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Paranoia or should be worried about shy Trumpers? – politicalbetting.com

SystemSystem Posts: 12,425
edited August 2024 in General
Paranoia or should be worried about shy Trumpers? – politicalbetting.com

Who do you believe most of your neighbors would vote for?Trump 45% (+9)Harris 36%I&I/TIPP, 1,326 RV, 7/31-8/2 https://t.co/KBsCZtH2M2 pic.twitter.com/UAUI0laVp3

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Comments

  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746
    First
  • Right date night has begun, so I fully expect Trump to nominate Eric Trump as VP and Iran to invade Israel.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    I won't believe Trump is likely to lose unless the polls are 55-45, in part because of shy Trumpers.

    Even then I'd be uncertain because of he's primed his supporters to reject any result more firmly than he did last time.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181

    Right date night has begun, so I fully expect Trump to nominate Eric Trump as VP and Iran to invade Israel.

    No, Trump will nominate Bernie Saunders as VP. Iran will attack Iran in spectacular show of WeAreMadderThanAnyone.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    KJT with a massive 52cm personal best in the heptathlon shot put. 14.44m, in what’s not one of her best events.
  • Omnium said:

    Oi!

    Ah, ok I see!
    Have they done the Moped Race yet?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    DavidL said:

    God that Omnium and points race stuff is a load of shite. No idea who's winning, what the tactics are. Tedious and far too long.

    All the cycling events are boring, all of them.

    That we usually win more Golds is the only reason it is interesting.

  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,467
    NYT have Trump with candles and flags. No idea what he's saying though.
  • News - Trump Says He Has Agreed To Debate On Fox On Sep 4th, NBC On Sep 10th, ABC On Sep 25th

    https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1821612057516823027
  • MattW said:

    Serious question that I don't know about:

    Do US States have a "Constitutional" level of State Law that is a more basic law than that passed as "State Law" - analogous to the US Constitution?
    Do you mean a written state Constitution?

    Yes, they all have one.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537

    News - Trump Says He Has Agreed To Debate On Fox On Sep 4th, NBC On Sep 10th, ABC On Sep 25th

    https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1821612057516823027

    As many debates as possible is worth it for him I'd think. He's incoherent and nuts but debates did for Biden, no longer puts off his supporters, and Harris might stumble in the face of his bluster.

    The risk is independents finally see him as old, weak, and crazy, but without big events he might struggle there anyway since he spends most of his time golfing not campaigning.

    He could always do the Fox one (if Harris agrees), hope the hosts worshipful saliva sees him perform well compared to Harris, then pull out of the others.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,467

    Have they done the Moped Race yet?
    Surely that must be a very heretical branch of the syncho-trainspot community?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181

    News - Trump Says He Has Agreed To Debate On Fox On Sep 4th, NBC On Sep 10th, ABC On Sep 25th

    https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1821612057516823027

    Is this a debate or a debate with no one else there and the only questions will be asked by Trump, of himself?
  • Omnium said:

    Surely that must be a very heretical branch of the syncho-trainspot community?
    I mean the one where the cyclists tootle along behind a moped and then periodically rush past it?
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,302
    Trump doing his rambling Trump thing.
  • News - Trump Says He Has Agreed To Debate On Fox On Sep 4th, NBC On Sep 10th, ABC On Sep 25th

    https://x.com/PpollingNumbers/status/1821612057516823027

    Agreed with whom? It's one thing to agree with the television companies but the Dems have to agree as well, which they will, but there is endless opportunity to bicker about the precise format.
  • Right date night has begun, so I fully expect Trump to nominate Eric Trump as VP and Iran to invade Israel.

    How about Trump naming Netanyahu as Veep and Iran invading Vance?
  • I find that hard to believe; defence lines take a lot of time to create. Weeks at best; months for really good defence lines.

