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Punters give her a 41% chance of being PM after next election – politicalbetting.com

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  • As the humble grandson of immigrants to this countrys how awesome is our new PM's cabinet.

    Fourth consecutive BAME Chancellor, BAME Foreign Secretary, and likely third consecutive Home Secretary from a BAME background.

    Remind me what Corbyn said about only Labour could unlock the potential of minorities?

    Sonia Sodha of the Guardian has just made that point
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,822
    edited September 2022
    HYUFD said:

    First time that likely not a single white male holds the PM post or any of the 3 great offices of state.

    However while I am all for diversity we must not forget that white males tend to be more Conservative than average so not sure not even having one at the top is a great move, Farage will note
    Boris Johnson was mixed race. So technically since he became PM that has been the case, depending on how you count Raab as well.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,200
  • What claim? It is a statement of fact that acts of parliament change the law in the UK - unless, for example, they run contrary to the ECHR.

    No, its not true. Again how did the ECHR protect "the right to vote, to hold private property, to be protected from arbitrary imprisonment and so on" in Russia until February?

    If the ECHR only works when its not needed, it doesn't work.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,724

    What reasoning was required? You are in prison as you have been found guilty of a crime. Until release you may not vote. Tough. Don’t commit crime folks.
    Pretty simple really.
    Why stop with those in prison? What about other forms of punishment? Is it the crime or the sentence? Just to give one question.

    I agree with you, but I don’t mind being forced to be clear on the details.

  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,658
    edited September 2022

    It seems like Truss is making appointments like she overwhelmingly won the MPs and achieved a crushing victory in the members vote.

    That's the same mistake Theresa May made.

    She's probably gambled that the die is cast until the election and the Tories won't remove another sitting PM between now and Jan 2025.

    Ultimately it's all going to end on tears... her's after Con are defeated by Lab at the next election methinks.
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,242
    edited September 2022
    A year ago it cost the government under 1% pa to borrow money for 20 years.

    It now them 3.5% pa for the same term. And rising fast.

    Debt interest costs on all this new borrowing isn't going to be small.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,822
    HYUFD said:
    This is a good time to invest in some kind of weapon, due to the imminent breakdown of law and order.
  • They're inalienable rights protected by British courts and the British Parliament not the ECHR.

    How did the ECHR protect "the right to vote, to hold private property, to be protected from arbitrary imprisonment and so on" in Russia until February?

    It didn't.

    UK courts will implement UK law. In the absence of the ECHR. a democratically elected UK government could remove the right to private property, limit the franchise and imprison people without trial all through simple acts of Parliament that the independent courts would be obliged apply. You are seemingly OK with that, I am not. We disagree.

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,999

    What reasoning was required? You are in prison as you have been found guilty of a crime. Until release you may not vote. Tough. Don’t commit crime folks.
    Pretty simple really.
    And I agree there's no problem saying prisoners cannot vote. Did we ever actually extend the franchise? A quick google shows the below, which is pretty damn limited and if it happened seems to show the case was no big deal and so annoying though it was hardly worth abandoning the entire system. It's not even clear we did implement it.

    Following further calls from the Council of Europe’s Committee of Ministers to resolve the impasse, the Secretary of State for Justice, David Lidington, published proposals in November 2017. These proposals are more limited in scope than those included in previous proposals. The main change proposed is to allow prisoners on Temporary Licence to vote. In December 2017 the Council of Europe welcomed the proposals, agreeing to them as an acceptable compromise that would address the criticisms raised by Hirst (No 2).

    https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/cbp-7461/
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,080
    One positive is the diversity now in top jobs. It is to Labour discredit that it couldn’t deliver it tbh
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    What claim? It is a statement of fact that acts of parliament change the law in the UK - unless, for example, they run contrary to the ECHR.

    Not so. Courts are obliged to do their utmost to interpret statutes in such a way that they are ECHR compliant, but if they can't, the statute overrides ECHR.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,617

    As the humble grandson of immigrants to this country how awesome is our new PM's cabinet.

