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How’s Truss going to do against Starmer and vice versa? – politicalbetting.com

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  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,024
    edited August 2022
    kinabalu said:

    The "Brothers of Italy" - the heart doesn't leap at the sound of that.
    The bulk of the party comes from the post-Fascist National Alliance, including its leader Meloni. It would likely form a government with Salvini's populist right Lega Nord, Salvini pictured here with Trump, plus maybe the centre right Forza Italia. https://quifinanza.it/editoriali/salvini-filo-russo-trump-cambia-cavallo-e-punta-su-meloni/331102/.

    If Brothers of Italy do come first next month in votes and seats in the Italian general election, it will be the first time a far right party has won a democratic general election in Western Europe since before the 2nd world war
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Eabhal said:

    Huh, is that true? I would have thought our lack of arable land would make it a struggle. Though I suppose a small population + massive land and coastline = excess calories, even if it's hard work to produce them.

    (Goes on a wikipedia deep dive)
    Perhaps I should have said 'relatively' but certainly there is a big differential AIUI.
  • Eabhal said:

    Sure, but there is no "pot". That can be swept aside by some legislation.

    (Ducks for cover from irate pensioners and Nats...)
    There is no pot but it remains true that pensioners have paid NI to qualify for the pension.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Leon said:

    But that's only because no one wants to live in the turgid, sordid, midgey toilet that is Scotland (especially under the Nats). It's like saying "Greenland is self sufficient in food", Well, er, yeah, because you have 2 million tons of salmon but you have a population of 7,000 and they are all drunk because of the ghastly climate and permanent, suicidal gloom. And the shit football

    It's like saying "in Saudi Arabia petrol is 20p a gallon"! Come and live here! Driving is cheap! We cut off hands!

    Ghastly climate? It's been a very pleasant 23 degC today, and you aree always on about the Ballard-like transformation of Islington.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,179

    Truss to look at cancelling the £400 energy discount to the wealthy and provide more help for those needing it

    That would be the right thing to do. Sunak spread his largesse far too thin.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    DavidL said:

    I am sure that Edinburgh would starve without quinoa.
    Not even sure what that is, let alone having seen it in Edinburgh!
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,668

    But would be much better placed for the sort of breakthrough that brief I agree with Nick moment teased
    Theyd need to consider what they might 'get' in the 2 to 3 years left of the parliament versus possibly losing the poll surge they were enjoying.
    25 seats and a few concessions, maybe, versus perhaps 65 seats and a Tory majority....
    They'd have to hope that the parliamentary arithmetic worked in their favour again. They might have to wait a few decades, as was the case post-1979.
  • kinabalu said:

    The "Brothers of Italy" - the heart doesn't leap at the sound of that.
    "And when I say brother, I don't mean, like, an actual brother, but I mean it like the way black people use it. Which is more meaningful I think."
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,140
    Carnyx said:

    Ghastly climate? It's been a very pleasant 23 degC today, and you aree always on about the Ballard-like transformation of Islington.
    It's ghastly, but not for the reason @Leon suggests. Look at the state of the links today:



  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,799
    ping said:

    So you’re saying Ed Miliband was right, with his “insulate the crap out of everything” policy?
    Miliband was the Lou Reed of British politics. Didn't sell many policies but most of them have aged well and inspired future practitioners.
  • DynamoDynamo Posts: 651
    edited August 2022
    Scotland is not self-sufficient in food. Saying it is is a typical SNP head's shoulder-chippy statement, of a piece with "We don't need no foreigners to help us". It could become self-sufficient in food, though, as could Britain as a whole, and easily, if people stopped eating dead animal.
    Carnyx said:

    Ghastly climate? It's been a very pleasant 23 degC today, and you aree always on about the Ballard-like transformation of Islington.
    "Scotland's as good as Islington any day of the week".
  • Carnyx said:

    Ghastly climate? It's been a very pleasant 23 degC today, and you aree always on about the Ballard-like transformation of Islington.
    It was even sunny when I visited Wick back on the 22nd!
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Eabhal said:

    It's ghastly, but not for the reason @Leon suggests. Look at the state of the links today:



    That Leith? Still pretty green hereabouts, though the grasses are lookign a little sere.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,179
    Eabhal said:

    It's ghastly, but not for the reason @Leon suggests. Look at the state of the links today:



    The message is clear and obvious. All young cricketers should concentrate on spin bowling.
  • Regarding the football, as a United fan I was cheering on Brentford to make it 6 or 8.

