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How will the BoJo survival betting look next Friday morning? – politicalbetting.com

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  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    FF43 said:

    The press secretary said she wasn't at the meeting the photo was taken at. She wasn't. But it appears she was in the vicinity, Who's being the five year old?
    Do you think the whole of the North of England is one small hamlet? She was just coincidentally passing a building which SKS happened to be inside? Again, what are the odds?

    You are the 5 year old with chocolate all over your face contending that you haven't been at the Easter eggs.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,350

    I think the local elections will be spotty, on the whole pretty good for Labour, LibDems and some Greens, but with enough exceptions for Johnson's team to shrug them off. Procrastinating Tory MPs will start talking about NEXT year's local elections as more important...

    Which means another 12 months of terrible government, becuase the status quo isn't good for anyone (except Boris).

    And whilst there is a window between May 2023 and "too late to faff around with a leadership challenge this close to a General Election", it's not a big one.

    If the Conservatives want to procrastinate about dumping Big Scary Dog at the bottom of a canal, there will always be an excuse.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
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  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    edited April 2022

    Yes, but the '92 parliament kind-of proves my point. The Conservative Party was so tired that it was virtually ungovernable. I quite like Major, but I'd never, ever say that his government was anything other than poor. He tried, though.

    The question is: would the Conservative Party (and the country) be in a better place if Kinnock had won in 1992, and the Conservative Party had been forced to change itself earlier? Or were the scandals between 1992 and 1997, along with Blairism, the kick in the backside they needed? (*)

    Perhaps it would be best for the party you are so loyal to to lose, and pick up reinvigorated at the GE after next?

    (*) The 'Kinnock wins in 1992' is quite an interesting alternate history - especially as he might not have had a large majority. We probably would not have had Blairism, for instance.
    Indeed and Heseltine might have become Leader of the Opposition and beaten PM Kinnock in 1997 with largely Blairite policies anyway
  • IshmaelZ said:

    Do you think the whole of the North of England is one small hamlet? She was just coincidentally passing a building which SKS happened to be inside? Again, what are the odds?

    You are the 5 year old with chocolate all over your face contending that you haven't been at the Easter eggs.
    Eh?
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,884

    She was at the meeting and this is the cause of this row

    Labour have admitted she was present with Starmer, nothing to do with being outside
    That was the Mail story this morning. OK so she was at the same work meeting as Starmer. Starmer drunk a beer, which wasn't a good idea from a perception point of view, and a Labour Press Secretary gave an inaccurate statement on Rayner's whereabouts. As far as we can tell, no rules were broken.

    Is that a fair summary?
  • kjh said:

    Oh for goodness sake Big G, having meeting was legal and so whether she was there or not is irrelevant. It is a smear to make all politicians look as bad as Boris.
    The inference is the meeting had concluded and they should not have been socialising after

    It does seem there is denial from Labour supporters that this event was in breach of covid regulations and if so a full investigation and review is something which they should not worry about

  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198
    Dura_Ace said:

    'La guerre doit se nourrir elle-même' as Napoleon said.
    The result of that attitude was that British Army under Wellington was more welcome in parts of France than the French Army.

    The British army paid in gold for food. The French Army, if the farmers were lucky, gave them bills on the government, for some of the value....
  • The inference is the meeting had concluded and they should not have been socialising after

    It does seem there is denial from Labour supporters that this event was in breach of covid regulations and if so a full investigation and review is something which they should not worry about

    Starmer socialising with Rayner?

    I know your knowledge of Labour politics is terrible but even you must know they don’t socialise at all. They hate each other
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    kjh said:

    Oh for goodness sake Big G, having meeting was legal and so whether she was there or not is irrelevant. It is a smear to make all politicians look as bad as Boris.
    So why lie about it? Very best case, it makes them look shambolic if they can't get it right about the whereabouts of their deputy head.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    edited April 2022

    I think the local elections will be spotty, on the whole pretty good for Labour, LibDems and some Greens, but with enough exceptions for Johnson's team to shrug them off. Procrastinating Tory MPs will start talking about NEXT year's local elections as more important...

    Currently the Conservatives are polling about 33% or 34%. So they will make losses this year as when the council seats up next week were last up in 2018 the Conservatives got 35% NEV.

    However when the council seats up next year were last up in 2019 the Conservatives only got 28% NEV. So the Tories might even make gains in next year's local elections. So it is this summer or never if Tory MPs want to get rid of Boris before the next general election in 2024
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787

    Did I put my name there?

    I don't mind you guys knowing who I am, I don't want my name used though. Is that really that complicated to understand?
    We really don't care
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,804

    Tend to agree. Another 2 years of Boris and no change risks something approaching 1997, given the "Cost of Living Crisis."

    The Tories need a new leader and a degree of reinvention or, at least, a doubling down on Levelling Up and the momentum that would provide. They won't win but would at least be competitive.

