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The LDs step up the tactical squeeze on LAB voters in Devon – politicalbetting.com

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  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879
    edited June 2022
    Leon said:

    Except, if Starmer wants the support of the LDs and SNP to become PM with NOM, the price will probably be SM and CU, so STFU*


    *I don’t really mean that, I just carried away with all the acronyms. My main point is good, tho
    I doubt Starmer would then be that bothered if he had to concede SM in a hung parliament then which he could blame on the LDs or SNP having already won enough redwall seats back from the Tories to become PM.

    Though it would offer an opportunity for the Tory Leader of the Opposition in Leave areas if the Labour minority government propped up by the LDs and/or SNP restored free movement
  • eekeek Posts: 29,690

    BEV HGVs are on the way - the continually reducing cost of batteries and increasing production volumes are now making them viable.
    For 400+ miles a day or short distances... Scania are focussing on less than 200 miles a day...

  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,280
    edited June 2022

    I wonder if they’ll be operating alongside UK SPGs?
    They didn't send any AS90 in the end but Baldy Ben certainly "looked at the idea" which must really shit up the Russians.

    It was just announced to generate a flurry of headlines then quietly shelved. This can be of no surprise to anyone familiar with the Johnson process.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,525
    edited June 2022

    The M11 starting at the Angel Islington as planned. That should be our campaign!
    Actually, that was Abercrombie's radial route 7 (aka. the A12 extension)! The M11 was always planned to end on R1 at Hackney Wick, the A12 extension heading from there through Victoria Park and Hackney.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,223
    Dura_Ace said:

    They didn't send any AS90 in the end but Baldy Ben certainly "looked at the idea" which must really shit up the Russians.

    It was just announced to generate a flurry of headlines then quietly shelved. This can be of no surprise to anyone familiar with the Johnson process.
    It’s the thought that counts, that thought being jam tomorrow.
  • Starmer's Labour is entirely cynical and about achieving power.

    Good, we've not had that since 2005
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115

    Reportedly Starmer experiencing his first big front bench rebellion over refusing to back striking workers during a cost of living crisis.

    This is a perfect encapsulation of the stakes in the battle for Labour’s soul.

    The rebels include Anas Sarwar too: https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/newslondon/anas-sarwar-sends-message-of-solidarity-to-striking-rail-workers/ar-AAYHaaI?ocid=msedgntp

    I think that he has lost this argument and rightly so.
  • Backing the strikes is a disaster for Labour.
  • BJO is the kind of Labour member that celebrates losing and is devastated about winning.

    When Blair won I bet he was gutted.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,186

    Notwithstanding the legitimacy of these strikes, should you be allowed to withdraw your labour in the event of what you considered to be substantially bad, but nonetheless legal behaviour by your employer?

    Surely the right to withdraw one's labour is a fundamental civil right, certainly for libertarian conservatives.
    Indeed. It is called 'resignation'.

    With current levels of employment law, there is no need for protections for striking workers.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115

    Backing the strikes is a disaster for Labour.

    Not sure I agree. Sarwar's tweet said this:

    "Solidarity with those on the picket lines.

    This is a crisis entirely of the Government’s making.

    The workers don’t want strikes. The unions don’t want strikes. The public don’t want strikes.

    They demand better."

    If softy Tories like me agree with this (and I do) I think Boris has called this wrong.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,585

    Thought you might find this interesting:

    https://www.roads.org.uk/index.php/ringways/ringway1/camden-town-bypass
    My God, they would have destroyed Camden

    If it weren’t for the fact that they are all dead, I would quite like show trials and summary executions of several thousand UK architects and town planners active from 1950-1990, for the atrocities they have wrought, and the neighborhoods they DID destroy
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,834

    Backing the strikes is a disaster for Labour.

    Focusing on the need to negotiate is the best approach.
  • Wherever you draw the line from it will show positive trend growth pre Brexit vote followed by flat post 2016 with a fall after Covid. And that looks different to every other country in the G7. Something happened in mid 2016 that caused businesses in the UK suddenly to stop investing while businesses in the rest of the G7 kept investing. It's not hard to figure out what that something was.
    Bollocks.

    Do a chart over the long term, rather than cherrypicking the trough in the middle of the recession, and it shows no such thing.

    UK investment was at around record high levels 2016-2019 but that doesn't suit your agenda.

    Try doing a multinational long term chart that

    Starmer's Labour is entirely cynical and about achieving power.

    Good, we've not had that since 2005

    Absolutely agreed.

    Starmer, as I've said for a while, has absolutely no principles and is utterly shameless and cynical. He's Labours Boris Johnson, only he fits his clothes and has no charisma; unlike his predecessor who was a dinosaur with the same anti western, anti Jewish and anti capitalist principles today as he had in the 1970s.

