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Can Starmer’s speech turn these figures around? – politicalbetting.com

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  • Just LOL.


    Conservatives
    @Conservatives
    ·
    6h
    Keir Starmer's hour-long #Lab23 speech was more of the same old short-term approach that has dominated politics for the last 30 years.

    Only @RishiSunak and the Conservatives offer the long-term leadership that the country needs for a brighter future.

    Did some intern get chatGPT to write that tweet for them?
  • biggles said:

    No.

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5a7952bfe5274a2acd18bda5/JSP3832004Edition.pdf
    Yes.

    When the UK invaded Afghanistan or Iraq how many Iraqi or Afghani civilians died in the conflict, versus how many British civilians?
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 23,427
    edited October 2023
    biggles said:

    No.

    No civilian is ever a legitimate military target. Sometimes they die unavoidably and that’s always painful.

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5a7952bfe5274a2acd18bda5/JSP3832004Edition.pdf
    Try reading what you responded to next time.

    Palestinian civilians shouldn't be targeted

    I didn't say to target them. 🤦‍♂️
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,664
    edited October 2023
    Listening to the speech by Mr Starmer, it was non-glamourous but well-done - which is him. The best I've heard from him.

    He's put his finger on a lot of weak points of the current Govt, and successfully overwritten the "Long Term Decisions" slogan with "Short Term Rishi", and positioned himself as forward looking vs backward looking, scared-of-the-future, Conservatives.

    I think there will be a lot more targeted tax increases - perhaps tax breaks for Hedge Funds (if they still exist) will be reduced, for one.

    His planning ideas need some thinking through, but a new lot of New Towns is a great idea; we have had a couple of runs at this (most recently under Mr Gove iirc) and backed off. Plans an locations will be around to dust off.

    "The Grey Belt" idea is good, but will need careful tax measures. There are also certain quiet background trends which are perhaps in his favour - falling interest rates in the next year or two, better than widely realised economic growth, and similar. The current Tories are not good at claiming their successes effectively, so they are playing in to the caricature.

    There was also some red-painted meat that I think he needs to reconsider, but only on the margins - so he will need to put some more of his nutter tendency, such as it still is, in their boxes.

    I'd say he's set it up to do some dismissive rhetoric in the Commons between now and the Election.

    I might even have to get out of the habit of pronouncing him "Shtarmer" as in "Shtick".

    Overall, the first time I have been impressed.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,751
    Nigelb said:

    Someone was saying earlier how little value Russia puts on highly trained tank crews…
    https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1711813757414867204

    Artillery too, evidently.
    https://twitter.com/maria_drutska/status/1711817921503080587
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754

    Try reading what you responded to next time.

    Palestinian civilians shouldn't be targeted

    I didn't say to target them. 🤦‍♂️
    You have. At length. Above.

    You are disgusting and have clearly never, thankfully, considered these issues in the real world.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754

    Did some intern get chatGPT to write that tweet for them?
    Yes, and a week ago.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,321
    ...

    Why?

    Palestinian civilians shouldn't be targeted, but in a war you have to put your own civilians first.
    So the current population of Israel is circa !0m. On your terms what is your maximum number of collateral casualties across the Middle East to preserve the safety of that 10m to go about their daily business unhindered? I don't know, but I am interested if you have a number in mind.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    Nigelb said:

    Artillery too, evidently.
    https://twitter.com/maria_drutska/status/1711817921503080587
    No, I’ve seen the Royal Artillery at work. That looks about right…
  • ...

    So the current population of Israel is circa !0m. On your terms what is your maximum number of collateral casualties across the Middle East to preserve the safety of that 10m to go about their daily business unhindered? I don't know, but I am interested if you have a number in mind.
    This is a bloody stupid discussion.

    Since when have wars had maximum numbers?

    Are we supposed to think if the limit is 100k that 99,999 civilian casualties is perfectly reasonable, but 100,000 is wrong?

    The number of casualties should be as low as is reasonably possible, while ensuring the war is won. Clear?
  • glwglw Posts: 10,367

    Just LOL.


    Conservatives
    @Conservatives
    ·
    6h
    Keir Starmer's hour-long #Lab23 speech was more of the same old short-term approach that has dominated politics for the last 30 years.

    Only @RishiSunak and the Conservatives offer the long-term leadership that the country needs for a brighter future.

    I think I've reached a point where the Tories are so rubbish at the basics of politics it is making me angry. They are like some crappy team in a cup that are so below par that the match is simply a waste of everyone's time, and after the inevitable thrashing pundits say qualification rules need to change.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,594

    Just LOL.


    Conservatives
    @Conservatives
    ·
    6h
    Keir Starmer's hour-long #Lab23 speech was more of the same old short-term approach that has dominated politics for the last 30 years.

    Only @RishiSunak and the Conservatives offer the long-term leadership that the country needs for a brighter future.

    They are committing to the strategy, I'll give them that.

