Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Tories take 4% lead in the “Blue Wall” – politicalbetting.com

1234579

Comments

  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,093
    edited October 2023

    .

    Have you not been paying attention?

    We need more roads to make more direct routes from point to point. As well as to release capacity by allowing cars to travel fast wherever they're not intending to ultimately be, and allowing local roads to only serve local traffic. The default speed of vehicles moving around should be 50-70mph if they're not in the first or last mile of their journey most of the time.

    I don't advocate widening motorways, I see it as a mostly pointless exercise.

    I advocate building new roads where they don't currently exist.

    Don't widen the M6, build a new M59, a new M580 etc
    And here it is!




  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,753

    Maybe they read the header for this thread.
    Presumably canvassing is now asking people who have already voted by post who they voted for. The Tories might be seeing some green shoots.
  • 148grss148grss Posts: 4,155
    AlistairM said:

    This is a very sad and worrying video. Children being taught to hate. Have Israel also taught their children to hate Palestinians (genuine question)?

    We have to make war to prove that we are stronger than the Jews,

    says a little Palestinian schoolgirl in a Gaza school.

    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1712409699537072397

    Yes - have you not seen vox pops in Israel? I remember when the big riot happened in February seeing young people talk about how all Palestinians need to be wiped off the map and that they were no better than beasts and stuff.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/feb/27/israeli-settler-violence-in-west-bank-escalates-huwara

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1VmJyK9aVMA
  • isam said:

    Sunak seems doomed, but one thing he should try, in my opinion, is to contrast his ‘Eat out to help out’ optimism with Sir Keir’s “we better all stay in for a few more months this summer, even though the worst was way behind us” strategy,

    “Johnson Variant”, Jesus Christ. He must have been secretly hoping for more cases when we opened up against his advice

    Yes, people really want to be reminded of the pandemic. That will help just as much as Sunak's other wheezes.
  • AlistairMAlistairM Posts: 2,005
    148grss said:

    As much as he as an individual will annoy me - so what? Like, 13 flights in ten years is not that much and if he has realised that the privileges of his upbringing give him some ability to make the world a better place - good? That's exactly what people with power and money should do. I understand why poor and precarious people don't protest - they have little option but to do what they must.
    You're right. It's not that much. However if you are a protestor for XR or JSO then for your message to be effective you have got to practice what you preach. Otherwise you are just a hypocrite.
  • Leon said:

    I never claimed colonisation was “good for the locals”

    In truth it can be bad - eg the Belgian Congo - or it can be good - Scotland under England. You’d still be eating raw oats if we hadn’t taken over

    Or it can be a complex mixture of both. “What have the Romans ever done for us” etc

    I think most of the British Empire falls into the third category
    So Scotland WAS a colony?
    Glad we cleared that up.
  • MattW said:

    Hmmm.

    He wrote: “Signs like this. They are confusing as they contain irrelevant and – to most people – unintelligible information.

    “Road signs in two languages are potentially dangerous as it takes longer to determine the message.


    If he can't read it in the time he gives himself, he just needs to slow down and give himself enough time, but instead he's doing the endemic "anything else but me" thing.

    Is Dr Hunt or the Road Sign the more dangerous item?
    The problem with bilingual road signs in Wales is that they are invariably done on the cheap with no thought to intelligibility in either language. A better solution would be to use colour to distinguish between them so drivers will automatically focus on the one they understand better. For example, English in dark blue on a white background and Welsh in white on a green background. It's not rocket science ... in fact it's the polar opposite: graphic design.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,285
    edited October 2023
    I thought I was seeing things just now on the BBC News website when it said SNP MP defects to the Tories.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-67087840

    "The SNP's Lisa Cameron has announced her defection to the Conservatives.
    The East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow MP was facing a selection contest to remain as the SNP's candidate at the next general election.
    She said she quit because of a "toxic" culture in the party Westminster group.
    Prime Minister Rishi Sunak and Scottish Tory leader Douglas Ross both welcomed her to the party. The SNP has called for Dr Cameron to step down to allow a by-election."
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,007
    edited October 2023

    Well quite! The skidmarks don't exactly help his case...thankfully had the presence of mind to photograph them.
    Eabhal said:

    Quite funny. Tartan Tories etc
    Didn't it mention the toxic nature of the SNP in Westminster (and no doubt in Scotland.?)
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,422

    So Scotland WAS a colony?
    Glad we cleared that up.
    Didn't the Scots king become King of England as well?
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,662
    Andy_JS said:

    I thought I was seeing things just now on the BBC News website when it said SNP MP defects to the Tories.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-67087840

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-67087840
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,450
    edited October 2023
    148grss said:

    The thing is there doesn't seem to be great sourcing on how many people died under British rule - and not because we were so kind as there to not have been any. Partly, as someone said before, because we "won". If you take the Indian sub continent, the British colonies in Africa, the British colonies in the US, the British involvement in the slave trade, and British worker conditions during the Empire are we really going to confidently say that the death toll was less than the roughly 60 million we can reliably put to the USSR? That's without including European wars - I will exclude the direct death toll of the Napoleonic wars and WW1 and WW2. Like, we know how bad the famines were in India during WW2 alone.
    My own view is that 60 million killings by the Organs of State Security during the Communist period is an enormous exaggeration. One really can't include WWII deaths for example.

