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So will Americans back a criminal for President? – politicalbetting.com

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  • How about starting with all those dodgy PPE contracts?
    One suspects that current HMG would naturally deputize one of their more knowledgeable hench-people to conduct such an "inquiry" - "Lady" Mone

    https://www.edinburghlive.co.uk/news/edinburgh-news/inside-10m-yacht-linked-michelle-25103484
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022

    .

    What's your evidence that Tate is a consequence of this supposed telling "millions of young men that they’re misogynistic racists by default"?

    Andrew Tate is responsible for being Andrew Tate. You deal with Tate's misogyny by telling people misogyny is wrong, not by soft pedalling on misogyny.
    I think Sandpit was referring to his popularity.
  • The question we haven't asked is: what if Trump is found not guilty?
    Given the US system of Jury challenging I find it difficult to believe they will even find a jury to consider these cases. I mean where in the US today can you find a dozen people who can honestly say they have no pre-conceived opinion of Trump for good or bad?
  • Sandpit said:

    After a very turbulent few years, most of which is unprecedented in the average lifetime, it does appear that everyone is in the mood for kicking out the incumbents.

    It’s time for a change, no matter what the change.

    In Canada specifically, Trudeau is in trouble for his authoritation attacks on protestors during the pandemic, and his euthanasia law that’s leading to the state ‘encouraging’ vulnerable groups to choose that way out.
    Also add NZ to that where Labor's popularity has fallen back sharply after Jacinda mania and potentially looking like National + ACT with slim majority
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,920

    I am liking Suella's blue skies policing thinking. Get her into office quickly and get rid of the failing incumbents.
    The problem with this kind of comment is that it's just too realistic.
  • WaPo (via Seattle Times) - In Ukraine, some see drinking Aperol Spritz as supporting Russia

    KYIV – The Aperol Spritz is so popular that the cocktail is practically synonymous with summer in Europe, where connoisseurs cram onto patios and around bar tops to guzzle down the bubbly, orange aperitif.

    But in Ukraine, many bars that once served the quintessential drink are now boycotting it, citing the decision of the brand’s owner, Italy-based Campari Group, to continue operating in Russia.

    “We had glasses with the Aperol name on them and we destroyed them or threw them in the trash,” said Pavlo Lavrukhin, 29, a bartender at Squat 17B, a hipster hangout tucked behind a residential building in central Kyiv.

    Made up of two parts Aperol – a bitter whose core ingredients are gentian, rhubarb and cinchona – three parts prosecco and a dash of sparkling water, poured over a glass of ice and topped with an orange slice, the drink is viewed by devotees as the ideal antidote to sweltering weather.

    Giving up the Spritz altogether is out of the question – Ukrainian fans love the cocktail. So, Squat 17B and other bars got rid of Aperol and are serving an alternative made with comparable orange spirits from other Italian companies instead. . . .
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,727

    I think Sandpit was referring to his popularity.
    What is the evidence that his popularity is caused this way?

    This is just highly dubious "backlash" theory.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,567

    Given the US system of Jury challenging I find it difficult to believe they will even find a jury to consider these cases. I mean where in the US today can you find a dozen people who can honestly say they have no pre-conceived opinion of Trump for good or bad?
    Might they possibly put the lesser fry on trial first, and then if they are found guilty Trump will be under pressure to cut a deal?

    That's what usually seems to happen in these cases in the US.
  • Also add NZ to that where Labor's popularity has fallen back sharply after Jacinda mania and potentially looking like National + ACT with slim majority
    Also on 338Canada, I don't like the ridiculously high level of certainty when there are still 2 years to the next election.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559
    edited August 2023

    The question we haven't asked is: what if Trump is found not guilty?
    Of what? In 45's case, definitely need to specify what indictment/jurisdiction to which you're referring!
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,727

    Given the US system of Jury challenging I find it difficult to believe they will even find a jury to consider these cases. I mean where in the US today can you find a dozen people who can honestly say they have no pre-conceived opinion of Trump for good or bad?
    The Jean Carroll case did fine, as did the Trump Organization tax fraud case. The grand juries for the documents case, the Georgia case and the main election interference case worked.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,095

    Also add NZ to that where Labor's popularity has fallen back sharply after Jacinda mania and potentially looking like National + ACT with slim majority
    Plus Germany where the governing SPD trail, France where Le Pen leads, Spain where the ruling Socialists were recently beaten for most seats by the PP and here where the governing Tories trail. In the US too Biden is even tied with Trump.

    Australia where Labor still lead and Italy where Meloni leads are the only major western nations where incumbents are still clearly ahead in polls but those governments were only elected last year
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,727

    Of what? In 45's case, definitely need to specify what indictment/jurisdiction to which you're referring!
    I think the 3 cases that are attracting most attention are the documents case, the federal election interference case and the Georgia election interference case. Trump being declared innocent in any one of those would support his narrative and might swing independents.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,095

    Kim Jong-un is the son of Kim Jong-il who was the son of Kim Sun-il.
    And not one of them have or had royal or even aristocratic blood
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    Trivia question:

    Which of the following countries has the lowest rate of obesity?