    It doesn't make a lick of sense coming from him in particular, but it'll be interesting to see if they can maintain it with a straight face.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,159
    edited October 2023

    This is a bloody stupid discussion.

    Since when have wars had maximum numbers?

    Are we supposed to think if the limit is 100k that 99,999 civilian casualties is perfectly reasonable, but 100,000 is wrong?

    The number of casualties should be as low as is reasonably possible, while ensuring the war is won. Clear?
    Wonder why.

    We northerners drive
    Americans don't like cheese
    Externalities don't exist
    2 million dead Palestinians are worth it

    An escalating pattern of nonsense.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    A

    That last video reminds me of the report on RAF Fauld - that workers had got into the habit of removing stuck fuzes on bombs with a hammer and chisel.
    Presumably not a copper chisel either.

    For those who don't know - RAF Fauld ordnance depot *was* in Staffordshire. The round thing in this Google view is where it used to be.

    https://www.google.com/maps/place/Hanbury,+Burton-on-Trent/@52.846617,-1.7156774,653a,35y,270h,57.82t/data=!3m1!1e3!4m6!3m5!1s0x487a04df9ee5a185:0x34db762b7cc5735c!8m2!3d52.846595!4d-1.7452479!16s/m/05pbv6b?entry=ttu
  • Eabhal said:

    A

    Wonder why
    Because people are trying to set limits on war like you're deciding how much money you're willing to spend when filling up your tank?

    2 things are true simultaneously.

    1: Hamas need to be defeated.
    2: As few civilians as possible should die while achieving number 1.

    All other discussion here is absurd. Talk of 2.3 million civilian casualties is utterly preposterous bullshit.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,295
    biggles said:

    No, I’ve seen the Royal Artillery at work. That looks about right…
    Is it still the case you can tell how good an artilleryman is by counting the fingers?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,224
    Carnyx said:

    Presumably not a copper chisel either.

    For those who don't know - RAF Fauld ordnance depot *was* in Staffordshire. The round thing in this Google view is where it used to be.

    https://www.google.com/maps/place/Hanbury,+Burton-on-Trent/@52.846617,-1.7156774,653a,35y,270h,57.82t/data=!3m1!1e3!4m6!3m5!1s0x487a04df9ee5a185:0x34db762b7cc5735c!8m2!3d52.846595!4d-1.7452479!16s/m/05pbv6b?entry=ttu
    Actually, I think you are a bit off - it’s here

    https://maps.app.goo.gl/RtgkM1UJZ6bZJePi6?g_st=ic
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,594
    Carnyx said:

    Presumably not a copper chisel either.

    For those who don't know - RAF Fauld ordnance depot *was* in Staffordshire. The round thing in this Google view is where it used to be.

    https://www.google.com/maps/place/Hanbury,+Burton-on-Trent/@52.846617,-1.7156774,653a,35y,270h,57.82t/data=!3m1!1e3!4m6!3m5!1s0x487a04df9ee5a185:0x34db762b7cc5735c!8m2!3d52.846595!4d-1.7452479!16s/m/05pbv6b?entry=ttu
    Fauld Crater.

    The site was hit by a meteorite? That's some extraordinary back luck!
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754

    Actually, I think you are a bit off - it’s here

    https://maps.app.goo.gl/RtgkM1UJZ6bZJePi6?g_st=ic
    Well the base itself is more sort of evenly spread over a 20 mile radius.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    edited October 2023

    Actually, I think you are a bit off - it’s here

    https://maps.app.goo.gl/RtgkM1UJZ6bZJePi6?g_st=ic
    How odd. Clicked on my link and something called Fauld Crater occupies the central part of the pic. But maybe it works differently on different PCs?

    Edit: but not to worry!
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,607

    Just LOL.


    Conservatives
    @Conservatives
    ·
    6h
    Keir Starmer's hour-long #Lab23 speech was more of the same old short-term approach that has dominated politics for the last 30 years.

    Only @RishiSunak and the Conservatives offer the long-term leadership that the country needs for a brighter future.

    Such a long term that 13 years is insufficient to do the job. Another 13 years are needed.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    edited October 2023

    Such a long term that 13 years is insufficient to do the job. Another 13 years are needed.
    These last 30 years that were so badly governed according to the Tory press office. Who was in power for most of them?
  • Did some intern get chatGPT to write that tweet for them?
    Unfortunately, the intelligent AIs came back with "nah, you lot need a spell in opposition to calm down and distance yourselves from some of the dafter things you are saying and doing."
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,651
    edited October 2023
    Nigelb said:

    No, I am not; there will be civilian casualties from any Israeli operation. That is inevitable, but it’s not a reason for their doing nothing in response.
    I don’t have any good answers, though - do you ?