    But this thread suggests that Ukraine might be going after railway lines; both to disrupt Russian supplies, and also to bring their own stuff in. The former would only be temporary; the latter would indicate a longer stay.

    https://x.com/Schizointel/status/1821558608238162231

    And the official Ukrainian Railways site is making a claim about entering Russia...
    https://x.com/Schizointel/status/1821572965542289848/photo/1

    It's certainly more than a Dieppe-style raid. But I've no idea what the strategy is.
    A blitzkrieg whereby the Ukrainian forces bypass the Russian defence lines to liberate Ukrainian territory via Russian territory?

    Comparable to how the fall of France was facilitated by the bypassing the Maginot Line.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,302
    kle4 said:

    As many debates as possible is worth it for him I'd think. He's incoherent and nuts but debates did for Biden, no longer puts off his supporters, and Harris might stumble in the face of his bluster.

    The risk is independents finally see him as old, weak, and crazy, but without big events he might struggle there anyway since he spends most of his time golfing not campaigning.

    He could always do the Fox one (if Harris agrees), hope the hosts worshipful saliva sees him perform well compared to Harris, then pull out of the others.
    Re your last paragraph, that’s why he wants the Fox one first.

    Kamala should just do them TBH. If she can’t hold her own in a debate against Trump she isn’t going to win the election.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Who’s watching Trump, rather than the 200m final?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,730
    kle4 said:

    As many debates as possible is worth it for him I'd think. He's incoherent and nuts but debates did for Biden, no longer puts off his supporters, and Harris might stumble in the face of his bluster.

    The risk is independents finally see him as old, weak, and crazy, but without big events he might struggle there anyway since he spends most of his time golfing not campaigning.

    He could always do the Fox one (if Harris agrees), hope the hosts worshipful saliva sees him perform well compared to Harris, then pull out of the others.
    It’s been pointed out on TwiX that one reason Trump has stopped campaigning is that during his last campaign rally a shooter was an inch away from blowing his brains out. A fair point
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    Leon said:

    It’s been pointed out on TwiX that one reason Trump has stopped campaigning is that during his last campaign rally a shooter was an inch away from blowing his brains out. A fair point
    I suppose so, the security will have needed a major overhaul and lord knows the Secret Service are incompetent.

    But he did spend an inordinate amount of time golfing even before that. I get he likes it, but not all events need to be giant, logically challenging rallies.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,924
    Angostura bitters in shit drinks update:

    Just put some in a bottle of San Miguel I had left over from a party.

    As if by magic I’m drinking some speciality spiced beer in a Belgian pub.

    Next stop: those cans of Budweiser I’d been avoiding drinking.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    Letsile Tebogo of Botswana wins gold in the men's 200 metres final with 19.45.
  • Sandpit said:

    Who’s watching Trump, rather than the 200m final?

    Botswana take the Gold!
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,730
    edited August 2024
    THIS makes me actually warm to Harris

    Annoying pro-Palestinian hecklers - that she had previously tolerated - interrupt her again. This time she tells them to STFU, only without swearing

    She’s good. She might even make a good President

    https://x.com/joshuaphilll/status/1821342048923844884?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,933

    Botswana take the Gold!
    First ever gold for Botswana!
    First African men's sprint gold.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Tobogo!!
  • Omnium said:

    I think that's known as the Deliveroo
    Ki-Rin, that's the one!
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    Just cashed out my very small bet on Harris because I don't think the odds will move much from now on.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507

    How about Trump naming Netanyahu as Veep and Iran invading Vance?
    What do you think Iran is? A settee?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537

    Agreed with whom? It's one thing to agree with the television companies but the Dems have to agree as well, which they will, but there is endless opportunity to bicker about the precise format.
    Agreed with the voices in his head? Given his trademark scattergun approach to verbal communication there must be a lot of duelling thoughts going on.
  • kamskikamski Posts: 6,321
    Shy Trumpers? Possibly, it would fit with the poll posted by TSE (?) the other day showing a lot more people believe Trump will be better for them financially than Harris than vice versa.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    TimS said:

    Angostura bitters in shit drinks update:

    Just put some in a bottle of San Miguel I had left over from a party.