    Timothy Snyder estimates 6 to 9 million Soviets deliberately put to death by Stalin, or dying as a result of deportation, or internment in the camps.

    The real difficulty is the treatment of deaths by famine. In some cases, famine was used as a tool of policy, to break peasant resistance to collectivisation. In others, it occurred due to callousness and incompetence, and in other cases, pure bad luck.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,390
    isam said:

    Sunak seems doomed, but one thing he should try, in my opinion, is to contrast his ‘Eat out to help out’ optimism with Sir Keir’s “we better all stay in for a few more months this summer, even though the worst was way behind us” strategy,

    “Johnson Variant”, Jesus Christ. He must have been secretly hoping for more cases when we opened up against his advice

    "Guys, remember that time I used your money to pay people to go out for pizza and a load of them caught Cofid and died" doesn't sound like a vote winner to me, but I'm happy for the Tories to give it a go.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,243

    THE eco-zealot who dumped ­glitter on Sir Keir Starmer at the Labour Party conference while demanding “democracy” is a privileged globe-trotting rich kid.

    Jobless XR moaner Yaz Ashmawi, 28, studied at a private school in the oil-rich UAE and enjoys a £750,000 second home in Devon.

    He has jetted to 13 countries on four continents in ten years, taking holiday snaps for his Instagram account — and making a nonsense of his green pretensions.

    https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/24371064/eco-zealot-dumped-glitter-sir-keir-starmer-rich-kid/

    Thought for a minute his name was Jobless XR!

    Presumably the Sun are in favour of Labour's raid on private schools given this is the kind of person they turn out? :wink:
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,371
    edited October 2023
    I think it is a difficult position to be in as leader of the opposition during a national emergency like the pandemic. However, you hope the opposition will see issue with proposals and be able to nudge government towards a better solution.

    Jeremy Hunt was actually very good at this e.g. government - shut all schools, Hunt, I think that might have an issue, where do key workers kids go? How about running classes for those.

    Overwhelmingly Starmer was always harder, faster, further. His "ideas" were normally even worse e.g. everybody needs to test every time they leave the house to meet anybody. It just isn't practical.

    Or the we need to fast track PPE providers, here is a dossier of potential providers we think you need to talk to (who turned out to be even more dodgy than the ones the government used).

    Or close the border now, 18 months into the pandemic....because at the outset that would have been racist.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,285
    Not often that you have a first in British political history, which I think an SNP MP defecting to the Conservatives is.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Foxy said:

    @NickPalmer achieves total victory. His old opponent is now a convert.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/oct/11/ex-tory-business-minister-anna-soubry-says-she-will-vote-labour
    Do @NickPalmer and Anna Soubry get on okay? Realise they were rivals for the seat but sometimes rivals can be friends, or at least personable...
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,371
    edited October 2023

    "Guys, remember that time I used your money to pay people to go out for pizza and a load of them caught Cofid and died" doesn't sound like a vote winner to me, but I'm happy for the Tories to give it a go.
    Except that isn't true....the case rates when we had eat out the help out were very low, a lot of outside eating etc. There was limited evidence that small group dining was particular bad compared to lots of other things.

    The really massive misstep that will have resulted in excess deaths. Yeah sure you can go on your summer holiday (2020) all across Europe, everybody deserves a holiday after the lockdown. That is how we widely seeded the worst variant all across the country just in time for the autumn / winter. Having mass groups of people all mixing from across Europe is how we got it from Italy in the first place, then we repeated exactly the same mistaken in the summer.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,662
    "I just had a brief chat with Lisa Cameron. She won't be standing at the next election, but won't be resigning either, and will spend the next year in Parliament focusing on disability issues. She'll be "staying in touch with people I respect, which isn't anyone in the SNP". -- Wings
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Stocky said:

    It's the number one thing that concerns me about a Labour government - what they would do if there was another pandemic. I can't shake off that awful time and the idea of a repeat terrifies me.
    The Tory government was awful during the pandemic – remember their desire to create a 'climate of fear'. I doubt either party would go hell for leather for lockdowns again – I don't think (or maybe) hope that the public would wear it again.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,220
    edited October 2023

    "Guys, remember that time I used your money to pay people to go out for pizza and a load of them caught Cofid and died" doesn't sound like a vote winner to me, but I'm happy for the Tories to give it a go.
    Obviously I am aware that it’s a risky strategy, but I think it’s worth it to show Sir Keir up as a doom monger that wanted to lock us all indoors (while he was ok with booze ups for himself & friends)
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,608

    So Scotland WAS a colony?
    Glad we cleared that up.
    Bait, fish, hook
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,961

    Seems Israel has said the blockade on Gaza will remain until their hostages are released

    Regrettably this seems to me a proportionate response to a very serious war crime; it allows the perpetrator to put it right without delay in a way which averts catastrophe upon the people they represent. Hamas being both in charge of the PA of Gaza (elected thereto by its people), and the committer of the war crime.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,204
    Andy_JS said:

    Not often that you have a first in British political history, which I think an SNP MP defecting to the Conservatives is.