    I suspect the local elections will, wrongly, be interpreted as the worst is over and a reason to stagger on with BJ.
    Gove very quiet. Do we think he's cooking up something absolutely stunning on Levelling Up?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Starmer socialising with Rayner?

    I know your knowledge of Labour politics is terrible but even you must know they don’t socialise at all. They hate each other
    God, you guys are embarrassing yourselves. This is not about them having a candlelit dinner for 2, it is about allegedly being at the same work-related function. If all your points about a given subject are completely shit, keep quiet and change the subject.
  • Polling shows that Labour lead by a wide margin on levelling up. The Tories are done
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,714
    Dura_Ace said:

    'La guerre doit se nourrir elle-même' as Napoleon said.
    Cato the Elder's phrase, and rather more associated with the 30 Years' War, and the Nazi Hunger Plan.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    God, you guys are embarrassing yourselves. This is not about them having a candlelit dinner for 2, it is about allegedly being at the same work-related function. If all your points about a given subject are completely shit, keep quiet and change the subject.
    They didn’t break any rules. Big G is saying they broke rules because they socialised.

    My point is that they didn’t socialise when the meeting was finished. They hate each other
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530

    (((Dan Hodges)))
    @DPJHodges
    ·
    1h
    I've been clear that Boris should resign over Partygate. But Labour's defence of the Durham event is no longer credible. Why did they lie about Angela Rayner's attendance if she - and they - were confident no rules were broken?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Eh?
    This is not difficult. If simultaneously SKS is inside a labour party building which is not in Westminster not in his or AR's constituency, then "she was *outside* the building" is a complete non point because either she was entering or had left the building, or we are looking at a coincidence on the level of winning the lottery 2 weeks running.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530
    kinabalu said:

    Gove very quiet. Do we think he's cooking up something absolutely stunning on Levelling Up?
    Nope.

    He is not in the Treasury so has no power basically.

    More likely to be spending time metaphorically installing phones to be honest.

  • (((Dan Hodges)))
    @DPJHodges
    ·
    1h
    I've been clear that Boris should resign over Partygate. But Labour's defence of the Durham event is no longer credible. Why did they lie about Angela Rayner's attendance if she - and they - were confident no rules were broken?

    No longer credible, sure Dan has new evidence to show rules were broken
  • IshmaelZ said:

    This is not difficult. If simultaneously SKS is inside a labour party building which is not in Westminster not in his or AR's constituency, then "she was *outside* the building" is a complete non point because either she was entering or had left the building, or we are looking at a coincidence on the level of winning the lottery 2 weeks running.
    Don’t know why you feel the need to be rude to me. Let’s have a respectable debate please.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    They didn’t break any rules. Big G is saying they broke rules because they socialised.

    My point is that they didn’t socialise when the meeting was finished. They hate each other
    Really? If their host says Let's have a drink they are going to say One or the other of us, not both?
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,454
    edited April 2022

    Which views would those be perchance?

    Try actual views, not your warped interpretation of my views because you can't get past my stance on Brexit.
    Why did you return when you did with a different username? Was it because Johnson was being humiliated and you couldn't justify the the thousands of posts saying he was the best Prime Minister since Thatcher if not ever?

    Surely posters should also have the courage of their convictions. Or at least the integrity you expect from other posters.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    This is not difficult. If simultaneously SKS is inside a labour party building which is not in Westminster not in his or AR's constituency, then "she was *outside* the building" is a complete non point because either she was entering or had left the building, or we are looking at a coincidence on the level of winning the lottery 2 weeks running.
    But so what? It doesn’t prove they broke any rules
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Don’t know why you feel the need to be rude to me. Let’s have a respectable debate please.
    I didn't think that was rude.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    I’m imagining the line up for Bettertogether II.

    Neil Oliver, Money, Govey, Galloway and JK Rowling ranting about women’s changing rooms.
    I’m sure the Grand Master of the Orange Order, Scottish Dawn and Patriotic Alternative will do their bit too.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782

    At least be doesn’t pretend. You’re one of the biggest Tories on this site
    In my life I’ve voted


    Tory
    Green
    Lib Dem
    English Democrat
    Mebyon Kernow
    UKIP
    And
    Binface

    I’ve also abstained several times, on principle. And I’ve never been a member of ANY party

    If that makes me ‘a Tory’ then you’re just being juvenile and tiresome in defining anyone who ‘doesn’t support Labour’ as ‘Tory’

    Incidentally I do believe we are fast approaching the time when the terms ‘left’ and ‘right’ must be retired. They date from the French Revolution. What do they even mean any more?

    eg take me

    I’m an old school feminist. I’m quite environmentalist (save our rivers!). I’m highly relaxed about ‘most’ immigration. I regret the loss of EU Freedom of Movement. I dislike private education and would take away the charitable status of public schools - let ‘em sink or swim. I despise the way the poshos are dominating the arts, I’d abolish unpaid internships. I want more social mobility. So I’m on the left?