    I don’t think Barty’s formulation is one, as I pointed out upthread.
    The only suggestion I can make is this one: Israel says that it will give the UN 7 days to offer safe passage out of Gaza to whichever countries will take them to (1) all civilians in hospital (2) all children under the age of 16, (3) their mothers (4) pregnant women and (5) people over the age of 60 plus (6) all Israeli hostages.

    After that Israel will take whatever steps it deems necessary to defeat Hamas in Gaza. Once they are defeated, then those who have been given safety elsewhere can return and, subject to whoever then runs Gaza agreeing to Israel's right to exist, Israel will enter into peace negotiations with them.

    I do not expect for a moment that Netanyahu would do this. Nor that Hamas would agree. But it might possibly be a way forward.
  • glwglw Posts: 10,367
    edited October 2023
    biggles said:

    These last 30 years that were so badly governed according to the Tory press office. Who was in power for most of them?
    Running an essentially opposition campaign when you are governing doesn't look clever, it looks really stupid and desperate.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    glw said:

    Running an essentially opposition campaign when you are governing doesn't look clever, it looks really stupid and desperate.
    Does make it fairly hard to campaign on anything you think was a success in your record. And the 30 year figure is extra bonkers.

    Almost as bonkers as Mordaunt on stage telling us not to go back to the 80s. The 80s which famously had a Labour Government….
  • glw said:

    Running an essentially opposition campaign when you are governing doesn't look clever, it looks really stupid and desperate.
    It takes very special circumstances to make it work.

    2019 it worked because while Boris was PM he did not have a majority in the Commons - and enough in the country were willing to give him one and get rid of those like Grieve who were dicking around in the Commons obstructing Brexit. So he could run an election against the majority in the Commons who were successfully obstructing things until the election changed the maths.

    But today? Sunak doesn't just have a majority, he has a large, healthy majority.

    If he can't get the country running with a large majority, then he doesn't deserve to be in Downing Street.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,812
    Cyclefree said:

    The only suggestion I can make is this one: Israel says that it will give the UN 7 days to offer safe passage out of Gaza to whichever countries will take them to (1) all civilians in hospital (2) all children under the age of 16, (3) their mothers (4) pregnant women and (5) people over the age of 60 plus (6) all Israeli hostages.

    After that Israel will take whatever steps it deems necessary to defeat Hamas in Gaza. Once they are defeated, then those who have been given safety elsewhere can return and, subject to whoever then runs Gaza agreeing to Israel's right to exist, Israel will enter into peace negotiations with them.

    I do not expect for a moment that Netanyahu would do this. Nor that Hamas would agree. But it might possibly be a way forward.
    That's a pretty good plan, and I agree, and I earnestly hope for it. Because, after Kfar Aza, I fear the Israeli army is going to slowly slowly walk through Gaza, levelling every single building on the way, and killing every fighting age male
  • glwglw Posts: 10,367
    biggles said:

    Does make it fairly hard to campaign on anything you think was a success in your record. And the 30 year figure is extra bonkers.

    Almost as bonkers as Mordaunt on stage telling us not to go back to the 80s. The 80s which famously had a Labour Government….
    And of course the "new" government would be mostly composed of the terrible people from the "old" government that is "holding the country back".
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,948
    biggles said:

    Does make it fairly hard to campaign on anything you think was a success in your record. And the 30 year figure is extra bonkers.

    Almost as bonkers as Mordaunt on stage telling us not to go back to the 80s. The 80s which famously had a Labour Government….
    Mordaunt I think killed off any leadership hopes at conference. That stand and fight speech was the bacon sandwich moment (yes yes I know pork markets didn’t stop Truss, but Mordaunt’s only route was being less bonkers and more presentable than the others).

    Badenoch didn’t really do anything wrong at conference but didn’t impress either. Braverman probably had the best one, but she is so unpopular in the country and even her own party I can’t see her getting there.

    I suspect the next Tory leader is probably someone who didn’t say much last week.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    glw said:

    And of course the "new" government would be mostly composed of the terrible people from the "old" government that is "holding the country back".
    No, no, no. There are fresh faces like Hunt, who has only been at the Cabinet table for over a third of the 30 years in question.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    TimS said:

    Mordaunt I think killed off any leadership hopes at conference. That stand and fight speech was the bacon sandwich moment (yes yes I know pork markets didn’t stop Truss, but Mordaunt’s only route was being less bonkers and more presentable than the others).

    Badenoch didn’t really do anything wrong at conference but didn’t impress either. Braverman probably had the best one, but she is so unpopular in the country and even her own party I can’t see her getting there.

    I suspect the next Tory leader is probably someone who didn’t say much last week.
    Matt Hancock has seen your bat signal and is reconsidering his retirement.
  • It takes very special circumstances to make it work.

    2019 it worked because while Boris was PM he did not have a majority in the Commons - and enough in the country were willing to give him one and get rid of those like Grieve who were dicking around in the Commons obstructing Brexit. So he could run an election against the majority in the Commons who were successfully obstructing things until the election changed the maths.