    Whether you want a shameless unprincipled cynical politicians like Boris or Starmer, or dogmatic dinosaurs like Corbyn, or something in-between is another question.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,060
    DavidL said:

    And another ship has gone down: https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/ukraine-sinks-russian-ship-with-western-weapons-zr8bzmbgw
    No, just confirmation of last week's.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087
    Dura_Ace said:

    They didn't send any AS90 in the end but Baldy Ben certainly "looked at the idea" which must really shit up the Russians.

    It was just announced to generate a flurry of headlines then quietly shelved. This can be of no surprise to anyone familiar with the Johnson process.
    UK is the process of sending 20+ M109s acquired from Belgium. It is almost certainly from the same supplier who sold M109s previously to Ukraine - they bought the entire stock of Belgium M109s when the Belgian Army retired them.

    https://militaryleak.com/2022/06/21/uk-to-provide-ukraine-with-ex-belgian-m109a4-be-self-propelled-howitzers/

    That's in addition to the MLRS heavy rocket artillery being sent.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115

    No, just confirmation of last week's.
    Ah, right. PB a week ahead as usual.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,396
    edited June 2022
    Sandpit said:

    The PM is right to be concerned.

    Scholz in particular, has been unwavering in his recent support for imports of Russian gas, over being seen to arm Ukraine.
    Things aren't going too well on the Ukraine PR front.

    Allowing Ukrainian corruption to get an airing by blaming the EU for bringing it up was not smart politics. All they needed to do was say 'we're working on it and we will of course aim to meet the standards required by the EU as soon as possible'

    Their closeness to Boris Johnson will also not be playing well. Certainly not in the UK where he's as popular as a sauteed toad but more widely across Europe

    If Ukraine lose their whiter than white status the help for their war effort will crumble as quickly as it built up.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,186
    edited June 2022
    DavidL said:

    Not sure I agree. Sarwar's tweet said this:

    "Solidarity with those on the picket lines.

    This is a crisis entirely of the Government’s making.

    The workers don’t want strikes. The unions don’t want strikes. The public don’t want strikes.

    They demand better."

    If softy Tories like me agree with this (and I do) I think Boris has called this wrong.
    The majority of my Labour voting friends are incensed by these strikes. Not one of them has mentioned the government.

    I use the trains a lot and have overhead numerous conversations about it recently. Train users are in no way sympathetic with the strikes.

    Too many Labour MPs are stuck in the Aggy Marxist phase. Starmer is doing the right thing IMO. If he sacked a few shadow ministers who appeared on pickets he would look decisive.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087
    eek said:

    For 400+ miles a day or short distances... Scania are focussing on less than 200 miles a day...

    That would cover the vast majority of HGV movements in the UK.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,585
    HYUFD said:

    I doubt Starmer would then be that bothered if he had to concede SM in a hung parliament then which he could blame on the LDs or SNP having already won enough redwall seats back from the Tories to become PM.

    Though it would offer an opportunity for the Tory Leader of the Opposition in Leave areas if the Labour minority government propped up by the LDs and/or SNP restored free movement
    You underestimate my estimate of Starmer’s plan

    This is what Starmer WANTS. He can honestly say to the British people “a Labour government will not rejoin the SM and will not restore FoM”, and thus grab back the Red Wall, in the full knowledge that as a NOM PM the Libs and Nats will demand SM and FoM and he will, ever so reluctantly, have to agree, thus keeping his promise but also getting SM. It’s a bit like Cameron relying on the Lib dems to make sure he didn’t have to offer a referendum on the EU, although that went somewhat awry in 2015 when he accidentally got a majority
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,303
    Leon said:

    My God, they would have destroyed Camden

    If it weren’t for the fact that they are all dead, I would quite like show trials and summary executions of several thousand UK architects and town planners active from 1950-1990, for the atrocities they have wrought, and the neighborhoods they DID destroy
    Lightweight.

    If disinterment and postumous execution was good enough for Oliver Cromwell, it's good enough for 1950s town planners.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,585
    IshmaelZ said:

    Driving round Sicily I was stunned by the road engineering (viaducts and tunnels). I'm guessing that's what EU membership gets you
    There are, erm, “particular cultural reasons” why Sicily gets an awful lot of money spent on infrastructure, compared to other equally or even more impoverished areas of Italy, which often get little

  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115
    Mortimer said:

    The majority of my Labour voting friends are incensed by these strikes. Not one of them has mentioned the government.

    I use the trains a lot and have overhead numerous conversations about it recently. Train users are in no way sympathetic with the strikes.

