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“Probability factor of one to one. We have normality. I repeat: we have normality. Anything you stil

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  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536

    The view from ConHome re the marriage of Boris and Carrie (and I do not normally read ConHome)

    Our point is a broader one. Johnson and Symonds have done what many people nowadays do. They lived openly and unashamedly together, and had a child, before they got married.

    No previous Prime Minister had behaved quite like that, but by contemporary standards, what they did is conventional.

    Lloyd George and the Duke of Grafton both lived quite openly with their mistresses while in No. 10. And Lloyd George did eventually marry Frances Stevenson (Grafton didn’t marry Nancy Parsons, but that’s another story).

    So I’m not quite sure I agree with that statement.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,675

    This is my problem with the media and Sky

    'Susan Michie, a professor of health psychology at University College London who sits on government advisory group Scientific Pandemic Insights Group on Behaviours (SPI-B)​, told Sky News: "We're on a knife-edge.

    "We could go either way with this new variant.

    "Either it could run away as it did before Christmas, which would be extremely serious and we'd have to have more restrictions, or potentially it could be contained. But that does mean everybody needs to be cautious right now.'

    Introduced as a member of Sage when she is in fact in Independent Sage, a communist and political activist.

    The media need to be part of the public enquiry, as they have been abysmal in informing in a fair and unbiased way

    Her comment doesn't sound especially political, regardless of her communism. It's a pity to view people purely by their politics.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255

    The Open University has demonstrated that distance learning degree education is viable for decades. Well before today's technology was around, and you had to tune in to BBC2 at 7:30 on a Sunday morning for a lecture.

    These days the student experience is much richer than back in the 70s. For non-practical degrees it delivers everything that is needed educationally. (Drunkenness and fornication are another matter.)
    Isn't that what field schools are for? :)
  • Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 5,045
    Part of me wonders if we’re simply having big issues in progressively amending a system that was originally intended for either training the children of the middle classes and working classes by rote to be able to be productive in the factories and with the looms (and allowed them to help out in the fields for harvest) mashed with the system that provided the children of the upper classes to be sent away from their parents (at boarding school and later university) and coincidentally get educated in the Classics to be able to hold up their end in a conversation on Greek literature later.

    We thus hold up the Classics as “true education”, see the more practical stuff as “lesser” education, and aim to teach our kids the subjects that were seen as important when we were kids, which were seen as important by the generation above us because they were taught them when they were kids, who were taught those because... etc.

    And all changes have to fit in the original framework that was designed for that.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924

    And she speaks on behalf of Independent Sage which has an agenda

    This confusion just has to be addressed for the future as Sage advice to HMG cannot be leaked and argued against by the same members who turn up in the misleadingly named Independent Sage

    The very use of Independent Sage should be prohibited to be fair
    She is a member of SAGE and Sky introduced her as a member of SAGE


    Its a disgrace!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    edited May 2021
    eek said:

    Only if the apprenticeships are available - round here they just don't exist

    Apprenticeships are great if you live near a city (especially a big one). If you live in a Red Wall town the opportunities aren't there.

    And remember you live at the end of a tube line so your world is very different to other parts of the UK.
    If you live in a Red Wall town most of the jobs will probably be in basic retail, fastfood or delivery or warehouses or callcentres now, given the closure of so many mines and factories.

    So not only are there not as many apprenticeships there, there are not as many skilled jobs either.

    The Red Wall voters who own their own houses and now vote Tory will often have commuted from a nearby city
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029

    Her comment doesn't sound especially political, regardless of her communism. It's a pity to view people purely by their politics.
    To be honest Nick and I do like your contributions, I think that is rather naive
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518

    This is my problem with the media and Sky

    'Susan Michie, a professor of health psychology at University College London who sits on government advisory group Scientific Pandemic Insights Group on Behaviours (SPI-B)​, told Sky News: "We're on a knife-edge.

    "We could go either way with this new variant.

    "Either it could run away as it did before Christmas, which would be extremely serious and we'd have to have more restrictions, or potentially it could be contained. But that does mean everybody needs to be cautious right now.'

    Introduced as a member of Sage when she is in fact in Independent Sage, a communist and political activist.

    The media need to be part of the public enquiry, as they have been abysmal in informing in a fair and unbiased way

    And zero even consideration of the third possibility:

    3) it will run away, won't be contained, but won't lead to levels of serious illness that remotely justify further restrictions.

    I wish somebody would hit these scientists from a different angle. If Covid had never happened, but there was evidence that we were likely to have a 'bad' flu season this year (say 10k deaths?). Would it be necessary to introduce widespread restrictions about the country? Given how effective we have discovered such restrictions can be...?

  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,319
    edited May 2021
    Cicero said:



    Well quite... But we are the fools if we vote for fools.

    Meanwhile in Northern Ireland... https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-northern-ireland-57274974?fbclid=IwAR1mBKg91vdyAiSFDQZKw8d5f__JqqYwb1fjxFDBM8Zri6iQrsceMCjJIZQ

    So you dont need to speak another language to pass the exam in it. No wonder we got the cringe of Amanda Holden not knowing the difference between French and Dutch at Eurovision.

    Ignorance is not bliss, it is stupid.