    USA, Canada, New Zealand, Australia, UK, South Africa, Iraq, Egypt, Turkey, Libya, Saudi Arabia, Uruguay, Chile, Argentina.

    https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/obesity-rates-by-country
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,095
    kle4 said:

    The Kims you mean. And the Mount Paektu bloodline.

    On this one Sunil is actually on solid ground.

    Christ, Kim Il Sung and Kim jong-Il have essentially been deified like Roman Emperors.

    Christ wasn't royal either, he was a carpenter like his father but at least he could claim some distant relationship to King David
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    .

    What's your evidence that Tate is a consequence of this supposed telling "millions of young men that they’re misogynistic racists by default"?

    Andrew Tate is responsible for being Andrew Tate. You deal with Tate's misogyny by telling people misogyny is wrong, not by soft pedalling on misogyny.
    Andrew Tate is going to keep on being Andrew Tate.

    The rest of society needs to get around the idea that Andrew Tate is bad, and offer their own, better, vision of life to his supporters.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,945
    HYUFD said:

    Christ wasn't royal either, he was a carpenter like his father but at least he could claim some distant relationship to King David
    The Almighty was a carpenter?
    I suppose omnipotence covers woodworking.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022

    But do those 'top economists' also want to reverse the spending increases which have happened since 2010 ?

    Or do they think that government spending can only ever be increased ?
    Only a couple of the signatories they mention appear to be economists.

    The article doesn't mention tax increases which it surely ought to. Could the government loosen fiscal rules on investment? Not exactly a big bazooka.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    HYUFD said:

    And not one of them have or had royal or even aristocratic blood
    Nor do any UK royals or aristocrats, ultimately. Mediaeval robbers and thieves, basically.
  • Cheeky fundraiser just arrived from "Not Nadine Dorries":

    Nick, it took longer than Liz Truss’ time in office but I’ve finally resigned.

    When I arrived in Mid Bedfordshire in 2005, I inherited a Conservative majority of 8,000. It's now 25,000, a legacy I am proud of.

    It would be a terrible shame if the Labour Party undid all of that, wouldn't it?

    Nick, I’m asking you, for my legacy’s sake - do not donate to the Labour Party’s by-election campaign fund today:

    Don't click this button!

    Nick, I understand. Just the other day in my resignation letter to Rishi Sunak, I said:

    The Prime Minister has no mandate and puts his ambition above the stability of our country and the economy, the government is adrift and the British public are being taken for fools.

    And much more.

    I stand by it all! It’s a brilliant letter. Some people say I haven't been doing my job in months - well, now you know what I was working on!

    But Nick, this really is about my legacy. Just because Rishi Sunak’s weak zombie government has no plan, doesn’t mean we can just let the Labour Party storm to victory in Mid Bedfordshire.

    Please, do not donate to Labour’s Mid Bedfordshire campaign fund today:

    Seriously, don't click.


    Well, that’s me away. A letter and an email in three days is hard work you know.

    I hope I’ve managed to convince you - do not donate to build a better Britain!

    Thank you,

    Not Nadine Dorries
    Former very busy MP for Mid Bedfordshire

    I wish she was a former MP. She's still in office...
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,576
    HYUFD said:

    Christ wasn't royal either, he was a carpenter like his father but at least he could claim some distant relationship to King David
    Most people can trace their roots back to a monarch of some sort.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,095
    Chris said:

    I thought it was common knowledge that Kim Jong Un was a direct descendant of Seongjong of Joseon.
    No proven evidence for that at all
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,727
    .
    Sandpit said:

    Andrew Tate is going to keep on being Andrew Tate.

    The rest of society needs to get around the idea that Andrew Tate is bad, and offer their own, better, vision of life to his supporters.
    Agreed, and we don't do that by excusing the far right and their conspiracies.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022

    What is the evidence that his popularity is caused this way?

    This is just highly dubious "backlash" theory.
    I don't really know anything about him. Just clarifying what I think Sandpit meant.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,095
    Carnyx said:

    Nor do any UK royals or aristocrats, ultimately. Mediaeval robbers and thieves, basically.
    Rubbish, the King has blood from the English, Scottish, Greek and Russian royal families and the House of Hanover
  • The Jean Carroll case did fine, as did the Trump Organization tax fraud case. The grand juries for the documents case, the Georgia case and the main election interference case worked.
    Not by any means an expert here but a brief look at this appears to show that the grounds for challenge of a Grand Jury member are very different to those for a normal jury. I had a look at couple of examples - Arizona and Virginia - and in both cases it says that the only grounds for challenging a member of a Grand Jury are that they are not qualified to sit on that matter. No reference is made to bias.

