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The King might bugger up the plans of Sunak – politicalbetting.com
The King might bugger up the plans of Sunak – politicalbetting.com
It fits: pic.twitter.com/EvIKBvkbZS
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Sunak should just name the date now, be it October 17, November 14, January 25, or whatever. If he doesn't end the speculation soon it will kill whatever minute chances he has.
Presumably he wanted to keep a May election option open in case of a budget bounce. But that's tanked so it's going to be the autumn. (I assume even he's not stupid enough to hold out for December or January.)
Is there anything to be gained by keeping Labour guessing? No - they are surely prepared for all possible dates. Conversely, it's hard to see a leadership challenge once he's neamed the GE date and the Tories are in campaign mode.
In the meantime, by not naming a date he is going to face constant corrosive speculation about it.
Rishi really hasn't thought things through - hes hoping something will come up when in reality the only things on the horizon are more likely to be bad rather than good news
The Douglas-Home of our time (he got 363 days)
King Charles III going overseas isn't unlawful.
Band D would be 2428.
Can anyone top that for their band xD
Let us say the Tories have a tiny chance of winning (I think it's zero actually). They need a long 'campaign' lead time to have any chance, as a short campaign won't change anything. Starmer is neither May nor Jezza. The Tories need time, luck, several Black swans and a miracle.
🚨 BREAKING: Just Stop Oil Supporters Disrupt Emily Thornberry
🔥 Casper and Genevieve threw orange confetti and confronted her after she ignored the letter we delivered last week.
🛢️
@EmilyThornberry must commit to leaving Labour if they fail to cancel Tory oil and gas.
https://x.com/JustStop_Oil/status/1770093336726028624?s=20
Lol "Casper and Genevieve". I bet they went to the local comp.
I don't remember if Cameron, May, or Boris did, but even if they did was it necessary?
He could do without the May 2nd local and mayoral elections.
Rishi is that macro, which is possibly the first time Rishi has been described as macro.
(The difference is that every week another possible date becomes impossible, until he's left with December 19th or campaigning over Christmas.)
Boris Johnson visited Buckingham Palace to meet the Queen and officially ask to form the next Government.
As the head of state, Her Majesty must officially give permission to the elected Prime Minister, although she would never in practice refuse to do this.
It follows Boris Johnson's resounding victory last night that saw the Conservative Party win a landslide, ending up with a huge majority.
https://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/breaking-boris-johnson-drives-buckingham-21089631
As has been well signposted, the next big danger point is or are the May locals.
Just looking back to the much talked about 1997 election - the split of Labour/LD/Green versus Conservative/Referendum comes out at 60-33. The R&W yesterday was 61-35, the equivalent in March 2023 was 60-35.
In 1945, the split between Lab/Liberal and Conservative was 60-36.
In December 2019, the split was 47-48.
What's remarkable is not how much has changed but how little.
I am not saying it will happen...but it could..
She ignored their letter, heaven forfend!
Will Brendan Clarke-Smith suffer at the polls or Labour with that council tax bill?
It obviously wasn’t the Conservatives’ fault but her death is just one more of the ghastly things to have happened during this parliament. And that awful, awful, awful, moment when, masked and grieving for her beloved husband, she sat alone in the Abbey, whilst her PM & Co were having a piss up in Downing St.
We will look back on these years with horror. Almost everything that could have gone wrong, has.
As he is 8 years old I don't think it would be him being naughty. He has siblings Rowan and Bodhi. His mum is a bit of a hippie
Rishi Sunak to NOT be Tory leader - 10/3
Likeliest month of election - October 5/4
Labour to win most seats - 1/10
Conservatives to lose over 200 seats (vs 2019 total) - 8/13"
https://x.com/LadPolitics/status/1770144624079724703?s=20
No constituency ones yet, but they're going to start soon, with Newcastle Under Lyme for some reason...
The discovery that so many people were prepared to die on the top of that hill was a moderate surprise. What was an extreme surprise was the number of politicians who suddenly decided that *this* was the cause to burn their careers to the ground over.
The ever more bizarre expectations from both sides were a part of that. Some seemed to think that this chap would show up and stop/start/save/abolish Brexit.
You can do better than that.
EDIT: A thought occurs. Both Sunak and Starmer do their votes and take the plane to Samoa. Wake up to find out which one is PM, meet the King, do a round of meeting Commonwealth heads of state, fly home.
"🚨 NEW: A significant number of Tories are prepared to turn on Sunak if the local elections end in a 'bloodbath'
They have warned he will face a leadership challenge if they lose their mayors in the West Midlands and Teesside
[@theipaper]"
https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/1770144000399270024?s=20
GE on 17 October - votes counted overnight - no way is Charles sitting in Buckingham Palace on Friday afternoon waiting to meet the new PM.
He will already have gone - bearing in mind he is going to Australia on the way.
I bet the f*ckers went to public school, don't work, and are supported by their doting parents who themselves inherited all their wealth from their families, and so on, and so on. The bastards are probably living off the handed-down spoils of slave traders and plantation owners, or petrochemical magnates. At weekends they vacate the Chelsea flat and head off back to the country house to ride ponies and rear alpacas.
