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The Tories tighter than evens to retain Mid Bedfordshire – politicalbetting.com

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  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,298

    NYT blog - Temporary Speaker Patrick McHenry says Jordan won 200 votes; Jeffries 212. Kevin McCarthy received 6 votes, Steve Scalise received 7 votes, and 5 others received a total of 7 votes. Jim Jordan has fallen short of winning the gavel this round.

    So the GOP PermaCircus continues….
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,390
    kinabalu said:

    I hope that's not true. It would be impossible to justify even if you're passionately pro Israel.
    People on here will give it a go.
  • HYUFD said:

    Not deliberately but war is war, especially if the Israelis want to wipe out Hamas
    So they accidentally dump ordnance on Gaza?
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    HYUFD said:

    I suspect there was Hamas there too, you can't see the full picture until all evidence emerged.

    Hamas of course murdered Israeli women, children and babies deliberately targeted so if the Israelis want to wipe out Hamas they won't give much quarter
    No ones disputing that Hamas are evil and they couldn’t care less how many civilians die in Gaza and would if they could murder as many Jews as possible .

    If Israel have hit a hospital and killed anything like that report then public opinion will soon turn against them in the west .

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,878
    edited October 2023

    So they accidentally dump ordnance on Gaza?
    They gave warning for Gazans to evacuate Gaza several days ago, they will now obliterate it and hope to obliterate Hamas too
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,266

    NYT blog - Temporary Speaker Patrick McHenry says Jordan won 200 votes; Jeffries 212. Kevin McCarthy received 6 votes, Steve Scalise received 7 votes, and 5 others received a total of 7 votes. Jim Jordan has fallen short of winning the gavel this round.

    Shame they don't elect the Speaker on a plurality of votes.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087

    Coked up twat waves a picture of a kid who died of cancer, straight away no messing, charged, loses job, wall to wall coverage by the media....

    Al-Qaeda, al-Shabab, Boko Haram, Jabhat al-Nusra, al-Tawhid wal-Jihad in Iraq, jihadist fighters in Chechnya, Hizb al-Tahrir and Islamic State have all adopted versions of the flag.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/10/17/palestine-flag-jihadists-black-london-met-police-offence/

    The way the police deal with this is -

    They wait until after the demo. The camera footage of those taking part is used to charge with various offences. The masking up usually doesn’t help - the twats generally have distinctive jewellery, tats and clothing.

    Instead of getting the riot they hope for, they get arrested in the attic room of their mums house.

    This has been done for many, many such demos by wannabe scum of a number of different varieties.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,579
    kinabalu said:

    I hope that's not true. It would be impossible to justify even if you're passionately pro Israel.
    It is surely a mistake, if it happened

    So far the people outraged about it are all pro-Palestinian or rabid anti-Semites

    However I am seeing some initial sheepish remarks from pro-Israel people, which suggests it might indeed be true. That would be a catastrophe for Israeli PR - as well as a human tragedy, of course

    What it will do to their war plans, who knows. I am filled with foreboding
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,878

    Come off it HY, even you must be able to see that a strike on a hospital with potentially 500+ casualties is outrageous?

    If Israel are proved to have done this they have just lost.
    Well it is not good no but Israel is fighting for its own survival and to avenge the worst terrorist attack against it in his history and Israelis certainly won't care what left leaning PB bloggers think about it
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,356
    edited October 2023

    The way the police deal with this is -

    They wait until after the demo. The camera footage of those taking part is used to charge with various offences. The masking up usually doesn’t help - the twats generally have distinctive jewellery, tats and clothing.

    Instead of getting the riot they hope for, they get arrested in the attic room of their mums house.

    This has been done for many, many such demos by wannabe scum of a number of different varieties.
    Except...

    Pro-Palestine protesters filmed waving what appears to be a flag used by jihadist groups at a march in central London did not commit an offence, police have said.
  • kinabalu said:

    I hope that's not true. It would be impossible to justify even if you're passionately pro Israel.
    Someone's beer is already being held.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    HYUFD said:

    They gave warning for Gazans to evacuate Gaza several days ago, they will now obliterate it and hope to obliterate Hamas too
    How can you evacuate hospitals , the logistics when there’s so much devastation and where are you supposed to take them . And what about the people in intensive care .
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,878

    Except...