    Aye - because they're two parties that couldn't be more diametrically opposed on the Union. And if that colossal hurdle were to be cleared in an MP's mind then surely Labour is the closer fit ?

    Lab gain next election I think anyway.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,236
    edited October 2023

    Didn't the Scots king become King of England as well?
    I’m not the one proposing that Scotland was a colony, but James VI/I acceded to the English throne more than a hundred years before the Act of Union/colonisation.

    I fear the English who need most education in the subject have not been watching David Olusoga’s Union.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    tlg86 said:
    Why is it "disgraceful" not to do something? Hyperbolic, odd, choice of word.

    Do we light up the arch in every country's flag everywhere in the world that is under attack or has had atrocities committed against it?
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,290

    Why?
    To drive social media engagement, obviously.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    isam said:

    Obviously I am aware that it’s a risky strategy, but I think it’s worth it to show Sir Keir up as a doom monger that wanted to lock us all indoors (while he was ok with booze ups for himself & friends)
    You might regret invoking the memory of Sir Beer Korma – Big-G-Wales will be bothering you every five minutes
  • isamisam Posts: 41,220

    Why is it "disgraceful" not to do something? Hyperbolic, odd, choice of word.

    Do we light up the arch in every country's flag everywhere in the world that is under attack or has had atrocities committed against it?
    Can’t wait for the day we don’t bother with any of that nonsense.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,285
    When was the last time East Kilbride had a tory MP?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,450

    I’m not the one proposing that Scotland was a colony, but James VI/I acceded to the English throne more than a hundred years before the Act of Union/colonisation.

    I fear the English who need most education in the subject have not been watching David Olusoga’s Union.
    Samuel Johnson thought England had become a colony of Scotland.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,390
    isam said:

    Obviously I am aware that it’s a risky strategy, but I think it’s worth it to show Sir Keir up as a doom monger that wanted to lock us all indoors (while he was ok with booze ups for himself & friends)
    Who has a police caution for breaking Covid socialising rules, the PM or the LotO?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Eabhal said:

    And here it is!




    Wow. That is the epitome of a modern, integrated road network for our times.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    isam said:

    Can’t wait for the day we don’t bother with any of that nonsense.
    Indeed. I dislike the neologism 'virtue-signalling' but it's pretty apt for this sort of stuff.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Except that isn't true....the case rates when we had eat out the help out were very low, a lot of outside eating etc.

    The really massive misstep that will have resulted in excess deaths, yeah sure you can go on your summer holiday (2020) all across Europe. That is how we widely seeded the worst variant all across the country just in time for the autumn / winter.
    Actually, EOTHO does seem to have had the same type of effect as you note for travel - causing a rise in seeded clusters. Exponential, remember, so arithmetically small numbers grow very fast.

    https://warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/economics/research/centres/cage/news/30-10-20-eat_out_to_help_out_scheme_drove_new_covid_19_infections_up_by_between_8_and_17_new_research_finds/
    https://academic.oup.com/ej/article/132/643/1200/6382847
    https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/comment/treasury-eat-out-help-out-reputation
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,513

    Why is it "disgraceful" not to do something? Hyperbolic, odd, choice of word.

    Do we light up the arch in every country's flag everywhere in the world that is under attack or has had atrocities committed against it?
    They did after the bataclan attack. Look, I’m all in favour of getting rid of virtue signalling, but we all know why the FA and PL won’t show sympathy towards Israel.
  • .
    Phil said:

    If I read the DtT figures correctly those kind of roads cost £30million per mile to build & then ~£60k / mile to maintain in perpetuity thereafter. This is before including the cost of any bridges or tunnels.

    I would love it if, for once, you would do the most basic cost-benefit analysis BR. I’m not saying that we don’t need more roads in the UK, but clearly there’s no point uprooting the entire population to build motorways to their new houses twenty miles further away either.

    There must be a point, even in your economic world model, where an incremental mile of road isn’t worth the expense. Where is it? How would you decide that?
    Yes infrastructure costs money, but it also allows economic growth and development.

    I never said to uproot everyone, or to build indefinitely, but we need millions more homes and new towns and all sorts of development, that requires infrastructure.

    Our population has grown massively this century yet the road network has not kept pace with our population growth remotely.

    Pretty much every major town and city ought to be connected and not only via spokes like London and Manchester.
  • tlg86 said:

    They did after the bataclan attack. Look, I’m all in favour of getting rid of virtue signalling, but we all know why the FA and PL won’t show sympathy towards Israel.
    I don’t. Why?
  • sladeslade Posts: 2,158
    There are a couple of local by-elections today. Both have interesting features, People Against Bureaucracy are a recognised party and they are defending one of their seats in Cheltenham. Caroline Page was a longstanding Lib Dem member of Suffolk CC until her recent death. Her father was a prominent Anglo Saxon scholar and her mother a Norwegian. So it was not surprising that she had a Viking burial on the River Deben. She was co-founder of Save the Deben - her other co-founder is now the Lib Dem candidate for the Woodbridge seat.
  • 148grss148grss Posts: 4,155

    ...

