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Can Nigel Farage make it eight in a row? – politicalbetting.com

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  • Mrs PtP, who has suffered similarly from plagiarism, suggest you write to the editor and complain. You need an apology and assurance that in future you expect to be acknowledged as a source. The days when 'on-line' writings could be freely lifted are long gone.

    PB is widely read and respected in political circles. Stealing from it will not go down well. Don't let it pass, or it will keep happening, and that's not fair on all contributors.
    Let them know what you might reasonably charge a client and/or publication for your purloined work(s) you've previously self-published, on PB and elsewhere, based on your time (considerable) and (expertise (double ditto).
  • TimS said:

    I have half the yam left (they’re big buggers) so might have a go at chips later this week.

    Yams now parboiled and in the oven, and no longer smelling cummy, but with somewhat phallic looking sausages below awaiting the batter mix.



    Oh by the way what that website calls yams are not yams, they’re sweet potatoes. The murricans call sweet potatoes “yams” for reasons best known to themselves.
    In USA yams and sweet potatoes are two different things.

    Just sayin'
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022

    The trouble is that Taiwan pulls the rug from under the feet of those who praise the 'success' of communist China. A bit like a free democratic Ukraine being a permanent sore for a chauvinistic authoritarian Russia.

    It is hard to see peaceful co-existence given the ideological differences.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,918

    Excerpt from wiki: China–United Kingdom relations

    By August 1948, however, the Communists' victories caused the British government to begin preparing for a Communist takeover of the country. It kept open consulates in CCP-controlled areas and rejected the Nationalists' requests that British citizens assist in the defence of Shanghai.

    By December, the government concluded that although British property in China would likely be nationalised, British traders would benefit in the long run from a stable, industrialising Communist China.

    Retaining Hong Kong was especially important; although the CCP promised to not interfere with its rule, Britain reinforced the Hong Kong Garrison during 1949.

    When the victorious Communist government declared on 1 October 1949 that it would exchange diplomats with any country that ended relations with the Nationalists, Britain—after discussions with other Commonwealth members and European countries—formally recognised the People's Republic of China in January 1950.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China–United_Kingdom_relations

    See also

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taiwan–United_Kingdom_relations

    Ah - thanks very much for posting those details.

    I always had a lurking fear that the UK's actions might not have been entirely correct. But now I'm not in any doubt.
  • Simply ejaculate into a pan of boiled turnips to give the illusion of cooking yams.
    Goes LOOOONG way toward explaining lack of enthusiasm for English cuisine. ESPECIALLY outside of England.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,937
    Meanwhile in the latest Dan Neidle expose, Michelle Mone is having a rant without seemingly doing anything to challenge what she and her husband are about to be accused of:

    Dan Neidle has become obsessed about my husband’s business interests.

    It’s all a bit creepy. Who is he & who has decided he is the legal & moral authority on all things HMRC?

    Let me tell you. Mr Neidle is former Head of Tax at Clifford Chance, a huge global law firm…


    https://x.com/michellemone/status/1746564304982126896?s=46

    I have huge respect for Dan. He seems utterly fearless. As someone in the same line of business as him I have nowhere near the courage (and not just because I’m still working: I wouldn’t do this after retirement either).
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,689
    So, Farage stands and gets elected for ReFuk. On entering parliament he immediately defects to the Tories and announces his intention to stand for the leadership.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,733
    dixiedean said:

    Strangely, no.
    The official position, endorsed by governments around the world, is that there is only one China, which includes the Province of Taiwan, Jinmen and Matsu.
    The only difference being in who is the legitimate government.
    The current government of Taiwan does not claim independence. That's why they aren't in the UN.
    Of course, de facto they are. But nobody says that.
    Not exactly.
    Western government take a weird 'Schroedinger's state' view of Taiwan.

    The international law position is as clear as mud.
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_status_of_Taiwan

    And the reality is that mainland China's historical claims on the island are extremely weak.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,937
    Yams browning, toad in the hole rising


  • Chris said:

    Ah - thanks very much for posting those details.

    I always had a lurking fear that the UK's actions might not have been entirely correct. But now I'm not in any doubt.
    While I would NOT characterize UK's actions viz-a-viz China as typically "correct" do think recognition of Peoples Republic by UK was NOT totally incorrect.
  • Goes LOOOONG way toward explaining lack of enthusiasm for English cuisine. ESPECIALLY outside of England.
    Spotted Dick? :lol:
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,482
    Chris said:

    Ah - thanks very much for posting those details.

    I always had a lurking fear that the UK's actions might not have been entirely correct. But now I'm not in any doubt.
    Seriously, what else could we have done at the time?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,733
    .

    The trouble is that Taiwan pulls the rug from under the feet of those who praise the 'success' of communist China. A bit like a free democratic Ukraine being a permanent sore for a chauvinistic authoritarian Russia.

