politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Will UKIP overshadow Cameron’s big day?
Coupled with the seven day a week GP promise announced yesterday, it is clear what the Tories will be focussing upon. I suspect the NHS will form a key part of the election battle. It will be risky business for both the Blues and Reds.
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First ..... again!0
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Brown having made a bit of a comeback in the Indyref, goes off on one showing he has learned nothing in the last 5 years.
http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/scottish-politics/brown-accuses-cameron-of-setting-trap-for-scots-voters.254750800 -
Podium finish!0
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Ok, according to SKY, this is Farage's big surprise... http://news.sky.com/story/1345219/conservative-party-donor-switches-to-ukip0
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Odd isn't it that these very rich and presumably very smart people like Paul Sykes and Arron Banks risk handing the next GE to Labour on a plate by transferring their allegiance to UKIP?numbercruncher said:Ok, according to SKY, this is Farage's big surprise... http://news.sky.com/story/1345219/conservative-party-donor-switches-to-ukip
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I know that this is impossible for you to understand, but maybe they don't like what the Tories have to offer, are not obsessed about Labour and feel that UKIP best represents their views.peter_from_putney said:
Odd isn't it that these very rich and presumably very smart people like Paul Sykes and Arron Banks risk handing the next GE to Labour on a plate by transferring their allegiance to UKIP?numbercruncher said:Ok, according to SKY, this is Farage's big surprise... http://news.sky.com/story/1345219/conservative-party-donor-switches-to-ukip
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Brown obviously feels he needs to raise his profile as Scotland's Most Important Has-been, now Salmond has stepped down...Alanbrooke said:Brown having made a bit of a comeback in the Indyref, goes off on one showing he has learned nothing in the last 5 years.
http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/scottish-politics/brown-accuses-cameron-of-setting-trap-for-scots-voters.25475080
Although, you wonder why they bother, as neither will match Jeanette Krankie.
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Jonathan, I think you could profit by Googling "irony"...Jonathan said:
I know that this is impossible for you to understand, but maybe they don't like what the Tories have to offer, are not obsessed about Labour and feel that UKIP best represents their views.peter_from_putney said:
Odd isn't it that these very rich and presumably very smart people like Paul Sykes and Arron Banks risk handing the next GE to Labour on a plate by transferring their allegiance to UKIP?numbercruncher said:Ok, according to SKY, this is Farage's big surprise... http://news.sky.com/story/1345219/conservative-party-donor-switches-to-ukip
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Not an MP? I'm disappointed, I must admit.0
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Whew, Cameron is scared, isn't he, if he's offering to protect the NHS from further cuts. This will at least hearten all those senior bureaucrats who have no other work to do but to make those cuts. Will someone (Osborne presumably) explain to our dim PM that the NHS is unaffordable, because treatments get more and more expensive and every year there are more and more sickly and unproductive oldies? Even Labour knows this, so why he doesn't is beyond me...0
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If only that were the case.Innocent_Abroad said:
Jonathan, I think you could profit by Googling "irony"...Jonathan said:
I know that this is impossible for you to understand, but maybe they don't like what the Tories have to offer, are not obsessed about Labour and feel that UKIP best represents their views.peter_from_putney said:
Odd isn't it that these very rich and presumably very smart people like Paul Sykes and Arron Banks risk handing the next GE to Labour on a plate by transferring their allegiance to UKIP?numbercruncher said:Ok, according to SKY, this is Farage's big surprise... http://news.sky.com/story/1345219/conservative-party-donor-switches-to-ukip
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Brave of Cameron, if that headline is reflective of the spin, to major on the NHS. Generally speaking focussing on the NHS boosts Labour. Even Stafford and other disgraces did not break the trend of having the NHS in the news being good for Labour. One of Hunt's considerable achievements has to be to ensure the NHS is not in the news nearly as often as it was under Lansley.
So how is he going to do it? The answer must be to tie the NHS to his strong point in the economy. His line will be that unless you have sensible and competent policies on the economy and, above all, deal with the deficit, it will not be possible to protect the NHS.
I suspect that he will also major on the point that the Tories are willing to tell us, and at least in part have told us, where the necessary and inevitable cuts will fall to allow the NHS to be protected. A person not willing to say where the cuts will fall cannot be trusted in the same way.
Will it work? Doubtful. The Labour lead on the NHS is too great. Fighting the battle on someone else's ground is rarely a good idea. He would have been better playing to his strengths. But it is brave.0 -
UKIP are a party of gesture politics, where that gesture is the two-fingered salute.
Which is hardly a manifesto for governing the country. The paucity of policy was on show at Doncaster.
I suspect that come late 2015, when he has voted 95%+ of the time with the Conservatives, Douglas Carswell will be wondering "what was the point to it all?" As he fails to stop Ed Miliband from enacting a raft of legislation that makes his blood boil.
And Mark Reckless will be wondering the same, as he takes another forlorn trip down to the Job Centre to see if anybody wants to employ an arsehole....0 -
Well, that was the defector....0
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YouGov:
01.10.14 SNP 43, Labour 23.
01.10.13 Labour 39, SNP 230 -
Quite.MarqueeMark said:UKIP are a party of gesture politics, where that gesture is the two-fingered salute.
Which is hardly a manifesto for governing the country. The paucity of policy was on show at Doncaster.
I suspect that come late 2015, when he has voted 95%+ of the time with the Conservatives, Douglas Carswell will be wondering "what was the point to it all?" As he fails to stop Ed Miliband from enacting a raft of legislation that makes his blood boil.
And Mark Reckless will be wondering the same, as he takes another forlorn trip down to the Job Centre to see if anybody wants to employ an arsehole....
Carswell will also note that Ed has no intention of attempting any renegotiation of powers with the EU, that the serious and obvious implications for the UK in an ever more integrated Eurozone is something that apparently passes him by and does not concern him and that any discussion of a possible referendum on membership will be met with derision.
But he will have been right won't he? The same as these loons have been "right" since 1992. And have done nothing but harm.0 -
FPT - What’s the antonym of: bounce?0
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pancakeSimonStClare said:FPT - What’s the antonym of: bounce?
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You seem a bit down this morning, David. Let me cheer you up by reminding us all of my prediction for the GE next May:DavidL said:
Quite.MarqueeMark said:UKIP are a party of gesture politics, where that gesture is the two-fingered salute.
Which is hardly a manifesto for governing the country. The paucity of policy was on show at Doncaster.