    As if by magic I’m drinking some speciality spiced beer in a Belgian pub.

    Next stop: those cans of Budweiser I’d been avoiding drinking.

    Don't do it, man. You can easily find some fentanyl laced PCP instead.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,345

    A blitzkrieg whereby the Ukrainian forces bypass the Russian defence lines to liberate Ukrainian territory via Russian territory?

    Comparable to how the fall of France was facilitated by the bypassing the Maginot Line.
    That has been suggested, and is an interesting suggestion. Albeit incredibly risky.

    If so, the interesting question is if it is working: are the Ukrainians keeping up with whatever their plan was, and if not, is it within acceptable delays?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616
    edited August 2024
    FPT:

    Like our prefabs (prefabricated housing) after the war, some of which were still in use into the 1970s.
    There are still some of those around - especially in places such as Peacehaven, usually encapsulated or updated in some form.

    On a similar note, close to me there are still a couple of bungalows built around railway carriages. The owners need to watch it or a they could get listed. These would be I think 1930s or 1950s.

    Here's one attached to an end terrace that was sold in 2014 - for £30k. I'm not what happened as the advertised price was double. If I'd known I'd have had it on the first day as it is on a 350sqm plot, which the new owner built a 3 bed modern detached on. It was a steal.

    I can't post details as Zoopla seem to have lost their public archive.

    My photo of the day.



  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    edited August 2024
    FPT
    MattW said:

    Serious question that I don't know about:

    Do US States have a "Constitutional" level of State Law that is a more basic law than that passed as "State Law" - analogous to the US Constitution?
    All states have Constitutions of their own.

    Edit - it is worth noting that in 49 of the 50 states, amendments must be ratified by referendums. The exception is Delaware, where it can be ratified by a 2/3 vote of the legislature in consecutive sessions.

    Most of them also allow citizen-led amendments, although these are getting harder to put forward.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,505
    Trump now rambling on about how big his crowds are.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    Sandpit said:

    KJT with a massive 52cm personal best in the heptathlon shot put. 14.44m, in what’s not one of her best events.

    Yes awesome should lead after day 1 now if 200m goes to form

    Thiam also beat her PB in the Shot Put
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,924
    TimS said:

    Angostura bitters in shit drinks update:

    Just put some in a bottle of San Miguel I had left over from a party.

    As if by magic I’m drinking some speciality spiced beer in a Belgian pub.

    Next stop: those cans of Budweiser I’d been avoiding drinking.

    Or should I try them in that Guinness my Irish (well, County Down but very much IRISH) colleague Sinead left here after a do?

    No, that surely wouldn’t work.

    But I’m going to try anyway. Hmm, it’s ok. But the effect on lager is transformational.

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    Why is this such a selling point for Republicans? I guess the idea is if horrible autocrats like or respect him they will treat America better, but that doesn't seem to track with them being, you know, horrible autocrats. They aren't known for generosity.

    Kim Jong Un liked me a lot. He doesn't like this group.
    https://nitter.poast.org/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1821617057823137891#m

  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507

    Trump now rambling on about how big his crowds are.

    It distracts from how small his - bank balance - is.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,469
    Sandpit said:

    Who’s watching Trump, rather than the 200m final?

    Everyone must be watching the Racing League on ITV4 !!
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,505
    Trump sounding desperate to be popular.

    Sad.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,505
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    a

    Trump sounding desperate to be popular.

    Sad.

    Ahhh...


  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,924

    Don't do it, man. You can easily find some fentanyl laced PCP instead.
    The Buds remain safely in the fridge.

    I need to wait off some sort of ethno-national event where you get to taste the local produce of a country that is by all accounts pretty rough but feels right in the context. Like that horrid sweet stuff in Iceland. I think I’ll save them for US election night.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    edited August 2024
    Trump still attacking the Republican Governor of Georgia.