    This is a wretched team, with deep rot from the owners that have completely killed the body. It isn't about the manager or even the players, its the ethos. The club has a business plan that doesn't require success, only to hawk the odd marquee player into shirt sales in places like Thailand.

    Ten Hag can't turn that around because it is a club designed to be mediocre. A new owner, with a new ethos, and a new purpose is needed. Much as Liverpool were transformed with owners interested in success, so United can be. But not under the Glazer cancer.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,625
    Eabhal said:

    It's ghastly, but not for the reason @Leon suggests. Look at the state of the links today:



    Links? Something wrong with their clubs....😀
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,026
    edited August 2022
    DavidL said:

    That would be the right thing to do. Sunak spread his largesse far too thin.
    It is the same problem with Starmer proposals

    The need has to be targeted and giving professional footballers and celebrities a £2,000 discount is nonsense

    The broadest shoulders have to take the hit and provide more to those in real need
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,625
    DavidL said:

    The message is clear and obvious. All young cricketers should concentrate on spin bowling.
    No, because in England we don’t bother to play first class cricket in August, because we are idiots.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,799

    Schengen and the Single Currency aren't inferior terms - they're the best things about the EU!
    Would we meet the criteria for the Euro though?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,780
    edited August 2022
    In fact, as per @Carnyx this should be the basis of the next desperate Scottish "inwards migration" campaign

    And Scotland needs it. Because, for all the vast influx of migrants into the UK - literally 10 million people in about 15 years - not a single one has moved to declining-population Scotland, this despite the excitements of Cumbernauld, glorious Scottish weather, the joys of Satanic winter darkness, and the exciting new policies on gender self ID and compulsory mastectomies from a moribund Woke-nationalist government which hasn't a clue what to do apart from errrrrr ask for new referendums, a country so ghastly even @StuartDickson, whose tiny testicles have been tattooeed with Scottish tartan, can't bear to actually live in "modern" Scotland

    But all that can be changed!

    Scotland just has to adopt the new slogan, thanks to @Carnyx

    "Come to Scotland, we are self sufficient in porridge, potatoes, swedes, herring and mutton"

    Sorted
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,227
    edited August 2022
    DavidL said:

    That would be the right thing to do. Sunak spread his largesse far too thin.
    Where's this "wealthy" cut off, better not be band E houses again.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,179
    Carnyx said:

    Not even sure what that is, let alone having seen it in Edinburgh!
    https://www.britannica.com/plant/quinoa
    It is that pale tasteless stuff they put in salads etc and it is everywhere in Edinburgh. Never see it in Dundee funnily enough.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,140
    Dynamo said:

    Scotland is not self-sufficient in food. Saying it is is a typical SNP head's statement. It could become so, as could Britain as a whole, easily, if people stopped eating dead animal.

    I don't think @Carnyx was suggesting it's self-sufficient right now. We'd probably have to sacrifice the bit that goes on whisky production.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,693

    How does that work then? They grow in the Channel Islands now, hence Jersey Royals. Pretty sure that’s warmer than Scotland on average. I call bullshit.
    Not to mention than out-of-season new potatoes in British supermarkets are often from Egypt or Cyprus.

  • RH1992RH1992 Posts: 788
    edited August 2022
    kinabalu said:

    Would we meet the criteria for the Euro though?
    Based on the Wikipedia page about our relationship with the Euro, I don't think we ever did throughout the Euro's lifetime. But I don't think the EU would have said no to the world's fifth largest economy adding to the strength of the Euro if we were serious about joining.
  • Pulpstar said:

    Where's this "wealthy" cut off, better not be band E houses again.
    I assume it will be on income
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,799

    Matthew Parris highlighted the flaw with that argument in his Times piece this morning;

    Ever since I started dealing with the leader of the opposition’s postbag in 1976, I’ve been familiar with the cry, “I haven’t worked and paid taxes all my life, only to have [insert chosen desideratum] taken away.” I longed to reply, “You may well have paid taxes all your life, but not enough, as it now turns out.”
    Parris has been cribbing my posts with his recent "fairytale of growing the economy" pieces!
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,012

    It is the same problem with Starmer proposals

    The need has to be targeted and giving professional footballers and celebrities a £2,000 discount is nonsense

    The broadest shoulders have to take the hit and provide more to those in real need
    Truss could play around with the fixed charge component of the fuel, e.g. convert it to a (temporary) subsidy, leaving the marginal cost of the fuel untouched so that efficient usage is not compromised.

  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,105
    DavidL said:

    It is that pale tasteless stuff they put in salads etc and it is everywhere in Edinburgh. Never see it in Dundee funnily enough.

