politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Reshuffle
Looks like the big political news of the day isn’t the Blues taking the lead with the gold standard of UK polling, but the reshuffle David Cameron is currently undertaking.
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First!0
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In, Out, Shake It All About!0
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Please don't tell me Fox is back at Defence. I couldn't bear that.0
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The Bob Kerslake report is the most interesting news of the night.
Don't recall the last time a Cabinet Secretary was fired. And well buried under a cabinet reshuffle too.0 -
Hague out? Even at GE2015? Wow.0
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How many Etonians gone out of interest?
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I'd prefer he was Foreign Sec, personally, but it would be good to see him back.FrankBooth said:Please don't tell me Fox is back at Defence. I couldn't bear that.
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Good riddance to the hapless Hague.
Hopefully Gove and IDS will stay firmly in place to help ensure these rotten Tories lose power next year.0 -
AGREED!Charles said:The Bob Kerslake report is the most interesting news of the night.
Don't recall the last time a Cabinet Secretary was fired. And well buried under a cabinet reshuffle too.0 -
So. How many women are there???
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A lot of the news management of this part of the reshuffle has been well handled - which is rare for the current Tory party.Charles said:The Bob Kerslake report is the most interesting news of the night.
Don't recall the last time a Cabinet Secretary was fired. And well buried under a cabinet reshuffle too.0 -
I'd say unlikely. He might be the next Minister to declare war on badgers though.;)FrankBooth said:Please don't tell me Fox is back at Defence. I couldn't bear that.
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Seems slightly dodgy to time those together, giving future PMs the idea that changing of the political guard is the natural time to sweep out any civil servants, for whatever reason, as well.Charles said:The Bob Kerslake report is the most interesting news of the night.
Don't recall the last time a Cabinet Secretary was fired. And well buried under a cabinet reshuffle too.
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Local news for pb-residents
Guido Fawkes@GuidoFawkes·4 mins
Talk of Anna Soubry replacing Dominic Grieve - as well as doing telly she's a qualified barrister...0 -
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Gently does it, trolling so noisily rarely works. You had a flash of adequacy on the previous thread but you've lost it again.MikeP said:Good riddance to the hapless Hague.
Hopefully Gove and IDS will stay firmly in place to help ensure these rotten Tories lose power next year.0 -
Makes me long for the day of EiT's widget...saddened said:
Gently does it, trolling so noisily rarely works. You had a flash of adequacy on the previous thread but you've lost it again.MikeP said:Good riddance to the hapless Hague.
Hopefully Gove and IDS will stay firmly in place to help ensure these rotten Tories lose power next year.0 -
Just updated the thread header with the front page of the Daily Mail0
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Please no! She would make the shadow AG look qualified for the job, and that really would be an achievement.Scrapheap_as_was said:Local news for pb-residents
Guido Fawkes@GuidoFawkes·4 mins
Talk of Anna Soubry replacing Dominic Grieve - as well as doing telly she's a qualified barrister...0 -
Badgers > Paterson
:-)0 -
It's a good general theme, which makes it easier to explain to the public at large, but as others have pointed out online tonight, calling Ken Clarke middle aged to illustrate the point is stretching it a bit.TheScreamingEagles said:Just updated the thread header with the front page of the Daily Mail
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So turning to Ed's shuffle - who of his "big" 3 is to be moved to get similar headlines?
Taxi for Balls or perhaps wee Dougie....0 -
Thanks, that really adds a lot.TheScreamingEagles said:Just updated the thread header with the front page of the Daily Mail
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It's been well known for many years that Hague's heart has not been in it, and I'm not talking about how things are going with Ffion.
Best to expect Cameron loyalists to get pushed heavily forward tomorrow - George needs to look isolated and sackable by May0 -
Another silly Daily Mail front page. Hague's leaving politics to spend more time with Brandjolina.TheScreamingEagles said:Just updated the thread header with the front page of the Daily Mail
The only person that has "ousted" him is himself. Or maybe the delightful Ffion...
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For me the surprise is the Law Officers who struck me as one of the most competent and respected part of the government.0
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So the FCO will become Hammond's organ ?0
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Exploding manhole covers?TheScreamingEagles said:Just updated the thread header with the front page of the Daily Mail
Or is that code for the new Tory females?0 -
For Tory candidates without seats yet, tonight is like Christmas over and over again. All the occupants of ultra safe seats announcing tonight they are standing down next year.
Also Guido rumour Anna Soubry to be Attorney General. Should help boost her majority in Broxtowe.0 -
The widget works on Vanilla. I don't use the Ignore feature any more (that was only used on the previous incarnation of "tim") but I find the Favourite function as useful as ever.oxfordsimon said:
Makes me long for the day of EiT's widget...saddened said:
Gently does it, trolling so noisily rarely works. You had a flash of adequacy on the previous thread but you've lost it again.MikeP said:Good riddance to the hapless Hague.