I suspect that come late 2015, when he has voted 95%+ of the time with the Conservatives, Douglas Carswell will be wondering "what was the point to it all?" As he fails to stop Ed Miliband from enacting a raft of legislation that makes his blood boil.
And Mark Reckless will be wondering the same, as he takes another forlorn trip down to the Job Centre to see if anybody wants to employ an arsehole....
Carswell will also note that Ed has no intention of attempting any renegotiation of powers with the EU, that the serious and obvious implications for the UK in an ever more integrated Eurozone is something that apparently passes him by and does not concern him and that any discussion of a possible referendum on membership will be met with derision.
But he will have been right won't he? The same as these loons have been "right" since 1992. And have done nothing but harm.
Con 35%, Lab 25%, UKIP 23%. SNP to poll more in Scotland than LDs do in the whole of Great Britain. (Dunno if Nick Palmer is still happy with my £20 to charity or not.)
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Boris on Newsnight last night was excellent. Betrayed the scholar behind the clown mask "Which is the only word in Churchill's 'fight them on the beaches' speech that derives from a Latinate (Romantic) language?"0
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I thought the top 3 issues for voters were recently identified as (in order):
1. The economy / public finances
2. Immigration
3. NHS
Dave would be a fruitloop to focus mainly on No3 - which is Labour's pet. OK to go on protective manoeuvres here and offer comfort on 'NHS safe with us'- but the core GE stuff must also be on 1 and 2.
Ozzy has set out clear blue water between the Tories and Labour on 1 - and needs to keep pushing and extending this lead and further undermine voter confidence in Labour economic competence. A bit of fearmongering about interest rates and ability to pay for anything when Ed N Ed wreck the economy all over again is on the cards.
On 2 - well this is a UKIP strength more than a Tory one. Still in need of some red meat from Dave.0 -
Splat :-)SimonStClare said:FPT - What’s the antonym of: bounce?
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Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own. By linking real increases in NHS funding to economic credibility, he can kill two birds with one stone and enhance his electability to swing voters.
Whether it's a good idea to pour yet more money into the bottomless pit of the NHS, at the expense of other deserving government departments, with no real notable improvement in national health outcomes, is another matter.0 -
I completely agree. The Conservatives need to make sure they have a solid defence on the NHS but going on offence here is never going to work: people's irrational antipathy to private providers in health and the lack of understanding of the need to find savings just means it will always be an uphill struggle.Patrick said:I thought the top 3 issues for voters were recently identified as (in order):
1. The economy / public finances
2. Immigration
3. NHS
Dave would be a fruitloop to focus mainly on No3 - which is Labour's pet. OK to go on protective manoeuvres here and offer comfort on 'NHS safe with us'- but the core GE stuff must also be on 1 and 2.
Ozzy has set out clear blue water between the Tories and Labour on 1 - and needs to keep pushing and extending this lead and further undermine voter confidence in Labour economic competence. A bit of fearmongering about interest rates and ability to pay for anything when Ed N Ed wreck the economy all over again is on the cards.
On 2 - well this is a UKIP strength more than a Tory one. Still in need of some red meat from Dave.0 -
It's "brave" but the Tories cannot leave the NHS as an uncontested Labour fiefdom - what they have to do is shout from the rooftops that they are talking about NHS ENGLAND - and compare and contrast with Labour's NHS WALES - further reinforcing the EVEL point too.
For me the bigger picture is that the Tories appear hungry for power and are up for a fight - in contrast with Labour last week. Given the hill they have to climb, just as well.......0 -
A somewhat 'End of Days' article over at Zerohedge:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-30/if-something-rattles-ponzi-scheme-life-america-will-change-overnight
Thing is - it's right. And what's more, pretty much the same is true of us. What will happen to the UK when we stop being able to borrow vast amounts of money very cheaply? Answer: Things get ugly. Let's stop borrowing. Let's balance the books and slowly start to repay our debt. The one really hopeful thing for the UK vs USA is that we at least borrow long and don't have nearly the same pressure to keep rolling over short term bonds.
Lefties - read the article and engage critical thinking circuits. Your 'jam tomorrow' dreams depend on it getting this right. Everything does.0 -
Interesting comment by Sir Tim Bell (ex PR guru to Mrs T) on R4 Today.
"We have moved from a deference society to a reference society".
By which he meant that in days before IT, people listened to and often accepted the views of politicians, commentators and the press (a top down society). Today opinions are formed on blogs, web-sites, Twitter, Facebook etc and so it has become a bottom up society which allows one-topic movements to grow and then perhaps die when their time has moved on.
So that is why politicians have become so disrespected (of course the expenses scandal did not help). So will we see a call for errant politicians "A la lanterne!"?0 -
Spot on.DavidL said:
Quite.MarqueeMark said:UKIP are a party of gesture politics, where that gesture is the two-fingered salute.
Which is hardly a manifesto for governing the country. The paucity of policy was on show at Doncaster.
I suspect that come late 2015, when he has voted 95%+ of the time with the Conservatives, Douglas Carswell will be wondering "what was the point to it all?" As he fails to stop Ed Miliband from enacting a raft of legislation that makes his blood boil.
And Mark Reckless will be wondering the same, as he takes another forlorn trip down to the Job Centre to see if anybody wants to employ an arsehole....
Carswell will also note that Ed has no intention of attempting any renegotiation of powers with the EU, that the serious and obvious implications for the UK in an ever more integrated Eurozone is something that apparently passes him by and does not concern him and that any discussion of a possible referendum on membership will be met with derision.
But he will have been right won't he? The same as these loons have been "right" since 1992. And have done nothing but harm.
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Five weeks after the Rotherham report and these questions are still unanswered:
1) Why hasn't Home Secretary Theresa May taken action against the South Yorkshire Police after the media reports of their collaboration with child rapists.
2) Why hasn't Children's Minister Edward Timpson placed Rotherham Children's Services into special measures.
3) How much did the locally well connected former Communities Minister Sayeeda Warsi know about what was happening and how did she act on her knowledge.
4) Why has Prime Minister David Cameron allowed at least three government departments to take no action after his emphasis as Leader of the Opposition on 'Broken Britain'.
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If you don't increase the death rate, you won't sort out the deficit.Casino_Royale said:Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own. By linking real increases in NHS funding to economic credibility, he can kill two birds with one stone and enhance his electability to swing voters.
Whether it's a good idea to pour yet more money into the bottomless pit of the NHS, at the expense of other deserving government departments, with no real notable improvement in national health outcomes, is another matter.