    Too many Labour MPs are stuck in the Aggy Marxist phase. Starmer is doing the right thing IMO. If he sacked a few minister who appeared on pickets he would look decisive.
    It may be different in different parts of the country. In Edinburgh my pals have blamed the management and government (they don't really distinguish) for not taking the negotiations seriously enough. Personally, I go a bit further and am of the view that the government was desperate to get into a battle with a trade union to show how tough they are and that Labour hasn't changed.

    I certainly received bits of correspondence from CCHQ about "labour's strikes" referring back to the winter of discontent, something you need to be pushing 60 to have a good memory of. I did not find it persuasive but it certainly showed motive.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087
    Leon said:

    There are, erm, “particular cultural reasons” why Sicily gets an awful lot of money spent on infrastructure, compared to other equally or even more impoverished areas of Italy, which often get little

    The crumbling concrete caused by cheating on the materials is a feature, not a bug. Since the repair contracts.....
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,971
    Leon said:

    You underestimate my estimate of Starmer’s plan

    This is what Starmer WANTS. He can honestly say to the British people “a Labour government will not rejoin the SM and will not restore FoM”, and thus grab back the Red Wall, in the full knowledge that as a NOM PM the Libs and Nats will demand SM and FoM and he will, ever so reluctantly, have to agree, thus keeping his promise but also getting SM. It’s a bit like Cameron relying on the Lib dems to make sure he didn’t have to offer a referendum on the EU, although that went somewhat awry in 2015 when he accidentally got a majority
    That would be an extremely stupid idea. As the Lib Dems discovered with tuition fees, being in coalition doesn't give you any sort of cover if you break a key manifesto pledge, even if the coalition dynamic gives you no choice. Labour will get nowhere playing around with EU stuff, and I suspect Starmer is desperate for the issue never to be revisited during his political lifetime.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    DavidL said:

    It may be different in different parts of the country. In Edinburgh my pals have blamed the management and government (they don't really distinguish) for not taking the negotiations seriously enough. Personally, I go a bit further and am of the view that the government was desperate to get into a battle with a trade union to show how tough they are and that Labour hasn't changed.

    I certainly received bits of correspondence from CCHQ about "labour's strikes" referring back to the winter of discontent, something you need to be pushing 60 to have a good memory of. I did not find it persuasive but it certainly showed motive.
    Bozmafoz is setting up for a who governs cut and run this year.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087

    Lightweight.

    If disinterment and postumous execution was good enough for Oliver Cromwell, it's good enough for 1950s town planners.
    When I become unDictator, there will be a cabinet level post for Minister for Destruction of Award Winning Architecture.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050
    ** Postal strike looming **

    Royal Mail has been served with an industrial action balloting notice by the Communication and Workers Union.

    Ballot papers will then be sent to 115,000 CWU members on Tuesday 28th June and it is expected that a result will be announced on 19th July.
    https://twitter.com/christopherhope/status/1539254270696083462
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050
    Is it any surprise that Tiverton’s local Conservative Party might vote for the Lib Dems? | @TanyaGold1 reports on the Tiverton and Honiton by-election https://unherd.com/2022/06/the-tories-deserve-to-lose-tiverton/
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,115

    Bozmafoz is setting up for a who governs cut and run this year.
    I think he'd certainly like to have that option, especially if he could offload some of the responsibility for the CoL crisis onto the strikers.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    The crumbling concrete caused by cheating on the materials is a feature, not a bug. Since the repair contracts.....
    :s
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,132
    TimS said:


    Focusing on the need to negotiate is the best approach.
    Which is very much what Mick Lynch has been asking for.

    What an unexpected media star Lynch is, absolutely unflappable and reasonable in his approach, with just the right hint of humour, and willing to call out Ministers lies for what they are.

    He is a very formidable presence, I can see why the Tory ministers go pale at the sight of him in the studio.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,585
    edited June 2022

    The crumbling concrete caused by cheating on the materials is a feature, not a bug. Since the repair contracts.....
    Yes

    My favourites are the motorways that go nowhere. They start with great flamboyance, proceed for 2km, then just stop, sometimes in mid air. A flyover will be left hanging in the blue Sicilian sky

    Clearly someone skimmed their cream, and decided that was it, and off they went

    Calabria is even crazier. There the local Mafia - the ‘Ndrangheta, much richer and more powerful than the Cosa Nostra - don’t want any roads at ALL, especially around Plati, in case someone feels like having a look around

    The roads in the Aspromonte must be the worst in Western Europe
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Foxy said:

    Which is very much what Mick Lynch has been asking for.

    What an unexpected media star Lynch is, absolutely unflappable and reasonable in his approach, with just the right hint of humour, and willing to call out Ministers lies for what they are.

