Sunak sees a colossal drop in his favourability ratings – politicalbetting.com

The figures from Ipsos-MORI are really quite dramatic. These are Favourable: 26% (-10 from March) Unfavourable: 44% (+11) Net: -18.
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Later peeps
Starmer: -25 (down 4)
Sunak: -29 (down 14)
Truss: -29 (-)
Johnson: -42 (down 8)
Patel: -57 (up 2)
Hatred for everyone.
The Spring Statement has clearly hit his ratings, while Wallace and Boris have been seen to have acted in a statesmanlike fashion over Ukraine.
He is still in the frame but just one of many not clear frontrunner
Making you confront reality is the exact opposite of gaslighting you.
How? We voted for it. We vote for the people who make us feel good about ourselves and not those who do the right thing for the country.
The easiest way to lose an election is to say "I'll be honest: we have a problem here, it's going to cost everyone money to fix it". For example, May tried that in 2017 and everyone howled her down with "dementia tax!"
Therefore, the logical strategy for SKS is to sail by saying virtually nothing while the government is forced by circumstances to acknowledge there's a problem, so he can win effectively by default. Having policies means acknowledging that there are problems (perhaps even acknowledging that some of them haven't been created by the current government) and giving the people a choice between bad and worse - and risking that they will judge that he is worse.
How do we get out of it? I wish I knew.
Well done, everyone.
Chancellor handing out tax rises is less popular.
Who knew?
What is it with Crown Princes for a party nearing the end of its time in government that they bottle it and the PM survives?
handing out money = popular
taking it back = unpopular
We are a quite straightforward people, you know.
And everyone just about on PB said that this would be the case. And lo it has come to pass.
In particular no-one either in media, politics, commentary (or PB) is convincingly pointing towards actual and real solutions on the big issues.
These include
Covid
Ukraine
Russia
Public finances (debt, deficit, inflation, interest rates, tax, spend)
Climate change
The infinite demands on health and social care
After Brexit what?
Maybe I should expand that comment into a header...
Indeed I really am neutral on who is next PM, as quite frankly I do not envy anyone the problems we are facing just now and for years into the future
He should've moved back in December. Waiting for perfect timing when you already have a perfectly serviceable one to hand is always a mistake. Although, the fact that he hesitated and lost the moment, makes me feel like I'm glad he didn't end up as PM.
People don’t like taxes and interest rates going up, and price inflation above wage inflation.
The Chancellor did very well during the pandemic, getting the various schemes up and running quickly and without too many bad edge cases - but it was really expensive, and now that money needs to be paid back.
The government will be praying that the (global) economy recovers sufficiently that they have enough headroom to make tax cuts before the next election - which is now almost certainly heading for May 2024.
I am not voting conservative in may
You do not get to play judge when you would have imposed Corbyn on us
You were saying literally a month ago how "Rishi must take over now".
You do not get to play judge when you would have imposed Rishi on us.
For me the biggest missed opportunity was, pre-vaccine, not to have paid people meaningfully to isolate. By not doing this, the isolation policy was unfair and ineffective.
It's also awfully hard to find the right person. Too close to the top (like Brown or Callaghan, say, or Sunak today) and they can't convincingly sell themselves as New Management. Too distant (say Portillo or Redwood in '95, Hestletine in '90, Wallace now) and they are an untried novice... Better stick to nurse. Major pulled it off by having been in top jobs but for about seven minutes and by promising to ditch the Community Charge. Johnson had been FS (albeit badly) which, combined with sheer oomph, turned out to be enough.
So, if Johnson goes before '24, it will be because things are going badly. I suspect the big ambitious beasts will find an excuse to sit it out, so the coming defeat isn't on their CV. In which case, the next leader is someone ambitious who recognises that a Hail Mary pass is the only pass they are likely to get. I wonder who?
He has had to deal with the biggest Government spending scheme since WW2 in order to preserve companies and peoples jobs. It was incredible how quickly the schemes were set up, they were run very efficiently and they worked. It was an amazing achievement and the Country remains at full employment.
Now he is looking to recover a tiny percentage of that money he is apparently the worst chancellor ever,
What utter nonsense!!
The idea of going into war with PM pro tem Raab is risible.
Appalling budget. One of the worst in my living memory.
Total misjudged, totally out of touch, too focused on winning a non-existent leadership bid, too captured by Treasury.
I do hope you're not doubting his word.
Rishi Sunak blocks green homes plan that would have lowered energy bills
Whitehall officials livid over Treasury’s refusal to fund scheme making properties more energy efficient as cost of living crisis bites
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/04/05/rishi-sunak-turns-spending-taps-green-homes-plan-cut-energy/ (£££)
All I'm doing is challenging the idea that voting for a third party is "voting against both PM candidates" because one of the two will always become PM. Saying that you voted for a third party "to vote against both" seems to me more like trying to convince yourself that you are morally righteous. And maybe you are.
Our electricity costs are going to be £3,943 this year. Last year on a fixed deal we were paying £1,345.
That's a 293% increase with more to come in October! 😬
I can help but laugh that we're being charged 28.455p a unit and being paid 5.57p for the units we export from our PV panels.