    But today? Sunak doesn't just have a majority, he has a large, healthy majority.

    If he can't get the country running with a large majority, then he doesn't deserve to be in Downing Street.
    Also, Boris had spent a lot of his time in politics running against the Conservative leadership. Mayor of London was pretty much an independent command, and he didn't spend that long as Foreign Secretary (2 years?). He could run as an outsider. Sunak's summer off doesn't really count in the same way.

    (The interesting one from that point of view was Major. He joined the Cabinet in June '87, and had been a minister since 1984, but was able to persuade enough people that his government was sufficiently different to Thatcher's to reset the clock to an extent.)
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,948
    glw said:

    And of course the "new" government would be mostly composed of the terrible people from the "old" government that is "holding the country back".
    The contrast between the rabble of last week and the slick show put on this week in Liverpool was quite something. Yet still, after all that, with almost nobody thinking the country is going in the right direction and with a government of 13 years holding the smoking gun, close to 30% of the voting population of GB say they would put a cross by the Conservatives box in a general election. That’s the incredible tenacity of the Tory party.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,664
    Eabhal said:

    Wonder why.

    We northerners drive
    Americans don't like cheese
    Externalities don't exist
    2 million dead Palestinians are worth it

    An escalating pattern of nonsense.
    Usonians are in no position to judge cheese, since it does not exist in 99% of the USA.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810

    No Shit Sherlock, of course they're not. They're the enemies populace.

    In war, you look after your own side and defeat the enemy.

    If the enemies civilians get caught in the crosshairs because of a war the enemy started and because the enemy won't stop fighting, then that's the enemies fault.

    Were German civilians the equal to British civilians in WWII? Don't be stupid.
    "ChatGPT, please write 100 words on Israel Palestine as a bigoted anti Arab simpleton".
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,159
    edited October 2023
    Leon said:

    That's a pretty good plan, and I agree, and I earnestly hope for it. Because, after Kfar Aza, I fear the Israeli army is going to slowly slowly walk through Gaza, levelling every single building on the way, and killing every fighting age male
    That's what a ground invasion of Gaza looks like - every fighting age male. The IDF won't take any risks if they have troops in amongst those buildings.

    That's hundreds of thousands of people, all sheltering in buildings full of children, women, older people. Grim.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,948
    biggles said:

    Matt Hancock has seen your bat signal and is reconsidering his retirement.
    Matt Hancock, the Lembit Opik of the Tory party.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,159
    edited October 2023
    MattW said:

    Usonians are in no position to judge cheese, since it does not exist in 99% of the USA.
    Here in Aus they have "Tasty Cheese". I no longer like cheese.
  • Eabhal said:

    That's what a ground invasion of Gaza looks like - every fighting age male. The IDF won't take any risks if they have troops in amongst those buildings.

    That's hundreds of thousands of people, all sheltering in buildings full of children, women, older people. Grim.
    Its what Hamas has wreaked.

    When the tragic news broke about what Hamas has just done, I compared it immediately to the attack on Pearl Harbor.

    That ended with Hiroshima and Nagasaki being nuked.

    War is evil, but Hamas started the war. They would kill every single Jew in Israel if they could. How many Jews need to die before Hamas can be defeated? 10,000? 100,000? 1,000,000? 6,000,000?

    If you think that's stupid, its no less stupid than the talk of 2 million dead elsewhere. Should we accept the risk of 6 million dead Jews in Israel if Hamas gets its way? Or should Hamas be stopped?
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,778

    ...

    Ffs Bart. Who would be first out of the door? The feckin' terrorists.

    Yes you can eliminate Hamas, but you have to lock them in and a) eliminate everyone else in Gaza, which leads to b) a new set of p1ssed off pro- Palestinian terrorists.
    Let the women and children leave then
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,664
    Heh.

  • All flights at London Luton Airport have been suspended because of a large fire in one of its car parks.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    edited October 2023
    Sean_F said:

    That's not so strange. Labour were a shambles by 2008, but they still managed 30% in the General Election of 2010. Even people who accept it's time for a change may not want the other side to win big.
    I think they are each of them pretty secure in their minimum 30% vote. It took unique circumstances for the Liberals to be overtaken by Labour after the First World War. Though I suppose the greens might break through a bit once Labour has had a go, given the prevailing feeling of many young folk. Any Farage threat to the Tories seems to have passed.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    All flights at London Luton Airport have been suspended because of a large fire in one of its car parks.

    Wasn't there a massive dumpster fire near Manchester Airport last week?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,269

    Let the women and children leave then
    How many should we take as refugees?

    Or should we fly them straight to Rwanda?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,812
    Eabhal said:

    That's what a ground invasion of Gaza looks like - every fighting age male. The IDF won't take any risks if they have troops in amongst those buildings.

