The fact the Commonwealth summit is in mid October and the King needs to attend really should not be an issue. Sunak knows it has been in the diary for months
Indeed. From Sunak's point of view, if he's decided to have an autumn election, any autumn date is as good as any other. But there some dates best avoided for other practical or political reasons:
Avoid: - Any date before mid-October: Parliament would have to be recalled from summer recess to dissolve; conference season would have to be cancelled - reasonable notice required. - 17th Oct - KC about to go to Samoa, could be tricky if it's a hung parliament requiring long negotiation. - 24th Oct - KC in Samoa. - 31st Oct - Halloween: nightmare on Downing St - 7th Nov - two days after the US POTUS election, not a good idea. - 19th Dec - too close to Christmas - 26th Dec - obviously not - 2nd Jan - Er no. - 9th Jan - Christmas/NY would severely restrict campaigning. - 16th Jan - As above, also smacks of last-chance saloon. - 23rd - ditto.
So I reckon it will have to be: 14th, 21st, 28th Nov, or 5th, 12th Dec.
12th December has a degree of symbolism to it - 5 years to the day the Tories won an 80 seat majority.
Otherwise known as the surprise test paradox - and unresolvable genuine paradox it is.
Also similar is the last biscuit paradox, after the lady who wrote to the biscuit maker complaining that the last biscuit in the packet was always broken so it would be sensible to leave it out.
Because of these and other reasons, Rishi being a philosopher, he will resolve the surprise test paradox by going for late September.
The fact the Commonwealth summit is in mid October and the King needs to attend really should not be an issue. Sunak knows it has been in the diary for months
Indeed. From Sunak's point of view, if he's decided to have an autumn election, any autumn date is as good as any other. But there some dates best avoided for other practical or political reasons:
Avoid: - Any date before mid-October: Parliament would have to be recalled from summer recess to dissolve; conference season would have to be cancelled - reasonable notice required. - 17th Oct - KC about to go to Samoa, could be tricky if it's a hung parliament requiring long negotiation. - 24th Oct - KC in Samoa. - 31st Oct - Halloween: nightmare on Downing St - 7th Nov - two days after the US POTUS election, not a good idea. - 19th Dec - too close to Christmas - 26th Dec - obviously not - 2nd Jan - Er no. - 9th Jan - Christmas/NY would severely restrict campaigning. - 16th Jan - As above, also smacks of last-chance saloon. - 23rd - ditto.
So I reckon it will have to be: 14th, 21st, 28th Nov, or 5th, 12th Dec.
12th December has a degree of symbolism to it - 5 years to the day the Tories won an 80 seat majority.
It's going to be 12th December, isn't it?
That also works if you look backwards - allows an autumn statement in September that is seen on the October and November pay packets, and time to wrap things up after the autumn conferences
The fact the Commonwealth summit is in mid October and the King needs to attend really should not be an issue. Sunak knows it has been in the diary for months
Indeed. From Sunak's point of view, if he's decided to have an autumn election, any autumn date is as good as any other. But there some dates best avoided for other practical or political reasons:
Avoid: - Any date before mid-October: Parliament would have to be recalled from summer recess to dissolve; conference season would have to be cancelled - reasonable notice required. - 17th Oct - KC about to go to Samoa, could be tricky if it's a hung parliament requiring long negotiation. - 24th Oct - KC in Samoa. - 31st Oct - Halloween: nightmare on Downing St - 7th Nov - two days after the US POTUS election, not a good idea. - 19th Dec - too close to Christmas - 26th Dec - obviously not - 2nd Jan - Er no. - 9th Jan - Christmas/NY would severely restrict campaigning. - 16th Jan - As above, also smacks of last-chance saloon. - 23rd - ditto.
So I reckon it will have to be: 14th, 21st, 28th Nov, or 5th, 12th Dec.
12th December has a degree of symbolism to it - 5 years to the day the Tories won an 80 seat majority.
Yes very good. This does make an important point: the longer Sunak delays the less control he has over the timing. That's probably why most GEs have been called after about 4 years.
The fact the Commonwealth summit is in mid October and the King needs to attend really should not be an issue. Sunak knows it has been in the diary for months
Indeed. From Sunak's point of view, if he's decided to have an autumn election, any autumn date is as good as any other. But there some dates best avoided for other practical or political reasons:
Avoid: - Any date before mid-October: Parliament would have to be recalled from summer recess to dissolve; conference season would have to be cancelled - reasonable notice required. - 17th Oct - KC about to go to Samoa, could be tricky if it's a hung parliament requiring long negotiation. - 24th Oct - KC in Samoa. - 31st Oct - Halloween: nightmare on Downing St - 7th Nov - two days after the US POTUS election, not a good idea. - 19th Dec - too close to Christmas - 26th Dec - obviously not - 2nd Jan - Er no. - 9th Jan - Christmas/NY would severely restrict campaigning. - 16th Jan - As above, also smacks of last-chance saloon. - 23rd - ditto.
So I reckon it will have to be: 14th, 21st, 28th Nov, or 5th, 12th Dec.
12th December has a degree of symbolism to it - 5 years to the day the Tories won an 80 seat majority.
"Although Paula Yates contradicted earlier statements she had made by saying during a 1999 interview that Michael Hutchence's 1997 death might have been caused by autoerotic asphyxiation,[16] the coronial inquest found it to be suicide due to a combination of depression and intoxication with alcohol and other drugs.[17]"
Now, David Carradine on the other hand... bang to rights.
And Stephen Milligan.
Never realised that about Hutchence. Urban Myth becomes accepted fact.
Why would the King's travel plans make a difference? The assumption has to be that Sunak will continue as PM after the election.
Even a returning PM has to kiss KC's hand after an election, shirley?
No. The PM remains in office throughout the election campaign and beyond, until they resign. They are not re-appointed after an election, so no kissing of hands.
I thought technically the Prime Minister, having lost the ability to command a majority in the Commons following the election, has to go to the monarch and tender his or her resignation and then invites or suggests to the monarch they ask the party leader who can now command a majority to form a new administration.
The bit I've never quite understood is if you stand against an incumbent MP at a General Election and then win the seat, do you become the MP as soon as the result is announced or at some other point. Once the Returning Officer declares you duly elected, is that the moment you become an MP?
The successful former opposition leader is invited to the Palace and upon receiving the commission to form a new administration from the monarch, becomes Prime Minister so the only interregnum is between the formal resignation of the previous incumbent and the acceptance of the commission by the incoming leader (just a few minutes).
Interesting question about when you become an MP.
One point that might help of course is that technically there is no such thing as an incumbent MP at a GE. They all stop being MPs when Parliament is dissolved. So I assume that the successful candidate does not start being an MP until Parliament is reconvened after the election?
I think the person becomes a MP when declared ("And I do hereby declare that Ryan Ryan is duly elected") but until they take the oath they don't have the privileges of a MP
Although I am actually making that up: I don't know.
I'm just assuming based on analogy (the Prince became the King at the moment of his mother's death but was not recognised as such until the Accession Council and the Proclamation).
It's a difficult question - like the question of at what point in a marriage ceremony do the partners go from being unmarried to married. There must be one but it is uncertain.
A piece of data is that the SF elected people who don't take the oath at no point are regarded as leaving the seat vacant; this must mean that from the point of declaration (subject to challenge under election law) there is no vacancy, and to that extent the unoathed candidate is an MP.
The fact the Commonwealth summit is in mid October and the King needs to attend really should not be an issue. Sunak knows it has been in the diary for months
Indeed. From Sunak's point of view, if he's decided to have an autumn election, any autumn date is as good as any other. But there some dates best avoided for other practical or political reasons:
Avoid: - Any date before mid-October: Parliament would have to be recalled from summer recess to dissolve; conference season would have to be cancelled - reasonable notice required. - 17th Oct - KC about to go to Samoa, could be tricky if it's a hung parliament requiring long negotiation. - 24th Oct - KC in Samoa. - 31st Oct - Halloween: nightmare on Downing St - 7th Nov - two days after the US POTUS election, not a good idea. - 19th Dec - too close to Christmas - 26th Dec - obviously not - 2nd Jan - Er no. - 9th Jan - Christmas/NY would severely restrict campaigning. - 16th Jan - As above, also smacks of last-chance saloon. - 23rd - ditto.
So I reckon it will have to be: 14th, 21st, 28th Nov, or 5th, 12th Dec.
12th December has a degree of symbolism to it - 5 years to the day the Tories won an 80 seat majority.
I haven't read - or seen an issue of - Scientific American for what feels like decades. I miss it. I would pick up an issues in WH Smiths, a railway station, or an airport. But I don't seem to see it any more.