    I get Kemp will never openly go against Trump (I believe his wife has said she will write in her husband's name rather than vote for Trump?), but it still seems such a pointless effort from Trump to continually go after him even if he won't fight back.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,730
    TimS said:

    Or should I try them in that Guinness my Irish (well, County Down but very much IRISH) colleague Sinead left here after a do?

    No, that surely wouldn’t work.

    But I’m going to try anyway. Hmm, it’s ok. But the effect on lager is transformational.

    Have you tried sloe gin with cold English fizz?

    OMG delish. Like an English kir royale
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,781
    edited August 2024
    Are the shy Trumpers similar to the shy Tory theorists at GE24 who were convinced that they would push them to around 30% rather than their dismal 23.7%?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    So who was on the Pakistani javelin thrower for the Olympic record?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,663
    “The presidency was taken away from Joe Biden.”

    Eh ?
    Still President.

    “He had the right to run.”
    And therefore, the right not to run.
  • Pakistan's Nadeem sets a new Olympic Record in Javelin, 92.97 metres.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    Nigelb said:

    “The presidency was taken away from Joe Biden.”

    Eh ?
    Still President.

    “He had the right to run.”
    And therefore, the right not to run.

    Trump insists people call him 'The President' (not just the odd american way of callign people by their former title) and called for the Constitution to be discarded in order to restore him to office as he 'won' the 2020 election. He's claimed presidential immunity for actions which took place before he was elected. I don't think he has a firm grip on who does or does not hold the office of the presidency at any given moment.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616
    Sandpit said:

    The number of Democrat politicians signing laws allowing for elective third-trimester abortions, on the other hand, is significant.

    Including Tim Walz.
    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/politics-news/minnesota-governor-signs-broad-abortion-rights-bill-law-rcna68513
    Serious question that I don't know about:

    Do US States have a "Constitutional" level of State Law that is a more basic law than that passed as "State Law" - analogous to the US Constitution?

  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,345
    edited August 2024
    MattW said:

    FPT:

    There are still some of those around - especially in places such as Peacehaven, usually encapsulated or updated in some form.

    On a similar note, close to me there are still a couple of bungalows built around railway carriages. The owners need to watch it or a they could get listed. These would be I think 1930s or 1950s.

    Here's one attached to an end terrace that was sold in 2014 - for £30k. I'm not what happened as the advertised price was double. If I'd known I'd have had it on the first day as it is on a 350sqm plot, which the new owner built a 3 bed modern detached on. It was a steal.

    I can't post details as Zoopla seem to have lost their public archive.

    My photo of the day.



    There are a fair few old railway carriage-slash-cottages around the place. ISTR there were some in the Dungeness area, and some around the south coast as well. I've photos of a few, and I think they're well known in the railway fraternity. Some are so altered it is hard to tell they were once carriages; others have been preserved by enthusiasts and become carriages once more.

    Like this Midland one:
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-stoke-staffordshire-66166820

    Or this NSR carriage, which became a garden shed:
    https://knottycoachtrust.org.uk/history-of-no-61/
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,663

    Pakistan's Nadeem sets a new Olympic Record in Javelin, 92.97 metres.

    India / Pakistan contest in the last round.
  • StereodogStereodog Posts: 845
    MattW said:

    FPT:

    There are still some of those around - especially in places such as Peacehaven, usually encapsulated or updated in some form.

    On a similar note, close to me there are still a couple of bungalows built around railway carriages. The owners need to watch it or a they could get listed. These would be I think 1930s or 1950s.

    Here's one attached to an end terrace that was sold in 2014 - for £30k. I'm not what happened as the advertised price was double. If I'd known I'd have had it on the first day as it is on a 350sqm plot, which the new owner built a 3 bed modern detached on. It was a steal.

    I can't post details as Zoopla seem to have lost their public archive.

    My photo of the day.



