A Johnson exit in 2022 moving up in the betting – politicalbetting.com
A Johnson exit in 2022 moving up in the betting – politicalbetting.com
The recent record lows in Johnson’s leadership ratings and LAB taking the lead have sparked off a flurry of activity in several betting markets including the year in which Johnson will go.
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Goodnight all 👍
https://www.newsweek.com/united-nations-giving-names-uyghur-dissidents-china-opinion-1649060
But they'd be crazy to ditch him. I'm afraid the truth is he reaches parts other Tories cannot reach. A more traditional Tory may save Esher, but that's not worth doing at the expense of red wall seats, which it would be. And the people who are similar to Johnson in populist instincts lack his charisma.
It's a populist problem, not unlike the Republican problem. It would take time to rebrand as traditional GOP. And Trump isn't ideal for populists (even less ideal than Johnson) but a smoother tribute act like just Josh Hawley just won't work - he's not an authentic enough nutcase, and the hardcore fear he's actually borderline sane but faking it.
Although I have obviously been double vaxxed and boostered to be immune from sensing his "charisma". Though I know some are overpowered by it.
At the presser he seemed to me an incoherent, ill- informed, scruffy chancer in comparison to the smooth and on the ball Sharma.
But maybe that's just me.
That's interesting, as IME the chancers are usually smooth, well-dressed and articulate; all the better to persuade suckers to buy the medicine.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10200811/Bomb-squad-called-hospital-sounds-explosion-heard-outside-entrance.html
Then you realise he's there every night, every night people include him in rounds, but he's never been seen to put his hand in his pocket and buy anywhere near his share.
And the one occasion when he was shamed into paying he found he'd left his wallet at tome.
One theory police are probing is that the detonators on a potential bomb exploded but not the main charge. That would be a repeat of the failed 21/7 bombings three weeks after the 7/7 atrocity.
In the immediate aftermath of the blast local police handed command of the incident to the North West Counter Terror force based in Manchester. They stressed it was 'out of caution' and that the blast had not officially been deemed a terror attack.
So the Mail just seems to be reporting more speculation rather than more facts. If the authorities are playing it close to their chest, what choice is there?
So the police can use semantics to not confirm it was a bombing.
The slight surprise is that he can't / won't scrub up for those occasions- big summits, say- when it would be better to leave his hair tidy and wear a suit that fits.
On the subject of his spouses, his lawyers have managed to make sure they they all keep very quiet about life with him. Odd, that. Hell hath no fury and so on.
The money paid to that hotel by foreign governments during his Presidency stinks to high heaven but its the loss of a prestigious site in Washington itself, near the Whitehouse. It also suggests, again, that the Trump name is not an asset in running such a business. His claim to be a successful businessman is rapidly catching up with his claim that the election was stolen in credibility.
On topic, I don't see any clamour within the Parliamentary Conservative party to replace Boris, he will retire as 'Sir' or Lord Boris quite soon after the 2024 election, win or lose.
But you’ll still then have a long drive home, too long for a single leg. Tubingen or Freiburg are great spots for an overnight to break the driving. Or Fussen, which is a great stopover, if not that far into the driving.
However if you’re at the western lakes it would obviously be more sensible to come back through Switzerland, and even from Iseo Austria would be a considerable detour. Indeed Garda via Austria is more driving than via France or Switzerland, assuming you’re heading for Calais or similar.
You can buy Austrian motorway passes online provided you do so at least two weeks before the journey.
According to the govt minister that is ‘effectively the same’ as an apology over the handling of sleaze claims.
#KayBurley
https://trib.al/5J1pu6I https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1460152923401474052/video/1
They went on to make a vast fortune by buying up chunks of Manhattan at rock bottom prices when people were forced to sell during the Great Depression.
Fred had to retire in in 1990s because he developed Alzheimer's disease and he choose to hand over nearly all the family wealth to Donald because his eldest son, Fred Jnr. was a chronic alcoholic.
When he first became President someone calculated that if Donald had simply put all the money on deposit, he would have more money than he has now after his mostly unsuccessful business career.
News this week about the broken promises on northern infrastructure won't help either. They can win the next election but not with Johnson.
https://twitter.com/10DowningStreet/status/1460155822063988740?s=20
He "backed off" after CAA chair intervened
Govt disputes this account
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/62eb0e48-44c9-11ec-b414-b1f6389ab345?shareToken=d37fc7e81435dff878189a670ecfe0ac
PREMIER LEAGUE
Margaret Thatcher
Tony Blair
CHAMPIONSHIP
David Cameron
DIVISION ONE
John Major
Gordon Brown
Theresa May
DIVISION TWO
Ted Heath
Jim Callaghan
Boris Johnson
https://twitter.com/flodebarre/status/1459958446342774787?s=20
Remember 98% vs 96% isn't "about the same" it's 2% unvaccinated vs 4% unvaccinated - in other words its twice as good.
F1: surprised Ladbrokes has the pair equal (1.83) for the title. Betfair has Hamilton slight outsider at 2.1.
He was significantly faster at Interlagos than Verstappen. But he also had a new engine which he had to cane for two hours (not including qualifying).
I do think Hamilton has a decent shot of retaining the title, but Ricciardo's engine-related DNF is a serious concern.
- Gordon Brown should be in the Conference - absolutely awful;
- Jim Callaghan Division One - he inherited a very poor position (economic crisis, strikes, no majority) and did with it as best as he could;
- Teresa May - Div 2 but only because she tried so hard on Brexit. Blew an election, no majority, split her party
- John Major - Championship - small majority, split party but economic policy a success
- BJ - Championship but too early - massive majority for the Tories
- Blair - I am tempted to put him into whatever Godforsaken minor league there is - tactically brilliant but, when it came to making decisions that impacted the country longer-term, a f**king disaster
I also wouldn't rank Cameron above Major. Major is often underestimated, without him the Thatcher reforms would have been rolled back by a Kinnock government.