    The pale tasteless stuff they sell in Dundee is White Pudding...
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Leon said:

    In fact, as per @Carnyx this should be the basis of the next desperate Scotland inwards migration campaign

    And Scotland needs it. Because, for all the vast influx of migrants into the UK - literally 10 million people in about 15 years - not a single one has moved to declining-population Scotland, this despite the excitements of Cumbernauld, glorious Scottish weather, the joys of Satanic winter darkness, and the exciting new policies on gender self ID and compulsory mastectomies from a moribund Woke quasi-fascist nationalist government which hasn't a clue what to do apart from errrrrr ask for new referendums, a country so ghastly even @StuartDickson Dickson, whose tiny testicles have been tattooeed with Scottish tartan, can't bear to actually live in "modern" Scotland

    But all that can be changed!

    Scotland just has to adopt the new slogan, thanks to @Carnyx

    "Come to Scotland, we are self sufficient in porridge, potatoes, swedes, herring and mutton"

    Sorted

    Not one? Come off it - it's actually doingf better than rUk.

    https://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/files//statistics/migration/quarterly-summary/miration-statistics-quarterly-summary-february-2021.pdf

  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    DavidL said:

    https://www.britannica.com/plant/quinoa
    It is that pale tasteless stuff they put in salads etc and it is everywhere in Edinburgh. Never see it in Dundee funnily enough.
    Oh, really? Some of us just have lettuce and tomato, or kimchi if in the mood.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,140
    Leon said:

    In fact, as per @Carnyx this should be the basis of the next desperate Scotland inwards migration campaign

    And Scotland needs it. Because, for all the vast influx of migrants into the UK - literally 10 million people in about 15 years - not a single one has moved to declining-population Scotland, this despite the excitements of Cumbernauld, glorious Scottish weather, the joys of Satanic winter darkness, and the exciting new policies on gender self ID and compulsory mastectomies from a moribund Woke quasi-fascist nationalist government which hasn't a clue what to do apart from errrrrr ask for new referendums, a country so ghastly even @StuartDickson Dickson, whose tiny testicles have been tattooeed with Scottish tartan, can't bear to actually live in "modern" Scotland

    But all that can be changed!

    Scotland just has to adopt the new slogan, thanks to @Carnyx

    "Come to Scotland, we are self sufficient in porridge, potatoes, swedes, herring and mutton"

    Sorted

    The mutton on North Ronaldsay is fed exclusively on seaweed. Tastes weird.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,693
    kinabalu said:

    Parris has been cribbing my posts with his recent "fairytale of growing the economy" pieces!
    Of course, Parris got into terrible trouble when he actually wrote what he thought in a letter:


  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,780
    edited August 2022
    Eabhal said:

    The mutton on North Ronaldsay is fed exclusively on seaweed. Tastes weird.
    "Come to Scotland, we are self sufficient in porridge, potatoes, swedes, herring and mutton"

    It does have a kind of genius, and also captures an essence of Scotland, as she is. Bless her
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Eabhal said:

    The mutton on North Ronaldsay is fed exclusively on seaweed. Tastes weird.
    That reminds me - another holiday destination for the list.
  • DynamoDynamo Posts: 651
    Eabhal said:

    I don't think @Carnyx was suggesting it's self-sufficient right now. We'd probably have to sacrifice the bit that goes on whisky production.
    Yes - sorry @Carnyx if I gave a false impression of your position.

    A large chunk of Scotland's "food and drink exports" is currently accounted for by whisky.

    For the record I am a militant vegetarian and if meat were to be banned in any country or part of a country so that that part of the world could become self-sufficient in food I would support that.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,227
    We'll be warmer this winter
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,140
    Leon said:

    "Come to Scotland, we are self sufficient in porridge, potatoes, swedes, herring and mutton"

    It does have a kind of genius, and also captures an essence of Scotland, as she is. Bless her
    "Come to England, we are entirely dependent on Lincolnshire, which is sinking, and the rest of the country is on fire"
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295
    Pulpstar said:
    And colder thereafter in the ensuing nuclear winter.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,693
    In other Parris news, he was refused entry into hustings this evening for not being a party member:

    https://twitter.com/guidofawkes/status/1558555577499926529
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    edited August 2022
    What's going on wrt journalist Nick Cohen? He seems to have been suspended from his Observer column.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,105
    Eabhal said:

    "Come to England, we are entirely dependent on Lincolnshire, which is sinking, and the rest of the country is on fire"

    ..
  • HYUFD said:

    @EdwardJDavey
    Hi
    @UKLabour
    glad you liked my proposal to cancel the energy price rise. I also have some thoughts on electoral reform that you're welcome to adopt..