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Interesting that as the news is full of UKIP defections, the salience of Europe declines further among voters:
Importance to:
Country: 14 (-3)
You/Your family: 8 (-2)0 -
Aided an abetted by the useful idiot BurnhamCasino_Royale said:Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own. By linking real increases in NHS funding to economic credibility, he can kill two birds with one stone and enhance his electability to swing voters.
@andyburnhammp: NHS facing huge funding pressures in 2015-20 Parliament. It is just not credible for Tories to make new promises without finding new money.
So Labour agree credibility on the NHS is intimately tied to economic credibility.
Oops0 -
http://vaporcloudreviews.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/03/dilbert-2005-10-27.jpgInnocent_Abroad said:
If you don't increase the death rate, you won't sort out the deficit.Casino_Royale said:Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own. By linking real increases in NHS funding to economic credibility, he can kill two birds with one stone and enhance his electability to swing voters.
Whether it's a good idea to pour yet more money into the bottomless pit of the NHS, at the expense of other deserving government departments, with no real notable improvement in national health outcomes, is another matter.0 -
What's the US government's credit rating?Patrick said:A somewhat 'End of Days' article over at Zerohedge:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-30/if-something-rattles-ponzi-scheme-life-america-will-change-overnight
Thing is - it's right. And what's more, pretty much the same is true of us. What will happen to the UK when we stop being able to borrow vast amounts of money very cheaply? Answer: Things get ugly. Let's stop borrowing. Let's balance the books and slowly start to repay our debt. The one really hopeful thing for the UK vs USA is that we at least borrow long and don't have nearly the same pressure to keep rolling over short term bonds.
Lefties - read the article and engage critical thinking circuits. Your 'jam tomorrow' dreams depend on it getting this right. Everything does.
BTW this is not a critique of the article one way or the other. Part of me is quite taken with the idea of Marx's prophesy - capitalism collapsing under its own contradictions - being fulfilled in my lifetime.
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Are you suggesting that a functioning society is incompatible with a balanced budget?Smarmeron said:@Patrick
And your "jam" relies on having a functioning society.
Screw it up, and it will be on the kitchen floor sticky side down.
THE big challenge for politiicans is to find a way to balance the books and somehow keep the whole shebang from going splat. I think the Tories have given this some thought - imperfect for sure, but it exists. It is clear Labour have not even started to consider the risk.0 -
To an outsider there's something not quite wholesome about UKIP and the Tories at the moment.......
Another Cash appears who has the same christian name as his slightly fruitcake father and is joining UKIP. Fruitcakery runs in families?
Guido's team turns honey trap and persuades a Tory minister to send pictures of his pen*s by phone. (Seriously!)
The aptly named Reckless defects to the fruitcakes and gets called 'a liar' by 'Michael Green' the most accomplished since Profumo.
Stuart Wheeler 'the Dealer' and Tory donor reveals himself as the man behind the defections to UKIP. (It must have been difficult getting him to out himself!)
Kenneth Clarke describes UKIPers as sad old men with pointless lives.
At which point Neil Hamilton shows up.......
......And all against the backdrop of what used to be called the 'Blue Rinse Hang 'em and flog 'em show'
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The reason that even ring-fenced spending is a tremendous strain on NHS budgets is straightforward and nothing to do with being "a bottomless pit". An 80 year old costs the NHS 9 times the cost of a 30 year old, and we are an ageing population.Casino_Royale said:Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own. By linking real increases in NHS funding to economic credibility, he can kill two birds with one stone and enhance his electability to swing voters.
Whether it's a good idea to pour yet more money into the bottomless pit of the NHS, at the expense of other deserving government departments, with no real notable improvement in national health outcomes, is another matter.
We are also seeing many chickens coming home to roost from the destructive changes in postgraduate medical training carried out by Patricia Hewitt. There simply are not enough GPs being trained to deliver the services required in primary care. All too often GP Trainees are used to prop up hospital rotas rather than train for general practice.
The conversation on the NHS misses the only thing that really needs to be discussed: How do we ration demand? Do we restrict what is covered or do we charge co-payments? Simply pretending that everyone can have every bit of health care free, quickly and of the highest quality is just lying to the public.0 -
Not really, the Con party isn't delivering what they want.peter_from_putney said:
Odd isn't it that these very rich and presumably very smart people like Paul Sykes and Arron Banks risk handing the next GE to Labour on a plate by transferring their allegiance to UKIP?numbercruncher said:Ok, according to SKY, this is Farage's big surprise... http://news.sky.com/story/1345219/conservative-party-donor-switches-to-ukip
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Squib?
Speaking of irony upthread - it's amazing how Alanis Morrisette managed to get that almost entirely wrong in a song about it.
Unfortunate coincidences or rain on your wedding day is not irony.SimonStClare said:FPT - What’s the antonym of: bounce?
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How do you know what Labour have or have not started to consider? It's a usual ploy for incoming governments to claim that now that they have "seen the books" there has to be an emergency budget and a pledge bonfire. And after all, Labour these days have no principles whatsoever. Only front benchers who take money from bookies "completely within the rules".Patrick said:
Are you suggesting that a functioning society is incompatible with a balanced budget?Smarmeron said:@Patrick
And your "jam" relies on having a functioning society.
Screw it up, and it will be on the kitchen floor sticky side down.
THE big challenge for politiicans is to find a way to balance the books and somehow keep the whole shebang from going splat. I think the Tories have given this some thought - imperfect for sure, but it exists. It is clear Labour have not even started to consider the risk.
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@Patrick
Everyone knows the risk, but the idea that you reduce poverty by making the rich wealthier at the expense of those below is insane.
The only thing that trickles down from above these days is sewage, and even the more bovine amongst the population are starting to notice.0 -
And Labour will deliver even lessMonksfield said:
Not really, the Con party isn't delivering what they want.0 -
@PickardJE: Now Ukip announces obscure Tory donor switching sides. Reinforces a sense of diminishing returns from the defection announcements.0
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Quite so. What do you think Labour's plan to merge health and social care is all about?foxinsoxuk said:
The reason that even ring-fenced spending is a tremendous strain on NHS budgets is straightforward and nothing to do with being "a bottomless pit". An 80 year old costs the NHS 9 times the cost of a 30 year old, and we are an ageing population.Casino_Royale said:Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own. By linking real increases in NHS funding to economic credibility, he can kill two birds with one stone and enhance his electability to swing voters.