    As with North vs South Korea, and, back in the day, East vs West Germany, the choice between autocracy and democracy ought to be no choice at all.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,329
    edited January 2024
    Iran beating Palestine 4-1 in the Asian Cup. Five bookings after just an hour, thought they were meant to be friends
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,937

    Goes LOOOONG way toward explaining lack of enthusiasm for English cuisine. ESPECIALLY outside of England.
    British cuisine. We’re talking turnips here.
  • Nigelb said:

    Not exactly.
    Western government take a weird 'Schroedinger's state' view of Taiwan.

    The international law position is as clear as mud.
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_status_of_Taiwan

    And the reality is that mainland China's historical claims on the island are extremely weak.
    China Airlines flies from Heathrow to Taipei on Mondays/Wednesdays/Fridays/Saturdays.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,733

    China Airlines flies from Heathrow to Taipei on Mondays/Wednesdays/Fridays/Saturdays.
    And ?
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,651

    Let them know what you might reasonably charge a client and/or publication for your purloined work(s) you've previously self-published, on PB and elsewhere, based on your time (considerable) and (expertise (double ditto).
    Or better still, give me a column.

    Really, they should credit this site.
  • isam said:

    Iran beating Palestine 4-1 in the Asian Cup. Five bookings after just an hour, thought they were meant to be friends

    Did you hear about Paul Gascoigne planning a charity run for the children of Israel and Palestine?

    He'll be wearing his Gazza Strip.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    edited January 2024
    TimS said:

    Meanwhile in the latest Dan Neidle expose, Michelle Mone is having a rant without seemingly doing anything to challenge what she and her husband are about to be accused of:

    Dan Neidle has become obsessed about my husband’s business interests.

    It’s all a bit creepy. Who is he & who has decided he is the legal & moral authority on all things HMRC?

    Let me tell you. Mr Neidle is former Head of Tax at Clifford Chance, a huge global law firm…


    https://x.com/michellemone/status/1746564304982126896?s=46

    I have huge respect for Dan. He seems utterly fearless. As someone in the same line of business as him I have nowhere near the courage (and not just because I’m still working: I wouldn’t do this after retirement either).

    Lady Moan is being mentored - telepathically anyway - by her role model Donald Trump.

    Including the generalized 21st-century Republican attack on all tax collecting based on income. AND all enforcement of same.
  • CiceroCicero Posts: 3,401

    So, Farage stands and gets elected for ReFuk. On entering parliament he immediately defects to the Tories and announces his intention to stand for the leadership.

    And if the Tories are fools, they will choose him and go down to the kind of defeat that ends them as any coherent political force forever.

    So, bring on the former Russia Today presenter, being hyped by the bad boy of Brexit and frequent guest at the Russian Embassy, Aaron Banks.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,937
    I’ll stop spamming now. Conclusions: Yams looks, taste and have the same texture as potato.


  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,234
    TimS said:

    Meanwhile in the latest Dan Neidle expose, Michelle Mone is having a rant without seemingly doing anything to challenge what she and her husband are about to be accused of:

    Dan Neidle has become obsessed about my husband’s business interests.

    It’s all a bit creepy. Who is he & who has decided he is the legal & moral authority on all things HMRC?

    Let me tell you. Mr Neidle is former Head of Tax at Clifford Chance, a huge global law firm…


    https://x.com/michellemone/status/1746564304982126896?s=46

    I have huge respect for Dan. He seems utterly fearless. As someone in the same line of business as him I have nowhere near the courage (and not just because I’m still working: I wouldn’t do this after retirement either).

    That means they're in deeper shit than I thought. Dan wouldn't go after them for legal tax "structuring" and he will be the man that knows precisely where the line is given his past employment
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,884

    Excerpt from wiki: China–United Kingdom relations

    By August 1948, however, the Communists' victories caused the British government to begin preparing for a Communist takeover of the country. It kept open consulates in CCP-controlled areas and rejected the Nationalists' requests that British citizens assist in the defence of Shanghai.

    By December, the government concluded that although British property in China would likely be nationalised, British traders would benefit in the long run from a stable, industrialising Communist China.

    Retaining Hong Kong was especially important; although the CCP promised to not interfere with its rule, Britain reinforced the Hong Kong Garrison during 1949.

    When the victorious Communist government declared on 1 October 1949 that it would exchange diplomats with any country that ended relations with the Nationalists, Britain—after discussions with other Commonwealth members and European countries—formally recognised the People's Republic of China in January 1950.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/China–United_Kingdom_relations

    See also

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taiwan–United_Kingdom_relations

    Strangely one of the few leaders that stuck with Chiang Kai-shek until the very end was Joseph Stalin
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    Foxy said:

    Isn't it reciprocal, with Taiwan claiming sovereignty over the mainland too?
    Indeed.
  • Nigelb said:

    And ?
    Just sayin'. No need to be so rude!
  • Nigelb said:

    .