    And yet I also favour lower taxes, and I approve of capitalism, and I’m patriotic, pro-western, and quite libertarian… yet I would shoot - metaphorically - people that litter our streets, graffiti our walls, and build horrible buildings. And I sincerely believe Wokery is an intense, mortal threat to the Enlightenment, and that most people are just too dumb or lazy to realise this, yet

    I also wonder if we are being visited by aliens

    In short I’m an absurd mix of beliefs, on a traditional left/right spectrum, with notions that could have been plucked from Jeremy Corbyn to David Icke, and all stations between. I bet most people are like me. A total mix that makes a left/right dichotomy old fashioned to the point of idiocy



  • IshmaelZ said:

    I didn't think that was rude.
    I can see the aggression coming off your posts. Let’s please be respectable
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    edited April 2022
    FF43 said:

    That was the Mail story this morning. OK so she was at the same work meeting as Starmer. Starmer drunk a beer, which wasn't a good idea from a perception point of view, and a Labour Press Secretary gave an inaccurate statement on Rayner's whereabouts. As far as we can tell, no rules were broken.

    Is that a fair summary?
    No - the work meeting concluded and they did not leave and it became a social event

    The accusation by Richard Holden MP is that covid regulations were broken and while the police dismissed the request to review in February they are revisiting the case
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,804

    Wandsworth a Labour gain? We’re feeling good about this one?

    That's what I'm looking for. It's iconic. Miss that and for me it can't be a good night.
  • Leon said:

    In my life I’ve voted


    Tory
    Green
    Lib Dem
    English Democrat
    Mebyon Kernow
    UKIP
    And
    Binface

    I’ve also abstained several times, on principle. And I’ve never been a member of ANY party

    If that makes me ‘a Tory’ then you’re just being juvenile and tiresome in defining anyone who ‘doesn’t support Labour’ as ‘Tory’

    Incidentally I do believe we are fast approaching the time when the terms ‘left’ and ‘right’ must be retired. They date from the French Revolution. What do they even mean any more?

    eg take me

    I’m an old school feminist. I’m quite environmentalist (save our rivers!). I’m highly relaxed about ‘most’ immigration. I regret the loss of EU Freedom of Movement. I dislike private education and would take away the charitable status of public schools - let ‘em sink or swim. I despise the way the poshos are dominating the arts, I’d abolish unpaid internships. I want more social mobility. So I’m on the left?

    And yet I also favour lower taxes, and I approve of capitalism, and I’m patriotic, pro-western, and quite libertarian… yet I would shoot - metaphorically - people that litter our streets, graffiti our walls, and build horrible buildings. And I sincerely believe Wokery is an intense, mortal threat to the Enlightenment, and that most people are just too dumb or lazy to realise this, yet

    I also wonder if we are being visited by aliens

    In short I’m an absurd mix of beliefs, on a traditional left/right spectrum, with notions that could have been plucked from Jeremy Corbyn to David Icke, and all stations between. I bet most people are like me. A total mix that makes a left/right dichotomy old fashioned to the point of idiocy



    The problem Leon is that you make up everything. You’re entertaining to read but you’re playing a character.

    Occasionally the mask slips and I see what you are.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Mail

    "It was initially believed that the PM had been presented with a Union Jack cake while aides sang 'Happy Birthday' to him.

    However, it has since emerged that the cake – bought by a special adviser – never even left its Tupperware box. Some sausage rolls from Marks and Spencer were laid out on the Cabinet table along with a few cans of Estrella lager, but it is believed that these too were left untouched. "

    Say what you like about bojo, he sure knows how to party.
  • BurgessianBurgessian Posts: 2,979
    Trying to think of a parallel period in British political history to where we are now in 2022.

    1962.

    Tories into their third term with their third consecutive PM - an Old Etonian actor manager.

    Labour with a relatively new leader.

    Two years later the actor-manager PM has been replaced by a new PM, who then loses, narrowly, to Labour in the 1964 General Election.

    Anyone find a better match?
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,509
    IshmaelZ said:

    So why lie about it? Very best case, it makes them look shambolic if they can't get it right about the whereabouts of their deputy head.
    Shambolic is always my go to regarding politicians, civil servants and nearly anyone in public office.
  • No - the work meeting concluded and they did not leave and it became a social event

    The accusation by Richard Holden MP is that covid regulations were broken and while the police dismissed the request to review in February they are revisiting the case
    What evidence do you have that it became a social event?

    Again, Starmer and Rayner hate each other. They don’t spend any time together at all outside of forced political things.

    You’ll have to take my word on that but it comes from a close relative of Starmer
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038

    Trying to think of a parallel period in British political history to where we are now in 2022.