Indeed my grandson has not been vaccinated yet through Wales NHS
Of the rest, I'd move Gordon Brown up for his handling of the global financial crisis, and David Cameron to the bottom as our worst Prime Minister since Lord North. He gave us Lansley's disastrous NHS reforms, IDS's UC which was undermined by the Chancellor, flatlined the recovery and attempted to rig the electoral system. He almost lost Scotland and did lose Europe. Even if you think Brexit a good thing, it was clearly not Cameron's government's policy.
Boris is sui generis. I find it impossible to rate him on the same scale as the others.
We just cannot do infrastructure. Well, not since Victoria was on the throne.
Here is realpolitik - you can't force these other countries to sign a deal they don't want to - or stick to it regardless of what they sign. What are we to do, war with China over coal?
What we should be doing is leading the charge to replace fossil fuels, so that we can both push the technology needed and sell it for profit. Lets throw resources at leading edge Hydrogen (for trucks and buses) and wind / tidal power. That way as countries like India and China start coming off coal there is something there to offer as a replacement.
Never mind cash for honours and dodgy PPE contracts, lets have cash for R&D, for manufacturing, for technology. Down the road in Aberdeen and across the county we are set up for both ends of the process - carbon capture from fossil fuels, Hydrogen already powers buses and some hire cars, and we're generating a lot of wind power and tidal is coming.
But it needs cash and vision. And the Tories keep saying no.
https://twitter.com/janinegibson/status/1460162573748293632
https://twitter.com/janinegibson/status/1460163666087751681
#r4today
https://twitter.com/JoelTaylorhack/status/1460162502382305283
Otherwise known as the Scooby Doo defence. https://twitter.com/RobDotHutton/status/1460164217856790533/photo/1
With the money he made from that he went back to Germany and got married, but he soon returned to the US to avoid military service and became an American citizen, Fred was born in 1905.
Friedrich worked as a hotel manager in New York and died in the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic.
With the new plan their improve capacity to Nottingham / Derby from London and if I'm being generous the cross country capacity into Birmingham from Nottingham.
I'm seriously tempted to say it's a worse plan than scrapping it in its entirety except for the fact if its half built building the rest would rapidly make commercial sense.
The northern section? Delusional. Exit from Leeds towards Sheffield isn't at capacity, but the section through Rotherham and Meadowhall to the hopeless Sheffield Midland is at capacity. Only building this northern section does nothing but still smashes up Leeds city centre so that the new slightly faster but still slow trains to Sheffield have a vast terminus to rattle around in. Again, journey time claims hysterical.
If we need to speed up journeys along this access then build it properly. Don;t build two sections so you can claim they are two new lines as a distraction from having cancelled NPR across the Pennines.
I get that some MPs don't want to spend the money. Fine. Cancel it then. Don't waste gazillions building pointless bits that get left as a white elephant.
1) His "empire" is a pile of debt. While this is in the style of the old style "billionaires" before Silicon Valley created people with an actual billion or 2... his empire is particularly built on bullshit.
2) He has completely toxified his brand with 50% of the population.
2) is feeding into 1) - People don't want to be seen to be doing business with him, because of 2)
Which is particularly problematic when it comes to banks which finance 1)
But there are seats where the Labour vote has simply collapsed, over the course of 20 years, in ex-mining constituencies. I see those seats going the same way as places like Forest of Dean or NW Leicestershire.
But the iniquity of the annual pass is really that the Swiss themselves pay so little. If you compare the €40-odd Swiss pass, for doing a single or return trip across the entire country en route from the UK, to the cost you pay on the French motorways for a similar length, it isn't so bad.
I was in Schwangau just two months' back, stayed at the edge of that flat plain just below the castles, with the mountain views, and a great beer garden just along the road. I hope to return on a future trip. I'm sure we all know the closing scenes of the Great Escape, with McQueen being pursued through Alpine countryside on his motorbike - that was all filmed in that area, between Fussen and Pfronten.
Sunak might just about be Major to Boris' Thatcher if Labour start to build a big lead in the polls with Starmer as Kinnock but Major's premiership after his narrow re election was all downhill
As for the loss of Northern Power Rail - I will be paying more attention to the announcement or not of platforms 15/16 at Manchester Piccadilly (as that is one of the major blocks in the North West nowadays).
Boris promised levelling up and if the forthcoming railways announcements are as leaked - he's failed. As for where he stands on anything - that depends on who is talking to him that moment and in 5 minutes he will have done another u-turn.
And that failure added to corruption is going to be long term damaging to a party that with Boris has already turned it's back on it's historic supporters.
Embarrassing stuff.
Yesterday he said he saw the Queen on wednesday when it was friday, referred to Edinburgh re COP26 and his dress sense at times is embarrassing and justifies the contrast to Benny Hill
He is in the greatest danger since taking office, and many see him as a diminishing asset to the party
Does this take place n Austria?
Ditching an electorally successful leader never ends well for the party longer term, as the Tories found out when they removed Thatcher and Labour found out when it pushed Blair out for Brown
We're fine now.
Much younger relatives have had it and recovered well.
Having done a little reading into the Shapps story from yesterday, it looks like toast now or toast later.
However Major's win was the best thing for the country for as was mentioned before PM Kinnock would have reversed many of the Thatcherite reforms and PM Heseltine would have likely been a return to Heathism. There would also have been no Blair Labour leadership or premiership had Kinnock won in 1992 as Labour would not have needed to go further to New Labour to win again