    That's hundreds of thousands of people, all sheltering in buildings full of children, women, older people. Grim.
    Grim grim grim

    Because I don't see how else you do it, without risking thousands of Israeli lives. You do it slowly, and carefully, but remorselessly and relentlessly. Israel has overwhelming air and naval and ground power, but a lot of that is pointless in street by street fighting, where Hamas has the upper hand

    So, you destroy the streets first. Building by building. Create wide avenues of fire. Collapse buildings on the tunnels. And simply shoot every male in sight who doesn't immediately flee. No quarter given

    I said on the morning of October 7 that this was existential for Israel, and got much scorn thereby; well, I was right. It is existential. Israel has to destroy Gaza as a functioning polity - as any kind of coherent entity - to ensure its existence. It cannot tolerate life alongside a vast prison where at any moment the inhabitants might break out and kill every Jewish baby they find

    This is a fight a l'outrance
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810
    TimS said:

    The contrast between the rabble of last week and the slick show put on this week in Liverpool was quite something. Yet still, after all that, with almost nobody thinking the country is going in the right direction and with a government of 13 years holding the smoking gun, close to 30% of the voting population of GB say they would put a cross by the Conservatives box in a general election. That’s the incredible tenacity of the Tory party.
    It's like a kind of Stockholm Syndrome whereby minds have been kidnapped by the Tories and despite the mistreatment remain in hock. Brexit possibly a factor in setting their floor. They got it done and that still means a lot to many.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,269
    MattW said:

    Heh.

    I always iron the sleeves!

    Not least because no jacket allowed in clinic areas.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    Your logic is the logic of the terrorist. If you advocate killing hundreds of thousands of innocents to get the bad guys then you are no better than they are.

    The argument you have made previously about what was done in WW2 does not stand because many of the things we did then have now rightly been redefined as war crimes. We use those criteria against Russia, Serbia and many other regimes when they dehumanise their opponents to justify killing them.

    As civilised democracies - including Israel - we are supposed to have moved on from that. Not least because the ultimate expression of your logic would be the use of nukes as a first strike weapon against those who threaten us.
    I was on a call with a former head of Mossad who was more reasonable than some of the folks on here.
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,607
    biggles said:

    Well the base itself is more sort of evenly spread over a 20 mile radius.
    Tom Scott did a video on it a few years ago: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vcx7_1yphJI
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,012
    Just seen it. Owen Jones, what a stinker
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810
    Eabhal said:

    Wonder why.

    We northerners drive
    Americans don't like cheese
    Externalities don't exist
    2 million dead Palestinians are worth it

    An escalating pattern of nonsense.
    He kicked off many months ago with "Boris looks like Charles Atlas".

    Should have been nipped in the bud there and then.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,651
    Eabhal said:

    Here in Aus they have "Tasty Cheese". I no longer like cheese.
    I was once stranded in Geneva for Christmas, After getting lost and wandering for many miles I found an open bar.

    It was full of tables of people eating variations of Fondue.

    And a very sweaty Elvis impersonator.

    "Dog Days" never felt so real.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dog_Days_(2018_film)
  • geoffw said:

    Just seen it. Owen Jones, what a stinker

    Steve Bell isn't far behind.
  • Your logic is the logic of the terrorist. If you advocate killing hundreds of thousands of innocents to get the bad guys then you are no better than they are.

    The argument you have made previously about what was done in WW2 does not stand because many of the things we did then have now rightly been redefined as war crimes. We use those criteria against Russia, Serbia and many other regimes when they dehumanise their opponents to justify killing them.

    As civilised democracies - including Israel - we are supposed to have moved on from that. Not least because the ultimate expression of your logic would be the use of nukes as a first strike weapon against those who threaten us.
    Except you're misrepresenting things, I haven't once advocated hundreds of thousands of innocents.

    I advocate Hamas be utterly destroyed, unless or until they all cease fighting and surrender. With as few civilian casualties as are necessary to achieve that.

    Which is entirely legitimate warfare. Civilians can not be a target, but if they get caught in the crossfire, that's a tragedy that is part and parcel of warfare.

    Russia targets civilians deliberately, that's the difference.

    Collateral damage is unfortunate but necessary, deliberate targeting is not.
  • MattW said:

    Heh.

    Has to be said, Starmer is a lucky general.

    Most people don't like the sort of people who do that sort of protest, and Starmer's response was pretty much spot-on. Tell the dingbat why he's a dingbat, take off his jacket, and carry on. And a nicely ironed shirt to attract the "he may be a bit of a lefty but he's respectable enough to marry my daughter" demographic.
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,778
    glw said:

    I think I've reached a point where the Tories are so rubbish at the basics of politics it is making me angry. They are like some crappy team in a cup that are so below par that the match is simply a waste of everyone's time, and after the inevitable thrashing pundits say qualification rules need to change.
    I hope you’re not suggesting that conservatives = England?