    This must be cost related as the speaking part of A/AS level is the most expensive and time consuming exam component for which to prepare students to a high level. It's also expensive to invigilate and examine.

    At my French A-Level oral I was invited to discuss the last book I'd read. Unfortunately for me and the examiner I didn't have the wit to lie and discuss something simple so I had to labour through an analysis of Tropic of Cancer.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492
    alex_ said:

    And on top of this, it is worth noting that probably the only reason there is a focus on this in the UK is because of the continued of high level of asymptomatic testing we are doing. This "problem" would simply be undetectable if we were relying on on real world observations of level of illness. So if there really isn't a problem, then the level of testing is potentially paralysing in itself. I'm sure that there are many other countries, in Europe or elsewhere who are in no different a situation in respect of this "variant", but aren't really looking for it where it is isn't impacting on the things that matter (hospital resourcing etc). And are not having kittens about it because they've just taken a decision to move on...
    I would agree with that, but go further, its time to scale down the mass testing, at least of the asymmetric, abandoned track and trace, its never worked properly, and end all restrictions. just keep vaccinating as farst as possible.

    if individuals wish to restrain form meeting friends until they have all had there second does plus 2 weeks, fine,
    if some company like cinemas wish to only allow in fully vaccinated people, fine, its a privet business.

    If there is going to be a bump in numbers of unvaccinated needing hospital treatment, better to get it out the way now in the summer, while there is capacity in the hospitals, not wait till the winter when contagion of all 'respiratory viral infections' in higher and there may be even worse variant out there.

    We, well the government have borrowed and spent so much, a few more billion may not seem much, but that is the wrong way to look at it, borrowing money to spend on a 'nice to have' when you are close to your credit limit, is a lot more irresponsible than when you are not.

    And yes I know this has been more or less my position for 15 months or so now, but with each additional vaccine the arguments are becoming increasingly overweening IMO.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,329

    Her comment doesn't sound especially political, regardless of her communism. It's a pity to view people purely by their politics.
    Quite.
    BJ seems to be fine with members of the Revolutionary Communist Party.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    IshmaelZ said:

    In defence of Latin, it was a classicist will got the first correct answer to the maths/logic problem upthread
    Possibly because classicists wake up earlier on a bank holiday Monday?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    ydoethur said:

    Lloyd George and the Duke of Grafton both lived quite openly with their mistresses while in No. 10. And Lloyd George did eventually marry Frances Stevenson (Grafton didn’t marry Nancy Parsons, but that’s another story).

    So I’m not quite sure I agree with that statement.
    I should say my youngest son has lived with his partner, now fiancée, for 12 years openly and have two wonderful children 9 and 7

    They would have been married last August but covid cancelled their wedding which has been arranged for the 31st July, again with just 30 present at the ceremony at the local Parish Church
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029

    She is a member of SAGE and Sky introduced her as a member of SAGE


    Its a disgrace!
    Read this from Wiki

    In 2009, Michie became a member of the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) and convened its subgroup, the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Behaviour group.In 2020, Michie became a participant in the Covid-19 SAGE's Scientific Pandemic Insights group on Behaviour (SPI-B)[12] and participates in SAGE.

    She also sits on the Independent SAGE committee, chaired by Sir David King. She frequently contributes to national news media during the Covid-19 pandemic as an expert in behaviour change.[13][14][15][16][17]

    She sits on Independent Sage
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,509
    edited May 2021
    @Richard_Tyndall, I hadn't read your article prior to my previous posts in reply to others. Have now read it and find it fascinating. Not something I had ever thought about, but I think it seems very sound. It will never get implented however. Far too radical. I think it would have been useful for me.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,329
    Dura_Ace said:

    This must be cost related as the speaking part of A/AS level is the most expensive and time consuming exam component for which to prepare students to a high level. It's also expensive to invigilate and examine.

    At my French A-Level oral I was invited to discuss the last book I'd read. Unfortunately for me and the examiner I didn't have the wit to lie and discuss something simple so I had to labour through an analysis of Tropic of Cancer.
    Hope you managed to include some hot sex.
    Though I have to confess I found Miller’s sex pretty unhot, even as a horny 16 year old.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038

    I should say my youngest son has lived with his partner, now fiancée, for 12 years openly and have two wonderful children 9 and 7

    They would have been married last August but covid cancelled their wedding which has been arranged for the 31st July, again with just 30 present at the ceremony at the local Parish Church
    Congratulations to them both BigG, as mentioned before I am also getting married in the middle of next month, again with just 30 but a livestream in Oxford with a slightly bigger celebration in Epping in early July
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924

    Her comment doesn't sound especially political, regardless of her communism. It's a pity to view people purely by their politics.
    BigG presumably thinks her politics means she shouldnt be on SAGE

    The fact IS she is on SAGE for her expertise on behaviour.

    Ignore BigG listen to experts
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    BigRich said:

    I would agree with that, but go further, its time to scale down the mass testing, at least of the asymmetric, abandoned track and trace, its never worked properly, and end all restrictions. just keep vaccinating as farst as possible.

    if individuals wish to restrain form meeting friends until they have all had there second does plus 2 weeks, fine,
    if some company like cinemas wish to only allow in fully vaccinated people, fine, its a privet business.

