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The papers after an historic day – politicalbetting.com

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  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,179

    As an aside, the following is a list of all the people planning or building rockets in Europe. There are rather a lot (too many)...

    https://europeanspaceflight.com/european-rocket-index/

    There are a couple in there who will make it to the launch pad, I think. Good to see.
  • KevinBKevinB Posts: 109
    MISTY said:

    Are the ousting of Johnson, the farmers protests all over Europe and the awful assassination of poor Mr Abe part of a pattern?

    I would say yes

    The governments of the developed economies have stopped offering their voters paths to prosperity and progress.

    Their offer now is 'help' with the sacrifices they are asking people to make. The point is, however, that general trajectory is downwards and not upwards and nobody seems to have noticed.

    Well the voters are noticing. In democracies, this a recipe for growing instability. It will go on until someone cuts and runs and ditches the green agenda completely in their country.

    Yes the combination of fast demographic change and economic decline is a toxic combination for the UK and indeed Europe. I have no doubt in time leaders will emerge who make Trump seem like a cuddly liberal...meantime the tories agonise over morduant or wallace lol
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,933
    Pulpstar said:

    Bettingwise the Starmer news was a damp squib either way as he was already out of the next PM stakes.

    Huge for the next election, mind.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    No fines for SKS and Rayner clearly the right decision - and it makes the Met decision to fine Boris and Sunak look even more perverse.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,530
    eek said:

    Can I ask where Durham Police can send the bill to for the waste of time involved - it's my money that this pointless investigation wasted.
    Are you saying that the only police investigations that are worthwhile are those that result in a prosecution?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,644
    tlg86 said:

    Well, on the night Starmer was having a curry and a beer indoors, I was getting told off for talking to a friend in a pub car park.
    The Rozzers not knowing the rules, well colour me stunned.

  • DM_AndyDM_Andy Posts: 1,199
    edited July 2022
    Epsom & Ewell - Ewell West
    Residents Association 549, 43.4% (-29.0% on May 2019)
    Labour 395, 31.2% (+20.4%)
    Conservative 205, 16.2% (+8.3%)
    Liberal Democrats 117, 9.2% (+0.3%)

    Residents Association HOLD
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,503
    Alistair said:

    Absolutely astonishing polling out of Ohio

    https://twitter.com/USA_Polling/status/1545110156156993538

    Dem leading GOP by 49-40 for Sentate seat!

    I do not believe it.

    Wow! I'm praying that's not an outlier.

    It's the hope that kills you.

  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 23,376
    edited July 2022

    "Men and women haven't only had sex for centuries, they've had sex for as long as humanity has existed."

    Wow. I never knew that. Thanks for enlightening me! (/sarcasm)

    I don't want to regulate away people's sex drives. Far from. And neither am I being puritanical, however many times you say it.

    But if we're going to take such a tone: you're shouting for sexual and other abuses. Because the system you're promoting has been done, and abuse has occurred because of it. And you evidently don't care.
    Abuse has always happened and will always happen. I evidently do care, but I care to tackle the abusers and systems that push abuse under the carpet - not people who consensually have sex with each other. 🤦‍♂️

    The Catholic Priests who systematically abused vulnerable people did so while supposedly celibate. Celibacy has been tried and failed too. Pushing relationships under the carpet has been tried and failed too.

    Openness and honesty works and honesty only works when prohibition doesn't happen.

    You didn't object to any supposed abuse, you have provided literally zero evidence of abuse, you objected to a pregnancy. All this started by discussing childbirth. People are entitled to get pregnant and have a child. If they want to they should be entitled to have an abortion, and if they don't want to they should be able to have children - even, yes, twins as in this case.

    If any evidence of actual, you know, abuse turns up then lets discuss that but in the meantime without any such evidence businesses have absolutely no rightful place in telling employees who can or can not have children or get pregnant.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,251
    Cyclefree said:

    That's one hell of an imagination he's got. I do hope he moved onto fiction. He'll have made a mint.
    I wonder if the author has thought of becoming a Tory MP? Based on the above he ticks nearly all the admission criteria.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,384
    Canada caves (if true)

    In agreement with Germany, the Canadian government intends to release a turbine caught up in sanctions against Russia critical for the Nord Stream gas pipeline. This will set a precedent for slow embargo lifting at the request of an aggressor state.

    https://www.eurointegration.com.ua/eng/news/2022/07/7/7142802/
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,454
    edited July 2022
    The most ironic thing about all of the fines etc is that the one Boris and Sunak got probably shouldn't have been either....the incidents Boris didn't get fined for, well that's a different matter.

    I would say Sunak has been the unluckiest of everybody...standing a distance away from somebody without even a diet coke in hand at their place of work and gets a FPN.
  • jamesdoylejamesdoyle Posts: 797
    Ten council by-elections last night: gains for Lab, LDm and Green, lot of Labour holds

    Good Week/Bad Week Index

    Lab +232
    Grn +89
    LDm +80
    Con -157

    Adjusted Seat Value

    Lab +3.9
    Grn +1.5
    LDm +1.3
    Con -2.6
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,503

    ‘Durham Constabulary will not be issuing any fixed penalty notices in respect of the gathering and no further action will be taken.’

