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How’s Truss going to do against Starmer and vice versa? – politicalbetting.com
How’s Truss going to do against Starmer and vice versa? – politicalbetting.com
The most interesting aspect of UK politics over the next few months will be seeing how the new Tory leader and Prime Minister, Liz Truss, does against Keir Starmer and vice versa. Their first PMQs is going to be a must watch.
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Brentford just sitting back. And still nowt created whatsoever.
However, the scale of the mountain of excrement about to hit the fan makes the personal qualities of the combatants nearly irrelevant.
Also anxious city because the bet is with 'long time no see unless he's back with a new name' Isam. Which I don't think he is.
Add me to the list of people who think Starmer underrated.
By the time of the next election voters may be crying out for a bit of boring competence and even his critics accept that's the minimum he offers.
BBC More or Less
“Is Opinion polling broken?”
Still appalling value.
If voters are “crying out” for the dud, their voices are gey muffled.
'By the time of the next election.'
Got it?
https://twitter.com/richardmarcj/status/1558507707916849153
Let’s hope the Glazers know about the football pyramid, and don’t think they bought a “Premier League franchise”.
Let me respond this way: the Year of next UK GE market presents an outstanding opportunity.
Truss has one chance, and one chance only. She needs to go hard and go early. A whirlwind. Con Maj 1 would be an astonishing success. I think she can do it.
So she'll do what Brown, Major and Callaghan did and wait until the last possible moment in the hope something turns up.
I expect a January 2025 election and a small Labour majority government to be the result.
Being more Spursy against Spurs in a Champions League final.
That's not what Manchester United need.
Most streets don't have a number 4. Apartment buildings seldom have a fourth floor.
A hugely important part of Taiwanese elections is the random draw of each candidate's number, which appears on all adverts and ballot paper.
Number 4 is considered extremely inauspicious.
However. You should be worried about the number 20.
That's your position.
Yes 8/1
No 1/9
I still, 103 years later, start every season with the first aim that they are not relegated. It has worked every time so far.
Arsenal, Everton and the queen: three in the top flight all my life.
Cristiano knew, just like Fergie knew, he wanted out badly
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/aboard-his-ghost-ship-government-johnson-is-bored-and-the-ministers-are-mutinous-pbhrb5rmz
Not only that, Truss is indeed running on the most hardline rightwing platform of any Tory leader since IDS, despite her liberal past and previous support for Remain. However both Truss and Starmer are serious and hardworking so we will see what happens.
Assuming SLab MPs = max 5 (copyright CHB), and Welsh Labour sweeping the board, how the hell is Starmer going to get to Maj?? Have you perused the list of English seats he’d need to gain? It is gargantuan.
Ho ho.
If there’s anything English politics is going to be, it’s not “dull”.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-edinburgh-east-fife-62533592
“The Pleasance declined to give detail about what aspects of Sadowitz's material led to the cancellation.
Its director, Anthony Alderson, added: "The Pleasance is a venue that champions freedom of speech and we do not censor comedians' material.
"While we acknowledge that Jerry Sadowitz has often been controversial, the material presented at his first show is not acceptable and does not align with our values.
"This type of material has no place on the festival and the Pleasance will not be presenting his second and final show"
The height of absurdity. The director is tangling himself in impossibly illogical knots. You can’t be both pro-free speech and then engage in cancel culture.
He should have said “free speech has limits” or been brutally honest and said “I don’t agree with this, but we’re scared of the thugs” or even more honest, “this is a commercial decision”
The alchemy of UK politics will with luck give us a Lab minority government, relying on LD support or coalition.
Fair enough to say they wouldn't book him because they don't approve of his act, but they can't then say they don't censor material. The two are mutually exclusive.
Can’t imagine comedians queuing up to book that venue next year.
1.11 Liz Truss 90%
9.8 Rishi Sunak 10%
Next Conservative leader
1.11 Liz Truss 90%
9.6 Rishi Sunak 10%
Maybe it'll work at the GE too.
On Friday night, Sir Robert Buckland, the Welsh secretary who was Raab’s predecessor as justice secretary, switched sides from Sunak to Truss, in the apparent hope that he can return to the Ministry of Justice.....