    13 flights in ten years is 13 more than me, and I'm not a climate "zealot".
    If I think of 2012 - 2022 for me, the same is true in terms of no flights, but before that am I really culpable for my flights when I was a teen going on family holidays (one, because I wasn't aware of the depth of climate change and, two, because I had no option)?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,450
    Andy_JS said:

    When was the last time East Kilbride had a tory MP?

    Patrick Maitland narrowly lost its predecessor to Judith Hart in 1959.
  • I think it is a difficult position to be in as leader of the opposition during a national emergency like the pandemic. However, you hope the opposition will see issue with proposals and be able to nudge government towards a better solution.

    Jeremy Hunt was actually very good at this e.g. government - shut all schools, Hunt, I think that might have an issue, where do key workers kids go? How about running classes for those.

    Overwhelmingly Starmer was always harder, faster, further. His "ideas" were normally even worse e.g. everybody needs to test every time they leave the house to meet anybody. It just isn't practical.

    Or the we need to fast track PPE providers, here is a dossier of potential providers we think you need to talk to (who turned out to be even more dodgy than the ones the government used).

    Or close the border now, 18 months into the pandemic....because at the outset that would have been racist.

    I didn't agree with Starmer for much of the pandemic, we would have had an approach similar to Scotland or Wales, or much of Europe too. It would have been better at some stuff and worse at others, but the overall outcomes for the country would be marginally rather than significantly different. Some individuals of course would have preferred and or fared better under different approaches.

    And we get a major pandemic on average approximately every 100 years, so voting based on the pandemic is a very bad way to choose a PM.



  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,268
    Leon said:

    Bait, fish, hook
    Bait, hook, fish, shirley?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,554
    edited October 2023
    AlistairM said:

    You're right. It's not that much. However if you are a protestor for XR or JSO then for your message to be effective you have got to practice what you preach. Otherwise you are just a hypocrite.
    I suggest it's actually quite a lot. Given his wealth it may also be business class:

    He has jetted to 13 countries on four continents in ten years

    I would say that if he is serious about what he alleges are his beliefs, he should be aiming not to fly at all and substantially achieving it.

    It reminds of the attention-seeking XR convict featured in the media from my area, who when I followed up turned out to live in a valuable farmhouse renting out holiday barn conversions for a living, and neither the farmhouse nor the barn conversions had even half-decent energy efficiency.

    In my book hypocrites don't deserve a hearing, particularly hypocrites who are not modelling whatever they seek to impose on everyone else.

    But I know that's not a popular view on PB.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    tlg86 said:

    They did after the bataclan attack. Look, I’m all in favour of getting rid of virtue signalling, but we all know why the FA and PL won’t show sympathy towards Israel.
    Do we?
  • slade said:

    There are a couple of local by-elections today. Both have interesting features, People Against Bureaucracy are a recognised party and they are defending one of their seats in Cheltenham. Caroline Page was a longstanding Lib Dem member of Suffolk CC until her recent death. Her father was a prominent Anglo Saxon scholar and her mother a Norwegian. So it was not surprising that she had a Viking burial on the River Deben. She was co-founder of Save the Deben - her other co-founder is now the Lib Dem candidate for the Woodbridge seat.

    I'm no medieval historian but didn't the Anglo-Saxons and Vikings spend most of their time fighting each other?
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,913

    Wow. That is the epitome of a modern, integrated road network for our times.
    This is probably a website for Barty:
    https://pathetic.org.uk/unbuilt/m67_manchester_to_sheffield_motorway/

    This is probably the 'missing motorway' that was needed, although maybe with more tunnelling if it was done now.


  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,243

    I don’t. Why?
    'PL' is almost 'PLO'. Sympathies are clear.
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,190
    biggles said:

    Presumably canvassing is now asking people who have already voted by post who they voted for. The Tories might be seeing some green shoots.
    Big international news events like wars often tend to help the governing party. Are we all underestimating the effect the Gaza war will have on the Tory poll rate?
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,486
    tlg86 said:
    Report on the Beeb. Don't want to offend certain communities.

    What next. The players take the knee for Hamas ? Spineless, gutless, cowards at the FA.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,117
    Pulpstar said:

    Aye - because they're two parties that couldn't be more diametrically opposed on the Union. And if that colossal hurdle were to be cleared in an MP's mind then surely Labour is the closer fit ?

    Lab gain next election I think anyway.
    The SNP always have problems when they select a representative with a brain. Joanna Cherry being another good example. It's not a mistake they make often in fairness but it does cause problems.
  • .
    148grss said:

    As much as he as an individual will annoy me - so what? Like, 13 flights in ten years is not that much and if he has realised that the privileges of his upbringing give him some ability to make the world a better place - good? That's exactly what people with power and money should do. I understand why poor and precarious people don't protest - they have little option but to do what they must.
    Making the world a better place would be ensuring that everyone could afford a home of their own and to take holidays, not just those rich enough to propose that the plebs stay at home while they continue jetsetting.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,486
    148grss said:

    If I think of 2012 - 2022 for me, the same is true in terms of no flights, but before that am I really culpable for my flights when I was a teen going on family holidays (one, because I wasn't aware of the depth of climate change and, two, because I had no option)?
    Lost count of the flights I have done for work and pleasure. Not really bothered about flying now.