    1962.

    Tories into their third term with their third consecutive PM - an Old Etonian actor manager.

    Labour with a relatively new leader.

    Two years later the actor-manager PM has been replaced by a new PM, who then loses, narrowly, to Labour in the 1964 General Election.

    Anyone find a better match?

    Agreed, the next general election will be more 1964 than 1997 if Labour do win.

  • They didn’t break any rules. Big G is saying they broke rules because they socialised.

    My point is that they didn’t socialise when the meeting was finished. They hate each other
    You are quite simply wrong on this event.

    They were together and Labour confirm it

    You may not like the fact that Starmer and Rayner are compromised and are now in a very embarrassing position but trying to dismiss it is not working
  • You are quite simply wrong on this event.

    They were together and Labour confirm it

    You may not like the fact that Starmer and Rayner are compromised and are now in a very embarrassing position but trying to dismiss it is not working
    You are desperate and it shows.

    Back onto ramping Johnson you are. Have a lovely day
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,714
    Cyclefree said:

    Just as in the 1930's.
    Indeed - the parallels with the Holodomor have been widely remarked on.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,454

    Think the good Prof nails it here:

    Well you could have knocked me down with a feather......
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    Leon said:

    In my life I’ve voted


    Tory
    Green
    Lib Dem
    English Democrat
    Mebyon Kernow
    UKIP
    And
    Binface

    I’ve also abstained several times, on principle. And I’ve never been a member of ANY party

    If that makes me ‘a Tory’ then you’re just being juvenile and tiresome in defining anyone who ‘doesn’t support Labour’ as ‘Tory’

    Incidentally I do believe we are fast approaching the time when the terms ‘left’ and ‘right’ must be retired. They date from the French Revolution. What do they even mean any more?

    eg take me

    I’m an old school feminist. I’m quite environmentalist (save our rivers!). I’m highly relaxed about ‘most’ immigration. I regret the loss of EU Freedom of Movement. I dislike private education and would take away the charitable status of public schools - let ‘em sink or swim. I despise the way the poshos are dominating the arts, I’d abolish unpaid internships. I want more social mobility. So I’m on the left?

    And yet I also favour lower taxes, and I approve of capitalism, and I’m patriotic, pro-western, and quite libertarian… yet I would shoot - metaphorically - people that litter our streets, graffiti our walls, and build horrible buildings. And I sincerely believe Wokery is an intense, mortal threat to the Enlightenment, and that most people are just too dumb or lazy to realise this, yet

    I also wonder if we are being visited by aliens

    In short I’m an absurd mix of beliefs, on a traditional left/right spectrum, with notions that could have been plucked from Jeremy Corbyn to David Icke, and all stations between. I bet most people are like me. A total mix that makes a left/right dichotomy old fashioned to the point of idiocy



    Good points apart from abolishing charitable status for private schools.

    That would see them cut the number of scholarships and bursaries they provide and become even more exclusive to the children of the rich and posh
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038

    What evidence do you have that it became a social event?

    Again, Starmer and Rayner hate each other. They don’t spend any time together at all outside of forced political things.

    You’ll have to take my word on that but it comes from a close relative of Starmer
    Rayner is just Starmer's John Prescott
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,171
    edited April 2022
    HYUFD said:

    Agreed, the next general election will be more 1964 than 1997 if Labour do win.

    1964. West Ham won the FA Cup, leading to the question, which footballer lifted a trophy at Wembley three years running.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    But so what? It doesn’t prove they broke any rules
    No it doesn't

    This is not a calamity for labour, but it's embarrassing. If you asked me the single worst thing about Johnson I'd probably say "liar." That was SKS's edge over him. Now I am thinking it's not as clear as I thought it was, and I'm also thinking maybe SKS has tailored his attack over the last few months to emphasise other aspects of the thing rather than Boris's lies, because he thought he might be setting traps for himself.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    HYUFD said:

    Agreed, the next general election will be more 1964 than 1997 if Labour do win.

    2022 is unprecedented in multiple ways. We’re emerging (in’s’Allah) from an immense global plague. We face global Cold War, and European Hot War. We are on the cusp of Artificial Intelligence. Etc etc etc. The world is changing at enormous speed, possibly faster than at any time in human history

    This is not ‘1964’. It is itself
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254
    Leon said:

    In my life I’ve voted


    Tory
    Green
    Lib Dem
    English Democrat
    Mebyon Kernow
    UKIP
    And
    Binface

    I’ve also abstained several times, on principle. And I’ve never been a member of ANY party

    If that makes me ‘a Tory’ then you’re just being juvenile and tiresome in defining anyone who ‘doesn’t support Labour’ as ‘Tory’

    Incidentally I do believe we are fast approaching the time when the terms ‘left’ and ‘right’ must be retired. They date from the French Revolution. What do they even mean any more?

    eg take me

    I’m an old school feminist. I’m quite environmentalist (save our rivers!). I’m highly relaxed about ‘most’ immigration. I regret the loss of EU Freedom of Movement. I dislike private education and would take away the charitable status of public schools - let ‘em sink or swim. I despise the way the poshos are dominating the arts, I’d abolish unpaid internships. I want more social mobility. So I’m on the left?