    Full statement:


    https://twitter.com/joepike/status/1545370722612264960?

    Would be insane otherwise, as Johnson's events were all considered "work".
  • eekeek Posts: 29,719
    tlg86 said:

    Well, on the night Starmer was having a curry and a beer indoors, I was getting told off for talking to a friend in a pub car park.
    In County Durham or elsewhere?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,179

    Wasn't the Falcon 1 first flight failure a fuel line leak in the rocket? (admittedly from memory).
    It was a corroded nut on a fuel line - IIRC it was actually on the connections between the lines on the engine and the rocket, so it's a bit of a "what definition do you use" thing as to engine failure vs rocket failure.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,018
    Farooq said:

    You're being very brave at this difficult time
    Silly comment

    Johnson has gone and Starmer fighting the next election v a new conservative pm is excellent news for the conservatives
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    KevinB said:

    Yes the combination of fast demographic change and economic decline is a toxic combination for the UK and indeed Europe. I have no doubt in time leaders will emerge who make Trump seem like a cuddly liberal...meantime the tories agonise over morduant or wallace lol
    UK, Europe, US, Japan, Canada, Australia, NZ. Same political template. Same-ish demographics. Same problems. And they are going to get worse before they get better. Much worse.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,530

    The Rozzers not knowing the rules, well colour me stunned.

    Not by police, but by pub staff. Perhaps they got it wrong, but you had to be sat down at a table in the garden or something.

    Utter bollocks, of course, but Starmer voted for that bollocks.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    eek said:

    Germany is already talking about energy rationing this autumn / winter

    https://www.thelocal.de/20220707/germanys-largest-landlord-to-restrict-heating-at-night/

    At what point, do the Germans finally realise the importance of defeating Putin in the war?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,656
    The latest right to privacy case involving the Supreme Court...

    https://twitter.com/dlippman/status/1545357451234615298
    Justice Brett Kavanaugh had to exit through the rear of Morton's on Wednesday night after DC protestors showed up out front. A Morton's rep told me: "Politics … should not trample the freedom at play of the right to congregate and eat dinner."
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,530
    eek said:

    In County Durham or elsewhere?
    In England. Last time I looked, the laws of England apply to the whole country.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,644

    Canada caves (if true)

    In agreement with Germany, the Canadian government intends to release a turbine caught up in sanctions against Russia critical for the Nord Stream gas pipeline. This will set a precedent for slow embargo lifting at the request of an aggressor state.

    https://www.eurointegration.com.ua/eng/news/2022/07/7/7142802/

    What do you expect from a country with so many French speakers?

    We need to kick Canada out of the Commonwealth.

  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,933

    Ten council by-elections last night: gains for Lab, LDm and Green, lot of Labour holds

    Good Week/Bad Week Index

    Lab +232
    Grn +89
    LDm +80
    Con -157

    Adjusted Seat Value

    Lab +3.9
    Grn +1.5
    LDm +1.3
    Con -2.6

    Did we get the Camden result?
  • sladeslade Posts: 2,160
    Lib Dem gain in Camden.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,097
    Leon said:

    @OnlyLivingBoy - You've got me googling now. The Woke people at the Indy also reviewed this "Millions of Women" book. I apologise for the chunk of quotation, but their review is worth reading at length, so we can all grasp the true depravity of this man "@SeanT":

    https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/books/reviews/millions-of-women-are-waiting-to-meet-you-by-sean-thomas-480121.html



    "On the cover of my proof copy of Sean Thomas's non-fiction account of his adventures on the internet-dating scene, Millions of Women Are Waiting to Meet You, there is a jokey warning that "this book reveals how men really think." This isn't true. Sean Thomas may believe himself to be a normal man, but in the course of this book he decides a woman named "Bongowoman" is an appealing person to go on a date with; describes how his first sexual experience (at 12 years old) involved him flashing at his parents' cleaning woman; reveals that he can only go out with women who are shorter than him (he describes such women as "sit-on-my-lap girls"); fakes suicide to impress a girl who's broken up with him; suffers from several bouts of serious impotence; catches crabs from an Australian woman; boasts about the TV celebrity he used to date, a relationship which began when he shoved his hand up her skirt; gets so addicted to internet porn (particularly "Bernie's Spanking Pages" and "extremely convoluted scenarios where submissive Danish actresses are intimately shaved by their dominant female doctors in the shower") that he masturbates himself into the hospital, where he ends up on a saline drip; goes into a 15-page explanation of why he doesn't want to sodomise a woman who's begged him to do so, before deciding that he will do it after all; explains how when he was 30 he made his 17-year old schoolgirl lover have an abortion; gets a blow-job from his best friend's girlfriend on Bayswater Road in full view of the public; performs oral sex on a woman moments after she has finished having sex with his friend in the other room; goes to a strip club in Thailand so often over a three-month period that one of the strippers writes messages to him with a pen clenched in her vagina; has an abortive threesome in Russia which ends with him prematurely ejaculating over the carpet, and in one of the book's most flabbergasting chapters, mistakenly believes he's impregnated a prostitute and considers throwing everything in and starting a family with her.

