It has happened at last – Trump indicted – politicalbetting.com
Jack Smith: “The attack on our nation’s capital on Jan. 6 was an unprecedented assault on the seat of American democracy…it was fueled by..lies by the defendant, targeted at the nation’s process of collecting, counting and certifying the results of the presidential election.” pic.twitter.com/86QjJ2bNRD
Comments
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Tbh I've got a bit lost with all the arrests, charges, indictments, arraignments, sealing, sueing and unsealing; state, federal and civil cases Trump has or had against him1
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Without diminishing significance of latest legal action, "Trump indicted" hardly seems like news at this point.Pulpstar said:Tbh I've got a bit lost with all the arrests, charges, indictments, arraignments, sealing, sueing and unsealing; state, federal and civil cases Trump has or had against him
1 -
Voting centers and ballot drop boxes just closed at 8pm for WA State primary.
Watched via King County Elections webcam as final voters at the voting center at KCE HQ cast their ballots. A couple minutes past 8pm HOWEVER they were already at the counter at that time, so good to go, provided their signatures on outside ballot envelop are validated; in WA elections EVERY returned ballot signature is checked.1 -
His supporters will (and are) already dismissing it as politically motivated bulls**t, designed to cover for the corrupt Biden family, and because they know he’s the greatest ever President who will win again, which is why the Establishment wants to get him of the ballot.
Whether that sentiment resonates with the wider US electorate, on the other hand, is a question best left to the reader.1 -
His supporters are batshit crazy. Hopefully the typical wider American electorate is not.Sandpit said:His supporters will (and are) already dismissing it as politically motivated bulls**t, designed to cover for the corrupt Biden family, and because they know he’s the greatest ever President who will win again, which is why the Establishment wants to get him of the ballot.
Whether that sentiment resonates with the wider US electorate, on the other hand, is a question best left to the reader.
There is an uncanny amount of similarity between Jeremy Corbyn and Donald Trump, so perhaps like his British equivalent it will take a second electoral defeat in November next year to provide the stake through the heart that his form of politics so richly really needs.
Hopefully 6 January was the equivalent of Salisbury where the wider electorate saw his true colors [sic].3 -
ANDREW NEIL: Why I'm proud to be a 'TERF' and join JK Rowling on the front line in the gender wars
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-12362329/ANDREW-NEIL-Im-proud-TERF-join-JK-Rowling-line-gender-wars.html3 -
The NYT annotates the indictment
A conviction on this charge would be punishable by up to five years in prison. Congress enacted this statute after the Civil War to go after white Southerners, including members of the Ku Klux Klan, who used terrorism to prevent formerly enslaved African Americans from voting. But in a series of 20th-century cases, the Supreme Court upheld an expanded application of the statute to election fraud conspiracies, like ballot box stuffing. Essentially, Mr. Trump, who baselessly said Mr. Biden's narrow victories in swing states like Georgia and Arizona were rigged, is himself accused of trying to rig the electoral outcome in those states in his favor.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/08/01/us/politics/trump-jan-6-indictment-2020-election-annotated.html1 -
Six Things We Learned From the New Trump Indictment
https://www.thedailybeast.com/six-things-we-learned-from-the-new-trump-indictment0 -
As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
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Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=201 -
Trump, responding with his customary restraint and good judgment, has sad that Biden is worse than the Nazis.BartholomewRoberts said:
His supporters are batshit crazy. Hopefully the typical wider American electorate is not.Sandpit said:His supporters will (and are) already dismissing it as politically motivated bulls**t, designed to cover for the corrupt Biden family, and because they know he’s the greatest ever President who will win again, which is why the Establishment wants to get him of the ballot.
Whether that sentiment resonates with the wider US electorate, on the other hand, is a question best left to the reader.
There is an uncanny amount of similarity between Jeremy Corbyn and Donald Trump, so perhaps like his British equivalent it will take a second electoral defeat in November next year to provide the stake through the heart that his form of politics so richly really needs.
Hopefully 6 January was the equivalent of Salisbury where the wider electorate saw his true colors [sic].
The Republican line - parroted by the House speaker - is that Biden has engineered the prosecution in some mysterious manner.0 -
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed3 -
Why is Musk (and Twitter) suing the Center for Countering Digital Hate?
It's a small charity that's mostly concerned itself with antisemitism on-line, which wrote a report that no-one read, that highlighted a bunch of Twitter posters who (they alleged) breached Twitter's own ToS, yet were still allowed to post.
This reminds me of the McLibel trial. If this goes to court, it's not going to be about the charity on trial, it's going to be about the accounts that they wrote about.
And I just don't see the defamation here: if the CCDH has a good faith reason for believing those Tweets were in contravention of the the ToS (and the hurdle is pretty high for proving they did not), then all that will happen is that Twitter will have drawn massive amounts of attention to a report that no-one would otherwise have ever heard of.
(The cynic would say that there's no intention of winning, merely of frightening other people off writing reports that Twitter find inconvenient.)6 -
The Democrats have opened Pandora's box?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
It was Donald J Trump who attempted to overthrow an election, not the Democrats.8 -
Not just the US...Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
But the combined effect of all this is to drag the US in to the gutter.0 -
Sure, it’s all the fault of those pesky Democrats.Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed0 -
Nigelb said:
Sure, it’s all the fault of those pesky Democrats.Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
What absolute tosh, On the same basis either Al Gore or Bush Junior should be in jail.BartholomewRoberts said:
The Democrats have opened Pandora's box?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
It was Donald J Trump who attempted to overthrow an election, not the Democrats.0 -
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?6 -
I seem to remember you telling us the other day that you took little interest in US politics, and knew little about it.Alanbrooke said:Nigelb said:
Sure, it’s all the fault of those pesky Democrats.Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
What absolute tosh, On the same basis either Al Gore or Bush Junior should be in jail.BartholomewRoberts said:
The Democrats have opened Pandora's box?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
It was Donald J Trump who attempted to overthrow an election, not the Democrats.
The second part of that seems true.6 -
Yes, of course, who can forget when Al Gore attempted to send slates of fake electors to Washington? Or when he called the Florida Secretary of State and asked him to change the votes?Alanbrooke said:Nigelb said:
Sure, it’s all the fault of those pesky Democrats.Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
What absolute tosh, On the same basis either Al Gore or Bush Junior should be in jail.BartholomewRoberts said:
The Democrats have opened Pandora's box?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
It was Donald J Trump who attempted to overthrow an election, not the Democrats.
6 -
Musk is suing because he's a petulant nepo-baby and they called him names. That's it. We keep inferring complex motives, but that's just it. This is what happens if you give such an individual 450 billion USD.rcs1000 said:Why is Musk (and Twitter) suing the Center for Countering Digital Hate?
It's a small charity that's mostly concerned itself with antisemitism on-line, which wrote a report that no-one read, that highlighted a bunch of Twitter posters who (they alleged) breached Twitter's own ToS, yet were still allowed to post.
This reminds me of the McLibel trial. If this goes to court, it's not going to be about the charity on trial, it's going to be about the accounts that they wrote about.
And I just don't see the defamation here: if the CCDH has a good faith reason for believing those Tweets were in contravention of the the ToS (and the hurdle is pretty high for proving they did not), then all that will happen is that Twitter will have drawn massive amounts of attention to a report that no-one would otherwise have ever heard of.
(The cynic would say that there's no intention of winning, merely of frightening other people off writing reports that Twitter find inconvenient.)4 -
Yeah, fair point.viewcode said:
Musk is suing because he's a petulant nepo-baby and they called him names. That's it. We keep inferring complex motives, but that's just it. This is what happens if you give such an individual 450 billion USD.rcs1000 said:Why is Musk (and Twitter) suing the Center for Countering Digital Hate?
It's a small charity that's mostly concerned itself with antisemitism on-line, which wrote a report that no-one read, that highlighted a bunch of Twitter posters who (they alleged) breached Twitter's own ToS, yet were still allowed to post.
This reminds me of the McLibel trial. If this goes to court, it's not going to be about the charity on trial, it's going to be about the accounts that they wrote about.
And I just don't see the defamation here: if the CCDH has a good faith reason for believing those Tweets were in contravention of the the ToS (and the hurdle is pretty high for proving they did not), then all that will happen is that Twitter will have drawn massive amounts of attention to a report that no-one would otherwise have ever heard of.
(The cynic would say that there's no intention of winning, merely of frightening other people off writing reports that Twitter find inconvenient.)2 -
Shameless bollocks from a dinosaur mcp.CarlottaVance said:ANDREW NEIL: Why I'm proud to be a 'TERF' and join JK Rowling on the front line in the gender wars
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-12362329/ANDREW-NEIL-Im-proud-TERF-join-JK-Rowling-line-gender-wars.html2 -
I have been saying for months that Trump has a non-trivial chance of winning 2024 and we have to take that possibility seriously, for betting purposes if nothing else.Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed0 -
He has an 80% chance of winning the Republican nomination, and a 40% chance of then winning the Presidency.viewcode said:
I have been saying for months that Trump has a non-trivial chance of winning 2024 and we have to take that possibility seriously, for betting purposes if nothing else.Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed0 -
So, you're saying he's not senile?Nigelb said:
Trump, responding with his customary restraint and good judgment, has sad that Biden is worse than the Nazis.BartholomewRoberts said:
His supporters are batshit crazy. Hopefully the typical wider American electorate is not.Sandpit said:His supporters will (and are) already dismissing it as politically motivated bulls**t, designed to cover for the corrupt Biden family, and because they know he’s the greatest ever President who will win again, which is why the Establishment wants to get him of the ballot.
Whether that sentiment resonates with the wider US electorate, on the other hand, is a question best left to the reader.
There is an uncanny amount of similarity between Jeremy Corbyn and Donald Trump, so perhaps like his British equivalent it will take a second electoral defeat in November next year to provide the stake through the heart that his form of politics so richly really needs.
Hopefully 6 January was the equivalent of Salisbury where the wider electorate saw his true colors [sic].
The Republican line - parroted by the House speaker - is that Biden has engineered the prosecution in some mysterious manner.0 -
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
1 -
Hold on. Where do you get the second number (40%) from?rcs1000 said:
He has an 80% chance of winning the Republican nomination, and a 40% chance of then winning the Presidency.viewcode said:
I have been saying for months that Trump has a non-trivial chance of winning 2024 and we have to take that possibility seriously, for betting purposes if nothing else.Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed0 -
Biden should be narrow favourite, I'd reckon given:viewcode said:
Hold on. Where do you get the second number (40%) from?rcs1000 said:
He has an 80% chance of winning the Republican nomination, and a 40% chance of then winning the Presidency.viewcode said:
I have been saying for months that Trump has a non-trivial chance of winning 2024 and we have to take that possibility seriously, for betting purposes if nothing else.Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
(a) The Dems did pretty well at the midterms
(b) Trump has pretty ugly favorables
(c) most patients are reelected
Of course, this could all change in the event that Biden is not the democratic nominee, or if evidence comes out that Hunter was more than a junkie claiming influence he didn't have.0 -
Just woken up by LOUD air raid sirens
😶
0 -
The shameless bollocks can be found beneath the skirts of the blokes pretending to be women.Cicero said:
Shameless bollocks from a dinosaur mcp.CarlottaVance said:ANDREW NEIL: Why I'm proud to be a 'TERF' and join JK Rowling on the front line in the gender wars
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-12362329/ANDREW-NEIL-Im-proud-TERF-join-JK-Rowling-line-gender-wars.html3 -
If you work for a bank, don’t ever write anything on any company systems that you don’t want to read in a national newspaper.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/08/01/bank-monzo-jeremy-hunt-refused-account-tories-evil/
“Staff at the bank which refused to give the Chancellor an account described the Conservatives as “evil” and celebrated Tory election losses, The Telegraph can reveal.