    Pro-Palestine protesters filmed waving what appears to be a flag used by jihadist groups at a march in central London did not commit an offence, police have said.
    Disgraceful
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,579
    nico679 said:

    No ones disputing that Hamas are evil and they couldn’t care less how many civilians die in Gaza and would if they could murder as many Jews as possible .

    If Israel have hit a hospital and killed anything like that report then public opinion will soon turn against them in the west .

    The Times is reporting it now. Awfully, it might be true
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,419
    kinabalu said:

    This quickfire alternating between war in Gaza and the cricket is a bit Tarantino like.
    Only way to stay sane in a crazy world.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,446
    HYUFD said:

    Well it is not good no but Israel is fighting for its own survival and to avenge the worst terrorist attack against it in his history and Israelis certainly won't care what left leaning PB bloggers think about it
    It's also short-sighted. Attacks like this create the next generation of radicals and prospective martyrs who will begin the cycle of violence again.

    I'm not disputing the justification merely citing the consequences.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    Israel refuses to let food aid into Gaza saying that they can’t be sure that it won’t end up with Hamas .

    How long can they maintain this position . Are we at the point where people support effectively starving civilians ?
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,458
    nico679 said:

    No ones disputing that Hamas are evil and they couldn’t care less how many civilians die in Gaza and would if they could murder as many Jews as possible .

    If Israel have hit a hospital and killed anything like that report then public opinion will soon turn against them in the west .

    There’ll be plenty to label any who dare dissent will be labelled anti semites 👍
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,266
    HYUFD said:

    Well it is not good no but Israel is fighting for its own survival and to avenge the worst terrorist attack against it in his history and Israelis certainly won't care what left leaning PB bloggers think about it
    I'm sure they won't but they will also lose broad support across the West.

    Personally I hope this is a despicable 'false flag' operation by Hamas or Iran but we need confirmation.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,298
    edited October 2023
    Leon said:

    The Times is reporting it now. Awfully, it might be true
    Spare a thought for Joe Biden who has to wade into this one tomorrow. If confirmed it is just horrific loss of life, and yes this is going to have consequences for how this plays out.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,419
    kinabalu said:

    I hope that's not true. It would be impossible to justify even if you're passionately pro Israel.
    Being victim of a massacre and subject of constant racist, genocidal aggression would not mean they cannot be condemned for committing war crimes of course. They have a near impossible line to walk in terms of achieving something which their own people will demand and minimising civilian deaths to sustain international support, and I expect intent will get rolled out a lot in the coming days.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,152

    Come off it HY, even you must be able to see that a strike on a hospital with potentially 500+ casualties is outrageous?

    If Israel are proved to have done this they have just lost.
    Lost what? This isn't an internet argument, it's not a popularity contest. What are Israel's goals and does this act further them or negate them?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,130
    HYUFD said:

    They gave warning for Gazans to evacuate Gaza several days ago, they will now obliterate it and hope to obliterate Hamas too
    So that's alright then?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,479
    edited October 2023
    Leon said:

    Maybe you don't understand the process of escalation

    Let's say these US troops, as you actually suggest, disembark in Gaza to help with the "policing". Now they are a big fat juicy target for anyone that hates America, and they are right there, in Gaza

    Maybe some bombers get through and kill 900 of them. With 900 American soldiers dead, America is bound to respond. It will reinforce these troops with many more troops, and go after the attacker. That could be Iran. Now you have maybe 10,000 American troops in Gaza and a direct confrontaiton with Iran

    And thus it unfurls, onwards, ever onwards
    Re-opening the Egyptian crossing for aid, if that can be done with US assistance, would be de-escalatory.
    And god knows that's needed right now.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,878
    edited October 2023
    nico679 said:

    No ones disputing that Hamas are evil and they couldn’t care less how many civilians die in Gaza and would if they could murder as many Jews as possible .

    If Israel have hit a hospital and killed anything like that report then public opinion will soon turn against them in the west .

    It might in Europe, it won't in the US except with liberal Democrats, over a third of Republican voters even think the Israeli military's response hasn't been strong enough against Hamas as yet
    https://thehill.com/policy/international/4255413-most-americans-us-government-support-israel/.

    Assad of course gassed a hospital, he had some western condemnation, rode it out, is still in power and has largely beaten back Syrian rebels
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,777
    HYUFD said:

    Disgraceful
    Well, maybe it is disgraceful - but disgraceful actions shouldn't necessarily be criminal offences.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    Yeah if it happened the Israelis need to get in front of it and the world's media and say what a huge mistake it was.