    Now, Sean, that ain't normal. It is, however, hilarious. I can't remember reading a book that's made me laugh out loud as much as this one. Thomas must be extraordinarily brave...."


    There's more, but you get the appalling picture

    https://www.independent.co.uk/arts-entertainment/books/reviews/millions-of-women-are-waiting-to-meet-you-by-sean-thomas-480121.html

    Thank God he's gone

    That author's parents must have been monsters.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,719
    edited July 2022
    tlg86 said:

    Are you saying that the only police investigations that are worthwhile are those that result in a prosecution?
    No what I'm saying was the police investigated the case found no evidence.

    They were then provided with (false) information and forced to reinvestigate only for it turn out that the reason for reopening the case was a pack of lies for political reasons.

    In that case (and in all other similar cases) the people who provided the false information should be being charged with wasting police time.
  • NerysHughesNerysHughes Posts: 3,375

    Silly comment

    Johnson has gone and Starmer fighting the next election v a new conservative pm is excellent news for the conservatives
    A lot of Labour MPs will be disappointed
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    Excellent that Starmer was cleared. One Tory PM down, one more to go. Some shit stirrers owe him an apology.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537

    Ben Riley-Smith
    @benrileysmith
    ·
    4m
    Breaking: Durham police decide NO FINES over beergate. Keir and Rayner in the clear.

    Ok, but seriously how do they explain the wild coincidence of the announcement now, not earlier?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,727
    MISTY said:

    UK, Europe, US, Japan, Canada, Australia, NZ. Same political template. Same-ish demographics. Same problems. And they are going to get worse before they get better. Much worse.
    China too. Russia too. Demographic decline is a problem across the world

    However AI might well save us, but it will be rocky for a while
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    Breaking: Durham police decide NO FINES over beergate. Keir and Rayner in the clear.

    https://twitter.com/benrileysmith/status/1545370059815649280

    Enough excitement for one week….

    How much police time wasted, both in Durham and London, over these politically-motivated parking tickets?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,644
    kle4 said:

    Ok, but seriously how do they explain the wild coincidence of the announcement now, not earlier?
    Justice delayed is justice denied.

  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,243

    Silly comment

    Johnson has gone and Starmer fighting the next election v a new conservative pm is excellent news for the conservatives
    Starmer vs Braverman? Yeah. Labour will be quaking in their boots.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,155
    MISTY said:

    You are overstating the case. Johnson didn't need to trim very much to survive and thrive.

    A bit softer on net zero, a bit more attention to truth and the rules, a bit more aggressive on the culture wars, some definitive action on tax cuts, commitments to no more lockdowns etc.

    But no. He would not trim one iota. He felt himself above it all and he would not compromise at all. That's why he is going.
    Johnson is going only because of three mistakes.

    1. He insisted that his MPs break the existing system of due process in a doomed attempt to save his mate Paterson from deserved censure.
    2. He lied about breaking coronavirus rules instead of coming clean about it.
    3. He lied about what he knew about Pincher's track record.

    Some of the policy stuff didn't make MPs exactly delighted, but the end of Johnson was not motivated by a desire for a change of policy, but for a change of character. It's not just that he was a liar, but he was a really bad liar who made other people look ridiculous for being caught out lying on his behalf.

    Of course a new leader is an opportunity for policy changes in all sorts of areas depending on what particularly axe a backbencher or party member wishes to grind. But policy didn't doom* Johnson and it wouldn't have saved him. This was 100% character failings.

    * Note to Rejoiners, this also means Brexit had nothing to do with his end too, and there's no particular reason to expect a softening over a gardening as a result.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,018

    Starmer vs Braverman? Yeah. Labour will be quaking in their boots.
    It won't be Braverman
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,530
    eek said:

    No what I'm saying was the police investigated the case found no evidence.

    They were then provided with (false) information and forced to reinvestigate only for it turn out that the reason for reopening the case was a pack of lies for political reasons.

    In that case (and in all other similar cases) the people who provided the false information should be being charged with wasting police time.
    Right, well if what you allege is true and the police think someone was playing silly buggers, then fair enough. The statement from Durham Police does not suggest this to be the case.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,487

    Abuse has always happened and will always happen. I evidently do care, but I care to tackle the abusers and systems that push abuse under the carpet - not people who consensually have sex with each other. 🤦‍♂️

    The Catholic Priests who systematically abused vulnerable people did so while supposedly celibate. Celibacy has been tried and failed too. Pushing relationships under the carpet has been tried and failed too.