“Employees at Monzo, the challenger bank with more than seven million customers, also said Sir Jacob Rees Mogg, the Tory grandee, “could do the human race a favour” by leaving politics and called Harry Potter author JK Rowling “vile”.
“Amid a backlash over the “debanking scandal”, Jeremy Hunt revealed last month he had his application for an account with the lender rejected before he was appointed Chancellor.
“Monzo was also criticised last week after it emerged that it had told Gina Miller, the anti-Brexit campaigner, that it would close her political party’s account.”1 -
You appear to be saying that presidents - or ex-presidents - can do the heck what they want in spite of the law, and never get prosecuted for it. Yes, these prosecutions may be an utter mess and cause more divisions. But if Trump has committed crimes, then he should not be above the law.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
And there seems rather good indications that he broken the law on a few occasions - some seriously.
Do you really want presidents (or PMs) to be above the law?1 -
More sirens. Endless
0 -
More interestingly given the latest news, is 40% the chance he wins the Presidency, or the combined chance of him winning or stealing the Presidency....viewcode said:
Hold on. Where do you get the second number (40%) from?rcs1000 said:
He has an 80% chance of winning the Republican nomination, and a 40% chance of then winning the Presidency.viewcode said:
I have been saying for months that Trump has a non-trivial chance of winning 2024 and we have to take that possibility seriously, for betting purposes if nothing else.Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed0 -
I think Allanbrooke's point - which is not an unreasonable one - is that a lot of these offered are relatively minor ave would not be pursued if it were not TrumpJosiasJessop said:
You appear to be saying that presidents - or ex-presidents - can do the heck what they want in spite of the law, and never get prosecuted for it. Yes, these prosecutions may be an utter mess and cause more divisions. But if Trump has committed crimes, then he should not be above the law.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
And there seems rather good indications that he broken the law on a few occasions - some seriously.
Do you really want presidents (or PMs) to be above the law?
Like, for example, the hush money case.
At the same time, not all the offences are minor.2 -
So you're saying laws actually should not apply to him?Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
That's his attitude, certainly, and that's what's got him into trouble.
Nobody is 'hounding' him, they're enforcing the multiple laws he's deliberately broken for his own gain.0 -
Oooh, excellent, that would be the same Andrew Neil when editor of The Sunday Times, said and published articles that said HIV/AIDS only impacts the gays and doesn't impact heterosexuals.CarlottaVance said:ANDREW NEIL: Why I'm proud to be a 'TERF' and join JK Rowling on the front line in the gender wars
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/debate/article-12362329/ANDREW-NEIL-Im-proud-TERF-join-JK-Rowling-line-gender-wars.html
He was a dinosaur then and still a dinosaur now.5 -
TBF, they were only speaking the truth about Mogg.Sandpit said:If you work for a bank, don’t ever write anything on any company systems that you don’t want to read in a national newspaper.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/08/01/bank-monzo-jeremy-hunt-refused-account-tories-evil/
“Staff at the bank which refused to give the Chancellor an account described the Conservatives as “evil” and celebrated Tory election losses, The Telegraph can reveal.
“Employees at Monzo, the challenger bank with more than seven million customers, also said Sir Jacob Rees Mogg, the Tory grandee, “could do the human race a favour” by leaving politics and called Harry Potter author JK Rowling “vile”.
“Amid a backlash over the “debanking scandal”, Jeremy Hunt revealed last month he had his application for an account with the lender rejected before he was appointed Chancellor.
“Monzo was also criticised last week after it emerged that it had told Gina Miller, the anti-Brexit campaigner, that it would close her political party’s account.”
But they do come across as a bit Trumpite otherwise.0 -
On topic, for the sake of democracy and Ukraine, Trump needs to be remanded until trial then sentenced for 600 years.0
-
Of course not, but why then are all the others not facing prosecutions too ? Hilary and Obama broke confidentiality papers and Biden has questions, his son wouldnt be seeking to plea bargain if there were no crimes, and it has to be established how high those crimes go.JosiasJessop said:
You appear to be saying that presidents - or ex-presidents - can do the heck what they want in spite of the law, and never get prosecuted for it. Yes, these prosecutions may be an utter mess and cause more divisions. But if Trump has committed crimes, then he should not be above the law.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
And there seems rather good indications that he broken the law on a few occasions - some seriously.
Do you really want presidents (or PMs) to be above the law?
This is simply bad politics. Not that we can be sanctimonious about it we'll bury the crap in a public enquiry which has at least the advantage of stopping things getting overheated. But our PMs are effectively above the law.1 -
They should make a deal with him. Let him be King of Orange County in return for retiring from national politics and avoiding jail.TheScreamingEagles said:On topic, for the sake of democracy and Ukraine, Trump needs to be remanded until trial then sentenced for 600 years.
0 -
Plenty of Americans plea bargain when charged with a crime even when innocent because the legal process is such an expensive faff.Alanbrooke said:
Of course not, but why then are all the others not facing prosecutions too ? Hilary and Obama broke confidentiality papers and Biden has questions, his son wouldnt be seeking to plea bargain if there were no crimes, and it has to be established how high those crimes go.JosiasJessop said:
You appear to be saying that presidents - or ex-presidents - can do the heck what they want in spite of the law, and never get prosecuted for it. Yes, these prosecutions may be an utter mess and cause more divisions. But if Trump has committed crimes, then he should not be above the law.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
And there seems rather good indications that he broken the law on a few occasions - some seriously.
Do you really want presidents (or PMs) to be above the law?
This is simply bad politics. Not that we can be sanctimonious about it we'll bury the crap in a public enquiry which has at least the advantage of stopping things getting overheated. But our PMs are effectively above the law.
As for Obama and Biden, yes, they broke confidentiality, as did Clinton. It demonstrates they are very arrogant and make mistakes. Trump has done the same. However, we are currently talking about him being indicted for an attempted coup which only failed because Trump is as stupid as he's nasty. Do you honestly think that is comparable to sending emails on the wrong server and lying about it?
(Incidentally if the justice system in America were fully partisan and controlled by politicians why would Trump not have used it to lock up Clinton and Biden? It's worth remembering one of the things he is accused of doing is indeed making criminal allegations against Biden. Oddly, none of them led to an indictment.)0 -
Im saying the laws should apply to everyone and not just one individual. The US justice system is highly partisan and this is using the law to hamper an opponent who it appears cant be beaten by normal means.ydoethur said:
So you're saying laws actually should not apply to him?Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
That's his attitude, certainly, and that's what's got him into trouble.
Nobody is 'hounding' him, they're enforcing the multiple laws he's deliberately broken for his own gain.
That matter alone says what a poor position the Dems have, Worse now that the principle has been established if Trump were to win the election he can quite happily clear out the DoJ, pack it with his place men like Giuliani and lock up who he pleases as the Dems arent exactly choirboys.
And for the record I think that would be a total bag of shit too,1 -
I’ve got a horrible feeling Russia is slowly turning this war around
It is absorbing Ukraine’s attacks. Which essentially go nowhere. It counter attacks in the north and east. There is absolutely no sign of Russia “running out of missiles and drones” - it sent dozens last night and this morning. It is obviously getting new supplies
It is strangling Ukraine’s economy by bombarding the Black Sea coast. It is grinding down the Ukrainian army which has much more limited manpower than Russia
I don’t want to be pessimistic. I want Ukraine to win. But right now in Ukraine it *feels* bad0 -
Bad news for Rishi, the green crap works.
The average person in England buys only seven single-use plastic bags a year, less than a fifth of the number before the charge was introduced.
A 5p charge was brought in eight years ago for supermarkets, then doubled to 10p and expanded to cover small retailers.
The number of single-use plastic bags sold has plummeted from 2.1 billion in 2016-2017 to 406 million in the most recent financial year.
Tesco and Waitrose sold no single-use plastic bags last year. All the other big supermarkets had drops in the sale of plastic bags, apart from Sainsbury’s, which had an increase of 2.7 on the year before.
While the largest share of plastic bags were once sold by the main retailers — Asda, Marks & Spencer, Sainsbury’s, Tesco, the Co-op, Waitrose and Morrisons — the picture has changed and most are now sold at smaller shops.
A third of plastic bags sold last year were through the main retailers, down from more than half in 2016-2017.
As a result, supermarkets sold just two bags per person in England last year. The figure rises to seven when all retailers are factored in but it is a long way from the 38 in 2016-2017.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/uk-supermarket-plastic-carrier-bag-charge-fee-drop-usage-2023-lpgjwd83v2 -
Hunter has certainly committed (many) crimes. But the timings aren't great for a high conspiracy; his father was out of office at the time that Hunter was promising access to him. And I've yet to hear or read a single specific allegation of a time when Hunter actually used his father to achieve an outcome. Right now, the allegation is - pretty much - "junkie made claims for money". And if you know any junkies, you'll know they'll say almost anything if there's money for a score in there.Alanbrooke said:
Of course not, but why then are all the others not facing prosecutions too ? Hilary and Obama broke confidentiality papers and Biden has questions, his son wouldnt be seeking to plea bargain if there were no crimes, and it has to be established how high those crimes go.JosiasJessop said:
You appear to be saying that presidents - or ex-presidents - can do the heck what they want in spite of the law, and never get prosecuted for it. Yes, these prosecutions may be an utter mess and cause more divisions. But if Trump has committed crimes, then he should not be above the law.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
And there seems rather good indications that he broken the law on a few occasions - some seriously.
Do you really want presidents (or PMs) to be above the law?
This is simply bad politics. Not that we can be sanctimonious about it we'll bury the crap in a public enquiry which has at least the advantage of stopping things getting overheated. But our PMs are effectively above the law.
And nobody denies that many public figures have broken document retention laws. The difference is that - when called up on it - they've handed papers back and said "my bad". Trump lied about and then instructed people to destroy evidence.
That's perversion of the course of justice, and that's a pretty serious crime everywhere. (And it's also one that appears to be relatively well documented.)
I hate the idea that people are prosecuted for political reasons, whether Clinton or Trump or whoever. But at the same time, having been President can't give you an unlimited shield to allow you to break the law.1 -
Trump tried to use the justice system to hound his opponents. It didn't work for him because ultimately the law-breaking of say, Hilary Clinton was quite low level. She should not have done what she did, but she was stupid rather than malign.Alanbrooke said:
Im saying the laws should apply to everyone and not just one individual. The US justice system is highly partisan and this is using the law to hamper an opponent who it appears cant be beaten by normal means.ydoethur said:
So you're saying laws actually should not apply to him?Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
That's his attitude, certainly, and that's what's got him into trouble.
Nobody is 'hounding' him, they're enforcing the multiple laws he's deliberately broken for his own gain.
That matter alone says what a poor position the Dems have, Worse now that the principle has been established if Trump were to win the election he can quite happily clear out the DoJ, pack it with his place men like Giuliani and lock up who he pleases as the Dems arent exactly choirboys.