I imagine Unscientific American has a wider circulation these days.
Why would the King's travel plans make a difference? The assumption has to be that Sunak will continue as PM after the election.
Even a returning PM has to kiss KC's hand after an election, shirley?
I'm not sure if they do or not - they serve at His Majesty's pleasure, and if the outcome of an election does not change who has the confidence of the House, is there an actual requirement to re-up as it were? They don't actually serve terms after all.
I don't remember if Cameron, May, or Boris did, but even if they did was it necessary?
Boris Johnson visited Buckingham Palace to meet the Queen 1
I find myself thinking of the late Queen quite a lot at the moment.
It obviously wasn’t the Conservatives’ fault but her death is just one more of the ghastly things to have happened during this parliament. And that awful, awful, awful, moment when, masked and grieving for her beloved husband, she sat alone in the Abbey, whilst her PM & Co were having a piss up in Downing St.
We will look back on these years with horror. Almost everything that could have gone wrong, has.
And it’s going to get worse. AI is coming
You can quote me on that
I didn't know you were concerned about AI.
What you should do to really make the point is sh1t-post constantly about it like some kind of bellend.
That’s it. I’m never going to post again. Someone so effete they can’t write the word “shit” has called me a “bellend”
Why would the King's travel plans make a difference? The assumption has to be that Sunak will continue as PM after the election.
Even a returning PM has to kiss KC's hand after an election, shirley?
I'm not sure if they do or not - they serve at His Majesty's pleasure, and if the outcome of an election does not change who has the confidence of the House, is there an actual requirement to re-up as it were? They don't actually serve terms after all.
I don't remember if Cameron, May, or Boris did, but even if they did was it necessary?
Boris Johnson visited Buckingham Palace to meet the Queen 1
I find myself thinking of the late Queen quite a lot at the moment.
It obviously wasn’t the Conservatives’ fault but her death is just one more of the ghastly things to have happened during this parliament. And that awful, awful, awful, moment when, masked and grieving for her beloved husband, she sat alone in the Abbey, whilst her PM & Co were having a piss up in Downing St.
We will look back on these years with horror. Almost everything that could have gone wrong, has.
And it’s going to get worse. AI is coming
You can quote me on that
I didn't know you were concerned about AI.
What you should do to really make the point is sh1t-post constantly about it like some kind of bellend.
That’s it. I’m never going to post again. Someone so effete they can’t write the word “shit” has called me a “bellend”
Oh sh1t, Leon (or one of SeanT's bellend aliases) is never going to post again!
I’m in the fucking Wild West here. I need cash. This town has no ATMs. It has dirt roads. I can’t buy beer
But the only way up to the main road is ascending THIS on to a very busy main road. That’s a car killer
I’d have to take it at speed, hope it doesn’t break the car then at the same time hope there’s not a massive truck barrelling down the highway as I come squirting off this side road
I’m in the fucking Wild West here. I need cash. This town has no ATMs. It has dirt roads. I can’t buy beer
But the only way up to the main road is ascending THIS on to a very busy main road. That’s a car killer
I’d have to take it at speed, hope it doesn’t break the car then at the same time hope there’s not a massive truck barrelling down the highway as I come squirting off this side road
OR, go without beer at 36C
Why do you need speed? At least try it normally first. Diagonal approach reduces the angle.
I’m in the fucking Wild West here. I need cash. This town has no ATMs. It has dirt roads. I can’t buy beer
But the only way up to the main road is ascending THIS on to a very busy main road. That’s a car killer
I’d have to take it at speed, hope it doesn’t break the car then at the same time hope there’s not a massive truck barrelling down the highway as I come squirting off this side road
OR, go without beer at 36C
Or. You could man up and walk. Really earn that beer.
I’m in the fucking Wild West here. I need cash. This town has no ATMs. It has dirt roads. I can’t buy beer
But the only way up to the main road is ascending THIS on to a very busy main road. That’s a car killer
I’d have to take it at speed, hope it doesn’t break the car then at the same time hope there’s not a massive truck barrelling down the highway as I come squirting off this side road
OR, go without beer at 36C
Why do you need speed? At least try it normally first. Diagonal approach reduces the angle.
The dirt roads crumble away and it’s really steep. You can quite see it in the photo.
Fuck it. That’s too hairy. There must be an easier way on to the main road
Stage 1) Massive fine Trump can't afford Stage 2) No company willing to post bond for Trump that is needed for him to appeal the massive fine from Stage 1
Next up comes: Stage 3) Fire sell of properties to post the bond Stage 4) Whoever he has borrowed from secured on said properties demand repayment
Until... Stage 5) Trump fails to pay back one of his debtors and then has more people coming after him...
I’m in the fucking Wild West here. I need cash. This town has no ATMs. It has dirt roads. I can’t buy beer
But the only way up to the main road is ascending THIS on to a very busy main road. That’s a car killer
I’d have to take it at speed, hope it doesn’t break the car then at the same time hope there’s not a massive truck barrelling down the highway as I come squirting off this side road
OR, go without beer at 36C
Why do you need speed? At least try it normally first. Diagonal approach reduces the angle.
Looks like tracks curve to the right in the direction of the chap, I’d try that route slowly.
But dear God, how are we talking about this rubbish?
Why would the King's travel plans make a difference? The assumption has to be that Sunak will continue as PM after the election.
Even a returning PM has to kiss KC's hand after an election, shirley?
No. The PM remains in office throughout the election campaign and beyond, until they resign. They are not re-appointed after an election, so no kissing of hands.
I thought technically the Prime Minister, having lost the ability to command a majority in the Commons following the election, has to go to the monarch and tender his or her resignation and then invites or suggests to the monarch they ask the party leader who can now command a majority to form a new administration.
The bit I've never quite understood is if you stand against an incumbent MP at a General Election and then win the seat, do you become the MP as soon as the result is announced or at some other point. Once the Returning Officer declares you duly elected, is that the moment you become an MP?
The successful former opposition leader is invited to the Palace and upon receiving the commission to form a new administration from the monarch, becomes Prime Minister so the only interregnum is between the formal resignation of the previous incumbent and the acceptance of the commission by the incoming leader (just a few minutes).
Interesting question about when you become an MP.
One point that might help of course is that technically there is no such thing as an incumbent MP at a GE. They all stop being MPs when Parliament is dissolved. So I assume that the successful candidate does not start being an MP until Parliament is reconvened after the election?
I think the person becomes a MP when declared ("And I do hereby declare that Ryan Ryan is duly elected") but until they take the oath they don't have the privileges of a MP
Although I am actually making that up: I don't know.
I'm just assuming based on analogy (the Prince became the King at the moment of his mother's death but was not recognised as such until the Accession Council and the Proclamation).
It's a difficult question - like the question of at what point in a marriage ceremony do the partners go from being unmarried to married. There must be one but it is uncertain.
A piece of data is that the SF elected people who don't take the oath at no point are regarded as leaving the seat vacant; this must mean that from the point of declaration (subject to challenge under election law) there is no vacancy, and to that extent the unoathed candidate is an MP.
That makes sense and matches my assumption. As for marriage, consider "I now pronounce you man and wife" vs signing the register.
0-bonkers in 5 seconds, and he's getting worse the longer it goes on.
I read a transcript of one of his recent speeches the other day, well technically I read about half of it as it was too much for me, one thing very noticeable is the way his mind keeps flitting back to past grievances. Anyone who would vote for or otherwise support this lunatic, who plainly is more focused on staying out of jail and taking revenge than doing anything useful, must themselves be a pretty awful person. God help us if he elected again, the whole world will be in trouble.
You have just condemned nearly half the american population as "pretty awful people". Not a good look.
Why would the King's travel plans make a difference? The assumption has to be that Sunak will continue as PM after the election.
Even a returning PM has to kiss KC's hand after an election, shirley?
I'm not sure if they do or not - they serve at His Majesty's pleasure, and if the outcome of an election does not change who has the confidence of the House, is there an actual requirement to re-up as it were? They don't actually serve terms after all.
I don't remember if Cameron, May, or Boris did, but even if they did was it necessary?
Boris Johnson visited Buckingham Palace to meet the Queen 1
I find myself thinking of the late Queen quite a lot at the moment.
It obviously wasn’t the Conservatives’ fault but her death is just one more of the ghastly things to have happened during this parliament. And that awful, awful, awful, moment when, masked and grieving for her beloved husband, she sat alone in the Abbey, whilst her PM & Co were having a piss up in Downing St.
We will look back on these years with horror. Almost everything that could have gone wrong, has.
