the Madenoch.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,559

    I am at a loss to understand what this means for not only the conservative party but politics as a whole, but in this climate where politicians fall like a stone in approval once in the spotlight anything could happen

    Volatility is by its name unpredictable, and never has our politics been more unpredictable and anyone saying with any certainty what the future holds is either wishcasting, or oblivious to how politics is changing before our very eyes
    I think Badenoch has the highest ceiling of the final three (and probably of the original six) but Jenrick probably has the lowest floor (though this may be Badenoch too). She certainly has a belief system that reflects a significant share of the population and a tiny share of the country's leadership class - if she can graft a coherent policy platform onto that, there are rewards to be reaped.

    It is a big "if", true.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881
    Sandpit said:

    I wasn’t referring to any particular resort, merely making the point that there are many of them on the lake, and you’re destined to get the bus back into town to your sh!tty AirBnB tonight, with barely the budget for a bottle of Aldi’s best wine…

    (You know I’m just taking the piss, but it’s an interesting assignment if you properly stick to it. They should have given you a chaperone in Geneva to make sure you do!)
    You’re still missing my point. Why would anyone come HERE? When nearby towns are so superior in terms of beauty, cuisine, art, culture, landscape - Lausanne, Montreux, Zermatt, Chamonix, Annecy, Lucerne, Lyon, Turin, Milan

    Why would any tourist voluntarily come to GENEVA for a holiday given that it is the most expensive city in Europe? And has none of these peerless attractions?

    So why is it so expensive? I can only presume it is all the international institutions- FIFA, UN. Red Cross, etc - and their boring bureaucrats on expense accounts
  • Driver said:

    I think Badenoch has the highest ceiling of the final three (and probably of the original six) but Jenrick probably has the lowest floor (though this may be Badenoch too). She certainly has a belief system that reflects a significant share of the population and a tiny share of the country's leadership class - if she can graft a coherent policy platform onto that, there are rewards to be reaped.

    It is a big "if", true.
    Maybe
  • But if it's not OK for me not to believe in God, why is it OK for YOU to not believe in the Tooth Fairy?
    Oh dear, you really are not a very deep thinker are you? Personally I don't really care that you are unable to understand that an openmindedness to the possibility of a greater power in the universe or a collective consciousness might be a more logical position than believing that it cannot possibly exist. Comparing such a belief set to the tooth fairy amply illustrates @Leon's suggestion that atheism is an adolescent perspective. Try harder at debate and I might then bother to reply. In the meantime I suggest you find a debating society for the under elevens. I will stick to chatting to grownups.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,641
    kinabalu said:

    I'm not celebrating one iota. I can tell you for a fact that Labour want Badenoch but that's based mainly on her short, unconvincing career thus far. It's perfectly possible she won't be as catastrophic as everyone expects. Plus she might not beat Jenrick. He's very much still in there, Rob is.
    I think Jenrick would produce a reasonable result but almost certainly lose. Badenoch rolls the dice - anything from a win to a meltdown, but certainly the more interesting choice.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881
    Sandpit said:

    I wasn’t referring to any particular resort, merely making the point that there are many of them on the lake, and you’re destined to get the bus back into town to your sh!tty AirBnB tonight, with barely the budget for a bottle of Aldi’s best wine…

    (You know I’m just taking the piss, but it’s an interesting assignment if you properly stick to it. They should have given you a chaperone in Geneva to make sure you do, and had said chaperone do a review of the Four Seasons.)
    PS I actually am sticking to it. I’ve bought a supper from the local supermarket and I am picnicking in my room. I worked out if I do that I can afford a decent-ish bottle of wine and two gin and tonics in a studenty bar (where I am now, in the student part of town). Sticking to the budget actually makes it more interesting
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,313
    Leon said:

    You’re still missing my point. Why would anyone come HERE? When nearby towns are so superior in terms of beauty, cuisine, art, culture, landscape - Lausanne, Montreux, Zermatt, Chamonix, Annecy, Lucerne, Lyon, Turin, Milan

    Why would any tourist voluntarily come to GENEVA for a holiday given that it is the most expensive city in Europe? And has none of these peerless attractions?