    If it was a mistake. Even if there were ten gun batteries embedded in the children's ward this is one they should have left.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,419

    Spare a thought for Joe Biden who has to wade into this one tomorrow.
    I remember a very old Daily Show segment on condemning criticism of Israel, in America, which was contrasted with a lot more criticism of Israeli government policy...in Israel, in particular the Knesset.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,458
    HYUFD said:

    Well it is not good no but Israel is fighting for its own survival and to avenge the worst terrorist attack against it in his history and Israelis certainly won't care what left leaning PB bloggers think about it
    True but they, and certainly their allies, will care what the rest of the world thinks. At the moment Israel has a lot of goodwill globally after the horrors of the Hamas incursion.

    Like the US post 911 that can go very quickly.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,266
    viewcode said:

    Lost what? This isn't an internet argument, it's not a popularity contest. What are Israel's goals and does this act further them or negate them?
    They'll have lost support across the West, and they do need that.

    I'm hoping it's not true. I wouldn't discount Hamas targeting the hospital to implicate the Israelis.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,878
    Cookie said:

    Well, maybe it is disgraceful - but disgraceful actions shouldn't necessarily be criminal offences.
    Promoting terrorists is a criminal offence in the UK
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,204
    Hold on, I thought it was only the evil Russians that bombed hospitals.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,417
    nico679 said:

    Israel refuses to let food aid into Gaza saying that they can’t be sure that it won’t end up with Hamas .

    How long can they maintain this position . Are we at the point where people support effectively starving civilians ?

    Medieval.
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,102
    I’ve no idea what to believe, but if Israel have bombed a hospital…ugh
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,419

    So the GOP PermaCircus continues….
    They're 95% election deniers and extremists, you'd think they could agree on someone when they have virtually no policy differences, but 5-10 don't want to pass any legislation at all, and if they go for someone who just wants to posture endlessly then they lose a different 10.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,458
    HYUFD said:

    Promoting terrorists is a criminal offence in the UK
    The Met seems happy to pick and choose what laws it applies.
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,080
    So it has begun. Israel committing war crimes en masse as predicted. Will anyone do anything? Of course not.

    @HYUFD - call a spade a spade you f•cking halfwit!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,878
    Taz said:

    True but they, and certainly their allies, will care what the rest of the world thinks. At the moment Israel has a lot of goodwill globally after the horrors of the Hamas incursion.

    Like the US post 911 that can go very quickly.
    Post 9/11 the US didn't care what the rest of the world thought and eventually killed Bin Laden and has had no further big jihadi terrorist attacks on US soil.

  • HYUFD said:

    It might in Europe, it won't in the US except with liberal Democrats, over a third of Republican voters even think the Israeli military's response hasn't been strong enough against Hamas as yet
    https://thehill.com/policy/international/4255413-most-americans-us-government-support-israel/.

    Assad of course gassed a hospital, he had some western condemnation, rode it out, is still in power and has largely beaten back Syrian rebels
    So Bibi is on a par with Assad? If you say so..
  • HYUFD said:

    I suspect there was Hamas there too, you can't see the full picture until all evidence emerged.

    Hamas of course murdered Israeli women, children and babies deliberately targeted so if the Israelis want to wipe out Hamas they won't give much quarter
    True but that is probably what Hamas intended, to provoke Israel into a revenge so ghastly as to shift world opinion and sympathy away from Israel and towards the Palestinians. If so, the Israeli air force may have blundered into that trap.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,579

    They'll have lost support across the West, and they do need that.

    I'm hoping it's not true. I wouldn't discount Hamas targeting the hospital to implicate the Israelis.
    IF we are to believe the images (these days, can we be sure?) it certainly looks like an air strike - and Hamas has no air force. So it was Israel. And it sure looks like an awful lot of bodies, dozens if not hundreds

    Could be a pivotal moment. Hideous. I need the gym, then the gin

  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    Leon said:

    The Times is reporting it now. Awfully, it might be true
    That’s dreadful. There are red lines surely no government should cross . No one regardless of what side they’re on can condone this air strike .
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,243

    NYT blog - Temporary Speaker Patrick McHenry says Jordan won 200 votes; Jeffries 212. Kevin McCarthy received 6 votes, Steve Scalise received 7 votes, and 5 others received a total of 7 votes. Jim Jordan has fallen short of winning the gavel this round.