    I remember going to Wickstead Park as a child in the 90s and looking at a neat row of three prefabs from the top of the log flume. They looked the most lovely places to live in the world to me at the time. They had lovely gardens with vegetable patches and people sitting in deck chairs enjoying the sun. The last time I went with a young nephew they were all gone and replaced by new build housing.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    KJT has a 200m PB of 22.79 set in 2016 (1100 points)

    Thiam PB is 24.37 set in 2019 (945 points)

    So if both matched tat 155 point swing putting KJT 105 up

    Neither will match that imo
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616
    edited August 2024

    There are a fair few old railway carriage-slash-cottages around the place. ISTR there were some in the Dungeness area, and some around the Peacehaven area as well. I've photos of a few, and I think they're well known in the railway fraternity. Some are so altered it is hard to tell they were once carriages; others have been preserved by enthusiasts and become carriages once more.

    Like this Midland one:
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-stoke-staffordshire-66166820

    Or this NSR carriage, which became a garden shed:
    https://knottycoachtrust.org.uk/history-of-no-61/
    The problem about keeping them is that they struggle with insulation standards etc, and to renovate either loses a biggish chunk inside, or changes the outside.

    I have one in my lane which is a very narrow bungalow now, but I am over quota.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,924
    Leon said:

    Have you tried sloe gin with cold English fizz?

    OMG delish. Like an English kir royale
    No. But will try. I can see that working very well indeed. What shall we call it?

    So long as your friend @Babbage9 doesn’t describe my tasting notes as “shit wine opinions”.
  • If Leon was a lawyer.

    Linklaters partner banned from drinking at work events after Vienna trip

    Magic Circle law firm issues final warning after partner accused of inappropriate behaviour


    A partner at the Magic Circle law firm Linklaters has been banned from drinking alcohol at work events after he was accused of inappropriate behaviour during a business trip to Vienna.

    The elite City institution is understood to have given the partner a final warning following a complaint that he had touched the bottom of a female associate during a work retreat in June.

    The partner is also accused of making inappropriate comments to another female associate during the Vienna trip.

    This includes remarks about coming up to her room and asking whether she would be going up to the room of another male partner, who was allegedly present during the evening drinks.

    Linklaters is understood to have restricted the partner from drinking at work events and work socials after launching an investigation into the incident.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/08/08/linklaters-partner-banned-drinking-work-events-vienna-trip/
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616

    Do you mean a written state Constitution?

    Yes, they all have one.
    Yes. Thanks.

    I was interested if there was a way of making abortion rights more protected than law that can be overturned by the state assembly and/or Governor alone.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924

    KJT has a 200m PB of 22.79 set in 2016 (1100 points)

    Thiam PB is 24.37 set in 2019 (945 points)

    So if both matched tat 155 point swing putting KJT 105 up

    Neither will match that imo

    24.46 for Thiam is great for her.

    Can KJT get inside 23 secs not done it for a while but fingers crossed
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,345
    MattW said:

    The problem about keeping them is that they struggle with insulation standards etc, and to renovate either loses a biggish chunk inside, or changes the outside.
    Nowadays, they probably more fulfil the role of a larger, more plush beach hut/holiday homes rather then full-time accommodation. And given how much beach huts go for...

    Ed Sheeran's apparently bought one for £650,000. Although if the piccie is anything to go by, it's been *heavily* altered:
    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/tvshowbiz/article-11018719/Singer-Sheeran-splashes-650-000-converted-1880s-railway-carriage-views-Channel.html
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    Seasons best for KJT IS 23.20 that will put her in lead after day one but ideally inside 23secs
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,730

    If Leon was a lawyer.

    Linklaters partner banned from drinking at work events after Vienna trip

    Magic Circle law firm issues final warning after partner accused of inappropriate behaviour


    A partner at the Magic Circle law firm Linklaters has been banned from drinking alcohol at work events after he was accused of inappropriate behaviour during a business trip to Vienna.

