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Call Me. Dave. – politicalbetting.com

SystemSystem Posts: 12,126
edited April 2021 in General
Call Me. Dave. – politicalbetting.com

GUARDIAN: Cameron faces inquiry into Greensill lobbying scandal #TomorrowsPapersToday pic.twitter.com/Huaxg7YUdg

Read the full story here

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Comments

  • MikeSmithsonMikeSmithson Posts: 7,382
    Time
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,147

    Time

    ..Gentlemen please ??
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,774
    Third time lucky
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,509
    Charles said:

    MPs have privileged access to ministers. That is the point of representatives. That courtesy is extended to former PMs.

    The good thing is that the civil service and ministers collectively judged - having looked at it - that Cameron was peddling something they didn’t want to buy.

    It actually seems to be that the government and ministers behaved properly here. The person who - once again - demonstrates that he simply lacks judgement and didn’t do the hard graft necessary was Cameron.

    You seem to have missed most of the point of Cyclefree’s article.
    No doubt the ‘enquiry’ will satisfy you, too.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,509
    Someone will utter the ritual incantation that lessons have and will be learnt. ..

    Already happened - it appeared in Cameron’s statement. In this case, “There are important lessons to be learnt...”
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,509
    For those who find Cyclefree’s headers too long to read in full, here’s the essential bit.
    ... What no-one will look at is what is happening now. If Greensill’s supply chain finance schemes ( all that “free money“) were of questionable benefit in the past, why is the government currently still planning to use similar schemes? Was Greensill really the problem? Or is there a fundamental issue with these schemes when used by government? Why are they needed? What problem are they seeking to solve and why is government not coming up with its own solution? If there was no rationale for them then, what’s changed now? What is the benefit to taxpayers? And who else will benefit and by how much? Is this value for money?

    Who is asking these questions? Not the opposition. Not the Treasury Select Committee. And not the Boardman Inquiry either...
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,314
    Good morning, and Ramadan Kareem to al PBers of the Islamic faith.

    David Cameron, no sympathy at all. He literally wrote the book on the ministerial lobbying rules, and knows damn well that getting the mobile phone number of a minister to message him directly on behalf of a paying company, is way out of order.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,662
    Nigelb said:

    Charles said:

    MPs have privileged access to ministers. That is the point of representatives. That courtesy is extended to former PMs.

    The good thing is that the civil service and ministers collectively judged - having looked at it - that Cameron was peddling something they didn’t want to buy.

    It actually seems to be that the government and ministers behaved properly here. The person who - once again - demonstrates that he simply lacks judgement and didn’t do the hard graft necessary was Cameron.

    You seem to have missed most of the point of Cyclefree’s article.
    No doubt the ‘enquiry’ will satisfy you, too.
    No doubt it won't satisfy you.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,344
    Good morning ladies and gentlemen. Cold again this morning ...... minus 1 here ......... and yet again Ms Cyclefree is asking some difficult questions.
    I am rather glad my career never took me any near her as an investigator. Not that I've been involved I. anything financial.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 70,509

    Nigelb said:

    Charles said:

    MPs have privileged access to ministers. That is the point of representatives. That courtesy is extended to former PMs.

    The good thing is that the civil service and ministers collectively judged - having looked at it - that Cameron was peddling something they didn’t want to buy.

    It actually seems to be that the government and ministers behaved properly here. The person who - once again - demonstrates that he simply lacks judgement and didn’t do the hard graft necessary was Cameron.

    You seem to have missed most of the point of Cyclefree’s article.
    No doubt the ‘enquiry’ will satisfy you, too.
    No doubt it won't satisfy you.
    I would be very surprised if it were not to proceed as @Cyclfree predicts, that’s for sure.
    Happy to acknowledge it should I be wrong.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,214
    Should we now refer to him as disgraced former prime minister David Cameron?

    Asking for a friend...
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,774
    Sandpit said:

    Good morning, and Ramadan Kareem to al PBers of the Islamic faith.

    David Cameron, no sympathy at all. He literally wrote the book on the ministerial lobbying rules, and knows damn well that getting the mobile phone number of a minister to message him directly on behalf of a paying company, is way out of order.

    He wrote the book most carefully, to embrace commercial lobbyists and lobbying companies whilst carefully excluding individual former politicians such as himself.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,706
    What was Greensill actually selling? It sounds from what I have read no more than a glorified factoring service. Was there any more to it? I am not sure I understand what he was offering the NHS staff either.

    As for Cameron, well, I am seriously disappointed. As for current Ministers are they really not supposed to answer the calls or texts of their former boss and PM? I would be very reluctant to have lobbying rules that were so tight. The safeguards in place seemed to have worked reasonably well although who can doubt that the default provisions on the Greensill loans will be significantly higher than those through banks? Not a happy incident but I would reserve my condemnation for Cameron, Haywood and no doubt Greensill on the current evidence.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Nigelb said:

    Charles said:

    MPs have privileged access to ministers. That is the point of representatives. That courtesy is extended to former PMs.

    The good thing is that the civil service and ministers collectively judged - having looked at it - that Cameron was peddling something they didn’t want to buy.

    It actually seems to be that the government and ministers behaved properly here. The person who - once again - demonstrates that he simply lacks judgement and didn’t do the hard graft necessary was Cameron.

    You seem to have missed most of the point of Cyclefree’s article.
    No doubt the ‘enquiry’ will satisfy you, too.
    Because I choose to respond to one point that doesn’t mean I’ve missed the rest.

    Cameron was a fool. He has besmirched his reputation. There needs to be an enquiry into how to tighten the rules but it will be impossible to prevent PMs from using their networks. Unless you pay them a £1m pension pa and require them not to work.

    The government doesn’t seem to have done anything except had a second look. I don’t have an issue with them doing that provided it’s an independent look.

    It appears based on the limited information I’ve read that Greensill may have extended too large a loan to Gupta in breach of the rules. That would incur some liability if that were the case but I suspect that the government will struggle to reclaim the money.

    They should have been more sceptical about the wage advance scheme for nurses but primarily because the benefit for Greensill was unclear. I can see the scheme has some utility if it avoids nurses needing payday loans (is this a big issue in that sector?). My guess that that Greensill was pump priming... they were going to raise capital to “reinvest” in this scheme but divert money to other uses. Which would have been fraud. But that wouldn’t have been the government’s responsibility. And I don’t have the issue that @Cyclefree has with the government continuing to look at the scheme with another bank - even a bad person can have good ideas.

  • Morning all! On topic - Tory shilling for his mates and himself shock.

    Off topic, why Boris Johnson can thrown NI off the bus and still be supported by patriotic Brits - they haven't a frigging clue where NI is.

    https://twitter.com/aoifeslattsx/status/1381041555864227841
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,474
    Good header from @Cyclefree

    The problem of Plutocracy shifting over to Kleptocracy is that such influence peddling, sleaze and corruption is quite complex. It needs to be a more obvious hand in the taxpayers pocket to really hit a public preoccupied with other stuff.

    We have become used to sleaze and shameless behaviour from our leaders. It is hard to imagine any of this lot resigning or being sacked for avaricious incompetence. In many ways it is a return to pre-Victorian times, when government sinecures were openly sold and used for self enrichment.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Nigelb said:

    For those who find Cyclefree’s headers too long to read in full, here’s the essential bit.
    ... What no-one will look at is what is happening now. If Greensill’s supply chain finance schemes ( all that “free money“) were of questionable benefit in the past, why is the government currently still planning to use similar schemes? Was Greensill really the problem? Or is there a fundamental issue with these schemes when used by government? Why are they needed? What problem are they seeking to solve and why is government not coming up with its own solution? If there was no rationale for them then, what’s changed now? What is the benefit to taxpayers? And who else will benefit and by how much? Is this value for money?