    Fourth consecutive BAME Chancellor, BAME Foreign Secretary, and likely third consecutive Home Secretary from a BAME background.

    Remind me what Corbyn said about only Labour could unlock the potential of minorities?

    The point is also that none of those characters got their jobs because of their ethnicities.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,316
    biggles said:

    Why stop with those in prison? What about other forms of punishment? Is it the crime or the sentence? Just to give one question.

    I agree with you, but I don’t mind being forced to be clear on the details.

    It’s the fact you can’t get to the polling station…
  • One positive is the diversity now in top jobs. It is to Labour discredit that it couldn’t deliver it tbh

    This is down to Dave and George, they made sure the list of candidates reflected Britain.
  • Leon said:

    I think for Remainers it is a last shred of European rule over the UK that they are desperate to cling onto. Which is probably reason enough to get rid of it. But more importantly, all the arguments in favour of it seem to melt away when analysed, like snow in spring sun
    You'd cut down every law in England to get at the Remainers? Do you really think you could stand upright in the winds that would blow then?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881

    All the food I’m eating in Portugal is better than almost any of the food I had in Italy. Unexpected


  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,501

    PM Truss is just a superb leader, already the best PM ever!

    The best PM this decade (so far) without a doubt.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,200
    ydoethur said:

    This is a good time to invest in some kind of weapon, due to the imminent breakdown of law and order.
    Actually Braverman will make Priti Patel look like a wet liberal
  • No, its not true. Again how did the ECHR protect "the right to vote, to hold private property, to be protected from arbitrary imprisonment and so on" in Russia until February?

    If the ECHR only works when its not needed, it doesn't work.

    There is no point in arguing with someone who denies that acts of parliament change UK law.

  • Ratters said:

    A year ago it cost the government under 1% pa to borrow money for 20 years.

    It now them 3.5% pa for the same term. And rising fast.

    Debt interest costs on all this new borrowing isn't going to be small.

    Inflation has gone up in that time, so real cost of borrowing is actually negative at present.
  • I mean I knew it was coming, but in what world is “Suella Braverman promoted to Home Secretary” a sane world?

    Is she less plausible than Jacqui Smith?
  • It seems like Truss is making appointments like she overwhelmingly won the MPs and achieved a crushing victory in the members vote.

    That's the same mistake Theresa May made.

    Hardly. May brought people like Johnson, Fox and Davis in. This looks far more cliquey than that.

    The AI in Trussbot has been told that strong leaders do down their enemies and has taken it far too literally.

    (Which is odd, really. Because a proper pattern matching AI would notice that having internal enemies inside the tent stops the tent filling with urine.)
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Electorally the strategy serms to be Cleverly and Kwarteng for the South and London 'delivering' Trussanomics and brexit/foreign policy and Braverman to shore up the Red Wall with red meat at Home double teaming with Kemi on the culture wars.
    Theres your next 2 years.
  • Ratters said:

    A year ago it cost the government under 1% pa to borrow money for 20 years.

    It now them 3.5% pa for the same term. And rising fast.

    Debt interest costs on all this new borrowing isn't going to be small.

    David Smith's economics column in S Times this weekend was particularly gloomy on the bond/£/debt issues.
  • kle4 said:

    Can't really understand the need for ranking at all. In the event of a mass event decapitating government under our system we're not going to go designated survivor and appoint the 17th person in the ranking or something.

    Amusingly, the wikipedia list from July shows Rees-Mogg was at the very bottom of the list of Cabinet Ministers in the rankings, below even the minister without portfolio - that, Liz, rather shows the non-importance of the job he was given as a junior minister granted Cabinet status despite not being a secretary of state.

    Only non-Cabinet ministers were below him, so don't really count. He was literally the least important member of the Cabinet, officially. That must have bruised his ego.
    I think it's less for cases of mass extinction (as it is in the US where it is fixed by the constitution and legislation), and more to avoid squabbles about chairing Cabinet sub-committees.