Hopefully Gove and IDS will stay firmly in place to help ensure these rotten Tories lose power next year.0 -
So - How much was everyone allowed on the 11/4 ?
£8.73 here
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Expert opinion.MikeP said:
Thanks, that really adds a lot.TheScreamingEagles said:Just updated the thread header with the front page of the Daily Mail
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£6.06Pulpstar said:So - How much was everyone allowed on the 11/4 ?
£8.73 here0 -
Oh right - not seen a link to it in a long time (and no idea whether it works on Chrome!)GeoffM said:
The widget works on Vanilla. I don't use the Ignore feature any more (that was only used on the previous incarnation of "tim") but I find the Favourite function as useful as ever.oxfordsimon said:
Makes me long for the day of EiT's widget...saddened said:
Gently does it, trolling so noisily rarely works. You had a flash of adequacy on the previous thread but you've lost it again.MikeP said:Good riddance to the hapless Hague.
Hopefully Gove and IDS will stay firmly in place to help ensure these rotten Tories lose power next year.0 -
Are we really sending Lansley to the EU? What on earth did they do to deserve that ? Are we not serious about even attempting to negotiate a basis on which to stay in ?0
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Reports on Twitter suggest that the new Commissioner will not be a sitting MP... make of that what you will.DavidL said:Are we really sending Lansley to the EU? What on earth did they do to deserve that ? Are we not serious about even attempting to negotiate a basis on which to stay in ?
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Lord Howard ?oxfordsimon said:
Reports on Twitter suggest that the new Commissioner will not be a sitting MP... make of that what you will.DavidL said:Are we really sending Lansley to the EU? What on earth did they do to deserve that ? Are we not serious about even attempting to negotiate a basis on which to stay in ?
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Revenge for all ganging up on us in Eurovision?DavidL said:Are we really sending Lansley to the EU? What on earth did they do to deserve that ? Are we not serious about even attempting to negotiate a basis on which to stay in ?
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At 74, I think it's being very generous to describe him as middle-aged.0
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Just stuck in Update I
There's also a number of other MPs alongside Hague who have announced this evening their intention to stand down as MPs at the next election, this would make the Tories chances in 2015 harder, as the incumbency bonus goes in these seats.0 -
That would seem to be what is being hinted at (particularly with additional tweets suggesting it will be someone from the Lords)Pulpstar said:
Lord Howard ?oxfordsimon said:
Reports on Twitter suggest that the new Commissioner will not be a sitting MP... make of that what you will.DavidL said:Are we really sending Lansley to the EU? What on earth did they do to deserve that ? Are we not serious about even attempting to negotiate a basis on which to stay in ?
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Well he is no longer leader of the house and yet there has been no word on him being sacked.0
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I see Kle4 (and apparently others) have beaten me to the observation.
Ah well. I've been out of politics for a bit, so a bit rusty.0 -
TheScreamingEagles said:
Just stuck in Update I
There's also a number of other MPs alongside Hague who are standing down as MPs at the next election, this would make the Tories chances in 2015 harder, as the incumbency bonus goes in these seats.
Richmond LD gain ?
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Indeed.DavidL said:For me the surprise is the Law Officers who struck me as one of the most competent and respected part of the government.
Some talk of Grayling now having the upper hand and therefore a harder stance on the ECHR, but I don't think Cameron's going a stomach for it either.0 -
Does that mean that Anna Soubey gets her QC? As I thought it would be automatic for AG?0
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Yes, the sidebar link disappeared a while ago.oxfordsimon said:
Oh right - not seen a link to it in a long time (and no idea whether it works on Chrome!)GeoffM said:
The widget works on Vanilla. I don't use the Ignore feature any more (that was only used on the previous incarnation of "tim") but I find the Favourite function as useful as ever.oxfordsimon said:
Makes me long for the day of EiT's widget...saddened said:
Gently does it, trolling so noisily rarely works. You had a flash of adequacy on the previous thread but you've lost it again.MikeP said:Good riddance to the hapless Hague.
Hopefully Gove and IDS will stay firmly in place to help ensure these rotten Tories lose power next year.
It does work on Chrome and can be found here.
Edit: Vanilla is adding "denied" to the front of the link and I can't edit it out. Just remove that.0 -
Some background on Maude vs Kerslake,
http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/peteroborne/100279128/time-for-francis-maude-and-his-disreputable-friends-to-stop-undermining-sir-bob-kerslake/0 -
Nearly was in 1989TGOHF said:TheScreamingEagles said:Just stuck in Update I
There's also a number of other MPs alongside Hague who are standing down as MPs at the next election, this would make the Tories chances in 2015 harder, as the incumbency bonus goes in these seats.