    All part of the plan... Plausible deniablility...

    (SCENE: A beer garden somewhere on the fringes of Westminster)

    JERRY: Good result your lot got in Wakefield.
    BILL: Cheeky. Remember who got these drinks in. But well done on TIverton. Now, to business. If it starts to look like there's a Lib-Lab deal, there will be trouble.
    JERRY: Absolutely. But at the same time, we want to keep the tacticals doing the right thing. So we need policies that agree...
    BILL: ... while the politicians disagree, right. Nothing too serious. But just bickering....
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,693
    Andy_JS said:

    What's going on wrt journalist Nick Cohen? He seems to have been suspended from his Observer column.

    Touchy feely, alledgedly.
  • DavidL said:

    https://www.britannica.com/plant/quinoa
    It is that pale tasteless stuff they put in salads etc and it is everywhere in Edinburgh. Never see it in Dundee funnily enough.
    A useful shibboleth though.

    QuinOA

    or

    KeenWaa
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,780
    carnforth said:

    In other Parris news, he was refused entry into hustings this evening for not being a party member:

    https://twitter.com/guidofawkes/status/1558555577499926529

    Good. He's a redundant and geriatric old twat

    His protestations that he should have a voice in the Tory leadership campaign, despite loudly leaving the Tory party in disgust after Brexit, really stick in the craw

    Fair enough, mate, if you hate the Tories. Leave, and do it loudly. Good for you. But why on earth should they pay you an ounce of respect thereafter? You left. You're out

    He was, also, another 2nd Voter. They really need to be expelled from British public life
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,196
    ydoethur said:

    When I was studying the Bible at A-level, it was completely uncontroversial that it was written by numerous authors. Indeed, we spent quite a lot of time deconstructing the four (minimum) authors of Genesis.

    If his algorithm said the Koran was written by more than one author or over a period of more than one lifetime, then it was wrong anyway, as the authorship process of the Koran is actually well-attested by a variety of historical sources.

    I'm struggling to think of which other religion there might be an issue with. Nobody disputes the Bhagavad Gita and Vedas were the work of multiple authors. The Tipitaka and Dhammanpada likewise. The Guru Granth Sahib literally flaunts the way it draws on multiple sources.

    So - it would seem to me this was a bit of a non-issue.
    So you are surprised that a moral panic about a non-issue led to a draconian and stupid reaction?

    If you are surprised, I have an excellent stock of bridges (one careful owner) to sell.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,809
    Dynamo said:

    Scotland is not self-sufficient in food. Saying it is is a typical SNP head's shoulder-chippy statement, of a piece with "We don't need no foreigners to help us". It could become self-sufficient in food, though, as could Britain as a whole, and easily, if people stopped eating dead animal.


    "Scotland's as good as Islington any day of the week".
    We wouldn't have to give up meat to do that. And there would be no point in doing so if we did. It would have a very negative impact on health.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,799
    HYUFD said:

    The bulk of the party comes from the post-Fascist National Alliance, including its leader Meloni. It would likely form a government with Salvini's populist right Lega Nord, Salvini pictured here with Trump, plus maybe the centre right Forza Italia. https://quifinanza.it/editoriali/salvini-filo-russo-trump-cambia-cavallo-e-punta-su-meloni/331102/.

    If Brothers of Italy do come first next month in votes and seats in the Italian general election, it will be the first time a far right party has won a democratic general election in Western Europe since before the 2nd world war
    Bizarre and depressing. Why don't these people feeling screwed by global capitalism vote Left? Why do they get obsessed with identity instead? Makes me want to get hold of every single one of them and give them a good shake.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,780
    Eabhal said:

    "Come to England, we are entirely dependent on Lincolnshire, which is sinking, and the rest of the country is on fire"
    lol. That's good

    Still, England now has lovely world class English fizz and rather good Riesling-type fine white wines, and some developing Pinot Noir-ish reds, which are expected to get ever better

    You have malty beer
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    Regarding the football, as a United fan I was cheering on Brentford to make it 6 or 8.

    This is a wretched team, with deep rot from the owners that have completely killed the body. It isn't about the manager or even the players, its the ethos. The club has a business plan that doesn't require success, only to hawk the odd marquee player into shirt sales in places like Thailand.

    Ten Hag can't turn that around because it is a club designed to be mediocre. A new owner, with a new ethos, and a new purpose is needed. Much as Liverpool were transformed with owners interested in success, so United can be. But not under the Glazer cancer.

    wtf are you talking about.