Whether it's a good idea to pour yet more money into the bottomless pit of the NHS, at the expense of other deserving government departments, with no real notable improvement in national health outcomes, is another matter.
We are also seeing many chickens coming home to roost from the destructive changes in postgraduate medical training carried out by Patricia Hewitt. There simply are not enough GPs being trained to deliver the services required in primary care. All too often GP Trainees are used to prop up hospital rotas rather than train for general practice.
The conversation on the NHS misses the only thing that really needs to be discussed: How do we ration demand? Do we restrict what is covered or do we charge co-payments? Simply pretending that everyone can have every bit of health care free, quickly and of the highest quality is just lying to the public.
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Roger said:
To an outsider there's something not quite wholesome about UKIP and the Tories at the moment.......
Another Cash appears who has the same christian name as his slightly fruitcake father and is joining UKIP. Fruitcakery runs in families?
Guido's team turns honey trap and persuades a Tory minister to send pictures of his pen*s by phone. (Seriously!)
The aptly named Reckless defects to the fruitcakes and gets called 'a liar' by 'Michael Green' the most accomplished since Profumo.
Stuart Wheeler 'the Dealer' and Tory donor reveals himself as the man behind the defections to UKIP. (It must have been difficult getting him to out himself!)
Kenneth Clarke describes UKIPers as sad old men with pointless lives.
At which point Neil Hamilton shows up.......
......And all against the backdrop of what used to be called the 'Blue Rinse Hang 'em and flog 'em show'
Like (even as a blue man).0 -
I agree - making your opponent's USP your own, is a high-wire act, but the rewards are huge if you can pull it off.
Tony stole the Tory's clothes by doing exactly that. He couldn't keep it up forever - but managed it long enough to get elected 3x.
I'm sure a few of us on here have done something similar in our professional lives - it's not impossible, just really hard.Casino_Royale said:Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own. By linking real increases in NHS funding to economic credibility, he can kill two birds with one stone and enhance his electability to swing voters.
Whether it's a good idea to pour yet more money into the bottomless pit of the NHS, at the expense of other deserving government departments, with no real notable improvement in national health outcomes, is another matter.0 -
BBC - The Ministry of Defence has awarded £3.2bn of contracts to support the management of UK naval bases at Devonport, Faslane and Portsmouth. As a result, ~7,500 jobs have been secured.
As Faslane is included, I wonder if this announcement had been delayed, pending the result of the Scot’s indy result?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-29438640
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hopefully..... could still be a diversion with bigger fish to come later .... where's hugh's popcorn.Scott_P said:@PickardJE: Now Ukip announces obscure Tory donor switching sides. Reinforces a sense of diminishing returns from the defection announcements.
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Good morning, everyone.
If an MP defected during the speech (or shortly before/after) that wouldn't strike me as a lark, but Farage and that MP acting as juvenile delinquents. If it's about principle, then resignation should occur when the mind changes. Reckless and this theoretical third MP would be certainly defecting as a political stunt, like Quentin Davies [I believe that's his surname] did when he jumped ship to Labour.
Can't speak for anyone else (except the enormo-haddock, of course, and the octo-lemurs) but it just puts me off.0 -
Maybe she was being incredibly clever by singing a song about irony that doesn't understand what irony is. That's ironic.Plato said:Squib?
Speaking of irony upthread - it's amazing how Alanis Morrisette managed to get that almost entirely wrong in a song about it.
Unfortunate coincidences or rain on your wedding day is not irony.SimonStClare said:FPT - What’s the antonym of: bounce?
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Join the Tories, your NHS, safe in the hands of American health companies!
Fortune favours the brave as the saying goes.
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Morning all,Scrapheap_as_was said:
hopefully..... could still be a diversion with bigger fish to come later .... where's hugh's popcorn.Scott_P said:@PickardJE: Now Ukip announces obscure Tory donor switching sides. Reinforces a sense of diminishing returns from the defection announcements.
If they don't have a MP to defect timed for Cameron's speech then it raises the question: why didn't UKIP hold Reckless back until Wednesday? Or, more conspiratorially, a defectee has pulled out at the last minute. Possible under threat from Boris.0 -
Dr Fox,
We seem reluctant to confront the central issue on the NHS. It's becoming a geriatric service and therefore a very expensive one.
A victim of modern medicine.
Pretending that re-organisation or ring fencing is the answer is ignoring the facts0 -
Absolutely right. We also have all sorts of special pleading from people understandably and rightly, concerned for their own loved ones, and by politicians, understandably with an eye to votes, supporting them.foxinsoxuk said:
The reason that even ring-fenced spending is a tremendous strain on NHS budgets is straightforward and nothing to do with being "a bottomless pit". An 80 year old costs the NHS 9 times the cost of a 30 year old, and we are an ageing population.Casino_Royale said:Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own. By linking real increases in NHS funding to economic credibility, he can kill two birds with one stone and enhance his electability to swing voters.
Whether it's a good idea to pour yet more money into the bottomless pit of the NHS, at the expense of other deserving government departments, with no real notable improvement in national health outcomes, is another matter.
We are also seeing many chickens coming home to roost from the destructive changes in postgraduate medical training carried out by Patricia Hewitt. There simply are not enough GPs being trained to deliver the services required in primary care. All too often GP Trainees are used to prop up hospital rotas rather than train for general practice.
The conversation on the NHS misses the only thing that really needs to be discussed: How do we ration demand? Do we restrict what is covered or do we charge co-payments? Simply pretending that everyone can have every bit of health care free, quickly and of the highest quality is just lying to the public.
In the CCG area where I live the decision has been made to stop funding all artificial fertilisation. No ifs, no buts. all of it. If a couple can’t get “her” pregnant, then the NHS can’t help. We haven’t had a “hard case” yet, but unquestionably we will do at some point.0 -
Alternatively, Cameron can see there is no choice with an ageing population. King's Fund estimate NHS will need an extra £20b or more over next few years. All the parties had to face up to this, one way or another.Plato said:I agree - making your opponent's USP your own, is a high-wire act, but the rewards are huge if you can pull it off.
Tony stole the Tory's clothes by doing exactly that. He couldn't keep it up forever - but managed it long enough to get elected 3x.
I'm sure a few of us on here have done something similar in our professional lives - it's not impossible, just really hard.Casino_Royale said:Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own. By linking real increases in NHS funding to economic credibility, he can kill two birds with one stone and enhance his electability to swing voters.
