On the betting markets punters make it a 67% chance that Hancock will still be in his job on July 1
On the betting markets punters make it a 67% chance that Hancock will still be in his job on July 1 – politicalbetting.com
The above chart if from the Smarkets betting exchange and as can be seen there is not a lot of liquidity at the moment though you can see this one gathering momentum with a lot of switching from one to the other.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
One of a recent string of unfortunate failures.
I blame outside agitators.
And he may find tomorrow's papers make his resignation inevitable, though of course I am speculating
We might have all laughed at Michael Crick running around streets shouting at people, but realistically we learned diddly squat.
She is probably a wonderful person, I have no axe to grind here. but in the few clips I've seen of her, she is not a 'robust' candidate, dos not seem to do 'political confutation' well, and did not come across well in the hustings. Perhaps standing in a safe seat at a GE and we would not notice, and possibly has a lot of offer HoC, I don't know. But, I get the feeling she was adopted by Lab, because of who her sister was, and I have empathy for that chose and the people making it, but It does not look like a good chose at the moment.
Very dispiriting. SNP loudmouth picking fights with Jenrick and Alistair Stewart. Stewart losing his cool.
Hearing very little from Emily Thornberry who is interesting and reflective, but getting drowned out in a tsunami of testosterone.
Whatever the case Hancock's credibility is crippled.
As is any chance of restrictions not going on 19/07.
If one player has got it, if they are going to pass it on, they will have done already.
I can see why she’d want to avoid anyone who would shout at her, or misrepresent what she said, but this guy doesn’t seem to fit into those categories.
If a certain level is reached nobody becomes willing to publicly defend the person in difficulty.
If a higher level is reached people begin to think that a resignation is likely and so hurry to jump on the bandwagon.
https://mobile.twitter.com/ShakeelAfsar8
I feel like this could be increasingly common in more constituencies unless we get a lot smarter about immigration and integration policy, rather than taking a Rotherham "let's not upset community relations" approach.
I think the logic was she was absolutely everything the Labour's Hartlepool candidate wasn't.
And were it not for GG being such a ..... I thought she had a decent chance of getting elected.
Given what subsequently happened Boris might regret not sacking Dom.
I can see why people are confused. On many matters of policy this government are easy to push around, as Rashford has shown, and as Tory MPs who have loyally defended the government line have found to their embarrassment. But for the Johnson Ministry, the ideology pretty much doesn't matter, so being pushed around on details of policy doesn't bother them.
What matters is holding office, and not being held responsible for anything. Hancock's resignation would strike at the very core of the way in which the Johnson Ministry operates.
Hopefully he comes nowhere, but he’s probably already done enough to hand the seat to the Tories.
The informal and customary ways in which we used to be able to hold our politicians to account have now been completely broken by Boris Johnson's shamelessness.
It would be interesting to get his take on what is happening on B&S
From that clip, I fear for Kim. She looked out of her depth.
GG looked every bit the cunning wolf, waiting to devour her alive.
He seems most exercised about Kashmir, Palestine, RSE in schools. He hates Labour, suggests he’s starting his own political party.
With the exception of the Sunni Muslim issues, he’s an old school socially conservative Tory.
“Entrepreneur😎|Private Landlord| Real Estate 🏡🏠🏢 | | Property Developer”
He's been quiet about it if he has supported her
The noises emanating from Government (for what they're worth, which isn't much I grant you) suggest that this may be broadly correct, although mask compulsion on public transport might also be scrapped. OTOH I think that my employer is going to keep plodding along with its Covid mitigations for a good while longer, and that many others will be reluctant to let go of the security blanket.
I don't know how long mass testing is going to continue for, but if we're going to get back to normal then it's going to need to be scaled back at some point in the not-too-distant future, and/or isolation rules for the close contacts of cases are going to need to be relaxed. In particular, the panic flapping over cases identified in schools will have to be toned down, or we'll be straight back into classes and whole year groups doing the remote learning hokey-cokey in September.
But, since it didn't involve personally crossing the PM, Hancock is safe.
Ether way he should be there, it comes across as if he has left her alone to fight it out.
She was challenged in the street by someone. Something that will happen to politicians across the divide in all elections. An experienced, or savvy, campaigner would be able to shut it down quite Easily.
She showed her jnexperience and lack of political nous.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j5u1skEoqLs
He is witty and charming. He is very articulate and intelligent. And he has the all the by-election experience in the world.