    Openness and honesty works and honesty only works when prohibition doesn't happen.

    You didn't object to any supposed abuse, you have provided literally zero evidence of abuse, you objected to a pregnancy. All this started by discussing childbirth. People are entitled to get pregnant and have a child. If they want to they should be entitled to have an abortion, and if they don't want to they should be able to have children - even, yes, twins as in this case.

    If any evidence of actual, you know, abuse turns up then lets discuss that but in the meantime without any such evidence businesses have absolutely no rightful place in telling employees who can or can not have children or get pregnant.
    I was in a sense, my future wife's boss, when I got engaged to her. I was a local councillor, supervising the department she worked in. But, we both reported our relationship to our superiors, and I don't consider there was any impropriety to it.
  • KevinBKevinB Posts: 109
    Sandpit said:

    At what point, do the Germans finally realise the importance of defeating Putin in the war?
    Wouldn't be surprised if Germany pushed for a settlement with Russia as things get difficult over the winter
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594

    Starmer vs Braverman? Yeah. Labour will be quaking in their boots.
    Labour = Stale. Pale. Male.

  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,353
    KevinB said:

    Watch this video of red wall voters. The conservatives should be very afraid

    https://twitter.com/CatharineHoey/status/1545334146507198464?s=20&t=ucP2Ei8Vp5zHlfnoQC5maw

    Kevin (aka Mick).

    Please acknowledge my email, or I will be forced to wave the ban hammer.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,659
    slade said:

    Lib Dem gain in Camden.

    Woooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo!

    I think it was probably my campaign donation that secured the win. ;-)
  • eekeek Posts: 29,719
    edited July 2022
    tlg86 said:

    In England. Last time I looked, the laws of England apply to the whole country.
    We don't have a national police force - so just because you are in an area where the police are being told something that is wrong doesn't make it an issue for the rest of us.

    I actually like Durham Police, as they are awfully pragmatic and have the sanity to actually apply modern systems to various items (see the multiple apps they and Cumbria use for easy of reporting and the centralised custody centre that the Tories tried to stop). They also refuse to touch Cleveland Police with a bargepole no matter how many times they've been asked to merge.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Wow! I'm praying that's not an outlier.

    It's the hope that kills you.

    The commissioners are an explicitly anti-Vance PAC so no idea if there was any priming or anything like that.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,727

    Johnson is going only because of three mistakes.

    1. He insisted that his MPs break the existing system of due process in a doomed attempt to save his mate Paterson from deserved censure.
    2. He lied about breaking coronavirus rules instead of coming clean about it.
    3. He lied about what he knew about Pincher's track record.

    Some of the policy stuff didn't make MPs exactly delighted, but the end of Johnson was not motivated by a desire for a change of policy, but for a change of character. It's not just that he was a liar, but he was a really bad liar who made other people look ridiculous for being caught out lying on his behalf.

    Of course a new leader is an opportunity for policy changes in all sorts of areas depending on what particularly axe a backbencher or party member wishes to grind. But policy didn't doom* Johnson and it wouldn't have saved him. This was 100% character failings.

    * Note to Rejoiners, this also means Brexit had nothing to do with his end too, and there's no particular reason to expect a softening over a gardening as a result.
    The crapness of his lies is a peculiar aspect. Because they often got him into more and deeper trouble

    Was it sheer laziness? Was it arrogance ("they will believe any old shit")? Was it a simple inability to lie well, perhaps because it troubles him subconsciously?

    A mix?

    He is a genuinely fascinating character. because he has so many talents alongside so many flaws; for this reason - and others - his book will SELL. People want to know, even some of the haters
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,155
    MattW said:

    They are talking about restricting heat during the 11p to 6am window.

    Does German energy demand work the other way round to ours?
    I don't think the challenge is meeting peak demand, but in meeting total aggregate demand, because they have a reasonable amount of storage.

    We're more vulnerable to problems meeting peak demand, because we have little storage and so might have issues if there's a temporary interruption or delay in gas deliveries.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100

    It won't be Braverman
    Only one of the potential Tory leaders is worth worrying about. None of the them have the presence of Johnson.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,487
    IanB2 said:

    That author's parents must have been monsters.
    I must buy that book, although I have difficulty believing all of that.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,179
    tlg86 said:

    Right, well if what you allege is true and the police think someone was playing silly buggers, then fair enough. The statement from Durham Police does not suggest this to be the case.
    As I understand it,

    1) Various eye witness saw some things.
    2) Starmer and others present don't deny these things happened.
    3) The investigation was into whether these things added up to a breach of the law.
    4) Durham police have decided that they don't add up to an offence.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Leon said:

    The crapness of his lies is a peculiar aspect. Because they often got him into more and deeper trouble

    Was it sheer laziness? Was it arrogance ("they will believe any old shit")? Was it a simple inability to lie well, perhaps because it troubles him subconsciously?