    But all the examples I can find of normal jury selection seem to show that they can be challenged on grounds of partiallity or bias.

    As for the other cases, I am not sure they would be considerd as high profile as a case where Trump himself was the defendent.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    HYUFD said:

    Rubbish, the King has blood from the English, Scottish, Greek and Russian royal families and the House of Hanover
    And where do those royal families come from? Nowhere, just mediaeval warlords.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,567
    HYUFD said:

    Rubbish, the King has blood from the English, Scottish, Greek and Russian royal families and the House of Hanover
    Have we had the one about 'if you don't support nuking Buenos Aires you're a traitor' yet?
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,161
    edited August 2023
    Carnyx said:

    And where do those royal families come from? Nowhere, just mediaeval warlords.
    "Fraser" is a common surname in the north of Scotland. The Norman Knight Sir Strawberry made his mark.

    (Not strictly historically accurate, but told as fact in school)
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,095
    Sandpit said:

    Andrew Tate is going to keep on being Andrew Tate.

    The rest of society needs to get around the idea that Andrew Tate is bad, and offer their own, better, vision of life to his supporters.
    It seems to me his supporters are mostly single young males, so that requires some female involvement too
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,398
    ydoethur said:

    Have we had the one about 'if you don't support nuking Buenos Aires you're a traitor' yet?
    Obvious truisms need not be stated.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    edited August 2023

    .

    Agreed, and we don't do that by excusing the far right and their conspiracies.
    Yes, but “far right and their conspiracies” needs to be adequately debunked.

    Remember that a decade ago, some weirdo called Alex Jones was going on about the paedophile island. …
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,095
    Carnyx said:

    And where do those royal families come from? Nowhere, just mediaeval warlords.
    On that argument you may as well just say we are all monkeys, given according to Darwin that is where we came from. Though even they have leaders
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,095
    ydoethur said:

    Have we had the one about 'if you don't support nuking Buenos Aires you're a traitor' yet?
    Well if you were in charge not only would the Falklands have fallen but Putin would probably have got to London by lunchtime
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,677



    I wish she was a former MP. She's still in office...

    No, technically she's not. You're only an MP from the moment you're sworn in to the moment you resign. A similar regulation had a consequence for the "class of 97" - MPs elected at the start of May 1997 and swept out in May 2010. We all lost a year of pension contributions (I know, world's smallest violin) because technically we were not in office before we were sworn in.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,567
    HYUFD said:

    Well if you were in charge not only would the Falklands have fallen but Putin would probably have got to London by lunchtime
    Ok, we have now.

    I'll admit that was my fault and go and book myself a cabin on the Ullapool-Inverness ferry.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    HYUFD said:

    On that argument you may as well just say we are all monkeys, given according to Darwin that is where we came from. Though even they have leaders
    Plain wrong. You're using the wrong type of category. You need the nested cladistic variety: Primates, Haplorhines, Anthropoidea or Catarrhini to suit.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,727

    Not by any means an expert here but a brief look at this appears to show that the grounds for challenge of a Grand Jury member are very different to those for a normal jury. I had a look at couple of examples - Arizona and Virginia - and in both cases it says that the only grounds for challenging a member of a Grand Jury are that they are not qualified to sit on that matter. No reference is made to bias.

    But all the examples I can find of normal jury selection seem to show that they can be challenged on grounds of partiallity or bias.

    As for the other cases, I am not sure they would be considerd as high profile as a case where Trump himself was the defendent.
    Trump was the defendant in the Jean Carroll case.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,567

    No, technically she's not. You're only an MP from the moment you're sworn in to the moment you resign. A similar regulation had a consequence for the "class of 97" - MPs elected at the start of May 1997 and swept out in May 2010. We all lost a year of pension contributions (I know, world's smallest violin) because technically we were not in office before we were sworn in.
    She hasn't resigned yet. She's applied to resign.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    HYUFD said:

    On that argument you may as well just say we are all monkeys, given according to Darwin that is where we came from. Though even they have leaders
    In any case, that doesn't mean that KCIII is some sort of evolutionary innovation.

    And I wouldn't use monkey "leaders" as a justification. They're not hereditary in the royal sense. Even without using olive oil. Very much a free for all.
  • ydoethur said:

    She hasn't resigned yet. She's applied to resign.
    MPs do NOT resign. Instead, they apply for an office of profit under the Crown.

    According to wiki, Mad Nad has NOT (yet) been appointed as Steward of one of the stewardships used for this purpose.

    All part of the wonderfully wacky (also visa versa) Great British (so called) Constitution.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,567

    MPs do NOT resign. Instead, they apply for an office of profit under the Crown.

    According to wiki, Mad Nad has NOT (yet) been appointed as Steward of one of the stewardships used for this purpose.

    All part of the wonderfully wacky (also visa versa) Great British (so called) Constitution.
    Exactly.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,856
    This ought to be low-hanging fruit for the government. Ban the American Bully.