    If there is going to be a bump in numbers of unvaccinated needing hospital treatment, better to get it out the way now in the summer, while there is capacity in the hospitals, not wait till the winter when contagion of all 'respiratory viral infections' in higher and there may be even worse variant out there.

    We, well the government have borrowed and spent so much, a few more billion may not seem much, but that is the wrong way to look at it, borrowing money to spend on a 'nice to have' when you are close to your credit limit, is a lot more irresponsible than when you are not.

    And yes I know this has been more or less my position for 15 months or so now, but with each additional vaccine the arguments are becoming increasingly overweening IMO.
    The original quote i put in this chain has also introduced a new argument. It is that because of the vaccines the progress of the effect on hospitals is going to materialise VERY slowly. So because it's moving so slowly there's no way we can effectively assess its impact at this time. So best leave it a few weeks (months...) until we know.

    See you all next March!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    IshmaelZ said:

    In defence of Latin, it was a classicist will got the first correct answer to the maths/logic problem upthread
    We also have a PM now who studied classics, not PPE
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536
    HYUFD said:

    If you live in a Red Wall town most of the jobs will probably be in basic retail, fastfood or delivery or warehouses or callcentres now, given the closure of so many mines and factories.

    So not only are there not as many apprenticeships there, there are not as many skilled jobs either.

    The Red Wall voters who own their own houses and now vote Tory will often have commuted from a nearby city
    Well, that’s not true of say, Stoke/Newcastle. The major businesses there include:

    General Electric
    Goodwin Steel Castings
    Jaguar Land Rover
    JCB
    Michelin
    AstraZeneca
    Morrisons Site machinery
    Pirelli

    Plus, of course, two universities.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    edited May 2021
    ydoethur said:

    Well, that’s not true of say, Stoke/Newcastle. The major businesses there include:

    General Electric
    Goodwin Steel Castings
    Jaguar Land Rover
    JCB
    Michelin
    AstraZeneca
    Morrisons Site machinery
    Pirelli

    Plus, of course, two universities.
    Stoke and Newcastle are both cities not towns, Red Wall Blyth Valley for example which the Tories won in 2019 is in the Newcastle commuter belt
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536

    BigG presumably thinks her politics means she shouldnt be on SAGE

    The fact IS she is on SAGE for her expertise on behaviour.

    Ignore BigG listen to experts
    There is a very good argument she should not be on SAGE, which is a government advisory body, and Independent SAGE, which is an independent pressure group with an increasingly radical agenda.

    There should be consideration of this in the public inquiry as well.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    alex_ said:

    And zero even consideration of the third possibility:

    3) it will run away, won't be contained, but won't lead to levels of serious illness that remotely justify further restrictions.

    I wish somebody would hit these scientists from a different angle. If Covid had never happened, but there was evidence that we were likely to have a 'bad' flu season this year (say 10k deaths?). Would it be necessary to introduce widespread restrictions about the country? Given how effective we have discovered such restrictions can be...?

    That is the logical end point to all of this. Masks in supermarkets and public transport in winter will be very tricky to unwind. Hopefully if Khan tries to mandate masks on TfL the Govt. will use all their powers to tell him where to go, and I personally will not be shopping or visiting anywhere that tries to enforce masks/social distancing/sign ins after the 21st of June.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536
    HYUFD said:

    Stoke and Newcastle are both cities not towns
    Newcastle under Lyme is most definitely a town.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924

    Read this from Wiki

    In 2009, Michie became a member of the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) and convened its subgroup, the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Behaviour group.In 2020, Michie became a participant in the Covid-19 SAGE's Scientific Pandemic Insights group on Behaviour (SPI-B)[12] and participates in SAGE.

    She also sits on the Independent SAGE committee, chaired by Sir David King. She frequently contributes to national news media during the Covid-19 pandemic as an expert in behaviour change.[13][14][15][16][17]

    She sits on Independent Sage
    She is a member of Sage

    Was introduced as such

    The fact you say she is a communist is completely irrelevant

    You say she sits on independent Sage you missed out the word also between she and sits.

    She is an appropriate expert for Sky to interview get over it

  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    ydoethur said:

    There is a very good argument she should not be on SAGE, which is a government advisory body, and Independent SAGE, which is an independent pressure group with an increasingly radical agenda.

    There should be consideration of this in the public inquiry as well.
    If she is on SAGE for her expertise on behaviour, why is she increasingly a go to person for commenting on expected implications of the variant on progress of the pandemic and the implications of the loosening or otherwise of restrictions?

    It appears that for most of the media, all members of SAGE (or "Independent SAGE") are equal, regardless of their specialisations.

    As a behaviour expert i wonder what her views are of public response to continuation of restrictions?
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,011
    edited May 2021
    Deleted
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    ydoethur said:

    Newcastle under Lyme is most definitely a town.
    And in the Stoke commuter belt
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    edited May 2021
    HYUFD said:

    Congratulations to them both BigG, as mentioned before I am also getting married in the middle of next month, again with just 30 but a livestream in Oxford with a slightly bigger celebration in Epping in early July
    I am so delighted for you @HYUFD and it does seem the Church has indicated they may be able to allow upto 50, depending on advice nearer the time

    They have hired a Marquee that can already accommodate 50, but they hope that may be increased to 75, but far less than the 150 hoped for

    We live in surreal times and part of my continuing questioning of the scientists and media's advice is that it has to be correct, not as a result of a convoluted political agenda and a genuine debate with alternative views is needed.