An interesting little piece arguing that Putin's Russia is more like Mussoline's Italy than Hitler's Germany:
https://ukdefencejournal.org.uk/ukraine-the-end-of-russian-power/
And a more lighthearted one on why US Americans don't like roundabouts:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AqcyRxZJCXc
Gray interim report was 31 January, coulda had fatty out by 3 Feb.
The problem is that this sort of retail politics is almost impossible for someone like Starmer (or Johnson or Davey) trying to talk to 50 million voters. You can put out a message, e.g. "pay more tax to help dementia sufferers" but anything more than a couple of sentences won't make it into national consciousness, and the inevitable counterattacks will muddy the waters and often neutralise it.
An interesting counter-example is Labour's programme in 2017, which almost produced a surprise victory despite the widespread scepticism that dogged Corbyn even then. The reason that almost worked is that the Mail and Sun thought it was so awful that they highlighted it, giving far more coverage than any programme usually gets, whereupon a lot of voters thought it didn't sound bad at all.
So working out policies that your opponents will attack and which people will still think sound good is the magic formula. The windfall tax on energy companies who have paid enormous dividends is a good example - one can attack it as discouraging investment, or bad for pension funds, but it passes the smell test as something simple, comprehensible and credible. But it's obviously only a contribution to the much deeper financial issues. We need a few more like that - more council tax bands for larger properties and modest reductions to the cheapest ones would be another easy hit. But above all we need a general theme tying the individual policies together. My main criticism of Labour at present is not a lack of detailed policies but a lack of clear direction - even if it was one that I didn't especially like. The Government looks exhausted and past its sell-by date - we need to show we're not exhausted at all, and ready to tackle the issues in a way that looks after most people as well as possible.
You clearly have not talked to any Conservative MPs on the matter, so your views can be dismissed as uninformed twaddle.
Furthermore if there's room for tax cuts (planned for Income Tax) then that should go 100% into reversing the NI hike, not being gifted to those who don't pay NI.
Sunak isn't the worst Chancellor in history, that accolade still belongs to one Gordon Brown, but Sunak has stolen his clothes and is wearing them. NI is raised because its 2p in tax rises but the media says 1p, Brown knew that and Sunak is copying him.
I may have tipped him at 250/1 but I don't want a poundshop Gordon Brown in Downing Street.
That's gaslighting right there
Once again, Corbyn isn’t even a Labour MP, never mind Labour leader.
Get over it.
Meanwhile I've finally been seen by a doctor. Broken rib confirmed but they were checking for a lung complication which appears not to be present.
I'm back and have just seen this on Sky News:
Six hospitals tell public to avoid A&E amid 12-hour waits
Six hospitals have issued a joint warning for people to stay away from emergency departments except for in "genuine, life-threatening situations".
The announcement was made after a surge in attendances left some patients waiting for up to 12 hours.
Hospital trusts across West Yorkshire and Harrogate in North Yorkshire - an area covering more than 2.5 million people - said that due to current pressures they were forced to prioritise patients presenting with acute illness or injuries.
Dr Andrew Lockey, emergency medicine consultant with Calderdale and Huddersfield NHS Foundation Trust, said: "It's really important that people only come to an accident and emergency department if they really need to.
"Our hospitals are extremely busy, and people are having to wait a long time to be seen.
"Over the past two weeks we've faced huge challenges with the sharp uplift in the number of people attending accident and emergency.
"This places additional pressure on our teams who are responsible for treating patients with serious and life-threatening conditions."
The clinical director of a hospital in Lancashire previously said patients were regularly waiting more than two days for a bed.
"For the past few months we have on a regular basis had more than 50 patients waiting for a bed and that wait being in excess of 60 hours," Graham Ellis, the clinical director of Royal Preston hospital, told executives in a letter leaked to the Health Service Journal.
He added: "We have witnessed senior experienced staff crying with frustration and anger as they have had to resuscitate patients in the waiting room, examine in the viewing room and CT changing room, seen patients leave the department as they have been pulled out of a cubicle to allow someone more unwell to be treated in their former space and patients die without the dignity of privacy."
West Yorkshire Association of Acute Trusts said its most recent figures show a 14.2% increase in attendance compared with the same week last year.
Not to mention disgraceful splurged money on fraudulent loans, wasted contracts for tory chums, letting Russian oligarchs and Saudi princes wash dirty money through London.
It goes on and on.
This 'what would you have done differently' is the last feeble breath of a dying Government.
But, to claim there was “no window” is ludicrous. There was a window. Sunak and the PCP fluffed it.
The last time there was no effective choice of PM at a general election was 2005.
As I say, get over it.
Starmer, of course, bided his time while in opposition. Not quite the same thing.
"I would bomb Japan. I would sail our large navy around their small island, and if they so much as peeped, I would nuke them."
On the whole, I think the world is better off without him.
The reality is that a vote for other than the two largest parties is a protest vote against the absurdity.
The reality seems to be that you don't believe in democracy.
You voted LD because you didn't want either Johnson or Corbyn to win but the reality is that one of them would win because the LDs would not.
It is the "none of the above" fallacy. None of the above means one of the above for certain.
There is a time and tide and he failed to take it.
BoJo goes woke