    As you say, if there were some terrible incident the PM would be a person who could command a majority in the Commons (whereas in the US, there needs to be a Presidential line of succession as it isn't about commanding a majority in Congress - plenty of Presidents don't).

    So it's essentially something that's handy, but not really necessary, to have.
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    HYUFD said:

    Actually Braverman will make Priti Patel look like a wet liberal
    .....Especially with REFUK at 7% in the red wall....
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,641

    As the humble grandson of immigrants to this country how awesome is our new PM's cabinet.

    Fourth consecutive BAME Chancellor, BAME Foreign Secretary, and likely third consecutive Home Secretary from a BAME background.

    Remind me what Corbyn said about only Labour could unlock the potential of minorities?

    I think they're doing a good job of showing they've shed racial prejudice at the top. I'd be interested in a poll showing whether this shifts the attitude of most voters from ethnic minorities. I doubt it, but could be wrong.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,724

    It’s the fact you can’t get to the polling station…
    You think that’s a zinger, don’t you….

  • It didn't.

    UK courts will implement UK law. In the absence of the ECHR. a democratically elected UK government could remove the right to private property, limit the franchise and imprison people without trial all through simple acts of Parliament that the independent courts would be obliged apply. You are seemingly OK with that, I am not. We disagree.

    You seem to think the ECHR makes a difference when it demonstrably doesn't.

    I'm not OK with any government doing that but I put my faith more in our voters preventing that, than failed and nobbled courts.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,999
    edited September 2022
    IshmaelZ said:

    Not so. Courts are obliged to do their utmost to interpret statutes in such a way that they are ECHR compliant, but if they can't, the statute overrides ECHR.
    My layman thought was simply that if an act was not deemed to be compliant the courts can say so, so non-compliance did not prevent legislation - even if it 'sends a steer' to make a change, parliament could decline to make a change.

    But people who are saying it is preventing us doing things cannot simultaneously argue it is ineffective so it is pointless.

    The Human Rights Act 1998, which came into force in October 2000, made available, for the first time, a remedy for breach of the European Convention on Human Rights in the UK courts. This means that, in appropriate cases, all UK courts, including the Supreme Court, are tasked with deciding whether public bodies have acted compatibly with the European Convention on Human Rights. In addition, through the Human Rights Act, Parliament imposed on all UK courts, including the Supreme Court, a duty to interpret legislation so as that it is compatible with the European Convention on Human Rights, so far as it is possible to do so. If it is not possible to interpret legislation compatibly with the Convention, the courts can issue a "declaration of incompatibility" – which sends a clear steer to legislators that they should change the law to make it Convention-compliant. No UK court, including the Supreme Court, has the power to "strike down" legislation if it is incompatible with the European Convention on Human Rights.

    https://www.supremecourt.uk/about/the-supreme-court-and-europe.html
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,501
    HYUFD said:
    ...and it was all going so well 'til that point.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277

    Is she less plausible than Jacqui Smith?
    Jacque Smith wasn’t a horrible nasty anti rights individual ! Braverman is utterly odious , an absolutely horrible nasty woman .
  • I think Thérèse Coffey is a good appointment.

  • There is no point in arguing with someone who denies that acts of parliament change UK law.

    I agree with that, not deny it.

    I deny that the ECtHR is worth any more than a wet paper bag.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881
    Unpopular said:

    You'd cut down every law in England to get at the Remainers? Do you really think you could stand upright in the winds that would blow then?
    No, I wouldn’t. I mean, I’d enjoy it, but no. I was being provocative

    But I do believe the government must probably take us out of the ECHR in some form or other
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    If Liz did an about-turn on Rees-Mogg I would sit up and pay attention.

    No serious Cabinet includes him, least of all that critical portfolio.

    Rees Mogg, Dorries, and, allegedly Redwood. Oh, and IDS.
  • Leon said:


    All the food I’m eating in Portugal is better than almost any of the food I had in Italy. Unexpected


    If you like bacalhau - and I do - then Portuguese food is great. If you don’t, then options for eating good food are rather limited.
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,242

    Inflation has gone up in that time, so real cost of borrowing is actually negative at present.
    20-year real yields have risen from -2.5% to -0.5% since the start of the year.