    And yet I also favour lower taxes, and I approve of capitalism, and I’m patriotic, pro-western, and quite libertarian… yet I would shoot - metaphorically - people that litter our streets, graffiti our walls, and build horrible buildings. And I sincerely believe Wokery is an intense, mortal threat to the Enlightenment, and that most people are just too dumb or lazy to realise this, yet

    I also wonder if we are being visited by aliens

    In short I’m an absurd mix of beliefs, on a traditional left/right spectrum, with notions that could have been plucked from Jeremy Corbyn to David Icke, and all stations between. I bet most people are like me. A total mix that makes a left/right dichotomy old fashioned to the point of idiocy



    News just in that you lose your bet, most people are not like you.....
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    What evidence do you have that it became a social event?

    Again, Starmer and Rayner hate each other. They don’t spend any time together at all outside of forced political things.

    You’ll have to take my word on that but it comes from a close relative of Starmer
    Everybody knows that, you don't have to ask Starmer's mum

    this is going in circles. I'm off to creosote my fences.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,804
    IshmaelZ said:

    Mail

    "It was initially believed that the PM had been presented with a Union Jack cake while aides sang 'Happy Birthday' to him.

    However, it has since emerged that the cake – bought by a special adviser – never even left its Tupperware box. Some sausage rolls from Marks and Spencer were laid out on the Cabinet table along with a few cans of Estrella lager, but it is believed that these too were left untouched. "

    Say what you like about bojo, he sure knows how to party.

    Estrella is mild. You need quite a few cans to get a buzz on.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,319

    The result of that attitude was that British Army under Wellington was more welcome in parts of France than the French Army.

    The British army paid in gold for food. The French Army, if the farmers were lucky, gave them bills on the government, for some of the value....
    When I went to university in France my Marsellaise landlady used to compel obedience from her grandchildren by threatening them with some hypothetical English soldier. She was so ancient it could have been a folk memory from any Anglo-French conflict back to the War of the League of Cambrai.
  • What evidence do you have that it became a social event?

    Again, Starmer and Rayner hate each other. They don’t spend any time together at all outside of forced political things.

    You’ll have to take my word on that but it comes from a close relative of Starmer
    I know they do not get on, but at beergate they were together and the accusation is being made by Richard Holden MP as well as others that this was a social event

    The event is being reviewed and it is clear Starmer and Rayner have questions to answer, not least why did Labour lie about her presence

  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,804
    Whatever happened to Philip Thompson? I fret.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,171
    Leon said:

    2022 is unprecedented in multiple ways. We’re emerging (in’s’Allah) from an immense global plague. We face global Cold War, and European Hot War. We are on the cusp of Artificial Intelligence. Etc etc etc. The world is changing at enormous speed, possibly faster than at any time in human history

    This is not ‘1964’. It is itself
    1964. Cold War and the White Heat of the Technological Revolution.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,350

    Trying to think of a parallel period in British political history to where we are now in 2022.

    1962.

    Tories into their third term with their third consecutive PM - an Old Etonian actor manager.

    Labour with a relatively new leader.

    Two years later the actor-manager PM has been replaced by a new PM, who then loses, narrowly, to Labour in the 1964 General Election.

    Anyone find a better match?

    Not just that.

    In 1959, Supermac won 365 seats for the Conservatives. Just like Boris.

    (cue music from The Twilight Zone...)
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,356
    kinabalu said:

    Whatever happened to Philip Thompson? I fret.

    Is this really necessary?
  • You are desperate and it shows.

    Back onto ramping Johnson you are. Have a lovely day
    I have not mentioned Boris who needs to go but you seem to want to shut down the issue as it is very inconvenient for labour
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    The problem Leon is that you make up everything. You’re entertaining to read but you’re playing a character.

    Occasionally the mask slips and I see what you are.
    He stopped being entertaining to read circa 2008. Few things worse than a comedy act gone stale.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782

    News just in that you lose your bet, most people are not like you.....
    I hope not, for their sake

    But my point is good. Drill down into people and you mostly get a huge variety of opinions that cannot easily be slotted into ‘left’ or ‘right’

    Look at the recent French elex. They were presented as ‘centre left’ v ‘hard right’ but by many traditional definitions Le Pen is to the left of Macron

    This left-right shit is boring and old and needs to go
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    kinabalu said:

    Whatever happened to Philip Thompson? I fret.