....MPs who saw Buckland’s defection more cynically were yesterday sharing a quote from A Man For All Seasons, the play and film about another former lord chancellor, Sir Thomas More: “It profits a man nothing to give his soul for the whole world. But for Wales?”
- “What is devomax? What currently reserved powers would be devolved?”
Your lack of answer did not go unnoticed.
I hope its better than Thursdays 'compensate the energy companies' bollox
He is a serial fraud and liar almost on the Blair scale though fortunately without fraction of his charisma
(Well, to be strictly accurate, 'King of Great Britain, Ireland and France.')
I think people are very good at holding irreconcilable opinions at the same time. I imagine they get around this one by insisting they don't censor acts that take place, they just don't host acts they don't like the content of, obviating the need to censor in the first place - the material exists uncensored, but unseen.
'An artist is someone who can hold two opposing viewpoints and still remain fully functional.' Scott Fitzgerald.
Eg the Nordic warlord Æthelstan minted coins saying ‘Rex totius Britanniae’.
Nice try, but no coconuts.
A different point - this is the fringe. The idea is that stuff the Edinburgh establishment doesn't like is still put on. You should see the kind of stuff that goes on in some of the the late night shows...
The obvious reaction, if acts can't find any support, is an alternative. The side-parting? The bangs? I heard a rumour that he is going do the show stood on a box in the Meadows.
The best bit of my post was actually very subtle. It was the fact that the BBC journo/editor murdered the guy with his own words. They could have (and indeed, in the past, would have) helpfully edited out the glaring contradiction in his quote.
They didn’t. I recon it’s deliberate. The BBC, or at least some within the BBC, have had it with cancel culture.
Hum it quietly; oh the times, they are a’changing.
" Dumb and Dumber"
Truss 61%
Sunak 39%
Closer than Johnson v Hunt or
Cameron v Davis but still about the same margin IDS beat Clarke in 2001
https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1558528835976663041?s=20&t=45CVDfYNISmriOGAjG6bVg
GB News
@GBNEWS
·
41m
'This is another example of the apparatus of the state being used to punish or criminalise a political opponent.'
Republicans Overseas UK Chairman Greg Swenson reacts to Trump's home being raided by the FBI.
https://twitter.com/GBNEWS/status/1558519317754413056
2) As he defeated the Scottish and Danish army at Brunanburh and forced them to acknowledge him as overlord, having already received the homage of the leading Welsh princes five years earlier, it seems a fair enough title.
His death two years later saw his hegemony disintegrate, but that doesn't mean it didn't exist.
https://twitter.com/Peston/status/1558530443288498177?s=20&t=1ljWFy1avDbRjIU1cPqKzQ
I mean, what did it really mean other than claiming he was the biggest deal in the islands? And that seems true.
When I last watched Dan Wooton the tagline was "no spin, no bias".
He doesn't seem the type to accept a lesser post after holding a Great Office, so he's probably resigned to not being in the Truss Cabinet anyway, so no harm in pushing her all the way.
https://twitter.com/OpiniumResearch/status/1558530954033086464?s=20&t=F4bdca9q3ABXDGw68dPsRw
Universal Credit (etc)
Illegal drugs
Betting (eeek)
Experimenting on animals
Possibly some more energy stuff? tricky
Equalities
Post
All income taxes (though income tax is largely devolved now)
That's it really. Anything further would be unworkable, imo.
I might have a nibble for Top 4 if the price has gone stupid.
His chosen thing was processing ancient texts - they have been copied and modified many times. Everything we have from the ancient Greeks, for example, has been copied many times and often hacked and modified. Often we don't know who the author or authors were. We have a number of different versions, often, as well.
What his software was doing was learning to identify style patterns by authors. Many texts were actually written by multiple authors. He trained it on known examples and then set it loose on various other texts.
The university authorities woke up (ha) and pulled him in for an interview without coffee - nearly an interview without chair. They told him that if he ran his software against several quite old texts - one in particular got some emphasis, he would be thrown off his PhD and if he even tried to complain they would tar his name in public.
The funny bit was that they dressed this up with a big speech about freedom of expression, compassion, understanding and being a Good Egg in general.
"Half of you may not be here in 30 or 40 years' time, but I will be and I want to be free..."
Replace "free" by "electable".