    As with North vs South Korea, and, back in the day, East vs West Germany, the choice between autocracy and democracy ought to be no choice at all.
    Somebody ought to pass this information on to any US citizens planning to vote for donald Trump.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939

    It is hard to see peaceful co-existence given the ideological differences.
    And yet they've managed 75 years of it.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939

    China Airlines flies from Heathrow to Taipei on Mondays/Wednesdays/Fridays/Saturdays.
    China Airlines being Taiwan's carrier.
  • TimS said:

    British cuisine. We’re talking turnips here.
    Americans think that, after scones and (maybe) English breakfast tea, turnips ARE high point of British cuisine.
  • Cyclefree said:

    Or better still, give me a column.

    Really, they should credit this site.
    They should.

    It is by no means the first time a lazy journalist has lifted material from here.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,234
    Nigelb said:

    Not exactly.
    Western government take a weird 'Schroedinger's state' view of Taiwan.

    The international law position is as clear as mud.
    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_status_of_Taiwan

    And the reality is that mainland China's historical claims on the island are extremely weak.
    Some argue there's only one China, and one legitimate gov't of China. China, the Republic Of China.
  • Cyclefree said:

    Or better still, give me a column.

    Really, they should credit this site.
    Your lawyers can best advise on terms & conditions.

    Heck, you can assemble your team from those bellying up to the PB bar!
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    Frank Luntz believes that Donald Trump will be the next US President. However did it come to this?

    In some ways I find the Republican situation easier to understand than the Democrat one. Like it or not Trump has captured the imagination of a substantial minority of the US public. That's it and there's no point trying to rationalise it. But what explains the clinging to Biden on the other side? Nearly 82 years old and looking not a day younger, poor poll ratings and a public that would like him to stand down. And yet there is no enthusiasm to ditch him.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    edited January 2024
    dixiedean said:

    And yet they've managed 75 years of it.
    Due to outside support for Taiwan and the cost/risk to China of invading. Please be under no illusions.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    boulay said:

    It was neither, until the NU10k and all the plebs started being allowed to vote and get into government positions we were top nation. The empire was under the direction of sons of nobles and public school boys directing the dregs in redcoats.

    Everyone who wanted a more equal society is to blame for the downturn in our nations fortunes. Notice we still had colonies until those weird lefty Labour people got elected after the war. There is a clear correlation between how many wars and colonies we lost compared to how many people we allowed to vote.
    I am so very glad to see that the idea of accountability in high office is upsetting to some people.

    Hopefully we can move from upset at the idea, to upset at the actualité.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    Foxy said:

    Surely a camp of drag Queens?
    A marquee of Drag Queens?
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,569
    Younger son is in Taiwan on business as we post. With three daughters to educate he needs the commission, so please don’t foul things up.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219

    Mrs PtP, who has suffered similarly from plagiarism, suggest you write to the editor and complain. You need an apology and assurance that in future you expect to be acknowledged as a source. The days when 'on-line' writings could be freely lifted are long gone.

    PB is widely read and respected in political circles. Stealing from it will not go down well. Don't let it pass, or it will keep happening, and that's not fair on all contributors.
    Good Lord!

    I feel I owe an apology for praising the er.. borrower.
  • Due to outside support for Taiwan and the cost/risk to China of invading. Please be under no illusions.
    US Seventh Fleet says "Aye, aye!"
  • MJWMJW Posts: 2,012
    isam said:

    Iran beating Palestine 4-1 in the Asian Cup. Five bookings after just an hour, thought they were meant to be friends

    Human solidarity aside, there's unlikely to be much friendship. Iranians booed the Palestinian flag at a match on 8 October, as they saw it as a political statement by their own awful regime that bears a lot of responsibility for all the death in the region.

    https://www.iranintl.com/en/202310090589
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    Nigelb said:

    .

    As with North vs South Korea, and, back in the day, East vs West Germany, the choice between autocracy and democracy ought to be no choice at all.
    In addition, the Chinese government declares that democracy would lead to chaos and that it is unsuited to Chinese people. Taiwan gives the lie to that.

    Those with a long memory will recall the same arguments being presented in the 80s for Africa, Eastern Europe and other places - democracy, apparently, was unsuitable for these places.
  • Frank Luntz believes that Donald Trump will be the next US President. However did it come to this?

    In some ways I find the Republican situation easier to understand than the Democrat one. Like it or not Trump has captured the imagination of a substantial minority of the US public. That's it and there's no point trying to rationalise it. But what explains the clinging to Biden on the other side? Nearly 82 years old and looking not a day younger, poor poll ratings and a public that would like him to stand down. And yet there is no enthusiasm to ditch him.

    The Democrats' problem is VP Harris. If Biden goes, they either run her (and she's even less popular than Biden) or they ditch her (in which case there will be an outcry
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219

    Your lawyers can best advise on terms & conditions.