    I would never say I was culpable or felt guilty doing it. If I had my time again I would do the same.
  • 148grss148grss Posts: 4,155
    MattW said:

    I suggest it's actually quite a lot. Given his wealth it may also be business class:

    He has jetted to 13 countries on four continents in ten years

    I would say that if he is serious about what he alleges are his beliefs, he should be aiming not to fly at all and substantially achieving it.

    It reminds of the attention-seeking XR convict featured in the media from my area, who when I followed up turned out to live in a valuable farmhouse renting out holiday barn conversions for a living, and neither the farmhouse nor the barn conversions had even half-decent energy efficiency.

    In my book hypocrites don't deserve a hearing, particularly hypocrites who are not modelling whatever they seek to impose on everyone else.

    But I know that's not a popular view on PB.
    He's 28 - 13 years mean some of these flights he would have been 15? So family holidays where he may not have had a choice? Also - like maybe he got a better understanding of climate change in his early 20s (like me)
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,753

    Why is it "disgraceful" not to do something? Hyperbolic, odd, choice of word.

    Do we light up the arch in every country's flag everywhere in the world that is under attack or has had atrocities committed against it?
    We tend to. And this example is why we shouldn’t. Eventually sports gets dragged into having to opine on who is a goodie and who is a baddie, and has given up its free pass to say “not my job, I’m just here for the football”.
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,573
    edited October 2023
    Phil said:

    If I read the DtT figures correctly those kind of roads cost £30million per mile to build & then ~£60k / mile to maintain in perpetuity thereafter. This is before including the cost of any bridges or tunnels.

    I would love it if, for once, you would do the most basic cost-benefit analysis BR. I’m not saying that we don’t need more roads in the UK, but clearly there’s no point uprooting the entire population to build motorways to their new houses twenty miles further away either.

    There must be a point, even in your economic world model, where an incremental mile of road isn’t worth the expense. Where is it? How would you decide that?
    NB. To put those numbers in a slightly different context, the interest on the government debt required to build one mile, plus the annual maintenance is ~£1560000 / year. At a UK mean wage of £32k (Sept 2023 figures), you are swallowing the output of approx 50 people / mile / year to add a dual carriageway or motorway to the road network, before considering any other costs at all. It’s instructive to note the impact UK gilt rates have on this balance - interest rates @ 5% completely dominate maintenance costs! Should we include the interest costs? Good question!

    Does your proposed road add more than 50 full time jobs / mile / year is an interesting lens through which to view these road projects though. Can we answer that question with any kind of certainty in the modern world?
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,486

    I don’t. Why?
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/67084936

    "The Football Association is unlikely to light the Wembley arch in the colours of the Israel flag because of fears of a backlash from some communities."

    Don't want to show solidarity with a nation that suffered a massive terrorist attack for fear of offending their sympathisers.

    Same reason the usual suspects who are normally so vocal on twitter are silent.
  • 148grss said:

    He's 28 - 13 years mean some of these flights he would have been 15? So family holidays where he may not have had a choice? Also - like maybe he got a better understanding of climate change in his early 20s (like me)
    Was the Yazmeister protesting about climate change in this instance? He shouted something about democracy iirc.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,153
    edited October 2023

    The problem with bilingual road signs in Wales is that they are invariably done on the cheap with no thought to intelligibility in either language. A better solution would be to use colour to distinguish between them so drivers will automatically focus on the one they understand better. For example, English in dark blue on a white background and Welsh in white on a green background. It's not rocket science ... in fact it's the polar opposite: graphic design.
    Colour is already used extensively on road signs for other purposes, so you couldn't use it as you suggest, but there are alternatives. In Ireland the Irish place names on signs are given in an italic script, so it's easy to distinguish between the two.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,554

    Its not the Telegraph, its Dr Nigel Hunt, visiting professor at Wrexham University....
    It's in the Telegraph so one assumes they were willing to publish it :smile: .
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,285
    "Westminster Voting Intention:

    LAB: 46% (=)
    CON: 30% (+3)
    LDM: 10% (-1)
    RFM: 5% (=)
    GRN: 3% (-1)
    SNP: 2% (-1)

    Via @savanta_UK, 6-8 Oct.
    Changes w/ 29 Sep - 1 Oct."
  • 148grss148grss Posts: 4,155

    Was the Yazmeister protesting about climate change in this instance? He shouted something about democracy iirc.
    His position as an XR member was likely the idea of a people's assembly as a true democracy. I don't necessarily agree with that, but that is likely his position.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,554

    Was the Yazmeister protesting about climate change in this instance? He shouted something about democracy iirc.
    That's a fair point. I think it was electoral reform.

    Sleeper agent out to undermine the Lib Dems, perhaps !
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,285
    slade said:

    There are a couple of local by-elections today. Both have interesting features, People Against Bureaucracy are a recognised party and they are defending one of their seats in Cheltenham. Caroline Page was a longstanding Lib Dem member of Suffolk CC until her recent death. Her father was a prominent Anglo Saxon scholar and her mother a Norwegian. So it was not surprising that she had a Viking burial on the River Deben. She was co-founder of Save the Deben - her other co-founder is now the Lib Dem candidate for the Woodbridge seat.