    He is a very formidable presence, I can see why the Tory ministers go pale at the sight of him in the studio.
    Indeed. Once the late, great Sir Bob Crow left us, it wasn't at all clear that he could ever be replaced. Lynch looks to be up to the measure of the man.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,132

    Bozmafoz is setting up for a who governs cut and run this year.
    Didn't work for Ted Heath, did it?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087

    :s
    Italian infrastructure has a long, and entertaining history

    Entreating, perhaps only if you (like me) laugh at concentration camp jokes.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vajont_Dam

    The part I especially like about that one, is that much of the compensation was given to various criminal groups and their pet politicians. In at least one case, an actual survivor was taken to court for having the temerity to ask for some of the money.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    Bozmafoz is setting up for a who governs cut and run this year.
    Add that to my list of things PB always predicts but don't happen.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,050
    Foxy said:

    Didn't work for Ted Heath, did it?

    The Government have spent all day telling people it's Labour...
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Scott_xP said:

    Is it any surprise that Tiverton’s local Conservative Party might vote for the Lib Dems? | @TanyaGold1 reports on the Tiverton and Honiton by-election https://unherd.com/2022/06/the-tories-deserve-to-lose-tiverton/

    Interesting comment at the end that they cant find the 'purity of anger' that was evident in N Shropshire.
    Maybe it IS close
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087
    Leon said:

    Yes

    My favourites are the motorways that go nowhere. They start with great flamboyance, proceed for 2km, then just stop, sometimes in mid air. A flyover will be left hanging in the blue Sicilian sky

    Clearly someone skimmed their cream, and decided that was it, and off they went

    Calabria is even crazier. There the local Mafia - the ‘Ndrangheta, much richer and more powerful than the Cosa Nostra - don’t want any roads at ALL, especially around Plati, in case someone feels like having a look around

    The roads in the Aspromonte must be the worst in Western Europe
    I am trying to remember who said that while some shit where they live, only the ‘Ndrangheta would think to make it their business plan.

    That was before the Mexican Drug cartels did their thing, of course.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Foxy said:

    Didn't work for Ted Heath, did it?
    No. As i posted a few days ago
    Who governs 2.....
    Still not you
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061

    Add that to my list of things PB always predicts but don't happen.
    Be a fucking boring discussion if we knew the future
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585

    No. As i posted a few days ago
    Who governs 2.....
    Still not you
    Just cant see it.
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594

    Indeed. Once the late, great Sir Bob Crow left us, it wasn't at all clear that he could ever be replaced. Lynch looks to be up to the measure of the man.
    In the 1984/85 Miners' strike, Scargill often outshone the NCB chief, Ian MacGregor, in arguments.

  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,011
    Roger said:

    Things aren't going too well on the Ukraine PR front.

    Allowing Ukrainian corruption to get an airing by blaming the EU for bringing it up was not smart politics. All they needed to do was say 'we're working on it and we will of course aim to meet the standards required by the EU as soon as possible'

    Their closeness to Boris Johnson will also not be playing well. Certainly not in the UK where he's as popular as a sauteed toad but more widely across Europe

    If Ukraine lose their whiter than white status the help for their war effort will crumble as quickly as it built up.
    Putin speaks
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,879
    edited June 2022
    Leon said:

    You underestimate my estimate of Starmer’s plan

    This is what Starmer WANTS. He can honestly say to the British people “a Labour government will not rejoin the SM and will not restore FoM”, and thus grab back the Red Wall, in the full knowledge that as a NOM PM the Libs and Nats will demand SM and FoM and he will, ever so reluctantly, have to agree, thus keeping his promise but also getting SM. It’s a bit like Cameron relying on the Lib dems to make sure he didn’t have to offer a referendum on the EU, although that went somewhat awry in 2015 when he accidentally got a majority
    Indeed, like Cameron in 2015 the last thing Starmer actually wants is a majority. A hung parliament with him as PM and the LDs propping him up suits him fine.

    If his new 'we will not restore free movement' pledge wins him more Tory Leave seats than expected, he might end up with a Labour majority by mistake, thus potentially permanently keeping us out of the single market
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087
    MISTY said:

    In the 1984/85 Miners' strike, Scargill often outshone the NCB chief, Ian MacGregor, in arguments.

    Indeed. Some people have suggested that Scargill was one of the last of the great orators in public meetings in the old British tradition.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,585
    edited June 2022

    I am trying to remember who said that while some shit where they live, only the ‘Ndrangheta would think to make it their business plan.