    Heck, you can assemble your team from those bellying up to the PB bar!
    As a start, you should get a large chunk of what he was paid for that column.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,918
    stodge said:

    Seriously, what else could we have done at the time?
    Well, I wasn't alive then and I haven't made a special study of it. I do seem to remember a fair amount of rhetoric had been flying around a few years earlier about standing up for the rights of small countries. Though admittedly that had already gone by the board where Finland was concerned.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022

    The Democrats' problem is VP Harris. If Biden goes, they either run her (and she's even less popular than Biden) or they ditch her (in which case there will be an outcry
    Incumbents have been challenged before, no?
  • Frank Luntz believes that Donald Trump will be the next US President. However did it come to this?

    In some ways I find the Republican situation easier to understand than the Democrat one. Like it or not Trump has captured the imagination of a substantial minority of the US public. That's it and there's no point trying to rationalise it. But what explains the clinging to Biden on the other side? Nearly 82 years old and looking not a day younger, poor poll ratings and a public that would like him to stand down. And yet there is no enthusiasm to ditch him.

    Not just the imagination - Trump has captured the levers of power within the Republican Party at national, state and local levels.

    Typical indeed traditional for sitting POTUS if somewhat less so for those defeated for re-election, and still eligible for re-electon.

    About last pre-Trump example I can recall is Grover Cleveland. Herbert Hoover tried in 1932 & 1936, no dice. Jimmy Carter never tried after 1980, same for George Bush the Elder after 1992.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,552

    A marquee of Drag Queens?
    ...
  • Incumbents have been challenged before, no?
    Joe Biden is being challenged for 2024 Democratic nomination by Marianne Williamson and Dean Phillips.

    Both are on the New Hampshire presidential primary ballot this year - unlike Joe who is a write-in candidate.

    AND all three are on ballot for upcoming March 2024 Washington State presidential primary.
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,729

    Frank Luntz believes that Donald Trump will be the next US President. However did it come to this?

    In some ways I find the Republican situation easier to understand than the Democrat one. Like it or not Trump has captured the imagination of a substantial minority of the US public. That's it and there's no point trying to rationalise it. But what explains the clinging to Biden on the other side? Nearly 82 years old and looking not a day younger, poor poll ratings and a public that would like him to stand down. And yet there is no enthusiasm to ditch him.

    There is no enthusiasm for any particular Democrat who could replace him. If Biden were ten years younger, there would be no question that he should be the candidate, given his record is pretty good if you are the median Democrat, i.e. the left-most 15-25% of the USA. However, inflation seems to have hit the actual median vote a lot harder in terms of vote intention, and of course, he's not 10 years younger, he's 81.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,329
    edited January 2024
    Sir Keir is leaning very heavily into using ‘serve’ & ‘service’ whenever possible, he’s saying it ever such a lot. Labour are obviously trying to cast themselves as ego-less & humble, just grateful for the opportunity to do good, against the heartless, selfish arrogant Tories who take power for granted

    Obviously I find it completely nauseating and insincere, but I suppose it must have been focus grouped.

    https://x.com/keir_starmer/status/1746612610345127994?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939

    Due to outside support for Taiwan and the cost/risk to China of invading. Please be under no illusions.
    I lived and worked there for seven years so no danger of that.
    Positions haven't changed much.
  • Speaking of Taiwan election, know a doctor practicing in Seattle, who is of Chinese/Taiwanese heritage. She's a mossback = born and raised in Western Washington. Her father was of Chinese stock, her mother part Chinese & part indigenous Taiwanese.

    Her mother lives with doctor & daughter's average White guy husband; their little girl is bi-lingual.

    Doc's grandmother still lives in Taiwan. And am wondering, how did she vote?

    AND also her mother, and maybe herself, as I'm pretty sure my friend has dual citizenship.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,884
    edited January 2024
    Chris said:

    Well, I wasn't alive then and I haven't made a special study of it. I do seem to remember a fair amount of rhetoric had been flying around a few years earlier about standing up for the rights of small countries. Though admittedly that had already gone by the board where Finland was concerned.
    Maybe irrelevant to the diplomatic question, but until Taiwan became a democracy about 1990, it too was a pretty nasty regime with a hundred thousand political prisoners held under harsh conditions and tens of thousands of executions and extra judicial killings. Chiang Kai-shek previously ran probably the most monumentally corrupt government there has ever been
    dixiedean said:

    Indeed.
    Does the Taiwanese government make a claim on mainland China any more? It seems to me that they are not interested in having anything to do with China.
  • dixiedean said:

    China Airlines being Taiwan's carrier.
    That's right! No complaints from Beijing :lol:
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    Chris said:

    Well, I wasn't alive then and I haven't made a special study of it. I do seem to remember a fair amount of rhetoric had been flying around a few years earlier about standing up for the rights of small countries. Though admittedly that had already gone by the board where Finland was concerned.
    In the case of Finland, despite all the “Finlandisation”, through the Cold War, there was fairly subtle support for Finland. Which is, in part, why Finland is a liberal democracy and was never subsumed into the East Blok.