Richmond LD gain ?0 -
But how many were 1st time winners in 2010?TheScreamingEagles said:Just stuck in Update I
There's also a number of other MPs alongside Hague who have announced this evening their intention to stand down as MPs at the next election, this would make the Tories chances in 2015 harder, as the incumbency bonus goes in these seats.0 -
Greg Barker also quitting parliament http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-283037500
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Freshness bonus.TheScreamingEagles said:Just stuck in Update I
There's also a number of other MPs alongside Hague who have announced this evening their intention to stand down as MPs at the next election, this would make the Tories chances in 2015 harder, as the incumbency bonus goes in these seats.0 -
Have you looked at their seats? 5 figure majorities right, right and right.TheScreamingEagles said:Just stuck in Update I
There's also a number of other MPs alongside Hague who have announced this evening their intention to stand down as MPs at the next election, this would make the Tories chances in 2015 harder, as the incumbency bonus goes in these seats.0 -
Thanks - link doesn't seem to be working - but am sure I will find a way!GeoffM said:
Yes, the sidebar link disappeared a while ago.oxfordsimon said:
Oh right - not seen a link to it in a long time (and no idea whether it works on Chrome!)GeoffM said:
The widget works on Vanilla. I don't use the Ignore feature any more (that was only used on the previous incarnation of "tim") but I find the Favourite function as useful as ever.oxfordsimon said:
Makes me long for the day of EiT's widget...saddened said:
Gently does it, trolling so noisily rarely works. You had a flash of adequacy on the previous thread but you've lost it again.MikeP said:Good riddance to the hapless Hague.
Hopefully Gove and IDS will stay firmly in place to help ensure these rotten Tories lose power next year.
It does work on Chrome and can be found here.0 -
IDS to defence, Esther McVey to welfare?0
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What happened to that big splash of IDS getting the heave ho? Still on, aborted mission, or nonsense from somebody wanting to be famous posting on social media?0
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Stephen Crabb to replace David Jones at Wales0
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BBC on twitter saying Hammond will be FS.0
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All the talk is that IDS has won his battle to remain in post.HYUFD said:IDS to defence, Esther McVey to welfare?
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What is tim's latest pseudonym these days? He must be laughing all the way to the bank re: Hague's plight0
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Ooh, I wouldn't have thought so. Barring some extremely poor choice of candidate (a la Norman Lamont, Harrogate, 1997) this is safely Conservative. The centre parties came close in 1989, but this isn't really liberal territory, surely?TGOHF said:TheScreamingEagles said:Just stuck in Update I
There's also a number of other MPs alongside Hague who are standing down as MPs at the next election, this would make the Tories chances in 2015 harder, as the incumbency bonus goes in these seats.
Richmond LD gain ?0 -
I'd love to have a debate with tim on the reshuffle, I guess if I just picked any half a dozen recent names with less than 20 comments .. then I probably would be..0
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Other than an understandable loss of confidence in his judgment does anyone know why Kerslake might have been sacked ?0
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Kerslake wasn't Cabinet Secretary though. He was Permanent Secretary at Local Government department, whatever they call it these days, and also, on the post GOD settlement, had the hat of Head of the Home Civil Service. Has he actually been fired and if so for failings under which hat?Charles said:The Bob Kerslake report is the most interesting news of the night.
Don't recall the last time a Cabinet Secretary was fired. And well buried under a cabinet reshuffle too.
Could it be that someone has woken up to the idea that a Permanent Secretary's job really does demand a person's full attention? Alternatively have the civil service woken up to the idea that if one Permanent Secretary's job could be made part time then so could they all and that would be the end of civilisation as we know it? If the Perm Sec could be part-time what need is there for the deputy secretaries, assistant secretaries, deputy assistant secretaries and so on to the seventh generation or at least the Higher Executive Officers.
There is a story to be told about Kerslake's exit but what it is we shall have to wait and see. Exciting, ain't it?0 -
Right click and open as a new window. Then remove "denied" from the front of the link. Don't know why Vanilla adds that but its simple to get around.oxfordsimon said:
Thanks - link doesn't seem to be working - but am sure I will find a way!GeoffM said:
Yes, the sidebar link disappeared a while ago.oxfordsimon said:
Oh right - not seen a link to it in a long time (and no idea whether it works on Chrome!)GeoffM said:
The widget works on Vanilla. I don't use the Ignore feature any more (that was only used on the previous incarnation of "tim") but I find the Favourite function as useful as ever.oxfordsimon said:
Makes me long for the day of EiT's widget...saddened said:
Gently does it, trolling so noisily rarely works. You had a flash of adequacy on the previous thread but you've lost it again.MikeP said:Good riddance to the hapless Hague.
Hopefully Gove and IDS will stay firmly in place to help ensure these rotten Tories lose power next year.
It does work on Chrome and can be found here.