    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/brits-270-times-likelier-killed-30800611

    American Bully dogs are responsible for 73% of dog attack deaths since 2022, despite forming a tiny part of our canine population, and have already killed five people this year
  • ydoethur said:

    She hasn't resigned yet. She's applied to resign.
    Has she even done that?

    Isn't the latest that she's technically only written a newspaper column in the form of a resignation letter?
  • Trump was the defendant in the Jean Carroll case.
    Apologies. Yes you are right. I still think this will be a whole different order of a problem.
  • Carnyx said:

    Plain wrong. You're using the wrong type of category. You need the nested cladistic variety: Primates, Haplorhines, Anthropoidea or Catarrhini to suit.
    You are disputing with one of the duller minds of the 18th century.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,601

    Has she even done that?

    Isn't the latest that she's technically only written a newspaper column in the form of a resignation letter?
    They did have a funny debate when a SF MP resigned, without applying for one of the relevant offices, but the Speaker took their request as being such an application, with people speculating what if someone just said they were resigning and changed their mind, or were joking, and yet the Speaker accepted it as a real resignation.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,567
    kle4 said:

    They did have a funny debate when a SF MP resigned, without applying for one of the relevant offices, but the Speaker took their request as being such an application, with people speculating what if someone just said they were resigning and changed their mind, or were joking, and yet the Speaker accepted it as a real resignation.
    Would have been quite fun if Hunt had called Dorries' bluff by appointing her to it when she announced her departure first, and then when she objected pointed out she had the right to stand in the by-election if she resigned her office of profit.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,727
    Sandpit said:

    Yes, but “far right and their conspiracies” needs to be adequately debunked.

    Remember that a decade ago, some weirdo called Alex Jones was going on about the paedophile island. …
    Here's an article about Alex Jones citing Epstein: https://www.npr.org/2022/09/08/1121525125/heres-why-conspiracy-theories-about-jeffrey-epstein-keep-flourishing

    We were discussing Jim Caviezel the other day. I said he was a right wing conspiracist. You said that claim was a left wing conspiracy. I provided evidence. You suggested he was quoted out of context, but couldn't provide any explanatory context, and eventually retreated to saying he's a nutty actor so it doesn't matter.

    So, it seems to me that your threshold for an adequate debunking is somewhat... asymmetric.
  • FffsFffs Posts: 103

    Cheeky fundraiser just arrived from "Not Nadine Dorries":

    Nick, it took longer than Liz Truss’ time in office but I’ve finally resigned.

    When I arrived in Mid Bedfordshire in 2005, I inherited a Conservative majority of 8,000. It's now 25,000, a legacy I am proud of.

    It would be a terrible shame if the Labour Party undid all of that, wouldn't it?

    Nick, I’m asking you, for my legacy’s sake - do not donate to the Labour Party’s by-election campaign fund today:

    Don't click this button!

    Nick, I understand. Just the other day in my resignation letter to Rishi Sunak, I said:

    The Prime Minister has no mandate and puts his ambition above the stability of our country and the economy, the government is adrift and the British public are being taken for fools.

    And much more.

    I stand by it all! It’s a brilliant letter. Some people say I haven't been doing my job in months - well, now you know what I was working on!

    But Nick, this really is about my legacy. Just because Rishi Sunak’s weak zombie government has no plan, doesn’t mean we can just let the Labour Party storm to victory in Mid Bedfordshire.

    Please, do not donate to Labour’s Mid Bedfordshire campaign fund today:

    Seriously, don't click.


    Well, that’s me away. A letter and an email in three days is hard work you know.

    I hope I’ve managed to convince you - do not donate to build a better Britain!

    Thank you,

    Not Nadine Dorries
    Former very busy MP for Mid Bedfordshire

    This has five likes so I expect I'm in a minority here, but… this just reads a really quite juvenile attempt at humour to me.

    Is this what the best minds of the next government think appeals to us?
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,576

    You are disputing with one of the duller minds of the 18th century.
    That comment is both rude and wrong. Our colleague’s ability to twist an argument is legendary.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    This ought to be low-hanging fruit for the government. Ban the American Bully.

    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/brits-270-times-likelier-killed-30800611

    American Bully dogs are responsible for 73% of dog attack deaths since 2022, despite forming a tiny part of our canine population, and have already killed five people this year

    Don't know if you were here when we talked about it a week or two back?

    Problem is defining a breed. It's like trying to get rid of curly hair by banning poodles when you can get any number of labradoodles.

    Dangerous Dogs Act, bad repeat thereof, anyone?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,567

    That comment is both rude and wrong. Our colleague’s ability to twist an argument is legendary.
    Also, from what he has said about his degree his real thing is the seventeenth century.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,161
    edited August 2023

    This ought to be low-hanging fruit for the government. Ban the American Bully.