    Look at the success of the club under the Glazers. Not their fault that they couldn't find a replacement for SAF. Succession problems aren't unique to them.
  • We wouldn't have to give up meat to do that. And there would be no point in doing so if we did. It would have a very negative impact on health.
    I gave up meat over 30 years ago.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,140
    England and Scotland are remarkably similar, it turns out: https://www.gov.scot/publications/agriculture-facts-figures-2019/pages/5/

    - We do 3x potatoes as England
    - Nearly 3x beef
    - 2x sheep
    - 1/5 chicken

    Everything else pretty much the same (though it depends on the breakdown of "cereals"). Wales and NI produce absolutely loads of milk, weirdly.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,196

    Fench leccy is overwhelmingly nuclear. I think there's an issue at the moment with rivers, or rather the lack thereof, reducing the amount they can safely produce.
    Also a bunch of the nuclear stations are doing maintenance, so I understand….

    It’s almost as if energy connectors between countries are a good idea or something.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,105


    ...

  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    edited August 2022
    Andy_JS said:

    What's going on wrt journalist Nick Cohen? He seems to have been suspended from his Observer column.

    Could be this;

    https://www.theneweuropean.co.uk/lucy-siegle-nick-cohen-guardian-complaint/

    There could well be other (similar?) stuff, not (yet?) in the public domain that sent the hoopers up the great and good at the guardian.

    Or it could be nothing. Who knows?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,780
    Andy_JS said:

    What's going on wrt journalist Nick Cohen? He seems to have been suspended from his Observer column.

    #MeToo is ripping through journalism, publishing, literature, the arts and TV/radio. Expect more
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,196
    kinabalu said:

    Bizarre and depressing. Why don't these people feeling screwed by global capitalism vote Left? Why do they get obsessed with identity instead? Makes me want to get hold of every single one of them and give them a good shake.
    Because the traditional parties of the Left bought into globalisation, the idiot version.

    Where the race to the bottom was the prize.

    Then along comes Trump….

  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,140

    Also a bunch of the nuclear stations are doing maintenance, so I understand….

    It’s almost as if energy connectors between countries are a good idea or something.
    I read that it's because there isn't enough water in the rivers they use. Which seems like quite a big oversight...
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295
    edited August 2022
    Duplicate
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295
    edited August 2022
    Another duplicate, it's been a long hot day.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,105
    We have a govt that publicly calls for further restrictions on immigration while behind close doors pleads for special measures to allow in more migrants. More obvious by the day that things went wrong when we didn't all celebrate Gordon Brown calling an idiot an idiot. https://twitter.com/sundersays/status/1558568240267378689
  • Has anyone noticed increasing numbers of those mini Pizza ovens on trailers flogging garlic bread at £7 outside pubs and cricket grounds this summer ?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295

    I assume it will be on income
    HMG should either:

    Freeze the energy cap where it is now, subsidise the energy distributors through a windfall tax on energy producers, increased taxes on wealth and/or borrowing.

    Or, better still:

    Reduce the energy cap back to where it was in 2019/2020, funded through windfall taxes, wealth tax and borrowing, offset by the saving caused by the reduced benefit uplift inflation rate.

    Pissing around with £400 here, £150 there is futile.

    Edit: Just seen Starmer is saying much the same:

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/aug/13/keir-starmer-demands-ban-on-raising-energy-prices

  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,780
    kinabalu said:

    Bizarre and depressing. Why don't these people feeling screwed by global capitalism vote Left? Why do they get obsessed with identity instead? Makes me want to get hold of every single one of them and give them a good shake.
    Yes, let's vote for the Left, which wants to flood our countries with immigrants, which wants to chop the tits off our daughters, which tells us we are all racist just because we are white, which tells us we are intrinsically evil, which constantly lies about the reality of crime, and which despises the countries we love, and wants us all to be run by, fuck knows, Muslims, anyone, anyone but us, the evil white people?

    Yes, it is truly amazing that people are still resistant to voting for the Left in Europe and America
  • Scott_xP said:



    ...

    "People have thrown their principles out of the window. How can you look at [your colleagues] in the same light again?"

    Same way they did in 2019. Don't have nightmares.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295
    Leon said:

    Yes, let's vote for the Left, which wants to flood our countries with immigrants, which wants to chop the tits off our daughters, which tells us we are all racist just because we are white, which tells us we are intrinsically evil, which constantly lies about the reality of crime, and which despises the countries we love, and wants us all to be run by, fuck knows, Muslims, anyone, anyone but us, the evil white people?