    Who is asking these questions? Not the opposition. Not the Treasury Select Committee. And not the Boardman Inquiry either...

    The government turned down the supply chain financing idea. The one they ran with was a simple wage advance scheme. That’s just basic outsourcing - HR departments do it but if someone is going to do it at (genuinely) no cost why wouldn’t you look at it.

    The scheme do have utility and mau solve a problem - I don’t know - but it’s hardly revolutionary
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    DavidL said:

    What was Greensill actually selling? It sounds from what I have read no more than a glorified factoring service. Was there any more to it? I am not sure I understand what he was offering the NHS staff either.

    As for Cameron, well, I am seriously disappointed. As for current Ministers are they really not supposed to answer the calls or texts of their former boss and PM? I would be very reluctant to have lobbying rules that were so tight. The safeguards in place seemed to have worked reasonably well although who can doubt that the default provisions on the Greensill loans will be significantly higher than those through banks? Not a happy incident but I would reserve my condemnation for Cameron, Haywood and no doubt Greensill on the current evidence.

    Spot on. It was factoring.

    The “innovation” was “future invoice factoring”. If that had been properly disclosed to investors then they could have priced it accordingly.

    But effectively the whole set up appears to have been about lying to investors to funnel money to Gupta.

    With the NHS he was offering advances against wages. Useful, albeit fairly marginal. But I suspect he would have leveraged the scheme to raise more money from investors for unauthorised purposes.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,878
    DavidL said:

    What was Greensill actually selling? It sounds from what I have read no more than a glorified factoring service. Was there any more to it? I am not sure I understand what he was offering the NHS staff either.

    As for Cameron, well, I am seriously disappointed. As for current Ministers are they really not supposed to answer the calls or texts of their former boss and PM? I would be very reluctant to have lobbying rules that were so tight. The safeguards in place seemed to have worked reasonably well although who can doubt that the default provisions on the Greensill loans will be significantly higher than those through banks? Not a happy incident but I would reserve my condemnation for Cameron, Haywood and no doubt Greensill on the current evidence.

    The clever bit was that they were factoring invoices that didn't actually exist, but might exist in the future.

    Now, when I say "clever", what I actually mean is "fucked up". Because an invoice that might exist in the future, with a company you have no contractual arrangement with, is the absolute opposite of "secure".
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,878
    Charles said:

    Nigelb said:

    Charles said:

    MPs have privileged access to ministers. That is the point of representatives. That courtesy is extended to former PMs.

    The good thing is that the civil service and ministers collectively judged - having looked at it - that Cameron was peddling something they didn’t want to buy.

    It actually seems to be that the government and ministers behaved properly here. The person who - once again - demonstrates that he simply lacks judgement and didn’t do the hard graft necessary was Cameron.

    You seem to have missed most of the point of Cyclefree’s article.
    No doubt the ‘enquiry’ will satisfy you, too.
    Because I choose to respond to one point that doesn’t mean I’ve missed the rest.

    Cameron was a fool. He has besmirched his reputation. There needs to be an enquiry into how to tighten the rules but it will be impossible to prevent PMs from using their networks. Unless you pay them a £1m pension pa and require them not to work.

    The government doesn’t seem to have done anything except had a second look. I don’t have an issue with them doing that provided it’s an independent look.

    It appears based on the limited information I’ve read that Greensill may have extended too large a loan to Gupta in breach of the rules. That would incur some liability if that were the case but I suspect that the government will struggle to reclaim the money.

    They should have been more sceptical about the wage advance scheme for nurses but primarily because the benefit for Greensill was unclear. I can see the scheme has some utility if it avoids nurses needing payday loans (is this a big issue in that sector?). My guess that that Greensill was pump priming... they were going to raise capital to “reinvest” in this scheme but divert money to other uses. Which would have been fraud. But that wouldn’t have been the government’s responsibility. And I don’t have the issue that @Cyclefree has with the government continuing to look at the scheme with another bank - even a bad person can have good ideas.

    I think there was an unhealthy three way relationship between Greenhill, Gupta and the government, where pressure was applied on the basis that Libery/GFG were helping keep jobs in the steel industry alive.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    Nigelb said:

    Charles said:

    MPs have privileged access to ministers. That is the point of representatives. That courtesy is extended to former PMs.

    The good thing is that the civil service and ministers collectively judged - having looked at it - that Cameron was peddling something they didn’t want to buy.

    It actually seems to be that the government and ministers behaved properly here. The person who - once again - demonstrates that he simply lacks judgement and didn’t do the hard graft necessary was Cameron.

    You seem to have missed most of the point of Cyclefree’s article.
    No doubt the ‘enquiry’ will satisfy you, too.
    Because I choose to respond to one point that doesn’t mean I’ve missed the rest.

    Cameron was a fool. He has besmirched his reputation. There needs to be an enquiry into how to tighten the rules but it will be impossible to prevent PMs from using their networks. Unless you pay them a £1m pension pa and require them not to work.

    The government doesn’t seem to have done anything except had a second look. I don’t have an issue with them doing that provided it’s an independent look.

    It appears based on the limited information I’ve read that Greensill may have extended too large a loan to Gupta in breach of the rules. That would incur some liability if that were the case but I suspect that the government will struggle to reclaim the money.

    They should have been more sceptical about the wage advance scheme for nurses but primarily because the benefit for Greensill was unclear. I can see the scheme has some utility if it avoids nurses needing payday loans (is this a big issue in that sector?). My guess that that Greensill was pump priming... they were going to raise capital to “reinvest” in this scheme but divert money to other uses. Which would have been fraud. But that wouldn’t have been the government’s responsibility. And I don’t have the issue that @Cyclefree has with the government continuing to look at the scheme with another bank - even a bad person can have good ideas.

    I think there was an unhealthy three way relationship between Greenhill, Gupta and the government, where pressure was applied on the basis that Libery/GFG were helping keep jobs in the steel industry alive.
    Possibly that too
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,878
    edited April 2021

    I still find it a rather low-wattage matter to be branded a "scandal". Several orders of magnitude less than that which sees Sarkozy wearing a tag for bribing a magistrate.

    Cameron should have known better, which was known by those currently in Government. They politely listened to the former Prime Minister - and then ignored him.

    Is trying to mountainise this molehill, following on from the similar Big Meh of Carrie's furnishings, an admission by the media that they can't get traction on PPE acquisition contracts?

    If you look at all the loans guaranteed by the UK and Scottish governments to GFG/Liberty (of which more than half probably went via Greenhill), it will approach £1bn.

    When that much taxpayers' money is spent supporting a businessman's luxury lifestyle, one should probably ask questions. When the sums are done, I suspect one will find that maybe half the missing funds went on employing people, and the other half has disappeared.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,878
    Charles said:

    DavidL said:

    What was Greensill actually selling? It sounds from what I have read no more than a glorified factoring service. Was there any more to it? I am not sure I understand what he was offering the NHS staff either.

    As for Cameron, well, I am seriously disappointed. As for current Ministers are they really not supposed to answer the calls or texts of their former boss and PM? I would be very reluctant to have lobbying rules that were so tight. The safeguards in place seemed to have worked reasonably well although who can doubt that the default provisions on the Greensill loans will be significantly higher than those through banks? Not a happy incident but I would reserve my condemnation for Cameron, Haywood and no doubt Greensill on the current evidence.