    A mix?

    He is a genuinely fascinating character. because he has so many talents alongside so many flaws; for this reason - and others - his book will SELL. People want to know, even some of the haters
    First rule of Boris: there is *always* more to come. Given his corruption over Arcuri and Blowjobgate I have high hopes of enough emerging over Lebedev to put him in clink.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,530
    eek said:

    We don't have a national police force - so just because you are in an area where the police are being told something that is wrong doesn't make it an issue for the rest of us.

    I actually like Durham Police, as they are awfully pragmatic and have the sanity to actually apply modern systems to various items (see the multiple apps they and Cumbria use for easy of reporting and the centralised custody centre that the Tories tried to stop). They also refuse to touch Cleveland Police with a bargepole no matter how many times they've been asked to merge.
    So what you're saying is the Met are a ****ing disgrace for fining politicians for things that, quite frankly, should be let go?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,018
    Jonathan said:

    Only one of the potential Tory leaders is worth worrying about. None of the them have the presence of Johnson.
    Maybe wait and see who wins the vote and the subsequent cabinet
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    KevinB said:

    Wouldn't be surprised if Germany pushed for a settlement with Russia as things get difficult over the winter

    Angela Merkel was regarded as THE template for a pan European leader by many remainers. Remember Cameron's sniveling obeisance at the mother of parliaments?

    What is happening now is on her. This was her strategy. War and mass deprivation are her legacy.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,251
    Leon said:

    The crapness of his lies is a peculiar aspect. Because they often got him into more and deeper trouble

    Was it sheer laziness? Was it arrogance ("they will believe any old shit")? Was it a simple inability to lie well, perhaps because it troubles him subconsciously?

    A mix?

    He is a genuinely fascinating character. because he has so many talents alongside so many flaws; for this reason - and others - his book will SELL. People want to know, even some of the haters
    Laziness and arrogance, yes. Confirmation bias as well - his lies have been tolerated and even welcomed his whole life - why not for one more week?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,702
    Sandpit said:

    At what point, do the Germans finally realise the importance of defeating Putin in the war?
    Mate you have explained why you are abroad and I totally respect that.

    But don't start playing fast and loose on behalf of a sovereign state saying that they should as a matter of course make their population suffer.

    From the outset it was obvious that Germany would have to think long and hard about their energy situation and that any penal action taken against Russia would also impact the German people.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,384
    Still might be true…..

    Flashback: CCHQ declared beergate was the most successful political operation in its recent history a few months back.

    https://twitter.com/benrileysmith/status/1545373319901417473
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100

    Maybe wait and see who wins the vote and the subsequent cabinet
    Sure, but they are all completely beatable. Looking forward to getting stuck in.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,719
    tlg86 said:

    So what you're saying is the Met are a ****ing disgrace for fining politicians for things that, quite frankly, should be let go?
    No what I'm saying is that we don't have a national police force.

    Which means that when you complain about a police force doing XYZ when they shouldn't be that is very much a local issue.

    Here the police did issue FPN when appropriate - but the SKS case wasn't one of them at the time and it wasn't one when the police were forced to re-open the case for politically motivated reasons.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,727
    Sean_F said:

    I must buy that book, although I have difficulty believing all of that.
    My publishing contacts at the Gazette assure me it is true. Indeed there are rumours of a second volume, where all the stories that were "too outrageous to go in the first book", finally see daylight

    Should be quite a read, albeit repellent, of course
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,702
    As for Starmer, he should have been fined. I get that there were 350 parties/meetings at Downing Street but the ones we have seen pictures of were likewise reasonable work events or whatever the term was.

    For those events they should either have fined both of them or neither.
  • Sean_F said:

    I was in a sense, my future wife's boss, when I got engaged to her. I was a local councillor, supervising the department she worked in. But, we both reported our relationship to our superiors, and I don't consider there was any impropriety to it.
    Similar here.

    It is perfectly normal and natural. Employers can very reasonably object to abuse, but not to pregnancy, or engagements, or relationships.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,097
    Leon said:

    The crapness of his lies is a peculiar aspect. Because they often got him into more and deeper trouble

    Was it sheer laziness? Was it arrogance ("they will believe any old shit")? Was it a simple inability to lie well, perhaps because it troubles him subconsciously?

    A mix?

    He is a genuinely fascinating character. because he has so many talents alongside so many flaws; for this reason - and others - his book will SELL. People want to know, even some of the haters
    What's the point of reading a book by someone who just makes stuff up?
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,251
    tlg86 said:

    So what you're saying is the Met are a ****ing disgrace for fining politicians for things that, quite frankly, should be let go?
    Boris and in particular Rishi should not have been fined for the birthday cake event, but Boris should have been fined for other party and social events he attended illegally.

    That the met are a disgrace is generally true.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,530
    eek said:

    No what I'm saying is that we don't have a national police force.