    Yes, it is truly amazing that people are still resistant to voting for the Left in Europe and America
    Shall I put you down as a "maybe"?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,024
    edited August 2022
    kinabalu said:

    Bizarre and depressing. Why don't these people feeling screwed by global capitalism vote Left? Why do they get obsessed with identity instead? Makes me want to get hold of every single one of them and give them a good shake.
    The largest party in the current Draghi led Italian government is the centre left PD
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,799

    Regarding the football, as a United fan I was cheering on Brentford to make it 6 or 8.

    This is a wretched team, with deep rot from the owners that have completely killed the body. It isn't about the manager or even the players, its the ethos. The club has a business plan that doesn't require success, only to hawk the odd marquee player into shirt sales in places like Thailand.

    Ten Hag can't turn that around because it is a club designed to be mediocre. A new owner, with a new ethos, and a new purpose is needed. Much as Liverpool were transformed with owners interested in success, so United can be. But not under the Glazer cancer.

    The Gary Neville view.

    Jamie Redknapp disagrees - he thinks it's down to the players who aren't "running for the shirt".

    Says anybody can have an offday but at least they should "run around".

    Says when he was at Liverpool all the players would "die for the team" and he doesn't get that feeling off these Man U players - that they'd die for Man U.

    So, 2 very different takes there on Manchester United Football Club.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,518
    "Everyone can thrive" Truss tells Express.

    LOL.

    Not this coming winter they wont.

    No doubt Lab are keeping all these boosterism quotes stored up for Jan 2025.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,809
    edited August 2022
    Regarding Starmer (and the Lib Dems) plan to cap energy bills, I have to say this seems logical. I'm not sure what the point of a consistently rising cap is. I appreciate that energy companies cannot sell energy at a loss, but it is clearly wrong that their profits should rise when the cost of their raw material has also risen. That feels like a pisstake. They should trim their profit expectations as UK householders must trim their spare spending money expectations. I have been convinced for a while that part of Liz's way of getting through this would be to stop the rising price cap at a certain level, in combination with her other measures (VAT on fuel etc.). I just think she's not been able to say it.

    So we now know where Starmer and Davey would cap it. I reckon Liz would cap it higher, and combine with her tax cuts (energy companies pleased), and then Sunak looks like the odd one out, because he would let it rip, and hand out free Government money to pay for it. That's a big bung to the energy companies, yes with the potential to impose further windfall taxes, but only on a percentage of profits. I think it says something about Sunak that he wants to insert Government into this process as the supposed benefactor, furlough style.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,780
    What is truly amazing is that @kinabalu cannot see - and I believe her, I believe she can't see this - that there is a reason why people might vote for the Right, despite falling living standards, indicating an apparent "failure of capitalism"

    The time will soon come when we will all have to take sides
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    edited August 2022
    Labour's plan, if that's what it is, has been derided on here. The question is though, what is the alternative?
    It at least has the virtue of putting the ball back in court.
    Vague concepts of "help based on income" are just that.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,918
    edited August 2022
    Eabhal said:

    England and Scotland are remarkably similar, it turns out: https://www.gov.scot/publications/agriculture-facts-figures-2019/pages/5/

    - We do 3x potatoes as England
    - Nearly 3x beef
    - 2x sheep
    - 1/5 chicken

    Everything else pretty much the same (though it depends on the breakdown of "cereals"). Wales and NI produce absolutely loads of milk, weirdly.

    Cows need green grass, not straw!

    I wonder if the problem with climate change was about the production of seed potatoes rather than crop potatoes? Scotland produces most of those due to a lack of endemic blight, which likes warmer temperatures.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,799
    HYUFD said:

    The largest party in the current Draghi led Italian government is the centre left PD
    Yes but I'm talking Left not centre left. Where's the Italian Corbyn? Where's Jeremichio Corbinossa?
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,809

    Cows need green grass, not straw!

    I wonder if the problem with climate change was about the production of seed potatoes rather than crop potatoes? Scotland produces most of those due to a lack of endemic blight, which likes warmer temperatures.
    Most commercial cow herds go in in the winter and need straw or some other form of feed.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,284
    HYUFD said:
    They think it's all over...it is now!
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,518

    Regarding Starmer (and the Lib Dems) plan to cap energy bills, I have to say this seems logical. I'm not sure what the point of a consistently rising cap is. I appreciate that energy companies cannot sell energy at a loss, but it is clearly wrong that their profits should rise when the cost of their raw material has also risen. That feels like a pisstake. They should trim their profit expectations as UK householders must trim their spare spending money expectations. I have been convinced for a while that part of Liz's way of getting through this would be to stop the rising price cap at a certain level, in combination with her other measures (VAT on fuel etc.). I just think she's not been able to say it.