Whether it's a good idea to pour yet more money into the bottomless pit of the NHS, at the expense of other deserving government departments, with no real notable improvement in national health outcomes, is another matter.0 -
I missed this offer, Innocent - what was it?Innocent_Abroad said:
Con 35%, Lab 25%, UKIP 23%. SNP to poll more in Scotland than LDs do in the whole of Great Britain. (Dunno if Nick Palmer is still happy with my £20 to charity or not.)
Also haven't seen audreyanne confirm the bet she proposed - she suggested a bet that the Tories would be (I think) 8 points clear, I said yes, would she like £10 or £20, but I've not seen a reply yet (may have just missed it).
On topic, if Mr Cameron wants to fight the election on the NHS, that's absolutely fine with us. Bring it on!
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@rottenborough
Could be that Reckless decided that defecting just after Dave's speech was a step to far?
Though from a political point of view, it is the best time, "I waited to see if Dave would address the countries concerns, alas....." ?0 -
I think that's true to a certain extent. However, I think the issue is more of a strategic one. As a PR man, he's right - things pop up out of nowhere a lot more than they used to/create a storm, then fizzle out. I'd be amazed if 5% of people who climbed on the Outrage Bus could name 2 issues they did for.
Firms that do social media engagement/are on their toes about listening to their customers tend to be fairly safe, it's when it comes to longer term stuff that it becomes too fragmented and corporates tend to fail to explain in the right way. It comes out as boardroom/shareholder driven rather than customer driven = even if they're often the same thing in the end.
Politicians do the same - policies pop out of apparently nowhere, create a fuss and then get dropped too often. The more this happens as a result of fact-free opinions on Twitter et al - the more the public will take notice/learn to mob bully them instead.
In many ways - it's a good turn of the wheel. Politicians just need to get a lot sharper about it. And most of all, learn that whipping up a cheap mob will rebound on them all soon enough.Financier said:Interesting comment by Sir Tim Bell (ex PR guru to Mrs T) on R4 Today.
"We have moved from a deference society to a reference society".
By which he meant that in days before IT, people listened to and often accepted the views of politicians, commentators and the press (a top down society). Today opinions are formed on blogs, web-sites, Twitter, Facebook etc and so it has become a bottom up society which allows one-topic movements to grow and then perhaps die when their time has moved on.
So that is why politicians have become so disrespected (of course the expenses scandal did not help). So will we see a call for errant politicians "A la lanterne!"?0 -
YoGov's last three polls shows both the Cons and Labour losing more 2010VI to UKIP.
However, in issues affecting your country, economy has bounced back to level with immigration and health has increased again.
On issue affecting you and your family, economy has increased its lead over health.
Also 40% of the VI think that the Cons would eliminate the deficit by 2020, but only 17% believe Labour would. Is this a matter of capability or being trusted to keep promises?
http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/09/30/tories-twice-trusted-deficit/0 -
It is probably a better way of managing the frail elderly outside acute hospitals in terms of cost, but high quality care in the social sector requires well trained and motivated staff. We see in the various scandals in the care home sector that private companies are perfectly capable of running their own mini Staffords.Innocent_Abroad said:
Quite so. What do you think Labour's plan to merge health and social care is all about?foxinsoxuk said:
The reason that even ring-fenced spending is a tremendous strain on NHS budgets is straightforward and nothing to do with being "a bottomless pit". An 80 year old costs the NHS 9 times the cost of a 30 year old, and we are an ageing population.Casino_Royale said:Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own. By linking real increases in NHS funding to economic credibility, he can kill two birds with one stone and enhance his electability to swing voters.
Whether it's a good idea to pour yet more money into the bottomless pit of the NHS, at the expense of other deserving government departments, with no real notable improvement in national health outcomes, is another matter.
We are also seeing many chickens coming home to roost from the destructive changes in postgraduate medical training carried out by Patricia Hewitt. There simply are not enough GPs being trained to deliver the services required in primary care. All too often GP Trainees are used to prop up hospital rotas rather than train for general practice.
The conversation on the NHS misses the only thing that really needs to be discussed: How do we ration demand? Do we restrict what is covered or do we charge co-payments? Simply pretending that everyone can have every bit of health care free, quickly and of the highest quality is just lying to the public.
Devolving budgets and supervision to local councils does have attractions (and is a policy that UKIP have copied from Labour, though Labour themselves have copied the majority of it from Norman Lambs work as minister) but also risks. Local councils can run very poor services if they are one party states such as Rotherham.0 -
Indeed. Both Labour and the Tories prioritise their own income streams above the actual provision of care. Labour wants the largest NHS payroll to maximise its income from the political levy and the Tories want services devolved to private companies who can make them donations.Smarmeron said:Join the Tories, your NHS, safe in the hands of American health companies!
Fortune favours the brave as the saying goes.
0 -
New politics...
Mr Banks, who has donated more than £250,000 to the Tories since David Cameron became leader in 2005, is to give a £100,000 cheque to UKIP leader Nigel Farage........Mr Farage said Mr Banks had also expressed an interest in standing as a candidate for UKIP in next year's general election.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-29438653
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No, it's not right. It's just part of ZeroHedge's permanently apocalyptic world view. It's reminiscent of early Christians always claiming the End of Days was just round the corner. We have genuinely concerning issues to face with government debt, and we need to address them, but it is not an imminent crisis. The US has already taken major action on this, going from this:Patrick said:A somewhat 'End of Days' article over at Zerohedge:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-30/if-something-rattles-ponzi-scheme-life-america-will-change-overnight
Thing is - it's right. And what's more, pretty much the same is true of us. What will happen to the UK when we stop being able to borrow vast amounts of money very cheaply? Answer: Things get ugly. Let's stop borrowing. Let's balance the books and slowly start to repay our debt. The one really hopeful thing for the UK vs USA is that we at least borrow long and don't have nearly the same pressure to keep rolling over short term bonds.
Lefties - read the article and engage critical thinking circuits. Your 'jam tomorrow' dreams depend on it getting this right. Everything does.
http://pixel.nymag.com/imgs/daily/intelligencer/2014/09/22/22-debt-chart2.w529.h352.png
to this:
http://pixel.nymag.com/imgs/daily/intelligencer/2014/09/22/22-debt-chart.w529.h352.png
The only sensible way to look at government debt is relative to ability to pay, i.e. GDP. The Zero Hedge article puts these numbers in absolute, nominal terms just to seem scary. But it's clearly just scaremongering.0 -
No, he wants to fight it on who can credibly fund the NHSNickPalmer said:On topic, if Mr Cameron wants to fight the election on the NHS, that's absolutely fine with us. Bring it on!