    Mind you, the weather has been fantastic and with an 8 mile queue into North Wales, largely from the North West of England last Friday, we should know soon enough the consequences or lack of them

    I would just say I am only interested in hospital numbers, vaccine status and deaths together with vaccination numbers

    The rest is irrelevant
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536
    HYUFD said:

    And in the Stoke commuter belt
    Ummmmmm...you really don’t know much about Staffordshire, do you?
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    Boris Johnson is politically canny, once an issue holds his attention. It would be a surprise to me if he went ahead and got married this weekend, if he was seriously considering delaying the end of restrictions in June.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    On the subject of oral exams for languages: it does seem to be really throwing the baby out with the bathwater. Reading the article it is being presented as a temporary measure, but I’ve seen too many temporary measures become permanent to trust that.
    A qualification in a language implies a basic ability to communicate, and if you can’t at least ask for directions and then understand the answer or ask for something in a shop then I’m not sure what the point of two or three years of education on that subject is for.
    Perhaps I’m a bit bitter about this because in the school I teach in languages get significantly more time in the curriculum than anything else apart from English (who have to teach two GCSEs: pro rata they get the least), and Maths.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    And she speaks on behalf of Independent Sage which has an agenda

    This confusion just has to be addressed for the future as Sage advice to HMG cannot be leaked and argued against by the same members who turn up in the misleadingly named Independent Sage

    The very use of Independent Sage should be prohibited to be fair
    And those actually advising the government shouldn’t be freelancing on 24 hour news. Should be the same rules that apply to SpAds.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029

    BigG presumably thinks her politics means she shouldnt be on SAGE

    The fact IS she is on SAGE for her expertise on behaviour.

    Ignore BigG listen to experts
    I only care that she is introduced correctly, and she sits on Independent Sage and is one of their spokespersons

    But do not let facts get in your way
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    @Leon
    I was thinking a bit more about the motivations of all the senior figures in the US security establishment with their “we don’t understand how they work, don’t know what they are and urgently need to find out”.

    This would be quite a strange thing to say if they really did believe the objects might be Russian or Chinese. Quite an amateurish tell to your adversaries in fact. Ergo, none of them believe for a minute that they are foreign craft. Which leaves either a US deep state programme they want regulated, or the other thing.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    ydoethur said:

    There is a very good argument she should not be on SAGE, which is a government advisory body, and Independent SAGE, which is an independent pressure group with an increasingly radical agenda.

    There should be consideration of this in the public inquiry as well.
    I absolutely agree that this has to form part of the enquiry together with the role of the media
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,800
    edited May 2021
    HYUFD said:

    We also have a PM now who studied classics, not PPE
    My best and favourite subject at school, Latin. Can't say I've used it much since but I don't think that's the point of it. Or rather that IS the point of it. It's the epitome of an "academic" subject, completely untainted by anything vocational or practical or in any way grubby like that. It's pure and you feel pure when you study it.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    edited May 2021
    ydoethur said:

    Ummmmmm...you really don’t know much about Staffordshire, do you?
    Newcastle under Lyme is less than 10 minutes from Stoke by car, as I said most of the highest skilled workers in Newcastle under Lyme will work in Stoke or Birmingham ie they will commute to and from cities in the region.

    The jobs in Newcastle under Lyme itself will largely be basic retail, hospitality and warehouse and delivery jobs

  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    kinabalu said:

    My best and favourite subject at school, Latin. Can't say I've used it much since but I don't think that's the point of it. Or rather that IS the point of it. It's the epitome of an "academic" subject, completely untainted by anything vocational or practical or in any way grubby like that. It's pure and you feel pure when you study it.
    Ask an historian of the medieval period if a knowledge of Latin is “untainted by anything practical”.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,516
    HYUFD said:

    And in the Stoke commuter belt
    Not everyone is a commuter to cities.

    In fact there are people who live in cities who commute out to towns.

    Take a look on google earth and you will see business parks and industrial estates circling towns and running alongside motorways.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,675
    eek said:



    For Chesham and Amersham 2 guaranteed LD votes have been lost as my parents didn't sort out postal votes in time.

    And I expect that will be true for a lot of people who will be heading away and not thinking about such things...

    As for your actual post - sorry but degrees are usually fairly specific nowadays - the era of the degree as provider of an overall education died out in the 18th century.

    Yes and no. I disliked doing my PhD (it was just "I've started so I'll finish" determination) and am sure that the findings (on point-set topology) were useless, but it did teach me logical analysis which has been useful all my life. I imagine a lot of degrees are like that - as you say, pretty specific, but also teaching a way of thinking.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038

    I am so delighted for you @HYUFD and it does seem the Church has indicated they may be able to allow upto 50, depending on advice nearer the time

    They have hired a Marquee that can already accommodate 50, but they hope that may be increased to 75, but far less than the 150 hoped for

    We live in surreal times and part of my continuing questioning of the scientists and media's advice is that it has to be correct, not as a result of a convoluted political agenda and a genuine debate with alternative views is needed.