    The question is, will Jordan pick up support in the next round, or not? If he loses support, then it's hard to see how he becomes speaker.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,878

    True but that is probably what Hamas intended, to provoke Israel into a revenge so ghastly as to shift world opinion and sympathy away from Israel and towards the Palestinians. If so, the Israeli air force may have blundered into that trap.
    The only reaction outside Israel Netanyahu will care about is the US reaction but Middle America will still be with Israel against Hamas.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,458
    According to Peter Oborne 5,000 people were sheltering in the hospital yesterday

    https://x.com/obornetweets/status/1714340327035641909?s=61&t=s0ae0IFncdLS1Dc7J0P_TQ
  • AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,005
    Going to be a while before the truth comes out.

    More than 500 people were k*lled in a strike on a hospital in the Gaza Strip.

    Israeli media report that a Hamas rocket misfired and hit a hospital in Gaza, where there was a secret ammunition depot that detonated.

    https://twitter.com/Heroiam_Slava/status/1714338101861007780
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,102
    Taz said:

    According to Peter Oborne 5,000 people were sheltering in the hospital yesterday

    https://x.com/obornetweets/status/1714340327035641909?s=61&t=s0ae0IFncdLS1Dc7J0P_TQ

    I get the Israeli government is angry - but how / why has this happened? What did they think the consequence would be?
  • rcs1000 said:

    The question is, will Jordan pick up support in the next round, or not? If he loses support, then it's hard to see how he becomes speaker.
    Did anybody vote for Israel?
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,576
    nico679 said:

    No ones disputing that Hamas are evil and they couldn’t care less how many civilians die in Gaza and would if they could murder as many Jews as possible .

    If Israel have hit a hospital and killed anything like that report then public opinion will soon turn against them in the west .

    Yeah I have been unsure about my views so far, but if this turns out to be true, any sympathy I have for the Israeli state is gone.

    It doesn’t matter if Hamas are there. It doesn’t matter if Israel have warned Gazans to move. It is so blindingly obvious that hospital patients cannot move, whether to respond to an Israeli warning or to get away from Hamas.

    This is simply unconscionable. Is it fair to say it is worse than anything Hamas have done? Not sure.
  • Did anybody vote for Israel?
    I went for LeBron.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,298
    rcs1000 said:

    The question is, will Jordan pick up support in the next round, or not? If he loses support, then it's hard to see how he becomes speaker.
    I understand that some of Jordan’s pledged support only said they would definitely support him on the first vote, but wouldn’t commit to future rounds if he fell short. If that’s any way true, it’s hard to see how he makes it.

    It is starting to feel like something nuts might happen and we might need a Dem/GOP deal to resolve. Not sure what is really in it for the Dems though.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,954

    I’ve no idea what to believe, but if Israel have bombed a hospital…ugh

    The BBC were reporting that the hospital involved is a baptist run one, but in fact I think it is an Anglican foundation.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,300
    edited October 2023
    stodge said:

    It's also short-sighted. Attacks like this create the next generation of radicals and prospective martyrs who will begin the cycle of violence again.

    I'm not disputing the justification merely citing the consequences.
    There is a excellent practical reason that a very famous man from the Nazareth area said all that stuff about loving your enemies 2000 years ago.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,356
    edited October 2023
    AlistairM said:

    Going to be a while before the truth comes out.

    More than 500 people were k*lled in a strike on a hospital in the Gaza Strip.

    Israeli media report that a Hamas rocket misfired and hit a hospital in Gaza, where there was a secret ammunition depot that detonated.

    https://twitter.com/Heroiam_Slava/status/1714338101861007780

    If it was Hamas rocket, given Israel have drones, satellites, aircraft (including Western Spy planes) focused on Gaza, I would hope that there will be footage to show this. Otherwise, it will become epicentre of disputed case used to drive extremism.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,878
    AlistairM said:

    Going to be a while before the truth comes out.

    More than 500 people were k*lled in a strike on a hospital in the Gaza Strip.

    Israeli media report that a Hamas rocket misfired and hit a hospital in Gaza, where there was a secret ammunition depot that detonated.

    https://twitter.com/Heroiam_Slava/status/1714338101861007780

    Well if that is true it was a Hamas missile not the Israelis that hit the hospital anyway
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    HYUFD said:

    It might in Europe, it won't in the US except with liberal Democrats, over a third of Republican voters even think the Israeli military's response hasn't been strong enough against Hamas as yet
    https://thehill.com/policy/international/4255413-most-americans-us-government-support-israel/.