    Andrew Teale's preview.

    https://medium.com/britainelects/previewing-the-cheltenham-and-suffolk-by-elections-of-12th-october-2023-182d96d2823a
  • isamisam Posts: 41,220
    edited October 2023

    You might regret invoking the memory of Sir Beer Korma – Big-G-Wales will be bothering you every five minutes
    It’s quite something that people see Boris letting people who were working together indoors all day have a drink after work as 100 on the outrage index, whilst Sir Keir having one himself is a zero, when the difference is just a technicality

    More like 52-48 really, which as we know is not all or nothing
  • This is probably a website for Barty:
    https://pathetic.org.uk/unbuilt/m67_manchester_to_sheffield_motorway/

    This is probably the 'missing motorway' that was needed, although maybe with more tunnelling if it was done now.


    There are many examples on that site that were never built that should have been - and still should be.

    As well as other examples that were never proposed that should be.

    The M59 is a good one as well as the M64 for example.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,153
    148grss said:

    He's 28 - 13 years mean some of these flights he would have been 15? So family holidays where he may not have had a choice? Also - like maybe he got a better understanding of climate change in his early 20s (like me)
    You assume it is once a year, but the article says they were taken in ten years - since he was 18.

    It's possible he had a sudden realisation a couple of years ago and hasn't flown since he started campaigning on these issues, but it does make him an easy target for the accusation of hypocrisy - which is the greatest sin in British politics and why the Covid parties were so damaging for Johnson.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    148grss said:

    His position as an XR member was likely the idea of a people's assembly as a true democracy. I don't necessarily agree with that, but that is likely his position.
    Quite. PB will be attacking the gent for wearing a beard next.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,913
    MattW said:

    I suggest it's actually quite a lot. Given his wealth it may also be business class:

    He has jetted to 13 countries on four continents in ten years

    I would say that if he is serious about what he alleges are his beliefs, he should be aiming not to fly at all and substantially achieving it.

    It reminds of the attention-seeking XR convict featured in the media from my area, who when I followed up turned out to live in a valuable farmhouse renting out holiday barn conversions for a living, and neither the farmhouse nor the barn conversions had even half-decent energy efficiency.

    In my book hypocrites don't deserve a hearing, particularly hypocrites who are not modelling whatever they seek to impose on everyone else.

    But I know that's not a popular view on PB.
    There's a lot of me me me in these protests. If you really want to be the centre of attention then being a hypocrite is not a good look.

    I much prefer positive action to negative campaigning.

    If he's bored and doesn't know what to do, why not get involved in habitat restoration schemes or research into green energy?
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,554
    148grss said:

    He's 28 - 13 years mean some of these flights he would have been 15? So family holidays where he may not have had a choice? Also - like maybe he got a better understanding of climate change in his early 20s (like me)
    Hmm. Revisiting, I think you may have inadvertently swapped numbers around.

    It's 10 years, and 13 countries - so it starts at age 18 if he is 28.

    At which point it *was* all his decisions.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,608
    Reports of Israeli air attacks on Damascus

    Not immediately obvious why they’d do that
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,616

    Anyway, there are ways to avoid lockdowns and minimise NPIs against future respiratory pandemics. Unfortunately, few in Government seem to care about implementing them, possibly because they're not under the cosh on it any more.

    We're going to have future pandemics. And despite hating what happened (as I said time and again when it was happening, I truly hated it. You try getting a severely autistic teenager through repeated lockdowns), and, again, as I said, faster and more targeted action could have reduced the scope of NPIs and potentially avoided the full lockdowns in November and January/February.

    1 - HEPA filtration and far-UV treatment. We learned that outside was much safer than inside. So turn inside into outside in terms of the effects of the virus. Roll those out to schools, hospitals, encourage them into bars and restaurants and even offices. The R factor drops.

    2 - More into vaccine development and funding. Selling off the Harwell VMIC was bloody stupid. Better education on vaccines and addressing the antivax morons.

    3 - Significantly increased healthcare capacity. The more capacity to treat acute and general patients, the more headroom we have to try different things. For all the headlines on deaths, it was always the number hospitalised and in intensive care that drove the NPI increases.

    Otherwise those who don't learn from history are doomed to repeat it. The first time as tragedy and the second as farce.

    The COVID-19 Inquiry is ongoing, but some have been trying to read the tea leaves and think the Inquiry will be critical of the decision-making in Jan-Mar 2020, when there were arguments in No. 10 and an uninterested Johnson. If more had been done then to reduce spread and isolate cases and contacts, it may be that lockdowns could have been avoided entirely (compare Japan). The Inquiry may also be critical of those in Govt who supported a herd immunity approach, and of a timidity in early SAGE advice.
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398

    Why do you need permission? They don't in Japan.

    Yes there should be a code, no there should not be a requirement for permission.

    Build to code. If you break the code, then you should face consequences, same as breaking any other law, but if you are operating legally you shouldn't need to ask permission first.
    So you want to have a code where there are no exceptions. It sounds to me like this would ultimately be a more restrictive system than that which exists at the moment, where you can apply for anything you want.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,608
    Seems to be true. Perhaps Israel is preventing Syria from aiding Gaza

    https://x.com/mylordbebo/status/1712429014512439400?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,573
    Phil said:

    NB. To put those numbers in a slightly different context, the interest on the government debt required to build one mile, plus the annual maintenance is ~£1560000 / year. At a UK mean wage of £32k (Sept 2023 figures), you are swallowing the output of approx 50 people / mile / year to add a dual carriageway or motorway to the road network, before considering any other costs at all. It’s instructive to note the impact UK gilt rates have on this balance - interest rates @ 5% completely dominate maintenance costs! Should we include the interest costs? Good question!