    That was before the Mexican Drug cartels did their thing, of course.
    i once drove into Plati, by accident, and immediately sensed an “atmos”. A really bad hostile atmos. Everyone staring

    So I drove out fast and as I exited small children threw rocks at me

    Once I was safely out of town, struck with curiosity, I pulled over and opened my phone and googled “Plati” and read THIS


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Platì
  • If nurses and doctors join this strike BoJo loses the country IMHO
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,585

    Putin speaks
    What is it with Old Lefties who are barely able to disguise their desire for Ukraine to lose?

    UGH
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,533
    Leon said:

    Yes

    My favourites are the motorways that go nowhere. They start with great flamboyance, proceed for 2km, then just stop, sometimes in mid air. A flyover will be left hanging in the blue Sicilian sky

    Clearly someone skimmed their cream, and decided that was it, and off they went

    Calabria is even crazier. There the local Mafia - the ‘Ndrangheta, much richer and more powerful than the Cosa Nostra - don’t want any roads at ALL, especially around Plati, in case someone feels like having a look around

    The roads in the Aspromonte must be the worst in Western Europe
    There used to be a great road which suddenly ended in mid-air. In Capetown.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited June 2022

    Just cant see it.
    From Johnsons point of view, he either gets his 8 to 10 years in charge or the whole thing can crash and burn. So he tries to manufacture a poll lead by conference season via summer of discontent, revamped brexit wars and some woke worries and goes for it. Theres nothing but headwinds into late 2024, boundary changes are possibly good but unpredictable (and any advantage undone by a 1% swing) and if hes going down, do it on his terms fighting his battle.
    He doesnt give a shit about the long term for the tories or the country. Just his future.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,525
    Leon said:

    Yes

    My favourites are the motorways that go nowhere. They start with great flamboyance, proceed for 2km, then just stop, sometimes in mid air.
    The West Cross Route (ex-M41) says hello, all one mile of it!
    https://www.roads.org.uk/ringways/ringway1/west-cross-route
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585

    If nurses and doctors join this strike BoJo loses the country IMHO

    They can't join 'this' strike - that's illegal. They can ballot for their own industrial action.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,204

    If nurses and doctors join this strike BoJo loses the country IMHO

    Nurses, certainly.
    Doctors, not so sure. Particularly GPs.
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 4,479

    There used to be a great road which suddenly ended in mid-air. In Capetown.
    Same with Reading's ring road in the early years. A flyover was half constructed, it was nicknamed the ski slope.
  • CorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorseBattery Posts: 21,436
    edited June 2022

    They can't join 'this' strike - that's illegal. They can ballot for their own industrial action.
    The perception is the same.

    But technically you are correct Tubbs.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,585
    An illuminating FT article on Putin’s motivations


    “Fyodor Lukyanov, an academic close to the Russian leader, once told me that Putin was driven above all by the fear that Russia, for the first time in centuries, might lose its status as a great power. With an economy that ranks 11th in the world (measured by nominal gross domestic product), the Kremlin’s remaining great power pretensions are based on the country’s military might and its nuclear weapons.”

    https://www.ft.com/content/65933229-460c-4bf6-8dc3-b45d0071d384
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Pulpstar said:

    Nurses, certainly.
    Doctors, not so sure. Particularly GPs.
    GPs are just a myth these days. They haven't existed in physical form since March 2020.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087

    There used to be a great road which suddenly ended in mid-air. In Capetown.
    Cape Town was a brilliant setting for Dredd.

    Perps were uncooperative.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585

    From Johnsons point of view, he either gets his 8 to 10 years in charge or the whole thing can crash and burn. So he tries to manufacture a poll lead by conference season via summer of discontent, revamped brexit wars and some woke worries and goes for it. Theres nothing but headwinds into late 2024, boundary changes are possibly good but unpredictable (andany advantage undine by a 1% swing) and if hes going down, do it on his terms fighting his battle.
    He doesnt give a shit about the long term for the tories or the country. Just his future.
    Its a theory, except I think with up to 2.5 years left (Jan 2025) and a majority in the 70's (assuming losses on Thursday), he can wait for something to turn up. Now we may be of the opinion that the country is more f$cked than a certain posters favourite fantasy but that's not to say that those at the top see it that way. They may feel that the current poll situation is down to partygate and the CoL crisis. Its not impossible that inflation starts to come down by the end of the year and into 2023 it may approach more normal levels. Peace in Ukraine may result in a better global environment.

    I think realistically if the Tories tried to engineer a grudge election and went in say October this year, partygate is too fresh and they will be swamped, and rightly so. So although I want that as an outcome, I don't think it will happen.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585

    The perception is the same.