    Spot on. It was factoring.

    The “innovation” was “future invoice factoring”. If that had been properly disclosed to investors then they could have priced it accordingly.

    But effectively the whole set up appears to have been about lying to investors to funnel money to Gupta.

    With the NHS he was offering advances against wages. Useful, albeit fairly marginal. But I suspect he would have leveraged the scheme to raise more money from investors for unauthorised purposes.
    But effectively the whole set up appears to have been about lying to investors to funnel money to Gupta.

    Yep...
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,706
    There may be more to this yet but so far the problem with Greensill is that they lent far too much money to Gupta for the Liberty group. AIUI the government has responded by withdrawing their guarantees for those loans since they were not issued in accordance with the scheme. Bad news for Liberty creditors when that group inevitably goes bust, bad news for the Scottish government who guaranteed £500m of those loans but not particularly bad news for the UK taxpayer as a whole.

    The suggestion that the "security" for Gupta loans was fake invoices is troubling. It shows a lack of due diligence on the part of Greensill. A non banking group turned out not to be as good as a bank at spotting inconsistencies (although it may be a bit early for the banks to be given a clean bill of health).

    It seems inevitable that other loans which were issued with government guarantees will turn out to be bad. But this is part of a wider picture where the government was providing massive "bounce back" loans and guarantees across the economy to stop collapse in a time of lockdown. That seems to have largely worked, the odd retail group apart, we have not seen anything like the consequences that we should for a 5-10% fall in GDP. What we will see over the coming year is a fair number of businesses going bust and such loans going bad. No doubt Rishi will get some flack for this but the consequences of not acting could have been much, much worse. Many will describe these bad loans as a "scandal" and no doubt it will be claimed that there was corruption and cronyism. We shall see and much will depend upon the extent of taxpayer largesse but so far, Greensill apart, the performance of the Treasury has been not much short of incredible.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,154

    I still find it a rather low-wattage matter to be branded a "scandal". Several orders of magnitude less than that which sees Sarkozy wearing a tag for bribing a magistrate.

    Cameron should have known better, which was known by those currently in Government. They politely listened to the former Prime Minister - and then ignored him.

    Is trying to mountainise this molehill, following on from the similar Big Meh of Carrie's furnishings, an admission by the media that they can't get traction on PPE acquisition contracts?

    Do I detect a member of the Conservative Party commenting?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Morning all! On topic - Tory shilling for his mates and himself shock.

    Off topic, why Boris Johnson can thrown NI off the bus and still be supported by patriotic Brits - they haven't a frigging clue where NI is.

    https://twitter.com/aoifeslattsx/status/1381041555864227841

    I've never used the app but I'd think if you're looking for intelligent conversation the last place I'd look for it is Tinder.

    Its also probably the app most used by non-voters.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    rcs1000 said:

    I still find it a rather low-wattage matter to be branded a "scandal". Several orders of magnitude less than that which sees Sarkozy wearing a tag for bribing a magistrate.

    Cameron should have known better, which was known by those currently in Government. They politely listened to the former Prime Minister - and then ignored him.

    Is trying to mountainise this molehill, following on from the similar Big Meh of Carrie's furnishings, an admission by the media that they can't get traction on PPE acquisition contracts?

    If you look at all the loans guaranteed by the UK and Scottish governments to GFG/Liberty (of which more than half probably went via Greenhill), it will approach £1bn.

    When that much taxpayers' money is spent supporting a businessman's luxury lifestyle, one should probably ask questions. When the sums are done, I suspect one will find that maybe half the missing funds went on employing people, and the other half has disappeared.
    I don’t quite understand the obsession that government have with funding the steel Industry. But they appear to have (a) colossally fucked up and (b) been taken in by a plausible smooth-talking fraudster
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,154
    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    I still find it a rather low-wattage matter to be branded a "scandal". Several orders of magnitude less than that which sees Sarkozy wearing a tag for bribing a magistrate.

    Cameron should have known better, which was known by those currently in Government. They politely listened to the former Prime Minister - and then ignored him.

    Is trying to mountainise this molehill, following on from the similar Big Meh of Carrie's furnishings, an admission by the media that they can't get traction on PPE acquisition contracts?

    If you look at all the loans guaranteed by the UK and Scottish governments to GFG/Liberty (of which more than half probably went via Greenhill), it will approach £1bn.

    When that much taxpayers' money is spent supporting a businessman's luxury lifestyle, one should probably ask questions. When the sums are done, I suspect one will find that maybe half the missing funds went on employing people, and the other half has disappeared.
    I don’t quite understand the obsession that government have with funding the steel Industry. But they appear to have (a) colossally fucked up and (b) been taken in by a plausible smooth-talking fraudster
    Well, the same comment could be made for the country in 2015.

    Oh sorry, were you not referring to Cameron?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    rcs1000 said:

    Charles said:

    DavidL said:

    What was Greensill actually selling? It sounds from what I have read no more than a glorified factoring service. Was there any more to it? I am not sure I understand what he was offering the NHS staff either.

    As for Cameron, well, I am seriously disappointed. As for current Ministers are they really not supposed to answer the calls or texts of their former boss and PM? I would be very reluctant to have lobbying rules that were so tight. The safeguards in place seemed to have worked reasonably well although who can doubt that the default provisions on the Greensill loans will be significantly higher than those through banks? Not a happy incident but I would reserve my condemnation for Cameron, Haywood and no doubt Greensill on the current evidence.

    Spot on. It was factoring.

    The “innovation” was “future invoice factoring”. If that had been properly disclosed to investors then they could have priced it accordingly.

    But effectively the whole set up appears to have been about lying to investors to funnel money to Gupta.

    With the NHS he was offering advances against wages. Useful, albeit fairly marginal. But I suspect he would have leveraged the scheme to raise more money from investors for unauthorised purposes.
    But effectively the whole set up appears to have been about lying to investors to funnel money to Gupta.

    Yep...
    Does the proceeds of crime act apply to his wife? I think it may. So there are some real assets to go after.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,878
    DavidL said:

    There may be more to this yet but so far the problem with Greensill is that they lent far too much money to Gupta for the Liberty group. AIUI the government has responded by withdrawing their guarantees for those loans since they were not issued in accordance with the scheme. Bad news for Liberty creditors when that group inevitably goes bust, bad news for the Scottish government who guaranteed £500m of those loans but not particularly bad news for the UK taxpayer as a whole.

    The suggestion that the "security" for Gupta loans was fake invoices is troubling. It shows a lack of due diligence on the part of Greensill. A non banking group turned out not to be as good as a bank at spotting inconsistencies (although it may be a bit early for the banks to be given a clean bill of health).

    It seems inevitable that other loans which were issued with government guarantees will turn out to be bad. But this is part of a wider picture where the government was providing massive "bounce back" loans and guarantees across the economy to stop collapse in a time of lockdown. That seems to have largely worked, the odd retail group apart, we have not seen anything like the consequences that we should for a 5-10% fall in GDP. What we will see over the coming year is a fair number of businesses going bust and such loans going bad. No doubt Rishi will get some flack for this but the consequences of not acting could have been much, much worse. Many will describe these bad loans as a "scandal" and no doubt it will be claimed that there was corruption and cronyism. We shall see and much will depend upon the extent of taxpayer largesse but so far, Greensill apart, the performance of the Treasury has been not much short of incredible.