    Ask SeanT.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,624

    Remember just two days ago when the Tories here said this was economically clueless and a stupid idea. Labour has no policies?

    Crickets now!
    I’m no Tory but I think this idea is ridiculous. It’s smart politics but still a stupid idea.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,111
    Boris Johnson appears to be a slight drag on economic competence ratings for the Tories

    % saying the following would be better than [Labour equivalent] at managing the economy

    Conservatives: 28%
    Conservatives led by Boris Johnson: 24%
    Boris Johnson: 21%

    https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/04/29/economic-competence-what-difference-does-who-you-a https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1519974561839816705/photo/1
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254
    Leon said:

    I hope not, for their sake

    But my point is good. Drill down into people and you mostly get a huge variety of opinions that cannot easily be slotted into ‘left’ or ‘right’

    Look at the recent French elex. They were presented as ‘centre left’ v ‘hard right’ but by many traditional definitions Le Pen is to the left of Macron

    This left-right shit is boring and old and needs to go
    The more interesting one is authoritarian vs liberal democracy. With social media we probably also need to add in whether people want to live in reality or the story of their choice.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    The 1964 election was also the day Khrushchev was ousted and the Chinese tested an atom bomb.
    Hopefully next election day will be as interesting.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405
    IshmaelZ said:

    Everybody knows that, you don't have to ask Starmer's mum

    this is going in circles. I'm off to creosote my fences.
    Is that a euphemism?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    kinabalu said:

    Whatever happened to Philip Thompson? I fret.

    I am still in touch with him. He sends best wishes but says his new job at the Council for the Preservation of Rural England leaves him little time to post here.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,350

    He stopped being entertaining to read circa 2008. Few things worse than a comedy act gone stale.
    Much the same goes for the PM.

    One of the things I've suspected for ages is that, because Boris hasn't really updated his act since he was at school, it wouldn't survive daily exposure.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782

    The more interesting one is authoritarian vs liberal democracy. With social media we probably also need to add in whether people want to live in reality or the story of their choice.
    Cognitive elite V uneducated hoi polloi is another one. As predicted by Charles Murray
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    edited April 2022
    Leon said:

    I hope not, for their sake

    But my point is good. Drill down into people and you mostly get a huge variety of opinions that cannot easily be slotted into ‘left’ or ‘right’

    Look at the recent French elex. They were presented as ‘centre left’ v ‘hard right’ but by many traditional definitions Le Pen is to the left of Macron

    This left-right shit is boring and old and needs to go
    It is still relevant in economic terms, just at the moment so much of western politics is focused on cultural and social divisions more than the economic divisions which dominated 20th century politics.

    Hence Warwick and Leamington and Richmond Park do not have Conservative MPs now but Burnley and Stoke do, which would have been unthinkable 50 years ago
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    World Cup final 18 December - Winner, best prices

    Brazil 5/1
    France 13/2
    England 7/1
    Spain 17/2
    Argentina 10/1
    Germany 11/1
    Belgium 14/1
    Netherlands 16/1
    Portugal 16/1
    Denmark 33/1

    Wales 350/1

    Ukraine 425/1

    Scotland 500/1

    New Zealand 2000/1
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,677
    Wow. The PB Tory Frat Boys have been frotting themselves crazy this morning.

    Desperate, desperate stuff.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    Trying to think of a parallel period in British political history to where we are now in 2022.

    1962.

    Tories into their third term with their third consecutive PM - an Old Etonian actor manager.

    Labour with a relatively new leader.

    Two years later the actor-manager PM has been replaced by a new PM, who then loses, narrowly, to Labour in the 1964 General Election.

    Anyone find a better match?

    Seems like a good match, although a bit harsh on Macmillan to be likened to Johnson I think.
  • mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,771
    Leon said:

    2022 is unprecedented in multiple ways. We’re emerging (in’s’Allah) from an immense global plague. We face global Cold War, and European Hot War. We are on the cusp of Artificial Intelligence. Etc etc etc. The world is changing at enormous speed, possibly faster than at any time in human history

    This is not ‘1964’. It is itself
    It's a great pleasure to be here with you all today.
    You know, things are changing fast.
    We live in a world of change.
    The silicon chip is changing our lives.
    Quality of life is becoming more and more important.
    Environment, conservation, problems of pollution, the future of our children, and our children's children.
    These are today's issues.
    There is, quite rightly, increasing concern about high-rise buildings.
    I'm happy to reassure you, members of the Architectural Association

    I'm so sorry. This is yesterday's speech.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    The joys of Northumberland life.
    Cloudless, yet not 15°C. Which magnificent beach shall I walk to?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    Leon said:

    Cognitive elite V uneducated hoi polloi is another one. As predicted by Charles Murray
    And HG Wells.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254
    Leon said:

    Cognitive elite V uneducated hoi polloi is another one. As predicted by Charles Murray
    Please not more promotion of racist and outdated understanding of IQ. We did that last week.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    Wow. The PB Tory Frat Boys have been frotting themselves crazy this morning.