    The elite City institution is understood to have given the partner a final warning following a complaint that he had touched the bottom of a female associate during a work retreat in June.

    The partner is also accused of making inappropriate comments to another female associate during the Vienna trip.

    This includes remarks about coming up to her room and asking whether she would be going up to the room of another male partner, who was allegedly present during the evening drinks.

    Linklaters is understood to have restricted the partner from drinking at work events and work socials after launching an investigation into the incident.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/08/08/linklaters-partner-banned-drinking-work-events-vienna-trip/

    You can call me any names you like, but never ever suggest I might sink so low as to be… a lawyer
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    edited August 2024

    Essentially the same stupid, cowardly calculation you made when you voted for Keir Starmer.
    People make choices between what they consider the lesser of two evils all the time. If people dislike either option, don't think a third party is worth a damn but also wouldn't sit it out, what can they do but try to weigh up which is worse, which will always be a subjective thing?

    That's basically what lots of americans who disliked both Biden and Trump were doing in saying they'd vote for Trump.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,467

    If Leon was a lawyer.

    Linklaters partner banned from drinking at work events after Vienna trip

    Magic Circle law firm issues final warning after partner accused of inappropriate behaviour


    A partner at the Magic Circle law firm Linklaters has been banned from drinking alcohol at work events after he was accused of inappropriate behaviour during a business trip to Vienna.

    The elite City institution is understood to have given the partner a final warning following a complaint that he had touched the bottom of a female associate during a work retreat in June.

    The partner is also accused of making inappropriate comments to another female associate during the Vienna trip.

    This includes remarks about coming up to her room and asking whether she would be going up to the room of another male partner, who was allegedly present during the evening drinks.

    Linklaters is understood to have restricted the partner from drinking at work events and work socials after launching an investigation into the incident.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/08/08/linklaters-partner-banned-drinking-work-events-vienna-trip/

    And if @TSE was a lawyer?



  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    MattW said:

    Yes. Thanks.

    I was interested if there was a way of making abortion rights more protected than law that can be overturned by the state assembly and/or Governor alone.
    Yes. That's why there are so many referendums on the subject kicking around at the moment. Which tends not to help the Republicans.

    Including in Nevada, Arizona and Florida, although I don't think it's likely to affect the result in the last one.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    MattW said:

    Serious question that I don't know about:

    Do US States have a "Constitutional" level of State Law that is a more basic law than that passed as "State Law" - analogous to the US Constitution?

    Good question, and I think the answer is that it depends on how exactly the State in question is constituted. Most States have a similar power structure to the federal government, with executive, legislative, and judicial branches.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,924
    edited August 2024
    We remain tantalisingly close to statistical parity with France in the medal table. They have one more silver and one more gold. So it would only take two events to get us there.

    Britain and France are to all intents and purposes siblings that should have merged back in the 1950s when it was on the table. The same glorious dissonance that is what makes the Anglo-Scottish relationship so harmonious and productive.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,730
    TimS said:

    No. But will try. I can see that working very well indeed. What shall we call it?

    So long as your friend @Babbage9 doesn’t describe my tasting notes as “shit wine opinions”.
    The Royal Sloe? Imperial Sloe? Gin Fitzroy?

    Honestly try it, it’s excellent. I “invented” it in a posh 5 star hotel near Dartmoor a few years ago. Tho later research tells me I’m not the first to have the idea?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,181
    kle4 said:

    Trump insists people call him 'The President' (not just the odd american way of callign people by their former title) and called for the Constitution to be discarded in order to restore him to office as he 'won' the 2020 election. He's claimed presidential immunity for actions which took place before he was elected. I don't think he has a firm grip on who does or does not hold the office of the presidency at any given moment.
    He has a firm grip on who holds the office of the Presidency. It's exactly whoever he thinks it is, that second.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    If Leon was a lawyer.