    So we now know where Starmer and Davey would cap it. I reckon Liz would cap it higher, and combine with her tax cuts (energy companies pleased), and then Sunak looks like the odd one out, because he would let it rip, and hand out free Government money to pay for it. That's a big bung to the energy companies, yes with the potential to impose further windfall taxes, but only on a percentage of profits. I think it says something about Sunak that he wants to insert Government into this process as the supposed benefactor, furlough style.

    Which energy companies are making tons more profit?

    It is the ones who dig the stuff out of the ground or drill in the wilderness not the highly regulated distributors and retail end of the chain.

    If you simply cap the price that the retail companies sell the stuff to us then they will either a) not be able to buy any energy on the world markets or b) make losses that result in bankruptcy.



  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,518

    "People have thrown their principles out of the window. How can you look at [your colleagues] in the same light again?"

    Same way they did in 2019. Don't have nightmares.
    As I have said before, expect a leadership election next summer.

    Looking forward to BF getting a book up on leader after Truss.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,024
    kinabalu said:

    Yes but I'm talking Left not centre left. Where's the Italian Corbyn? Where's Jeremichio Corbinossa?
    Five Star won most seats last time on a populist platform but have withdrawn from the Draghi government. Corbyn of course was trounced in 2019. The Greens and Left Alliance in Italy is polling 3%.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2022_Italian_general_election

    Whatever happens it is likely Italy is moving right against the recent trend in the West

  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,693
    Leon said:

    What is truly amazing is that @kinabalu cannot see - and I believe her, I believe she can't see this - that there is a reason why people might vote for the Right, despite falling living standards, indicating an apparent "failure of capitalism"

    The time will soon come when we will all have to take sides

    It’s the good old “Ha ha! These stupid poor people are voting against their interests!” line - as if poor people are only allowed to be interested in money. Concerns higher than money are only for nice middle-class voters, innit?
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,809

    Which energy companies are making tons more profit?

    It is the ones who dig the stuff out of the ground or drill in the wilderness not the highly regulated distributors and retail end of the chain.

    If you simply cap the price that the retail companies sell the stuff to us then they will either a) not be able to buy any energy on the world markets or b) make losses that result in bankruptcy.



    I get my gas from Shell. Given the amount of consolidation in the industry recently, I am not sure there's the huge distinction you speak of. I could of course be wrong.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited August 2022
    dixiedean said:

    Labour's plan, if that's what it is has been derided on here. The question is though, what is the alternative?
    It at least has the virtue of putting the ball back in court.
    Vague concepts of "help based on income" are just that.

    The proboem with it is it does nothing to help those at the lower end already going under, nor businesses who dont get the benefit of a cap and are at increasing high risk. And the energy companies will be compensated.
    But it saves rich people a couple grand a year.
    So, nothing for the struggling, fuck businesses and tax payer money to compensate energy companies.
    Once that sinks in, 'fuck labour' will be the conclusion.

    We are screwed. They are going to have to reinvent the energy market
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295
    34.2°C maximum here in Dorset today, fractionally hotter than it was here on July 19th.

    2022 is going to turn out to be a hotter summer than 1976.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,518
    edited August 2022

    HMG should either:

    Freeze the energy cap where it is now, subsidise the energy distributors through a windfall tax on energy producers, increased taxes on wealth and/or borrowing.

    Or, better still:

    Reduce the energy cap back to where it was in 2019/2020, funded through windfall taxes, wealth tax and borrowing, offset by the saving caused by the reduced benefit uplift inflation rate.

    Pissing around with £400 here, £150 there is futile.

    Edit: Just seen Starmer is saying much the same:

    https://www.theguardian.com/business/2022/aug/13/keir-starmer-demands-ban-on-raising-energy-prices

    Sunak did the £400 because the Treasury told him that was the easiest and simplest way to deliver the policy. The minute you add any kind of means test then the admin levels head up to the moon and the whole thing becomes undeliverable for years.

    Edit: Anyone who has done any kind of benefit or disability means test knows how complicated it is. I did one the other day for social care and it ran to 20 pages (with additional sheets to be added if necessary).
  • HYUFD said:
    @bigjohnowls please eggsplain!
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295

    Sunak did the £400 because the Treasury told him that was the easiest and simplest way to deliver the policy. The minute you add any kind of means test then the admin levels head up to the moon and the whole thing becomes undeliverable for years.