And it’s going to get worse. AI is coming
You can quote me on that
I didn't know you were concerned about AI.
What you should do to really make the point is sh1t-post constantly about it like some kind of bellend.
That’s it. I’m never going to post again. Someone so effete they can’t write the word “shit” has called me a “bellend”
I’m in the fucking Wild West here. I need cash. This town has no ATMs. It has dirt roads. I can’t buy beer
But the only way up to the main road is ascending THIS on to a very busy main road. That’s a car killer
I’d have to take it at speed, hope it doesn’t break the car then at the same time hope there’s not a massive truck barrelling down the highway as I come squirting off this side road
OR, go without beer at 36C
Why do you need speed? At least try it normally first. Diagonal approach reduces the angle.
The dirt roads crumble away and it’s really steep. You can quite see it in the photo.
Fuck it. That’s too hairy. There must be an easier way on to the main road
Walk. You have these things called legs. You might have heard of them. They're rather odd things, but you seem rather obsessed with the small, stubby, dangly things that hangs between them, so start with those and work outwards.
I’m in the fucking Wild West here. I need cash. This town has no ATMs. It has dirt roads. I can’t buy beer
But the only way up to the main road is ascending THIS on to a very busy main road. That’s a car killer
I’d have to take it at speed, hope it doesn’t break the car then at the same time hope there’s not a massive truck barrelling down the highway as I come squirting off this side road
OR, go without beer at 36C
Why do you need speed? At least try it normally first. Diagonal approach reduces the angle.
The dirt roads crumble away and it’s really steep. You can quite see it in the photo.
Fuck it. That’s too hairy. There must be an easier way on to the main road
Walk. You have these things called legs. You might have heard of them. They're rather odd things, but you seem rather obsessed with the small, stubby, dangly things that hangs between them, so start with those and work outwards.
The fact the Commonwealth summit is in mid October and the King needs to attend really should not be an issue. Sunak knows it has been in the diary for months
Indeed. From Sunak's point of view, if he's decided to have an autumn election, any autumn date is as good as any other. But there some dates best avoided for other practical or political reasons:
Avoid: - Any date before mid-October: Parliament would have to be recalled from summer recess to dissolve; conference season would have to be cancelled - reasonable notice required. - 17th Oct - KC about to go to Samoa, could be tricky if it's a hung parliament requiring long negotiation. - 24th Oct - KC in Samoa. - 31st Oct - Halloween: nightmare on Downing St - 7th Nov - two days after the US POTUS election, not a good idea. - 19th Dec - too close to Christmas - 26th Dec - obviously not - 2nd Jan - Er no. - 9th Jan - Christmas/NY would severely restrict campaigning. - 16th Jan - As above, also smacks of last-chance saloon. - 23rd - ditto.
So I reckon it will have to be: 14th, 21st, 28th Nov, or 5th, 12th Dec.
12th December has a degree of symbolism to it - 5 years to the day the Tories won an 80 seat majority.
I haven't read - or seen an issue of - Scientific American for what feels like decades. I miss it. I would pick up an issues in WH Smiths, a railway station, or an airport. But I don't seem to see it any more.
SFX. I used to buy it regularly. Haven't done so now for many years.
Their 'fare share' being a donation to the Trump court fine fund pre-November 24?
Building up military capability in western Europe is the only way to contain Russia. European countries need to become active partners in NATO rather than just the beneficiaries of American protection. The latter may have been an acceptable arrangement to the US when there was no real threat from Russia but now the situation has changed in a number of ways.
When Trump just says things clearly like this, everyone understands. It also sounds good to his supporters. Foreign affairs is one way in which 'the establishment' is failing badly. IE: Ukraine being supported only to the point where there is a war of attrition that they gradually lose, with no end in sight or way out. Yet supporters of the war in Ukraine keep asserting that Trump will 'give up Ukraine' with no evidence to back this up.
I’m in the fucking Wild West here. I need cash. This town has no ATMs. It has dirt roads. I can’t buy beer
But the only way up to the main road is ascending THIS on to a very busy main road. That’s a car killer
I’d have to take it at speed, hope it doesn’t break the car then at the same time hope there’s not a massive truck barrelling down the highway as I come squirting off this side road
OR, go without beer at 36C
Why do you need speed? At least try it normally first. Diagonal approach reduces the angle.
I’m in the fucking Wild West here. I need cash. This town has no ATMs. It has dirt roads. I can’t buy beer
But the only way up to the main road is ascending THIS on to a very busy main road. That’s a car killer
I’d have to take it at speed, hope it doesn’t break the car then at the same time hope there’s not a massive truck barrelling down the highway as I come squirting off this side road
OR, go without beer at 36C
Are you in some **** off American truck or a Renault Clio? So that's your problem, get the Speccie to put you a proper hire car for a travel writer of your standing.
Unless I missed it no one seems to have higher CT than the poor residents of Sturminster Newton, Dorset.
Band A £1763.57; B £2057.50; C £2351.42; D £2645.35; E £3233.20; F £3821.06; H £4408.92; G £5290.70
It makes little sense to me that social care - which forms the vast part of the budget - should be funded through Council tax. It would make more sense if was the responsibility of the state and funded through general taxation.
Why would the King's travel plans make a difference? The assumption has to be that Sunak will continue as PM after the election.
Even a returning PM has to kiss KC's hand after an election, shirley?
I'm not sure if they do or not - they serve at His Majesty's pleasure, and if the outcome of an election does not change who has the confidence of the House, is there an actual requirement to re-up as it were? They don't actually serve terms after all.
I don't remember if Cameron, May, or Boris did, but even if they did was it necessary?
Boris Johnson visited Buckingham Palace to meet the Queen 1
I find myself thinking of the late Queen quite a lot at the moment.
It obviously wasn’t the Conservatives’ fault but her death is just one more of the ghastly things to have happened during this parliament. And that awful, awful, awful, moment when, masked and grieving for her beloved husband, she sat alone in the Abbey, whilst her PM & Co were having a piss up in Downing St.
We will look back on these years with horror. Almost everything that could have gone wrong, has.
And it’s going to get worse. AI is coming
You can quote me on that
I didn't know you were concerned about AI.
What you should do to really make the point is sh1t-post constantly about it like some kind of bellend.
That’s it. I’m never going to post again. Someone so effete they can’t write the word “shit” has called me a “bellend”
Unless I missed it no one seems to have higher CT than the poor residents of Sturminster Newton, Dorset.
Band A £1763.57; B £2057.50; C £2351.42; D £2645.35; E £3233.20; F £3821.06; H £4408.92; G £5290.70
It makes little sense to me that social care - which forms the vast part of the budget - should be funded through Council tax. It would make more sense if was the responsibility of the state and funded through general taxation.
The democratic incentives and voter knowledge of local goverment funding are both fucked. But the last time a government touched local taxation we got riots. No one's going to touch it again.
The fact the Commonwealth summit is in mid October and the King needs to attend really should not be an issue. Sunak knows it has been in the diary for months
Indeed. From Sunak's point of view, if he's decided to have an autumn election, any autumn date is as good as any other. But there some dates best avoided for other practical or political reasons:
Avoid: - Any date before mid-October: Parliament would have to be recalled from summer recess to dissolve; conference season would have to be cancelled - reasonable notice required. - 17th Oct - KC about to go to Samoa, could be tricky if it's a hung parliament requiring long negotiation. - 24th Oct - KC in Samoa. - 31st Oct - Halloween: nightmare on Downing St - 7th Nov - two days after the US POTUS election, not a good idea. - 19th Dec - too close to Christmas - 26th Dec - obviously not - 2nd Jan - Er no. - 9th Jan - Christmas/NY would severely restrict campaigning. - 16th Jan - As above, also smacks of last-chance saloon. - 23rd - ditto.
So I reckon it will have to be: 14th, 21st, 28th Nov, or 5th, 12th Dec.
12th December has a degree of symbolism to it - 5 years to the day the Tories won an 80 seat majority.
I haven't read - or seen an issue of - Scientific American for what feels like decades. I miss it. I would pick up an issues in WH Smiths, a railway station, or an airport. But I don't seem to see it any more.
SFX. I used to buy it regularly. Haven't done so now for many years.
I got the very first issue of Edge magazine, from a newsagent in North London. It was brilliant. I occasionally buy a copy, and it's cr@p.
I've still got that first issue somewhere. It's probably worth tuppence....
Unless I missed it no one seems to have higher CT than the poor residents of Sturminster Newton, Dorset.