    Linklaters partner banned from drinking at work events after Vienna trip

    Magic Circle law firm issues final warning after partner accused of inappropriate behaviour


    A partner at the Magic Circle law firm Linklaters has been banned from drinking alcohol at work events after he was accused of inappropriate behaviour during a business trip to Vienna.

    The elite City institution is understood to have given the partner a final warning following a complaint that he had touched the bottom of a female associate during a work retreat in June.

    The partner is also accused of making inappropriate comments to another female associate during the Vienna trip.

    This includes remarks about coming up to her room and asking whether she would be going up to the room of another male partner, who was allegedly present during the evening drinks.

    Linklaters is understood to have restricted the partner from drinking at work events and work socials after launching an investigation into the incident.


    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/08/08/linklaters-partner-banned-drinking-work-events-vienna-trip/

    So too important to be fired? One rule for the 1%…
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,467
    TimS said:

    We remain tantalisingly close to statistical touching distance with France in the medal table. They have one more silver and one more gold. So it would only take two events to get us there.

    Britain and France are to all intents and purposes siblings that should have merged back in the 1950s when it was on the table. The same glorious dissonance that is what makes the Anglo-Scottish relationship so harmonious and productive.

    Finishing behind the French and the Aussies and the Insurrection.. it's not good. Thank god we've held all of the Scottish teams families hostage since the start of the games.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,253
    MattW said:

    FPT:

    There are still some of those around - especially in places such as Peacehaven, usually encapsulated or updated in some form.

    On a similar note, close to me there are still a couple of bungalows built around railway carriages. The owners need to watch it or a they could get listed. These would be I think 1930s or 1950s.

    Here's one attached to an end terrace that was sold in 2014 - for £30k. I'm not what happened as the advertised price was double. If I'd known I'd have had it on the first day as it is on a 350sqm plot, which the new owner built a 3 bed modern detached on. It was a steal.

    I can't post details as Zoopla seem to have lost their public archive.

    My photo of the day.



    There's a whole street of them a few streets away from my parents' house (which itself is 1960s brick suburbia). Sheet cirrugstsd metal walls and roofs, except for one that has what looks like a tile roof but if presumably some lighter plastic option unless they've done a lot of structural work inside. We're all council houses and uniform before the sell off, but now a bit of a Tobermory feel with the paint jobs.

    All, apparently, great to live in, warm and well insulated. There were, when I was a kid, various schemes to redevelop but they were met with great hostility by the residents.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,924
    Leon said:

    The Royal Sloe? Imperial Sloe? Gin Fitzroy?

    Honestly try it, it’s excellent. I “invented” it in a posh 5 star hotel near Dartmoor a few years ago. Tho later research tells me I’m not the first to have the idea?
    Poundbury punch. Our King has not yet had a truly universal cocktail named in his honour.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,203
    Leon said:

    The Royal Sloe? Imperial Sloe? Gin Fitzroy?

    Honestly try it, it’s excellent. I “invented” it in a posh 5 star hotel near Dartmoor a few years ago. Tho later research tells me I’m not the first to have the idea?
    Sir Keir Royale in commemoration of his thrashing of the Tories
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616

    The folk looking at this escapade with greatest interest will be in Beijing.

    Everything east of the Urals is yours for the taking, guys...
    The most persuasive suggestion I have seen is to establish defensive lines across an area that Russia will be forced to retake, so the attrition of their forces can be continued after the current offensive culminates. Which would stop them putting so much focus elsewhere in that time.

    And to demonstrate Putin's weakness.

    From Anders Puck Neilson:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A4mg1ZUb-7s
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,663
    .
    Sandpit said:

    Good question, and I think the answer is that it depends on how exactly the State in question is constituted. Most States have a similar power structure to the federal government, with executive, legislative, and judicial branches.
    @SeaShantyIrish2 will no doubt weigh in later on.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,663
    Omnium said:

    And if @TSE was a lawyer?

    A disgraceful question.

