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Punters remain uneasy about the Mid Beds by-election – politicalbetting.com
Punters remain uneasy about the Mid Beds by-election – politicalbetting.com
So far none of the major parties has managed to dominate the betting in the October 19th mid Beds by-election and as can be seen the LD. CON and LAB odds are very close to each other.
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Putin weighs in on charges against Trump:
“What’s happening with Trump is a persecution of a political rival for political motives.”
“This shows the whole rottenness of the American political system, which cannot claim to teach others about democracy”
https://twitter.com/JonLemire/status/1701549737076302086
@BillKristol
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7h
Trump won NC by one and a half percent in 2020. Now he's ahead of Biden by 4. Consistent with national polls showing him running a couple of points better against Biden than he did in 2020.
I am alarmed.
https://twitter.com/BillKristol/status/1701546580417884227
Mid Beds a Con hold because the Lib Dems split the anti Tory vote.
Tamworth down to a bit of sympathy for Chris Pincher.
It does show how Jerusalem must be the England anthem, it is ludicrous having GSTK still as national anthem for England when they play against other home nations or Commonwealth realms the King is head of state of too.
Lovely lovely man.
I fear an epic autocorrect will soon happen with a word that begins with 'Po' and ends in 'hub'.
What is startling is that the film's theme music was very, very close to the much later TV Star Trek theme..... If you should ever watch it.
Is "polling" a euphemism for something unspeakable?
Meanwhile can a split opposition and a Mid-Beds win save Mr Sunak from the looming threat of a Gullis challenge to his leadership? Could he remove Mr Sunak and the Con MPs then reward us with a Gullis v Truss leadership campaign while poor Johnson watches from the sidelines. Always remember my Con-supporting friends that things really could be worse than a mere 20% defecit in the polls.
I would like to hear the Welsh and Scottish versions though
“Paedophiles using open source AI to create child sexual abuse content, says watchdog”
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2023/sep/12/paedophiles-using-open-source-ai-to-create-child-sexual-abuse-content-says-watchdog?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other
Clearly if they are taking real images of real people and manipulating them, that should be illegal. Predatory and invasive
But what if they are creating images ex nihilo? Of children that “do not exist”? Which are just pixels conjured by Dalle-3 or whatever?
I can see arguments both ways. On the bad side, this is material which may deprave and corrupt, on the other side, it seems insane to prosecute people for digital imaginings, and it is arguable that this might slake the perverse thirst of men who would otherwise commit real crimes against real people
Management take swift action to make sure there is no danger of someone slipping on the wet floor and injuring themselves until they can get a plumber out to fix the leak.
I’m failing to see what the problem is? And why the government deserves any blame (or credit) for it.
The reaction to hearing he was resigning was 'finally, the twat.'
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-66790609
At least this one has only been accused of lying, not perjury.
Failure. A bitch isn’t it?
#NU10K
Today Labour claimed to be the party of homeownership yet tomorrow they plan to vote down laws that would unlock 100k homes. Sir Keir is seeking to end the dream of homeownership for thousands of families by playing politics. Labour are the party of the blockers not the builders
https://twitter.com/michaelgove/status/1701671034720510103
We should just be thankful Labour are led by Starmer, not Corbyn. As things stand if Corbyn was Labour leader, he’d have a real shot at winning in 2024
Have you no soul? No compassion?
He ran out of space for his booty.
Equivalent version today was £299.99
https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/dad-wrongly-probed-tiger-porn-4521506
On the substantive point - it's only a matter of time until someone trains an 'AI' model/robot to 'be' a child that wants to be abused. Like a horrific version of the cow which wants to be eaten in Restaurant At The End Of The Universe. Then where are we at?
However one thing I hope we can all agree on (don't laugh so hard please) is that the arrangment of GSTK used in recent years at the end of Last Night of the Proms is a turgid abomination that has no place outside of a requiem mass. If there ever was any life in the tune it is sucked competely dry by that version.
It will be nice if I am totally wrong.
He must be very well known locally. He's already won the PCC election there and he's Britains first black PCC, which got him national coverage
I've just watched an interview he did with Beth Rigby a while back and he seems honest, intelligent and rightly motivated
I'd vote for him
Otherwise it wouldn't need replacing.
Eg King's Row (Korngold) -> Star Wars.
Odds are there are some around, but you would be hard pressed to name one.
It is NOT live yet, but it can only be a few months before they do this in real time? Then that is not just Babel Fish, but actually far ahead of Babel Fish. Feckin ell
https://x.com/0xgaut/status/1701624127755337901?s=61&t=GGp3Vs1t1kTWDiyA-odnZg
He should not be anywhere near playing for England or indeed Manchester United
There really is no need to learn foreign languages, ever again, unless you like pointless academic tasks
It's bonkers. The end of people speaking to each other in the same room.
That sounds like an eye for an eye style of punishment.
The URL is even more disturbing: 'dad wrongly probed tiger - porn'
EDIT: Ah, well done
The point is: HolyFuck, the world is on the edge of an epochal tech revolution, at least comparable to the Industrial Revolution, some would say more like the advent of fire or agriculture
BT are coming out of mobiles and BT sports so not sure what the point of being with them is
I will most certainly switch suppliers of my broadband at the end on my BT contact next year
OGH is unfortunately wrong - the LDs at least have been working Mid Bedfordshire for several months. It's much harder for the incumbent party and the Conservatives will find it hard to catch up.
In the absence of actual polling we'll be relying on informed, misinformed or ill-informed anecdote which always makes life (and punting) interesting.
The Blue Wall poll from R&W follows the voting pattern of other polls - the Conservatives have basically lost 40% of their 2019 vote, the LDs are at or just below their 2019 numbers while Labour is polling at 140-150% of their 2019 numbers suggesting 47-27-11 looks about right nationally.
It's a 20-point lead and a 16.5% swing from 2019 yet there still seem to be plenty harbouring "doubts" over the possibility of a Labour majority at the next election.
As has been said before, the thing about the polls is not much they've moved but how little - Sunak has recovered from polls showing the Conservatives losing 50% or more of their 2019 vote to losing 40% now.
The other aspect clear from polling and actual elections is this is much less a national seamless swing than a less predictable variable move. In some areas, the Conservative vote is proving much more resilient - small strongly pro-LEAVE provincial towns seem the main areas so we could see swings to Labour of 5-10% at most.
Other areas have seen a much greater splintering of the Conservative vote and with the tendency for tactical voting, I'd not be surprised to see swings in some seats much higher than any national UNS so 20% or higher.
There's still a year to go (I think) - the immediate concern to this observer is oil moving back above $90 a barrel and the impact this may have on inflation and all that flows from that.
The speed of progress is bewilderingly fast, and AI is getting terrifyingly good at multiple things, simultaneously
It is so big, so intense, I believe it is sui generis and almost outwith comprehension. Impossible to guess where we will be in 10-20 years. Maybe all dead. Maybe all ludicrously happy as the bots feed us Soma
They said they are separate to the BT EE direct change
Had to sort it through BT