    Which means that when you complain about a police force doing XYZ when they shouldn't be that is very much a local issue.

    Here the police did issue FPN when appropriate - but the SKS case wasn't one of them at the time and it wasn't one when the police were forced to re-open the case for politically motivated reasons.
    To repeat, I was told off by a member of staff not the police. The pub - the local that I was supporting - was seriously worried about anyone breaching the utterly ludicrous rules that were in place in April 2021.

    The politicians - Starmer included - created that situation.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,343

    Abuse has always happened and will always happen. I evidently do care, but I care to tackle the abusers and systems that push abuse under the carpet - not people who consensually have sex with each other. 🤦‍♂️

    (Snip)
    If you do care, given abusive relationships between adults have happened for years in organisations, how do you stop it?

    Your approach appears to be one of: "nothing to see here, move on..."

    And that is to push abuse under the carpet (that's really not good imagery), and I don't think you've got any other solution to the problem.

    To take an extreme example: say you run a company. A senior manager has had an affair with a staff member two ranks lower than him, and she got a promotion. The relationship has broken down, and she is now claiming he forced her to have sex on occasion, and later an abortion, and she got the promotion in return for keeping quiet.

    It is a mess. As the boss, how can you tell how much the relationship was consensual? Is he lying? Is she lying? Is the truth somewhere in between? Was her promotion truly deserved, or was she promoted because of the affair? Do you protect him, as he's a darned good manager? Do you protect her? Do you sling both of them out?

    These sorts of things happen (anecdotally something similar happened at a company here in Cambridge, which I won't name - and it's not one we've worked for).

    This is the sort of absolute mess that organisations need to protect themselves from.

    And worse, if workers lower down the organisation's hierarchy see the bosses shagging their juniors, they'll be more likely to do it as well. The fish rotting from the head. In the same way if they see a boss being racist or sexist, they'll be more likely to think that sort of behaviour is acceptable.

    I'm not calling for a law on this. Just that if I was the boss of that company, I'd want that senior manager to be out on his ear: it's a clear-cut case to me (and hopefully the company's regs would back me up).

    But many other cases are much less clear-cut.
  • TOPPING said:

    Mate you have explained why you are abroad and I totally respect that.

    But don't start playing fast and loose on behalf of a sovereign state saying that they should as a matter of course make their population suffer.

    From the outset it was obvious that Germany would have to think long and hard about their energy situation and that any penal action taken against Russia would also impact the German people.
    So what you're saying is the Germans should sell their souls for cheaper gas supplies?
  • eekeek Posts: 29,719

    I don't think the challenge is meeting peak demand, but in meeting total aggregate demand, because they have a reasonable amount of storage.

    We're more vulnerable to problems meeting peak demand, because we have little storage and so might have issues if there's a temporary interruption or delay in gas deliveries.
    Germany's biggest problem is that they should be filling their reserves up now because their international supply doesn't support winter demand so they always use a fair bit of what is stored over winter.

    Unfortunately they are not currently able to fill their reserves which means come winter Germany are going to have similar problems to us.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,702
    Leon said:

    The crapness of his lies is a peculiar aspect. Because they often got him into more and deeper trouble

    Was it sheer laziness? Was it arrogance ("they will believe any old shit")? Was it a simple inability to lie well, perhaps because it troubles him subconsciously?

    A mix?

    He is a genuinely fascinating character. because he has so many talents alongside so many flaws; for this reason - and others - his book will SELL. People want to know, even some of the haters
    He has in front of him a paper cut out of @HYUFD. His litmus test, when he thinks of some outrageous lie he plans to tell is - will *this* person fall for it.

    And they have. Consistently. Boris called it well for some time indeed even up until the very end he was fooling some of the people most of the time.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,179
    Sandpit said:

    Ha, what does “A settlement with Russia” look like to you?

    To me, it means the Russian army f***ing off back to Russia, then we talk.
    I thought we'd agreed on giving them Wales?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,097

    Woooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo!

    I think it was probably my campaign donation that secured the win. ;-)
    And highly rare to see any election where a candidate gets just one vote!
  • jamesdoylejamesdoyle Posts: 797
    dixiedean said:

    Did we get the Camden result?
    LibDem gain from Lab:

    Hampstead Town (Camden) council by-election result:

    LDEM: 40.9% (+18.6)
    CON: 27.6% (-12.3)
    LAB: 24.9% (-12.9)
    GRN: 4.6% (+4.6)
    IND: 2.0% (+2.0)

    Votes cast: 2,247

    Liberal Democrat GAIN from Labour.

    — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) July 8, 2022
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,454
    edited July 2022
    UK food inflation has hit 8.6% – but closer to Russia it is over 20%

    Food inflation in Lithuania, Bulgaria and Hungary is running at over 20%, while Baltic neighbours Latvia and Estonia are not far behind at 18.8% and 17.4% respectively.

    https://www.thegrocer.co.uk/fmcg-prices-and-promotions/uk-food-inflation-vs-the-rest-of-the-world-how-britain-compares/669057.article

    I blame Leon, swanning around these Eastern European parts, throwing his money around and causing shortages.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 23,376
    edited July 2022

    If you do care, given abusive relationships between adults have happened for years in organisations, how do you stop it?