And for the record I think that would be a total bag of shit too,
Her husband was, in case you've forgotten, impeached for his crimes although he wasn't in the end convicted.0 -
Boom, boom!rcs1000 said:
Hunter has certainly committed (many) crimes. But the timings aren't great for a high conspiracy; his father was out of office at the time that Hunter was promising access to him. And I've yet to hear or read a single specific allegation of a time when Hunter actually used his father to achieve an outcome. Right now, the allegation is - pretty much - "junkie made claims for money". And if you know any junkies, you'll know they'll say almost anything if there's money for a score in there.Alanbrooke said:
Of course not, but why then are all the others not facing prosecutions too ? Hilary and Obama broke confidentiality papers and Biden has questions, his son wouldnt be seeking to plea bargain if there were no crimes, and it has to be established how high those crimes go.JosiasJessop said:
You appear to be saying that presidents - or ex-presidents - can do the heck what they want in spite of the law, and never get prosecuted for it. Yes, these prosecutions may be an utter mess and cause more divisions. But if Trump has committed crimes, then he should not be above the law.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
And there seems rather good indications that he broken the law on a few occasions - some seriously.
Do you really want presidents (or PMs) to be above the law?
This is simply bad politics. Not that we can be sanctimonious about it we'll bury the crap in a public enquiry which has at least the advantage of stopping things getting overheated. But our PMs are effectively above the law.
And nobody denies that many public figures have broken document retention laws. The difference is that - when called up on it - they've handed papers back and said "my bad". Trump lied about and then instructed people to destroy evidence.
That's perversion of the course of justice, and that's a pretty serious crime everywhere. (And it's also one that appears to be relatively well documented.)
I hate the idea that people are prosecuted for political reasons, whether Clinton or Trump or whoever. But at the same time, having been President can't give you an unlimited shield to allow you to break the law.0 -
Everything is the US has now become way too politicised and divisive.Alanbrooke said:
Of course not, but why then are all the others not facing prosecutions too ? Hilary and Obama broke confidentiality papers and Biden has questions, his son wouldnt be seeking to plea bargain if there were no crimes, and it has to be established how high those crimes go.JosiasJessop said:
You appear to be saying that presidents - or ex-presidents - can do the heck what they want in spite of the law, and never get prosecuted for it. Yes, these prosecutions may be an utter mess and cause more divisions. But if Trump has committed crimes, then he should not be above the law.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
And there seems rather good indications that he broken the law on a few occasions - some seriously.
Do you really want presidents (or PMs) to be above the law?
This is simply bad politics. Not that we can be sanctimonious about it we'll bury the crap in a public enquiry which has at least the advantage of stopping things getting overheated. But our PMs are effectively above the law.
Whether it’s an actual change in the behaviour of politicians, or whether it’s simply that the now find out more about what they’re really like, is a difficult call to make.
I really don’t like the idea of trying to find reasons to put your opponents in jail, that’s really not how these things should work in a democracy. It’s plain as day that if Trump wins, he won’t stop until Joe Biden, Hunter Biden, and Hillary Clinton, are all in jail too. Then the next time a Democrat wins, he’ll pardon the incarcerated Democrats then try and put Trump and associates in jail, and so on.
Someone needs to be the adult in the room, and take a step back. No idea who it might be though, and no idea when.0 -
"coup" ROFLydoethur said:
Plenty of Americans plea bargain when charged with a crime even when innocent because the legal process is such an expensive faff.Alanbrooke said:
Of course not, but why then are all the others not facing prosecutions too ? Hilary and Obama broke confidentiality papers and Biden has questions, his son wouldnt be seeking to plea bargain if there were no crimes, and it has to be established how high those crimes go.JosiasJessop said:
You appear to be saying that presidents - or ex-presidents - can do the heck what they want in spite of the law, and never get prosecuted for it. Yes, these prosecutions may be an utter mess and cause more divisions. But if Trump has committed crimes, then he should not be above the law.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
And there seems rather good indications that he broken the law on a few occasions - some seriously.
Do you really want presidents (or PMs) to be above the law?
This is simply bad politics. Not that we can be sanctimonious about it we'll bury the crap in a public enquiry which has at least the advantage of stopping things getting overheated. But our PMs are effectively above the law.
As for Obama and Biden, yes, they broke confidentiality, as did Clinton. It demonstrates they are very arrogant and make mistakes. Trump has done the same. However, we are currently talking about him being indicted for an attempted coup which only failed because Trump is as stupid as he's nasty. Do you honestly think that is comparable to sending emails on the wrong server and lying about it?
(Incidentally if the justice system in America were fully partisan and controlled by politicians why would Trump not have used it to lock up Clinton and Biden? It's worth remembering one of the things he is accused of doing is indeed making criminal allegations against Biden. Oddly, none of them led to an indictment.)
You clearly rate Trumps abilities much higher than me. J6 was incompetent policing.
A coup is when a bunch of blokes in tanks turn up in your capital and shut down government and take control of the media. See Russia last month of Niger this.
A big bag of wind sulking that he lost is not a coup. Indeed if there is one thing we saw from Trumps presidency its that hes not very good at organising and coups take a lot of organising.0 -
That's possibly the best news Ukraine have had in 18 months.Leon said:I’ve got a horrible feeling Russia is slowly turning this war around
It is absorbing Ukraine’s attacks. Which essentially go nowhere. It counter attacks in the north and east. There is absolutely no sign of Russia “running out of missiles and drones” - it sent dozens last night and this morning. It is obviously getting new supplies
It is strangling Ukraine’s economy by bombarding the Black Sea coast. It is grinding down the Ukrainian army which has much more limited manpower than Russia
I don’t want to be pessimistic. I want Ukraine to win. But right now in Ukraine it *feels* bad5 -
From the NYT. This does not sound like “winning”, from a Ukrainian perspective
“For the last two months, as Ukrainian troops have tried to break through Russian defenses in a broad counteroffensive to seize back occupied terrain in southern Ukraine, their units have run into dense minefields and heavy Russian artillery fire and drone attacks.
“Each mile is a bloody fight as the counteroffensive has progressed painfully slowly, with units coming up against dug-in Russian defenses and taking heavy casualties. Troops spearheading the offensive have breached the first line of defense in areas in recent days, potentially opening the way for a deeper assault.
“Positioned close to the front lines, the stabilization points, temporary medical posts where patients are stabilized for onward evacuation, have been receiving a constant inflow of soldiers wounded in the fighting. The numbers have been “colossal,” said a medic from the center where the three men from the 110th Brigade were treated.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/world/europe/ukraine-war-casualties-wounded.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
Colossal? Ukraine cannot afford “colossal”
0 -
Bullshit. It was a violent and illegal attempt to seize power. As you would see if you had actually bothered to read the incitement. That is what we call in English 'a coup.'Alanbrooke said:
"coup" ROFLydoethur said:
Plenty of Americans plea bargain when charged with a crime even when innocent because the legal process is such an expensive faff.Alanbrooke said:
Of course not, but why then are all the others not facing prosecutions too ? Hilary and Obama broke confidentiality papers and Biden has questions, his son wouldnt be seeking to plea bargain if there were no crimes, and it has to be established how high those crimes go.JosiasJessop said:
You appear to be saying that presidents - or ex-presidents - can do the heck what they want in spite of the law, and never get prosecuted for it. Yes, these prosecutions may be an utter mess and cause more divisions. But if Trump has committed crimes, then he should not be above the law.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
And there seems rather good indications that he broken the law on a few occasions - some seriously.
Do you really want presidents (or PMs) to be above the law?
This is simply bad politics. Not that we can be sanctimonious about it we'll bury the crap in a public enquiry which has at least the advantage of stopping things getting overheated. But our PMs are effectively above the law.
As for Obama and Biden, yes, they broke confidentiality, as did Clinton. It demonstrates they are very arrogant and make mistakes. Trump has done the same. However, we are currently talking about him being indicted for an attempted coup which only failed because Trump is as stupid as he's nasty. Do you honestly think that is comparable to sending emails on the wrong server and lying about it?
(Incidentally if the justice system in America were fully partisan and controlled by politicians why would Trump not have used it to lock up Clinton and Biden? It's worth remembering one of the things he is accused of doing is indeed making criminal allegations against Biden. Oddly, none of them led to an indictment.)
You clearly rate Trumps abilities much higher than me. J6 was incompetent policing.
And if you find it (a) funny and (b) irrelevant I'm afraid that tells us all we need to know about your political sympathies and why you don't want Trump indicted.8 -
Hang on, are you a different Leon to the Leon who regularly derides the NYT for knowing f all about everything?Leon said:From the NYT. This does not sound like “winning”, from a Ukrainian perspective
“For the last two months, as Ukrainian troops have tried to break through Russian defenses in a broad counteroffensive to seize back occupied terrain in southern Ukraine, their units have run into dense minefields and heavy Russian artillery fire and drone attacks.
“Each mile is a bloody fight as the counteroffensive has progressed painfully slowly, with units coming up against dug-in Russian defenses and taking heavy casualties. Troops spearheading the offensive have breached the first line of defense in areas in recent days, potentially opening the way for a deeper assault.
“Positioned close to the front lines, the stabilization points, temporary medical posts where patients are stabilized for onward evacuation, have been receiving a constant inflow of soldiers wounded in the fighting. The numbers have been “colossal,” said a medic from the center where the three men from the 110th Brigade were treated.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/world/europe/ukraine-war-casualties-wounded.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
Colossal? Ukraine cannot afford “colossal”3 -
Democracy really is under threat in the USA.viewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
A little less than half the electorate so hate the ruling liberal democratic elite that they are happy to destroy democracy to be rid of it. Trump is the first politician to offer them that possibility.
They really don't care what he has done. He's their man and they will be back him until the hated elite is destroyed, or he is.1 -
You in UFO territory. They seem to be heading for Crimea from what I read, 20 km or so and they hit the coast and the Russians in south and Crimea are toast. They are slowly advancing in north as well, Russia are f**ked long term regardless.Leon said:I’ve got a horrible feeling Russia is slowly turning this war around
It is absorbing Ukraine’s attacks. Which essentially go nowhere. It counter attacks in the north and east. There is absolutely no sign of Russia “running out of missiles and drones” - it sent dozens last night and this morning. It is obviously getting new supplies
It is strangling Ukraine’s economy by bombarding the Black Sea coast. It is grinding down the Ukrainian army which has much more limited manpower than Russia
I don’t want to be pessimistic. I want Ukraine to win. But right now in Ukraine it *feels* bad2 -
On Woke and race and other issues, the NYT is lamentably poor, if not mendaciousTheScreamingEagles said:
Hang on, are you a different Leon to the Leon who regularly derides the NYT for knowing f all about everything?Leon said:From the NYT. This does not sound like “winning”, from a Ukrainian perspective
“For the last two months, as Ukrainian troops have tried to break through Russian defenses in a broad counteroffensive to seize back occupied terrain in southern Ukraine, their units have run into dense minefields and heavy Russian artillery fire and drone attacks.
“Each mile is a bloody fight as the counteroffensive has progressed painfully slowly, with units coming up against dug-in Russian defenses and taking heavy casualties. Troops spearheading the offensive have breached the first line of defense in areas in recent days, potentially opening the way for a deeper assault.