    So still much more expensive based on long-term inflation expectations.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,999
    edited September 2022

    I agree with that, not deny it.

    I deny that the ECtHR is worth any more than a wet paper bag.
    And yet the government argues it is so effective it is binding their hands. Curious. I'd respect them more if they took your view.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,267

    If you like bacalhau - and I do - then Portuguese food is great. If you don’t, then options for eating good food are rather limited.
    Sardines too. Love 'em.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,200
    Head of the Taxpayers' Alliance, Matthew Sinclair, appointed Truss' chief economic adviser
    https://twitter.com/REWearmouth/status/1567153688535306241?s=20&t=89sFpch1U0OCXe8MujhTww
  • Coffey has a PhD in Chemistry and works like a trooper. She'll be fine.

    Kwarteng is an ex Kings Scholar and a brainbox. He'll be fine.

    Suella Braverman is absolutely lovely in person but appears to have gone off the deep end in recent years. She'll almost certainly fail at Home Secretary, which is a horrible job anyway. For her political career to survive she has to stop the boats. I have no confidence.
  • Leon said:

    No one gives a fuck, sorry. A load of Bulgarian judges telling ENGLAND what to do. The cheek
    Big England = UK energy.
    Presumably your only objection to Bulgarian judges telling the Jocks, Taffs and Paddies what to do is that it’s entirely England’s job.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 30,501

    Inflation has gone up in that time, so real cost of borrowing is actually negative at present.
    Oh behave!

    You will not agree with your own inflation argument when all the public sector workers are out on strike.
  • ydoethur said:

    Apparently he's been such a knob in his previous roles that there's no junior minister willing to work with him either. So he's got to be his own minister of state too.
    Words 2, 5 and 6 would have sufficed, I think.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 50,403
    Leon said:


    All the food I’m eating in Portugal is better than almost any of the food I had in Italy. Unexpected


    Relatively easy to get a passport too if you have a few lakhs of euros spare. Lovely country and people.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Stocky said:

    Sardines too. Love 'em.
    Pasta con le sarde incoming in about 5 minutes, here.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,999

    I think they're doing a good job of showing they've shed racial prejudice at the top. I'd be interested in a poll showing whether this shifts the attitude of most voters from ethnic minorities. I doubt it, but could be wrong.
    Why does that matter? Gaining ethnic minority voters should not be the reason they take a colour blind approach to MP selection and ministerial appointment.
  • I think they're doing a good job of showing they've shed racial prejudice at the top. I'd be interested in a poll showing whether this shifts the attitude of most voters from ethnic minorities. I doubt it, but could be wrong.
    What gives you the impression the Tories had racial prejudice at the top?

    I never encountered it and I've been a member (on and off) for twenty years.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,316
    biggles said:

    You think that’s a zinger, don’t you….

    It’s not? Damn. Been a long day.
  • They're inalienable rights protected by British courts and the British Parliament not the ECHR.

    How did the ECHR protect "the right to vote, to hold private property, to be protected from arbitrary imprisonment and so on" in Russia until February?
    I have a lot of sympathy with the argument that such constitutional checks act as speed bumps, providing the time for the ultimate arbiter in a democracy to, if they wish to, course-correct away from whatever brand of nastiness offered by the Government. Such things can never be absolute guarantees of our liberties. As such, I see things like the ECHR etc as an additional safety net. They can't guarantee our rights in the face of an electorate that is apathetic or openly hostile but neither can Parliament not the Courts. At best they can delay, and allow events to intervene. It's not perfect, but worthwhile imo.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,999

    Hardly. May brought people like Johnson, Fox and Davis in. This looks far more cliquey than that.
    And bringing them in was a mistake which bit her in the behind. Clearly neither approach is guaranteed to work.
  • Hardly. May brought people like Johnson, Fox and Davis in. This looks far more cliquey than that.