    So why is it so expensive? I can only presume it is all the international institutions- FIFA, UN. Red Cross, etc - and their boring bureaucrats on expense accounts
    Banks. And also you can get the most luxurious treatment for your ills on the planet, no questions asked. (I suspect not the best treatment though - if you can pay then perhaps it's in the US?)
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,118
    Leon said:

    You’re still missing my point. Why would anyone come HERE? When nearby towns are so superior in terms of beauty, cuisine, art, culture, landscape - Lausanne, Montreux, Zermatt, Chamonix, Annecy, Lucerne, Lyon, Turin, Milan

    Why would any tourist voluntarily come to GENEVA for a holiday given that it is the most expensive city in Europe? And has none of these peerless attractions?

    So why is it so expensive? I can only presume it is all the international institutions- FIFA, UN. Red Cross, etc - and their boring bureaucrats on expense accounts
    Yes, that seems obvious. But the mystery is why, with a captive audience of all those bureaucrats, why haven't the interesting cultural things followed, as they generally do when you concentrate a lot of cash in one location?
  • Leon said:

    You’re still missing my point. Why would anyone come HERE? When nearby towns are so superior in terms of beauty, cuisine, art, culture, landscape - Lausanne, Montreux, Zermatt, Chamonix, Annecy, Lucerne, Lyon, Turin, Milan

    Why would any tourist voluntarily come to GENEVA for a holiday given that it is the most expensive city in Europe? And has none of these peerless attractions?

    So why is it so expensive? I can only presume it is all the international institutions- FIFA, UN. Red Cross, etc - and their boring bureaucrats on expense accounts
    I think it has gone downhill. I used to regularly visit 20 years ago or so and quite liked it. I then returned a few years ago and found myself wondering why. Lausanne and Montreux, though expensive are much better. And in the latter you have Funky Claud running in and out.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,757

    I am at a loss to understand what this means for not only the conservative party but politics as a whole, but in this climate where politicians fall like a stone in approval once in the spotlight anything could happen

    Volatility is by its name unpredictable, and never has our politics been more unpredictable and anyone saying with any certainty what the future holds is either wishcasting, or oblivious to how politics is changing before our very eyes
    In 2029, after some soul-searching, you will vote for her... :)
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,256
    geoffw said:

    I sense the tears of a crocodile

    Weirdly I wanted Cleverly to win even though I think he'd have been the most effective opposition to Labour. I don't really like having bad or mad people in politics even if they might make things easier for my 'side' from a tactical POV. At some point the Tories will form a government and it would be better if they were run by sensible and honest people.
  • SKS is a very lucky general.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,757
    JohnO said:

    Well, that rather put me off my stride on the eve of poll final canvassing!

    Oh, guess like @TSE, I'll have to plump for the Madenoch.

    It doesn't rhyme. It's not Bad-enock, it's Bayd-enock.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,291
    Driver said:

    Which is just claiming that agnosticism is a meaningless concept.
    Kind of, yes. Because it's obvious that we cannot know. We can only believe (despite no evidence) or not believe (because of no evidence). But neither believers nor non believers can know. Thus we are all agnostics in addition to being believers or non believers. Agnosticism is not some additional third way between the two.
  • Weirdly I wanted Cleverly to win even though I think he'd have been the most effective opposition to Labour. I don't really like having bad or mad people in politics even if they might make things easier for my 'side' from a tactical POV. At some point the Tories will form a government and it would be better if they were run by sensible and honest people.
    That was always my view when Labour ditched Corbyn. Much better to have the two main parties run by grownups than by extreme weirdos
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,313

    SKS is a very lucky general.