    Assad of course gassed a hospital, he had some western condemnation, rode it out, is still in power and has largely beaten back Syrian rebels
    Republican voters are not really grounded in any morality so not sure that’s a good example . And you’re now using Assad as a comparison . Talk about scraping the bottom of the barrel .
  • HYUFD said:

    The only reaction outside Israel Netanyahu will care about is the US reaction but Middle America will still be with Israel against Hamas.
    My guess is Netanyahu will be furious with his air force for undermining Israeli-American diplomacy just as President Biden is due to land tomorrow.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087

    Except...

    Pro-Palestine protesters filmed waving what appears to be a flag used by jihadist groups at a march in central London did not commit an offence, police have said.
    They have form for changing their minds. Remember, the decision to charge will not be by the police themselves.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,152
    edited October 2023

    They'll have lost support across the West, and they do need that.
    Fair point, but I don't think it's a war goal. I assume that Netanyahu is a rational actor so the IDF actions must serve his goals and what he sees as the goals of Israel. Firing at populated areas serves those goals, which I assume are:

    I) Preserve his government support amongst the Israeli people and the Knesset
    Ii) Inflict sufficient violence against Hamas to prevent a rapid repeat of the initial attack
    Iii) Retain allies amongst the world

    The hospital attack, although horrific, will not cause a Western ally to split with Israel. It retains popular and parliamentary approval in Israel. The only problem (from his POV) is that it won't be enough to deter Hamas.

  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,446
    HYUFD said:

    Well if that is true it was a Hamas missile not the Israelis that hit the hospital anyway
    It's certainly a plausible and credible theory but as we know the first casualty of any war is truth. At the moment, we don't know but what we do know is there has been enormous loss of life.
  • algarkirk said:

    The BBC were reporting that the hospital involved is a baptist run one, but in fact I think it is an Anglican foundation.
    Peak PB!
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,279
    maxh said:

    Yeah I have been unsure about my views so far, but if this turns out to be true, any sympathy I have for the Israeli state is gone.

    It doesn’t matter if Hamas are there. It doesn’t matter if Israel have warned Gazans to move. It is so blindingly obvious that hospital patients cannot move, whether to respond to an Israeli warning or to get away from Hamas.

    This is simply unconscionable. Is it fair to say it is worse than anything Hamas have done? Not sure.
    That's fair enough: although the other side of the equation is that "any sympathy I have for the Israeli state is gone" should not become "I don't care if the Israeli state exists".

    I'd also make another point. Russia has made a habit - in fact, a policy - of hitting hospitals in Syria and Ukraine. I hope everyone who would rightly condemn an Israeli strike on this hospital (if that is what happened) would not dream of excuse the many, many such Russian attacks.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087

    I went for LeBron.
    Good jump shot. But dodgy views on China
  • MightyAlexMightyAlex Posts: 1,753
    HYUFD said:

    Well if that is true it was a Hamas missile not the Israelis that hit the hospital anyway
    If you believe that, the Israeli's better go bomb all the other ones too. Might even find secret caches of food and medicines.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,878

    My guess is Netanyahu will be furious with his air force for undermining Israeli-American diplomacy just as President Biden is due to land tomorrow.
    Firstly it may well have been a Hamas missile on latest reports not his airforce, secondly he sees Biden as weak and knows Biden cannot ignore Middle American and Jewish lobby support in the US for Israel
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    Surely surveillance can tell where the rocket came from . With all this technology surely we can find out what really happened .
  • YokesYokes Posts: 1,359
    Just wait, it could be a rocket system misfire, it could be a stock of kit that went off due to whatever, it could be an Israeli strike on something, an Israeli misfire or it could be Israeli wrong targeting.

    As a note the core explosion is reported at the ambulance parking area.
  • NYT live blog - Representative Mario Díaz-Balart, a Florida Republican who voted for Scalise, said his position had not changed, even after speaking with Jordan on the floor following the vote. “I will not be pressured or intimidated,” he told reporters, predicting Jordan would lose votes on the next ballot.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,266

    That's fair enough: although the other side of the equation is that "any sympathy I have for the Israeli state is gone" should not become "I don't care if the Israeli state exists".