“Positioned close to the front lines, the stabilization points, temporary medical posts where patients are stabilized for onward evacuation, have been receiving a constant inflow of soldiers wounded in the fighting. The numbers have been “colossal,” said a medic from the center where the three men from the 110th Brigade were treated.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/world/europe/ukraine-war-casualties-wounded.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
Colossal? Ukraine cannot afford “colossal”
In many other areas it is admirable - The Athletic is great for sport, it has interesting columnists, for a Brit subscriber it is an absurd bargain at 50p a week
And its foreign coverage is exemplary. Better than any British paper I think. Because, for a start, it can afford it: the NYT makes big money and it can send dedicated correspondents
I trust it on Ukraine. The latest signs are not good
Russia is bleeding Ukraine white. Grinding it down1 -
However bad you might think it looks in Ukraine, it looks way worse in Russia. They still have many hundreds of body bags per day, have lost more than 3,000 tanks, their economy is being strangled from the inside, and anyone with the money and means to escape has done so or is planning to.Leon said:I’ve got a horrible feeling Russia is slowly turning this war around
It is absorbing Ukraine’s attacks. Which essentially go nowhere. It counter attacks in the north and east. There is absolutely no sign of Russia “running out of missiles and drones” - it sent dozens last night and this morning. It is obviously getting new supplies
It is strangling Ukraine’s economy by bombarding the Black Sea coast. It is grinding down the Ukrainian army which has much more limited manpower than Russia
I don’t want to be pessimistic. I want Ukraine to win. But right now in Ukraine it *feels* bad
When the fighting is over, Ukraine can look forward to $1trn of international goodwill, and Russia can look forward to $1trn of international sanctions. All those who have left Russia, the wealth creators, well they’re not coming back either.1 -
The problem is that it is very easy to find 'laws that have been broken' on the part of anyone, if you start digging. It is not realistic to maintain that this is an entirely neutral, apolitical process in any context.Alanbrooke said:
Im saying the laws should apply to everyone and not just one individual. The US justice system is highly partisan and this is using the law to hamper an opponent who it appears cant be beaten by normal means.ydoethur said:
So you're saying laws actually should not apply to him?Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
That's his attitude, certainly, and that's what's got him into trouble.
Nobody is 'hounding' him, they're enforcing the multiple laws he's deliberately broken for his own gain.
That matter alone says what a poor position the Dems have, Worse now that the principle has been established if Trump were to win the election he can quite happily clear out the DoJ, pack it with his place men like Giuliani and lock up who he pleases as the Dems arent exactly choirboys.
And for the record I think that would be a total bag of shit too,
I think the Trump thing is very difficult. 'damned if you do, damned if you don't'. You either add fuel to his narrative of conspiracy, or tolerate his most outrageous abuses to try and hold the system together.
The risk is the strategy doesn't work. We get Trump, despite the prosecutions. And then what? It seems to me that this is a likely outcome.1 -
Her husbands case I would actually say was the start of this whole sorry saga, The GOP tried to nobble Clinton by foul means and that set off the tit for tat escalation we have seen ever since.ydoethur said:
Trump tried to use the justice system to hound his opponents. It didn't work for him because ultimately the law-breaking of say, Hilary Clinton was quite low level. She should not have done what she did, but she was stupid rather than malign.Alanbrooke said:
Im saying the laws should apply to everyone and not just one individual. The US justice system is highly partisan and this is using the law to hamper an opponent who it appears cant be beaten by normal means.ydoethur said:
So you're saying laws actually should not apply to him?Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
That's his attitude, certainly, and that's what's got him into trouble.
Nobody is 'hounding' him, they're enforcing the multiple laws he's deliberately broken for his own gain.
That matter alone says what a poor position the Dems have, Worse now that the principle has been established if Trump were to win the election he can quite happily clear out the DoJ, pack it with his place men like Giuliani and lock up who he pleases as the Dems arent exactly choirboys.
And for the record I think that would be a total bag of shit too,
Her husband was, in case you've forgotten, impeached for his crimes although he wasn't in the end convicted.
As for Trump using the justice system, well as you say nobody got convicted. But I dont agree with that either , someone somewhere has to put the genie back in the bottle it just wont be either of the two presidential candidates.0 -
Precisely. And the thing that makes me uncomfortable is there is always someone in the UK who wants to take the shittest of US political ideas and try them out.Sandpit said:
Everything is the US has now become way too politicised and divisive.Alanbrooke said:
Of course not, but why then are all the others not facing prosecutions too ? Hilary and Obama broke confidentiality papers and Biden has questions, his son wouldnt be seeking to plea bargain if there were no crimes, and it has to be established how high those crimes go.JosiasJessop said:
You appear to be saying that presidents - or ex-presidents - can do the heck what they want in spite of the law, and never get prosecuted for it. Yes, these prosecutions may be an utter mess and cause more divisions. But if Trump has committed crimes, then he should not be above the law.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
And there seems rather good indications that he broken the law on a few occasions - some seriously.
Do you really want presidents (or PMs) to be above the law?
This is simply bad politics. Not that we can be sanctimonious about it we'll bury the crap in a public enquiry which has at least the advantage of stopping things getting overheated. But our PMs are effectively above the law.
Whether it’s an actual change in the behaviour of politicians, or whether it’s simply that the now find out more about what they’re really like, is a difficult call to make.
I really don’t like the idea of trying to find reasons to put your opponents in jail, that’s really not how these things should work in a democracy. It’s plain as day that if Trump wins, he won’t stop until Joe Biden, Hunter Biden, and Hillary Clinton, are all in jail too. Then the next time a Democrat wins, he’ll pardon the incarcerated Democrats then try and put Trump and associates in jail, and so on.
Someone needs to be the adult in the room, and take a step back. No idea who it might be though, and no idea when.0 -
Leon said:
From the NYT. This does not sound like “winning”, from a Ukrainian perspective
“For the last two months, as Ukrainian troops have tried to break through Russian defenses in a broad counteroffensive to seize back occupied terrain in southern Ukraine, their units have run into dense minefields and heavy Russian artillery fire and drone attacks.
“Each mile is a bloody fight as the counteroffensive has progressed painfully slowly, with units coming up against dug-in Russian defenses and taking heavy casualties. Troops spearheading the offensive have breached the first line of defense in areas in recent days, potentially opening the way for a deeper assault.
“Positioned close to the front lines, the stabilization points, temporary medical posts where patients are stabilized for onward evacuation, have been receiving a constant inflow of soldiers wounded in the fighting. The numbers have been “colossal,” said a medic from the center where the three men from the 110th Brigade were treated.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/world/europe/ukraine-war-casualties-wounded.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
Colossal? Ukraine cannot afford “colossal”
So where does this go. Stalemate while the west ships in more arms and hope for a breakthrough ? Peace negotiations and some compromise ?
Ideally we would all like a swift Ukrainian win and Russia to replace Putin with someone less malign. That seems increasingly unlikely.0 -
Given the situation, a likely outcome is that the conflict gets frozen along the current lines, like Korea.Sandpit said:
However bad you might think it looks in Ukraine, it looks way worse in Russia. They still have many hundreds of body bags per day, have lost more than 3,000 tanks, their economy is being strangled from the inside, and anyone with the money and means to escape has done so or is planning to.Leon said:I’ve got a horrible feeling Russia is slowly turning this war around
It is absorbing Ukraine’s attacks. Which essentially go nowhere. It counter attacks in the north and east. There is absolutely no sign of Russia “running out of missiles and drones” - it sent dozens last night and this morning. It is obviously getting new supplies
It is strangling Ukraine’s economy by bombarding the Black Sea coast. It is grinding down the Ukrainian army which has much more limited manpower than Russia
I don’t want to be pessimistic. I want Ukraine to win. But right now in Ukraine it *feels* bad
When the fighting is over, Ukraine can look forward to $1trn of international goodwill, and Russia can look forward to $1trn of international sanctions. All those who have left Russia, the wealth creators, well they’re not coming back either.0 -
No bad policing stands, you can blame who you want for it.ydoethur said:
Bullshit. It was a violent and illegal attempt to seize power. As you would see if you had actually bothered to read the incitement. That is what we call in English 'a coup.'Alanbrooke said:
"coup" ROFLydoethur said:
Plenty of Americans plea bargain when charged with a crime even when innocent because the legal process is such an expensive faff.Alanbrooke said:
Of course not, but why then are all the others not facing prosecutions too ? Hilary and Obama broke confidentiality papers and Biden has questions, his son wouldnt be seeking to plea bargain if there were no crimes, and it has to be established how high those crimes go.JosiasJessop said:
You appear to be saying that presidents - or ex-presidents - can do the heck what they want in spite of the law, and never get prosecuted for it. Yes, these prosecutions may be an utter mess and cause more divisions. But if Trump has committed crimes, then he should not be above the law.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
And there seems rather good indications that he broken the law on a few occasions - some seriously.
Do you really want presidents (or PMs) to be above the law?
This is simply bad politics. Not that we can be sanctimonious about it we'll bury the crap in a public enquiry which has at least the advantage of stopping things getting overheated. But our PMs are effectively above the law.
As for Obama and Biden, yes, they broke confidentiality, as did Clinton. It demonstrates they are very arrogant and make mistakes. Trump has done the same. However, we are currently talking about him being indicted for an attempted coup which only failed because Trump is as stupid as he's nasty. Do you honestly think that is comparable to sending emails on the wrong server and lying about it?
(Incidentally if the justice system in America were fully partisan and controlled by politicians why would Trump not have used it to lock up Clinton and Biden? It's worth remembering one of the things he is accused of doing is indeed making criminal allegations against Biden. Oddly, none of them led to an indictment.)
You clearly rate Trumps abilities much higher than me. J6 was incompetent policing.
And if you find it (a) funny and (b) irrelevant I'm afraid that tells us all we need to know about your political sympathies and why you don't want Trump indicted.
As for supporting Trump I dont, but nor do I swallow the spin from Biden. Biden and Trump are both bad candidates and like 7 in 10 americans I would rather that wasnt the choice before the electorate,
1 -
A lot of this, I am afraid, is wishful thinking. Russia’s economy is expected to grow 1.5% this year. More than the UK, Germany, France. It has weathered the storm of sanctions and found a way to export its hydrocarbons. China is supplying it with crucial techSandpit said:
However bad you might think it looks in Ukraine, it looks way worse in Russia. They still have many hundreds of body bags per day, have lost more than 3,000 tanks, their economy is being strangled from the inside, and anyone with the money and means to escape has done so or is planning to.Leon said:I’ve got a horrible feeling Russia is slowly turning this war around
It is absorbing Ukraine’s attacks. Which essentially go nowhere. It counter attacks in the north and east. There is absolutely no sign of Russia “running out of missiles and drones” - it sent dozens last night and this morning. It is obviously getting new supplies
It is strangling Ukraine’s economy by bombarding the Black Sea coast. It is grinding down the Ukrainian army which has much more limited manpower than Russia
I don’t want to be pessimistic. I want Ukraine to win. But right now in Ukraine it *feels* bad
When the fighting is over, Ukraine can look forward to $1trn of international goodwill, and Russia can look forward to $1trn of international sanctions. All those who have left Russia, the wealth creators, well they’re not coming back either.