    I think that's the wisest thing you've ever said.
  • sladeslade Posts: 2,136
    There is a local by-election in Powys today - Ind defence. Tomorrow we have a bonanza. We have Lab defences in Coventry, Ealing(x2), Harlow, Leeds, NE Derbyshire, North Lanarkshire(x2), South Ribble, Southampton, and Worthing. There are Con defences in Ealing, Elmbridge, North Northamptonshire, Runnymede, and Suffolk. There is also a Lib Dem defence in Elmbridge. We have Ind defences in Fylde and Pembrokeshire. Finally there is a Green defence in Lewes. Expect changes.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,210

    I think Jenrick would produce a reasonable result but almost certainly lose. Badenoch rolls the dice - anything from a win to a meltdown, but certainly the more interesting choice.
    I think that’s right, Nick.

    Badenoch has a habit of being able to get attention. Now, it may be that she chances on a magic formula and gets everyone’s attention in the right way, or she spends her whole leadership trying to course-correct as she gaffes her way all over the place with weird outbursts. I suspect the latter is more likely, but she’s interesting, and could make good capital from any government slip ups.

    She feels to me to be a better choice than Jenrick.
  • Certainly, but you missed the point. Our very own resident adolescent Barty, tried to postulate that atheism is not a belief set. It is. The whataboutery has nothing to do with the discussion.
    Except it's not a belief set, it's the absence of one.

    Belief and absence of belief are not the same things.
  • kinabalu said:

    Kind of, yes. Because it's obvious that we cannot know. We can only believe (despite no evidence) or not believe (because of no evidence). But neither believers nor non believers can know. Thus we are all agnostics in addition to being believers or non believers. Agnosticism is not some additional third way between the two.
    Except that agnosticism and atheism are not equal. Atheism is the disavowal of possibility without evidence. Atheism is therefore fundamentally irrational. Agnosticism allows an open mind rather than a closed one.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,852
    edited October 2024
    viewcode said:

    It doesn't rhyme. It's not Bad-enock, it's Bayd-enock.
    At least she won't be the Bore of Badenoch.
  • Oh dear, you really are not a very deep thinker are you? Personally I don't really care that you are unable to understand that an openmindedness to the possibility of a greater power in the universe or a collective consciousness might be a more logical position than believing that it cannot possibly exist. Comparing such a belief set to the tooth fairy amply illustrates @Leon's suggestion that atheism is an adolescent perspective. Try harder at debate and I might then bother to reply. In the meantime I suggest you find a debating society for the under elevens. I will stick to chatting to grownups.
    You can have an open mindedness to the possibility of a greater power in the universe while not believing in one because there is no evidence for it.

    If you do, you are an atheist.

    There is nothing closed minded about atheism. That you think there is, is your lack of comprehension that says more about you than atheists.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,181
    Anyone who doesn't believe in a divine plan clearly hasn't seen this Tory leadership race. :lol:
  • SKS is a very lucky general.

    Possibly, though so was Boris Johnson once. Like Johnson, Starmer is also a greedy hypocritical grifting bastard who will eventually get his comeuppance
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 23,135
    edited October 2024

    Except that agnosticism and atheism are not equal. Atheism is the disavowal of possibility without evidence. Atheism is therefore fundamentally irrational. Agnosticism allows an open mind rather than a closed one.
    Atheism is not the disavow of possibility. That is your misunderstanding.
  • Atheism is not the disavow of possibility. That is your misunderstanding.
    Great English Bart!
  • It could have been worse.

    It could have been Jenrick v Braverman.

    Careful.

    That might be the next leadership runoff.
  • Great English Bart!
    Autocorrect. Great retort Nigel!
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,123

    Except it's not a belief set, it's the absence of one.

    Belief and absence of belief are not the same things.
    Do you believe in evolution?
  • You can have an open mindedness to the possibility of a greater power in the universe while not believing in one because there is no evidence for it.

    If you do, you are an atheist.