Band A £1763.57; B £2057.50; C £2351.42; D £2645.35; E £3233.20; F £3821.06; H £4408.92; G £5290.70
It makes little sense to me that social care - which forms the vast part of the budget - should be funded through Council tax. It would make more sense if was the responsibility of the state and funded through general taxation.
Social care is a scandal. I know a lady who was refused financial help because apparently she was able to walk. She died a week later.
The fact the Commonwealth summit is in mid October and the King needs to attend really should not be an issue. Sunak knows it has been in the diary for months
Indeed. From Sunak's point of view, if he's decided to have an autumn election, any autumn date is as good as any other. But there some dates best avoided for other practical or political reasons:
Avoid: - Any date before mid-October: Parliament would have to be recalled from summer recess to dissolve; conference season would have to be cancelled - reasonable notice required. - 17th Oct - KC about to go to Samoa, could be tricky if it's a hung parliament requiring long negotiation. - 24th Oct - KC in Samoa. - 31st Oct - Halloween: nightmare on Downing St - 7th Nov - two days after the US POTUS election, not a good idea. - 19th Dec - too close to Christmas - 26th Dec - obviously not - 2nd Jan - Er no. - 9th Jan - Christmas/NY would severely restrict campaigning. - 16th Jan - As above, also smacks of last-chance saloon. - 23rd - ditto.
So I reckon it will have to be: 14th, 21st, 28th Nov, or 5th, 12th Dec.
12th December has a degree of symbolism to it - 5 years to the day the Tories won an 80 seat majority.
It's going to be 12th December, isn't it?
This is good analysis. It’s not about 1 day, it’s the 25 campaigning days that can’t overlap a holiday period.
And if you want a cheeky budget, it’s extra few weeks before campaign month to get parliament sitting to pass it. But is there time to see it in household budgets, or better not to have budget, just promise the details in manifesto? Recent Budgets are quite internally contentious for Tories, defence spending needs the limited pot of money, pensioners need it, by the time autumn comes the households hurt by high mortgage deals will ask for it,
Parliament is now due back 2nd September, the six weeks before that you just can’t hold one. You are right to flag up there arn’t that many dates.
However, conferences can go ahead inside campaign month - why not? The only party who would want to cancel conference would be Tories, for despite how much of money it makes for the party, it would just be giving opposition parties too much fantastic election boost.
Stage 1) Massive fine Trump can't afford Stage 2) No company willing to post bond for Trump that is needed for him to appeal the massive fine from Stage 1
Next up comes: Stage 3) Fire sell of properties to post the bond Stage 4) Whoever he has borrowed from secured on said properties demand repayment
Until... Stage 5) Trump fails to pay back one of his debtors and then has more people coming after him...
Maybe. Another interpretation is that Trump's entire business model has always been one of never settling an invoice until he really, absolutely has no choice.
You get these people in business. Only worth doing anything for if you're paid in full in advance.
Arguing for delay or reduction in the bond he needs to post is consistent with either - Trump being pot-less, or Trump being Trump.
Its worrying how social care costs are rising though and bankrupting councils. Reasons: An ageing population though that has been the same for years. Unexplained increases in people getting sick and needing long term care. Hmmmm
Unless I missed it no one seems to have higher CT than the poor residents of Sturminster Newton, Dorset.
Band A £1763.57; B £2057.50; C £2351.42; D £2645.35; E £3233.20; F £3821.06; H £4408.92; G £5290.70
It makes little sense to me that social care - which forms the vast part of the budget - should be funded through Council tax. It would make more sense if was the responsibility of the state and funded through general taxation.
Agreed. 40% of Dorset Council spend is on adult social care.
I listen to a lot of LBC. Callers seem as fed up with Labour as they are the Conservatives. I believe the "Labour are as bad as us, stick with the Devil you know" might be working. 1992 Redux!
Stage 1) Massive fine Trump can't afford Stage 2) No company willing to post bond for Trump that is needed for him to appeal the massive fine from Stage 1
Next up comes: Stage 3) Fire sell of properties to post the bond Stage 4) Whoever he has borrowed from secured on said properties demand repayment
Until... Stage 5) Trump fails to pay back one of his debtors and then has more people coming after him...
Maybe. Another interpretation is that Trump's entire business model has always been one of never settling an invoice until he really, absolutely has no choice.
You get these people in business. Only worth doing anything for if you're paid in full in advance.
Arguing for delay or reduction in the bond he needs to post is consistent with either - Trump being pot-less, or Trump being Trump.
This sounds a lot like doing business with HMG. Maybe he is suited for the role.
Their 'fare share' being a donation to the Trump court fine fund pre-November 24?
Building up military capability in western Europe is the only way to contain Russia. European countries need to become active partners in NATO rather than just the beneficiaries of American protection. The latter may have been an acceptable arrangement to the US when there was no real threat from Russia but now the situation has changed in a number of ways.
When Trump just says things clearly like this, everyone understands. It also sounds good to his supporters. Foreign affairs is one way in which 'the establishment' is failing badly. IE: Ukraine being supported only to the point where there is a war of attrition that they gradually lose, with no end in sight or way out. Yet supporters of the war in Ukraine keep asserting that Trump will 'give up Ukraine' with no evidence to back this up.
Trump's supporters in Congress have blocked further US military support for several months now. That's pretty damn obvious.
Stage 1) Massive fine Trump can't afford Stage 2) No company willing to post bond for Trump that is needed for him to appeal the massive fine from Stage 1
Next up comes: Stage 3) Fire sell of properties to post the bond Stage 4) Whoever he has borrowed from secured on said properties demand repayment
Until... Stage 5) Trump fails to pay back one of his debtors and then has more people coming after him...
Maybe. Another interpretation is that Trump's entire business model has always been one of never settling an invoice until he really, absolutely has no choice.
You get these people in business. Only worth doing anything for if you're paid in full in advance.
Arguing for delay or reduction in the bond he needs to post is consistent with either - Trump being pot-less, or Trump being Trump.
Trump just has to delay thinks to the election. But then he has to win the election if not hes toast and will likely have his assets seized and be put in jail. Desperate men do desperate things Rigging the election Some helpful foreign interference Hmmm
The fact the Commonwealth summit is in mid October and the King needs to attend really should not be an issue. Sunak knows it has been in the diary for months
Indeed. From Sunak's point of view, if he's decided to have an autumn election, any autumn date is as good as any other. But there some dates best avoided for other practical or political reasons:
Avoid: - Any date before mid-October: Parliament would have to be recalled from summer recess to dissolve; conference season would have to be cancelled - reasonable notice required. - 17th Oct - KC about to go to Samoa, could be tricky if it's a hung parliament requiring long negotiation. - 24th Oct - KC in Samoa. - 31st Oct - Halloween: nightmare on Downing St - 7th Nov - two days after the US POTUS election, not a good idea. - 19th Dec - too close to Christmas - 26th Dec - obviously not - 2nd Jan - Er no. - 9th Jan - Christmas/NY would severely restrict campaigning. - 16th Jan - As above, also smacks of last-chance saloon. - 23rd - ditto.
So I reckon it will have to be: 14th, 21st, 28th Nov, or 5th, 12th Dec.
12th December has a degree of symbolism to it - 5 years to the day the Tories won an 80 seat majority.
I haven't read - or seen an issue of - Scientific American for what feels like decades. I miss it. I would pick up an issues in WH Smiths, a railway station, or an airport. But I don't seem to see it any more.
SFX. I used to buy it regularly. Haven't done so now for many years.
I got the very first issue of Edge magazine, from a newsagent in North London. It was brilliant. I occasionally buy a copy, and it's cr@p.
I've still got that first issue somewhere. It's probably worth tuppence....
Stage 1) Massive fine Trump can't afford Stage 2) No company willing to post bond for Trump that is needed for him to appeal the massive fine from Stage 1
Next up comes: Stage 3) Fire sell of properties to post the bond Stage 4) Whoever he has borrowed from secured on said properties demand repayment
Until... Stage 5) Trump fails to pay back one of his debtors and then has more people coming after him...
Maybe. Another interpretation is that Trump's entire business model has always been one of never settling an invoice until he really, absolutely has no choice.
You get these people in business. Only worth doing anything for if you're paid in full in advance.
Arguing for delay or reduction in the bond he needs to post is consistent with either - Trump being pot-less, or Trump being Trump.
Had one of those people ring up when I was on the phones for Inland Revenue. "Can I have time to pay my tax bill?" "No." "Oh please, please, please may I have time to pay?" "No." "If I drop by tomorrow and hand over a cheque will I be in time to avoid late-payment fines?" "Yes."
Their 'fare share' being a donation to the Trump court fine fund pre-November 24?