    I'd also make another point. Russia has made a habit - in fact, a policy - of hitting hospitals in Syria and Ukraine. I hope everyone who would rightly condemn an Israeli strike on this hospital (if that is what happened) would not dream of excuse the many, many such Russian attacks.
    You'll not find much support on here for Russian strikes of any sort let alone Russian strikes on hospitals.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087

    If it was Hamas rocket, given Israel have drones, satellites, aircraft (including Western Spy planes) focused on Gaza, I would hope that there will be footage to show this. Otherwise, it will become epicentre of disputed case used to drive extremism.
    As I said the other day, rushing to big up atrocity stories just gets you more atrocities in the cycle.

    What happened here is that there was a big explosion - or several.

    Targeting a hospital, even if the other side is using it as a military base, is unacceptable.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,556
    Whoever bombed the hospital, and Israel are the ones who are going to have to prove they didn’t do it, are guilty of a war crime. Telling Gazans to move south, and then bombing the south, isn’t a good look either. Israel need not to lose the moral high ground, or they will lose the support of reasonable people, which obviously excludes the GOP, HYUFD, etc.
  • Peak PB!
    Have we worked out what public school alumni might be involved?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,878

    Whoever bombed the hospital, and Israel are the ones who are going to have to prove they didn’t do it, are guilty of a war crime. Telling Gazans to move south, and then bombing the south, isn’t a good look either. Israel need not to lose the moral high ground, or they will lose the support of reasonable people, which obviously excludes the GOP, HYUFD, etc.

    'Reasonable people' won't defeat Hamas is the brutal reality
  • MightyAlexMightyAlex Posts: 1,753

    As I said the other day, rushing to big up atrocity stories just gets you more atrocities in the cycle.

    What happened here is that there was a big explosion - or several.

    Targeting a hospital, even if the other side is using it as a military base, is unacceptable.
    IF this is the footage... if, it sounds like a missile.

    https://twitter.com/WarMonitors/status/1714337776873640216
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,266
    edited October 2023
    Interesting if true:

    "A senior Hamas official has told NBC News that Hamas is willing to release all civilian hostages in one hour if Israel stops its bombing of Gaza."
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2023/oct/17/israel-hamas-war-live-gaza-city-update-news-today-joe-biden-visit-aid-plan-latest-updates?page=with:block-652ed2498f08269fdea76108#block-652ed2498f08269fdea76108
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,576

    That's fair enough: although the other side of the equation is that "any sympathy I have for the Israeli state is gone" should not become "I don't care if the Israeli state exists".

    I'd also make another point. Russia has made a habit - in fact, a policy - of hitting hospitals in Syria and Ukraine. I hope everyone who would rightly condemn an Israeli strike on this hospital (if that is what happened) would not dream of excuse the many, many such Russian attacks.
    One your first point, completely agree. If this turns out to be true, and clearly we don’t know that yet, it is the government of Israel that deserves to be obliterated, not the state.

    Though, if confirmed, I think it would be legitimate for a UN mandated peacekeeping force to invade Israel to subdue the IDF and enforce the Oslo accords.

    On your second point, I can’t speak for anyone else but my condemnation of Russian actions has been just as vociferous as these two posts.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,878
    maxh said:

    One your first point, completely agree. If this turns out to be true, and clearly we don’t know that yet, it is the government of Israel that deserves to be obliterated, not the state.

    Though, if confirmed, I think it would be legitimate for a UN mandated peacekeeping force to invade Israel to subdue the IDF and enforce the Oslo accords.

    On your second point, I can’t speak for anyone else but my condemnation of Russian actions has been just as vociferous as these two posts.
    As opposed to a UN Mandated peacekeeping force not doing anything when Hamas attached.

    The US would of course veto any such action anyway
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,513

    IF this is the footage... if, it sounds like a missile.

    https://twitter.com/WarMonitors/status/1714337776873640216
    Always seems to be someone filming in Gaza.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,356
    edited October 2023
    Old Slab head starting for England as usual and Philips.....picking players in form.
  • YokesYokes Posts: 1,359

    Interesting if true:

    "A senior Hamas official has told NBC News that Hamas is willing to release all civilian hostages in one hour if Israel stops its bombing of Gaza."
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/2023/oct/17/israel-hamas-war-live-gaza-city-update-news-today-joe-biden-visit-aid-plan-latest-updates?page=with:block-652ed2498f08269fdea76108#block-652ed2498f08269fdea76108

    50% chance its ballix talk to get breathing space, 50% Hamas are shitting a brick and wants to de-escalate.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,458
    HYUFD said:

    Post 9/11 the US didn't care what the rest of the world thought and eventually killed Bin Laden and has had no further big jihadi terrorist attacks on US soil.