    The AI in Trussbot has been told that strong leaders do down their enemies and has taken it far too literally.

    (Which is odd, really. Because a proper pattern matching AI would notice that having internal enemies inside the tent stops the tent filling with urine.)
    Theresa May governed like she'd won a 100 seat majority post GE2017.

    It eventually ended her.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,291
    edited September 2022

    It infantilises domestic politics.
    Why does protecting certain things at a level above the nation state infantilize domestic politics?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,822
    HYUFD said:

    Actually Braverman will make Priti Patel look like a wet liberal
    She will also make Patel look almost competent.
  • nico679 said:

    Jacque Smith wasn’t a horrible nasty anti rights individual ! Braverman is utterly odious , an absolutely horrible nasty woman .
    Worse than Blunkett?
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,724
    HYUFD said:

    Head of the Taxpayers' Alliance, Matthew Sinclair, appointed Truss' chief economic adviser
    https://twitter.com/REWearmouth/status/1567153688535306241?s=20&t=89sFpch1U0OCXe8MujhTww

    Oh God…..
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,617

    English is only my tenth language or summat (I first arrived in this country in early 1976 not able to speak a single word of English - I was only four months old!), BUT:

    Isn't the third person neuter singular "it"/"its"?

    "It" carries a strong implication of non-human.
    Third person singular human gender non-specific is something we just don't have a word for!

    Did you manage to cram nine more languages into your first four months?!
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,316

    I think Thérèse Coffey is a good appointment.

    I know nothing of her really, but I like the fact she is overweight and apparently a smoker and drinker. Rather like my GP friend who is fond of the booze and food and sports a spectacular gut.
  • Theresa May governed like she'd won a 100 seat majority post GE2017.

    It eventually ended her.
    Theresa May refused to compromise with her MPs, numbers or reality.

    All PMs need a Cabinet that agrees in collective responsibility.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,999
    edited September 2022
    HYUFD said:

    Head of the Taxpayers' Alliance, Matthew Sinclair, appointed Truss' chief economic adviser
    https://twitter.com/REWearmouth/status/1567153688535306241?s=20&t=89sFpch1U0OCXe8MujhTww

    Ah yes, figures from pressure groups, who can essentially prepare every press release ahead of time regardless of any government proposal, make for great policy advisers I bet, they really analyse things and don't just regurgitate the ideological themes they were formed to pressure people about.
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    nico679 said:

    Jacque Smith wasn’t a horrible nasty anti rights individual ! Braverman is utterly odious , an absolutely horrible nasty woman .
    Horses for courses.

    For context, Lee Anderson MP recently said on radio he was going to ask in parliament why there was a shortage of bus drivers in his Ashfield constituency, but no shortage of bus drivers to transport illegal immigrants from Dover to four star hotels.

    That's where we are.
  • Please don’t send JRM to Business

    Please don’t send JRM to Business

    Please don’t send JRM to Business

  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881

    Big England = UK energy.
    Presumably your only objection to Bulgarian judges telling the Jocks, Taffs and Paddies what to do is that it’s entirely England’s job.
    Ah. I put “England” in there just for you, @Theuniondivvie

    Not even @Carnyx or the Swede

    Seriously. It was like choosing the perfect fly to catch a particular trout in the purling chalk stream of our political discourse

    And you rose to the curious bubble

    *pleased*
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    You seem to think the ECHR makes a difference when it demonstrably doesn't.

    I'm not OK with any government doing that but I put my faith more in our voters preventing that, than failed and nobbled courts.
    If I were a 1930s German jew I think I would rather the Convention applied than that it didn't. and I would continue to have that preference in the face of any number of shouty affirmations that IT WON'T MAKE ANY DIFFERENCE YOU REALISE?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,972

    Worse than Blunkett?
    That's Gunner Blunkett to you.....