And given that Ukraine is now “on the offensive” there’s a good chance Ukraine is now losing more men than Russia, day by day
Look at the ages of these Ukrainian soldiers in the NYT report
““Around 10 rockets from a grenade launcher landed nearby,” the soldier, Batya, 51, said, describing the attack on their position. Still reeling from a concussion, he said he had grabbed a medical kit and run out to help the wounded. He came across the first wounded soldier, Vorchun (Grumpy), in the nearest bunker and bandaged his face and hands, and then found his friend Shuravi, 57, who had been dragged into a trench with a chest injury, he said.”0 -
The Ukranians have no interest in giving Russia one square mile of land as a result of their invasion. They’re willing to keep fighting until they run out of men. The worry is that the other countries supplying arms decide to give up on the Ukranians.darkage said:
Given the situation, a likely outcome is that the conflict gets frozen along the current lines, like Korea.Sandpit said:
However bad you might think it looks in Ukraine, it looks way worse in Russia. They still have many hundreds of body bags per day, have lost more than 3,000 tanks, their economy is being strangled from the inside, and anyone with the money and means to escape has done so or is planning to.Leon said:I’ve got a horrible feeling Russia is slowly turning this war around
It is absorbing Ukraine’s attacks. Which essentially go nowhere. It counter attacks in the north and east. There is absolutely no sign of Russia “running out of missiles and drones” - it sent dozens last night and this morning. It is obviously getting new supplies
It is strangling Ukraine’s economy by bombarding the Black Sea coast. It is grinding down the Ukrainian army which has much more limited manpower than Russia
I don’t want to be pessimistic. I want Ukraine to win. But right now in Ukraine it *feels* bad
When the fighting is over, Ukraine can look forward to $1trn of international goodwill, and Russia can look forward to $1trn of international sanctions. All those who have left Russia, the wealth creators, well they’re not coming back either.0 -
Well you're right there at least: Johnson with his Trump cosplay.Alanbrooke said:
Precisely. And the thing that makes me uncomfortable is there is always someone in the UK who wants to take the shittest of US political ideas and try them out.Sandpit said:
Everything is the US has now become way too politicised and divisive.Alanbrooke said:
Of course not, but why then are all the others not facing prosecutions too ? Hilary and Obama broke confidentiality papers and Biden has questions, his son wouldnt be seeking to plea bargain if there were no crimes, and it has to be established how high those crimes go.JosiasJessop said:
You appear to be saying that presidents - or ex-presidents - can do the heck what they want in spite of the law, and never get prosecuted for it. Yes, these prosecutions may be an utter mess and cause more divisions. But if Trump has committed crimes, then he should not be above the law.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
And there seems rather good indications that he broken the law on a few occasions - some seriously.
Do you really want presidents (or PMs) to be above the law?
This is simply bad politics. Not that we can be sanctimonious about it we'll bury the crap in a public enquiry which has at least the advantage of stopping things getting overheated. But our PMs are effectively above the law.
Whether it’s an actual change in the behaviour of politicians, or whether it’s simply that the now find out more about what they’re really like, is a difficult call to make.
I really don’t like the idea of trying to find reasons to put your opponents in jail, that’s really not how these things should work in a democracy. It’s plain as day that if Trump wins, he won’t stop until Joe Biden, Hunter Biden, and Hillary Clinton, are all in jail too. Then the next time a Democrat wins, he’ll pardon the incarcerated Democrats then try and put Trump and associates in jail, and so on.
Someone needs to be the adult in the room, and take a step back. No idea who it might be though, and no idea when.0 -
Russia is storing up long term horrors. But the rest of your comment is delusionalmalcolmg said:
You in UFO territory. They seem to be heading for Crimea from what I read, 20 km or so and they hit the coast and the Russians in south and Crimea are toast. They are slowly advancing in north as well, Russia are f**ked long term regardless.Leon said:I’ve got a horrible feeling Russia is slowly turning this war around
It is absorbing Ukraine’s attacks. Which essentially go nowhere. It counter attacks in the north and east. There is absolutely no sign of Russia “running out of missiles and drones” - it sent dozens last night and this morning. It is obviously getting new supplies
It is strangling Ukraine’s economy by bombarding the Black Sea coast. It is grinding down the Ukrainian army which has much more limited manpower than Russia
I don’t want to be pessimistic. I want Ukraine to win. But right now in Ukraine it *feels* bad0 -
I agree, the best way to handle Trump is to ignore him, dont give him more stuff to grievance monger, The one plus in the whole affair is that he is getting too old to go on much longer, Just sit him out and start afresh.darkage said:
The problem is that it is very easy to find 'laws that have been broken' on the part of anyone, if you start digging. It is not realistic to maintain that this is an entirely neutral, apolitical process in any context.Alanbrooke said:
Im saying the laws should apply to everyone and not just one individual. The US justice system is highly partisan and this is using the law to hamper an opponent who it appears cant be beaten by normal means.ydoethur said:
So you're saying laws actually should not apply to him?Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
That's his attitude, certainly, and that's what's got him into trouble.
Nobody is 'hounding' him, they're enforcing the multiple laws he's deliberately broken for his own gain.
That matter alone says what a poor position the Dems have, Worse now that the principle has been established if Trump were to win the election he can quite happily clear out the DoJ, pack it with his place men like Giuliani and lock up who he pleases as the Dems arent exactly choirboys.
And for the record I think that would be a total bag of shit too,
I think the Trump thing is very difficult. 'damned if you do, damned if you don't'. You either add fuel to his narrative of conspiracy, or tolerate his most outrageous abuses to try and hold the system together.
The risk is the strategy doesn't work. We get Trump, despite the prosecutions. And then what? It seems to me that this is a likely outcome.1 -
Perhaps the west should provide them with the weapons they ask for to destroy the Russian armies on their territory?Taz said:Leon said:From the NYT. This does not sound like “winning”, from a Ukrainian perspective
“For the last two months, as Ukrainian troops have tried to break through Russian defenses in a broad counteroffensive to seize back occupied terrain in southern Ukraine, their units have run into dense minefields and heavy Russian artillery fire and drone attacks.
“Each mile is a bloody fight as the counteroffensive has progressed painfully slowly, with units coming up against dug-in Russian defenses and taking heavy casualties. Troops spearheading the offensive have breached the first line of defense in areas in recent days, potentially opening the way for a deeper assault.
“Positioned close to the front lines, the stabilization points, temporary medical posts where patients are stabilized for onward evacuation, have been receiving a constant inflow of soldiers wounded in the fighting. The numbers have been “colossal,” said a medic from the center where the three men from the 110th Brigade were treated.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/world/europe/ukraine-war-casualties-wounded.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
Colossal? Ukraine cannot afford “colossal”
So where does this go. Stalemate while the west ships in more arms and hope for a breakthrough ? Peace negotiations and some compromise ?
Ideally we would all like a swift Ukrainian win and Russia to replace Putin with someone less malign. That seems increasingly unlikely.
We mess around with virtue signalling sanctions and seizing yachts, though I can't think of a single instance of them stopping a determined dictatorship.
It is an absolute disgrace that, eighteen months into this war, the Ukrainians STILL don't have modern jets or long range missiles. Or even enough shells.1 -
Au contraire;Alanbrooke said:
I agree, the best way to handle Trump is to ignore him, dont give him more stuff to grievance monger, The one plus in the whole affair is that he is getting too old to go on much longer, Just sit him out and start afresh.darkage said:
The problem is that it is very easy to find 'laws that have been broken' on the part of anyone, if you start digging. It is not realistic to maintain that this is an entirely neutral, apolitical process in any context.Alanbrooke said:
Im saying the laws should apply to everyone and not just one individual. The US justice system is highly partisan and this is using the law to hamper an opponent who it appears cant be beaten by normal means.ydoethur said:
So you're saying laws actually should not apply to him?Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
That's his attitude, certainly, and that's what's got him into trouble.
Nobody is 'hounding' him, they're enforcing the multiple laws he's deliberately broken for his own gain.
That matter alone says what a poor position the Dems have, Worse now that the principle has been established if Trump were to win the election he can quite happily clear out the DoJ, pack it with his place men like Giuliani and lock up who he pleases as the Dems arent exactly choirboys.
And for the record I think that would be a total bag of shit too,
I think the Trump thing is very difficult. 'damned if you do, damned if you don't'. You either add fuel to his narrative of conspiracy, or tolerate his most outrageous abuses to try and hold the system together.
The risk is the strategy doesn't work. We get Trump, despite the prosecutions. And then what? It seems to me that this is a likely outcome.
https://eu.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2023/07/20/trump-campaign-presidential-power-grab-2024-election/70430661007/0 -
They may be prosecuted. Or it might be that no crimes have been committed. It's not as if the Republicans have not been throwing enough mud about, some of it fairly hilarious. "I've got no evidence, but I know that Biden's an evil ***** who dances with the devil and Hilary Clinton at an orgy with underage children beneath a pizza shop."Alanbrooke said:
Of course not, but why then are all the others not facing prosecutions too ? Hilary and Obama broke confidentiality papers and Biden has questions, his son wouldnt be seeking to plea bargain if there were no crimes, and it has to be established how high those crimes go.JosiasJessop said:
You appear to be saying that presidents - or ex-presidents - can do the heck what they want in spite of the law, and never get prosecuted for it. Yes, these prosecutions may be an utter mess and cause more divisions. But if Trump has committed crimes, then he should not be above the law.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
And there seems rather good indications that he broken the law on a few occasions - some seriously.
Do you really want presidents (or PMs) to be above the law?
This is simply bad politics. Not that we can be sanctimonious about it we'll bury the crap in a public enquiry which has at least the advantage of stopping things getting overheated. But our PMs are effectively above the law.
That does not mean that the stuff Trump has been doing should be ignored.
"But our PMs are effectively above the law."
Tell that to Boris about the party and cake...0 -
Sigh.Alanbrooke said:
Her husbands case I would actually say was the start of this whole sorry saga, The GOP tried to nobble Clinton by foul means and that set off the tit for tat escalation we have seen ever since.ydoethur said:
Trump tried to use the justice system to hound his opponents. It didn't work for him because ultimately the law-breaking of say, Hilary Clinton was quite low level. She should not have done what she did, but she was stupid rather than malign.Alanbrooke said:
Im saying the laws should apply to everyone and not just one individual. The US justice system is highly partisan and this is using the law to hamper an opponent who it appears cant be beaten by normal means.ydoethur said:
So you're saying laws actually should not apply to him?Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
That's his attitude, certainly, and that's what's got him into trouble.
Nobody is 'hounding' him, they're enforcing the multiple laws he's deliberately broken for his own gain.
That matter alone says what a poor position the Dems have, Worse now that the principle has been established if Trump were to win the election he can quite happily clear out the DoJ, pack it with his place men like Giuliani and lock up who he pleases as the Dems arent exactly choirboys.
And for the record I think that would be a total bag of shit too,
Her husband was, in case you've forgotten, impeached for his crimes although he wasn't in the end convicted.
As for Trump using the justice system, well as you say nobody got convicted. But I dont agree with that either , someone somewhere has to put the genie back in the bottle it just wont be either of the two presidential candidates.
The point is he *tried* to use the justice system to nobble his opponents and he failed because what happened wasn't ultimately significant enough to secure an indictment so the lawyers concerned told him 'no.' Had Clinton not handed over her email server, however belatedly and reluctantly, it might have been different. But that was not his call. Just as this is not Biden's. Or anyone in the government.
What's happening now is they *are* indicting him for multiple crimes he has not only committed but is repeatedly doubling down on.
And if you genuinely think January 6th was bad policing, you are profoundly ignorant of what happened. Again, read the indictment. How would 'bad policing,' for example, have led to a crowd gathering at Trump's urging that wanted to lynch the Vice President?
And if you don't think that, well...2 -
The counter offensive could ultimately work; it is too early to conclude it has failed. If it doesn't then the likely outcome is a negotiated stalemate. I don't believe that the current government in Russia could agree a compromise/peace deal. There are some advantages of a stalemate instead of a 'peace deal' - mainly that Ukraine can maintain its readiness to defend itself, rather than relying on dubious 'assurances' from Russia.Taz said:Leon said:From the NYT. This does not sound like “winning”, from a Ukrainian perspective
“For the last two months, as Ukrainian troops have tried to break through Russian defenses in a broad counteroffensive to seize back occupied terrain in southern Ukraine, their units have run into dense minefields and heavy Russian artillery fire and drone attacks.