    There is nothing closed minded about atheism. That you think there is, is your lack of comprehension that says more about you than atheists.
    Yea, you keep believing that Barty. How is the Sixth Form debating society these days?
  • Do you believe in evolution?
    Yes, because there is evidence for it.

    That's the difference.
  • It could have been worse.

    It could have been Jenrick v Braverman.

    Kemi v. Braverman?
  • kinabalu said:

    Yes, atheist vs agnostic is a superficial distinction. It mainly crops up as a rhetorical 'divide and rule' play by people who have (and good luck to them) made the Leap of Faith that there is a God and for some reason are bugged that others have not.

    It's not a meaningful exercise to try and split atheism from something called "agnosticism". Why? Because everybody (the religious and the not religious) ultimately is an agnostic on the Big Big Picture in the sense they must accept, if they are rational, that there could be things unknown (and possibly unknowable) to us.

    So there are theists and there are atheists and that's it. If you're not in the first lane you are in the second. And everyone in both lanes, ie everyone on the planet, is an agnostic.
    I don't really think that argument stacks up. There is a distinction between belief and knowledge. You're quite right that it's not terribly rational to say I "know" God exists or not - we all must accept the limitations of science at this time and the reality that something could happen to change our view.

    But it does appear to me to be possible not to have a belief about something. "Belief" implies a level of confidence or trust that something is likely to be true, and a level of consistency over time.

    I accept the strict linguistic point about "atheism" in the sense that the word technically encompasses everything that isn't theism. But it seems to me there is a difference between someone who believes there is no God and someone who doesn't have any (or has no consistent) view on the matter.
  • I think it has gone downhill. I used to regularly visit 20 years ago or so and quite liked it. I then returned a few years ago and found myself wondering why. Lausanne and Montreux, though expensive are much better. And in the latter you have Funky Claud running in and out.
    We visited Geneva, Lausanne AND Montreux back in 2014. Took the train round the northern side of the lake. If Geneva has gone downhill, I bow to your more up to date knowledge.
  • I don't really think that argument stacks up. There is a distinction between belief and knowledge. You're quite right that it's not terribly rational to say I "know" God exists or not - we all must accept the limitations of science at this time and the reality that something could happen to change our view.

    But it does appear to me to be possible not to have a belief about something. "Belief" implies a level of confidence or trust that something is likely to be true, and a level of consistency over time.

    I accept the strict linguistic point about "atheism" in the sense that the word technically encompasses everything that isn't theism. But it seems to me there is a difference between someone who believes there is no God and someone who doesn't have any (or has no consistent) view on the matter.
    You may think there is a difference but both are atheists.

    Which is the point, atheism is not a belief system, it is merely the absence of one. It covers the set of people of everyone who is not a theist, without any regimented beliefs or orthodoxies.

    Closed minded ignorant theists trying to pigeonhole atheism into something they dislike which it's not is just them showing their ignorance.
  • viewcode said:

    In 2029, after some soul-searching, you will vote for her... :)
    viewcode said:

    In 2029, after some soul-searching, you will vote for her... :)
    Long way away but if it means beating a Labour government then yes
  • You can have an open mindedness to the possibility of a greater power in the universe while not believing in one because there is no evidence for it.

    If you do, you are an atheist.

    There is nothing closed minded about atheism. That you think there is, is your lack of comprehension that says more about you than atheists.
    I need to log off now, but I look forward to your gradual evolution over the next few years from evangelical fanatical atheist to full on church-going-every-Sunday Born Again Christian in the same way you have moved from teeth gnashing right wing Faragist to moderate centrist (Corbynite perhaps in a few years?)