    Does your proposed road add more than 50 full time jobs / mile / year is an interesting lens through which to view these road projects though. Can we answer that question with any kind of certainty in the modern world?
    (That last figure should probably be 50 full times jobs / mile. “per mile per year” could be read as implying a never ending addition of new jobs every year!)

  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,740
    148grss said:

    His position as an XR member was likely the idea of a people's assembly as a true democracy. I don't necessarily agree with that, but that is likely his position.
    If the people's assembly looked at all the options and decided that we should use more North Sea fossil fuels, would he respect its decision?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,608
    #BREAKING: Iranian arms smuggling flight en route to #Damascus forced to turn around in the air after the Israeli Air Force makes an appearance near Damascus.

    https://x.com/israelwarroom/status/1712428592271876169?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,153

    Was the Yazmeister protesting about climate change in this instance? He shouted something about democracy iirc.
    One of the major demands of XR is for a citizens assembly to be used to decide what policies should be used to tackle global warming. That's the link between the two.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,117
    DavidL said:

    The SNP always have problems when they select a representative with a brain. Joanna Cherry being another good example. It's not a mistake they make often in fairness but it does cause problems.
    There is a rather good comment below the line on Wings about this:

    "Lisa Cameron’s experience and professional skills include working inside the State Hospital, Carstairs (the Scottish equivalent of Broadmoor). So it’s saying something that the atmosphere inside NewSNP was too toxic to bear."
  • 148grss148grss Posts: 4,155

    If the people's assembly looked at all the options and decided that we should use more North Sea fossil fuels, would he respect its decision?
    I assume so
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 23,307
    edited October 2023
    darkage said:

    So you want to have a code where there are no exceptions. It sounds to me like this would ultimately be a more restrictive system than that which exists at the moment, where you can apply for anything you want.
    No, I want a code where if you build to code you don't need to ask permission, its automatic, for normal zoned appropriately land buildings which are not listed.

    Want to build an extension to your property? If its to code, build it. Want to knock down your property and rebuild it? If its to code, do it. Want to buy undeveloped land (that is zoned appropriately) buy it and start building on it. No consultations, no discussions with neighbours, no politicians getting involved.

    If you want an exemption? Then apply for one. If you want to convert land not zoned for housing to land zoned for housing? Then apply for it.

    But only those outside of code, or outside of what is already zoned, would be going through a permission process.
  • This is probably a website for Barty:
    https://pathetic.org.uk/unbuilt/m67_manchester_to_sheffield_motorway/

    This is probably the 'missing motorway' that was needed, although maybe with more tunnelling if it was done now.


    lol - I was guessing when I drew that map. (And I do literally mean drew. That's my map you just linked to...)
  • DavidL said:

    I was saying something similar the other day. Gaza allows itself to be ruled by Hamas. It does this in the knowledge that Hamas is committed to the death of all Jews. The murderous assaults came from their territory and seem to have been a source of glee.

    I fully get that the residents of Gaza have a terrible life, that they are economically repressed by Israel and made to beg for water and electricity. Israel’s policies have been unenlightened at best and self harming all too often. If I lived in Gaza I would hate the Israeli government and want to resist that oppression.

    But if you want to be listened to, if you want things to change, you do not start with the beheading of babies because they are Jews.
    It is 17 years since there was an election in Gaza. 17 years during which Hamas has done it's best to kill anyone who actively opposes them. The Palestinians there 'allow' themselves to be ruled by Hamas about as much as the inhabitants of Kabul 'allow' themselves to be ruled by the Taliban.
  • 148grss148grss Posts: 4,155
    MattW said:

    Hmm. Revisiting, I think you may have inadvertently swapped numbers around.

    It's 10 years, and 13 countries - so it starts at age 18 if he is 28.

    At which point it *was* all his decisions.
    Oh, sorry, my bad. I would still give a mulligan for the first few years
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,608
    Are we looking at an all-out Middle East war? We haven’t had one for AGES

    EXCITING
  • DavidL said:

    The SNP always have problems when they select a representative with a brain. Joanna Cherry being another good example. It's not a mistake they make often in fairness but it does cause problems.
    An area post Ruth in which the SCons are admirably error free. RD was so smart she rapidly saw in which direction a prosperous career lay.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,450
    MattW said:

    Correction that claim publicised by Hickel is $ not £.

    One the perceptional inflationary tricks is that we are all used to £1 = $1.25-$1.5, but the calculation uses £1 = £4.8 dollars as that was the approx exchange rate 100-250 years ago.

    Another is that 150-250 years of compound interest at 5% is included. Just 150 years of compounding at 5% increases a sum by 1500 times.
    It doesn't matter what the method of calculation is. A figure that is manifestly absurd (such as killing 33-40% of the population in 40 years) is manifestly absurd. $45 trillion dollars is about 15 times modern UK GDP, and two and a half times the entirety of UK net wealth.