    Hang on, Greensill has lost a lot more money than just with Gupta.

    Do you know about the SoftBank's Vision Fund? They invested in Greensill (buying shares), and Greensill 'helped them out' by lending - IIRC - £140m to a SoftBank investment a month or so later. £140m of low-risk invoice financing.

    That same year, the business went bust. And not a penny of the £140m was repaid.

    Bear in mind this was "low risk" invoice financing.

  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    DavidL said:

    There may be more to this yet but so far the problem with Greensill is that they lent far too much money to Gupta for the Liberty group. AIUI the government has responded by withdrawing their guarantees for those loans since they were not issued in accordance with the scheme. Bad news for Liberty creditors when that group inevitably goes bust, bad news for the Scottish government who guaranteed £500m of those loans but not particularly bad news for the UK taxpayer as a whole.

    The suggestion that the "security" for Gupta loans was fake invoices is troubling. It shows a lack of due diligence on the part of Greensill. A non banking group turned out not to be as good as a bank at spotting inconsistencies (although it may be a bit early for the banks to be given a clean bill of health).

    It seems inevitable that other loans which were issued with government guarantees will turn out to be bad. But this is part of a wider picture where the government was providing massive "bounce back" loans and guarantees across the economy to stop collapse in a time of lockdown. That seems to have largely worked, the odd retail group apart, we have not seen anything like the consequences that we should for a 5-10% fall in GDP. What we will see over the coming year is a fair number of businesses going bust and such loans going bad. No doubt Rishi will get some flack for this but the consequences of not acting could have been much, much worse. Many will describe these bad loans as a "scandal" and no doubt it will be claimed that there was corruption and cronyism. We shall see and much will depend upon the extent of taxpayer largesse but so far, Greensill apart, the performance of the Treasury has been not much short of incredible.

    David I think you are being naive.

    I think that Greensill knew *exactly* what they were doing. It wasn’t crappy due diligence. It was fraud (in my view)
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,344
    ydoethur said:

    I still find it a rather low-wattage matter to be branded a "scandal". Several orders of magnitude less than that which sees Sarkozy wearing a tag for bribing a magistrate.

    Cameron should have known better, which was known by those currently in Government. They politely listened to the former Prime Minister - and then ignored him.

    Is trying to mountainise this molehill, following on from the similar Big Meh of Carrie's furnishings, an admission by the media that they can't get traction on PPE acquisition contracts?

    Do I detect a member of the Conservative Party commenting?
    I have no great party political reason to protect Cameron. And membership doesn't alter my critical faculties.

    I said it as I see it. That the PPE contracts issue had far, far greater legs as a threat to the Party with the voters. But the media has done a half-arsed job in nailing jelly to a wall.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    February exports to the EU rebounded by more than imports did: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-56729631

    Didn't see that coming. Impressive. Due to us being in lockdown perhaps?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,344
    DavidL said:

    There may be more to this yet but so far the problem with Greensill is that they lent far too much money to Gupta for the Liberty group. AIUI the government has responded by withdrawing their guarantees for those loans since they were not issued in accordance with the scheme. Bad news for Liberty creditors when that group inevitably goes bust, bad news for the Scottish government who guaranteed £500m of those loans but not particularly bad news for the UK taxpayer as a whole.

    The suggestion that the "security" for Gupta loans was fake invoices is troubling. It shows a lack of due diligence on the part of Greensill. A non banking group turned out not to be as good as a bank at spotting inconsistencies (although it may be a bit early for the banks to be given a clean bill of health).

    It seems inevitable that other loans which were issued with government guarantees will turn out to be bad. But this is part of a wider picture where the government was providing massive "bounce back" loans and guarantees across the economy to stop collapse in a time of lockdown. That seems to have largely worked, the odd retail group apart, we have not seen anything like the consequences that we should for a 5-10% fall in GDP. What we will see over the coming year is a fair number of businesses going bust and such loans going bad. No doubt Rishi will get some flack for this but the consequences of not acting could have been much, much worse. Many will describe these bad loans as a "scandal" and no doubt it will be claimed that there was corruption and cronyism. We shall see and much will depend upon the extent of taxpayer largesse but so far, Greensill apart, the performance of the Treasury has been not much short of incredible.

    Is that £500m guarantee issue going to hit home in time to damage the SNP in May?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 59,983
    FPT - it's worth noting that almost the whole Tory core vote will be fully vacinnated by the May local elections, and on the move again.

    That may help significantly on relative turnout.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    ydoethur said:

    I still find it a rather low-wattage matter to be branded a "scandal". Several orders of magnitude less than that which sees Sarkozy wearing a tag for bribing a magistrate.

    Cameron should have known better, which was known by those currently in Government. They politely listened to the former Prime Minister - and then ignored him.

    Is trying to mountainise this molehill, following on from the similar Big Meh of Carrie's furnishings, an admission by the media that they can't get traction on PPE acquisition contracts?

    Do I detect a member of the Conservative Party commenting?
    I have no great party political reason to protect Cameron. And membership doesn't alter my critical faculties.

    I said it as I see it. That the PPE contracts issue had far, far greater legs as a threat to the Party with the voters. But the media has done a half-arsed job in nailing jelly to a wall.
    I think the PPE contracts was another molehill greatly magnified.

    Far greater threat would have been if doctors and nurses etc went without PPE.

    Had medics gone without PPE and there'd been problems with contracts, that could have really hurt the Party, but that money was thrown at a crisis and PPE was secured, even if it was haphazardly done, is mission accomplished during a pandemic. Especially when the same was done over vaccines etc and the country can see that the Government throwing money at issues has fixed the issues.

    Its the polar opposite of what the Tories normally stand for mind, but desperate times call for desperate measures. The danger is that the public expects more normal issues to have money thrown at them in the same way going forward.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,344

    ydoethur said:

    I still find it a rather low-wattage matter to be branded a "scandal". Several orders of magnitude less than that which sees Sarkozy wearing a tag for bribing a magistrate.

    Cameron should have known better, which was known by those currently in Government. They politely listened to the former Prime Minister - and then ignored him.

    Is trying to mountainise this molehill, following on from the similar Big Meh of Carrie's furnishings, an admission by the media that they can't get traction on PPE acquisition contracts?

    Do I detect a member of the Conservative Party commenting?
    I have no great party political reason to protect Cameron. And membership doesn't alter my critical faculties.

    I said it as I see it. That the PPE contracts issue had far, far greater legs as a threat to the Party with the voters. But the media has done a half-arsed job in nailing jelly to a wall.
    I think the PPE contracts was another molehill greatly magnified.

    Far greater threat would have been if doctors and nurses etc went without PPE.

    Had medics gone without PPE and there'd been problems with contracts, that could have really hurt the Party, but that money was thrown at a crisis and PPE was secured, even if it was haphazardly done, is mission accomplished during a pandemic. Especially when the same was done over vaccines etc and the country can see that the Government throwing money at issues has fixed the issues.

    Its the polar opposite of what the Tories normally stand for mind, but desperate times call for desperate measures. The danger is that the public expects more normal issues to have money thrown at them in the same way going forward.
    I think you are spot on in that assessment. Poor show in supervising contracts, but top-trumped by getting our health workers safely clad in the pandemic, regardless.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 59,983
    I've always had a soft spot for David Cameron here but he's badly let himself down.