0 -
@Innocent_Abroad
It was ever thus.
The "market" should be used for things it is best suited for, state ownership where the market fails.
Neither is right or wrong, but they prioritize different things.0 -
I have to say this seems very wrong to me. Infertility is clearly a health issue and the innate drive to be a parent is one of humanity's most basic. It seems appalling that people can't get help in that area when we're still providing lung cancer treatment to chain smokers, liver transplants to alcoholics etc.OldKingCole said:
Absolutely right. We also have all sorts of special pleading from people understandably and rightly, concerned for their own loved ones, and by politicians, understandably with an eye to votes, supporting them.foxinsoxuk said:
The reason that even ring-fenced spending is a tremendous strain on NHS budgets is straightforward and nothing to do with being "a bottomless pit". An 80 year old costs the NHS 9 times the cost of a 30 year old, and we are an ageing population.Casino_Royale said:Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own. By linking real increases in NHS funding to economic credibility, he can kill two birds with one stone and enhance his electability to swing voters.
Whether it's a good idea to pour yet more money into the bottomless pit of the NHS, at the expense of other deserving government departments, with no real notable improvement in national health outcomes, is another matter.
We are also seeing many chickens coming home to roost from the destructive changes in postgraduate medical training carried out by Patricia Hewitt. There simply are not enough GPs being trained to deliver the services required in primary care. All too often GP Trainees are used to prop up hospital rotas rather than train for general practice.
The conversation on the NHS misses the only thing that really needs to be discussed: How do we ration demand? Do we restrict what is covered or do we charge co-payments? Simply pretending that everyone can have every bit of health care free, quickly and of the highest quality is just lying to the public.
In the CCG area where I live the decision has been made to stop funding all artificial fertilisation. No ifs, no buts. all of it. If a couple can’t get “her” pregnant, then the NHS can’t help. We haven’t had a “hard case” yet, but unquestionably we will do at some point.
We probably need to move our entire welfare state to a contributory one.0 -
@NickPNickPalmer said:
I missed this offer, Innocent - what was it?Innocent_Abroad said:
Con 35%, Lab 25%, UKIP 23%. SNP to poll more in Scotland than LDs do in the whole of Great Britain. (Dunno if Nick Palmer is still happy with my £20 to charity or not.)
Also haven't seen audreyanne confirm the bet she proposed - she suggested a bet that the Tories would be (I think) 8 points clear, I said yes, would she like £10 or £20, but I've not seen a reply yet (may have just missed it).
On topic, if Mr Cameron wants to fight the election on the NHS, that's absolutely fine with us. Bring it on!
And on what part of Labour's record on the NHS would you fight?0 -
Yes - the Tories will never "own" the NHS but they can significantly diminish Labour's lead on it - if they get to "they're both as bad as each other" it will be a significant win. I doubt they can do that in 7 months though......took me 3 years in a previous life.....Plato said:
I agree - making your opponent's USP your own, is a high-wire act, but the rewards are huge if you can pull it off.
Tony stole the Tory's clothes by doing exactly that. He couldn't keep it up forever - but managed it long enough to get elected 3x.
I'm sure a few of us on here have done something similar in our professional lives - it's not impossible, just really hard.Casino_Royale said:Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own. By linking real increases in NHS funding to economic credibility, he can kill two birds with one stone and enhance his electability to swing voters.
Whether it's a good idea to pour yet more money into the bottomless pit of the NHS, at the expense of other deserving government departments, with no real notable improvement in national health outcomes, is another matter.0 -
No doubt that NHS will be a key election issue. Let's hope it is a proper debate rather than noise. Both parties are going to have to explain how they fix the 'black hole' in the finances that is opening up. For undecided voters this can only be a good thing - there's been too much ducking of the financing issue wrt to ageing population.NickPalmer said:
I missed this offer, Innocent - what was it?Innocent_Abroad said:
Con 35%, Lab 25%, UKIP 23%. SNP to poll more in Scotland than LDs do in the whole of Great Britain. (Dunno if Nick Palmer is still happy with my £20 to charity or not.)
Also haven't seen audreyanne confirm the bet she proposed - she suggested a bet that the Tories would be (I think) 8 points clear, I said yes, would she like £10 or £20, but I've not seen a reply yet (may have just missed it).
On topic, if Mr Cameron wants to fight the election on the NHS, that's absolutely fine with us. Bring it on!
We also need to make sure both parties lay out some serious policies on funding social care: all this mud slinging about 'death' taxes and so on is ridiculous.
0 -
You can't expect a party to unilaterally not play the campaign financing game. However, we can criticise UKIP for not demanding reform in this area. They're as bad as the other parties there. It's very wrong that rich people have the opportunity to excise outsized influence in this way. We need two simple rules:Scrapheap_as_was said:New politics...
Mr Banks, who has donated more than £250,000 to the Tories since David Cameron became leader in 2005, is to give a £100,000 cheque to UKIP leader Nigel Farage........Mr Farage said Mr Banks had also expressed an interest in standing as a candidate for UKIP in next year's general election.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-29438653
(1) Only UK registered voters should be allowed to donate to political parties
(2) The amount any single voter can donate in an election cycle should be capped to a relatively low figure (say £5000).0 -
Casino
"Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own."
As an ex ad man I'm surprised Cameron doesn't understand that while Labour are the market leader in health any attention that Cameron gives it will inevitably help them not the Tories.0 -
I gotta go play bridge, Nick - I'm offering £20 at evens on my prediction (just for you I'm breaking the habit of a lifetime). We might do better working this out another ay.0
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Surely. Markets work better the more they approach "perfect competition" (think of food retailing) but relatively poorly when they are oligopolies, as a privatised healthcare system surely would be. However it's oligopolies that create the super-rich.Smarmeron said:@Innocent_Abroad
It was ever thus.
The "market" should be used for things it is best suited for, state ownership where the market fails.
Neither is right or wrong, but they prioritize different things.
And now I must go...
0 -
As Enoch Powell pointed out, the NHS is where infinite demand meets finite resources. It will ultimately defeat any Government in its current form. That said, Labour seem worst equipped to manage it, given that they will take irrational economic decisions to keep it in place in its current form.