    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/brits-270-times-likelier-killed-30800611

    American Bully dogs are responsible for 73% of dog attack deaths since 2022, despite forming a tiny part of our canine population, and have already killed five people this year

    1) Yes

    2) Also update the legislation so it's more responsive to new breeds like this.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    You are disputing with one of the duller minds of the 18th century.
    Obviously read Telliamed, though.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,727

    MPs do NOT resign. Instead, they apply for an office of profit under the Crown.

    According to wiki, Mad Nad has NOT (yet) been appointed as Steward of one of the stewardships used for this purpose.

    All part of the wonderfully wacky (also visa versa) Great British (so called) Constitution.
    There was a Sinn Fein MP who said this is all nonsense and wrote a letter saying "I resign". This was interpreted as wishing to be appointed to an office of profit under the Crown. Which goes to show that, yes, MPs effectively do resign.

    But you're right that Dorries has written saying she wishes to be so appointed, but she has not yet been appointed, so I would think she is still an MP.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,727
    Fffs said:

    This has five likes so I expect I'm in a minority here, but… this just reads a really quite juvenile attempt at humour to me.

    Is this what the best minds of the next government think appeals to us?
    No, it's what they think appeals to Labour Party members.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,576
    ydoethur said:

    Also, from what he has said about his degree his real thing is the seventeenth century.
    I missed that! Do I gather that was his final year’s work?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Eabhal said:

    1) Yes

    2) Also update the legislation so it's more responsive to new breeds like this.
    ... legislation ... "new breed" ...

    Even the ****ing Kennel Club doesn't recognise it. And the notion of a dog breed is pretty ropy at the best of times.

    Though the Irish seem to manage to ban it, mind. So if they can do it ...

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Bully
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,518
    HYUFD said:

    No it doesn't, Stalin wasn't a hereditary ruler not was Mao they were both socialist communists.

    Corbyn was a socialist but wasn't a hereditary leader of the Labour Party either.

    None had royal or aristocratic blood either
    What’s in a name?

    Technically, the Roman Empire never had a hereditary succession. But, it was clearly a monarchy.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,095
    edited August 2023
    Carnyx said:


    In any case, that doesn't mean that KCIII is some sort of evolutionary innovation.

    And I wouldn't use monkey "leaders" as a justification. They're not hereditary in the royal sense. Even without using olive oil. Very much a free for all.
    Which is a pointless comparison anyway given the real leader in the UK is Rishi Sunak who did get there after a free for all scrap with Boris and Truss and then has to do the same again with Starmer.

    The King is just a constitutional figurehead head of state trained from birth for the role
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,272
    Sandpit said:

    Andrew Tate is going to keep on being Andrew Tate.

    The rest of society needs to get around the idea that Andrew Tate is bad, and offer their own, better, vision of life to his supporters.
    Andrew Tate with his systemic misogyny and racism would be quite at home in the Sandpit. It is no surprise that he sometimes claims to be Muslim.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,095
    edited August 2023
    Sean_F said:

    What’s in a name?

    Technically, the Roman Empire never had a hereditary succession. But, it was clearly a monarchy.
    No it wasn't, it had an Emperor who is just head of an Empire but that emerged from the Roman Republic. It was not a monarchy as such. Napoleon too was an Emperor not really a King
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,398
    Fffs said:

    This has five likes so I expect I'm in a minority here, but… this just reads a really quite juvenile attempt at humour to me.

    Is this what the best minds of the next government think appeals to us?
    It's all attack, no vision. It complains Sunak has no vision (something I agree with, albeit with caveats of his having to constantly firefight), but offers zero of Labour's vision. It also comes somewhat over as dishonest, as if it comes from Dorries.

    It tells me zero things Labour wants to do, and zero reasons their candidate would be different from any other party's.

    Negative campaigning, and a negative for Labour.

    (As a general aside, if the money does not get spent on their Mid Bedfordshire campaign, is that problematic? If they got (say) £100k in donations, and did not spend it on that campaign, is that dishonest?)
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,601
    Sounds procedurally dicey, but got to keep the big man happy.

    Kevin McCarthy plans to start the impeachment process against Biden without a vote.

    CNN reports that Speaker McCarthy plans to launch the impeachment inquiry against President Biden at the end of September without a formal vote in the House as he lacks the majority to pass this resolution since some Republican members from swing districts oppose it.

    https://nitter.net/RpsAgainstTrump/status/1696177442551980080#m
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,233
    A
    ydoethur said:

    Also, from what he has said about his degree his real thing is the seventeenth century.
    Modernist woke guff

    All Proper Qualifications were granted before October 21, 4004 BC
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,567

    A

    Modernist woke guff

    All Proper Qualifications were granted before October 21, 4004 BC
    That date clearly means the world to you.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,272
    Carnyx said:

    ... legislation ... "new breed" ...

    Even the ****ing Kennel Club doesn't recognise it. And the notion of a dog breed is pretty ropy at the best of times.

    Though the Irish seem to manage to ban it, mind. So if they can do it ...

