Northern Ireland [Westminster] Constituencies : Part One (Safe Seats) – politicalbetting.com
Northern Ireland [Westminster] Constituencies : Part One (Safe Seats) – politicalbetting.com
With the Westminster General Election upcoming next month [July], We are all wondering which seats will be close and which constituencies are foregone conclusions.
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Why Biden could still win.
I cannot imagine a nicer thing than a free week (thank you, the French tax payer) touring the islands of Brittany in unfiltered summer sunshine, all exes paid, cars boats and hotels, plus oysters and kirs Breton included (kir Bretons? Sir Kirs Bretonnique?)
Heh
First I've really heard about the election in NI.
My heads says Kirs Breton but my heart says that is somehow pretentious. I may need this essential lingo if the weather prevails this fine and I need lots of refreshment
(he's retiring)
As an aside. It is interesting how so many of the leading Tory Eurosceptics are Roman Catholic. Bill Cash, IDS, Moggster, Anne Widdicombe, Boris Johnson, Gove (allegedly), Sir Edward Leigh.
The thing that annoyed middle England like nothing else - that anecdotally has turned away so many people’s ‘lifelong Tory uncles/aunts’ - is probably more responsible than anything that happened since.
And here is something that might reverberate.
If the Tories do end up on 0-50 seats: Might it improve the public standards/accountability of governments for years to come?
If ‘Partygate wot lost it’ becomes the narrative going forward - including other conduct related scandals - I imagine governments will become far far less tolerant of sloppy conduct - things like Gamblergate. Internal discipline will have to increase. Govts with huge majorities will no longer thing they are invulnerable - “Remember what happened to the Tories in 2024?”
This might be an optimistic take on things. But regardless of your political persuasion, I think it would send a strong “Don’t mess with the British public” message for future governments of all stripes - and that can only be good for us all.
In which case the plural of a kir Breton ends up being 'a bucket of sick'.
It's the drip-drip of that, PPE, Post Office (longer-running, but "when the music stops", etc), looking after the Patersons and Pinchers, Fisher Price Government with Liz and Kwasi, and (despite the narrative that he was doing the people's work at the time) some of the crowbars Boris employed to get Brexit done - there's a significant wing of his party's previous electorate who like Philip Hammond and aren't enamoured of proroguing parliament.
That's why the current betting shenanigans are *so* damaging.. they may not be in the least bit illegal, but they stink like three-day old fish and add to the evidence file marked "in it for themselves and their mates rather than me".
And for that drip-drip to have continued through the campaign is massively corrosive to the Tories' chance of recovery.
On your concluding point.. yes, let's hope the message gets home.
Brittany is seriously lovely, It may be my new favourite region of France, overtaking Languedoc and the Basque Country
The only bits I have left to explore are parts of Normandy and the eastern fringe, tho I have been there a fair amount
The roads are, as you say, astonishingly good. They actually have beautiful roundabouts. Who the fuck has beautiful roundabouts??? Not even Switzerland or the richest corners of the USA - Connecticut- SOCA - have beautiful roundabouts. I imagine some peculiar French college of roundabout design possibly in the Cevennes or near Amboise which has been going since Louis XI expressed a need for more lovely turnpikes in the 1530s, and which still prevails
Indeed there is probably a French Guild of Roundabout Designers who elect a dozen Immortals every year but recently they are feeling threatened by South Korean motorway verge dudes so they are all going to vote Nazi
The G7 photo of leaders had everyone in negative ratings
And as for France!!!!
I will get shouted down on here but I'd rather pay 45% GDP and have great infrastructure than 36% GDP and have the shite we have got in this country.
I just had half a dozen fantastic Quiberons. Seriously good oystering
I finished my gin and tonic with the first and moved on to lightly chilled Muscadet, is all good
Yes that sounds great but jeez it can be exhausting, also you have to be nice to EVERYONE and meet lots of guides and tourist people and restaurateurs and hoteliers and express a sincere interest in EVERYTHING. It helps that I am an enthusiast by nature
And does anyone at home understand how hard it is having to do loads of amazing things and eat amazing food in amazing places for free? No they do NOT
The fact that, the further they march rightwards, the more of their small-c conservative vote may defect to the Lib Dems in disgust, will be conveniently ignored.
It seems to me that the chance of a hard right Tory rump achieving a revival depends crucially on Labour being as useless in Government as the Tories, and a populist leader then successfully knocking down the Red Wall for a second time. If everything goes right for them, a nasty hard right insurgency could become a really serious problem for the country. Alternatively, they could simply be shoved out of the way by the Liberal Democrats and permanently marginalised.
How the Liberal Democrats as a party reconcile their own members' leftward leanings with having dozens of new MPs representing leafy shire constituencies will also be very important in all of this. There's currently a vacancy for a pragmatic, soft centre-right party that is receptive to appeals to help the vulnerable and rejects cruelty, but also dislikes anything that smells of socialism. Is Sir Ed ready to apply?
#RussianJobsForRussianTrolls
Honestly, if that is Skyr Toolmakersson’s intention with his 900 majority, just get on and do it. And I will cope. Sadly I fear we are going to end up with EU tax rates and US public services, and oodles and oodles of Woke
If it would obviously look bad if the Newspapers knew you had done it, then you don't do it even if it is legal.
If you have the ethics of an alleycat but are not stupid, then you don't do it unless it makes you so much money you don't care if you get caught a d have to resign (which is very unlikely to be the case here).
Thus making Covid a proper noun essentially in its own right.
That would be the question.
Over a period of time includes today. If I say on Monday morning in a meeting that over the next five days we have to get x, y and z done - then it has to be done by Friday, not a week on Monday.
Today is day one of the next 12 days. Tomorrow is day two. We aren't talking steps, we're counting all the time - at the time the quote was made there were still polls to come out today, as well as polls to come out tomorrow and ultimately the actual poll that counts on day 12.
The Rivers Trust says: However, even taking this into consideration, there’s no denying that 2023 was worse than 2021 for sewage spills. For England alone, last year was the worst on record for sewage spills – untreated sewage was discharged for over double the total number of hours than 2022, and over 163,000 more discharges counted.
It is a bit Cnuttish in a literal sense.
The cost of one year of incarceration is £50,000 per year. So as far as I can work out the cost of this rise would be £1.5 billion per year.
E.g e-coli from water sources continues its decline
Swimming now is vastly safer than when we were children, and I was a child in the 90s.
The chickens (and their vast quantities of shit dumped into various waterways) have come home to roost under a Conservative Government, and in this instance the entire problem originated under another Conservative Government that created these businesses in the first place. It's small wonder that the many, many people who are royally pissed off about this may not entirely trust a Conservative Government to put it all to rights.
Too many.
However measurement also tends to lead to distortion, as Tony Blair found out with GP appointments.
France has the most roundabouts in the world (though we have more per km of road), and they were little known in S Korea a decade or so back.
First introduced in Jeju, in 2010, they are steadily being adopted in the name of efficient traffic management.
You see that UUP, Tories? That’s your future that is…
And even that’s doubtful.