    Even if the the British had taken every single penny of Indian income between 1763 and 1947, one could not come close to such a figure.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,486

    It is 17 years since there was an election in Gaza. 17 years during which Hamas has done it's best to kill anyone who actively opposes them. The Palestinians there 'allow' themselves to be ruled by Hamas about as much as the inhabitants of Kabul 'allow' themselves to be ruled by the Taliban.
    Quite a large proportion of the population wouldn't even have been born back then.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,486
    (Guardian)
    The British Metropolitan police, which covers London, says it will not see the holding of a Palestinian flag as a criminal offence.

    In a letter to London’s Jewish community, the Met deputy commissioner Dame Lynne Owens said: “What we cannot do is interpret support for the Palestinian cause more broadly as automatically being support for Hamas or any other proscribed group, even when it follows so soon after an attack carried out by that group and when to many the link seems indisputable.

    “An expression of support for the Palestinian people more broadly, including flying the Palestinian flag, does not, alone, constitute a criminal offence.

    “Of course, behaviour at protests goes beyond what is and isn’t seen as support for proscribed groups. I know that in the past we have seen people use these opportunities to make statements that are quite clearly antisemitic and a hate crime.

    “Abuse or intimidation that is religiously motivated will not be accepted and officers will act when they see it. “
  • It is 17 years since there was an election in Gaza. 17 years during which Hamas has done it's best to kill anyone who actively opposes them. The Palestinians there 'allow' themselves to be ruled by Hamas about as much as the inhabitants of Kabul 'allow' themselves to be ruled by the Taliban.
    So send the military in to liberate the populace and destroy Hamas.

    2 birds, one stone.
  • 148grss148grss Posts: 4,155
    Nigelb said:

    (Guardian)
    The British Metropolitan police, which covers London, says it will not see the holding of a Palestinian flag as a criminal offence.

    In a letter to London’s Jewish community, the Met deputy commissioner Dame Lynne Owens said: “What we cannot do is interpret support for the Palestinian cause more broadly as automatically being support for Hamas or any other proscribed group, even when it follows so soon after an attack carried out by that group and when to many the link seems indisputable.

    “An expression of support for the Palestinian people more broadly, including flying the Palestinian flag, does not, alone, constitute a criminal offence.

    “Of course, behaviour at protests goes beyond what is and isn’t seen as support for proscribed groups. I know that in the past we have seen people use these opportunities to make statements that are quite clearly antisemitic and a hate crime.

    “Abuse or intimidation that is religiously motivated will not be accepted and officers will act when they see it. “

    Met makes the right decision shocker
  • 148grss said:

    I assume so
    We have a people's assembly that says we should use more North Sea fossil fuels, its the House of Commons.
  • Antony Blinken was very good a few minutes ago.

    Although Sleepy Joe is not up to the job, the big difference is the "professionals" (many ex-Obama officials) are actually running the government, compared to Trump often weird / poorly qualified picks.
  • lol - I was guessing when I drew that map. (And I do literally mean drew. That's my map you just linked to...)
    LOL from me as well (though not as good as yours). I see you mention the Stocksbridge bypass. I helped build that back in 1987. Out of university during an oil price crash and after applying unsuccessfully for around 200 jobs I ended up working with a Tarmac road crew for the summer and autumn of 87 building the A616.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,178

    : “Signs like this. They are confusing as they contain irrelevant and – to most people – unintelligible information.

    “Road signs in two languages are potentially dangerous as it takes longer to determine the message.

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/10/12/wrexham-university-welsh-road-signs-dangerous/

    Has this guy never driven outside the UK, where it isn't exactly uncommon to see bi or tri-lingual signs.

    It's everything that is inane and tragi-comic about Britain today.

    I don't know what's worse. The fact that he wrote it, that fact that he posted it, that fact that his university apologised for it, the fact that the Telegraph published it, the fact that you posted it on PB or the fact that I'm replying to it.

    OK, it's me. I'm the worst (goes to beat self up)

  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,268
    isam said:

    It’s quite something that people see Boris letting people who were working together indoors all day have a drink after work as 100 on the outrage index, whilst Sir Keir having one himself is a zero, when the difference is just a technicality

    More like 52-48 really, which as we know is not all or nothing
    It's simple - if you set the rules you need to stick to them.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,285
    edited October 2023
    Defections to the Conservatives from any party are very unusual. The only previous examples since 1945 seem to be Reg Prentice (1977), Alan Brown (1962), Ivor Thomas (1948), Alfred Edwards (1948).
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,608

    Antony Blinken was very good a few minutes ago.

    Although Sleepy Joe is not up to the job, the big difference is the "professionals" (many ex-Obama officials) are actually running the government, compared to Trump often weird / poorly qualified picks.

    Biden was almost catatonic in his dreadful presser yesterday. I still have grave doubts he will stand in 24. He’s just too old and getting older
  • 148grss148grss Posts: 4,155

    We have a people's assembly that says we should use more North Sea fossil fuels, its the House of Commons.
    Direct democracy and representative democracy are two different things. You can argue that one is more efficient or moral than the other, but to ignore the distinction is not particularly useful.
This discussion has been closed.