    Desperate, desperate stuff.

    "Desperate stuff" - translation, "I'm worried this will have cut through"?
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 14,012

    1964. West Ham won the FA Cup, leading to the question, which footballer lifted a trophy at Wembley three years running.
    Remember the final well. Preston NE scored first, and Howard Kendall played for them, then the youngest ever FA Cup finalist.

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    edited April 2022
    Leon said:

    2022 is unprecedented in multiple ways. We’re emerging (in’s’Allah) from an immense global plague. We face global Cold War, and European Hot War. We are on the cusp of Artificial Intelligence. Etc etc etc. The world is changing at enormous speed, possibly faster than at any time in human history

    This is not ‘1964’. It is itself
    1964 was just after the Cuban Missile Crisis at the height of the Cold War. There was also the growth of TV and the emergence of the computer and the Space race etc and the cultural revolution of the 1960s
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    How did Truss blow it exactly?

    By being on the same page as Joe Biden that we need to do more to support Ukraine?

    That might upset a few who want Britain to be appeasers of Russia but I don't think many of those will have a say in the next Tory leadership race or be able to get one of their own to be Prime Minister - I'd certainly hope not.
    The Truss story prompted R4 Today to report on the UK’s “war aims” (sic). War aims? WAR AIMS?? The UK has war aims? That will be news to most folk. When did the UK declare war?

    Truss just blew it.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    edited April 2022
    HYUFD said:

    It is still relevant in economic terms, just at the moment so much if western politics is focused on cultural and social divisions more than the economic divisions which dominated 20th century politics.

    Hence Putney and Richmond Park do not have Conservative MPs now but Burnley and Stoke do, which would have been unthinkable 50 years ago
    While driving here in the USA I’ve been listening to ‘Undaunted Courage’, the biography of the great American explorer Meriwether Lewis. By Stephen ‘band of brothers’ Ambrose. Absolutely fascinating

    It’s taught me much, not least that the division between Democrats and Republicans date from quite arcane Revolutionary views of the future USA, which bear no resemblance whatsoever to the present left/right Dem/GOP ideological battle

    Lewis, by the way, committed violent suicide on the Natchez Trace at the age of 35, first using pistols then trying to cut himself to ribbons with a razor. Despite immense early achievement. I didn’t know that, either
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,277
    edited April 2022

    No - the work meeting concluded and they did not leave and it became a social event

    The accusation by Richard Holden MP is that covid regulations were broken and while the police dismissed the request to review in February they are revisiting the case
    They’re not revisiting the case and are just responding to a freedom of information request . Durham police have confirmed to the BBC that there is no review ongoing .
  • The Truss story prompted R4 Today to report on the UK’s “war aims” (sic). War aims? WAR AIMS?? The UK has war aims? That will be news to most folk. When did the UK declare war?

    Truss just blew it.
    You're mental.

    Yes the UK has war aims. That won't be news to anyone who isn't wanting Putin to win the war.
  • RobD said:

    Is this really necessary?
    Yeah why can't people just drop it?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    HYUFD said:

    1964 was just after the Cuban Missile Crisis at the height of the Cold War. There was also the growth of TV and the emergence of the computer and the Space race etc and the cultural revolution of the 1960s
    Things moved quite quickly in the 1960s. That does not preclude them moving even faster now. Much faster
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530
    The next crisis??


    Peter Foster
    @pmdfoster
    ·
    3h
    Replying to
    @pmdfoster

    @Jacob_Rees_Mogg and @GeorgeWParker

    If there is a health scare or animal disease outbreak, the government cannot say it wasn't warned by the professional.

    @uttoxeterjames
    of the BVA calls it a "deeply misguided" action since UK has left EU’s "inegrated and highly responsive surveillance systems"

    https://twitter.com/pmdfoster/status/1519930588718944256
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,171
    algarkirk said:

    Remember the final well. Preston NE scored first, and Howard Kendall played for them, then the youngest ever FA Cup finalist.

    I have it on dvd somewhere, which almost certainly means someone will have uploaded it to one of the video sites.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530
    Bet farmers are glad they were conned into voting Brexit this morning.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,624
    kinabalu said:

    Whatever happened to Philip Thompson? I fret.

    What do you get from this ?

    Can you not respect his wishes.
  • Taz said:

    What do you get from this ?

    Can you not respect his wishes.
    Yeah I think it's incredibly rude and disrespectful to be honest.