Tis a pity he's a shit.
This is going exponential isn't it.
noneoftheabove thinks it was sixty odd and you go for all of them.
How many would that be ? 250+ ? 300+ ?
There is no national health system, it is run by the regions, but in Stockholm for example you must pay 100 SEK (about £8.50) per night to stay in a hospital, to cover food, cleaning, laundry, heating etc.
No, you do not pay up front. Because everyone has a personal number it is piss easy to identify everyone and send them an invoice.
That in most private firms would be a sackable offence.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/stories-57609164
He was encouraging a pile on to the teacher;
https://twitter.com/ShakeelAfsar8/status/1375114642339545097
I don’t think there’s a need to over complicate this one - he told us not to kiss & hug our families at Christmas, he banned people from visiting dying loved ones, millions of sacrifices have been made and he has been caught at it with another mans wife, or more importantly risking disease with a contact from another household by breaking his own rules.
O-U-T spells out
https://media.defense.gov/2021/Jun/25/2002749916/-1/-1/1/DEPUTY-SECRETARY-OF-DEFENSE-MEMORANDUM-ON-UNIDENTIFIED-AERIAL-PHENOMENA-ASSESSMENTS.PDF
Following yesterday’s UAP report to Congress, the senior leadership of the US military has now received a new set of instructions. It underlines that the UAP issue is a critical one for operational security and that this should not just be the the responsibility of the Navy to engage with but all branches of the military (the Air Force and CIA have thus far refused to cooperate with the work of the UAP Taskforce).
Basically Harry Reid’s $22m temporary ufo skunkworks has got the scale and permanence of the US Executive behind it. The memo orders the synchronisation of UAP data collection, reporting and analysis across all branches.
It will be under the purview of the Chair of the Joint Chiefs (among others), with the goal of ensuring that any UAP activity is escalated within two weeks of occurrence.
Obama has said he asked to see the ufo files when he came to office and was shown nothing. Despite the Nimitz incident taking place 4 years before his inauguration. The UAP Taskforce report refers to “regular anecdotes” that were not formally recorded. Sounds to me like the White House now wants to firmly take the reigns on this and get as much data as it can. The report bemoaned that not only had stigma hampered data collection, but that the detecting equipment was not designed with capturing UFO’s in mind. So as well additional staffing for the taskforce, I think this instruction implies the construction or procurement of new UAP/USP observation capabilities for all branches of the military too.
Crucially, this new unit is not being formed in the shadows but in the open. There will therefore be an expectation that it regularly reports it’s activities and findings to Congress.
This weekend feels like an important waypoint to an historic Friday night Presidential press conference in the not too distant future.
The coincidence is spooky.
It is a principle that I try to follow to not call for sackings, or to accuse individuals of racism etc. I am more interested in the systemic than the individual people in politics. What's the point of ditching Hancock to just replace him with another yes-man from the Chumocracy?
Denmark 1.98 / 1.99
Draw 3.3 / 3.35
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/football/uefa-euro-2020/wales-v-denmark-betting-30637354
@IsabelOakeshott
·
1h
Here’s how the Freedom March crowds look from the sky. We are hovering above Oxford St, aerial footage courtesy of
@reformparty_uk
https://twitter.com/IsabelOakeshott/status/1408763545756618755
https://twitter.com/currently/status/1408632750958129152
When I point out occasionally that I look for consistency between a politician's life and their beliefs I usually get blanked. eg Politician on their own in a huge house complaining about homelessness, and showing no willingness to convert it into flats.
Yet for some it has suddenly become very very important
On the 'lie to your spouse, lie to the public' thing, I think that is an argument for every generation. When it is prominent, it may mean for one thing that the opposition are weak on policy arguments.
The last time it curt through was with John Major, and that was after the media (?) had created a misinterpretation of what he actually meant by "Back to Basics".
The campaign was intended as a nostalgic appeal to traditional values such as "neighbourliness, decency, courtesy". It was often interpreted as a campaign for socially conservative causes such as promoting the traditional family, though Major denied this.
https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3138819/china-hits-out-western-colonialism-it-backs-argentinas-claim
Think it is time for us to reverse Cameron's cowardice over Tibet. And recognize democratic Taiwan while we are at it.
The tricky thing for him is wether to stay with the family or choose to pack a bag and go to his other love.