Building up military capability in western Europe is the only way to contain Russia. European countries need to become active partners in NATO rather than just the beneficiaries of American protection. The latter may have been an acceptable arrangement to the US when there was no real threat from Russia but now the situation has changed in a number of ways.
When Trump just says things clearly like this, everyone understands. It also sounds good to his supporters. Foreign affairs is one way in which 'the establishment' is failing badly. IE: Ukraine being supported only to the point where there is a war of attrition that they gradually lose, with no end in sight or way out. Yet supporters of the war in Ukraine keep asserting that Trump will 'give up Ukraine' with no evidence to back this up.
"When Trump just says things clearly like this, everyone understands."
Really? Sounds like he's got YOU fooled REAL good (that is bad) and (im)proper.
Addendum - Actually, we DO know what the SOB means, too damn well.
I listen to a lot of LBC. Callers seem as fed up with Labour as they are the Conservatives. I believe the "Labour are as bad as us, stick with the Devil you know" might be working. 1992 Redux!
Yes, you might have said.
Every bloody night.
Give it a rest.
Don't shoot the messenger. I am merely passing on vital electoral anecdota.
Unless I missed it no one seems to have higher CT than the poor residents of Sturminster Newton, Dorset.
Band A £1763.57; B £2057.50; C £2351.42; D £2645.35; E £3233.20; F £3821.06; H £4408.92; G £5290.70
It makes little sense to me that social care - which forms the vast part of the budget - should be funded through Council tax. It would make more sense if was the responsibility of the state and funded through general taxation.
Social care is a scandal. I know a lady who was refused financial help because apparently she was able to walk. She died a week later.
Their 'fare share' being a donation to the Trump court fine fund pre-November 24?
Building up military capability in western Europe is the only way to contain Russia. European countries need to become active partners in NATO rather than just the beneficiaries of American protection. The latter may have been an acceptable arrangement to the US when there was no real threat from Russia but now the situation has changed in a number of ways.
When Trump just says things clearly like this, everyone understands. It also sounds good to his supporters. Foreign affairs is one way in which 'the establishment' is failing badly. IE: Ukraine being supported only to the point where there is a war of attrition that they gradually lose, with no end in sight or way out. Yet supporters of the war in Ukraine keep asserting that Trump will 'give up Ukraine' with no evidence to back this up.
Trump's supporters in Congress have blocked further US military support for several months now. That's pretty damn obvious.
One interpretation is that Trump & Co want the European countries to pay for American weapons to be sent to Ukraine.
This is exactly the kind of thing that Trump would see as a win. Someone else pays.
The fact the Commonwealth summit is in mid October and the King needs to attend really should not be an issue. Sunak knows it has been in the diary for months
Indeed. From Sunak's point of view, if he's decided to have an autumn election, any autumn date is as good as any other. But there some dates best avoided for other practical or political reasons:
Avoid: - Any date before mid-October: Parliament would have to be recalled from summer recess to dissolve; conference season would have to be cancelled - reasonable notice required. - 17th Oct - KC about to go to Samoa, could be tricky if it's a hung parliament requiring long negotiation. - 24th Oct - KC in Samoa. - 31st Oct - Halloween: nightmare on Downing St - 7th Nov - two days after the US POTUS election, not a good idea. - 19th Dec - too close to Christmas - 26th Dec - obviously not - 2nd Jan - Er no. - 9th Jan - Christmas/NY would severely restrict campaigning. - 16th Jan - As above, also smacks of last-chance saloon. - 23rd - ditto.
So I reckon it will have to be: 14th, 21st, 28th Nov, or 5th, 12th Dec.
12th December has a degree of symbolism to it - 5 years to the day the Tories won an 80 seat majority.
I haven't read - or seen an issue of - Scientific American for what feels like decades. I miss it. I would pick up an issues in WH Smiths, a railway station, or an airport. But I don't seem to see it any more.
SFX. I used to buy it regularly. Haven't done so now for many years.
I got the very first issue of Edge magazine, from a newsagent in North London. It was brilliant. I occasionally buy a copy, and it's cr@p.
I've still got that first issue somewhere. It's probably worth tuppence....
Their 'fare share' being a donation to the Trump court fine fund pre-November 24?
Building up military capability in western Europe is the only way to contain Russia. European countries need to become active partners in NATO rather than just the beneficiaries of American protection. The latter may have been an acceptable arrangement to the US when there was no real threat from Russia but now the situation has changed in a number of ways.
When Trump just says things clearly like this, everyone understands. It also sounds good to his supporters. Foreign affairs is one way in which 'the establishment' is failing badly. IE: Ukraine being supported only to the point where there is a war of attrition that they gradually lose, with no end in sight or way out. Yet supporters of the war in Ukraine keep asserting that Trump will 'give up Ukraine' with no evidence to back this up.
Trump's supporters in Congress have blocked further US military support for several months now. That's pretty damn obvious.
One interpretation is that Trump & Co want the European countries to pay for American weapons to be sent to Ukraine.
This is exactly the kind of thing that Trump would see as a win. Someone else pays.
Maybe, but I don't get the sense that he cares about the budget deficit. He cares about getting his cut, and he is friendlier with dictators than with democrats.
He'd provide weapons to Russia if he personally received a bigger percentage on the sale as a result.
Unless I missed it no one seems to have higher CT than the poor residents of Sturminster Newton, Dorset.
Band A £1763.57; B £2057.50; C £2351.42; D £2645.35; E £3233.20; F £3821.06; H £4408.92; G £5290.70
It makes little sense to me that social care - which forms the vast part of the budget - should be funded through Council tax. It would make more sense if was the responsibility of the state and funded through general taxation.
I agree the system is broken, and that much of the funding comes from Council Tax. But funding formulas mean it isn't really correct that general taxation plays no role, or that areas with a lot of OAPs are hammered at the expense of those with fewer.
Stage 1) Massive fine Trump can't afford Stage 2) No company willing to post bond for Trump that is needed for him to appeal the massive fine from Stage 1
Next up comes: Stage 3) Fire sell of properties to post the bond Stage 4) Whoever he has borrowed from secured on said properties demand repayment
Until... Stage 5) Trump fails to pay back one of his debtors and then has more people coming after him...
Maybe. Another interpretation is that Trump's entire business model has always been one of never settling an invoice until he really, absolutely has no choice.
You get these people in business. Only worth doing anything for if you're paid in full in advance.
Arguing for delay or reduction in the bond he needs to post is consistent with either - Trump being pot-less, or Trump being Trump.
Had one of those people ring up when I was on the phones for Inland Revenue. "Can I have time to pay my tax bill?" "No." "Oh please, please, please may I have time to pay?" "No." "If I drop by tomorrow and hand over a cheque will I be in time to avoid late-payment fines?" "Yes."
Back under the Coaltion (IIRC) HMRC was *years* late in paying a refund to a company. Finally, a judge gave the company a judgement and the bailiffs went into to seize assets.
Within a day, they passed an emergency law to prevent such judgements against government entities (again IIRC).
I listen to a lot of LBC. Callers seem as fed up with Labour as they are the Conservatives. I believe the "Labour are as bad as us, stick with the Devil you know" might be working. 1992 Redux!
Yes, you might have said.
Every bloody night.
Give it a rest.
Don't shoot the messenger. I am merely passing on vital electoral anecdota.
From a mysterious radio station where only the last remaining Tory voters on earth are allowed on air?
No doubt you will back tomorrow to tell us Rachel Reeves speech has bombed according to every caller. Though BJO will have beaten you to it by about 18 hours.
BJO any second will ask us to explain why the stormtrooper helmeted one’s speech was so Tory and lacking detail, Sunak himself could have given it. 5, 4, 3, 2…
I listen to a lot of LBC. Callers seem as fed up with Labour as they are the Conservatives. I believe the "Labour are as bad as us, stick with the Devil you know" might be working. 1992 Redux!
Yes, you might have said.
Every bloody night.
Give it a rest.
Don't shoot the messenger. I am merely passing on vital electoral anecdota.
We are just concerned that you have put all your money on the Cons winning the next GE. I mean with you being so sure it would be crazy not to have!
The fact the Commonwealth summit is in mid October and the King needs to attend really should not be an issue. Sunak knows it has been in the diary for months
Indeed. From Sunak's point of view, if he's decided to have an autumn election, any autumn date is as good as any other. But there some dates best avoided for other practical or political reasons:
Avoid: - Any date before mid-October: Parliament would have to be recalled from summer recess to dissolve; conference season would have to be cancelled - reasonable notice required. - 17th Oct - KC about to go to Samoa, could be tricky if it's a hung parliament requiring long negotiation. - 24th Oct - KC in Samoa. - 31st Oct - Halloween: nightmare on Downing St - 7th Nov - two days after the US POTUS election, not a good idea. - 19th Dec - too close to Christmas - 26th Dec - obviously not - 2nd Jan - Er no. - 9th Jan - Christmas/NY would severely restrict campaigning. - 16th Jan - As above, also smacks of last-chance saloon. - 23rd - ditto.