    Your approach appears to be one of: "nothing to see here, move on..."

    And that is to push abuse under the carpet (that's really not good imagery), and I don't think you've got any other solution to the problem.

    To take an extreme example: say you run a company. A senior manager has had an affair with a staff member two ranks lower than him, and she got a promotion. The relationship has broken down, and she is now claiming he forced her to have sex on occasion, and later an abortion, and she got the promotion in return for keeping quiet.

    It is a mess. As the boss, how can you tell how much the relationship was consensual? Is he lying? Is she lying? Is the truth somewhere in between? Was her promotion truly deserved, or was she promoted because of the affair? Do you protect him, as he's a darned good manager? Do you protect her? Do you sling both of them out?

    These sorts of things happen (anecdotally something similar happened at a company here in Cambridge, which I won't name - and it's not one we've worked for).

    This is the sort of absolute mess that organisations need to protect themselves from.

    And worse, if workers lower down the organisation's hierarchy see the bosses shagging their juniors, they'll be more likely to do it as well. The fish rotting from the head. In the same way if they see a boss being racist or sexist, they'll be more likely to think that sort of behaviour is acceptable.

    I'm not calling for a law on this. Just that if I was the boss of that company, I'd want that senior manager to be out on his ear: it's a clear-cut case to me (and hopefully the company's regs would back me up).

    But many other cases are much less clear-cut.
    Considering all we have here is that someone got pregnant and had twins, yes there is nothing to see here.

    You stop it by investigating allegations of abuse on a case-by-case basis and treating them with the seriousness they deserve.

    In your hypothetical, I would ask for evidence. If there were evidence that was forthcoming, eg a text message that put what you said in writing, then that could be gross misconduct. If there was no evidence, then innocent until proven guilty.

    People shagging each other isn't anything "rotting" from the head, genitals or anywhere else, it is human nature and entirely acceptable behaviour.

    But a woman having twins is not abuse. You didn't object to abuse, you objected to a new mother and father having twins.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844



    So there you go.
    Which was obvious from the start. And from their original investigation. No case to answer, was a campaign event.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,727
    IanB2 said:

    What's the point of reading a book by someone who just makes stuff up?


    But Boris does not have to make stuff up or get too jokey in his memoir (and I sincerely hope he doesn't). He's a good writer, if not immortally so, he's got an amazing wealth of material, he was there at the heart of some of the most pivotal moments of the 21st century so far - Brexit, Covid, Ukraine - this book is actually IMPORTANT. He just needs to say what happened, and say it clearly, from his perspective. He now has the time and the incentive

    BORIS, DON'T FUCK IT UP
  • glwglw Posts: 10,357
    TOPPING said:

    As for Starmer, he should have been fined. I get that there were 350 parties/meetings at Downing Street but the ones we have seen pictures of were likewise reasonable work events or whatever the term was.

    For those events they should either have fined both of them or neither.

    Once Starmer said he'd resign I think that made it very difficult for the police to fine him.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,474
    Very disappointing from Canada, and yet more craven pro-Russian nonsense from Germany.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 14,000

    Still might be true…..

    Flashback: CCHQ declared beergate was the most successful political operation in its recent history a few months back.

    https://twitter.com/benrileysmith/status/1545373319901417473

    Almost as effective as their triumphant success in maintaining the PMs popularity with his own ministers.

  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,202
    The Tories are making a mistake by allowing very little time for the parliamentary contest. In such an open field, how are they to ensure they pick the right candidates?

    No wonder Truss cut her G20 visit short, although with rich irony it’s possible she’s trashed her leadership bid before it even starts.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,474
    F1: Bottas starts back of the grid due to new parts:
    https://twitter.com/adamcooperF1/status/1545374573876617218
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594

    UK food inflation has hit 8.6% – but closer to Russia it is over 20%

    Food inflation in Lithuania, Bulgaria and Hungary is running at over 20%, while Baltic neighbours Latvia and Estonia are not far behind at 18.8% and 17.4% respectively.

    https://www.thegrocer.co.uk/fmcg-prices-and-promotions/uk-food-inflation-vs-the-rest-of-the-world-how-britain-compares/669057.article

    I blame Leon, swanning around these Eastern European parts, throwing his money around and causing shortages.


    Meanwhile farmers across the eurozone are being told to slash food production because the climate, innit.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    I thought we'd agreed on giving them Wales?
    Nah, give them Northern Ireland. That should keep them busy.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,202

    Very disappointing from Canada, and yet more craven pro-Russian nonsense from Germany.