    But technically you are correct Tubbs.
    I'm all over the tevchnical... :)
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,132

    If nurses and doctors join this strike BoJo loses the country IMHO

    More likely a ban on covering staff vacancies and voluntary overtime. Cover would collapse within days, there being neither slack nor flexibility in post Hunt rotas.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,585

    GPs are just a myth these days. They haven't existed in physical form since March 2020.
    Not really true. I had an appointment with one in the flesh 6 weeks ago, after an e-consult and phone call on the same day.

    Some surgeries have let themselves down, others less so.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    There used to be a great road which suddenly ended in mid-air. In Capetown.
    There’s a 12-lane motorway near me that just stops with a bridge over another motorway. Maybe in the future, they’ll finish it off. (25.0418890, 55.2007604)

    In the UK, the one I always remembered was the M74, that inexplicably stopped short of Glasgow. They finally finished it a few years ago.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,690
    HYUFD said:

    Indeed, like Cameron in 2015 the last thing Starmer actually wants is a majority. A hung parliament with him as PM and the LDs propping him up suits him fine.

    If his new 'we will not restore free movement' pledge wins him more Tory Leave seats than expected, he might end up with a Labour majority by mistake, thus potentially permanently keeping us out of the single market
    There is no plausible way that Labour wins majority in the next election.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061

    Its a theory, except I think with up to 2.5 years left (Jan 2025) and a majority in the 70's (assuming losses on Thursday), he can wait for something to turn up. Now we may be of the opinion that the country is more f$cked than a certain posters favourite fantasy but that's not to say that those at the top see it that way. They may feel that the current poll situation is down to partygate and the CoL crisis. Its not impossible that inflation starts to come down by the end of the year and into 2023 it may approach more normal levels. Peace in Ukraine may result in a better global environment.

    I think realistically if the Tories tried to engineer a grudge election and went in say October this year, partygate is too fresh and they will be swamped, and rightly so. So although I want that as an outcome, I don't think it will happen.
    Im not 100% convinced he will but i am 100% convinced hes setting up the circs to have that option
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,132
    This really isn't an environment to call a snap autumn election. Even Johnson isn't that daft:

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1539195414842331137?t=LexXM4DzQsYGeWmA3K1iqQ&s=19

    How well Brits think the govt is handling… (net)

    Inflation -64
    Immigration -62
    Economy -54*
    NHS -51
    Housing -49
    Tax -47
    Transport -36*
    Benefits -36
    Crime -35
    Brexit -33
    Environment -21
    Education -16
    Unemployment -5
    Defence +13
    Terrorism +29

    *Lowest since tracker began Jun 2019 https://t.co/E8pZ9sBKiP
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061

    Not really true. I had an appointment with one in the flesh 6 weeks ago, after an e-consult and phone call on the same day.

    Some surgeries have let themselves down, others less so.
    Hyperbole on my part for giggles. Round here the surgeries have tended towards shite however.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,087

    Putin speaks
    @Roger is upset for his Russian acquaintances who are bereft of their yachts.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,080
    edited June 2022
    Leon said:

    i once drove into Plati, by accident, and immediately sensed an “atmos”. A really bad hostile atmos. Everyone staring

    So I drove out fast and as I exited small children threw rocks at me

    Once I was safely out of town, struck with curiosity, I pulled over and opened my phone and googled “Plati” and read THIS


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Platì
    You should have stuck around.

    I am sure the PB crowd-fund to secure your release would be up to at least £3.51 by now.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited June 2022
    Updated YouGov for BJO
    Britons tend to oppose the rail workers strikes taking place this week

    All Britons
    Support 37% / Oppose 45%

    Con voters
    Support 18% / Oppose 72%

    Lab voters
    Support 65% / Oppose 18%

    https://t.co/0J86iNrRWO https://t.co/KHoARzP4tj

    Strong Support/Oppose now at 14/27
  • IanB2 said:

    You should have stuck around.

    I am sure the PB crowd-fund to secure your release would be up to at least £3.51 by now.
    Or a litre of unleaded as its soon to be known.
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    edited June 2022
    Could you imagine the outcry from the UK media if Westminster Government Ministers tried to claim this..

    Twitter
    Conor Matchett@conor_matchett
    EXCLUSIVE: 'Not in public interest' to disclose misconduct probe outcomes against SNP ministers, including Fergus Ewing

    Ministers now claiming the outcome of any misconduct complaint against them should not be made public, whether it is upheld or not.

    https://twitter.com/conor_matchett/status/1539147986965512193

    Conor Matchett@conor_matchett·7h
    Replying to
    @conor_matchett
    The SNP called on Number 10 to publish its report into bullying allegations against Priti Patel as "a step towards clamping down on a wider pattern of behaviour"
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    DavidL said:

    Not sure I agree. Sarwar's tweet said this:

    "Solidarity with those on the picket lines.