    His worst facet has always been his self-entitled establishment character, which he also lets drift him along into guiding his politics.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,344
    edited April 2021
    Charles said:

    February exports to the EU rebounded by more than imports did: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-56729631

    Didn't see that coming. Impressive. Due to us being in lockdown perhaps?

    I love the phrasing

    Exports “partially rebounded” by 47%... [partial, shakes head, not good]

    Imports showed a “weaker rebound” of 7% [weaker, shakes head, not good]

    Personally I think exports +47% and imports +7% is fantastic
    Those BMW, Porsche, Mercedes execs - now not thinking it is so fantastic. Take solace in a packet of British Hobnobs, eh guys? They are still getting through.....
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 59,983
    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    I still find it a rather low-wattage matter to be branded a "scandal". Several orders of magnitude less than that which sees Sarkozy wearing a tag for bribing a magistrate.

    Cameron should have known better, which was known by those currently in Government. They politely listened to the former Prime Minister - and then ignored him.

    Is trying to mountainise this molehill, following on from the similar Big Meh of Carrie's furnishings, an admission by the media that they can't get traction on PPE acquisition contracts?

    If you look at all the loans guaranteed by the UK and Scottish governments to GFG/Liberty (of which more than half probably went via Greenhill), it will approach £1bn.

    When that much taxpayers' money is spent supporting a businessman's luxury lifestyle, one should probably ask questions. When the sums are done, I suspect one will find that maybe half the missing funds went on employing people, and the other half has disappeared.
    I don’t quite understand the obsession that government have with funding the steel Industry. But they appear to have (a) colossally fucked up and (b) been taken in by a plausible smooth-talking fraudster
    We need a little bit of domestic steel capability for strategic assets like ships, aircraft and critical I-beams and L-beams for construction?

    Sure, UK steel will be extremely expensive and uncompetitive but you don't want to be 100% reliant on China.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,662
    edited April 2021
    Well,knock me down with a feather. Ms Markle, according to the Daily Mirror, isn't coming to the funeral, "because she doesn't want to be the centre of attention". Risible!
    So speaks someone who has sought to be the centre of attention in everything she does !
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    I still find it a rather low-wattage matter to be branded a "scandal". Several orders of magnitude less than that which sees Sarkozy wearing a tag for bribing a magistrate.

    Cameron should have known better, which was known by those currently in Government. They politely listened to the former Prime Minister - and then ignored him.

    Is trying to mountainise this molehill, following on from the similar Big Meh of Carrie's furnishings, an admission by the media that they can't get traction on PPE acquisition contracts?

    If you look at all the loans guaranteed by the UK and Scottish governments to GFG/Liberty (of which more than half probably went via Greenhill), it will approach £1bn.

    When that much taxpayers' money is spent supporting a businessman's luxury lifestyle, one should probably ask questions. When the sums are done, I suspect one will find that maybe half the missing funds went on employing people, and the other half has disappeared.
    I don’t quite understand the obsession that government have with funding the steel Industry. But they appear to have (a) colossally fucked up and (b) been taken in by a plausible smooth-talking fraudster
    We need a little bit of domestic steel capability for strategic assets like ships, aircraft and critical I-beams and L-beams for construction?

    Sure, UK steel will be extremely expensive and uncompetitive but you don't want to be 100% reliant on China.
    China is mainly bulk steel not the specialty stuff you reference
  • NemtynakhtNemtynakht Posts: 2,329
    ydoethur said:

    I still find it a rather low-wattage matter to be branded a "scandal". Several orders of magnitude less than that which sees Sarkozy wearing a tag for bribing a magistrate.

    Cameron should have known better, which was known by those currently in Government. They politely listened to the former Prime Minister - and then ignored him.

    Is trying to mountainise this molehill, following on from the similar Big Meh of Carrie's furnishings, an admission by the media that they can't get traction on PPE acquisition contracts?

    Do I detect a member of the Conservative Party commenting?
    I'm not a member of the Tory party. How is Cameron lobbying - generally legal - and ministers ignoring him a scandal. It's does not appear that his privileged position got any results. This is not MPs expenses, cash for questions or honours. It is not even equivalent to some of the things we heard around Brexit - ferries, or Covid - PPE contracts to friends.

    I heard Gordon Brown talking about it on the Today programme and he saw it as a moral issue - it is. His only suggestion was that ex ministers shouldn't be allowed to lobby for 5 years. Since this happened after 4;years since Cameron was in office perhaps we should see it in that light. The more fundamental questions about what the hell are people trying to do - this is the obfuscation if PFI all over again!!
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,314

    ydoethur said:

    I still find it a rather low-wattage matter to be branded a "scandal". Several orders of magnitude less than that which sees Sarkozy wearing a tag for bribing a magistrate.

    Cameron should have known better, which was known by those currently in Government. They politely listened to the former Prime Minister - and then ignored him.

    Is trying to mountainise this molehill, following on from the similar Big Meh of Carrie's furnishings, an admission by the media that they can't get traction on PPE acquisition contracts?

    Do I detect a member of the Conservative Party commenting?
    I have no great party political reason to protect Cameron. And membership doesn't alter my critical faculties.

    I said it as I see it. That the PPE contracts issue had far, far greater legs as a threat to the Party with the voters. But the media has done a half-arsed job in nailing jelly to a wall.
    I think the PPE contracts was another molehill greatly magnified.

    Far greater threat would have been if doctors and nurses etc went without PPE.

    Had medics gone without PPE and there'd been problems with contracts, that could have really hurt the Party, but that money was thrown at a crisis and PPE was secured, even if it was haphazardly done, is mission accomplished during a pandemic. Especially when the same was done over vaccines etc and the country can see that the Government throwing money at issues has fixed the issues.

    Its the polar opposite of what the Tories normally stand for mind, but desperate times call for desperate measures. The danger is that the public expects more normal issues to have money thrown at them in the same way going forward.
    After the French impounded a huge delivery from the regular PPE supplier, it was clearly a case of "Does anyone, anywhere, know anyone who can actually get their hands on this stuff?"

    It does appear that the media have drawn a blank trying to get a story out of it, which to be honest is surprising. If the worst they've got is that a PPE supplier once donated a few quid to his local Con Club bar refurbishment fund, then that counts as a very good job by the government.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Well,knock me down with a feather. Ms Markle, according to the Daily Mirror, isn't coming to the funeral, "because she doesn't want to be the centre of attention". Risible!
    So speaks someone who has sought to be the centre of attention in everything she does !

    Funny how she is telling everyone how thoughtful and considerate she is being
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,894
    @RachelReeves It’s not good enough to appoint an inquiry head from an organisation that lobbied to limit the scope of the register.

    The Conservatives think they can carry out an inquiry policing themselves and everyone will just look the other way.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/apr/12/david-cameron-faces-unprecedented-inquiry-into-greensill-scandal-boris-johnson-orders-independent-investigation

    She's nearly right. BoZo and chums don't think people will look the other way, they think people will not care. Mendacity is their watchword.
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    DavidL said:

    What was Greensill actually selling? It sounds from what I have read no more than a glorified factoring service. Was there any more to it? I am not sure I understand what he was offering the NHS staff either.

    This is the part that I don’t get.

    Why would the govt/nhs need factoring services?

    Seems like parasitism to me.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 59,983

    Morning all! On topic - Tory shilling for his mates and himself shock.

    Off topic, why Boris Johnson can thrown NI off the bus and still be supported by patriotic Brits - they haven't a frigging clue where NI is.

    https://twitter.com/aoifeslattsx/status/1381041555864227841

    I've never used the app but I'd think if you're looking for intelligent conversation the last place I'd look for it is Tinder.