  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,938
    edited October 2023
    Leon said:

    Grim grim grim

    Because I don't see how else you do it, without risking thousands of Israeli lives. You do it slowly, and carefully, but remorselessly and relentlessly. Israel has overwhelming air and naval and ground power, but a lot of that is pointless in street by street fighting, where Hamas has the upper hand

    So, you destroy the streets first. Building by building. Create wide avenues of fire. Collapse buildings on the tunnels. And simply shoot every male in sight who doesn't immediately flee. No quarter given

    I said on the morning of October 7 that this was existential for Israel, and got much scorn thereby; well, I was right. It is existential. Israel has to destroy Gaza as a functioning polity - as any kind of coherent entity - to ensure its existence. It cannot tolerate life alongside a vast prison where at any moment the inhabitants might break out and kill every Jewish baby they find

    This is a fight a l'outrance
    Shooting all males on sight would be a war crime, and Israel would be rightly condemned around the world for it.

    What is being raised by several posters is remarkably similar to the logic of the Islamists.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,853
    ohnotnow said:

    I was once stranded in Geneva for Christmas, After getting lost and wandering for many miles I found an open bar.

    It was full of tables of people eating variations of Fondue.

    And a very sweaty Elvis impersonator.

    "Dog Days" never felt so real.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dog_Days_(2018_film)
    As Sunak seems determined to reenact the Brown premiership, we've still got the Elvis impersonator moment to look forward to.
  • Except you're misrepresenting things, I haven't once advocated hundreds of thousands of innocents.

    I advocate Hamas be utterly destroyed, unless or until they all cease fighting and surrender. With as few civilian casualties as are necessary to achieve that.

    Which is entirely legitimate warfare. Civilians can not be a target, but if they get caught in the crossfire, that's a tragedy that is part and parcel of warfare.

    Russia targets civilians deliberately, that's the difference.

    Collateral damage is unfortunate but necessary, deliberate targeting is not.
    Semantics. And in the case of Israel also historically untrue. The use of white phosphorus in Gaza and the indescriminate bombing of buildings irrepsctive of civilian casualties puts the lie to those claims.

    And if you start from a position of accepting and excusing civilian casualties as justifiable then all you are doing is trying to fool yourself (or others) when in fact you are no better than the Russians or Serbs.
  • Incidentally Richard, its easy for you to say 'things have changed' as we aren't in an existential threat for our very survival. However we keep Trident to literally threaten others with absolute destruction if we ever are existentially threatened.

    Israel are in an existential fight for their survival, against those who wish to seem them annihilated.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,709

    All flights at London Luton Airport have been suspended because of a large fire in one of its car parks.

    Electric car, maybe?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,103

    Your logic is the logic of the terrorist. If you advocate killing hundreds of thousands of innocents to get the bad guys then you are no better than they are.

    The argument you have made previously about what was done in WW2 does not stand because many of the things we did then have now rightly been redefined as war crimes. We use those criteria against Russia, Serbia and many other regimes when they dehumanise their opponents to justify killing them.

    As civilised democracies - including Israel - we are supposed to have moved on from that. Not least because the ultimate expression of your logic would be the use of nukes as a first strike weapon against those who threaten us.
    The guy is a looney Richard
  • YokesYokes Posts: 1,359

    Shooting all males on sight would be a war crime, and Israel would be rightly condemned around the world for it.

    What is being raised by several posters is remarkably similar to the logic of the Islamists.
    Its not going to happen ffs.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810

    Has to be said, Starmer is a lucky general.

    Most people don't like the sort of people who do that sort of protest, and Starmer's response was pretty much spot-on. Tell the dingbat why he's a dingbat, take off his jacket, and carry on. And a nicely ironed shirt to attract the "he may be a bit of a lefty but he's respectable enough to marry my daughter" demographic.
    And a light dusting of stardust remained on his shoulder. That's the end of the "dull" trope methinks.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,159
    edited October 2023

    Has to be said, Starmer is a lucky general.

    Most people don't like the sort of people who do that sort of protest, and Starmer's response was pretty much spot-on. Tell the dingbat why he's a dingbat, take off his jacket, and carry on. And a nicely ironed shirt to attract the "he may be a bit of a lefty but he's respectable enough to marry my daughter" demographic.
    He had some serious composure carrying on with the speech. The guy was holding onto him.

    Given the current political climate with Israel/Gaza, you wouldn't have blamed him for taking a breather before coming back on stage.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,510
    edited October 2023

    Your logic is the logic of the terrorist. If you advocate killing hundreds of thousands of innocents to get the bad guys then you are no better than they are.

    The argument you have made previously about what was done in WW2 does not stand because many of the things we did then have now rightly been redefined as war crimes. We use those criteria against Russia, Serbia and many other regimes when they dehumanise their opponents to justify killing them.

    As civilised democracies - including Israel - we are supposed to have moved on from that. Not least because the ultimate expression of your logic would be the use of nukes as a first strike weapon against those who threaten us.
    However, I don't think there are any options that don't involve dead civilians.