All parties should take on board that the NHS is paid for by rich people. The more rich people we can extract taxes from, the more health carefree at the point of use we can have. Idiot Miliband's determination to drive away such people for petty politics needs to be pointed to as the real risk to the NHS.0 -
Cracking good piece on Kippers and electoral arithmetic in The Times today by Danny Fink. Well worth a read.0
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Enoch talking rubbish (again). Nothing 'infinite' about demand on the NHS. Most people hate going to the doctor.MarqueeMark said:As Enoch Powell pointed out, the NHS is where infinite demand meets finite resources.
0 -
Salmond has managed to successfully portray the SNP as the defenders of the NHS at Labour's expense. Attacking an opponent's strength is often a good strategy.Roger said:Casino
"Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own."
As an ex ad man I'm surprised Cameron doesn't understand that while Labour are the market leader in health any attention that Cameron gives it will inevitably help them not the Tories.0 -
The Zero Hedge article doesn't say anything about why the US might not be able to borrow money at a low interest rate. As the world's reserve currency it seems highly likely that they will continue to do so. Instability in China might be a seriously dark cloud on the horizon but this isn't mentioned.Socrates said:
No, it's not right. It's just part of ZeroHedge's permanently apocalyptic world view. It's reminiscent of early Christians always claiming the End of Days was just round the corner. We have genuinely concerning issues to face with government debt, and we need to address them, but it is not an imminent crisis. The US has already taken major action on this, going from this:Patrick said:A somewhat 'End of Days' article over at Zerohedge:
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-30/if-something-rattles-ponzi-scheme-life-america-will-change-overnight
Thing is - it's right. And what's more, pretty much the same is true of us. What will happen to the UK when we stop being able to borrow vast amounts of money very cheaply? Answer: Things get ugly. Let's stop borrowing. Let's balance the books and slowly start to repay our debt. The one really hopeful thing for the UK vs USA is that we at least borrow long and don't have nearly the same pressure to keep rolling over short term bonds.
Lefties - read the article and engage critical thinking circuits. Your 'jam tomorrow' dreams depend on it getting this right. Everything does.
http://pixel.nymag.com/imgs/daily/intelligencer/2014/09/22/22-debt-chart2.w529.h352.png
to this:
http://pixel.nymag.com/imgs/daily/intelligencer/2014/09/22/22-debt-chart.w529.h352.png
The only sensible way to look at government debt is relative to ability to pay, i.e. GDP. The Zero Hedge article puts these numbers in absolute, nominal terms just to seem scary. But it's clearly just scaremongering.0 -
They're not defecting to Labour.Scott_P said:
And Labour will deliver even lessMonksfield said:
Not really, the Con party isn't delivering what they want.
0 -
Socrates
The only sensible way to look at government debt is relative to ability to pay, i.e. GDP. The Zero Hedge article puts these numbers in absolute, nominal terms just to seem scary. But it's clearly just scaremongering.
Hmmm..GDP is a very dangerous thing to celebrate if its growth is itself debt driven. I remember Gordon Brown standing at the dispatch box patting himself on the back quarter after quarter of growth - and failing utterly to understand that the growth was bought with debt not real productive growth. He bequeathed us a monster. Same for the USA. If the GDP growth is borrowed then what happens to GDP when the borrowing has to stop?0 -
Salmond had no previous reputation of depriving the NHS of funds. So it was not so difficult for him.MonikerDiCanio said:
Salmond has managed to successfully portray the SNP as the defenders of the NHS at Labour's expense. Attacking an opponent's strength is often a good strategy.Roger said:Casino
"Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own."
As an ex ad man I'm surprised Cameron doesn't understand that while Labour are the market leader in health any attention that Cameron gives it will inevitably help them not the Tories.
The Tories' problem is different: the public perceive that they do not care about the NHS and are always interested how to bring in the private sector through the back or, indeed, the front door !0 -
The SNP promoted independence as the best way to defend the NHS from the Tories.MonikerDiCanio said:
Salmond has managed to successfully portray the SNP as the defenders of the NHS at Labour's expense. Attacking an opponent's strength is often a good strategy.Roger said:Casino
"Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own."
As an ex ad man I'm surprised Cameron doesn't understand that while Labour are the market leader in health any attention that Cameron gives it will inevitably help them not the Tories.
I am not sure that the Tories can pull off the same trick.
0 -
Jonathan talking rubbish again. Try speaking to those people who can't get effective yet highly expensive drugs to prolong their life.Jonathan said:
Enoch talking rubbish (again). Nothing 'infinite' about demand on the NHS. Most people hate going to the doctor.MarqueeMark said:As Enoch Powell pointed out, the NHS is where infinite demand meets finite resources.
Modern medicine is at the point where we could extend the life of a great many of our population, through drugs and transplants, if the finance was there. It isn't.
0 -
I suspect that the new car tax system could make the news today.
I spent most of yesterday evening and the last couple of hours trying to tax a vehicle that I unexpectedly need to use today. The online system either refuses to load, or crashes every few seconds. Try clicking apply here... https://www.gov.uk/tax-disc
Telephoning them just produces an answerphone message about maintenance, and advising to try again later.0 -
Quite, Mr Socrates. Health economists grapple with sort of thing as a matter of course. How far should we expect people to accept responsibility for maintaining such good health as they can? Out of which budget does expenditure on suchn health promotion come?Socrates said:
I have to say this seems very wrong to me. Infertility is clearly a health issue and the innate drive to be a parent is one of humanity's most basic. It seems appalling that people can't get help in that area when we're still providing lung cancer treatment to chain smokers, liver transplants to alcoholics etc.OldKingCole said:
Absolutely right. We also have all sorts of special pleading from people understandably and rightly, concerned for their own loved ones, and by politicians, understandably with an eye to votes, supporting them.foxinsoxuk said:
The reason that even ring-fenced spending is a tremendous strain on NHS budgets is straightforward and nothing to do with being "a bottomless pit". An 80 year old costs the NHS 9 times the cost of a 30 year old, and we are an ageing population.Casino_Royale said:Quite a clever trick, politically, if he can pull it off. Cameron intends to use one of his major strengths to pull the rug from under Labour's greatest strength, and therefore make it his own. By linking real increases in NHS funding to economic credibility, he can kill two birds with one stone and enhance his electability to swing voters.
Whether it's a good idea to pour yet more money into the bottomless pit of the NHS, at the expense of other deserving government departments, with no real notable improvement in national health outcomes, is another matter.
We are also seeing many chickens coming home to roost from the destructive changes in postgraduate medical training carried out by Patricia Hewitt. There simply are not enough GPs being trained to deliver the services required in primary care. All too often GP Trainees are used to prop up hospital rotas rather than train for general practice.