    Mind you, the weather has been fantastic and with an 8 mile queue into North Wales, largely from the North West of England last Friday, we should know soon enough the consequences or lack of them

    I would just say I am only interested in hospital numbers, vaccine status and deaths together with vaccination numbers

    The rest is irrelevant
    I agree BigG, vaccination numbers and hospital numbers are key in terms of full reopening.

    I wish them both a very happy wedding day
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038

    Not everyone is a commuter to cities.

    In fact there are people who live in cities who commute out to towns.

    Take a look on google earth and you will see business parks and industrial estates circling towns and running alongside motorways.
    There are a few but the main trend in commuting is towns to cities and where there is commuting from cities it will be as you say largely to business parks and industrial estates outside of the town rather than to work in the town itself
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536

    Ask an historian of the medieval period if a knowledge of Latin is “untainted by anything practical”.
    They would agree, as Medieval Latin is somewhat different from Classical Latin.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    HYUFD said:

    There are a few but the main trend in commuting is towns to cities and where there is commuting from cities it will be as you say largely to business parks and industrial estates outside of the town rather than to work in the town itself
    I live in a town. We have teachers who commute in from such small rural hamlets as Oxford and London...
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    ydoethur said:

    They would agree, as Medieval Latin is somewhat different from Classical Latin.
    :(

    My fault for opining on something outside my experience.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536
    HYUFD said:

    Newcastle under Lyme is less than 10 minutes from Stoke by car, as I said most of the highest skilled workers in Newcastle under Lyme will work in Stoke or Birmingham ie they will commute to and from cities in the region.

    The jobs in Newcastle under Lyme itself will largely be basic retail, hospitality and warehouse and delivery jobs

    No they are not. If anything it’s the other way around. There are huge numbers of high end jobs in manufacturing and of course academia in Newcastle. As there are in Uttoxeter, Rocester, etc.

    Newcastle under Lyme is absolutely not a dormitory town for Stoke. No way on Earth.

    You’re just projecting your prejudices onto a map. If the Tories want to hold these new seats they’re winning, high time and long overdue they learned something about them.

    Here’s another point - lots of those working in industry are drifting away from Labour, as they’re no longer unionised and they’re quite suspicious of immigration undercutting their wages (I see that in Cannock and Brownhills, which are both dominated by manufacturing). Don’t assume it’s all about white collar workers commuting from leafy small towns (indeed, with a population of 75,000 Newcastle under Lyme is larger than several cities).
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,479


    Not everyone is a commuter to cities.

    In fact there are people who live in cities who commute out to towns.

    Take a look on google earth and you will see business parks and industrial estates circling towns and running alongside motorways.

    Indeed and there are those such as me who commute across cities from one side to the other. The assumption everyone travels to work in the centre is also false.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,516
    HYUFD said:

    There are a few but the main trend in commuting is towns to cities and where there is commuting from cities it will be as you say largely to business parks and industrial estates outside of the town rather than to work in the town itself
    Whether the employment takes place in a town centre or in an industrial estate two miles outside it the jobs are still in the town.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    edited May 2021

    I live in a town. We have teachers who commute in from such small rural hamlets as Oxford and London...
    Teaching, especially secondary A Level teaching of course one of the professions I originally said you still needed a degree for anyway.

    Even the smallest town will always tend to have had a few university educated professionals even before the expansion of the universities eg teachers, doctors and the vicar
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,536
    I think Newcastle-under-Lyme did well in its PB Tory selection. :lol:
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    HYUFD said:

    Teaching, especially secondary A Level teaching of course one of the professions I originally said you still needed a degree for anyway.

    Even the smallest town will always tend to have had a few university educated professionals even before the expansion of the universities eg teachers, doctors and the vicar
    We’ve gone on with this so far I’ve now forgotten what your original point was: can you remind me?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    edited May 2021
    ydoethur said:

    No they are not. If anything it’s the other way around. There are huge numbers of high end jobs in manufacturing and of course academia in Newcastle. As there are in Uttoxeter, Rocester, etc.

    Newcastle under Lyme is absolutely not a dormitory town for Stoke. No way on Earth.

    You’re just projecting your prejudices onto a map. If the Tories want to hold these new seats they’re winning, high time and long overdue they learned something about them.

    Here’s another point - lots of those working in industry are drifting away from Labour, as they’re no longer unionised and they’re quite suspicious of immigration undercutting their wages (I see that in Cannock and Brownhills, which are both dominated by manufacturing). Don’t assume it’s all about white collar workers commuting from leafy small towns (indeed, with a population of 75,000 Newcastle under Lyme is larger than several cities).
    There is Keele University which is near Newcastle under Lyme though not actually in it.

    Newcastle under Lyme may well have a few factories too because of its size, in which case that goes to refute eek's point that there are no high skilled jobs or apprenticeships in Red Wall towns.