    Certainly, the USSR assumed that in a war with the West, Finland was effectively a NATO country to be attacked.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,569
    edited January 2024
    isam said:

    Sir Keir is leaning very heavily into using ‘serve’ & ‘service’ whenever possible, he’s saying it ever such a lot. Labour are obviously trying to cast themselves as ego-less & humble, just grateful for the opportunity to do good, against the heartless, selfish arrogant Tories who take power for granted

    Obviously I find it completely nauseating and insincere, but I suppose it must have been focus grouped.

    https://x.com/keir_starmer/status/1746612610345127994?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    I can’t see why Starmer has got himself into this situation unless he really, really wanted to. As ex-DPP he’d be a highly respected lawyer, textbook author, newspaper columnist or whatever.
    I can’t see the same about some …most ….. of the rest of Labour’s Front Bench, though.
  • FF43 said:

    Maybe irrelevant to the diplomatic question, but until Taiwan became a democracy about 1990, it too was a pretty nasty regime with a hundred thousand political prisoners held under harsh conditions and tens of thousands of executions and extra judicial killings. Chiang Kai-shek previously ran probably the most monumentally corrupt government there has ever been Does the Taiwanese government make a claim on mainland China any more? It seems to me that they are not interested in having anything to do with China.
    Map of ROC territorial claims:


  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309

    Due to outside support for Taiwan and the cost/risk to China of invading. Please be under no illusions.
    Mao would have finished Formosa off in 1949/1950, had he been able to do so.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,689
    Time for pot-off!
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    edited January 2024
    FF43 said:

    Maybe irrelevant to the diplomatic question, but until Taiwan became a democracy about 1990, it too was a pretty nasty regime with a hundred thousand political prisoners held under harsh conditions and tens of thousands of executions and extra judicial killings. Chiang Kai-shek previously ran probably the most monumentally corrupt government there has ever been Does the Taiwanese government make a claim on mainland China any more? It seems to me that they are not interested in having anything to do with China.
    Taiwan only properly became a democracy in the mid 90's.
    It had the longest period of Martial Law in history.
    1947-87.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_Terror_(Taiwan)#:~:text=The White Terror (Chinese: 白色,Kuomintang (KMT)-ruled government.

    Couple that with occupation by Japan (1895-1945), during which time all the natural resources were stolen under conditions close to slavery and it's really quite remarkable the strides made.
    Second point. The DPP claim to be Taiwanese. But officially they are still the Republic of China.
    Control of the Mainland is part of the constitution.
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 4,507

    My bar chart finger is a little itchy :lol:




    Buckingham was against the Speaker without Lab or Libdem so hardly representative.

    Wasn't this the one with the light plane crash?

    A possible turning point in history missed there.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,677

    Joe Biden is being challenged for 2024 Democratic nomination by Marianne Williamson and Dean Phillips.

    Both are on the New Hampshire presidential primary ballot this year - unlike Joe who is a write-in candidate.

    AND all three are on ballot for upcoming March 2024 Washington State presidential primary.
    Hmm. She sounds...odd. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marianne_Williamson
    He sounds more sensible, and is at least in Congress: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dean_Phillips
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,482
    Chris said:

    Well, I wasn't alive then and I haven't made a special study of it. I do seem to remember a fair amount of rhetoric had been flying around a few years earlier about standing up for the rights of small countries. Though admittedly that had already gone by the board where Finland was concerned.
    The problem was we were bankrupt - we had left the Indian Sub-Continent in less than favourable circumstances and there was frankly nothing we could do to stop Mao and given the CCP had agreed to respect the 99-year lease on Hong Kong agreed with a previous Chinese Government - we had no pretext for any other action.

    As to whether we'd have benefitted economically from refusing to recognise the Beijing Government since 1949 and continuing to recognise only the Taipei Government as the legitimate Government of China, I think we both know the answer to that.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,263
    edited January 2024
    FF43 said:

    Strangely one of the few leaders that stuck with Chiang Kai-shek until the very end was Joseph Stalin
    Chiang was actually fairly left wing, espousing the ideals of the early Chinese Republic. Indeed after the flight to Taiwan he implemented a programme of land and business reform that redistributed wealth considerably more widely.

    He was aided by both US aid, and also by the fact that Taiwan had been Japanese for decades and had a better educated population and less systematic corruption than he had had to deal with on the mainland, where he never really had ever established full control over the warlords.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,581
    FPT (just catching up):

    @Casino_Royale I am very concerned by your final sentence. The USA is far from perfect but it's a free democracy and the only serious Western power checking the expansionism of repressive autocracies in Russia, Iran and China in Ukraine, the Middle East, and Taiwan respectively. And we've seen what happens to people that fall under its wing.

    I hope you revisit your view.