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Bully
    Owners of such dogs need to be imprisoned if their dog attacks people, just at they would be for any assault with any other weapon.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    It's all attack, no vision. It complains Sunak has no vision (something I agree with, albeit with caveats of his having to constantly firefight), but offers zero of Labour's vision. It also comes somewhat over as dishonest, as if it comes from Dorries.

    It tells me zero things Labour wants to do, and zero reasons their candidate would be different from any other party's.

    Negative campaigning, and a negative for Labour.

    (As a general aside, if the money does not get spent on their Mid Bedfordshire campaign, is that problematic? If they got (say) £100k in donations, and did not spend it on that campaign, is that dishonest?)
    Would think it's OK if it gets spent on Mid Beds at the next election, whenver that is. But they may give an option. If there is an appeal from the Friends of Barchester Uni Library to buy the Mss of so and so, and some rich tech bro bags them at auction, there is usually a tick box to say (a) I want my money back or (b) OK to spend it on other purchases.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    edited August 2023
    The answer to my lowest obesity question from earlier is, surprisingly, the UK. South Africa and Iraq are among the countries with higher rates.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,576
    HYUFD said:

    Which is a pointless comparison anyway given the real leader in the UK is Rishi Sunak who did get there after a free for all scrap with Boris and Truss and then has to do the same again with Starmer.

    The King is just a constitutional figurehead head of state trained from birth for the role
    Did he actually scrap, electorally, with Boris?
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,161
    Carnyx said:

    ... legislation ... "new breed" ...

    Even the ****ing Kennel Club doesn't recognise it. And the notion of a dog breed is pretty ropy at the best of times.

    Though the Irish seem to manage to ban it, mind. So if they can do it ...

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/American_Bully
    Maybe invert it and specify a list of approved breeds?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Foxy said:

    Owners of such dogs need to be imprisoned if their dog attacks people, just at they would be for any assault with any other weapon.
    That's perhaps a better, and more empirical, approach: it would cover such things alkso as simple recklessness rather than deliberate attacks.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,398
    ydoethur said:

    That date clearly means the world to you.
    I really wish one computer OS had chosen that as its epoch date...
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,266
    On topic: Trump supporters are rigging rules in some states to give him a better chance to win the nomination. For example: "Donald Trump’s presidential campaign notched a major victory Saturday when members of the California Republican executive committee voted to parcel out convention delegates based on the statewide vote next year — doing away with the state’s longtime system of awarding them by congressional district, which had been perceived as a more level playing field for lower-tiered candidates.

    The new rules give Trump a shot at clinching all of the state’s 169 delegates — more than any other state — while at the same time making it harder for a challenger like Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) to make it a two-person race."
    souce$: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/07/30/trump-republican-delegates-primary/

    There have been other rule changes that appear intended to help Trump in other states, including Louisiana, Michigan, North Dakota, and Idaho.

    (As almost all of you grasped immediately, these rule changes make estimating the nomination odds, even more difficult, without a state-by-state analysis.)
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,233
    A
    Eabhal said:

    Maybe invert it and specify a list of approved breeds?
    Have you any conception of the number of piss ants you would be providing anthills to piss from by doing that?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,518
    HYUFD said:

    No it wasn't, it had an Emperor who is just head of an Empire but that emerged from the Roman Republic. It was not a monarchy as such. Napoleon too was an Emperor not really a King
    Aristotle would have had no difficulty defining both empires as monarchies, with vestigial Republican trappings.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Eabhal said:

    Maybe invert it and specify a list of approved breeds?
    Even defining those looks a bit dodgy to me, seeing how theyt have changed with time ... visibly so in my lifetime in some cases.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,233
    ydoethur said:

    That date clearly means the world to you.
    Just Ushering in a new topic…
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,677

    It's all attack, no vision. It complains Sunak has no vision (something I agree with, albeit with caveats of his having to constantly firefight), but offers zero of Labour's vision. It also comes somewhat over as dishonest, as if it comes from Dorries.

    It tells me zero things Labour wants to do, and zero reasons their candidate would be different from any other party's.

    Negative campaigning, and a negative for Labour.
    Well, like I think all the members of different parties here I get fund-raising appeals every week or two, and they're very specifically aimed at the party faithful and usually very boring (I see the Tory ones too, because I've run a stand at the Tory conference in my day job). They aren't intended to be campaigning, informative policy briefings to the general public, and personally I appreciate a bit of amusing creativity for a change. It *obviously* doesn't come from Dorries, not least as it's headed "Not Nadine Dorries".

    Just posted here for amusement, rather than to persuade anyone!
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    edited August 2023
    ydoethur said:

    That date clearly means the world to you.
    Usshered in a new cosmology, indeed.

    Edit: not very new, after all, I see ...
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255
    edited August 2023
    Eabhal said:

    Maybe invert it and specify a list of approved breeds?
    Nah. There are so many mongrel breeds which are no hassle at all. I have had quite a few Heinz 57 varieties in my time and they have often been of a better temprament than pure breeds.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,266
    Three thoughts inspired by earlier comments:

    1. During WW II, some American soldiers worried about getting medals from the French -- because of the cheek kissing part.