    This is a crisis entirely of the Government’s making.

    The workers don’t want strikes. The unions don’t want strikes. The public don’t want strikes.

    They demand better."

    If softy Tories like me agree with this (and I do) I think Boris has called this wrong.
    If the workers and the unions didn't want a strike, they wouldn't have a strike.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,132

    Updated YouGov for BJO
    Britons tend to oppose the rail workers strikes taking place this week

    All Britons
    Support 37% / Oppose 45%

    Con voters
    Support 18% / Oppose 72%

    Lab voters
    Support 65% / Oppose 18%

    https://t.co/0J86iNrRWO https://t.co/KHoARzP4tj

    Strong Support/Oppose now at 14/27

    Looks like one of the most popular strikes of recent times.
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    Leon said:

    What is it with Old Lefties who are barely able to disguise their desire for Ukraine to lose?

    UGH
    It isn't just the left.

    Trumpist Republicans are completely against this war and detest Biden's 40bn funding for Ukraine.

  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited June 2022
    Foxy said:

    Looks like one of the most popular strikes of recent times.
    Junior doctors strike in 2016 was more popular. Thats the first one i've looked at
    For balance the night tube strike in January was 28/50 so less popular
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,214
    fitalass said:

    Could you imagine the outcry from the UK media if Westminster Government Ministers tried to claim this..

    Twitter
    Conor Matchett@conor_matchett
    EXCLUSIVE: 'Not in public interest' to disclose misconduct probe outcomes against SNP ministers, including Fergus Ewing

    Ministers now claiming the outcome of any misconduct complaint against them should not be made public, whether it is upheld or not.

    https://twitter.com/conor_matchett/status/1539147986965512193

    Conor Matchett@conor_matchett·7h
    Replying to
    @conor_matchett
    The SNP called on Number 10 to publish its report into bullying allegations against Priti Patel as "a step towards clamping down on a wider pattern of behaviour"

    No need to imagine. Boris has proposed the same. Just mostly failed to implement it.
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    fitalass said:

    Could you imagine the outcry from the UK media if Westminster Government Ministers tried to claim this..

    Twitter
    Conor Matchett@conor_matchett
    EXCLUSIVE: 'Not in public interest' to disclose misconduct probe outcomes against SNP ministers, including Fergus Ewing

    Ministers now claiming the outcome of any misconduct complaint against them should not be made public, whether it is upheld or not.

    https://twitter.com/conor_matchett/status/1539147986965512193

    Conor Matchett@conor_matchett·7h
    Replying to
    @conor_matchett
    The SNP called on Number 10 to publish its report into bullying allegations against Priti Patel as "a step towards clamping down on a wider pattern of behaviour"

    Twitter
    Blair McDougall@blairmcdougall·12m
    Can’t get over the refusal to answer on the Fergus Ewing bullying allegations. Devolution was supposed to be about greater transparency and accountability. Now it’s just ‘screw you, we have the greens in our pocket’
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,533
    MISTY said:

    It isn't just the left.

    Trumpist Republicans are completely against this war and detest Biden's 40bn funding for Ukraine.

    To be fair pre-Zelensky Ukraine wasn't necessarily a shining beacon of democracy! And during WWII Ukrainians could be found in some compromising places!
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,585
    New Orleans has a new statue celebrating Blackness and BLM



  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    Foxy said:

    This really isn't an environment to call a snap autumn election. Even Johnson isn't that daft:

    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1539195414842331137?t=LexXM4DzQsYGeWmA3K1iqQ&s=19

    How well Brits think the govt is handling… (net)

    Inflation -64
    Immigration -62
    Economy -54*
    NHS -51
    Housing -49
    Tax -47
    Transport -36*
    Benefits -36
    Crime -35
    Brexit -33
    Environment -21
    Education -16
    Unemployment -5
    Defence +13
    Terrorism +29

    *Lowest since tracker began Jun 2019 https://t.co/E8pZ9sBKiP


    On top of all the above, the Telegraph reports the government is going to sail very close to the electricity blackouts rocks this winter. Kwarteng is apparently doing a Biden, ie on his hands and knees pleading with energy producers the government itself wanted to shut down to keep open just in case.

    These are the good times. Wait til the winter.
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594

    To be fair pre-Zelensky Ukraine wasn't necessarily a shining beacon of democracy! And during WWII Ukrainians could be found in some compromising places!
    I read a tweet recently the main political opposition in Ukraine has been banned? not sure what's going on there.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,276
    MISTY said:

    It isn't just the left.

    Trumpist Republicans are completely against this war and detest Biden's 40bn funding for Ukraine.

