Why cutting interest rates will be no panacea for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
Why cutting interest rates will be no panacea for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
How do Britons say a cut in interest rates would affect them?Positive impact: 19%Negative impact: 18%Little difference: 46%https://t.co/75Idy1uMOJ pic.twitter.com/0FQAWQPn1V
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The wastewater sequencing effort started about a year ago.
We have known for years that SARS-CoV-2 can be tracked in wastewater, so we figured, what the heck, let's track ALL the viruses we flush down the drain.
@saracregeen and I uncovered communities of viruses that changed in space and time + tracking of specific pathogen levels ..
https://twitter.com/MikeTisza/status/1654849607665426433
The techniques are very well validated.
That kicked in in summer/autumn '22, so the two year fixes should largely be through the process by now, but there will be five year fixers going through the system for a while yet.
Bottom line: it's not the 1980s and you can't use an interest rate cut to engineer a quick consumer boom- the transmission mechanism is too laggy. Apologies to any Conservatives who fancied a bit of Lawson cosplay.
So not a winner for me.
‘You say you are a musician, they beat you more’: the Ukrainian sax player who survived Putin’s torture prisons
Yuriy Merkotan played in a military band and, after being caught up in the Mariupol siege, spent nearly two years in various jails
https://www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/may/12/ukrainian-saxophonist-putin-torture-mariupol-siege
...At Borisoglebsk, prisoners were forbidden from sitting or lying between 6am and 10pm, when they were forced to stand up in their cells. Many developed serious leg injuries. The speaker system played the same few recorded radio programmes about Ukrainian Nazis over and over again.
Twice a day, the inmates had to assemble in the corridor, face against the wall and legs apart as wide as they could manage. They were then assaulted by guards who beat them with rubber truncheons, and sometimes used handheld electric shockers.
During the daily beating ritual, the men were forced to recite poems begging forgiveness from the “fraternal Russians” for Ukraine’s errant ways. They had to memorise the poems, and were beaten harder if they forgot lines or if the guards considered they were not putting enough emotion into them.
Months later, Merkotan could still remember the long poems by heart. One fragment went: “There is no Ukraine without Russia / It’s as pointless as a lock without a key / We are all one family, even if we argued / But arguments can happen in a family.”..
How stupid do they think we are?
Which means they think we are very, very stupid...
https://twitter.com/prideukorg
Both it and Metro were vocal TR advocates.
The biggest story today is that the then-Lord Chancellor and Secretary of State for Justice was a direct witness to a criminal attempt to pervert the course of justice, and covered it up for four years because it involved one of his political allies.
https://twitter.com/BarristerSecret/status/1789720808476041651
Which is deeply worrying.
No wonder they think we are barely on a level with plants...
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/may/13/reform-uk-richard-tice-loans-party-funding?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Other
David Duguid isn't just an open advocate of Liz Truss, he is made a minister for 5 minutes as a reward
Liz Truss then crashed the economy which is why our mortgages have gone up.
Duguid enables Truss causing mortgages hike.
No, I think that covers it. Who do you think is to blame, if it isn't Truss?
That both should disappear at the same time is certainly curious.
https://twitter.com/matthew_d_green/status/1789687898863792453
I guess Liz Truss is also responsible for rising interest rates and mortgage costs in all developed economies too.
We are reverting back to where interest rates should be longer term. Good. As someone else says, money has to have value and for savers, like myself, I am quite happy with interest rates where they are.
You follow the same "logic" then savers owe Liz Truss a debt of gratitude.
They chose to remove their accounts they were not banned.
If you can't stand the heat. Etc etc.
The rest of the country has far more important matters to be dealing with than culture wars against migrants and minorities.
As I’ve said, you will have a LOOOOOONG time in the political wilderness to reflect on these words and the cul-de-sac into which you have driven yourself.
Off for a long hike. Have a nice day everyone
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Click bait by putting a name in a headline?
Sunak will set out his vision for the next five years in a speech this morning apparently.
LOL.
(That's probably unfair, though it is a neat slogan. The government seem to be falling into the clever-but-foolish category. Clever enough to devise attack lines, foolish enough to not realise how quickly they will boomerang back onto them. I suspect that there's a bunker/bubble mentality underpinning a lot of it.)
The forecast told me it was going to be cloudy all day
On the beach
Out of interest, which other country had the same economic Lizaster as we did at the same time to the same extent?
The issue with Dr Who is not the sex, gender or sexuality of the Dr - the issue is with the writing and plots. Time for it to go back into hibernation.
I think Starmer has a real problem on his hands with Elphicke. Never mind that all the bad shit she did was as a Tory: their best hope of closing the gap is to convince everyone Labour are just as bad and you can’t trust any party, so you might as well stick with the ones who will stand up against woke and guarantee your pension.
So a period of silence right now would benefit the Tories. But no, he has to go and try to engage with the public.
Those on 2 year fixes when rates jumped would be on average halfway through their term so assuming they took another 2 year fix at renewal, by September 2024 only half of them will still be on that 5%+ rate with up to a year to go.