“Each mile is a bloody fight as the counteroffensive has progressed painfully slowly, with units coming up against dug-in Russian defenses and taking heavy casualties. Troops spearheading the offensive have breached the first line of defense in areas in recent days, potentially opening the way for a deeper assault.
“Positioned close to the front lines, the stabilization points, temporary medical posts where patients are stabilized for onward evacuation, have been receiving a constant inflow of soldiers wounded in the fighting. The numbers have been “colossal,” said a medic from the center where the three men from the 110th Brigade were treated.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/world/europe/ukraine-war-casualties-wounded.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
Colossal? Ukraine cannot afford “colossal”
So where does this go. Stalemate while the west ships in more arms and hope for a breakthrough ? Peace negotiations and some compromise ?
Ideally we would all like a swift Ukrainian win and Russia to replace Putin with someone less malign. That seems increasingly unlikely.0 -
Incidentally, just booked my first flight in over ten years. Italy for five days.
I'm looking forward to it, but not the flights. I hate flying.
Also my first time to Italy.2 -
Yes yes and hell start world war 3, turn america in to a fascist state bankrupt the economy etc. just like he didnt do in 2016. All that article tells you is the election campaign is getting in to gear.Mexicanpete said:
Au contraire;Alanbrooke said:
I agree, the best way to handle Trump is to ignore him, dont give him more stuff to grievance monger, The one plus in the whole affair is that he is getting too old to go on much longer, Just sit him out and start afresh.darkage said:
The problem is that it is very easy to find 'laws that have been broken' on the part of anyone, if you start digging. It is not realistic to maintain that this is an entirely neutral, apolitical process in any context.Alanbrooke said:
Im saying the laws should apply to everyone and not just one individual. The US justice system is highly partisan and this is using the law to hamper an opponent who it appears cant be beaten by normal means.ydoethur said:
So you're saying laws actually should not apply to him?Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
That's his attitude, certainly, and that's what's got him into trouble.
Nobody is 'hounding' him, they're enforcing the multiple laws he's deliberately broken for his own gain.
That matter alone says what a poor position the Dems have, Worse now that the principle has been established if Trump were to win the election he can quite happily clear out the DoJ, pack it with his place men like Giuliani and lock up who he pleases as the Dems arent exactly choirboys.
And for the record I think that would be a total bag of shit too,
I think the Trump thing is very difficult. 'damned if you do, damned if you don't'. You either add fuel to his narrative of conspiracy, or tolerate his most outrageous abuses to try and hold the system together.
The risk is the strategy doesn't work. We get Trump, despite the prosecutions. And then what? It seems to me that this is a likely outcome.
https://eu.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2023/07/20/trump-campaign-presidential-power-grab-2024-election/70430661007/1 -
Italy is fantastic, where are you going ?JosiasJessop said:Incidentally, just booked my first flight in over ten years. Italy for five days.
I'm looking forward to it, but not the flights. I hate flying.
Also my first time to Italy.1 -
Here's one for @Leon and @WhisperingOracle :
The various ways you can get ghosts in the machine.
https://twitter.com/DrPhiltill/status/1686389982884499458
Having worked a little with RF systems, I support this thread.0 -
Sooner or later there will be a ceasefire and some sort of deal that both sides intend to breach as soon as they think they have an advantage.Taz said:Leon said:From the NYT. This does not sound like “winning”, from a Ukrainian perspective
“For the last two months, as Ukrainian troops have tried to break through Russian defenses in a broad counteroffensive to seize back occupied terrain in southern Ukraine, their units have run into dense minefields and heavy Russian artillery fire and drone attacks.
“Each mile is a bloody fight as the counteroffensive has progressed painfully slowly, with units coming up against dug-in Russian defenses and taking heavy casualties. Troops spearheading the offensive have breached the first line of defense in areas in recent days, potentially opening the way for a deeper assault.
“Positioned close to the front lines, the stabilization points, temporary medical posts where patients are stabilized for onward evacuation, have been receiving a constant inflow of soldiers wounded in the fighting. The numbers have been “colossal,” said a medic from the center where the three men from the 110th Brigade were treated.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/world/europe/ukraine-war-casualties-wounded.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
Colossal? Ukraine cannot afford “colossal”
So where does this go. Stalemate while the west ships in more arms and hope for a breakthrough ? Peace negotiations and some compromise ?
Where the line is drawn when that happens is pretty much up to Biden and how much support he wants to or can sustain in Congress.
0 -
My son's taught himself a fair bit of Latin (finished DuoLingo, and is now trying to translate books). He loves Pompeii, so I'm taking him to Naples for a few days to visit the ruins as a reward. I daresay we'll try to squeeze as much as we can whilst in the Naples area. But it's only four-five days.Alanbrooke said:
Italy is fantastic, where are you going ?JosiasJessop said:Incidentally, just booked my first flight in over ten years. Italy for five days.
I'm looking forward to it, but not the flights. I hate flying.
Also my first time to Italy.
It's going to be fairly hot as well, so my plan to climb Vesuvius might not happen...1 -
An agreed stalemate seems likely to me. A muddy armisticedarkage said:
The counter offensive could ultimately work; it is too early to conclude it has failed. If it doesn't then the likely outcome is a negotiated stalemate. I don't believe that the current government in Russia could agree a compromise/peace deal. There are some advantages of a stalemate instead of a 'peace deal' - mainly that Ukraine can maintain its readiness to defend itself, rather than relying on dubious 'assurances' from Russia.Taz said:Leon said:From the NYT. This does not sound like “winning”, from a Ukrainian perspective
“For the last two months, as Ukrainian troops have tried to break through Russian defenses in a broad counteroffensive to seize back occupied terrain in southern Ukraine, their units have run into dense minefields and heavy Russian artillery fire and drone attacks.
“Each mile is a bloody fight as the counteroffensive has progressed painfully slowly, with units coming up against dug-in Russian defenses and taking heavy casualties. Troops spearheading the offensive have breached the first line of defense in areas in recent days, potentially opening the way for a deeper assault.
“Positioned close to the front lines, the stabilization points, temporary medical posts where patients are stabilized for onward evacuation, have been receiving a constant inflow of soldiers wounded in the fighting. The numbers have been “colossal,” said a medic from the center where the three men from the 110th Brigade were treated.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/world/europe/ukraine-war-casualties-wounded.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
Colossal? Ukraine cannot afford “colossal”
So where does this go. Stalemate while the west ships in more arms and hope for a breakthrough ? Peace negotiations and some compromise ?
Ideally we would all like a swift Ukrainian win and Russia to replace Putin with someone less malign. That seems increasingly unlikely.
@Sandpit is right that the Ukrainians have no desire to cede an inch of territory to the Russians. The trouble is Ukraine is simply running out of soldiers. If the men dying in the trenches are in their 50s - even late 50s - that is BAD
I fear an exhausted Ukraine will be forced to agree a truce over the winter which may then extend for many months or years as both sides regroup. Russia will keep most of what it’s got - Russify it - and count it as a bloody victory
It ain’t pretty. But that’s my guess0 -
No the point is he has been accused of it. He hasnt been convicted of anything,ydoethur said:
Sigh.Alanbrooke said:
Her husbands case I would actually say was the start of this whole sorry saga, The GOP tried to nobble Clinton by foul means and that set off the tit for tat escalation we have seen ever since.ydoethur said:
Trump tried to use the justice system to hound his opponents. It didn't work for him because ultimately the law-breaking of say, Hilary Clinton was quite low level. She should not have done what she did, but she was stupid rather than malign.Alanbrooke said:
Im saying the laws should apply to everyone and not just one individual. The US justice system is highly partisan and this is using the law to hamper an opponent who it appears cant be beaten by normal means.ydoethur said:
So you're saying laws actually should not apply to him?Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
That's his attitude, certainly, and that's what's got him into trouble.
Nobody is 'hounding' him, they're enforcing the multiple laws he's deliberately broken for his own gain.
That matter alone says what a poor position the Dems have, Worse now that the principle has been established if Trump were to win the election he can quite happily clear out the DoJ, pack it with his place men like Giuliani and lock up who he pleases as the Dems arent exactly choirboys.
And for the record I think that would be a total bag of shit too,
Her husband was, in case you've forgotten, impeached for his crimes although he wasn't in the end convicted.
As for Trump using the justice system, well as you say nobody got convicted. But I dont agree with that either , someone somewhere has to put the genie back in the bottle it just wont be either of the two presidential candidates.
The point is he *tried* to use the justice system to nobble his opponents and he failed because what happened wasn't ultimately significant enough to secure an indictment so the lawyers concerned told him 'no.' Had Clinton not handed over her email server, however belatedly and reluctantly, it might have been different. But that was not his call. Just as this is not Biden's. Or anyone in the government.
What's happening now is they *are* indicting him for multiple crimes he has not only committed but is repeatedly doubling down on.
And if you genuinely think January 6th was bad policing, you are profoundly ignorant of what happened. Again, read the indictment. How would 'bad policing,' for example, have led to a crowd gathering at Trump's urging that wanted to lynch the Vice President?
And if you don't think that, well...
And he has been accused of it not directly after the event when logically the state would lock up a real and present danger, but just before an election and by a partisan justice system. You draw one conclusion I draw another.
As for the policing issue London regulary gets trashed by people who shout down with the govt but these are riots not coups. And our police despite their critics handle them quite well. And just to wind you up even further J6 wasnt even a decent riot, I grew up in Ulster so I know what a riot looks like there were no petrol bombs, no stones no tear gas. Because all of those thinsg would have required organisation and hard work and Trump is too chaotic .1 -
Trump is acting like a mad gang boss with a personal vendetta and Americans are crazy enough to re-elect him. The Vox pops from Trump rallies are so full of delusional conspiracy stuff that 4 more years of Trump are a nightmare that looks likely to happen.
I don't bet much on American politics because it is too bonkers to predict. It would be fun if it didn't matter, but it does.2 -
This post is worth a read: https://twitter.com/RaduHossu/status/1686603149258203136?t=3Q6-qurOY8H089F6xWEQmw&s=19Leon said:
Russia is storing up long term horrors. But the rest of your comment is delusionalmalcolmg said:
You in UFO territory. They seem to be heading for Crimea from what I read, 20 km or so and they hit the coast and the Russians in south and Crimea are toast. They are slowly advancing in north as well, Russia are f**ked long term regardless.Leon said:I’ve got a horrible feeling Russia is slowly turning this war around
It is absorbing Ukraine’s attacks. Which essentially go nowhere. It counter attacks in the north and east. There is absolutely no sign of Russia “running out of missiles and drones” - it sent dozens last night and this morning. It is obviously getting new supplies
It is strangling Ukraine’s economy by bombarding the Black Sea coast. It is grinding down the Ukrainian army which has much more limited manpower than Russia
I don’t want to be pessimistic. I want Ukraine to win. But right now in Ukraine it *feels* bad
Ukraine have had to work their way through multiple lines of Russian defences with little air cover. We have expected them to deliver quick results in the way the US have in previous engagements but without air superiority.
Ukraine is making slow but steady progress and there are early signs that they may be in a position to make a breakthrough. Until now a lot of the focus has been on degrading Russian logistics as has been seen with bridge destructions and targeting of ammo dumps.