    Plainly, Isreal isn't going to say "no hard feelings", after driving Hamas back into Gaza. They will wish to take the fight to the enemy.

    The issue is how to minimise civilian casualties. Cutting off power is probably the option that most clearly complies with international law (which does after all, permit economic sanctions), but in terms of human suffering, it's probably the cruelest option of all.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295

    Just LOL.


    Conservatives
    @Conservatives
    ·
    6h
    Keir Starmer's hour-long #Lab23 speech was more of the same old short-term approach that has dominated politics for the last 30 years.

    Only @RishiSunak and the Conservatives offer the long-term leadership that the country needs for a brighter future.

    The Tories don't particularly deserve to have any good news atm, but I've got a funny feeling they're going to narrowly hold both of the by-elections next week.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,235

    All flights at London Luton Airport have been suspended because of a large fire in one of its car parks.

    London Luton Airport always amusing
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,159
    kinabalu said:

    He kicked off many months ago with "Boris looks like Charles Atlas".

    Should have been nipped in the bud there and then.
    Missed that. Didn't realise who I was dealing with 😮
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,651

    As Sunak seems determined to reenact the Brown premiership, we've still got the Elvis impersonator moment to look forward to.
    I think Gordon Brown could do a good satin-era Elvis impersonation. Blair? Mid-70s leather-comeback Elvis? Name your prime minister vs. Elvis!
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,709
    edited October 2023
    Pulpstar said:

    London Luton Airport always amusing
    If HS2 gets built, London Birmingham Airport is about the same journey.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,796
    nico679 said:

    Oh God here we go . That was clearly a different situation. It’s clear that Hamas doesn’t have the capability to invade Israel and comparing this with WW2 is being done to give those making the comparison a free pass as the bodies pile up .
    Err didnt hamas just invade israel....do they have enough to conquer and hold it no...but they definitely invaded it
  • StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 9,778
    Foxy said:

    How many should we take as refugees?

    Or should we fly them straight to Rwanda?
    Usually they should be resettled as nearby as possible.

    But you don’t want a practical solution. You just want to say nasty things about the Israelis when there are the inevitable civilian casualties
  • Incidentally Richard, its easy for you to say 'things have changed' as we aren't in an existential threat for our very survival. However we keep Trident to literally threaten others with absolute destruction if we ever are existentially threatened.

    Israel are in an existential fight for their survival, against those who wish to seem them annihilated.

    We keep trident on the basis that we know if we ever have to use it we would already have failed. No one who should be taken seriously advocates using it as a first strike weapon.

    No one denies that Hamas are fundementally evil (well no one except some loony lefties like Corbyn and Owen Jones)* and want to destroy Israel but we still have a position that there are things which are beyond the pale and which civilised society cannot accept. Except you apparently don't believe that. In which case everything you have said about Russia over the last year has been pure hypocrisy.

    *there may be some loony righties who also think this but I just haven't heard any of them yet.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    I saw the headlines on social media about the decapitated babies this afternoon and haven’t been able to engage with the news ever since. Is this a legit story or a WW1 Hun Eat Babies caricature? I have no intention of seeking out the proof for myself but suspect some here might know by now.
  • As Sunak seems determined to reenact the Brown premiership, we've still got the Elvis impersonator moment to look forward to.
    Did that really happen? I thought it was all part of some drug induced fever dream.
  • Eabhal said:

    Missed that. Didn't realise who I was dealing with 😮
    You missed it as it never happened.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,553
    https://twitter.com/OwenJones84/status/1711850307968278966

    Watch to the end. Sophy finally has to intervene to end the "discussion" as it gets more and more emotional and angry.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,526
    edited October 2023
    Pulpstar said:

    London Luton Airport always amusing
    At one point, RyanAir used to offer flights to Malmo-Sturup Airport, Copenhagen, Denmark....yes that Malmo, in Sweden.
  • moonshine said:

    I saw the headlines on social media about the decapitated babies this afternoon and haven’t been able to engage with the news ever since. Is this a legit story or a WW1 Hun Eat Babies caricature? I have no intention of seeking out the proof for myself but suspect some here might know by now.

    Jeremy Bowen was in the village where it supposedly happened but had the inate decency not to lift the cover on the body to see if it were true. I don't doubt it personally.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,796

    Shooting all males on sight would be a war crime, and Israel would be rightly condemned around the world for it.

    What is being raised by several posters is remarkably similar to the logic of the Islamists.
    Worse than that shooting all males on sight would be sexist women and trans people can be terrorists too
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,526
    edited October 2023

    https://twitter.com/OwenJones84/status/1711850307968278966

    Watch to the end. Sophy finally has to intervene to end the "discussion" as it gets more and more emotional and angry.

    So he is resorting to his usual tactics, I was been shut down and bullied.....wahhh wahhh wahhh....when it was him being a total arsehole talking over everybody. What a shit.