    Its also probably the app most used by non-voters.
    She sounds a nightmare from reading that.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,154
    Good news. We have a winner for the most epic self awareness fail of all time. Everyone else can give up and go home.

    Fukushima: Japan approves releasing wastewater into ocean
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-56728068

    Chinese foreign ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian urged Japan to "act in a responsible manner".
  • pingping Posts: 3,805

    Morning all! On topic - Tory shilling for his mates and himself shock.

    Off topic, why Boris Johnson can thrown NI off the bus and still be supported by patriotic Brits - they haven't a frigging clue where NI is.

    https://twitter.com/aoifeslattsx/status/1381041555864227841

    I've never used the app but I'd think if you're looking for intelligent conversation the last place I'd look for it is Tinder.

    Its also probably the app most used by non-voters.
    She sounds a nightmare from reading that.
    Indeed. She’s just using people for her own entertainment.

    Swipe right....
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,344

    FPT - it's worth noting that almost the whole Tory core vote will be fully vacinnated by the May local elections, and on the move again.

    That may help significantly on relative turnout.

    Help even more if they are grateful!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,226
    edited April 2021

    Morning all! On topic - Tory shilling for his mates and himself shock.

    Off topic, why Boris Johnson can thrown NI off the bus and still be supported by patriotic Brits - they haven't a frigging clue where NI is.

    https://twitter.com/aoifeslattsx/status/1381041555864227841

    Firstly, despite the tweeter being clearly a pro Sinn Fein Nationalist with an agenda I did not think most of the replies were that inaccurate about NI or why it was created. Rather surprising considering it was Tinder.

    Second, what the people of Britain think about NI is largely irrelevant anyway, only what the people of NI and the UK and Irish governments think about NI and is future is relevant.

    Hence the current loyalist rioting in response to the Irish Sea border is far more significant
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Morning all! On topic - Tory shilling for his mates and himself shock.

    Off topic, why Boris Johnson can thrown NI off the bus and still be supported by patriotic Brits - they haven't a frigging clue where NI is.

    https://twitter.com/aoifeslattsx/status/1381041555864227841

    I've never used the app but I'd think if you're looking for intelligent conversation the last place I'd look for it is Tinder.

    Its also probably the app most used by non-voters.
    She sounds a nightmare from reading that.
    I wonder why people on Tinder stopped responding to her, when she started challenging their geography knowledge or politics? 🤔
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,344
    Scott_xP said:

    @RachelReeves It’s not good enough to appoint an inquiry head from an organisation that lobbied to limit the scope of the register.

    The Conservatives think they can carry out an inquiry policing themselves and everyone will just look the other way.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/apr/12/david-cameron-faces-unprecedented-inquiry-into-greensill-scandal-boris-johnson-orders-independent-investigation

    She's nearly right. BoZo and chums don't think people will look the other way, they think people will not care. Mendacity is their watchword.

    The Green Party should put you up for an award, in recognition of your endless re-use and recycle skills....
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,528

    February exports to the EU rebounded by more than imports did: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-56729631

    Didn't see that coming. Impressive. Due to us being in lockdown perhaps?

    As someone pointed out, the public facing issues that we see at the border account for a tiny, tiny portion of UK-EU trade. Food and fish just isn't a key industry for the UK, no matter how much the likes of Rochdale likes to pretend it is.

    It's also why the government has held very firm on not doing any unilateral alignment deals in any area. It's a loser for us.

    So let them have their border pedantry win, all it's doing is turning the public against the EU. In macro terms it's worth almost nothing and the government will be even more determined to solve the NI issues without any standards alignment. The EU will never be able to dictate terms to the UK again, eventually they'll learn this and everyone will move on and the border issues will be dedramatised. Until then expect the border pedantry to contribute and for the likes of Rochdale to tell us daily why this means the UK economy will never recover until we have unilateral alignment with the EU in all areas.
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    ping said:

    DavidL said:

    What was Greensill actually selling? It sounds from what I have read no more than a glorified factoring service. Was there any more to it? I am not sure I understand what he was offering the NHS staff either.

    This is the part that I don’t get.

    Why would the govt/nhs need factoring services?

    Seems like parasitism to me.
    If I were king, I’d ban the sale of debt full stop.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,555
    Dave is simply doing what Tories have done for decades, it’s going on right now up and down the country. It almost defines what Toryism is.

    The curious thing is why they are calling Dave out on this, right now.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    MaxPB said:

    February exports to the EU rebounded by more than imports did: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-56729631

    Didn't see that coming. Impressive. Due to us being in lockdown perhaps?

    As someone pointed out, the public facing issues that we see at the border account for a tiny, tiny portion of UK-EU trade. Food and fish just isn't a key industry for the UK, no matter how much the likes of Rochdale likes to pretend it is.

    It's also why the government has held very firm on not doing any unilateral alignment deals in any area. It's a loser for us.

    So let them have their border pedantry win, all it's doing is turning the public against the EU. In macro terms it's worth almost nothing and the government will be even more determined to solve the NI issues without any standards alignment. The EU will never be able to dictate terms to the UK again, eventually they'll learn this and everyone will move on and the border issues will be dedramatised. Until then expect the border pedantry to contribute and for the likes of Rochdale to tell us daily why this means the UK economy will never recover until we have unilateral alignment with the EU in all areas.
    Precisely. Rochdale doesn't get it, but if there's import substitutions from border pedantry then the UK is a minor macro winner and the EU a minor macro loser.

    But it's minor. Winning the principles of separation and having clean control of our own laws without being subordinate to anyone else is worth much more.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,344
    rkrkrk said:

    Should we now refer to him as disgraced former prime minister David Cameron?

    Asking for a friend...

    He already is.

    In Brussels.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,226
    edited April 2021
    On topic, we have far less lobbying from former politicians than say the US where ex politicans make a fortune lobbying for corporate clients in DC.

    I also fail to see why Cameron, a former PM who retired relatively young, cannot make some money from lobbying work.

    The question that does need answering though is whether Greensill got work without going through the normal government tender process which would be more serious
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,344
    Jonathan said:

    Dave is simply doing what Tories have done for decades, it’s going on right now up and down the country. It almost defines what Toryism is.

    The curious thing is why they are calling Dave out on this, right now.

    Ahem. *Liverpool Labour waves*

    Because there is no history of Labour local government corruption going back many decades is there? It almost defines what Socialism is.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    ping said:

    DavidL said:

    What was Greensill actually selling? It sounds from what I have read no more than a glorified factoring service. Was there any more to it? I am not sure I understand what he was offering the NHS staff either.

    This is the part that I don’t get.

    Why would the govt/nhs need factoring services?

    Seems like parasitism to me.
    The government said no the factoring scheme

    They were interested in the payday loan scheme. It can be done by any HR department but there are economies of scale in creating a single app that individual nhs trusts can use if they want.

    So worth considering, albeit fairly marginal in the scheme of things

  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,474
    ping said:

    Morning all! On topic - Tory shilling for his mates and himself shock.

    Off topic, why Boris Johnson can thrown NI off the bus and still be supported by patriotic Brits - they haven't a frigging clue where NI is.

    https://twitter.com/aoifeslattsx/status/1381041555864227841

    I've never used the app but I'd think if you're looking for intelligent conversation the last place I'd look for it is Tinder.

    Its also probably the app most used by non-voters.
    She sounds a nightmare from reading that.
    Indeed. She’s just using people for her own entertainment.
    Isn't that the whole point of Tinder?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Morning all! On topic - Tory shilling for his mates and himself shock.