(I may be allowing my biases to colour my thinking a bit here.)
Confidence in each party to have a good long term economic plan for Britain?
Conservatives
Confident 21%
Not confident 68%
Labour
Confident 31%
Not confident 56%"
https://x.com/keiranpedley/status/1770155197890748730?s=20
I don't have detailed stats at that level.
But I was planning a brief response to Bart's comments overnight, and in part it fits well here.
I'm not concerned about what happens to Audi-hoons, BMW-bums or lobotomised Landrover drivers; when they kill themselves we can give them a Darwin Award and move on. I am not even especially concerned when the dozy driver, whichever of all of us it is today, kills themselves.
I AM very concerned about such individuals driving around in vehicles with enough power, performance, weight and kinetic energy (ie 0.5mv^2) to demolish the nearest house, or put half a dozen school kids in hospital because "I pressed the wrong pedal".
Just for examples a couple of mild ones. Here is a man driving his medium sized car though a brick wall right into his friend's lounge when he 'pushed the wrong pedal whilst parking': Pic below.
https://www.gazetteandherald.co.uk/news/24005689.car-crashes-bungalow-salisbury-street/
And here is an Audi driver causing serious structural damage after it he had already hit a vehicle on the drive:
https://news.sky.com/story/man-injured-as-car-ploughs-into-house-10450749
There are loads of these every week. And we wonder why insurance premiums are going up
https://news.sky.com/story/man-injured-as-car-ploughs-into-house-10450749
And no, I’m keeping schtum.
Had a woman who finished university ten years ago with a debt of $80,000. In those ten years she had repaid $120,000 and her outstanding balance is $76,000.
I mean how the feck?
The only cut which would show up in pay packets is NI.
So he parked his car in the remains of the drive, completely blocking the pavement. Lovely for old people, eh?
The cherry on top was when he stuck an L sticker on it. A high end Tesla Model S - with 750hp or so. Not sure that is legal - and I hope he actually insured it. A 0-60 of about 2 seconds in the hands of a learner driver?
https://x.com/adavies4/status/1770157107943211190?s=20
3 covid lockdowns through which the tories partied.
Putin invading Ukraine
Massive inflation and cost of living crisis
Big increase in mortgages
Queen dying
Fun times.
Or another member of the family acts in the King's stead.
Again, been done before.
A different royal instead of the Queen dealt with the election a few decades ago from memory.
Given that that person was talking about using charts for the calculations I can only assume we are talking back in the 70s/80s and that he hadn’t a clue how computers work.
But my point was there isn’t time for any tax cut to be seen before an October election, you need to cut in September for it to have an impact on a November election and we’ve already seen the complete lack of impact the tax cuts have made to pollinh
What happens if we have a regency at the time so the monarch can't act themselves? Doesn't seem right.
Also totally unfair of TSE to accuses the King of "damaging democracy". I'm not a monarchist but he is, in fact, head of the Commonwealth, so he essentially has to be there (if able with his health), and it's been in the diary for a very long time. And, as I say, it's a bit of a ball-ache rather than "restricting the dates".
Only thing is the US has SCOTUS determining it based on what they want, while we replace our people in charge more frequently.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FVswuip0-co
That's a lot of money for having one's bins emptied every three weeks.
The bit I've never quite understood is if you stand against an incumbent MP at a General Election and then win the seat, do you become the MP as soon as the result is announced or at some other point. Once the Returning Officer declares you duly elected, is that the moment you become an MP?
The successful former opposition leader is invited to the Palace and upon receiving the commission to form a new administration from the monarch, becomes Prime Minister so the only interregnum is between the formal resignation of the previous incumbent and the acceptance of the commission by the incoming leader (just a few minutes).
https://twitter.com/spignal/status/1770047449207316812
The French state isn't done micro-managing your life. PM is suggesting a four-day week... just for divorced parents.
It'd be Caspar with 2 A's that was the posh one.
No date set for Second Reading.
Seems unlikely to me that it would complete all Commons and Lords stages before the Summer Recess so would need to be completed in the wash-up.
And I would have thought it's the sort of Bill with a high public profile that they would need to ensure does go through - would look very bad if it was abandoned.
Summer Recess ends 10 September so this surely points to very late October or more likely November GE. Which is why 14 November was suggested in the first place.
The callers seem to consider Sunak/Starmer as a single failed entity which is why I believe change candidate Mordaunt is a good shout.
Since when did Kings Cross have a Hadith of the Day on the announcement board?
I don't buy into this conspiracy nonsense about the Mayor, but really, is that strictly necessary?
I expect to see Psalm 118 up at Easter.
Actually, no, I'd rather see some platform announcements.
[Edit: And maybe a Happy X if they must]
Crom, I have never prayed to you before. I have no tongue for it. No one, not even you, will remember if we were good men or bad. Why we fought, or why we died. All that matters is that two stood against many. That's what's important! Valour pleases you, Crom... so grant me one request. Grant me revenge! And if you do not listen, then to HELL with you!