If you want to win a by-election select a woman – politicalbetting.com
If you want to win a by-election select a woman – politicalbetting.com
Westminster by-elections don’t come round very often but when they do the main parties put in a big effort to defend or gain seats.
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No women's only lists required in the LibDems, they have 9 out of 13 women MPs.
(Gloria Gaynor)
Perhaps it is time for the women to run the show. At least for a while. Tho not Kamala Harris, please
Though yes given the circumstances of the Tiverton and Honiton and Wakefield by elections their best chances of holding them are with local female councillors as candidates
And the only good thing that can be said about GDR Merkel now is that Gazprom Zchroder was worse.
Ireland and the EU have partisanly taken the side of Sinn Fein and have the attitude of bugger the DUP its the nationalists that count.
That is their prerogative, they are entirely entitled to do that. But if they're going to do that, we should respond in kind, we should say bugger the non-aligned and the nationalists, we'll take the side of the unionists - because if we don't, then who is going to do so?
Then negotiations can start. From a position where all parties are represented in the negotiations.
The problem with this from the beginning was that the DUP etc were locked out of the negotiations under May and Boris didn't care enough to include them either. For this to be resolved now they need to be one of the parties at the negotiating table.
Article 16 should be invoked, bugger the consequences, suspend the Protocol entirely legally within the Protocol's own Safeguards, and then start the negotiations, with all parties at the table.
Once a negotiation is reached that is satisfactory to all of the DUP, Sinn Fein and everyone else then we can move forwards in a stable fashion. But the GFA gives a veto to both Sinn Fein and the DUP for Stormont, so both Sinn Fein and the DUP should hold a veto over the negotiations too. That should have always been the logical endpoint of the negotiations and it was always appropriate that such negotiations would only be capable of being done post-Brexit and not pre-Brexit with the backwards timetabling the EU wanted.
And so is Lola
(Ray Davies)
But not Harris and her laughing inappropriately inability to do anything worthwhile. Effective as Al Gore in a shit pant suit and sneakers
Some women can be good, some women not so much. No different to men really.
From memory 100% of their elected MPs after that election were white, middle aged men who were in the same age bracket too.
Taking Putin as representative of masculinity is as deranged as citing Hitler as the archetypal vegetarian*.
*The definition has changed over the years, hence his diet not being what today would be considered vegetarian.
By the rationale (I use the term generously) of the demographic engineers in favour of women-only shortlists for parties with fewer female than male MPs, the Lib Dems should adopt male-only shortlists to address their imbalance.
Few ethnic minorities in either
@guardian Subtext: Brexit has already failed.
The "oven ready deal" got us out of the EU (literally, getting Brexit done). It didn't mean we'd never need to talk to the EU about anything else in future!
A DUP source told @Telegraph the promise of a law without its tabling wouldn't "cut it"
"Boris has already made commitments and hasn’t delivered them. Most people will say: ‘Sorry, we’ve been here before. Once bitten, twice shy'"
https://twitter.com/benrileysmith/status/1526493683079602178
If the safeguards fail, that is a problem, but if you design something with safeguards and the safeguards kick into gear when required is that a failure?
(Started this post before HYUFD recognised his error and edited his!)
Their only aim is to run the clock down to fresh elections.
They've implied as much.
Yet no one seems to have read between the lines.
It's a brave new world
Though inevitably Labour will always have more ethnic minority MPs than the Tories or LDs as they have the most inner city MPs and the highest percentage of ethnic minorities is in the inner cities
Either make the DUP happy to share power by compromising enough to please them, or Stormont can't sit. That is what the GFA says.
So what is the EU's proposal to make the DUP happy?
On Brexit, a real cost to business is the fact that if you export from say France to Germany for a project (Or any two countries within the EU), the goods can no longer be zero rated across between the EU countries if you're an ex EU (As we are now) supplier.
We're in the process of sorting this by obtaining Dutch VAT status for our companies - and potentially we'll have to grab other EU nation VAT status depending on stuff only tax specialists fully grasp. I do VAT returns, though intra-EU VAT is a bit of a dark art even for myself.
The upshot is it will probably cost us between 2 and 10 grand a year to administer what was previously a simple intrastat declaration which took about an hour of my time every quarter. The alternative would be our business being completely unviable.
A real cost of Brexit for British business, and not needed when general inflation on metals etc is through the roof.
I believe businesses within Northern Ireland avoid this nonsense as they're part of the EU VAT orbit so can carry on with intrastat
Obviously noone cares about this, but it's a pain for British exporters where you're buying and selling within the EU.
Just as it isn't ours to make the Flemish Independence lot happy.
It's an internal issue of a sovereign nation.
Or isn't it?
Especially when Lords are threatening to block any action for a year, they should keep their own powder dry until the requisite actions are done and not just promised.
The GFA requires respecting both communities.
So no, it isn't internal, it is the root of the issue.
If the EU wanted to butt out of NI and the GFA they could have done so from the start and the Protocol wouldn't exist.