The conversation on the NHS misses the only thing that really needs to be discussed: How do we ration demand? Do we restrict what is covered or do we charge co-payments? Simply pretending that everyone can have every bit of health care free, quickly and of the highest quality is just lying to the public.
In the CCG area where I live the decision has been made to stop funding all artificial fertilisation. No ifs, no buts. all of it. If a couple can’t get “her” pregnant, then the NHS can’t help. We haven’t had a “hard case” yet, but unquestionably we will do at some point.
We probably need to move our entire welfare state to a contributory one.0 -
Not sure the smoking example works. The taxes on cigarettes mean smokers are massive net contributors to the NHS (on contrast to heavy drinkers).
If everyone stopped smoking overnight, the health deficit would become worse. If everybody stopped drinking, it'd become better.0 -
"Also 40% of the VI think that the Cons would eliminate the deficit by 2020, but only 17% believe Labour would. Is this a matter of capability or being trusted to keep promises?"Financier said:YoGov's last three polls shows both the Cons and Labour losing more 2010VI to UKIP.
However, in issues affecting your country, economy has bounced back to level with immigration and health has increased again.
On issue affecting you and your family, economy has increased its lead over health.
Also 40% of the VI think that the Cons would eliminate the deficit by 2020, but only 17% believe Labour would. Is this a matter of capability or being trusted to keep promises?
http://yougov.co.uk/news/2014/09/30/tories-twice-trusted-deficit/
Yawn ! - yesterday's news.
0 -
F1: only a possibility, but this would seem incredible:
""Honda and McLaren want to hit the ground running. They want Alonso or Sebastian Vettel and it's possible both could wind up there."
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/formula1/29422678
Eddie Jordan's mad as a box of frogs, but he called the move of Hamilton to Mercedes months ahead of time.0 -
The NHS funding crisis won't solve itself. I doubt that antibiotic resistance will come to the rescue and so "old man's friend" , AKA pneumonia, won't be the answer. Perhaps we should not strive so officiously. When an old car starts breaking down daily, we face facts.
As an old git myself, I hope I'd accept that quality of life is the issue. I know doctors are reluctant to stop if there is medical help available, and families are understandably in favour of more procedures but there needs to be a limit. But I doubt we'll ever have this conversation with politicians.0 -
@MarqueeMark
Research into drugs is usually completed by private companies, and being private companies, their priorities are different from the population as a whole.
Two examples:-
Pushing anti daihorea drugs onto third world countries for use with infants and toddlers, knowing full well it increases dehydration.
Disparaging research into the cause of stomach ulcers until the patent on their non effective drug lapsed.
You can find many other examples where profit has come before welfare, the above were just off the top of my head.0 -
When one looks at the figures, the cost per day of a three month life extension can be alarming. In budgetary terms.MarqueeMark said:
Jonathan talking rubbish again. Try speaking to those people who can't get effective yet highly expensive drugs to prolong their life.Jonathan said:
Enoch talking rubbish (again). Nothing 'infinite' about demand on the NHS. Most people hate going to the doctor.MarqueeMark said:As Enoch Powell pointed out, the NHS is where infinite demand meets finite resources.
Modern medicine is at the point where we could extend the life of a great many of our population, through drugs and transplants, if the finance was there. It isn't.0 -
Meanwhile, Brown apparently thinks it's a trap for Scottish MPs to be allowed to vote on their own income tax but not that of England...
"In a letter to his Constituency Labour Party in Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath, he wrote: "The Tory trap that we are in danger of falling into is to devolve all decisions on Scotland's income tax rates away from Westminster and then to deny Scotland representation in votes on budget decisions on income tax rates.""
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-29432379
I think it's nuts to give over full taxation powers. But there we are.0 -
Bring out your dead,plague and pestilence,and a flu epidemic could decide GE2015.Another variable to add to the mix.The NHS would not cope-speaking from experience of 80 day treatments- and the knock-on effects would spell disaster for many of us.A flu epidemic would overwhelm,a shock doctrine to beat all shock doctrines.
http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/comment/a-flu-pandemic-could-decide-next-years-election-9765841.html0 -
Interesting thread.
More evidence that the key battleground will not be the deficit - as I forecast on here long ago and which Antifrank enthusiastically countered. Looks like I will be right and he wrong. The Tory record on the deficit is too poor to make it a battleground - and most of the public don't understand it and think we are actually paying off our debts.0 -
Drinking is heavily taxed.Morris_Dancer said:Not sure the smoking example works. The taxes on cigarettes mean smokers are massive net contributors to the NHS (on contrast to heavy drinkers).
If everyone stopped smoking overnight, the health deficit would become worse. If everybody stopped drinking, it'd become better.
One needs to look at the fiscal issues as a whole. People with unhealthy lifestyles have low life expectancy. That means they impose a lesser burden on the Pensions budget, as well as requiring fewer years of end of life care.0 -
There is an element of truth here, in that I will not get my hip replaced simply because it is free and no wait!Jonathan said:
Enoch talking rubbish (again). Nothing 'infinite' about demand on the NHS. Most people hate going to the doctor.MarqueeMark said:As Enoch Powell pointed out, the NHS is where infinite demand meets finite resources.
Rationing in the NHS has always been fairly covert, often under the mechanism of waiting lists and times. This is now unpopular but we do have rationing via NICE and rather Orwellian named "referal centres" (whose role is to not refer) and "patient access policies" ((which function to deny patients access to the hospital).
The sick are overwhelmingly poor, elderly or both and cannot be expected to pay for themselves; but the majority of those who pay for the service are generally healthy, in work and more affluent. It does need to be borne in mind that these are not a permanent division and the latter may be related to the first, or at risk of being poor sick and elderly themselves in time.
We need a system that is affordable, humane to the first category but also meets the needs of the latter.
The latter group are the people who want seven day access to urgent care for acute health issues and easily accessible elective surgery. The problem is that they can only get these at the expense of the first group, unless the total pool of funding and of skilled practitioners grows.
What we need is a system of "Speedy Boarding" where co-payments fund the extra costs of providing services out of hours. So GPs remain free if you want to see them 0830-1800, but cost £20 at weekends for example. For many of us the cost of the co-payment would be less than the cost of time off work. This is a fairly established business practice in many markets, so pubs transport and barbers all have cheap deals at off peak times. The NHS could and should do the same.
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Mr. F, indeed but it's my understanding the costs (liver disease, crime and accidents caused due to the influence of alcohol and so on) far exceed the tax income, in contrast to smoking.0