    That doesn't mean they have a desire for Ukraine to lose though.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,183

    Reportedly Starmer experiencing his first big front bench rebellion over refusing to back striking workers during a cost of living crisis.

    This is a perfect encapsulation of the stakes in the battle for Labour’s soul.

    Oh behave.

    On the other hand, you could of course join class warrior Richard Burgon on the picket line.
  • NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758

    To be fair pre-Zelensky Ukraine wasn't necessarily a shining beacon of democracy! And during WWII Ukrainians could be found in some compromising places!
    Both of those arguments are specious and actually make me rather angry.
  • NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758
    MISTY said:

    I read a tweet recently the main political opposition in Ukraine has been banned? not sure what's going on there.
    Formal democracy was somewhat compromised in Britain during WWII though wasn't it? Mosleyites interned for instance. They are at war FFS.
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    Stocky said:

    That doesn't mean they have a desire for Ukraine to lose though.
    True but their ambivalence to the whole thing and their contempt for Western European policy generally is unnerving.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,214

    Updated YouGov for BJO
    Britons tend to oppose the rail workers strikes taking place this week

    All Britons
    Support 37% / Oppose 45%

    Con voters
    Support 18% / Oppose 72%

    Lab voters
    Support 65% / Oppose 18%

    https://t.co/0J86iNrRWO https://t.co/KHoARzP4tj

    Strong Support/Oppose now at 14/27

    Interesting. I find a lot of polling difficult as read the questions way too literally. I don't really support the strikes taking place - I want there to be a resolution instead. But I very clearly blame the government, not the unions or even the rail bosses with impossible budgets to reconcile.
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    edited June 2022

    Formal democracy was somewhat compromised in Britain during WWII though wasn't it? Mosleyites interned for instance. They are at war FFS.
    Attlee was Deputy Prime Minister from 1942 until the end of the war. I am not trying to stir up trouble against Ukraine, I hope they win.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,482
    Dura_Ace said:

    They didn't send any AS90 in the end but Baldy Ben certainly "looked at the idea" which must really shit up the Russians.

    It was just announced to generate a flurry of headlines then quietly shelved. This can be of no surprise to anyone familiar with the Johnson process.
    We bought some old US kit (a score of M109A4s) from somewhere else to send on, I think.
    Ongoing list is here;
    https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/04/answering-call-heavy-weaponry-supplied.html

    Seven systems from Germany, reportedly.
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,577
    MISTY said:

    I read a tweet recently the main political opposition in Ukraine has been banned? not sure what's going on there.
    One small one has. For supporting the Special Military Operation, ie treason.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    US Supreme court just ended separation of Church and State in America.

    You'd think it would be bigger news.
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,765

    Interesting. I find a lot of polling difficult as read the questions way too literally. I don't really support the strikes taking place - I want there to be a resolution instead. But I very clearly blame the government, not the unions or even the rail bosses with impossible budgets to reconcile.
    An interesting polling question would be something like:

    "Do you think the government has done enough to seek to resolve the rail dispute and prevent the strikes taking place?".

    I suspect the answer would be a resounding 'no', even from many folk totally opposed to the strikes.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,204
    Boris won't care, Boris won't cave.
    This is an opportunity to split Labour down the middle and try and eek out another term in 2024.
    Tory poll recovery incoming imo.
  • NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758
    MISTY said:

    Attlee was Deputy Prime Minister from 1942 until the end of the war. I am not trying to stir up trouble against Ukraine, I hope they win.
    Fair enough, sorry if I reacted too strongly. The banned pro-Russian parties haven't a lot of support based on the votes at last election. The largest has 10% seats in parliament. The ban is temporary BTW, it all seems reasonable to me under the challenging circumstances. https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-law-bans-pro-russia-parties-zelenskiy-signs/31849737.html
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,482
    .

    Interesting. I find a lot of polling difficult as read the questions way too literally. I don't really support the strikes taking place - I want there to be a resolution instead. But I very clearly blame the government, not the unions or even the rail bosses with impossible budgets to reconcile.
    Yes, polling on stuff like this really doesn't capture people's opinions very well.
    I saw a recent YouGov poll about parties and the strike, and really wasn't sure how I could have answered the questions unambiguously. And "don't know" wouldn't have been an accurate response, either.

    I haven't seen a "do you blame the government/unions/ some random third party" type question - have you ?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,910

    An interesting polling question would be something like:

    "Do you think the government has done enough to seek to resolve the rail dispute and prevent the strikes taking place?".

    I suspect the answer would be a resounding 'no', even from many folk totally opposed to the strikes.
    Ken Clarke was making that point.
    His experience under Heath was that for the first week folk are angry at strikers.
    Then they begin to be annoyed at government for not sorting it out.
This discussion has been closed.