It may be me being optimistic but I think Ukraine will be in an improved position in a month's time.8 -
And that will lead to the same thing happening in five years, with Ukraine being invaded again under some pathetic excuse. Putin, and people like him in Russia, want Ukraine.Leon said:
A agreed stalemate seems likely to me. A muddy armisticedarkage said:
The counter offensive could ultimately work; it is too early to conclude it has failed. If it doesn't then the likely outcome is a negotiated stalemate. I don't believe that the current government in Russia could agree a compromise/peace deal. There are some advantages of a stalemate instead of a 'peace deal' - mainly that Ukraine can maintain its readiness to defend itself, rather than relying on dubious 'assurances' from Russia.Taz said:Leon said:From the NYT. This does not sound like “winning”, from a Ukrainian perspective
“For the last two months, as Ukrainian troops have tried to break through Russian defenses in a broad counteroffensive to seize back occupied terrain in southern Ukraine, their units have run into dense minefields and heavy Russian artillery fire and drone attacks.
“Each mile is a bloody fight as the counteroffensive has progressed painfully slowly, with units coming up against dug-in Russian defenses and taking heavy casualties. Troops spearheading the offensive have breached the first line of defense in areas in recent days, potentially opening the way for a deeper assault.
“Positioned close to the front lines, the stabilization points, temporary medical posts where patients are stabilized for onward evacuation, have been receiving a constant inflow of soldiers wounded in the fighting. The numbers have been “colossal,” said a medic from the center where the three men from the 110th Brigade were treated.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/world/europe/ukraine-war-casualties-wounded.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
Colossal? Ukraine cannot afford “colossal”
So where does this go. Stalemate while the west ships in more arms and hope for a breakthrough ? Peace negotiations and some compromise ?
Ideally we would all like a swift Ukrainian win and Russia to replace Putin with someone less malign. That seems increasingly unlikely.
@Sandpit is right that the Ukrainians have no desire to cede an inch of territory to the Russians. The trouble is Ukraine is simply running out of soldiers. If the men dying in the trenches are in their 50s - even late 50s - that is BAD
I fear an exhausted Ukraine will be forced to agree a truce over the winter which may then extend for many months or years as both sides regroup. Russia will keep most of what it’s got - Russify it - and count it as a bloody victory
It ain’t pretty. But that’s my guess
The 'stalemate' argument is *not* an argument for peace, in the medium or long term.1 -
D-Day was on the 6th June. It took the allies six weeks to capture Caen, which was supposed to be captured in the first few days. We tend to look back at history and think these things happened quicker than they did.AlistairM said:
This post is worth a read: https://twitter.com/RaduHossu/status/1686603149258203136?t=3Q6-qurOY8H089F6xWEQmw&s=19Leon said:
Russia is storing up long term horrors. But the rest of your comment is delusionalmalcolmg said:
You in UFO territory. They seem to be heading for Crimea from what I read, 20 km or so and they hit the coast and the Russians in south and Crimea are toast. They are slowly advancing in north as well, Russia are f**ked long term regardless.Leon said:I’ve got a horrible feeling Russia is slowly turning this war around
It is absorbing Ukraine’s attacks. Which essentially go nowhere. It counter attacks in the north and east. There is absolutely no sign of Russia “running out of missiles and drones” - it sent dozens last night and this morning. It is obviously getting new supplies
It is strangling Ukraine’s economy by bombarding the Black Sea coast. It is grinding down the Ukrainian army which has much more limited manpower than Russia
I don’t want to be pessimistic. I want Ukraine to win. But right now in Ukraine it *feels* bad
Ukraine have had to work their way through multiple lines of Russian defences with little air cover. We have expected them to deliver quick results in the way the US have in previous engagements but without air superiority.
Ukraine is making slow but steady progress and there are early signs that they may be in a position to make a breakthrough. Until now a lot of the focus has been on degrading Russian logistics as has been seen with bridge destructions and targeting of ammo dumps.
It may be me being optimistic but I think Ukraine will be in an improved position in a month's time.
Even last autumn's gains by Ukraine occurred after a lot of preparation and fighting, especially Kherson.1 -
And a continuation of the situation that has prevailed since 2014, albeit with the lines moved in favour of Russia.Leon said:
An agreed stalemate seems likely to me. A muddy armisticedarkage said:
The counter offensive could ultimately work; it is too early to conclude it has failed. If it doesn't then the likely outcome is a negotiated stalemate. I don't believe that the current government in Russia could agree a compromise/peace deal. There are some advantages of a stalemate instead of a 'peace deal' - mainly that Ukraine can maintain its readiness to defend itself, rather than relying on dubious 'assurances' from Russia.Taz said:Leon said:From the NYT. This does not sound like “winning”, from a Ukrainian perspective
“For the last two months, as Ukrainian troops have tried to break through Russian defenses in a broad counteroffensive to seize back occupied terrain in southern Ukraine, their units have run into dense minefields and heavy Russian artillery fire and drone attacks.
“Each mile is a bloody fight as the counteroffensive has progressed painfully slowly, with units coming up against dug-in Russian defenses and taking heavy casualties. Troops spearheading the offensive have breached the first line of defense in areas in recent days, potentially opening the way for a deeper assault.
“Positioned close to the front lines, the stabilization points, temporary medical posts where patients are stabilized for onward evacuation, have been receiving a constant inflow of soldiers wounded in the fighting. The numbers have been “colossal,” said a medic from the center where the three men from the 110th Brigade were treated.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/world/europe/ukraine-war-casualties-wounded.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
Colossal? Ukraine cannot afford “colossal”
So where does this go. Stalemate while the west ships in more arms and hope for a breakthrough ? Peace negotiations and some compromise ?
Ideally we would all like a swift Ukrainian win and Russia to replace Putin with someone less malign. That seems increasingly unlikely.
@Sandpit is right that the Ukrainians have no desire to cede an inch of territory to the Russians. The trouble is Ukraine is simply running out of soldiers. If the men dying in the trenches are in their 50s - even late 50s - that is BAD
I fear an exhausted Ukraine will be forced to agree a truce over the winter which may then extend for many months or years as both sides regroup. Russia will keep most of what it’s got - Russify it - and count it as a bloody victory
It ain’t pretty. But that’s my guess0 -
I agree. Russia has guaranteed itself a long term war with whatever is left of Ukraine. And unremitting hostility from the NATO nations next in line - Finland, Baltics, Poland, etcJosiasJessop said:
And that will lead to the same thing happening in five years, with Ukraine being invaded again under some pathetic excuse. Putin, and people like him in Russia, want Ukraine.Leon said:
A agreed stalemate seems likely to me. A muddy armisticedarkage said:
The counter offensive could ultimately work; it is too early to conclude it has failed. If it doesn't then the likely outcome is a negotiated stalemate. I don't believe that the current government in Russia could agree a compromise/peace deal. There are some advantages of a stalemate instead of a 'peace deal' - mainly that Ukraine can maintain its readiness to defend itself, rather than relying on dubious 'assurances' from Russia.Taz said:Leon said:From the NYT. This does not sound like “winning”, from a Ukrainian perspective
“For the last two months, as Ukrainian troops have tried to break through Russian defenses in a broad counteroffensive to seize back occupied terrain in southern Ukraine, their units have run into dense minefields and heavy Russian artillery fire and drone attacks.
“Each mile is a bloody fight as the counteroffensive has progressed painfully slowly, with units coming up against dug-in Russian defenses and taking heavy casualties. Troops spearheading the offensive have breached the first line of defense in areas in recent days, potentially opening the way for a deeper assault.
“Positioned close to the front lines, the stabilization points, temporary medical posts where patients are stabilized for onward evacuation, have been receiving a constant inflow of soldiers wounded in the fighting. The numbers have been “colossal,” said a medic from the center where the three men from the 110th Brigade were treated.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/world/europe/ukraine-war-casualties-wounded.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
Colossal? Ukraine cannot afford “colossal”
So where does this go. Stalemate while the west ships in more arms and hope for a breakthrough ? Peace negotiations and some compromise ?
Ideally we would all like a swift Ukrainian win and Russia to replace Putin with someone less malign. That seems increasingly unlikely.
@Sandpit is right that the Ukrainians have no desire to cede an inch of territory to the Russians. The trouble is Ukraine is simply running out of soldiers. If the men dying in the trenches are in their 50s - even late 50s - that is BAD
I fear an exhausted Ukraine will be forced to agree a truce over the winter which may then extend for many months or years as both sides regroup. Russia will keep most of what it’s got - Russify it - and count it as a bloody victory
It ain’t pretty. But that’s my guess
The 'stalemate' argument is *not* an argument for peace, in the medium or long term.
However I’m talking short-medium term and in that context I am not optimistic. Russia is gonna hold on to what it’s got - Ukraine does not have the manpower or firepower to take it back. Attack is so much harder than defence, especially with limited forces
I hope the brave Ukrainians embarrass me and prove me stupidly wrong0 -
To be definitive, it would need Roger to pronounce.ydoethur said:
That's possibly the best news Ukraine have had in 18 months.Leon said:I’ve got a horrible feeling Russia is slowly turning this war around
It is absorbing Ukraine’s attacks. Which essentially go nowhere. It counter attacks in the north and east. There is absolutely no sign of Russia “running out of missiles and drones” - it sent dozens last night and this morning. It is obviously getting new supplies
It is strangling Ukraine’s economy by bombarding the Black Sea coast. It is grinding down the Ukrainian army which has much more limited manpower than Russia
I don’t want to be pessimistic. I want Ukraine to win. But right now in Ukraine it *feels* bad0 -
More accurately they are running out of men who can't avoid conscription because there are plenty of ways around it. The gun shy can bribe their way into fake or real 'bron' (protected) jobs, single women with three kids are suddenly the most desirable fiancees in Ukraine as their is no conscription for fathers or stepfathers of three and there is loads of advice online about how to fake exempting medical conditions.Leon said:
An agreed stalemate seems likely to me. A muddy armisticedarkage said:
The counter offensive could ultimately work; it is too early to conclude it has failed. If it doesn't then the likely outcome is a negotiated stalemate. I don't believe that the current government in Russia could agree a compromise/peace deal. There are some advantages of a stalemate instead of a 'peace deal' - mainly that Ukraine can maintain its readiness to defend itself, rather than relying on dubious 'assurances' from Russia.Taz said:Leon said:From the NYT. This does not sound like “winning”, from a Ukrainian perspective
“For the last two months, as Ukrainian troops have tried to break through Russian defenses in a broad counteroffensive to seize back occupied terrain in southern Ukraine, their units have run into dense minefields and heavy Russian artillery fire and drone attacks.
“Each mile is a bloody fight as the counteroffensive has progressed painfully slowly, with units coming up against dug-in Russian defenses and taking heavy casualties. Troops spearheading the offensive have breached the first line of defense in areas in recent days, potentially opening the way for a deeper assault.
“Positioned close to the front lines, the stabilization points, temporary medical posts where patients are stabilized for onward evacuation, have been receiving a constant inflow of soldiers wounded in the fighting. The numbers have been “colossal,” said a medic from the center where the three men from the 110th Brigade were treated.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/world/europe/ukraine-war-casualties-wounded.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
Colossal? Ukraine cannot afford “colossal”
So where does this go. Stalemate while the west ships in more arms and hope for a breakthrough ? Peace negotiations and some compromise ?
Ideally we would all like a swift Ukrainian win and Russia to replace Putin with someone less malign. That seems increasingly unlikely.