Even then, cutting rates by half a percent is not going to transform rates back to their pre-Truss sub 2% levels
“The British Conservatives rode the coattails of Brexit to historic majorities, and then promptly presided over the highest immigration levels in their small island nation's history.
42% of the U.K.'s total foreign-born population came in after 2010 — all under Conservative rule.”
https://x.com/njhochman/status/1789430051810783462?s=46
Chief Constable Jo Farrell declined to say whether any other person will face charges in relation to Operation Branchform, the long-running probe into SNP finances.
Murrell, the husband of former first minister Nicola Sturgeon, was charged in relation to the investigation last month.
https://www.holyrood.com/news/view,police-to-hand-snp-report-to-prosecutors-within-weeks-chief-constable-says
Thanks for providing a selection of reading materials in the previous thread. None of the studies provided add a shred of weight to @SandyRentool's claim that 'climate change' caused the wildfires seen in Canada recently. None of them even alleges that climate change has ever caused a wildfire anywhere, though they do suggest that climate change (for which read a hotter, dryer climate) has increased the risk of more severe wildfires. Appropriately, that's bears shitting in the woods stuff.
The resource that goes into this in the most depth deals with Australia - that obviously doesn't help much with Canada, and the three papers that it references that refer to North America are all about the USA.
In the rest of the world there are both winners and losers. For the first time for considerably more than a decade savers are getting a real return on their savings, if they pay attention to where their money is. The really important number is the differential. I expect fairly sharp falls in inflation in the next couple of months so that differential will increase and a small reduction in the base rate will not change the overall picture.
Mrs J is installing a new piece of tech, and we have been forced to.... (deep breath).
Read the manual...
Dr Who is the longest running sci-fi programme ever.
And also the second longest running sci-fi programme ever...
"Farrell told the broadcaster she agrees with her predecessor, Sir Iain Livingston, that the single force is institutionally racist, but said the "vast majority" of personnel "withhold the standards we would expect of them in policing".
Pretty sure that is not what she meant.
But I’m not so I can’t
Rowling was right all along, she has been vindicated, she is entitled to feel angry and even maybe to want revenge. But revenge is best dished out slowly after some time in the chill box. She should rein it in for now
She risks turning into a kind of billionaire Lozza Fox. Radicalised by her sense of persecution online
If it pleases the pub so be it. I obey the rules. I stick to travel anecdotes and hoping the Tories will expire
But if there is anyone who DOES want to know what I - and many others - think about REDACTED then head over to Reddit. That’s where I now spend much of my time
Rishi Sunak to warn UK is entering 'dangerous era' due to challenges of AI, migration and authoritarian states that will see 'almost every aspect' of British lives change over next five years
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13409979/Rishi-Sunak-UK-dangerous-era-challenges-AI-migration-authoritarian-British-lives-change.html
I saw her tear up a cigarette and mix the tobacco with something from a little bag, and then roll it up
PBers are so balanced and perfectly formed that we probably find it difficult to understand how social media can distort a person but the incontrovertible evidence is that it does. How much more powerful when you have millions hanging on your every word waiting to spray it with likes?
People who are more likely to be savers benefit from higher interest rates.
Not a surprise.
Politicians and journalists seem always to prefer lower interest rates.
That perhaps tells us some thing about politicians and journalists.
It will probably make slightly more sense if you find the pages in English first. Only slightly.
By “this” I am of course referring to the sartorial elan of weirdly overshot trousers
I am interested in AI and though I assume you know as much about it as you do modesty, you can provide many interesting sources and attract others pro and con, who can bring more in their wake. That may be a productive way forward for you.
https://www.betteroffline.com/
He shares some of my myopic views of recent self-congratulatory tech boosterism around AI, comparing it to the similar bubbles of NFTs, crypto, the metaverse, etc. One of his most recent episodes talks about the current capabilities of AI and which private companies are buying it (which are minimal and not many). May be an interest counter to those here who like to get out the champagne and declare world wide revolution every time REDACTED REDACTED REDACTED.
Its a sad spectacle whenever it happens. But it is quite a spectacle to see
We see the same phenomena with Trump. You have to be ever more outrageous, ever more biting and ever punchier to keep their interest. There is an inevitable upward ratchet.
If you want my thoughts (whether you rate them or not) go there. I won’t break the rules here
There are known vulnerabilities with Signal that are not being addressed. Seems odd …
Readers added context
There is no evidence that suggests Signal has "known vulnerabilities that are not being addressed". Due to Signal's open source nature, among other factors, this is easy to verify.
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1787589564917490059
However yes any fall in interest rates would need to see bigger gains for the Conservatives amongst middle aged mortgage holders than any losses amongst pensioner savers
Any particular reddit discussions ("subreddits"), or just general AI? No need to open an account, I'll just read.
https://twitter.com/matthew_d_green/status/1789687898863792453
I mean, from the point of view of the state (and well known union buster Musk) I'm sure more people using the less secure Telegram would be preferable for them...
As for Blanche, I disagree with their take on Gaza and on the benefits system but it hardly struck me as something that 'would probably be banned from most Nazi sites'.
Get a grip Roger.