    Thanks for a considered and thoughtful response. I am by no means certain in my view and am not by any means lauding China. Instead, I am conveying a deeply pessimistic outlook whereby a Trump win (or someone of his ilk) means that the role that USA currently plays checking the expansionism of autocracies is lost. And even if not Trump, when I see how blindly partisan USA politics is I find it hard to imagine them continuing to be a free democracy over the next 20 years. I fervently hope I am wrong because I want democracy to win out.

    One of the big problems as I see it is that the opponents of the USA have such an open goal to aim at. US policy in Central and South America; its role in toppling leftist democracies in Africa and supporting autocrats in their place; it’s blunderous attempts to root out terrorism in Afghanistan; its blatant attempt to control oil fields in Iraq. All give fodder to those who want to cosy up to Russia and China in smaller countries.

    Lastly I am not sure that we can speak of China in the same tone as we do of Russia and Iran. Taiwan, for example; it is clearly Chinese, just a different brand of Chinese politics from the revolutionary mainland. China invading Taiwan, to a neutral observer, is nothing like the USA invading Iraq or staging a coup in Tanzania, for example. Nor is it like Iran funding terror groups, nor again is it like Russia invading Ukraine although I can see this is a more subtle distinction.

    Please don’t misunderstand me-I am not arguing for a minute that China invading Taiwan would be a good thing, simply that I don’t think it would be worse than what the USA did in Iraq.

    I am deeply concerned about the future and looking for the least worst option. Perhaps selfishly, of the options available I feel Chinese global dominance is least likely to end up with me or one of my kids being conscripted into a global war. To restate once more - if USA emerges from its current morass still a functioning but imperfect democracy, then let’s stick with them.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,918
    stodge said:

    The problem was we were bankrupt - we had left the Indian Sub-Continent in less than favourable circumstances and there was frankly nothing we could do to stop Mao and given the CCP had agreed to respect the 99-year lease on Hong Kong agreed with a previous Chinese Government - we had no pretext for any other action.

    As to whether we'd have benefitted economically from refusing to recognise the Beijing Government since 1949 and continuing to recognise only the Taipei Government as the legitimate Government of China, I think we both know the answer to that.
    Maybe you missed my earlier post characterising our action as "realism"?
  • For those who may be interested these are the locations in North Wales used in the Bates v Post Office documentary

    It really does show how beautiful a part of the country my wife and I and our family live in

    Breathtaking North Wales showcased by Mr Bates vs The Post Office

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/breathtaking-north-wales-locations-made-28439098#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
  • dixiedean said:

    Taiwan only properly became a democracy in the mid 90's.
    It had the longest period of Martial Law in history.
    1947-87.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_Terror_(Taiwan)#:~:text=The White Terror (Chinese: 白色,Kuomintang (KMT)-ruled government.

    Couple that with occupation by Japan (1895-1945), during which time all the natural resources were stolen under conditions close to slavery and it's really quite remarkable the strides made.
    Second point. The DPP claim to be Taiwanese. But officially they are still the Republic of China.
    Control of the Mainland is part of the constitution.
    One reason that Beijing backs the Kuomintang . . . on Taiwan that is.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,329
    edited January 2024
    For @Gardenwalker, maybe what you find dislikable about Sir Keir is his habit of smirking, in a slightly Alan Partridge style, when he’s disagreeing with the questioner after being pulled up for some double standard, broken pledge or whatever. I think it’s a prelude to losing his rag

    https://x.com/bbcpolitics/status/1746512589046067312?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    The Emir of Qatar “DESPERATELY Wanted that meeting with me” - Get you Mr Popular!

    At least that Israel Palestine thing should be cleared up soon now though
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,263

    Mao would have finished Formosa off in 1949/1950, had he been able to do so.
    Prevented mostly by the Korean War, which shored up US support for Taiwan, and diverted the Red Army.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309
    Foxy said:

    Prevented mostly by the Korean War, which shored up US support for Taiwan, and diverted the Red Army.
    That certainly helped, but I'm not sure Mao had the naval forces to successfully invade across the strait.
  • Foxy said:

    Prevented mostly by the Korean War, which shored up US support for Taiwan, and diverted the Red Army.
    One reason why, when the People's Republic intervened - to put it mildly - in the Korean War, the troops it fielded against UN/US/UK/etc. forces were"volunteers" and NOT officially part of the People's Liberation Army.
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,641
    isam said:

    For @Gardenwalker, maybe what you find dislikable about Sir Keir is his habit of smirking, in a slightly Alan Partridge style, when he’s disagreeing with the questioner after being pulled up for some double standard, broken pledge or whatever. I think it’s a prelude to losing his rag

    https://x.com/bbcpolitics/status/1746512589046067312?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q

    The Emir of Qatar “DESPERATELY Wanted that meeting with me” - Get you Mr Popular!

    At least that Israel Palestine thing should be cleared up soon now though

    Looks like LAB 38% CON 32% bigger swings in the marginals LAB 340 seats maj 30
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296

    Frank Luntz believes that Donald Trump will be the next US President. However did it come to this?