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2006/oct/17/prisonsandprobation.ukcrime1
  • Please don’t send JRM to Business

    Please don’t send JRM to Business

    Please don’t send JRM to Business

    Send him to Business to work with Elon Musk to send him to Mars.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,822
    Cookie said:

    "It" carries a strong implication of non-human.
    Third person singular human gender non-specific is something we just don't have a word for!

    Did you manage to cram nine more languages into your first four months?!
    Perhaps he was promised a train ride for every new language he learned :smile:
  • Cookie said:

    "It" carries a strong implication of non-human.
    Third person singular human gender non-specific is something we just don't have a word for!

    Did you manage to cram nine more languages into your first four months?!
    But surely the word "they" implies you have multiple personas! By all means possible, of course!
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,999
    Unpopular said:

    You'd cut down every law in England to get at the Remainers? Do you really think you could stand upright in the winds that would blow then?
    Hmm, such familiar phrasing :)

    William Roper: “So, now you give the Devil the benefit of law!”

    Sir Thomas More: “Yes! What would you do? Cut a great road through the law to get after the Devil?”

    William Roper: “Yes, I'd cut down every law in England to do that!”

    Sir Thomas More: “Oh? And when the last law was down, and the Devil turned 'round on you, where would you hide, Roper, the laws all being flat? This country is planted thick with laws, from coast to coast, Man's laws, not God's! And if you cut them down, and you're just the man to do it, do you really think you could stand upright in the winds that would blow then? Yes, I'd give the Devil benefit of law, for my own safety's sake!
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,710
    edited September 2022

    Penny Mordaunt in no 10

    Deleted as repetitious (though that isn't a bar for many).
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    Honestly all the mock outrage and halo polishing about Braverman on here is so much bullsh*t.

    Everybody knows why she's been appointed and what her task is, and why its important to the tories. See the latest red wall poll for reference.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    If I were a 1930s German jew I think I would rather the Convention applied than that it didn't. and I would continue to have that preference in the face of any number of shouty affirmations that IT WON'T MAKE ANY DIFFERENCE YOU REALISE?
    You don't need to look back to the 1930s anymore. Look at modern day Russia which was in the ECHR until February.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,999

    Please don’t send JRM to Business

    Please don’t send JRM to Business

    Please don’t send JRM to Business

    I have some bad news for you.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,822

    But surely the word "they" implies you have multiple personas! By all means possible, of course!
    Well, if @SeanT had been using it, I would have no possible objection.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,617
    ydoethur said:

    It's a running together of the Welsh pronouns 'fe' (he) and 'hi' (pronounced he and meaning, amusingly, she).

    It works better than combining the English ones, or at least I think it does.

    And by adding an r or m you could easily replace 'his/hers' and 'him/her.'
    I see.
    The thing is, quite aside from transsexuals, it would be very useful to have such a word. As you say, it used to be "he". But that was clearly always sub-optimal, that word doing a perfectly good job elsewhere.
    The problem is that any such words now carry connotations of 'look at me and how modern my sensibilities are'.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,967

    And there lies the problem. Labour doesn't understand business. It never has (even during Blair premiership) and it never will. It sees business, whether large or small as a cash cow to tax as much as possible. It is why I would have struggled to vote Labour even if the Clown was still PM.
    Okay boys, talk me through this Tory plan for helping business you are sure Liz has, and sure Lib Dems and labour have nothing.

    How will this business energy crisis plan help businesses who have already now signed long deals on contract?

    And We will hear about it on Thursday, alongside the details on the domestic users package, you are sure?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,822

    Send him to Business to work with Elon Musk to send him to Mars.
    Cut out the middle man.

    Mr Dancer, the hour of your space cannon has come...
  • I know nothing of her really, but I like the fact she is overweight and apparently a smoker and drinker. Rather like my GP friend who is fond of the booze and food and sports a spectacular gut.
    To an extent, she's only 10 years older than me but looks about 80 and I look about 30.

    That sort of lifestyle can kill you. I hope she sorts it out.
  • Theresa May governed like she'd won a 100 seat majority post GE2017.

    It eventually ended her.
    Yup. And May's mandate (wonky as it was) was at least from the nation. Truss doesn't even have that.