    It should be “if @TSE were a lawyer”.

  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,467
    Nigelb said:

    A disgraceful question.

    It should be “if @TSE were a lawyer”.

    I concede entirely.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,915

    There are a fair few old railway carriage-slash-cottages around the place. ISTR there were some in the Dungeness area, and some around the south coast as well. I've photos of a few, and I think they're well known in the railway fraternity. Some are so altered it is hard to tell they were once carriages; others have been preserved by enthusiasts and become carriages once more.

    Like this Midland one:
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-stoke-staffordshire-66166820

    Or this NSR carriage, which became a garden shed:
    https://knottycoachtrust.org.uk/history-of-no-61/
    There's a nicely done out carriage on the sea front at Sandsend near Whitby:
    https://mulgrave-estate.co.uk/holiday-cottages/sandsend-sleeper-parcel-wagon
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    23.45 for KJT in the 200m, that should see her lead overnight.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,730
    TimS said:

    Poundbury punch. Our King has not yet had a truly universal cocktail named in his honour.
    Nice

    It should be COMPULSORY for every Englishman to drink a large “Poundbury Punch” at 11am on Christmas Day morning, so as to toast His Majesty’s health

    And maybe Easter Sunday. And whitsuntide

    And Lammas Day…
  • Sandpit said:

    23.45 for KJT in the 200m, that should see her lead overnight.

    She's leading Thiam by 48 points.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,161
    Sandpit said:

    23.45 for KJT in the 200m, that should see her lead overnight.

    Half a second more than she would have hoped but overall a great first day.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    Pagan2 said:

    I have found to a certain extent that people with degrees tend to not like being corrected in what they are doing by people who don't have degrees....certainly not all but a significant enough slice of them
    William felt the distinct unease of a well-educated man who has to confront the fact that the illiterate man watching him could probably outthink him three times over.
    The Truth - Terry Pratchett
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537

    She's leading Thiam by 48 points.
    Is that a lot?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    TimS said:

    We remain tantalisingly close to statistical parity with France in the medal table. They have one more silver and one more gold. So it would only take two events to get us there.

    Britain and France are to all intents and purposes siblings that should have merged back in the 1950s when it was on the table. The same glorious dissonance that is what makes the Anglo-Scottish relationship so harmonious and productive.

    Most people if given a choice would merge with North korea before merging with france
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    DavidL said:

    Half a second more than she would have hoped but overall a great first day.
    poor 200m for KJT

    Thiam back as favourite

    If both match their PBs tomorrow in the last 3 events

    KJT gets 1149 LJ, 743 Jav, 1112 800m So 3004 in total tomorrow
    Thiam gets 1125, 1041, 939 so 3105

    So KJT lead of 48 turns into a deficit of 53

    Really close but Thiam definite fav imo

    DYOR
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    edited August 2024
    kle4 said:

    William felt the distinct unease of a well-educated man who has to confront the fact that the illiterate man watching him could probably outthink him three times over.
    The Truth - Terry Pratchett
    Precisely
    The trouble is there is a wide gap between software written on a university course and what is acceptable as commercial software
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,817
    kle4 said:

    Is that a lot?
    It's going to be a close finish, KJT is stronger at the long jump and Thiam is better at javelin, they're both pretty even at 800m, maybe KJT shades it. What we have seen today is KJT step up at shotput which bodes well for her javelin score tomorrow and Thiam didn't have a great 200m so it's not like she's got any better at running which means her long jump and 800m won't be better than expected.

    I think KJT is well placed for the gold but it will be very close, a couple of tenths faster tonight for the 200m and KJT would probably be clear already barring any disasters.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    kle4 said:

    Is that a lot?
    No Thiams Javelin PB is 298 pts better than KJT
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Love the women’s long jump winner falling straight back into the pit.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,616
    Omnium said:

    I concede entirely.
    I think that "Teasy" is a better nickname, by determinative nominalism.
This discussion has been closed.