    Though that is less likely to be the case in smaller Red Wall towns
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,509

    :(

    My fault for opining on something outside my experience.
    As if we don't all do it. In fact I would suggest it is the one level of expertise we all share here.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,536
    edited May 2021
    Sky News talking about the situation in Israel. I did laugh when the news reader suggested to her guest that Israel’s form of democracy is dysfunctional.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038

    We’ve gone on with this so far I’ve now forgotten what your original point was: can you remind me?
    That the only jobs which really needed a degree were academia, secondary school teaching (for A level), medicine, the senior civil service and the clergy and the Bar and judiciary (though even the Bar I later conceded could be done through a vocational Bar course).
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,516
    England vaccinations:

    First dose 99,213
    Second dose 179,424
    Total doses 278,637

    A bit down on last Sunday but significantly better than the two previous bank holiday Sundays.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,800
    Chameleon said:

    That is the logical end point to all of this. Masks in supermarkets and public transport in winter will be very tricky to unwind. Hopefully if Khan tries to mandate masks on TfL the Govt. will use all their powers to tell him where to go, and I personally will not be shopping or visiting anywhere that tries to enforce masks/social distancing/sign ins after the 21st of June.
    I can't see June 21st being reneged on in any serious way. I expect a behavioural legacy of mask wearing and distancing to persist - this is inevitable - but not mandated by law. Maybe in some small pockets of activity for particular reasons but not widely.

    There's a big political dividend in "Freedom Day delivered on time and on budget" and "Good old Boris, he's got us through this and now we're there, just like he said." They won't be throwing this away. The dividend will be all the greater given the noises off about it "being on a knife edge." It generates a real sense of occasion around the June 14th announcement. Much tension and trepidation, therefore maximum joy and relief when Johnson drops the F bomb.

    I reckon the decision is made and only something truly horrid and unexpected could derail it. So although it wouldn't bother me too much if there were a delay, I'll be amazed if there is.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038

    Whether the employment takes place in a town centre or in an industrial estate two miles outside it the jobs are still in the town.
    High skilled jobs in the town itself will bring demand for high street shops and cafes etc, high skilled jobs in an industrial estate outside the town however will tend to have on site cafes
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    HYUFD said:

    That the only jobs which really needed a degree were academia, secondary school teaching (for A level), medicine, the senior civil service and the clergy and the Bar and judiciary (though even the Bar I later conceded could be done through a vocational Bar course).
    Thanks.

    There are a lot of people in science and engineering who would disagree with you. In fact in many research jobs (which are more often than not outside academia) you need more then just a first degree.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,171
    tlg86 said:

    I think Newcastle-under-Lyme did well in its PB Tory selection. :lol:

    Has he been back since? Did the whips warn him off or is he trying to make us think that being an MP is a full-time job?
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    edited May 2021
    HYUFD said:

    There is Keele University which is near Newcastle under Lyme though not actually in it.

    Newcastle under Lyme may well have a few factories too because of its size, in which case that goes to refute eek's point that there are no high skilled jobs or apprenticeships in Red Wall towns.

    Though that is less likely to be the case in smaller Red Wall towns
    So basically you don’t know anything about the place, haven’t even taken a few minutes to attempt a quick bluffers guide using google/wiki, have commented in full knowledge of that fact, but feel confident enough to self-declare that you have won whatever argument you were having anyway.

    At least 50% of such seem to result in you using eventually ending up in a diametrically opposed position in which you started but somehow convincing yourself that the other person has for some reason conversely moved towards your original misinformed position.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,800

    Ask an historian of the medieval period if a knowledge of Latin is “untainted by anything practical”.
    Exactly. It has great utility inside the ivory tower. That's the charm. I'm a big fan.
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794

    King Cole, at school I think we only got as far as brackets first, otherwise left to right.

    I was certainly taught to use bodmas in school circa 1974 so not a new thing....our O stood for of though as in 90% of x
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    ydoethur said:

    They would agree, as Medieval Latin is somewhat different from Classical Latin.
    Not so different that one is no help with another. It helps that lots of medieval Latin is consciously trying to sound like Cicero or at least Aquinas.
  • SandraMcSandraMc Posts: 727
    ydoethur said:

    Lloyd George and the Duke of Grafton both lived quite openly with their mistresses while in No. 10. And Lloyd George did eventually marry Frances Stevenson (Grafton didn’t marry Nancy Parsons, but that’s another story).

    So I’m not quite sure I agree with that statement.
    My issue with Boris is not that he lived with his girlfriend before they married or had a child out of wedlock but that he treated his former wife, the mother of 4 of his children, like shit. If your own daughter describes you as a "selfish bastard", the chance is that you are one.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536
    IshmaelZ said:

    Not so different that one is no help with another. It helps that lots of medieval Latin is consciously trying to sound like Cicero or at least Aquinas.
    True, although my personal experience is that it’s like the difference between modern English and later Middle English.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536
    SandraMc said:

    My issue with Boris is not that he lived with his girlfriend before they married or had a child out of wedlock but that he treated his former wife, the mother of 4 of his children, like shit. If your own daughter describes you as a "selfish bastard", the chance is that you are one.
    Very like Lloyd George and Grafton then. Heck, Grafton started his affair because his wife was pregnant. How’s that for being a rat?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038

    Thanks.

    There are a lot of people in science and engineering who would disagree with you. In fact in many research jobs (which are more often than not outside academia) you need more then just a first degree.
    As I also said later I included research jobs too as they were similar to academia in some respects anyway
  • ClippPClippP Posts: 1,962

    Yes and no. I disliked doing my PhD (it was just "I've started so I'll finish" determination) and am sure that the findings (on point-set topology) were useless, but it did teach me logical analysis which has been useful all my life. I imagine a lot of degrees are like that - as you say, pretty specific, but also teaching a way of thinking.
    And organising material, Mr Palmer, and expressing oneself clearly in English and a lot more besides. And then trying to make sense of what it all means.

