Oh dear, how sad, never mind – politicalbetting.com

Suella Braverman unlikely to find ten Tory MPs needed to enter leadership racehttps://t.co/RXCsK7GakD
1
This discussion has been closed.
Suella Braverman unlikely to find ten Tory MPs needed to enter leadership racehttps://t.co/RXCsK7GakD
Comments
For the Liberal Democrats.
Presumably the saner Right-wingers... Bobby Jenrick, for example.
Bit it was again very clear why he can't carry on. He is neither dead nor mad, as some of our more excitable posters have variously claimed this week. But he is very greatly diminished
I expect she will flounce to Reform soon.
I think the republican line is hugely disrespectful (not just to Biden but the electorate at large). The electorate voted for an old man at the last presidential election because the republicans put up a candidate they found less attractive. Since that election the old man, has got older. Well who’d have thought that might happen? Their endless moaning about it is very tedious.
Anthony Esan, 24, was charged after an assault in Sally Port Gardens, Chatham, on Tuesday.
The soldier was attacked near his home, which is also close to Brompton Barracks, the headquarters of the British Army's 1 Royal School of Military Engineering Regiment.
And Starmer shows what can be done... If the government turns into an exploding clown car driven by especially nasty clowns.
If so the ramifications for the US election will be huge
Nasdaq 100 is down 1650 points from its peak of 20,690 on July 10th. And last night
"Tokyo’s benchmark Nikkei 225 lost more than 1,000 points at one stage as pessimism set in around the so-called “Magnificent Seven” group of megacap companies on Wall Street.
The world’s only $3 trillion companies all dragged down markets, with Nvidia dropping 6.8pc, Apple down 2.9pc and Microsoft down 3.6pc. Tesla fell 12pc."
[The cause was Tesla and Alphabet (google) profits matching reality not insanity]
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/07/25/ftse-100-latest-news-uk-asia-europe-stocks-fall-us-tech/
CrowdStrike offers $10 gift card to clients hit by global tech failure
Faulty update made about 8.5 million Windows devices unusable on Friday
CrowdStrike has offered partners affected by the global tech failure a $10 Uber Eats gift card, according to several people who have said publicly that they received the reward.
Some of the company’s cybersecurity partners, which do not include all of the company’s customers, received an email from CrowdStrike offering the gift card because the company had recognised “the additional work that the July 19 incident has caused”.
It went on to say that CrowdStrike sends its “heartfelt thanks and apologies for the inconvenience”, according to TechCrunch — which first reported the news — and an affected individual who shared a copy of the email with The Times.
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/technology-uk/article/crowdstrike-offers-10-gift-card-to-clients-hit-by-global-tech-failure-sz22zvs29
He’s now clearly too old and frail to want to stand for another four years, and from his party’s point of view it’s good that they’ve quickly convalesced around Harris as the candidate. Initial polling seems to have Harris ahead of where Biden was, although she’s still a pretty blank piece of paper to many Americans.
Some of their activists didn’t want a coronation though - as one comedian put it, don’t the Democrats believe in the right to choose?
Unfortunately for the Dems though most US defined contribution pension funds have bet the house on tech stocks.
If so, he's bet the house, the garden, the car, the dog and his false teeth on them.
My company is several grand in the hole, and they’re offering me a $10 gift card from one of the world’s sh!ttiest data-collecting companies by way of compensation.
F them, and F the horse on which they rode in.
That offer looks more like a studied insult to me.
I understand why they are reticent though, it boils the piss of UEFA and FIFA the unique position the home nations have in football and they want to end it.
One of the speechmaking skills is to glide over such discontinuities.
Did you read it first, or listen to it first ?
Lots of chatter now that the Fed will cut this month.
I cannot see how Trumps isolationism and plans to weaponise the dollar through devalution could do anything positive.
Also whoever wins need to do something about the debt instead of just adding to it.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/live:bbc_radio_fourfm
(At approx 7.38)
Seriously crap take this one.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/entertainment/celebrity/post-office-minister-started-to-worry-when-she-realised-victims-were-middle-class/ar-BB1qvfdS?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=2f81457a65bf481c974df32c83b547d5&ei=15
We need to know the full facts. In isolation its looks awful.