    I am only teasing, I of course respect your right to be wrong. And God? Well I am sure She forgives you, if She exists.
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398

    I am at a loss to understand what this means for not only the conservative party but politics as a whole, but in this climate where politicians fall like a stone in approval once in the spotlight anything could happen

    Volatility is by its name unpredictable, and never has our politics been more unpredictable and anyone saying with any certainty what the future holds is either wishcasting, or oblivious to how politics is changing before our very eyes
    People have a tendency to look for comfort by relying on old certainties/maxims - they don't apply anymore. I think the big fallacy that is being made is the idea that 'elections are won in the centre', what people want is a coherant and radical alternative vision. The establishment cannot provide this- all sides are bogged down in legalism and managerialism.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,757

    Long way away but if it means beating a Labour government then yes
    I need a new definition of "some" :smile:
  • MattWMattW Posts: 25,681
    edited October 2024

    Not sure why it is important whether someone is an atheist, agnostic or of faith as it is an individual matter of conscience

    I think the late Dave Allen had the best response

    'May your God go with you '
    A slightly serious comment on a lighthearted thread, if I may. Not intending to disrespect your suggestion, but to question how it works.

    Yes, there is a matter of conscience, but what is the point of a belief unless it is a foundation for values, and what is the point of a set of values values if they have no practical effect on life, even personal life?

    If values and practice do not come from belief, where do they come from, and how do they get out of the head into wider society?

    That I think is the heresy that Trumpist evangelicals fall into. They have a religion which is a system of belief, which is where they tell themselves that the important things exist. But they embrace a system of policies that are inimical to that belief, and can only hide the contradiction from themselves and others by a bizarre, self-deluding rhetoric.

    IMO in the words of the Gospel writer Trumpist evangelicals are 'whitewashed tombs, beautiful on the outside - but full of rottenness'. That will not stand.

    It's rather like rich people are more inclined to embrace a heterodox version of Christian religion that somehow justifies them keeping their wealth for themselves.

    One thing that interests me is that Kamala Harris is rooted in a church (individual church, not denomination) which owes its values to Martin Luther King, and the superintendent minister was supported for training by MLK himself.

    At some point history says that the putrid version of evangelicalism embraced by Trumpists will rot from the inside and collapse. It will be interesting to see what comes next - that's the dynamic of the history of Christianity.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,759
    edited October 2024
    viewcode said:

    In 2029, after some soul-searching, you will vote for her... :)
    Long way away but if it means beating a Labour government then yes

    I need a new definition of "some" :smile:

    I honestly do not know much about her but certainly am relieved she is likely to beat Jenrick

    I think the next year will be very interesting leading up to the elections in Scotland and Wales, both on the 7th May 26
  • MattWMattW Posts: 25,681

    I'm going up to Sheffield on Friday for a long weekend. Not sure I should watch this beforehand.
    Well, that's a resort.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,123

    Yes, because there is evidence for it.

    That's the difference.
    Do you believe that all people have equal worth?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,792
    GIN1138 said:

    Kier Vs Kemi at PMQ's will be... interesting...

    It's Keir.

    K-E-I-R.
  • RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,378

    You may think there is a difference but both are atheists.

    Which is the point, atheism is not a belief system, it is merely the absence of one. It covers the set of people of everyone who is not a theist, without any regimented beliefs or orthodoxies.

    Closed minded ignorant theists trying to pigeonhole atheism into something they dislike which it's not is just them showing their ignorance.
    I think a big, potential difference between agnostics and atheists is the level of credence they'd probably give to God existing. I'd consider myself an agnostic for instance because I'm pretty on the fence whether there is a 'creator being' of some kind or not. With Dawkins, by comparison, his level of credence would be near 0.
    Of course, you might get an agnostic who thinks the probability of there being God is only around 10% or so and just has a preference for the term of agnostic rather than atheist. But I think the point is that there probably a good chunk of agnostics (like myself) who'd be uncomfortable being referred to as atheists.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 23,757

    Do you believe that all people have equal worth?
    (intervening). Yes. Which is different from equal pay, which is decided by supply and demand.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,999
    I have to praise the Tories, they've kept this race interesting. And stretching it out was definitely the right choice.

    Really rollercoaster for Cleverly though.

    I thought it would be Jenrick at the start and still think it though. Generic leaders are in right now.
This discussion has been closed.