So I reckon it will have to be: 14th, 21st, 28th Nov, or 5th, 12th Dec.
12th December has a degree of symbolism to it - 5 years to the day the Tories won an 80 seat majority.
It's going to be 12th December, isn't it?
This is good analysis. It’s not about 1 day, it’s the 25 campaigning days that can’t overlap a holiday period.
And if you want a cheeky budget, it’s extra few weeks before campaign month to get parliament sitting to pass it. But is there time to see it in household budgets, or better not to have budget, just promise the details in manifesto? Recent Budgets are quite internally contentious for Tories, defence spending needs the limited pot of money, pensioners need it, by the time autumn comes the households hurt by high mortgage deals will ask for it,
Parliament is now due back 2nd September, the six weeks before that you just can’t hold one. You are right to flag up there arn’t that many dates.
However, conferences can go ahead inside campaign month - why not? The only party who would want to cancel conference would be Tories, for despite how much of money it makes for the party, it would just be giving opposition parties too much fantastic election boost.
Thanks. I thought about the conferences issue.
You may right, perhaps they could go ahead during the campaign but I foresee all sorts of balance issues for the broadcasters. Plus, how do the parties juggle being out on the stump and locked away together at their conference? No, I think they'll can the conferences as soon as the GE is called...
...which brings us back to the other issue: Parliament has to be recalled early from summer recess to push the dissolution through.
If Sunak is going to do that he might as well name the day now.
Their 'fare share' being a donation to the Trump court fine fund pre-November 24?
Building up military capability in western Europe is the only way to contain Russia. European countries need to become active partners in NATO rather than just the beneficiaries of American protection. The latter may have been an acceptable arrangement to the US when there was no real threat from Russia but now the situation has changed in a number of ways.
When Trump just says things clearly like this, everyone understands. It also sounds good to his supporters. Foreign affairs is one way in which 'the establishment' is failing badly. IE: Ukraine being supported only to the point where there is a war of attrition that they gradually lose, with no end in sight or way out. Yet supporters of the war in Ukraine keep asserting that Trump will 'give up Ukraine' with no evidence to back this up.
Trump's supporters in Congress have blocked further US military support for several months now. That's pretty damn obvious.
A fair point, but I think they are arguing that it is the strategy they are opposed to, given the lack of gains for the past year. The position of Trump is that he is going to find a way of ending the war, which is a contrast to Biden who seems to have no plan.
Their 'fare share' being a donation to the Trump court fine fund pre-November 24?
Building up military capability in western Europe is the only way to contain Russia. European countries need to become active partners in NATO rather than just the beneficiaries of American protection. The latter may have been an acceptable arrangement to the US when there was no real threat from Russia but now the situation has changed in a number of ways.
When Trump just says things clearly like this, everyone understands. It also sounds good to his supporters. Foreign affairs is one way in which 'the establishment' is failing badly. IE: Ukraine being supported only to the point where there is a war of attrition that they gradually lose, with no end in sight or way out. Yet supporters of the war in Ukraine keep asserting that Trump will 'give up Ukraine' with no evidence to back this up.
Trump's supporters in Congress have blocked further US military support for several months now. That's pretty damn obvious.
A fair point, but I think they are arguing that it is the strategy they are opposed to, given the lack of gains for the past year. The position of Trump is that he is going to find a way of ending the war, which is a contrast to Biden who seems to have no plan.
Jeez, do you really buy this shit? Trump 'is going to find a way of ending the war'?
Beyond capitulation, Trump has no idea on how to end the war. Typically, he comes out with this type of bullshit soundbite and delivers nothing - it would be the same with this.
Their 'fare share' being a donation to the Trump court fine fund pre-November 24?
Building up military capability in western Europe is the only way to contain Russia. European countries need to become active partners in NATO rather than just the beneficiaries of American protection. The latter may have been an acceptable arrangement to the US when there was no real threat from Russia but now the situation has changed in a number of ways.
When Trump just says things clearly like this, everyone understands. It also sounds good to his supporters. Foreign affairs is one way in which 'the establishment' is failing badly. IE: Ukraine being supported only to the point where there is a war of attrition that they gradually lose, with no end in sight or way out. Yet supporters of the war in Ukraine keep asserting that Trump will 'give up Ukraine' with no evidence to back this up.
Trump's supporters in Congress have blocked further US military support for several months now. That's pretty damn obvious.
A fair point, but I think they are arguing that it is the strategy they are opposed to, given the lack of gains for the past year. The position of Trump is that he is going to find a way of ending the war, which is a contrast to Biden who seems to have no plan.
"We will end the war by causing more war" is not a firm strategy for ending the war.
Demanding that European members of NATO "pay their fair share" is a VERY old and frequent demand made by US politicos. At least ever since yours truly has been around to hear it.
Difference with Trump, is that he is the FIRST major US politico, to make it CRYSTAL CLEAR that he really wants America OUT of NATO.
The fact the Commonwealth summit is in mid October and the King needs to attend really should not be an issue. Sunak knows it has been in the diary for months
Indeed. From Sunak's point of view, if he's decided to have an autumn election, any autumn date is as good as any other. But there some dates best avoided for other practical or political reasons:
Avoid: - Any date before mid-October: Parliament would have to be recalled from summer recess to dissolve; conference season would have to be cancelled - reasonable notice required. - 17th Oct - KC about to go to Samoa, could be tricky if it's a hung parliament requiring long negotiation. - 24th Oct - KC in Samoa. - 31st Oct - Halloween: nightmare on Downing St - 7th Nov - two days after the US POTUS election, not a good idea. - 19th Dec - too close to Christmas - 26th Dec - obviously not - 2nd Jan - Er no. - 9th Jan - Christmas/NY would severely restrict campaigning. - 16th Jan - As above, also smacks of last-chance saloon. - 23rd - ditto.
So I reckon it will have to be: 14th, 21st, 28th Nov, or 5th, 12th Dec.
12th December has a degree of symbolism to it - 5 years to the day the Tories won an 80 seat majority.
It's going to be 12th December, isn't it?
This is good analysis. It’s not about 1 day, it’s the 25 campaigning days that can’t overlap a holiday period.
And if you want a cheeky budget, it’s extra few weeks before campaign month to get parliament sitting to pass it. But is there time to see it in household budgets, or better not to have budget, just promise the details in manifesto? Recent Budgets are quite internally contentious for Tories, defence spending needs the limited pot of money, pensioners need it, by the time autumn comes the households hurt by high mortgage deals will ask for it,
Parliament is now due back 2nd September, the six weeks before that you just can’t hold one. You are right to flag up there arn’t that many dates.
However, conferences can go ahead inside campaign month - why not? The only party who would want to cancel conference would be Tories, for despite how much of money it makes for the party, it would just be giving opposition parties too much fantastic election boost.
Thanks. I thought about the conferences issue.
You may right, perhaps they could go ahead during the campaign but I foresee all sorts of balance issues for the broadcasters. Plus, how do the parties juggle being out on the stump and locked away together at their conference? No, I think they'll can the conferences as soon as the GE is called...
...which brings us back to the other issue: Parliament has to be recalled early from summer recess to push the dissolution through.
If Sunak is going to do that he might as well name the day now.
If the conferences and everything with it, is to be canned, that will have to be public knowledge quite early on for the cancellations to happen, and further bookings and arrangements avoided? Before summer recess?
By his own (inherently suspect) accounting Trump has already been bankrupt FOUR times.
Were those actual bankruptcies? I assumed (but do not know) they were that Chapter 11 nonsense you have across the Pond, whereby you shaft your creditors and waltz off with their money.
I was thinking *real* bankruptcy, as in, business failure.
Their 'fare share' being a donation to the Trump court fine fund pre-November 24?
Building up military capability in western Europe is the only way to contain Russia. European countries need to become active partners in NATO rather than just the beneficiaries of American protection. The latter may have been an acceptable arrangement to the US when there was no real threat from Russia but now the situation has changed in a number of ways.
When Trump just says things clearly like this, everyone understands. It also sounds good to his supporters. Foreign affairs is one way in which 'the establishment' is failing badly. IE: Ukraine being supported only to the point where there is a war of attrition that they gradually lose, with no end in sight or way out. Yet supporters of the war in Ukraine keep asserting that Trump will 'give up Ukraine' with no evidence to back this up.