Orders of magnitude more cost.
And you'd probably still be up a ladder somewhere rebooting one of your airport displays.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/07/25/britain-shaking-off-moron-premium-safe-haven-global-cash/
The shame is that by accident Diane forgot to vote.
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/crazy-town-trump-s-baffling-midnight-meltdown-leaves-everyone-confused/ar-BB1qt0iH?ocid=BingNewsSerp&cvid=3699b57ec3854adea4301e04e864bf58&ei=23
We are going to see a lot more of this. Trump says many truly bizarre and delusional things but Biden gave him cover by consistently losing the plot. He's going to find taking on someone 19 years his junior a lot tougher, not because of anything she says or does, but because he will be far more exposed.
But it does look rather like retaliation after the subject had been subdued.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cw9y2ry3dldo
..GMP said its officers had been called to Terminal 2 of the airport at 20:25 BST on Tuesday following reports of a fight.
It said while trying to arrest a suspect, three of its officers were violently attacked and punched to the ground. One officer suffered a broken nose and all three needed hospital treatment.
"As the attending officers were firearms officers, there was a clear risk during this assault of their firearms being taken from them," a spokesman for the force said.
Four men were arrested at the scene for affray and assault on emergency service workers...
I can't claim much, if any sympathy for the arrestee, but the police ought not to behave like that.
He believes he's as old as the woman he feels.
Add to the various regulated professions (pilots, cabin crew, maintenance crew etc) who have mandated rest periods and work schedules, and the whole thing costs in the hundreds of millions to sort out.
Airports did indeed have people up ladders with keyboards resetting information screens one by one!
Thankfully my company’s mission-critical servers don’t see the internet by design.
The British Library is taking literally years to sort out a similar problem,
Malware attacks are one thing. When it's your own paid for security software doing it, that's a horse of a different colour.
If they are uninsured and can't afford proper compensation, that's bad.
But offering a token (literally) like this? Bonkers.
That's almost as bad as the average British Gas settlement.
The fact three officers required hospitalisation indicates it was not quite the situation the video purports to show.
Let's hope that Rachel Reeves is smart enough not to scare the horses. I think she is.
We have been undervalued for a while and if we don't value our businesses others will. Hence the bids for some from overseas.
That's precisely what the Conservatives don't need and, for that reason, I will shed few tears if she doesn't enter the contest.
And when the Foreign Office find a Treaty's gone astray,
Or the Admiralty lose some plans and drawings by the way,
There may be a scrap of paper in the hall or on the stair—
But it's useless to investigate—Larry's not there!
And when the loss has been disclosed, the Secret Service say:
It must have been Larry!'—but he's a mile away.
You'll be sure to find him resting, or a-licking of his thumb;
Or engaged in doing complicated long division sums.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Air_gap_(networking)
Grating personality, cackles at peculiar moments in interviews, gaffe prone, seems fairly awkward, shallow. How on earth have they decided it’s best to go with her rather than open the field?
Lost in all the mania that Trump must be defeated at all costs and the haze of excitable polling, how many of her rampers are stopping to ask whether she’d be a good president? It’s quite a disastrous in-tray she’s inheriting. A structural deficit of ~7% going into what might be a fierce recession and market correction, a real rather than rhetorical Axis of Evil aligning their military industrial activities and attempting to unwind Western hegemony, and a less socially cohesive population in more than a century.
This one was more of an inconvenient paid in the arse, needing to physically fix most computers in person.
That half an hour between realising something was seriously wrong with the network, and understanding that it was ‘just’ a screwed-up antivirus update that would be easily fixable, was pretty effing horrible though.
Companies with lots of remote workers, in customer-facing roles, or in regulated industries like airlines, have been utterly screwed by it.
The other day we were discussing Chancellors of Oxford University, and whether Lord Mandelbrot was a possible.
I have a question: Why were 4 of the first 8 Chancellors of Oxford University called "Ralph"?
It's a bit .. "Rising Damp".
This is hysterical. He isn't going anywhere and he can't be attacked on the grounds of dodderyness and age like Biden was because that doesn’t resonate.