    It now comes across as bullying.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,111
    Westminster voting intention:

    LAB: 40% (-)
    CON: 35% (+1)
    LDEM: 9% (-1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)

    via @techneUK, 27 - 28 Apr
    https://sotn.newstatesman.com/2022/03/what-do-the-latest-polls-say-britain-elects/
  • Scott_xP said:

    Westminster voting intention:

    LAB: 40% (-)
    CON: 35% (+1)
    LDEM: 9% (-1)
    GRN: 6% (+1)

    via @techneUK, 27 - 28 Apr
    https://sotn.newstatesman.com/2022/03/what-do-the-latest-polls-say-britain-elects/

    When will Keir Starmer resign? @bigjohnowls please explain
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,714
    Coprophagy ... ?

    https://twitter.com/ThomasPride/status/1519898855927603201
    “If I am ever asked to produce my ID card as evidence that I am who I say I am I will take that card out of my wallet and physically eat it in the presence of whatever emanation of the state has demanded that I produce it.”
    @BorisJohnson
    2004.

    Yesterday Johnson passed a law ...

    ... making it compulsory for voters to produce photo ID when voting.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    You're mental.

    Yes the UK has war aims. That won't be news to anyone who isn't wanting Putin to win the war.
    Dearie dearie me. Another evaporation fan.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405
    Leon said:

    While driving here in the USA I’ve been listening to ‘Undaunted Courage’, the biography of the great American explorer Meriwether Lewis. By Stephen ‘band of brothers’ Ambrose. Absolutely fascinating

    It’s taught me much, not least that the division between Democrats and Republicans date from quite arcane Revolutionary views of the future USA, which bear no resemblance whatsoever to the present left/right Dem/GOP ideological battle

    Lewis, by the way, committed violent suicide on the Natchez Trace at the age of 35, first using pistols then trying to cut himself to ribbons with a razor. Despite immense early achievement. I didn’t know that, either
    The Republicans didn't exist at that time. They were a northern anti-slavery party ("party of Lincoln") that came into existence in the years running up to the Civil War. The party moved to the right of the Democrats in response to the Democrats adopting more left wing policies under FDR and then civil rights policies, which saw the Southern Democrats (Dixiecrats) split with Northern Democrats, and the Republicans hoovered up their voters (no pun intended) under Nixon's "Southern strategy", continued under Reagan and subsequently.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,624

    Yeah I think it's incredibly rude and disrespectful to be honest.

    It now comes across as bullying.
    I agree. He has changed his handle and made a perfectly courteous and civil request not to have his old username used here yet ever now and then someone thinks it’s oh so funny to ignore that.

  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,677
    Applicant said:

    "Desperate stuff" - translation, "I'm worried this will have cut through"?
    No, I don't think it will.

  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Foxy said:

    In the "facepalm of the day" contest Nadine Dorries is putting in a strong performance:

    https://twitter.com/Jake_Kanter/status/1519794080900960263?t=kZ6kwxAZTHck-BrJweTkKg&s=19

    In making the case for selling Channel 4, Nadine Dorries points to the success of Channel 5's privatisation, not once, but twice. Channel 5 has never been owned by the government. https://t.co/Ru927I9dO7

    It's an exact mirror image of the amusing spectacle on here the other day when one PBer used a nationalised railway as a poster child for the safety benefits of rail privatisation.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,073
    edited April 2022

    This is clearly the work of Lyhton Crosby's henchmen engaged at Downing Street, in conjunction with Dacre. It is quite a clever, if disingenuous tactic. If Boris Johnson can't be whitewashed, cover the opposition with confected ordure and a plague on both their houses.

    At the moment there is nothing more important in the realms of UK Government than "saving Big Dog". The PB Johnsonian Tories have bought into it with enthusiasm.
    But I’m sure it’s never had sex with a pig.
    Yeah I’m sure too, but get him to come to a microphone and deny it. Lol

    But, as I told you last night Pete, the right way to deal with these things is rebutt rebutt rebutt, labour should have cleared it up today, they should have set the record straight, where mail is lying write public letter to editor bullet pointing the lies, speak to the regulator, get lawyers involved. I suggest their response today has been weak
  • PJHPJH Posts: 814
    Leon said:

    I hope not, for their sake

    But my point is good. Drill down into people and you mostly get a huge variety of opinions that cannot easily be slotted into ‘left’ or ‘right’

    Look at the recent French elex. They were presented as ‘centre left’ v ‘hard right’ but by many traditional definitions Le Pen is to the left of Macron

    This left-right shit is boring and old and needs to go
    There is a lot of truth in what @Leon says, irrespective of how many people might be like him.

    My girlfriend claims to be left-wing Labour, yet I as a centrist liberal am well to the 'left' of her on the majority of issues especially civil liberties and Law and Order. The only significant one where I am much to the right of her is economics, which of course is the old left/right yardstick.

    And that explains my own indifference to Labour - unless they are led by a Corbyn they are generally to the right of me. Blair certainly was.
This discussion has been closed.