    2. When then-President Obama visited Myanmar, he hugged Aung San Suu Kyi on stage. Shortly afterwards I read that hugs in that nation were something a husband and wife did -- in private.

    3. (For Nick Palmer): A few years ago, the WSJ had an article on Google's bicycles at their sprawling Mountain View campus. The campus is so large that the company provided bicycles for employees to get around.

    And some people in Mountain View decided to treat them as community bicycles and "borrowed" them, whenever convenient. So Google had to keep sending out people to retrieve the bicycles. (I'm disappointed that the Google operation a few blocks from where I live has not provided us locals with similar bicycles.)
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,161

    Nah. There are so many mongrel breeds which are no hassle at all. I have had quite a few Heinz 57 varieties in my time and they have often been of a better temprament than pure breeds.
    Yep good point
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 14,012

    which brings us nicely to:-

    Top economists pile pressure on Keir Starmer to reverse Tory cuts
    Prominent academics say they are concerned Labour’s programme will not break with Tory economic orthodoxy

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/keir-starmer-policies-benefit-cuts-reeves-b2399406.html
    Isn't this just a left version of Trussism? Trussism collapsed because she wanted cuts and growth without fiscal rectitude. This version wants increased expenditure and growth without fiscal rectitude.

    The centre ground of fiscal restraint and decent (Labourite) government is quite narrow. Almost everyone seems to attack it, no-one seems to have figures to back up the attack.

  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,398

    Well, like I think all the members of different parties here I get fund-raising appeals every week or two, and they're very specifically aimed at the party faithful and usually very boring (I see the Tory ones too, because I've run a stand at the Tory conference in my day job). They aren't intended to be campaigning, informative policy briefings to the general public, and personally I appreciate a bit of amusing creativity for a change. It *obviously* doesn't come from Dorries, not least as it's headed "Not Nadine Dorries".

    Just posted here for amusement, rather than to persuade anyone!
    It's not here that's the matter, it's the voters. Do you have a piccie of the leaflet? For an oldie and baddie, what are the predominant colours on the leaflet?
  • On topic: Trump supporters are rigging rules in some states to give him a better chance to win the nomination. For example: "Donald Trump’s presidential campaign notched a major victory Saturday when members of the California Republican executive committee voted to parcel out convention delegates based on the statewide vote next year — doing away with the state’s longtime system of awarding them by congressional district, which had been perceived as a more level playing field for lower-tiered candidates.

    The new rules give Trump a shot at clinching all of the state’s 169 delegates — more than any other state — while at the same time making it harder for a challenger like Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) to make it a two-person race."
    souce$: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2023/07/30/trump-republican-delegates-primary/

    There have been other rule changes that appear intended to help Trump in other states, including Louisiana, Michigan, North Dakota, and Idaho.

    (As almost all of you grasped immediately, these rule changes make estimating the nomination odds, even more difficult, without a state-by-state analysis.)

    North Dakota is interesting. AND confirms my strong suspicion, that alleged 2024 candidate for GOP POTUS nomination, ND Gov. Doug Burgum, is just (another) shill pimping for Trump by helping further fractionate the Republican vote.

    Which is also the effective role being played by Tim Scott and Vivek Ramaswamy.

    And also, ironically (or maybe not) by Mike Pence and Chris Christie.

    Which does NOT preclude these "hopefuls" from having other agendas, notably for Scott and Ramaswamy anyway, the traditional prospect of VP pick OR cabinet OR other federal appointment under Trump's Second Cumming.

    As for Pence and Christie, methinks that ego is bigger drive than any anti-Trumpism.

    > Mike Pence thought (like some PBers) that being Trump's VP would make him the GOP's next-in-line for POTUS nomination; a 3rd-millennium version of Bush the Elder 1988 and Bob Dole 1996, albeit without a hint of the quality or ability of either.

    > Chris Christie just likes basking his blimp-sized body AND ego in as much news coverage as he can generate.

    Both of these being busted flushes whose achievements can only be discerned using a microscope.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,778
    edited August 2023
    Chris said:

    I thought it was common knowledge that Kim Jong Un was a direct descendant of Seongjong of Joseon.

    The family appears to descend from a dung seller.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kim_Bo-hyon

    Nothing wrong with that, but they’re a seriously twisted bunch, so qualify as a monarchy on that score at least, I guess.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,567
    Carnyx said:

    Usshered in a new cosmology, indeed.

    Edit: not very new, after all, I see ...
    Just tread with a Lightfoot and you’ll do fine.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,778
    edited August 2023

    North Dakota is interesting. AND confirms my strong suspicion, that alleged 2024 candidate for GOP POTUS nomination, ND Gov. Doug Burgum, is just (another) shill pimping for Trump by helping further fractionate the Republican vote.