    All of this ought to be somewhere in a first degree too.
  • Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,303
    HYUFD said:

    As I also said later I included research jobs too as they were similar to academia in some respects anyway
    Fair enough.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    alex_ said:

    So basically you don’t know anything about the place, haven’t even taken a few minutes to attempt a quick bluffers guide using google/wiki, have commented in full knowledge of that fact, but feel confident enough to self-declare that you have won whatever argument you were having anyway.

    At least 50% of such seem to result in you using eventually ending up in a diametrically opposed position in which you started but somehow convincing yourself that the other person has for some reason conversely moved towards your original misinformed position.
    No, my position remains exactly the same as it originally was in terms of the jobs for which a degree was necessary, the rest can largely be done through apprenticeships and vocational training.

    The point about Newcastle under Lyme actually reinforces my original point and refutes eek's point that there are no apprenticeships in Red Wall towns (albeit that would be less so as I also said for the smaller towns)
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536
    alex_ said:

    So basically you don’t know anything about the place, haven’t even taken a few minutes to attempt a quick bluffers guide using google/wiki, have commented in full knowledge of that fact, but feel confident enough to self-declare that you have won whatever argument you were having anyway.

    At least 50% of such seem to result in you using eventually ending up in a diametrically opposed position in which you started but somehow convincing yourself that the other person has for some reason conversely moved towards your original misinformed position.
    I think the issue is we talk about the Red Wall as some sort of homogenous lump. Well, it isn’t. Eek lives in the north and I can imagine his description is accurate for say, Consett or Bishop Auckland, although I don’t know either place well.

    But in the Midlands, places like Bassetlaw, Stoke, or Newcastle, they still are underpinned by manufacturing, just a very different form from seventy or ninety years ago. In fact, arguably that’s been the switch, as previously Cannock and Bassetlaw were of course primary producers (of coal, in both cases). Now you have high end industry. Most of my friends outside teaching work in the production chain for JLR and JCB. In Stoke, you still have lots of manufacturing. Brownhills still has its steelworks.

    Flintshire, as well, BigG’s area (well, close enough) is based on the Airbus supply chain. Not so much in retail and warehousing.

    And this lack of understanding of the diversity leads people to make errors.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,011
    kinabalu said:

    My best and favourite subject at school, Latin. Can't say I've used it much since but I don't think that's the point of it. Or rather that IS the point of it. It's the epitome of an "academic" subject, completely untainted by anything vocational or practical or in any way grubby like that. It's pure and you feel pure when you study it.
    The woke will soon be trying to stop.people learning Latin because the Romans were such nasty chaps with all that slavery, buggery and all kinds of perverted non pc behaviour..

    I see the wokies at Kings College London have been having a wokeathon over a picture of the Duke of Edinburgh.



  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536

    The woke will soon be trying to stop.people learning Latin because the Romans were such nasty chaps with all that slavery, buggery and all kinds of perverted non pc behaviour..

    I see the wokies at Kings College London have been having a wokeathon over a picture of the Duke of Edinburgh.
    I thought buggery and transvestism (both key Roman traits) were very much in with the Woke?
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,479


    The woke will soon be trying to stop.people learning Latin because the Romans were such nasty chaps with all that slavery, buggery and all kinds of perverted non pc behaviour..

    I see the wokies at Kings College London have been having a wokeathon over a picture of the Duke of Edinburgh.

    It's a competition - how many times can you post ridiculous derivations of the W-word in a single contribution?

    So, wokies, wokeathon, wokeish, wokery, wokeworthy, woke-infused, overwoked (and under pid presumably) to name but seven.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,171
    edited May 2021
    SandraMc said:

    My issue with Boris is not that he lived with his girlfriend before they married or had a child out of wedlock but that he treated his former wife, the mother of 4 of his children, like shit. If your own daughter describes you as a "selfish bastard", the chance is that you are one.
    Father/daughter alienation being one of the themes of the film The Irishman which, in case you have not seen it, is very, very long. That and lots of mafia murders.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,550


    They have hired a Marquee that can already accommodate 50, but they hope that may be increased to 75....

    I know I'm commodious, but that is pushing it.....
  • alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    ydoethur said:

    I think the issue is we talk about the Red Wall as some sort of homogenous lump. Well, it isn’t. Eek lives in the north and I can imagine his description is accurate for say, Consett or Bishop Auckland, although I don’t know either place well.

    But in the Midlands, places like Bassetlaw, Stoke, or Newcastle, they still are underpinned by manufacturing, just a very different form from seventy or ninety years ago. In fact, arguably that’s been the switch, as previously Cannock and Bassetlaw were of course primary producers (of coal, in both cases). Now you have high end industry. Most of my friends outside teaching work in the production chain for JLR and JCB. In Stoke, you still have lots of manufacturing. Brownhills still has its steelworks.

    Flintshire, as well, BigG’s area (well, close enough) is based on the Airbus supply chain. Not so much in retail and warehousing.