    In some ways I find the Republican situation easier to understand than the Democrat one. Like it or not Trump has captured the imagination of a substantial minority of the US public. That's it and there's no point trying to rationalise it. But what explains the clinging to Biden on the other side? Nearly 82 years old and looking not a day younger, poor poll ratings and a public that would like him to stand down. And yet there is no enthusiasm to ditch him.

    Is that the same Frank Luntz who is 'best known for developing talking points and other messaging for Republican causes.'?

    Or who spectacularly mis-forecast the 2022 midterms?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Luntz#Midterm_election_2022
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    edited January 2024
    Slightly on topic.
    Taiwan is a fascinating place.
    Plenty go for business, but almost nobody for pleasure.
    It's got rainforest. The highest mountain east of the Himalayas. Beaches. Ultra modern cities and crookbacked women in conical hats transplanting rice. Natural hot springs. Loads of history too.
    Weather isn't great, mind.
  • For those who may be interested these are the locations in North Wales used in the Bates v Post Office documentary

    It really does show how beautiful a part of the country my wife and I and our family live in

    Breathtaking North Wales showcased by Mr Bates vs The Post Office

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/breathtaking-north-wales-locations-made-28439098#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare

    Is this example of ill wind blowing a bit of good, at least for the North Wales tourism and hospitality sector?

    OR is it yet more bad news, as more and more eager yet clueless outlanders, clog the highways and byways from Beddgelert to Craig-y-Don and back, seeking to buy stamps in sub-postoffices defunct since before the Profumo Scandal, let alone the PO Scandal?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296

    Looks like LAB 38% CON 32% bigger swings in the marginals LAB 340 seats maj 30
    Which coincidentally somebody predicted in the PB competition. Now, I wonder who that was?...
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309
    maxh said:

    FPT (just catching up):

    @Casino_Royale I am very concerned by your final sentence. The USA is far from perfect but it's a free democracy and the only serious Western power checking the expansionism of repressive autocracies in Russia, Iran and China in Ukraine, the Middle East, and Taiwan respectively. And we've seen what happens to people that fall under its wing.

    I hope you revisit your view.


    Thanks for a considered and thoughtful response. I am by no means certain in my view and am not by any means lauding China. Instead, I am conveying a deeply pessimistic outlook whereby a Trump win (or someone of his ilk) means that the role that USA currently plays checking the expansionism of autocracies is lost. And even if not Trump, when I see how blindly partisan USA politics is I find it hard to imagine them continuing to be a free democracy over the next 20 years. I fervently hope I am wrong because I want democracy to win out.

    One of the big problems as I see it is that the opponents of the USA have such an open goal to aim at. US policy in Central and South America; its role in toppling leftist democracies in Africa and supporting autocrats in their place; it’s blunderous attempts to root out terrorism in Afghanistan; its blatant attempt to control oil fields in Iraq. All give fodder to those who want to cosy up to Russia and China in smaller countries.

    Lastly I am not sure that we can speak of China in the same tone as we do of Russia and Iran. Taiwan, for example; it is clearly Chinese, just a different brand of Chinese politics from the revolutionary mainland. China invading Taiwan, to a neutral observer, is nothing like the USA invading Iraq or staging a coup in Tanzania, for example. Nor is it like Iran funding terror groups, nor again is it like Russia invading Ukraine although I can see this is a more subtle distinction.

    Please don’t misunderstand me-I am not arguing for a minute that China invading Taiwan would be a good thing, simply that I don’t think it would be worse than what the USA did in Iraq.

    I am deeply concerned about the future and looking for the least worst option. Perhaps selfishly, of the options available I feel Chinese global dominance is least likely to end up with me or one of my kids being conscripted into a global war. To restate once more - if USA emerges from its current morass still a functioning but imperfect democracy, then let’s stick with them.

    The USA withdrew from Iraq; its objective was not annexation. China, Russia and Iran use their muscle to intimidate, silence, bully, oppress or seek revenge against anyone they like, without any scruples or justice.

    If our primary goal is peace and avoiding any sort of conflict at all costs then might will make right, and we will have to suffer what we must.

    Otherwise, we will have to stand up to it.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,309

    Is that the same Frank Luntz who is 'best known for developing talking points and other messaging for Republican causes.'?

    Or who spectacularly mis-forecast the 2022 midterms?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Luntz#Midterm_election_2022
    He got David Cameron's election right in 2005, I think.