His malignancy does.
The valuations of todays bubble stocks are a magnitude of order higher than that.
One of the problems is that fund managers get assessed on fairly short term metrics so it turns into a vicious circle. Stock rises, so funds buy, so rises etc etc, until the day it dosen't.
Still we will see if this is a turning point or blip.
(Currently my DC pension funds are in a deposit fund earning 5% so I can watch from the sidelines but have missed out on some gains)
Which it seems the American people so far think she might be.
To those companies still recovering, or who have lost eight or nine figures, not so much…
I suspect there's a Padme and Anakin meme in this.
Biden is too old and gaga to be President.
So Trump is standing down, right?
...
So Trump is standing down, right?
Compared with the likes of France, our problems are minor and politics stable.
A fair and balanced assessment is somewhat different. She’s better than mediocre. And a lot better than a convicted felon and wanna-be dictator like Trump
And that is what makes Kamala Harris Acceptable Under the Circumstances.
Lawrence suspect admitted to being paedophile
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cw0ypn7z702o
It is how well she goes down with those 100,000 voters in Wisconsin etc that actually get to decide the election that matters, and we really don't know yet how they are viewing things, whatever the rampers on both sides say and wont for about six weeks until the dust settles, she gets on TV a lot and they start to firm up a view.
You might say that were it not for Trump killing Soleimani, the Iranian nuclear deal may have held. Maybe but that’s not verifiable. Instead we live in a world where Iran has shut the suez, is flouting sanctions to arm our enemies and has fermented a catastrophic Middle Eastern conflict.
For all the column inches on Trump and Putin, it was under Obama and then Biden that Putin invaded Ukraine. Trump could arguably have done more after Salisbury, but credibly how could he given Europe’s position on Russia at the time?
Jan 6th is of course the key black mark against trump and for many understandably disqualifies him on its own. But even on matters of democracy, we can’t give this government a free pass given its insidious use of censorship, and puppet-like executive for goodness knows how long.
It’s hard to sensibly discuss these things because you get painted as a trump apologist, fascist or whatever else. But if your goal is prediction, it pays to consider whether a swing voter flips (or stays at home), because the idea of this government continuing feels in many ways less attractive to them than reverting to the one that preceded it. Kamala is the ultimate continuity candidate, given she would likely be a weak executive and keep the band more or less together.
Obama was dead right on this. It’s a change election and they should have looked elsewhere
(so too should the GOP of course).
{Georges Ernest Boulanger has entered the chat}
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/article/2024/jul/24/radcliffe-defends-decision-to-let-van-de-velde-compete-at-olympics
Paula Radcliffe apologises for wishing ‘good luck’ to convicted rapist at Olympics
I actually think it's wrong that someone should feel they have to apologise for giving what is a reasonable view.
What I find staggering is the sentence. From wiki:
The judge sentenced Van de Velde to four years' imprisonment and placed him on the Violent and Sex Offender Register for life. During his sentencing remarks, the judge stated, "Your hopes of representing your country [as an Olympic athlete] now lie as a shattered dream" and "He [Van de Velde] has lost a stellar sports career and has been branded a rapist. Plainly it is a career end for him".
He was sent back to the Netherlands and they let him out after a year. That seems incredibly lenient for what he did.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/07/24/prison-guard-affair-with-armed-robber-spared-jail/
Why are men’s prisons still employing these young women in the first place?
There's some weird desire here to put the boot on the other foot and give Trump a taste of his own medicine.
It ignores his core political vulnerabilities, and that is why they will lose.
Seriously, his opponents need to move on.
But maybe there isn't a better candidate. Maybe they're all variously terrible.
Something that is barely above minimum wage, you’re working below the ideal staff ratio.
Threats of violence etc.
Also as we’ve discussed before, a significant number of men cannot pass the (enhanced) DBS check.
It's hard to see KH stopping that. On paper, she's got no fucking chance but she might able to save one of them with a shewd Veep pick.
Trump 47 will be a mega LOL, so at least we can enjoy that once the Centrist Dads get over being dickhurt.
https://x.com/drewholden360/status/1816247920477270428