    He should be tweeting an apology for his behaviour. It was overbearing and inappropriate. Margaret Hodge was clearly very upset and for good reason. There are ways of pointing out there are civilians being killed in Gaza, but that wasn't the way of doing it. Now claiming Hodge is a liar, lovely.
  • YokesYokes Posts: 1,359
    moonshine said:

    I saw the headlines on social media about the decapitated babies this afternoon and haven’t been able to engage with the news ever since. Is this a legit story or a WW1 Hun Eat Babies caricature? I have no intention of seeking out the proof for myself but suspect some here might know by now.

    We dont know. Yes it appears some on the ground reporting by multiple journos at one kibbutz suggests some beheaded bodies but we do not know 100% if children were amongst them.
  • We keep trident on the basis that we know if we ever have to use it we would already have failed. No one who should be taken seriously advocates using it as a first strike weapon.

    No one denies that Hamas are fundementally evil (well no one except some loony lefties like Corbyn and Owen Jones)* and want to destroy Israel but we still have a position that there are things which are beyond the pale and which civilised society cannot accept. Except you apparently don't believe that. In which case everything you have said about Russia over the last year has been pure hypocrisy.

    *there may be some loony righties who also think this but I just haven't heard any of them yet.
    You seem confused. I have said repeatedly that civilians should NOT be targeted.

    Accidental collateral damage in wartime is different to deliberate targeting.

    Hamas must be defeated. I would like to see anything that allows that while keeping innocent civilians as low as is feasible.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,510
    moonshine said:

    I saw the headlines on social media about the decapitated babies this afternoon and haven’t been able to engage with the news ever since. Is this a legit story or a WW1 Hun Eat Babies caricature? I have no intention of seeking out the proof for myself but suspect some here might know by now.

    The WWI atrocity stories were mainly true, as it turned out.

    If anything, people are too sceptical about believing in atrocities, rather than too gullible.
  • Sean_F said:

    However, I don't think there are any options that don't involve dead civilians.

    Plainly, Isreal isn't going to say "no hard feelings", after driving Hamas back into Gaza. They will wish to take the fight to the enemy.

    The issue is how to minimise civilian casualties. Cutting off power is probably the option that most clearly complies with international law (which does after all, permit economic sanctions), but in terms of human suffering, it's probably the cruelest option of all.
    Cutting off food and water would be a war crime under international law if the Palestinians were recognised as a separate state. The fact that they are not means it is only 'legally' not a war crime.
  • Cutting off food and water would be a war crime under international law if the Palestinians were recognised as a separate state. The fact that they are not means it is only 'legally' not a war crime.
    Under what law?

    AFAIK blockades are entirely legal?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,796

    Cutting off food and water would be a war crime under international law if the Palestinians were recognised as a separate state. The fact that they are not means it is only 'legally' not a war crime.
    Hamas declared war, they are the gazan government. Do you believe for example that poland should have provided nazi germany with food and water after they invaded?
  • kinabalu said:

    "ChatGPT, please write 100 words on Israel Palestine as a bigoted anti Arab simpleton".
    If only it were limited to 100 words..
  • YokesYokes Posts: 1,359
    edited October 2023
    Im surprised no one has considered the possibility I suggested the other day which is Hamas militiamen will melt away once the Israelis go in. Its very possible they will stick some herberts out to put up a bit of a fight but others, senior members and some of the core 'elite' fighters will be across those those tunnels to Egypt.

    A big problem is a lot of their best are dead already.
  • You seem confused. I have said repeatedly that civilians should NOT be targeted.

    Accidental collateral damage in wartime is different to deliberate targeting.

    Hamas must be defeated. I would like to see anything that allows that while keeping innocent civilians as low as is feasible.
    You have advocated Israel doing anything and everything necessary to defeat Hamas including the complete destruction of Gaza. When people have pointed out that this will undoubtedly entail the deaths of thousands of civilians your attitude is basically one of 'shit happens'

    You may fool yourself but you don't fool anyone else.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,812

    Shooting all males on sight would be a war crime, and Israel would be rightly condemned around the world for it.

    What is being raised by several posters is remarkably similar to the logic of the Islamists.
    Would it be a war crime? What are you doing on a battlefield as a fighting age male unless you intend to fight?

    IANA international L but I genuinely dunno what the law would say in this instance

    Besides, the larger point is Israel is beyond caring

    Egypt is heavily reliant on American aid, America needs to use this leverage to get Egypt to open the gates so that those Gazans who want or need to flee, can flee, and they can all be given aid in safety
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,796

    You have advocated Israel doing anything and everything necessary to defeat Hamas including the complete destruction of Gaza. When people have pointed out that this will undoubtedly entail the deaths of thousands of civilians your attitude is basically one of 'shit happens'

    You may fool yourself but you don't fool anyone else.
    Gazans are pretty much hamas supporters on the whole.
This discussion has been closed.