Trump's supporters in Congress have blocked further US military support for several months now. That's pretty damn obvious.
A fair point, but I think they are arguing that it is the strategy they are opposed to, given the lack of gains for the past year. The position of Trump is that he is going to find a way of ending the war, which is a contrast to Biden who seems to have no plan.
By his own (inherently suspect) accounting Trump has already been bankrupt FOUR times.
Were those actual bankruptcies? I assumed (but do not know) they were that Chapter 11 nonsense you have across the Pond, whereby you shaft your creditors and waltz off with their money.
I was thinking *real* bankruptcy, as in, business failure.
Business bankrupty isn't personal bankrupty. People like him don't involve too much of their own money in each scheme.
The fact the Commonwealth summit is in mid October and the King needs to attend really should not be an issue. Sunak knows it has been in the diary for months
Indeed. From Sunak's point of view, if he's decided to have an autumn election, any autumn date is as good as any other. But there some dates best avoided for other practical or political reasons:
Avoid: - Any date before mid-October: Parliament would have to be recalled from summer recess to dissolve; conference season would have to be cancelled - reasonable notice required. - 17th Oct - KC about to go to Samoa, could be tricky if it's a hung parliament requiring long negotiation. - 24th Oct - KC in Samoa. - 31st Oct - Halloween: nightmare on Downing St - 7th Nov - two days after the US POTUS election, not a good idea. - 19th Dec - too close to Christmas - 26th Dec - obviously not - 2nd Jan - Er no. - 9th Jan - Christmas/NY would severely restrict campaigning. - 16th Jan - As above, also smacks of last-chance saloon. - 23rd - ditto.
So I reckon it will have to be: 14th, 21st, 28th Nov, or 5th, 12th Dec.
12th December has a degree of symbolism to it - 5 years to the day the Tories won an 80 seat majority.
It's going to be 12th December, isn't it?
This is good analysis. It’s not about 1 day, it’s the 25 campaigning days that can’t overlap a holiday period.
And if you want a cheeky budget, it’s extra few weeks before campaign month to get parliament sitting to pass it. But is there time to see it in household budgets, or better not to have budget, just promise the details in manifesto? Recent Budgets are quite internally contentious for Tories, defence spending needs the limited pot of money, pensioners need it, by the time autumn comes the households hurt by high mortgage deals will ask for it,
Parliament is now due back 2nd September, the six weeks before that you just can’t hold one. You are right to flag up there arn’t that many dates.
However, conferences can go ahead inside campaign month - why not? The only party who would want to cancel conference would be Tories, for despite how much of money it makes for the party, it would just be giving opposition parties too much fantastic election boost.
Thanks. I thought about the conferences issue.
You may right, perhaps they could go ahead during the campaign but I foresee all sorts of balance issues for the broadcasters. Plus, how do the parties juggle being out on the stump and locked away together at their conference? No, I think they'll can the conferences as soon as the GE is called...
...which brings us back to the other issue: Parliament has to be recalled early from summer recess to push the dissolution through.
If Sunak is going to do that he might as well name the day now.
If the conferences and everything with it, is to be canned, that will have to be public knowledge quite early on for the cancellations to happen, and further bookings and arrangements avoided? Before summer recess?
True dat. Hence why I suspect the later autumn dates are favourite.
All could change after a disastrous set of Locals though. If the Tories crash badly, let's see how quickly they all turn on Sunak.
Why would the King's travel plans make a difference? The assumption has to be that Sunak will continue as PM after the election.
Even a returning PM has to kiss KC's hand after an election, shirley?
No. The PM remains in office throughout the election campaign and beyond, until they resign. They are not re-appointed after an election, so no kissing of hands.
I thought technically the Prime Minister, having lost the ability to command a majority in the Commons following the election, has to go to the monarch and tender his or her resignation and then invites or suggests to the monarch they ask the party leader who can now command a majority to form a new administration.
The bit I've never quite understood is if you stand against an incumbent MP at a General Election and then win the seat, do you become the MP as soon as the result is announced or at some other point. Once the Returning Officer declares you duly elected, is that the moment you become an MP?
The successful former opposition leader is invited to the Palace and upon receiving the commission to form a new administration from the monarch, becomes Prime Minister so the only interregnum is between the formal resignation of the previous incumbent and the acceptance of the commission by the incoming leader (just a few minutes).
Interesting question about when you become an MP.
One point that might help of course is that technically there is no such thing as an incumbent MP at a GE. They all stop being MPs when Parliament is dissolved. So I assume that the successful candidate does not start being an MP until Parliament is reconvened after the election?
I think the person becomes a MP when declared ("And I do hereby declare that Ryan Ryan is duly elected") but until they take the oath they don't have the privileges of a MP
Although I am actually making that up: I don't know.
I'm just assuming based on analogy (the Prince became the King at the moment of his mother's death but was not recognised as such until the Accession Council and the Proclamation).
I am basing my thoughts on the fact that an MP stops being an MP as soon as Parliament is dissolved. Hence the assumption that the winner of the seat does not become an MP until Parliament is reconvened.
Their 'fare share' being a donation to the Trump court fine fund pre-November 24?
Building up military capability in western Europe is the only way to contain Russia. European countries need to become active partners in NATO rather than just the beneficiaries of American protection. The latter may have been an acceptable arrangement to the US when there was no real threat from Russia but now the situation has changed in a number of ways.
When Trump just says things clearly like this, everyone understands. It also sounds good to his supporters. Foreign affairs is one way in which 'the establishment' is failing badly. IE: Ukraine being supported only to the point where there is a war of attrition that they gradually lose, with no end in sight or way out. Yet supporters of the war in Ukraine keep asserting that Trump will 'give up Ukraine' with no evidence to back this up.
Trump's supporters in Congress have blocked further US military support for several months now. That's pretty damn obvious.
A fair point, but I think they are arguing that it is the strategy they are opposed to, given the lack of gains for the past year. The position of Trump is that he is going to find a way of ending the war, which is a contrast to Biden who seems to have no plan.
He'll end the war by letting Putin win.
There are two ways to end the war - lose it, or win it by defeating the invasion. As Putin has made very clear. Trump has no interest in the second.
Stage 1) Massive fine Trump can't afford Stage 2) No company willing to post bond for Trump that is needed for him to appeal the massive fine from Stage 1
Next up comes: Stage 3) Fire sell of properties to post the bond Stage 4) Whoever he has borrowed from secured on said properties demand repayment
Until... Stage 5) Trump fails to pay back one of his debtors and then has more people coming after him...
Maybe. Another interpretation is that Trump's entire business model has always been one of never settling an invoice until he really, absolutely has no choice.
You get these people in business. Only worth doing anything for if you're paid in full in advance.
Arguing for delay or reduction in the bond he needs to post is consistent with either - Trump being pot-less, or Trump being Trump.
True, but equally he has always leveraged up his businesses as much as possible.
So if he needs to raise $500m of cash he may need to sell $1.5bn of property.
Or it might be more than that.
An unexpected half billion could be the tipping point to financial difficulty, even if it doesn't knock him out completely.
In the predictions I went for Nov 28, as Rishi (or his successor) could attend the Commonwealth Jolly and ask the King whilst there to dissolve parliament on October 24th.
All done and dusted for Christmas in Santa Monica...
SFAICS at no point does this article state as a fact that the image in the video is in fact the princess. It merely says there is no evidence for some particular claims about how it isn't. That's a bit of a gap in the story, and hard to think it's accidental.
I haven't followed this story. Does anyone know where we are on the actual verification issue?
Their 'fare share' being a donation to the Trump court fine fund pre-November 24?
Building up military capability in western Europe is the only way to contain Russia. European countries need to become active partners in NATO rather than just the beneficiaries of American protection. The latter may have been an acceptable arrangement to the US when there was no real threat from Russia but now the situation has changed in a number of ways.
When Trump just says things clearly like this, everyone understands. It also sounds good to his supporters. Foreign affairs is one way in which 'the establishment' is failing badly. IE: Ukraine being supported only to the point where there is a war of attrition that they gradually lose, with no end in sight or way out. Yet supporters of the war in Ukraine keep asserting that Trump will 'give up Ukraine' with no evidence to back this up.
Trump's supporters in Congress have blocked further US military support for several months now. That's pretty damn obvious.
A fair point, but I think they are arguing that it is the strategy they are opposed to, given the lack of gains for the past year. The position of Trump is that he is going to find a way of ending the war, which is a contrast to Biden who seems to have no plan.