    So the ends justify the means….

    America have still suffered numerous terror attacks from Islamists both on its own solid and abroad. Mission creep to Iraq destabilised the whole region.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,152
    edited October 2023
    AlistairM said:

    Going to be a while before the truth comes out.

    More than 500 people were k*lled in a strike on a hospital in the Gaza Strip.

    Israeli media report that a Hamas rocket misfired and hit a hospital in Gaza, where there was a secret ammunition depot that detonated.

    https://twitter.com/Heroiam_Slava/status/1714338101861007780

    ...
  • YokesYokes Posts: 1,359
    maxh said:

    One your first point, completely agree. If this turns out to be true, and clearly we don’t know that yet, it is the government of Israel that deserves to be obliterated, not the state.

    Though, if confirmed, I think it would be legitimate for a UN mandated peacekeeping force to invade Israel to subdue the IDF and enforce the Oslo accords.

    On your second point, I can’t speak for anyone else but my condemnation of Russian actions has been just as vociferous as these two posts.
    None of those are going to happen, are they.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668

    As someone who has been arguing that Israel needs to be careful to avoid civilian casualties, I think it is also now worth saying, as Yokes and others have, that we need to wait and see what the actual cause was.

    Would I be surpised if it was an intentional targetting of the hospital by Israel - yes, I actually think that is the least likely scenario.

    Would I be surprised if it was an intentional act by Hamas - No. They don't care about civilian lives whether they are Israeli or Palestinian as long as they have propaganda value.

    Do I think this is most likely a cock up by either Israel or Hamas - yes but of course I have no way of actually knowing that.

    It is shit, whatever the cause but right at this moment it proves nothing about anything.

    Is the right response.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,279

    Whoever bombed the hospital, and Israel are the ones who are going to have to prove they didn’t do it, are guilty of a war crime. Telling Gazans to move south, and then bombing the south, isn’t a good look either. Israel need not to lose the moral high ground, or they will lose the support of reasonable people, which obviously excludes the GOP, HYUFD, etc.

    "and Israel are the ones who are going to have to prove they didn’t do it,"

    Why? Hamas are the ones who have been smuggling weapons and rockets into Gaza rather than food and water its citizens require. Why is the onus on Israel to prove its innocence? Surely Hamas also have the same responsibility to prove innocence.

    As we saw with the safe route blast; people who dislike Israel have made up their minds that they bombed it when the evidence is far from clear. Israel, not Hamas, automatically gets the blame.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,266

    "and Israel are the ones who are going to have to prove they didn’t do it,"

    Why? Hamas are the ones who have been smuggling weapons and rockets into Gaza rather than food and water its citizens require. Why is the onus on Israel to prove its innocence? Surely Hamas also have the same responsibility to prove innocence.

    As we saw with the safe route blast; people who dislike Israel have made up their minds that they bombed it when the evidence is far from clear. Israel, not Hamas, automatically gets the blame.
    Israel not Hamas has the technology to prove who did it. If it wasn't them it'll be in their own interests to show that.
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,576
    Yokes said:

    None of those are going to happen, are they.
    No of course not. I’m not quite sure tongue-in-cheek is the appropriate phrase right now, but particularly my second para was not intended as a serious practical proposition!
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,279
    maxh said:

    One your first point, completely agree. If this turns out to be true, and clearly we don’t know that yet, it is the government of Israel that deserves to be obliterated, not the state.

    Though, if confirmed, I think it would be legitimate for a UN mandated peacekeeping force to invade Israel to subdue the IDF and enforce the Oslo accords.

    On your second point, I can’t speak for anyone else but my condemnation of Russian actions has been just as vociferous as these two posts.
    And that's a big issue for Israel: if they are seen as descending as far as Russia then it's a disaster for them. Some will have made up their minds already; there are plenty more who could become anti-Israel.

    As it happens, I know someone who is *very* keen to excuse Russian attacks in Syria and Ukraine. It's all the victims' fault, apparently. And ours.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,279

    Israel not Hamas has the technology to prove who did it. If it wasn't them it'll be in their own interests to show that.
    Technology, but not access. Say part of an Israeli bomb casing was found at the site: is that a slam-dunk piece of evidence, or something Hamas salted? etc, etc.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277

    "and Israel are the ones who are going to have to prove they didn’t do it,"

    Why? Hamas are the ones who have been smuggling weapons and rockets into Gaza rather than food and water its citizens require. Why is the onus on Israel to prove its innocence? Surely Hamas also have the same responsibility to prove innocence.