    Which is also the effective role being played by Tim Scott and Vivek Ramaswamy.

    And also, ironically (or maybe not) by Mike Pence and Chris Christie.

    Which does NOT preclude these "hopefuls" from having other agendas, notably for Scott and Ramaswamy anyway, the traditional prospect of VP pick OR cabinet OR other federal appointment under Trump's Second Cumming.

    As for Pence and Christie, methinks that ego is bigger drive than any anti-Trumpism.

    > Mike Pence thought (like some PBers) that being Trump's VP would make him the GOP's next-in-line for POTUS nomination; a 3rd-millennium version of Bush the Elder 1988 and Bob Dole 1996, albeit without a hint of the quality or ability of either.

    > Chris Christie just likes basking his blimp-sized body AND ego in as much news coverage as he can generate.

    Both of these being busted flushes whose achievements can only be discerned using a microscope.
    They are - but they’re not the worst of the field.

    I see Ramaswamy is already planning to hand over half of Ukraine.

    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4174713-ramaswamy-unveils-foreign-policy-platform-we-will-be-uncle-sucker-no-more/
    .. Ramaswamy said he similarly would plan to visit Moscow as president in 2025 to negotiate terms to end the war between Russia and Ukraine. He said he would “accept” Russian control of the territories that its forces have taken and promise to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO in exchange for Russia ending its military alliance with China.
    He said he would also end sanctions that have been placed on Russia and return it to the global market….


    To call him naive would be overly generous.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,567
    Nigelb said:


    The family appears to descend from a dung seller.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kim_Bo-hyon

    Nothing wrong with that, but they’re a seriously twisted bunch, so qualify as a monarchy on that score at least, I guess.
    Appropriate given what a load of shits they are.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,677

    It's not here that's the matter, it's the voters. Do you have a piccie of the leaflet? For an oldie and baddie, what are the predominant colours on the leaflet?
    It's not a leaflet, just an email to party members.
  • Nigelb said:

    They are - but they’re not the worst of the field.

    I see Ramaswamy is already planning to hand over half of Ukraine.

    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4174713-ramaswamy-unveils-foreign-policy-platform-we-will-be-uncle-sucker-no-more/
    .. Ramaswamy said he similarly would plan to visit Moscow as president in 2025 to negotiate terms to end the war between Russia and Ukraine. He said he would “accept” Russian control of the territories that its forces have taken and promise to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO in exchange for Russia ending its military alliance with China.
    He said he would also end sanctions that have been placed on Russia and return it to the global market….


    To call him naive would be overly generous.
    Hardly naive, seeing as how pimping for Putin, along with splitting the GOP vote, is the quickest way to Trump's "heart".
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    The problem is that people like Tate sell an 'easy' vision. It's easy to say it's not *your* fault; it's *theirs*. If women don't find you attractive, it must be down to the fact they've got jobs, not that you're a slob who washes once a week and/or wants to be out every night with their mates and/or spends five hours a day gaming.

    The vision is the problem: the lie you can be richer and more successful than everyone else with little effort. His prescription on how to achieve that lie is odious.
    Yes, absolutely.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,778
    March 4th trial date for Trump in Washington.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    Nigelb said:

    They are - but they’re not the worst of the field.

    I see Ramaswamy is already planning to hand over half of Ukraine.

    https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4174713-ramaswamy-unveils-foreign-policy-platform-we-will-be-uncle-sucker-no-more/
    .. Ramaswamy said he similarly would plan to visit Moscow as president in 2025 to negotiate terms to end the war between Russia and Ukraine. He said he would “accept” Russian control of the territories that its forces have taken and promise to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO in exchange for Russia ending its military alliance with China.
    He said he would also end sanctions that have been placed on Russia and return it to the global market….


    To call him naive would be overly generous.
    Bloody Hell!

    He’s gone from being a sensible candidate to a total idiot, in the last fortnight.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,778
    This is bizarre, considering US oil production is at an all time high - and the US is currently the world’s largest oil producer.

    https://www.politico.com/news/2023/08/28/republicans-gas-prices-oil-production-00111626
    … That hasn’t stopped GOP White House hopefuls from lambasting Biden and his energy policies, including the green incentives included in the climate law he signed a year ago.

    In one campaign ad, former Vice President Mike Pence pretends to fill his pickup truck and blames Biden’s energy policy for “causing real hardship” for Americans, while ex-South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley has vowed to bring oil production back to the United States.

    And Sen. Tim Scott (R.-S.C.) railed last month on the Biden administration, which he asserted “has shut down energy production in America.”

    “Why won’t this President tap into our abundant energy resources here at home and bring down prices at the pump?” he asked.

    In fact, though, oil production from federal lands and waters has risen on Biden’s watch, reaching past 3 million barrels per day last year. The high mark during President Donald Trump’s term was 2.75 million barrels a day..
This discussion has been closed.