    Agreed. So freeze the energy cap. Like I said.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,229

    Most commercial cow herds go in in the winter and need straw or some other form of feed.
    A farmer acquaintance of mine has his dairy herd indoors eating his winter silage, there being no grazing grass in the fields. More silage for the winter is going to be expensive to buy in.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,809
    Foxy said:

    A farmer acquaintance of mine has his dairy herd indoors eating his winter silage, there being no grazing grass in the fields. More silage for the winter is going to be expensive to buy in.
    Lets hope for a wet but warm Autumn so he can get them out and keep them out for longer than usual.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939

    The proboem with it is it does nothing to help those at the lower end already going under, nor businesses who dont get the benefit of a cap and are at increasing high risk. And the energy companies will be compensated.
    But it saves rich people a couple grand a year.
    So, nothing for the struggling, fuck businesses and tax payer money to compensate energy companies.
    Once that sinks in, 'fuck labour' will be the conclusion.

    We are screwed. They are going to have to reinvent the energy market
    But. Isn't it a cap on the kWh price? Therefore it does help the poorest. It isn't great. But I'm not sure there's a great answer. Tax cuts is irrelevant.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,799
    edited August 2022
    Leon said:

    Yes, let's vote for the Left, which wants to flood our countries with immigrants, which wants to chop the tits off our daughters, which tells us we are all racist just because we are white, which tells us we are intrinsically evil, which constantly lies about the reality of crime, and which despises the countries we love, and wants us all to be run by, fuck knows, Muslims, anyone, anyone but us, the evil white people?

    Yes, it is truly amazing that people are still resistant to voting for the Left in Europe and America
    Rancid old racist or the Fox defence of "obviously just satirical hyperbole"?

    Hmm ... Let's sleep on it.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939

    Sunak did the £400 because the Treasury told him that was the easiest and simplest way to deliver the policy. The minute you add any kind of means test then the admin levels head up to the moon and the whole thing becomes undeliverable for years.

    Edit: Anyone who has done any kind of benefit or disability means test knows how complicated it is. I did one the other day for social care and it ran to 20 pages (with additional sheets to be added if necessary).
    Plus. You get the issue of having to apply or summat. A whole new level of bureaucracy.
  • HYUFD said:
    Edwina Currie - dear me its all over
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,295
    edited August 2022

    Most commercial cow herds go in in the winter and need straw or some other form of feed.
    Silage, not straw.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    dixiedean said:

    But. Isn't it a cap on the kWh price? Therefore it does help the poorest. It isn't great. But I'm not sure there's a great answer. Tax cuts is irrelevant.
    The worse off already cant afford it or are really struggling. This freezes their bills at a 'struggling' level offering no assistance other than the freeze (and how long for? 3 months? 6? Just postponing the apocalypse??). And energy companies who are the ones they struggle to pay will be compensated for not bankrupting little old ladies and poor families with their taxes. Its toxic.
    It requires complete reinvention, somehow!
  • kinabalu said:

    The Gary Neville view.

    Jamie Redknapp disagrees - he thinks it's down to the players who aren't "running for the shirt".

    Says anybody can have an offday but at least they should "run around".

    Says when he was at Liverpool all the players would "die for the team" and he doesn't get that feeling off these Man U players - that they'd die for Man U.

    So, 2 very different takes there on Manchester United Football Club.
    Players can run for the shirt. But if they run uncoordinated in every direction, and the trainers aren't guiding them on how they should play, or even that there should be a way they should play, how do they motivate themselves to do so?

    Carragher talks about the Liverpool wilderness years. And they had similar - an odd collection of supposedly marquee players who don't fit together and no real idea what they are supposed to be doing. Under Souness as an example.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,780
    carnforth said:

    It’s the good old “Ha ha! These stupid poor people are voting against their interests!” line - as if poor people are only allowed to be interested in money. Concerns higher than money are only for nice middle-class voters, innit?
    Indeed. And this led to the defeat of Remain

    "The proles only care about their income next weekend, so they can drink shit British beer. Scare them with facts about wages, and the price of a burger, the stupid twats"

    The Tory snobs led this campaign, and the Labour snobs eagerly joined in

    Well, no. Poor people are generally just as smart - or stupid - as rich people, just lacking in genetic luck or decent education, perhaps. And they are quite capable of making an entirely rational decision which isn't exclusively based on immediate self interest. eg "this might not be instantly good for me, but it will be better for my kids, so I will vote for Leave"

    That's why 34m people voted in the Brexit referendum. They felt it mattered, and they felt it could make a difference: as it should, and as - thank God - it has

    Imagine a Britain where that referendum was ignored. I genuinely believe we would now be looking at violence in the streets. Fuck. I'd be one of them. If votes can be ignored, throw a petrol bomb


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