    As we saw with the safe route blast; people who dislike Israel have made up their minds that they bombed it when the evidence is far from clear. Israel, not Hamas, automatically gets the blame.
    Hamas are evil and I wouldn’t put it passed them to target their own civilians . I’ve not made my mind up and will wait to see what proof gets released either way . I notice Justin Trudeau is already blaming Israel which could be very embarrassing if it wasn’t . If it was Israel then that would be very serious .
  • AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,005
    edited October 2023
    No idea of the veracity of these posts but there seems to be some evidence that it may have come from inside Gaza. Videos in the links

    . First clear footage from the Al Ahli tragedy in Gaza, but what do you notice?
    this is a surface explosion, almost no soil is thrown up, so it's not an air bomb.
    Looks like a failed Hamas rocket that landed there, what a tragedy has Hamas brought to the people of Gaza!

    https://twitter.com/david_lisovtsev/status/1714337392520249522

    Gaza hospital bombed. IDF was not operating in the area.

    It appears to have come from a failed Hamas rocket.

    https://twitter.com/TheMossadIL/status/1714351611110154288
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,878

    And that's a big issue for Israel: if they are seen as descending as far as Russia then it's a disaster for them. Some will have made up their minds already; there are plenty more who could become anti-Israel.

    As it happens, I know someone who is *very* keen to excuse Russian attacks in Syria and Ukraine. It's all the victims' fault, apparently. And ours.
    Unless the US does I doubt Netanyahu cares less
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,576

    As someone who has been arguing that Israel needs to be careful to avoid civilian casualties, I think it is also now worth saying, as Yokes and others have, that we need to wait and see what the actual cause was.

    Would I be surpised if it was an intentional targetting of the hospital by Israel - yes, I actually think that is the least likely scenario.

    Would I be surprised if it was an intentional act by Hamas - No. They don't care about civilian lives whether they are Israeli or Palestinian as long as they have propaganda value.

    Do I think this is most likely a cock up by either Israel or Hamas - yes but of course I have no way of actually knowing that.

    It is shit, whatever the cause but right at this moment it proves nothing about anything.

    I think this is right, other than the likelihood of it being deliberate by Hamas. Whilst I have no doubt that the organisation would be capable of such an act, as Yokes has said all signs are that Hamas is trying to deescalate and, if shown to be a deliberate act by them, this would put huge pressure on many actors to entirely disown them. Which would be poor strategy from Hamas, to put it mildly.

    Do I think they are that idiotic? Perhaps, but I’d be surprised.

    Cock up seems by far the most likely scenario but, as others have said, Israel should have the means to bring the truth to light, should they so choose.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,878
    Taz said:

    So the ends justify the means….

    America have still suffered numerous terror attacks from Islamists both on its own solid and abroad. Mission creep to Iraq destabilised the whole region.
    On US soil virtually none and sometimes yes ends do have to justify the means
  • Technology, but not access. Say part of an Israeli bomb casing was found at the site: is that a slam-dunk piece of evidence, or something Hamas salted? etc, etc.
    Both sides will blame the other. Their home audiences will each believe their own side.
  • Football... must... have... football...
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087
    maxh said:

    One your first point, completely agree. If this turns out to be true, and clearly we don’t know that yet, it is the government of Israel that deserves to be obliterated, not the state.

    Though, if confirmed, I think it would be legitimate for a UN mandated peacekeeping force to invade Israel to subdue the IDF and enforce the Oslo accords.

    On your second point, I can’t speak for anyone else but my condemnation of Russian actions has been just as vociferous as these two posts.
    If we are going to invade nuclear armed countries, why not do Russia as well?
  • maxhmaxh Posts: 1,576

    If we are going to invade nuclear armed countries, why not do Russia as well?
    Just to reiterate, I wasn’t being entirely serious!
  • HYUFD said:

    Firstly it may well have been a Hamas missile on latest reports not his airforce, secondly he sees Biden as weak and knows Biden cannot ignore Middle American and Jewish lobby support in the US for Israel
    Yes of course Israel could tell Biden where to get off but back in this world, the Americans do seem to have persuaded Netanyahu to postpone if not cancel the full-scale invasion. Take a step back.
This discussion has been closed.