    So- is this malfunctioning AI or "screw it, we're doomed 2024-34, let's have a laugh while we still can"?

    Anyway, with two years, isn't Truss going to struggle to get much really controversial stuff through Parliament? The Lord's will likely hold up as much stuff as they can that's not in the manifesto.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,822
    HYUFD said:
    Blimey, she really is short of talent.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,999
    edited September 2022
    HYUFD said:
    Former Chief Whip during the fag end of Boris's tenure. A 'look, this is all you'll get' offer.

    But wiki says (citaiton needed) he frequented a holiday home in NI as a child.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,881

    If you like bacalhau - and I do - then Portuguese food is great. If you don’t, then options for eating good food are rather limited.

    it’s not the most varied cuisine, and I imagine I would be sick of it after several months, but for one week on the Alentejo coast these fairly simple but authentic, tasty, often delicious meals - all home made and home grown - are deeply, emotionally satisfying. It’s like eating at home with your mum who has about six recipes but does them well

    Also their local white wine is ace
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,667

    Yep, I am guilty of that. I believe the right to vote, to hold private property, to be protected from arbitrary imprisonment and so on are not contingent, but inalienable.

    But given that Parliament is sovereign and can repeal the HRA and leave the ECHR is there really any "protection"?
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,157
    edited September 2022

    I think Thérèse Coffey is a good appointment.

    I know I already said this, BUT:

    Wake up and smell the Coffey. :lol:
  • Coffey has a PhD in Chemistry and works like a trooper. She'll be fine.

    Kwarteng is an ex Kings Scholar and a brainbox. He'll be fine.

    Suella Braverman is absolutely lovely in person but appears to have gone off the deep end in recent years. She'll almost certainly fail at Home Secretary, which is a horrible job anyway. For her political career to survive she has to stop the boats. I have no confidence.

    Kwasi is obviously very smart.
    On paper, he looks great.

    The problem is that he seems to have been a dud in BEIS.

    The fact that he has shagged the new PM (or vice versa) adds a interesting frisson perhaps not seems since James I.

    I’ll be watching with interest.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,617

    But surely the word "they" implies you have multiple personas! By all means possible, of course!
    Well yes. That's very much my main problem with it.
    I get the same feeling of discomfort hearing 'they' used for an individual that I do hearing 'less' used where 'fewer' would be better, or hearing 'disinterested' used to mean 'indifferent'.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,999
    MaxPB said:

    But given that Parliament is sovereign and can repeal the HRA and leave the ECHR is there really any "protection"?
    Yes, because it takes political capital to do those things, and as we've seen not even all Tories are in favour, indeed they did not make it a manifesto committment even.

    Adding procedural steps to ignore certain rights and rules does make governments which respect the rule of law stop and think.

    Ripping it all out and starting from scratch to put some but not all of it back achieves little.
  • Braverman will be as bad as Patel. That is to say she will be appalling in every possible way. But she cannot be worse. And she will have far less real power than she had as Attorney General.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,822

    I know I already said this, BUT:

    Wake up and smell the Coffey.
    That's going to be said a latte times.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,291

    A cabinet of true heavyweights, finally.

    Channeling Joe Lycett, CHB?
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,658
    What are we expecting for Penny and Kemi?
  • HYUFD said:

    Head of the Taxpayers' Alliance, Matthew Sinclair, appointed Truss' chief economic adviser
    https://twitter.com/REWearmouth/status/1567153688535306241?s=20&t=89sFpch1U0OCXe8MujhTww

    Ah, the Taxpayer’s Alliance, that stalwart association of hardworking burghers.
  • Kwasi is obviously very smart.
    On paper, he looks great.

    The problem is that he seems to have been a dud in BEIS.

    The fact that he has shagged the new PM (or vice versa) adds a interesting frisson perhaps not seems since James I.

    I’ll be watching with interest.
    Give him his due, not even Boris tried that one.

    As far as we know.
This discussion has been closed.