    And this lack of understanding of the diversity leads people to make errors.
    No it’s all very interesting. And people, especially in areas where “generalism” dominates can’t be expected to know the minute detail of every area (although some do to an astonishing extent). I have no problem with people starting discussions from a simplistic perspective (and sometimes too much focus on the detail can obscure the wood from the trees). But people providing detail and picking up on errors of such can be useful and are IMO better off acknowledged and used to question whether the broad thrust of an argument is correct. There is no need to try to turn every error of detail into something that actually reinforces your basic argument. Either it’s the exception that breaks the rule, or it’s the fact that it is an exception that endorses it! But you cannot co-opt it to apparently not be an exception at all. There’s nothing wrong with being wrong. It’s not a weakness!
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255
    stodge said:

    It's a competition - how many times can you post ridiculous derivations of the W-word in a single contribution?

    So, wokies, wokeathon, wokeish, wokery, wokeworthy, woke-infused, overwoked (and under pid presumably) to name but seven.
    Its a wokearama :)
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746
    Until the 60s most solicitors, especially in the provinces, didn’t have degrees, those with law degrees overwhelmingly became barristers while local firms apprenticed articled clerks up a la Uriah Heap (like me, a solicitor from Canterbury) but the expansion of universities meant that people taking that route (via becoming a legal executive these days) has declined. Interestingly the profession is moving back to “legal apprentices” as a route to becoming a solicitor without a degree. Save for snobbery I can’t see a problem with it.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746

    No. Susan Michie is listed as a member of Independent sage, a communist and activist

    From Wiki

    In 2009, Michie became a member of the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) and convened its subgroup, the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Behaviour group.In 2020, Michie became a participant in the Covid-19 SAGE's Scientific Pandemic Insights group on Behaviour (SPI-B)[12] and participates in SAGE.

    She also sits on the Independent SAGE committee, chaired by Sir David King. She frequently contributes to national news media during the Covid-19 pandemic as an expert in behaviour change.[13][14][15][16][17]

    Indie SAGE are very media savvy, which is surprising given they employ Carol Cadwallr as their media consultant
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,011

    Its a wokearama :)
    Call it what you like its wokeshite actually.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,550
    stodge said:

    It's a competition - how many times can you post ridiculous derivations of the W-word in a single contribution?

    So, wokies, wokeathon, wokeish, wokery, wokeworthy, woke-infused, overwoked (and under pid presumably) to name but seven.
    Are those of us who refuse to go along with it the woke-shy?
  • AnExileinD4AnExileinD4 Posts: 337
    DougSeal said:

    Indie SAGE are very media savvy, which is surprising given they employ Carol Cadwallr as their media consultant
    You may have just noted why the Guardian posts every rancid comment they make.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255

    I know I'm commodious, but that is pushing it.....
    You were that bloke in Gladiator?

    I'll get me cloak and trident.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,523

    You may have just noted why the Guardian posts every rancid comment they make.
    How on earth can you be on SAGE and independent SAGE at the same time?

  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536

    You were that bloke in Gladiator?

    I'll get me cloak and trident.
    That was Marcus.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    I know I'm commodious, but that is pushing it.....
    You are large, you contain multitudes.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746

    You were that bloke in Gladiator?

    I'll get me cloak and trident.
    Did your wife buy you those? If so it was very Roman-tic of her.

    It’s such a lovely day I didn’t bring my coat - but I’ll get it anyway,
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,477
    I notice lots of "independent sage" members don't have it (anymore) in their twitter bios.

    The two experts quotes by the guardian last night were, but no mention of the fact either in the article or their twitter bios....you had to go googling to find this out.
  • AnExileinD4AnExileinD4 Posts: 337

    How on earth can you be on SAGE and independent SAGE at the same time?

    Because you have no interest in collective agreement and responsibility, you think that you’re cleverer than anyone in the room (and so can never be wrong) and the hint of a tv camera has you running towards it.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,477
    As Susan Michie, is there ever a week she doesn't pop up on Sky News screaming stop it all, close it all down?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,536
    DougSeal said:

    Did your wife buy you those? If so it was very Roman-tic of her.

    It’s such a lovely day I didn’t bring my coat - but I’ll get it anyway,
    We’ll take the coat part as Reed.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,477

    Because you have no interest in collective agreement and responsibility, you think that you’re cleverer than anyone in the room (and so can never be wrong) and the hint of a tv camera has you running towards it.
    I am glad the vaccine task force weren't of this ilk.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,800

    The woke will soon be trying to stop.people learning Latin because the Romans were such nasty chaps with all that slavery, buggery and all kinds of perverted non pc behaviour..

    I see the wokies at Kings College London have been having a wokeathon over a picture of the Duke of Edinburgh.
    Well so long as it's laminated, no harm done.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255
    By the way, before the curse of Nuth R'ead descends, anyone interested in all this stuff about early years schooling might like the "Too Much Too Soon" website which covers far more than just school starting age

    https://www.toomuchtoosoon.org/

    Particularly 'interested' that someone has been suggesting we test 4 year olds.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,317
    edited May 2021
    Yes, agree completely.

    Shame on youngvulgarian for being so sickeningly, boringly, predictably boilerplate lefty stereotype as to having to hate everything about someone she doesn’t like’s wedding.

    Uurgh indeed 👏🏻
This discussion has been closed.