    Off topic, why Boris Johnson can thrown NI off the bus and still be supported by patriotic Brits - they haven't a frigging clue where NI is.

    https://twitter.com/aoifeslattsx/status/1381041555864227841

    I've never used the app but I'd think if you're looking for intelligent conversation the last place I'd look for it is Tinder.

    Its also probably the app most used by non-voters.
    She sounds a nightmare from reading that.
    She led a bunch of people on in order to humiliate them publicly. Charming.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,661
    edited April 2021
    Charles said:

    February exports to the EU rebounded by more than imports did: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-56729631

    Didn't see that coming. Impressive. Due to us being in lockdown perhaps?

    I love the phrasing

    Exports “partially rebounded” by 47%... [partial, shakes head, not good]

    Imports showed a “weaker rebound” of 7% [weaker, shakes head, not good]

    Personally I think exports +47% and imports +7% is fantastic
    In large it reflects the relative falls in GDP during the pandemic. Of course it is 'a good thing' to move towards balance in the current account, but the decline in imports is because of falls in consumption and consumption is a better surrogate for welfare than GDP.

  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,894
    @paulhutcheon: EXC: The firm at the centre of the David Cameron lobbying scandal has been accused of trying to get its "claws" int… https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1381867444931813376
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,551

    Well,knock me down with a feather. Ms Markle, according to the Daily Mirror, isn't coming to the funeral, "because she doesn't want to be the centre of attention". Risible!
    So speaks someone who has sought to be the centre of attention in everything she does !

    She's right though. She would be the centre of attention. And that wouldn't be good.
  • TomsToms Posts: 2,478
    For some reason the "Pardoner's Tale" comes to my mind.
  • If Cameron hadn't paraded his hair shirt so often by declining to take rises in the PM's salary, maybe he wouldn't need to be hawking himself about in this fashion?
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,894
    HYUFD said:

    On topic, we have far less lobbying from former politicians than say the US where ex politicans make a fortune lobbying for corporate clients in DC.

    I also fail to see why Cameron, a former PM who retired relatively young, cannot make some money from lobbying work.

    The question that does need answering though is whether Greensill got work without going through the normal government tender process which would be more serious

    ...


  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    ping said:

    ping said:

    DavidL said:

    What was Greensill actually selling? It sounds from what I have read no more than a glorified factoring service. Was there any more to it? I am not sure I understand what he was offering the NHS staff either.

    This is the part that I don’t get.

    Why would the govt/nhs need factoring services?

    Seems like parasitism to me.
    If I were king, I’d ban the sale of debt full stop.
    Why? Done correctly it reduces the cost of capital and matches assets and liabilities.

    For example banks should be about providing liquidity. But very long term certain risks are better suited to pension funds who need known
    income to match their outgoings. So banks have a role to play in sourcing these needs and packaging them up for the pension funds.

    Clearly “done correctly” is carrying a lot of weight here.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,555
    edited April 2021

    Jonathan said:

    Dave is simply doing what Tories have done for decades, it’s going on right now up and down the country. It almost defines what Toryism is.

    The curious thing is why they are calling Dave out on this, right now.

    Ahem. *Liverpool Labour waves*

    Because there is no history of Labour local government corruption going back many decades is there? It almost defines what Socialism is.
    You said it was no big deal up thread. Make up your mind.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,528
    Pulpstar said:
    Website getting slammed. Demand still obviously really high.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,077

    DavidL said:

    There may be more to this yet but so far the problem with Greensill is that they lent far too much money to Gupta for the Liberty group. AIUI the government has responded by withdrawing their guarantees for those loans since they were not issued in accordance with the scheme. Bad news for Liberty creditors when that group inevitably goes bust, bad news for the Scottish government who guaranteed £500m of those loans but not particularly bad news for the UK taxpayer as a whole.

    The suggestion that the "security" for Gupta loans was fake invoices is troubling. It shows a lack of due diligence on the part of Greensill. A non banking group turned out not to be as good as a bank at spotting inconsistencies (although it may be a bit early for the banks to be given a clean bill of health).

    It seems inevitable that other loans which were issued with government guarantees will turn out to be bad. But this is part of a wider picture where the government was providing massive "bounce back" loans and guarantees across the economy to stop collapse in a time of lockdown. That seems to have largely worked, the odd retail group apart, we have not seen anything like the consequences that we should for a 5-10% fall in GDP. What we will see over the coming year is a fair number of businesses going bust and such loans going bad. No doubt Rishi will get some flack for this but the consequences of not acting could have been much, much worse. Many will describe these bad loans as a "scandal" and no doubt it will be claimed that there was corruption and cronyism. We shall see and much will depend upon the extent of taxpayer largesse but so far, Greensill apart, the performance of the Treasury has been not much short of incredible.

    Is that £500m guarantee issue going to hit home in time to damage the SNP in May?
    Can't see it appearing in the next 3 weeks so no.
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,662
    Jonathan said:

    Dave is simply doing what Tories have done for decades, it’s going on right now up and down the country. It almost defines what Toryism is.

    The curious thing is why they are calling Dave out on this, right now.

    Yes of course, and Socialists have been absolutely innocent of any of this sort of thing. Clean pair of hands.. yes siree,....
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Jonathan said:

    Jonathan said:

    Dave is simply doing what Tories have done for decades, it’s going on right now up and down the country. It almost defines what Toryism is.

    The curious thing is why they are calling Dave out on this, right now.

    Ahem. *Liverpool Labour waves*

    Because there is no history of Labour local government corruption going back many decades is there? It almost defines what Socialism is.
    You said it was no big deal up thread. Make up your mind.
    Liverpool Labour: Currently serving Mayor and others engage in criminal corruption. Is arrested with others.

    Cameron: Former Prime Minister engages in legal lobbying. Is rebuffed politely.

    Which is a "big deal" and which isn't?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,154
    Pulpstar said:
    Good news if they’re restarting first dose vaccines. From a personal POV, hopefully not too long before they get to over 35s.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,162

    Jonathan said:

    Dave is simply doing what Tories have done for decades, it’s going on right now up and down the country. It almost defines what Toryism is.

    The curious thing is why they are calling Dave out on this, right now.

    Ahem. *Liverpool Labour waves*

    Because there is no history of Labour local government corruption going back many decades is there? It almost defines what Socialism is.
    Labour locally and nationally. They’re all as bad as each other. There is no moral high ground here.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,344
    edited April 2021
    geoffw said:

    Charles said:

    February exports to the EU rebounded by more than imports did: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-56729631

    Didn't see that coming. Impressive. Due to us being in lockdown perhaps?

    I love the phrasing

    Exports “partially rebounded” by 47%... [partial, shakes head, not good]

    Imports showed a “weaker rebound” of 7% [weaker, shakes head, not good]

    Personally I think exports +47% and imports +7% is fantastic
    In large it reflects the relative falls in GDP during the pandemic. Of course it is 'a good thing' to move towards balance in the current account, but the decline in imports is because of falls in consumption and consumption is a better surrogate for welfare than GDP.

    The complaints over export falls were, IIRC, largely from relatively small firms in the food trade, and referred to fresh food. Again IIRC there was a fall in general activity December - January, due to pre-stocking thread of what was expected to be a difficult, but probably short-term problem.
    I also get the impression that large companies were/are better able to cope with the vastly increased paperwork than smaller ones.