@Sandpit is right that the Ukrainians have no desire to cede an inch of territory to the Russians. The trouble is Ukraine is simply running out of soldiers. If the men dying in the trenches are in their 50s - even late 50s - that is BAD
And yes, before the habitual Russophobes start giving their balls a tug, this and more goes on in Russian Federation too.0 -
Its not something that anyone wants. It is just a prediction of what will happen if 'beat back Russia' fails. The latter strategy worked for a while but may have now reached its limits.JosiasJessop said:
And that will lead to the same thing happening in five years, with Ukraine being invaded again under some pathetic excuse. Putin, and people like him in Russia, want Ukraine.Leon said:
A agreed stalemate seems likely to me. A muddy armisticedarkage said:
The counter offensive could ultimately work; it is too early to conclude it has failed. If it doesn't then the likely outcome is a negotiated stalemate. I don't believe that the current government in Russia could agree a compromise/peace deal. There are some advantages of a stalemate instead of a 'peace deal' - mainly that Ukraine can maintain its readiness to defend itself, rather than relying on dubious 'assurances' from Russia.Taz said:Leon said:From the NYT. This does not sound like “winning”, from a Ukrainian perspective
“For the last two months, as Ukrainian troops have tried to break through Russian defenses in a broad counteroffensive to seize back occupied terrain in southern Ukraine, their units have run into dense minefields and heavy Russian artillery fire and drone attacks.
“Each mile is a bloody fight as the counteroffensive has progressed painfully slowly, with units coming up against dug-in Russian defenses and taking heavy casualties. Troops spearheading the offensive have breached the first line of defense in areas in recent days, potentially opening the way for a deeper assault.
“Positioned close to the front lines, the stabilization points, temporary medical posts where patients are stabilized for onward evacuation, have been receiving a constant inflow of soldiers wounded in the fighting. The numbers have been “colossal,” said a medic from the center where the three men from the 110th Brigade were treated.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/world/europe/ukraine-war-casualties-wounded.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
Colossal? Ukraine cannot afford “colossal”
So where does this go. Stalemate while the west ships in more arms and hope for a breakthrough ? Peace negotiations and some compromise ?
Ideally we would all like a swift Ukrainian win and Russia to replace Putin with someone less malign. That seems increasingly unlikely.
@Sandpit is right that the Ukrainians have no desire to cede an inch of territory to the Russians. The trouble is Ukraine is simply running out of soldiers. If the men dying in the trenches are in their 50s - even late 50s - that is BAD
I fear an exhausted Ukraine will be forced to agree a truce over the winter which may then extend for many months or years as both sides regroup. Russia will keep most of what it’s got - Russify it - and count it as a bloody victory
It ain’t pretty. But that’s my guess
The 'stalemate' argument is *not* an argument for peace, in the medium or long term.
The countries that back Ukraine are unlikely to support an endless war.0 -
It must have escaped your notice that Congress have been doing just that - and appear to have turned up nothing at all that implicates the President.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
His son has been charged with crimes - having faced more Congressional investigation than any private citizen in the last couple of decades -and is currently having his plea deal reviewed by a Republican appointed judge.
Unlike various members of Trump's family, he's never held any position in the administration.
Your both sides-ism is feeble.
3 -
Yep, to unite the two threads on here currently - Putin knows he just has to wait for a Trump presidential election victory and the entire picture changes. And Trump has a great chance to win. Biden is a decent to good president, he will be an utterly disastrous candidate.Foxy said:Trump is acting like a mad gang boss with a personal vendetta and Americans are crazy enough to re-elect him. The Vox pops from Trump rallies are so full of delusional conspiracy stuff that 4 more years of Trump are a nightmare that looks likely to happen.
I don't bet much on American politics because it is too bonkers to predict. It would be fun if it didn't matter, but it does.
All those saying they're as bad as each other will never admit how important Biden has been to helping Ukraine fend off Putin. And they’ll blame France and Germany when Trump scales US involvement back.
But the blame game won’t change the facts on the ground. Without substantial and continued US aid, Ukraine will be on the back foot very quickly. That will have massive implications for all of us, while emboldening China in East Asia generally and with regards to Taiwan specifically.
3 -
Well if you think the Dems have no dirty linen I wish you well with that.Nigelb said:
It must have escaped your notice that Congress have been doing just that - and appear to have turned up nothing at all that implicates the President.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
His son has been charged with crimes - having faced more Congressional investigation than any private citizen in the last couple of decades -and is currently having his plea deal reviewed by a Republican appointed judge.
Unlike various members of Trump's family, he's never held any position in the administration.
Your both sides-ism is feeble.2 -
I note from the indictment that his own White House Chief of Staff has testified against him.ydoethur said:
Sigh.Alanbrooke said:
Her husbands case I would actually say was the start of this whole sorry saga, The GOP tried to nobble Clinton by foul means and that set off the tit for tat escalation we have seen ever since.ydoethur said:
Trump tried to use the justice system to hound his opponents. It didn't work for him because ultimately the law-breaking of say, Hilary Clinton was quite low level. She should not have done what she did, but she was stupid rather than malign.Alanbrooke said:
Im saying the laws should apply to everyone and not just one individual. The US justice system is highly partisan and this is using the law to hamper an opponent who it appears cant be beaten by normal means.ydoethur said:
So you're saying laws actually should not apply to him?Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
That's his attitude, certainly, and that's what's got him into trouble.
Nobody is 'hounding' him, they're enforcing the multiple laws he's deliberately broken for his own gain.
That matter alone says what a poor position the Dems have, Worse now that the principle has been established if Trump were to win the election he can quite happily clear out the DoJ, pack it with his place men like Giuliani and lock up who he pleases as the Dems arent exactly choirboys.
And for the record I think that would be a total bag of shit too,
Her husband was, in case you've forgotten, impeached for his crimes although he wasn't in the end convicted.
As for Trump using the justice system, well as you say nobody got convicted. But I dont agree with that either , someone somewhere has to put the genie back in the bottle it just wont be either of the two presidential candidates.
The point is he *tried* to use the justice system to nobble his opponents and he failed because what happened wasn't ultimately significant enough to secure an indictment so the lawyers concerned told him 'no.' Had Clinton not handed over her email server, however belatedly and reluctantly, it might have been different. But that was not his call. Just as this is not Biden's. Or anyone in the government.
What's happening now is they *are* indicting him for multiple crimes he has not only committed but is repeatedly doubling down on.
And if you genuinely think January 6th was bad policing, you are profoundly ignorant of what happened. Again, read the indictment. How would 'bad policing,' for example, have led to a crowd gathering at Trump's urging that wanted to lynch the Vice President?
And if you don't think that, well...0 -
Quite. I desperately want Ukraine to win. But I see what I seedarkage said:
Its not something that anyone wants. It is just a prediction of what will happen if 'beat back Russia' fails. The latter strategy worked for a while but may have now reached its limits.JosiasJessop said:
And that will lead to the same thing happening in five years, with Ukraine being invaded again under some pathetic excuse. Putin, and people like him in Russia, want Ukraine.Leon said:
A agreed stalemate seems likely to me. A muddy armisticedarkage said:
The counter offensive could ultimately work; it is too early to conclude it has failed. If it doesn't then the likely outcome is a negotiated stalemate. I don't believe that the current government in Russia could agree a compromise/peace deal. There are some advantages of a stalemate instead of a 'peace deal' - mainly that Ukraine can maintain its readiness to defend itself, rather than relying on dubious 'assurances' from Russia.Taz said:Leon said:From the NYT. This does not sound like “winning”, from a Ukrainian perspective
“For the last two months, as Ukrainian troops have tried to break through Russian defenses in a broad counteroffensive to seize back occupied terrain in southern Ukraine, their units have run into dense minefields and heavy Russian artillery fire and drone attacks.
“Each mile is a bloody fight as the counteroffensive has progressed painfully slowly, with units coming up against dug-in Russian defenses and taking heavy casualties. Troops spearheading the offensive have breached the first line of defense in areas in recent days, potentially opening the way for a deeper assault.
“Positioned close to the front lines, the stabilization points, temporary medical posts where patients are stabilized for onward evacuation, have been receiving a constant inflow of soldiers wounded in the fighting. The numbers have been “colossal,” said a medic from the center where the three men from the 110th Brigade were treated.”
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/08/02/world/europe/ukraine-war-casualties-wounded.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share&referringSource=articleShare
Colossal? Ukraine cannot afford “colossal”
So where does this go. Stalemate while the west ships in more arms and hope for a breakthrough ? Peace negotiations and some compromise ?
Ideally we would all like a swift Ukrainian win and Russia to replace Putin with someone less malign. That seems increasingly unlikely.
@Sandpit is right that the Ukrainians have no desire to cede an inch of territory to the Russians. The trouble is Ukraine is simply running out of soldiers. If the men dying in the trenches are in their 50s - even late 50s - that is BAD
I fear an exhausted Ukraine will be forced to agree a truce over the winter which may then extend for many months or years as both sides regroup. Russia will keep most of what it’s got - Russify it - and count it as a bloody victory
It ain’t pretty. But that’s my guess
The 'stalemate' argument is *not* an argument for peace, in the medium or long term.
The countries that back Ukraine are unlikely to support an endless war.
The MoD generally adopts a positive attitude to the Ukrainian cause. Here is its latest map of the front lines. This does not scream “imminent pivotal breakthrough” to me
Of course that blogger upthread might be right and Ukraine is doing much better than this under the radar. Let’s hope so
1 -
It really should be feeble but its actually powerful enough that it may play a part in the end of US democracy. It gives "respectable" Republicans enough cover to hold their noses and vote for a quite mad and dangerous President.Nigelb said:
It must have escaped your notice that Congress have been doing just that - and appear to have turned up nothing at all that implicates the President.Alanbrooke said:
What is it about Trump that make otherwise sensible people lose their marbles ?rcs1000 said:
"Lock her up" was shouted by who, again?Alanbrooke said:
This isnt a crime story its a politics oneviewcode said:
Good point. Viewed at this remove, Nixon's crimes appear almost quaint in comparisonCarlottaVance said:As a Watergate historian, it’s worth noting that nothing Nixon did—and he had plenty of crimes and conspiracies, involving more than 60 people criminally charged—approached the scale and severity of Trump’s assault on American democracy.
https://twitter.com/vermontgmg/status/1686531761352609792?s=20
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2023/08/01/trump-biden-2024-presidential-election-white-house-poll/
The Democrats have opened Pandoras box and this could go anywhere . THe US is screwed
And, it's the Democrats fault that Donald Trump allegedly committed crimes?
You can call a "pox on both your houses" with some degree of accuracy. But to point to the Dems and say the ball is entirely in your court - as you are doing - is willfully blind.
Now, I really, really hate the idea that governments use their political power to pursue political opponents. (Like Trump and the IRS vs Comey, for example.) But at the same time, should your political position shield you from all legal liability?
What of the upcoming tax/wirefraud case in NY? Trump valued properties at one price for the tax authorities and another for mortgages. And this wasn't a 10% difference, it was a multiple. People go to jail for that kind of thing all the time. Should he not be prosecuted, solely because he was President?
Hounding Trump will achieve precisely nothing except to make him more popular with his supporters and make diviisions in US society deeper.
As for the legal guff, Hilary is still walking free and has never been near a court nd I dont think anyome seriously expects the Biden\Hunter mess to be investigated before an election.
His son has been charged with crimes - having faced more Congressional investigation than any private citizen in the last couple of decades -and is currently having his plea deal reviewed by a Republican appointed judge.
Unlike various members of Trump's family, he's never held any position in the administration.
Your both sides-ism is feeble.1 -
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Nonetheless, he was elected under their system the first time around.Fishing said:
Americans have never elected him. The first time it was the screwy electoral college that did it, and the second time he lost by several million votes.Foxy said:Trump is acting like a mad gang boss with a personal vendetta and Americans are crazy enough to re-elect him.
3