Jeez, do you really buy this shit? Trump 'is going to find a way of ending the war'?
Beyond capitulation, Trump has no idea on how to end the war. Typically, he comes out with this type of bullshit soundbite and delivers nothing - it would be the same with this.
Deleted. I don't want to go down the 'ukraine' rabbit hole.
Why would the King's travel plans make a difference? The assumption has to be that Sunak will continue as PM after the election.
Even a returning PM has to kiss KC's hand after an election, shirley?
No. The PM remains in office throughout the election campaign and beyond, until they resign. They are not re-appointed after an election, so no kissing of hands.
I thought technically the Prime Minister, having lost the ability to command a majority in the Commons following the election, has to go to the monarch and tender his or her resignation and then invites or suggests to the monarch they ask the party leader who can now command a majority to form a new administration.
The bit I've never quite understood is if you stand against an incumbent MP at a General Election and then win the seat, do you become the MP as soon as the result is announced or at some other point. Once the Returning Officer declares you duly elected, is that the moment you become an MP?
The successful former opposition leader is invited to the Palace and upon receiving the commission to form a new administration from the monarch, becomes Prime Minister so the only interregnum is between the formal resignation of the previous incumbent and the acceptance of the commission by the incoming leader (just a few minutes).
Interesting question about when you become an MP.
One point that might help of course is that technically there is no such thing as an incumbent MP at a GE. They all stop being MPs when Parliament is dissolved. So I assume that the successful candidate does not start being an MP until Parliament is reconvened after the election?
I think the person becomes a MP when declared ("And I do hereby declare that Ryan Ryan is duly elected") but until they take the oath they don't have the privileges of a MP
Although I am actually making that up: I don't know.
I'm just assuming based on analogy (the Prince became the King at the moment of his mother's death but was not recognised as such until the Accession Council and the Proclamation).
I am basing my thoughts on the fact that an MP stops being an MP as soon as Parliament is dissolved. Hence the assumption that the winner of the seat does not become an MP until Parliament is reconvened.
If that were correct then the SF seats in NI would be vacant on parliament reconvening and await a byelection. (??)
SFAICS at no point does this article state as a fact that the image in the video is in fact the princess. It merely says there is no evidence for some particular claims about how it isn't. That's a bit of a gap in the story, and hard to think it's accidental.
I haven't followed this story. Does anyone know where we are on the actual verification issue?
It looks very different to either the infamous Mothers day picture or the one in the car with Catherine's mother.
SFAICS at no point does this article state as a fact that the image in the video is in fact the princess. It merely says there is no evidence for some particular claims about how it isn't. That's a bit of a gap in the story, and hard to think it's accidental.
I haven't followed this story. Does anyone know where we are on the actual verification issue?
It's Kate. Why this obsession with finding conspiracies everywhere? She's dead, it's an entirely different woman, it's a lookalike, it's a robot, it's an AI-generated image, Meghan is made of cheese...
Comments
Also similar is the last biscuit paradox, after the lady who wrote to the biscuit maker complaining that the last biscuit in the packet was always broken so it would be sensible to leave it out.
Because of these and other reasons, Rishi being a philosopher, he will resolve the surprise test paradox by going for late September.
Caractacus ?
Hamlet
Never realised that about Hutchence. Urban Myth becomes accepted fact.
A piece of data is that the SF elected people who don't take the oath at no point are regarded as leaving the seat vacant; this must mean that from the point of declaration (subject to challenge under election law) there is no vacancy, and to that extent the unoathed candidate is an MP.
We should keep calling his voters out as wrong until none are left.
Oh dear. How sad. Never mind.
But the only way up to the main road is ascending THIS on to a very busy main road. That’s a car killer
I’d have to take it at speed, hope it doesn’t break the car then at the same time hope there’s not a massive truck barrelling down the highway as I come squirting off this side road
OR, go without beer at 36C
Really earn that beer.
Fuck it. That’s too hairy. There must be an easier way on to the main road
Stage 1) Massive fine Trump can't afford
Stage 2) No company willing to post bond for Trump that is needed for him to appeal the massive fine from Stage 1
Next up comes:
Stage 3) Fire sell of properties to post the bond
Stage 4) Whoever he has borrowed from secured on said properties demand repayment
Until...
Stage 5) Trump fails to pay back one of his debtors and then has more people coming after him...
But dear God, how are we talking about this rubbish?
(only 'great' in the sense that Sandi might be)
(Edit) I see someone else already did that.
As for the other bits mentioned, you wa...
Noted
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Didn't_We_Almost_Have_It_All
When Trump just says things clearly like this, everyone understands. It also sounds good to his supporters. Foreign affairs is one way in which 'the establishment' is failing badly. IE: Ukraine being supported only to the point where there is a war of attrition that they gradually lose, with no end in sight or way out. Yet supporters of the war in Ukraine keep asserting that Trump will 'give up Ukraine' with no evidence to back this up.
I've still got that first issue somewhere. It's probably worth tuppence....
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edge_(magazine)
With an absolute majority
And in that one moment in time
I will feel sovereignty"
And if you want a cheeky budget, it’s extra few weeks before campaign month to get parliament sitting to pass it. But is there time to see it in household budgets, or better not to have budget, just promise the details in manifesto? Recent Budgets are quite internally contentious for Tories, defence spending needs the limited pot of money, pensioners need it, by the time autumn comes the households hurt by high mortgage deals will ask for it,
Parliament is now due back 2nd September, the six weeks before that you just can’t hold one. You are right to flag up there arn’t that many dates.
However, conferences can go ahead inside campaign month - why not? The only party who would want to cancel conference would be Tories, for despite how much of money it makes for the party, it would just be giving opposition parties too much fantastic election boost.
You get these people in business. Only worth doing anything for if you're paid in full in advance.
Arguing for delay or reduction in the bond he needs to post is consistent with either - Trump being pot-less, or Trump being Trump.
Reasons:
An ageing population though that has been the same for years.
Unexplained increases in people getting sick and needing long term care.
Hmmmm
Every bloody night.
Give it a rest.
Addendum - And so does Tycho Brahe.
Rigging the election
Some helpful foreign interference
Hmmm
"Can I have time to pay my tax bill?"
"No."
"Oh please, please, please may I have time to pay?"
"No."
"If I drop by tomorrow and hand over a cheque will I be in time to avoid late-payment fines?"
"Yes."
Really? Sounds like he's got YOU fooled REAL good (that is bad) and (im)proper.
Addendum - Actually, we DO know what the SOB means, too damn well.
This is exactly the kind of thing that Trump would see as a win. Someone else pays.
He'd provide weapons to Russia if he personally received a bigger percentage on the sale as a result.
Within a day, they passed an emergency law to prevent such judgements against government entities (again IIRC).
No doubt you will back tomorrow to tell us Rachel Reeves speech has bombed according to every caller. Though BJO will have beaten you to it by about 18 hours.
BJO any second will ask us to explain why the stormtrooper helmeted one’s speech was so Tory and lacking detail, Sunak himself could have given it. 5, 4, 3, 2…
You may right, perhaps they could go ahead during the campaign but I foresee all sorts of balance issues for the broadcasters. Plus, how do the parties juggle being out on the stump and locked away together at their conference? No, I think they'll can the conferences as soon as the GE is called...
...which brings us back to the other issue: Parliament has to be recalled early from summer recess to push the dissolution through.
If Sunak is going to do that he might as well name the day now.
By his own (inherently suspect) accounting Trump has already been bankrupt FOUR times.
Beyond capitulation, Trump has no idea on how to end the war. Typically, he comes out with this type of bullshit soundbite and delivers nothing - it would be the same with this.
Difference with Trump, is that he is the FIRST major US politico, to make it CRYSTAL CLEAR that he really wants America OUT of NATO.
So his "pledge" is worthless BS, as per usual.
I was thinking *real* bankruptcy, as in, business failure.
https://twitter.com/leslsenior/status/1770152229439516964
All could change after a disastrous set of Locals though. If the Tories crash badly, let's see how quickly they all turn on Sunak.
Trump has no interest in the second.
So if he needs to raise $500m of cash he may need to sell $1.5bn of property.
Or it might be more than that.
An unexpected half billion could be the tipping point to financial difficulty, even if it doesn't knock him out completely.
All done and dusted for Christmas in Santa Monica...
I haven't followed this story. Does anyone know where we are on the actual verification issue?
TSE's crown as the (unelected) king of headline writers has been usurped by the BBC.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-merseyside-68609706
https://collections.reading.ac.uk/special-collections/2020/05/12/a-cabinet-of-curiosities-ole-worms-museum-wormianum-1655/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SNfQda8ceGs