    Quite willing, of course, to be corrected.
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,162

    Scott_xP said:

    @RachelReeves It’s not good enough to appoint an inquiry head from an organisation that lobbied to limit the scope of the register.

    The Conservatives think they can carry out an inquiry policing themselves and everyone will just look the other way.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2021/apr/12/david-cameron-faces-unprecedented-inquiry-into-greensill-scandal-boris-johnson-orders-independent-investigation

    She's nearly right. BoZo and chums don't think people will look the other way, they think people will not care. Mendacity is their watchword.

    The Green Party should put you up for an award, in recognition of your endless re-use and recycle skills....
    Scott n paste strikes again
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,162
    Although this is a good article I thought cyclefrees previous piece on this was right on the money
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,226
    edited April 2021
    Of the current living former PMs Cameron seems to be very much in the Blair bracket with making money the primary motive.

    Former PMs Brown and May for all their mistakes in power seem to be rather more austere in their approach, though they do still do paid speeches, Major made a significant amount via the Carlyle Group but is not in the Cameron or Blair category for cashing in.

    Most former PMs used to go to the Lords, it seems they now largely avoid that but often look to further their business interests instead with maybe a foundation on the side eg the Blair Faith Foundation and Institute for Global Change
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Jonathan said:

    Dave is simply doing what Tories have done for decades, it’s going on right now up and down the country. It almost defines what Toryism is.

    The curious thing is why they are calling Dave out on this, right now.

    Are you really going to pretend Labour is clean?

    Partisan much.......
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,528
    Also, @Black_Rook the Moderna rollout has started in England as well. I'm not sure why the vaccines minister said it would start in two weeks last week when the first delivery arrived. He must have got the dates mixed up.

    I think the over 40s will take 3 weeks to get to 80% completion and then 35-39 year olds will be invited in early May, 30-34 just after the middle of May. I expect everyone under 50 from next week onwards will get Pfizer or Moderna for their first doses and in May we'll add Novavax to the mix.

    I don't think we'll use the J&J vaccine at all.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 8,661

    geoffw said:

    Charles said:

    February exports to the EU rebounded by more than imports did: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-56729631

    Didn't see that coming. Impressive. Due to us being in lockdown perhaps?

    I love the phrasing

    Exports “partially rebounded” by 47%... [partial, shakes head, not good]

    Imports showed a “weaker rebound” of 7% [weaker, shakes head, not good]

    Personally I think exports +47% and imports +7% is fantastic
    In large it reflects the relative falls in GDP during the pandemic. Of course it is 'a good thing' to move towards balance in the current account, but the decline in imports is because of falls in consumption and consumption is a better surrogate for welfare than GDP.

    The complaints over export falls were, IIRC, largely from relatively small firms in the food trade, and referred to fresh food. Again IIRC there was a fall in general activity December - January, due to pre-stocking thread of what was expected to be a difficult, but probably short-term problem.
    I also get the impression that large companies were/are better able to cope with the vastly increased paperwork than smaller ones.

    Quite willing, of course, to be corrected.
    My comment was to counter the faint whiff of mercantalist thinking in discussions of trade balances.

  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,894
    Taz said:

    Scott n paste strikes again

    A hit, a very palpable hit
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 59,983
    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    rcs1000 said:

    I still find it a rather low-wattage matter to be branded a "scandal". Several orders of magnitude less than that which sees Sarkozy wearing a tag for bribing a magistrate.

    Cameron should have known better, which was known by those currently in Government. They politely listened to the former Prime Minister - and then ignored him.

    Is trying to mountainise this molehill, following on from the similar Big Meh of Carrie's furnishings, an admission by the media that they can't get traction on PPE acquisition contracts?

    If you look at all the loans guaranteed by the UK and Scottish governments to GFG/Liberty (of which more than half probably went via Greenhill), it will approach £1bn.

    When that much taxpayers' money is spent supporting a businessman's luxury lifestyle, one should probably ask questions. When the sums are done, I suspect one will find that maybe half the missing funds went on employing people, and the other half has disappeared.
    I don’t quite understand the obsession that government have with funding the steel Industry. But they appear to have (a) colossally fucked up and (b) been taken in by a plausible smooth-talking fraudster
    We need a little bit of domestic steel capability for strategic assets like ships, aircraft and critical I-beams and L-beams for construction?

    Sure, UK steel will be extremely expensive and uncompetitive but you don't want to be 100% reliant on China.
    China is mainly bulk steel not the specialty stuff you reference
    Ok, but we need some domestic capacity, right?

    Don't get me wrong, I'm free market, but I'd be willing to help at least one smelting works ticking over - just for resilience.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 59,983
    MaxPB said:

    Also, @Black_Rook the Moderna rollout has started in England as well. I'm not sure why the vaccines minister said it would start in two weeks last week when the first delivery arrived. He must have got the dates mixed up.

    I think the over 40s will take 3 weeks to get to 80% completion and then 35-39 year olds will be invited in early May, 30-34 just after the middle of May. I expect everyone under 50 from next week onwards will get Pfizer or Moderna for their first doses and in May we'll add Novavax to the mix.

    I don't think we'll use the J&J vaccine at all.

    Typo in the last sentence: it's Clown and Clown.
  • Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 4,993
    MaxPB said:

    Also, @Black_Rook the Moderna rollout has started in England as well. I'm not sure why the vaccines minister said it would start in two weeks last week when the first delivery arrived. He must have got the dates mixed up.

    I think the over 40s will take 3 weeks to get to 80% completion and then 35-39 year olds will be invited in early May, 30-34 just after the middle of May. I expect everyone under 50 from next week onwards will get Pfizer or Moderna for their first doses and in May we'll add Novavax to the mix.

    I don't think we'll use the J&J vaccine at all.

    I'm expecting us to be exploring just how high the daily vaccination numbers can possibly get as May goes on.
    If we average over 1 million per day (first plus second doses) through May, I wouldn't be surprised - we've seen that the distribution and delivery system can cope with numbers on that scale, so when supply constraints disappear, there's no reason to prevent it.

    And if we're getting Moderna and Novavax in wholesale fashion for first doses to add to the Pfizer and Astrazeneca second doses, supply constraints should be far less of an issue.

    We could easily end May with every adult first-dosed and the majority of Groups 1-9 (30 million or so) double-dosed..
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,392
    Largest surge testing op so far taking place in S London. SA variant spotted.

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/surge-testing-to-be-deployed-in-wandsworth-and-lambeth
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,469
    HYUFD said:

    Of the current living former PMs Cameron seems to be very much in the Blair bracket with making money the primary motive.

    Former PMs Brown and May for all their mistakes in power seem to be rather more austere in their approach, though they do still do paid speeches, Major made a significant amount via the Carlyle Group but is not in the Cameron or Blair category for cashing in.

    Most former PMs used to go to the Lords, it seems they now largely avoid that but often look to further their business interests instead with maybe a foundation on the side eg the Blair Faith Foundation and Institute for Global Change

    Cameron is following in the Blair pattern.

    But, as usual, comes across as a pound shop Blair.

    Blair had JP Morgan giving him millions while Cameron has the Greensill humiliation.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 11,695
    Floater said:

    Jonathan said:

    Dave is simply doing what Tories have done for decades, it’s going on right now up and down the country. It almost defines what Toryism is.

    The curious thing is why they are calling Dave out on this, right now.

    Are you really going to pretend Labour is clean?

    Partisan much.......
    As per last time you posted this Floater, does that make it alright then?
This discussion has been closed.