    Someone should “accidentally” blow up the turbine.
  • RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,381
    One potential downside of Starmer and Rayner not getting fined... it leaves Rayner free to run for the Labour leadership in the future, which potentially gives the Corbynite wing of a party another chance at taking over the party. No other candidate to the left of Nandy could make the ballot.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,702
    rcs1000 said:

    Kevin (aka Mick).

    Please acknowledge my email, or I will be forced to wave the ban hammer.
    Who is/was MickTrain?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,537
    Applicant said:

    Nah, give them Northern Ireland. That should keep them busy.
    For once I'd agree with Putin about that being a provocation...
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,097
    Leon said:



    But Boris does not have to make stuff up or get too jokey in his memoir (and I sincerely hope he doesn't). He's a good writer, if not immortally so, he's got an amazing wealth of material, he was there at the heart of some of the most pivotal moments of the 21st century so far - Brexit, Covid, Ukraine - this book is actually IMPORTANT. He just needs to say what happened, and say it clearly, from his perspective. He now has the time and the incentive

    BORIS, DON'T FUCK IT UP
    It's going to be like his speech - a lengthy and pained self justification with little humility or self awareness and with the facts changed to suit the conclusion
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,353
    rcs1000 said:

    Kevin (aka Mick).

    Please acknowledge my email, or I will be forced to wave the ban hammer.
    Final warning.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    The Tories are making a mistake by allowing very little time for the parliamentary contest. In such an open field, how are they to ensure they pick the right candidates?

    They don't have an option - recess starts in less than two weeks.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,454
    edited July 2022
    Yet another Chinese academic cheating scandal....for those that don't know NeurIPS is the absolute cream of the crop of international ML conferences (and this comes on the back of several plagiarism scandals where papers from Chinese research groups have just copy / pasted from somebodies else's work and some poor PhD student has been thrown under the bus claiming they were solely responsible for the copying).


    0 papers at NeurIPS and suddenly 12 publications at NeurIPS 2021🤔This may be the most pervasive cheating scandal I've seen in academia

    https://twitter.com/dustinvtran/status/1545282338560495616?s=20&t=C2QV61utW2QeIUgLTPDRPg

    Once he became the area chair of NeurIPS 2021, he suddenly got 12 papers accepted in NeurIPS 2021. The potential reason is that Yisen colluded with other area chairs/reviewers: He and the other 7 people had a WeChat group; most of them are area chairs in NeurIPS, ICML, and ICLR - to be specific, almost all of them are NeurIPS2021 area chairs. They arranged online meetings to bid each other’s papers so that their papers can be accepted with a higher probability.

    https://www.reddit.com/r/MachineLearning/comments/vtow5o/d_an_accusation_of_academic_misconduct_by_prof/
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,097
    edited July 2022
    Farooq said:

    LibDem gain from Lab:

    Hampstead Town (Camden) council by-election result:

    LDEM: 40.9% (+18.6)
    CON: 27.6% (-12.3)
    LAB: 24.9% (-12.9)
    GRN: 4.6% (+4.6)
    IND: 2.0% (+2.0)

    Votes cast: 2,247

    Liberal Democrat GAIN from Labour.

    — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) July 8, 2022
    Ignorant question: how is it a gain from Labour when the Conservatives had more votes last time?
    -_------------------+++++


    Split result
  • MrEdMrEd Posts: 5,578
    That's the shares from not the last local election just gone but the one before.

    Labour took the seat in May but the candidate was so surprised he had to be woken from bed. He then resigned a few weeks later saying he hadn't expected to have been elected so he was stepping down due to work commitments.

    Hence why the electorate was p1ssed at Labour as well as Conservatives.
    Farooq said:

    Ignorant question: how is it a gain from Labour when the Conservatives had more votes last time?

  • My source comes through again!
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,702

    So what you're saying is the Germans should sell their souls for cheaper gas supplies?
    I'm saying that it is not a trivial decision for the Germans to make to enforce hardship upon their population. It is not what they, or any government is voted in to do. Why doesn't our government enforce a one-off tax of 50% to fund a weapons buying programme for Ukraine if it's really down to souls.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,208
    Alistair said:

    The commissioners are an explicitly anti-Vance PAC so no idea if there was any priming or anything like that.
    538 has OH 83% for the GOP, 17% Dems in the context of an overall 53% chance of GOP Senate majority.

    Betfair's implied chance is ~70% for the GOP Senate majority so it's one to lay.

    Everyone and their dog knows about the King/Sanders rules nix for Dem Maj but not sure if you get Murkowski onside for the GOP lay..
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    TOPPING said:

    Who is/was MickTrain?
    Another Russian troll from a couple of weeks ago (or, apparently, the same one).
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,234

    My source comes through again!

    Mine didn't!
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,702
    glw said:


    Once Starmer said he'd resign I think that made it very difficult for the police to fine him.
    Good point. Perhaps he knew that all along, the cunning fox.
This discussion has been closed.