I expect other businesses, suppliers and customers are merrily ignoring this and continuing to just zero as was all over the EU - but it's technically wrong to do this and there's always some jobsworth in a compliance unit of a big company somewhere along the line.
Whichever, I wonder how it goes down on the doorsteps? Other than among those for whom his dishonesty simply underlines the idea that 'all politicians lie'?
Though I know you think it was brilliant and all consequences don't matter.
So it's pointless really.
TLDR: I'm not yet convinced by this and I won't be betting on every woman contesting a by-election.
If you're perfectly fine handling the rest of the world, what's wrong with France and Germany being RoW too?
Your logic is like saying since the USA exists that Canada should be a part of it. Just because a market exists does not mean you need to be a part of it.
Visegrád 24
@visegrad24
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37m
A chemical factory is one fire in Novosibirsk, Russia.
The wave of suspicious fires in Russian continues.
I remember we used to get a regular series on state vs private sector employment which peaked under Labour at just under 25% and fell to ca. 17% under the the coalition and later Tory government. I wonder what that number is today, at 17% we get 5 private sector tax contributions for each public sector employee and at 25% it's just three (hence Labour running a huge deficit and Osborne bringing the budget almost into balance). It feels as though we've had a huge expansion of the state during COVID and now it's time to roll it all back, the 90k job cuts should be seen as just the start. All throughout the state sector unproductive people need to be moved on so they can find work in the private sector.
A simple move would be to institute a 1 in 2 out rule across the whole public administration body, including the NHS and care services. I'd even suggest that to hire a new nurse or doctor the hospital should be obliged to move on two non-front line staff as part of the efficiency savings. It's an extremely blunt tool, yet within a couple of years the state will suddenly be cut down to size and we'll have brought the budget back into balance allowing us to actually pay for things like new infrastructure to replace the crumbling schools, roads and ancient railways.
Even if something has negative consequences, if its worth doing because the pros outweigh the cons, then it can be a worthwhile venture.
The deal wasn't all brilliant but it was infinitely better than the backstop and came with safeguards that should be used now. Plus it was always meant to be renegotiated once Brexit was done, that was part of the sequencing plan all along.
Women aren't automatically more peaceful than men, nor is peace automatically better than fighting.
When Argentina invaded the Falklands Islands they were betting on Britain not fighting a war to regain them. They judged our (female) Prime Minister wrongly and our female Prime Minister quite rightly chose war over peace there as it was the right thing to do.
If Michael Foot or Tam Dalyell was PM instead of Thatcher then we'd have had fewer female leaders, more 'peace' but the 'peace' would have been worse than being prepared to fight.
I doubt if many see it in quite such absolutist terms. But the secondary effect of being particularly sceptical about Government promises is probably quite widespread, and universal among other governments and political parties like the DUP.
SF are happy. The EU seem to be happy. NI business and the majority of the electorate do too.
It isn't the job of the contented to find a solution to an agreement they like.
If you're calling to abolish the Good Friday Agreement then I'd be curious why? But if you're not, then yes power sharing involves making all parties happy not just those who already are.
If you want peace elect leaders who aren't angry.
What is, or isn't, between their legs is utterly irrelevant.
And as a general point, it absolutely is the job of the contented to ensure that those who aren't can be given a pathway to contentment. It's basically saying that the wealthy middle classes shouldn't give a flying fuck about the poor because they're happy so who give a shit what the unhappy poor think.
I'd be very wary of the notion that more women in power means a more peaceful world.
Widget B is exported from a Spanish supplier to a Polish customer by a British VAT regged company (D) overseeing a project for Polish customer. Spanish supplier's invoices to British company should have VAT charged. British Company D needs to reclaim VAT directly with the Spanish tax authorities or reg for VAT within the EU.
It's a single market if you're fully in it, otherwise it isn't.
It's not functioned for long periods before. And will do again.
The issue is an agreement negotiated, trumpeted, triumphalised and enacted by a government and Parties that now decide it was fatally flawed.
It's their job to come up with a solution.
With your proposals of further cuts to the public sector I can only assume you haven't actually used any public services recently, and so are unaware of how a decade of cuts has already degraded provision almost beyond recognition.
It was decided that all sides of the community had to be happy in order to share power rather than slaughter each other...
The GFA is based on power sharing and a PR based electoral system that forces coalitions, it is not winner takes all FPTP majoritarianism.
The DUP won the race to be the first party for the unionist community, therefore they won the right to have their manifesto implemented. If you want that to be different, advocate for electoral reform to First Past the Post and the abolition of the Good Friday Agreement.
https://www.theweek.co.uk/brexit/952349/festival-of-brexit-unboxed
I just hope I can get a seat in the Metamucil Pavillion for the screening of the 'lost' episodes of Lewis.
So its the government's job to implement the Safeguarding clause and then renegotiations can begin.
Brexit is Done...Liz Truss to announce plan to blow up Brexit deal TODAY amid price rise fears https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/politics/18593275/liz-truss-plan-blow-up-brexit-deal-today/