    Since then he's been seen as something of a sage here.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,263

    One reason why, when the People's Republic intervened - to put it mildly - in the Korean War, the troops it fielded against UN/US/UK/etc. forces were"volunteers" and NOT officially part of the People's Liberation Army.
    Many were late defections from either KMT forces or warlords. Hence human wave attacks, as the Communists were not particularly wanting them to return.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,329
    edited January 2024
    Complete misunderstanding of what David Cameron is saying here; he’s obviously talking about him leaving Downing St, not us leaving the EU

    David Cameron, "I'm now responsible for our relationship with the EU.. I hated leaving in 2016 but I think it was the right thing to do"

    https://x.com/implausibleblog/status/1746476569554502098?s=46&t=CW4pL-mMpTqsJXCdjW0Z6Q
  • Map of ROC territorial claims:


    Note that Republic of China still claims (formerly that is formally "independent") Russian Republic of Tuva, on ground it is part of Mongolia which ROC also claims.

    As matter of political/diplomatic strategy, policy of maintaining maximum Chinese claims AND wherever possible exceeding claims by People's Republic, thus displaying superior Chinese nationalist (small n) credentials.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,649
    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-london-66188271

    Six held over plot to disrupt London Stock Exchange

    Six people have been arrested on suspicion of a plot to disrupt the London Stock Exchange.

    The Met Police said information suggested activists from the Palestine Action group were intending to target the exchange on Monday,

    The force said it was believed those involved were planning to cause damage and "lock on" in an effort to stop the building opening for trading.

    Arrests were made in London, Liverpool and Brighton on Sunday.

    All six people are currently in custody.

    The Met said it was "mindful of the suggestion that this was one part of a planned week of action".
  • Is this example of ill wind blowing a bit of good, at least for the North Wales tourism and hospitality sector?

    OR is it yet more bad news, as more and more eager yet clueless outlanders, clog the highways and byways from Beddgelert to Craig-y-Don and back, seeking to buy stamps in sub-postoffices defunct since before the Profumo Scandal, let alone the PO Scandal?
    We welcome all holiday makers to North Wales as our economy is very dependent on the revenue

    Though they would need a mortgage for a book of first class stamps !!!!!!!

  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,641

    We welcome all holiday makers to North Wales as our economy is very dependent on the revenue

    Though they would need a mortgage for a book of first class stamps !!!!!!!

    I stayed in Llandudno once it was really good 👍
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,649
    dixiedean said:

    Slightly on topic.
    Taiwan is a fascinating place.
    Plenty go for business, but almost nobody for pleasure.
    It's got rainforest. The highest mountain east of the Himalayas. Beaches. Ultra modern cities and crookbacked women in conical hats transplanting rice. Natural hot springs. Loads of history too.
    Weather isn't great, mind.

    I watch an embarrassing amount of cookery shows (both TV and YT) and I've still yet to happen on someone visiting Taiwan. I'm not sure if it's just rubbish or if there is sensitivity towards the Chinese market. I'm guessing the latter though.
  • Which coincidentally somebody predicted in the PB competition. Now, I wonder who that was?...
    In interests of completeness, transparency, democracy and mockery, respectful if not humbly demand you publish my answers along with other PB entrants?

    Spoiled or not, yours truly may yet prove more prescient, than skeptics and scoffers are now willing to admit.

    Particularly when it comes to Liberal Democrat leadership . . .
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,717
    I think the 4/1 is tempting, certainly more so than the other Farage bets on offer. Maybe not quite tempting enough, but he’s got the name recognition and there’s plenty of time before the election for him to establish himself as the leading opponent to the Tories in the constituency.

    It would make sense for Reform UK to throw everything at this. Having 1 MP did wonders for the Greens’ visibility, even if they’ve yet to increase that number.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,717

    As a start, you should get a large chunk of what he was paid for that column.
    A plagiarism case will need to show the exact same words being lifted. Getting your ideas from elsewhere is not actionable, is it?
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,649

    A plagiarism case will need to show the exact same words being lifted. Getting your ideas from elsewhere is not actionable, is it?
    Ask OpenAI's lawyers...
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101
    All roasters, how did that clown ever get to be ruining the country
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,552
    "Would you believe it?" is an expression you only ever here on snooker commentary these days....
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,641
    malcolmg said:

    All roasters, how did that clown ever get to be ruining the country
    Happy Birthday @malcolmg
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,641

    Happy Birthday @malcolmg
    Fram what you have posted here previously it's a big one, around now 👍
  • I stayed in Llandudno once it was really good 👍
    I stayed in Rhyl once, but only as a "base" for visiting the nicer bits around, such as Llandudno, Snowdon, Conway and Chirk.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,717
    edited January 2024
    https://x.com/ian_fraser/status/1745968543802261762

    A subpostmaster in the early 2000s describing a Horizon error happening in front of PO/Fujitsu investigators.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    A
    malcolmg said:

    All roasters, how did that clown ever get to be ruining the country
    Why would he be responsible for the actions of his brother in law?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    edited January 2024
    ohnotnow said:

    I watch an embarrassing amount of cookery shows (both TV and YT) and I've still yet to happen on someone visiting Taiwan. I'm not sure if it's just rubbish or if there is sensitivity towards the Chinese market. I'm guessing the latter though.
    The food is everywhere and divine. By far the best and most varied Chinese.
This discussion has been closed.