Edit: use this link here.
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Good question . Zero ?Scrapheap_as_was said:How many Etonians gone out of interest?
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I think Cameron will go for someone in the HOL to be the new Attorney General. I think there has been some suggestion that having the AG in the HOC is probably the not the best place, as when difficult legal questions arise, the cabinet want the AG to be able to give their advice in private. Not sat on the same bench, where people can look at their body language or ask them to intervene to provide an explanation.0
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Perhaps not, but he might have the stomach for more occasional hints of a harder stance.Grandiose said:
Indeed.DavidL said:For me the surprise is the Law Officers who struck me as one of the most competent and respected part of the government.
Some talk of Grayling now having the upper hand and therefore a harder stance on the ECHR, but I don't think Cameron's going a stomach for it either.
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Can I offer you a bet on that Easterross?Easterross said:For Tory candidates without seats yet, tonight is like Christmas over and over again. All the occupants of ultra safe seats announcing tonight they are standing down next year.
Also Guido rumour Anna Soubry to be Attorney General. Should help boost her majority in Broxtowe.0 -
Nick Hurd - for onesurbiton said:
Good question . Zero ?Scrapheap_as_was said:How many Etonians gone out of interest?
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Good to see Hague's political career ending. I suppose he'll join Blair on the stand-up comic circuit.0
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Thanks - will keep trying!GeoffM said:
Right click and open as a new window. Then remove "denied" from the front of the link. Don't know why Vanilla adds that but its simple to get around.oxfordsimon said:
Thanks - link doesn't seem to be working - but am sure I will find a way!GeoffM said:
Yes, the sidebar link disappeared a while ago.oxfordsimon said:
Oh right - not seen a link to it in a long time (and no idea whether it works on Chrome!)GeoffM said:
The widget works on Vanilla. I don't use the Ignore feature any more (that was only used on the previous incarnation of "tim") but I find the Favourite function as useful as ever.oxfordsimon said:
Makes me long for the day of EiT's widget...saddened said:
Gently does it, trolling so noisily rarely works. You had a flash of adequacy on the previous thread but you've lost it again.MikeP said:Good riddance to the hapless Hague.
Hopefully Gove and IDS will stay firmly in place to help ensure these rotten Tories lose power next year.
It does work on Chrome and can be found here.
Edit: use this link here.
And got it to work!0 -
Very lucrative apparently.MonikerDiCanio said:Good to see Hague's political career ending. I suppose he'll join Blair on the stand-up comic circuit.
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TSE - Cameron did not demote Hague as Foreign Secretary. William chose to step down.0
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What is the thinking in getting Fox back in? Seems a bloody odd move. I don't purport to be expert on internal Tory politics. Any of our blue friends on here shed any light?0
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oxfordsimon Though defence would be a promotion0
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Sir George Young to follow...oxfordsimon said:
Nick Hurd - for onesurbiton said:
Good question . Zero ?Scrapheap_as_was said:How many Etonians gone out of interest?
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Twitter
Alistair Burt @AlistairBurtMP 1m
I'm really worried that this reshuffle will leave the PM short of middle aged white men in Govt. I'm selflessly ready Dave!@AlistairBurtMP0 -
Yup, changed it to move.perdix said:TSE - Cameron did not demote Hague as Foreign Secretary. William chose to step down.
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Many retired in 1992 expecting to lose that year's election.TheScreamingEagles said:Just stuck in Update I
There's also a number of other MPs alongside Hague who have announced this evening their intention to stand down as MPs at the next election, this would make the Tories chances in 2015 harder, as the incumbency bonus goes in these seats.0 -
Hague has a wonderful sense of humour and a very sharp intelligence. You should view some of his speeches in the Commons. You are a pale shadow beside him.MonikerDiCanio said:Good to see Hague's political career ending. I suppose he'll join Blair on the stand-up comic circuit.
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Philip Hammond = Foreign Secretary.0
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So Hague to stand down after a mere 26 years as an MP? Amateur.0
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Just checked and Greg Barker had already been reselected as candidate for Bexhill & Battle before today.0
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Twitter
Harry Cole @MrHarryCole 3m
That's some badger like moving of the goalposts by Labour there: We don't care about women anymore, won't someone thing of the wets etc0 -
Sadly, no one in the States will understand what he was saying.MonikerDiCanio said:Good to see Hague's political career ending. I suppose he'll join Blair on the stand-up comic circuit.
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Seems an unpleasant sentiment.MonikerDiCanio said:Good to see Hague's political career ending. I suppose he'll join Blair on the stand-up comic circuit.
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Retirements so far:
Con: 20
Lab: 29
LD: 9
PC: 1
Ind: 2
Total: 61
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0At91c3wX1Wu5dFkzTjFrRmJRN3F6ODBTTEs4NGFhcUE#gid=00